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1

Energy metabolismBasics in energy analysis

Prof. dr. Kornelis Blok@kornelisblok

Lecture RENESYIndustrial Ecology17 September 2015

2

The energy system

Winning ConversionTransportStorage

Distribution

Conversion at the end-

userEnd-use

3

The energy system

Winning ConversionTransportStorage

Distribution

Conversion at the end-

userEnd-use

4

Energy use in world history

Primitive Society Hunting Society Primitive Agricultural Society

Advanced Agricultural Society

Industrial Society Modern Society0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Services Transportation

Industry Household

Food

Per c

apita

ene

rgy

use

(GJ/

year

)

Adapted from Cook, Sci. Am., 1971

5

Variation in energy use per capita

Source: Gruebler et al. 2014 Energy Primer

6

Global energy flows, 2005 Source: Gruebler et al. 2014 Energy Primer

7

8

Source: Gruebler et al. 2014 Energy Primer

9

Global useful demand for energy

Source: Gruebler et al. 2014 Energy Primer

10

Breakdown of household electricity useNetherlands, 2008

11

Breakdown of service sector electricity useTypical office building, NL, ~2005

12

Industrial electricity use

13

Global primary energy supply

Source: Gruebler et al. 2014 Energy Primer

14

Shares of global primary energy use

Source: Gruebler et al. 2014 Energy Primer

15

Development of global energy use

Bron: Ecofys, gebaseerd op Enerdata-gegevens

16

Luminous efficacy of light sources(in lumen per Watt)

0.1 0.5 10 – 18 50 – 80 70 – 200

Bronnen: Tsao en Waide, 2010, The World’s Appetite for LightFabrikanteninformatie.

17

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050

year

Cok

e de

man

d (M

J/kg

hot

met

al)

Energy efficiency improvements:1760-1800: -1.9% a year1800-1820: -0.2% a year1820-1910: -1.1% a year1910-1920: +0.2% a year1920-1940: -1.4% a year1950-1990: -3.4% a year1760-1990: -1.4% a year

Introduction coke fired blast furnaces

Steam engines

Hot blast

Radical changes in shape and design

Larger hearth furnaces

Closed top furnaceUse of richer ores

Ore

Higher blast

Development of energy use iron production(MJ cokes per kg ijzer)

Bron: J. de Beer, Proefschrift, Universiteit Utrecht, 1998

18

Ecorunner: 3500 km per liter-eq.

19

Efficiency of cars in the EU

Source: Faberi et al., 2015

20

Ontwikkeling elektriciteitsgebruik in grote EU- landen en Japan

Bron: Ecofys, gebaseerd op Enerdata-gegevens

21

Energy use and GDP

Source: Gruebler et al. 2014 Energy Primer

22

Production and consumption of crude oil

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015

23

Crude oil prices

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015

24

Energy prices(money of the day)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011

ener

gy

pri

ce (

US

$/G

J)

Crude oil Brent

LNG Japan

Natural gas EU

Natural gas US

Coal NW-Europe

Coal US Central

Source: based on BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2012Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015

25

Share of new renewables power

New = All,excluding hydropower

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2015

© ECOFYS | |

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Fina

l ene

rgy

(EJ/

a)

NuclearCoalNatural gasOilBio: AlgaeBio: CropsBio: Comp.Fellings*Bio: TraditionalBio: Resid.&WasteHydropowerGeo: HeatGeo: ElectricitySolar thermalConc. solar: HeatConc. solar: PowerPhotovoltaic solarWave & TidalWind: Off-shoreWind: On-shoreSource: Ecofys

A 2050 sustainable energy perspective

Source: Ecofys/WWF, The Energy Report, 2011

27

Contact

Prof. dr. Kornelis BlokChair of Energy Systems AnalysisFaculty Technology, Policy and ManagementJaffalaan 5, Room B3.0602628 BX DelftThe NetherlandsE-mail: k.blok@tudelft.nlphone: +31-15-27 85751mobile: +31-6-558 667 36

Twitter: @kornelisblok

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