2011-12 election cycle: content and aftermath€¦ · 2003 duma 2004 president 2007 duma 2008...

2011-12 Election Cycle: content and

aftermath

63,60% 17,18%

7,98%

3,85%

2012 Presidential Elections

6,22%

Putin

Prokhorov

Mironov

Zyuganov

Zhirinovsky

The Results

Russian Electoral System

Regional election committee

Territorial election committee

CENTRAL ELECTION COMMITTEE

Polling stations

Falsifications: how was it possible to steal votes?

what protesters were unhappy about?

A bit of theory:

Technology #1: Machinations with reports

Technology #2: Phantom voters („dead souls‟)

Technology #3: Phantom polling stations

Technology #4: „Carousels‟ and „double-voting‟

Technology #5: Non-transparent voting

Technology #6: Throwing-in

Official results from a Territorial Election Committee: United Russia Party – 45.5%

Data from the Record of the Polling Station Committee: United Russia – 28.7%

FRAUD (!!!)

Bolotnaya Square, 100-130 thousands people

Luzhniki, 100-130 thousands people

Sergey Udaltsov, the leader of the Left front

Alexey Navalny, the leader of the opposition

“Carousel”

Specific method of bribery of voters. Technology of the classical carousel: 1. A voter receives already marked bulletin

outside the polling station.

2. He enters the station, registers with the committee official.

3. Puts the ballot he was given outside the station.

4. „Sells‟ blank bulletin to the „team leader‟.

5. The new bulletin is being marked and given to the next participant.

„Sending off‟ the observers

Observers – official members of polling station committees with the right for deliberative vote.

Observers from undesirable candidates may complicate the work of the committees and thus are sometimes being refused registration or removed for a “valid” reason.

Throwing-in of the bulletins

The use of this technology is versatile:

1. A “voter” puts several bulletins.

2. Frauds with lists of voters (dead souls).

3. Bulletins are put in the ballot boxes prior to the voting.

NB. To avoid potential accusations in the recent elections were used transparent ballot boxes.

Mass-voting using additional voters lists

Workers of organizations with persistent production cycle can vote “at the place of work”.

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2003 Duma 2004 President 2007 Duma 2008 President 2011 Duma 2012 President

Deallocation votes

and temporary polling stations

1) Putin – 907 (89%)

2) Zyuganov – 45

3) Zhirinovskiy – 28

Other, potentially fraudulent forms of election

1) Early voting (used when a voter is not able to cast his vote on a designated day).

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2003 Duma 2004 President 2007 Duma 2008 President 2011 Duma 2012 President

Early votes

2) At home voting.

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2003 Duma 2004 President 2007 Duma 2008 President 2011 Duma 2012 President

'At home' votes

Did Putin Win?

0.0

10.0

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60.0

Dec. 10 Dec. 17 Dec. 24 Jan. 07 Jan. 14 Jan-21 Jan. 28 Feb. 04 Feb. 11 Feb. 18

Putin

Zyuganov

Zhirinovskiy

Mironov

Prokhorov