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1

100 A1B

A1B:� 1.7�4.4

IPCC� 4 WG1

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10

CMIP3• CMIP3 : IPCC 4

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CMIP3 12 24

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23.

24. 10 PDO

25.

26.

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28.

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8.

9.

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15 Rossby

28.

29.

30. ENSO

31.

32.

33. ENSO

34. MJO�

35. MJO

36.

3715. Rossby

16.

17. ENSO

18.

19.

20.

21. NAM

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