13:45 convergence – iot in commercial buildings lone hansen, … · things (iot) devices will be...
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13:45 Convergence – IoT in commercial buildingsLone Hansen, BSRIA
Sponsored by
www.bsria.co.uk
Making buildings better
Serving industry since 1955
Convergence – IoT in Commercial Buildings
Lone HansenSenior Manager
IT Cabling, BACS & Associated Technologies
Smart Building ShowLondon 8th of November, 2018
www.bsria.co.uk
Agenda
• Convergence – IoT in Commercial buildings
• Drivers for growth
• Obstacles and barriers
www.bsria.co.uk
Expected growth in IoT
Gartner estimates that 20 billion Internet of Things (IoT) devices will be connected by 2020 of which 63% is related to consumer.
Source: Gartner
McKinsey estimates the IoT market in 2020 will be worth $581bn for ICT based spending alone.
IoT market to reach $267bn by 2020.Source: Boston Consulting Group
Smart Cities, connected industry and connected buildings are the top three IoTprojects in progress.
Source: IoT Analytics
www.bsria.co.uk
Building Services in Commercial buildings
Mechanical & Electrical Services
• Building automation and controls
• HVAC• Infrastructure/network• Security• Lighting• Fire safety• Parking• Lifts & Elevators• AV, digital signage, room
booking etc.
www.bsria.co.uk
Converged network
• xxxx
HVAC Security & Access
Supervisory Controller
Water Management
Audio Visual Lifts
Lighting EnergyFire Life Safety
Landscaping irrigation
Digital Signage
Voice & Data
Data Normalisation
Network Security
Standard, Secure Enterprise IP Network (Structured & Wireless)
DISPARATE BUILDING SYSTEMS
THIRD PARTY APPS & SERVICES
Demand response, outsourcing of services
Data Analytics Reporting
Business Process
Automation
• Many devices today are IP and a growing number are connected to one to a physical network
• Some verticals integrate all services on the network• Other verticals keep Data & Security separate from
Facilities• Smart HVAC, connection to Cloud
Parking
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Data, WAPs and IoTOutlets/nodes/links, Data, WAPs and IoT, US, million units, 2015 – 2021
Source: Convergence and Digitalisation of buildings, US. May 2017
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Data, WAPs and IoTData, WAPs, IoT and total outlets/links, growth rates, US 2015 - 2021
Source: Convergence and Digitalisation of buildings, US. May 2017
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IoT, US million units/connections, 2015 - 2021
• IoT increasing by 20-25% per year from 2018
• Growth from a low base
• New connections/drops not retrofit
Source: BSRIA survey and modelling May 2017
Other: Lighting, digital signage, point of sales/card readers, white boards, smoke detection, room booking, blinds
www.bsria.co.uk11/27/18 NBASE-T AllianceSM © 2018 10
• Surveillance cameras- networked/IP- large share is retrofit (network not upgraded)
• Access control- networked/IP
• Intruder alarms/detection- networked/IP
Security
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BACS
• Est. value USD 7 bn.
• Moderate growth for controllers and field devices
• Significant growth expected for software
• Most BACS are HVAC only. ~10% integrate other productsHardware
Software
Field devicesControllers
USD million
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BACS Market tends to grow exponentially with GDP
• BACS spending follows economic growth
• Some BACS markets (e.g. India and Brazil are less developed than they could be based on GDP
• Others, Japan, UK Germany are more mature.
Source: BSRIA World BACS Study 2017
United States
China
Japan
GermanyUnited Kingdom
France
India
Italy
Brazil
Russia
South Korea
Spain
Australia
Mexico
NetherlandsTurkey
$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000$0
$1
$10
$100
Average GDP per Capita (USD)
Spen
d on
BAC
S -p
er C
apita
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Trends in BACS
Intelligent field devices/ Smart HVAC o Built-in controlso Built-in sensors
Software (no need for hardware, low cost upgrades!)
More intelligent controllers- No need for gateways
Artificial intelligence - Predict and prevent
Wireless technologies
Individual usercontrol
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Convergence – Verticals
• Transport
• Retail
• Hotels
• Education
• Healthcare
• Mixed use
• High-end offices
• Data centres
• Manufacturing
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Drivers
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Looking for opportunities
11/27/18 NBASE-T AllianceSM © 2018 16
• Commoditisation
• Acquisitions & mergers
• Future growth – looking at new revenues
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Uptake IP – field and room controllers
• IP enabled field controllers continue to increase
• Just over half are IP
IP
Non-IP
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Cloud
• The majority of software is still install on premises
• Cloud based software is small but increasing
• SaaS – offered by some suppliers
Cloud based software
5% SaaS (Cloud based subscription
model)2%
Non-cloud based software installed
on premisses93%
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Energy uses
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
48
19
51
19
54
19
57
19
61
19
64
19
67
19
70
19
74
19
77
19
80
19
83
19
87
19
90
19
93
19
96
20
00
20
03
20
06
20
09
20
13
20
16
12 M
onth
Ave
rage
Max
imum
Tem
pera
ture
Average Maximum Temperatures at Heathrow 1948 - 2018
Catering
3%
Computing
21%
Cooling and
Ventilation
12%
Hot Water
5%
Heating
41%
Lighting
9%
Other
9%
Energy usage in UK offices, 2017
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Focus on Comfort and Personalisation
• Most cost related to employees cost
• A small proportion to rental cost
• Cost related to energy is minimal
Source: UK Green Building Council
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Off site Monitoring & Maintenance
…..Continuous Monitoring…..
IP con-nectionPredictive
Analytics
Fault Report
Performance Data
Preventative Maintenance
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FM – Outsourcing
• Most FM companies follow traditional model
• Some are innovative – new business models
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Residential 64%
Non Residential
36%
Smart Homes Appeals to Light Commercial
Source: BSRIASource: EiA
Commercial buildings by number of workers (main shift), US
www.bsria.co.uk
Alliances and partnerships
• BACS/BEMS
• Controls
• FMS• Communication
• Microgeneration
• HVAC• Renewables
• Energy storage
• Connectivity
• Demand/response
• Smart metering
• Data analytics
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Younger generation
Voice control
Quick
Smart products
Shopping
Mobility & apps
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Agenda
• Obstacles and Barriers
www.bsria.co.uk
Too many protocols and standards
• Most products are connectable, but need interfaces and drivers
• Few platforms (if any) available that integrate all products and services without hassle!
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Old buildings and networks
Number of commercial buildings by age in USA (year constructed), in thousands
Source: EIA
The age of the cabling systems?
BSRIA Survey, US 2016. Q7: How old are your originally installed cabling systems?
www.bsria.co.uk
Construction practice
• Main contractors are cost focused
• Value added engineering is removed
Developer/client
Consultants/ Engineers
Architect Mechanical/ Plumbing
Specialist
Specialist
Electrical
Main Contractor
Sub-contractor Sub-contractor
Sub-sub-contractor
Sub-sub-contractor
Sub-sub-contractor
Sub-contractor
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Many stakeholders
Design
Build
Operation
Repair
Renovate
New construction marketRetrofit market
Designers/Architects/ Consultants
End client/Owner/Developer
Contractors/ Sub- Contractors
System Integrators
Contractors
FM
ESCo.
End client/ Owner/Occupier
End client/Owner/ Occupier/FM/ESCO
www.bsria.co.uk
“We sometimes incorporate the BMS within our smart building packages. There is massive change going on in the BMS market as they are dragged kicking and screaming into the world of IP convergence”.
Source: SI London (Dec. 2017)
“50-60% of our structured cabling projects include WAPs and security,
mostly surveillance cameras”.
Source: Key channel player UK, Jan. 2018
Education, training & attitude
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Conclusions
• An increasing number of devices are intelligent and IP connected
• New players are entering the “building” market
• Convergence – IoT is happening, but NOT at speed
The Surface is fairly calm…..
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Thank you
Lone HansenManager – IT Cabling, BACS & Associated Technologies Worldwide Market Intelligence
Old Bracknell Lane West, Bracknell, Berkshire RG12 7AHD : +44 (0)1344 465643 M : +44 (0)7725 278 639
E : loneh@bsria.co.uk W : www.bsria.co.uk
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