advanced probability theory - university of oxford
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Advanced Probability Theory
Stephen Robertssjrob@robots.ox.ac.uk
• William of Ockham: model selection
• Thomas Bayes: inference
• Claude Shannon: uncertainty and information
• Edwin Jaynes: logic and inference
(a is just a)
Belief update – learning – basis of modern ML
(Proof of this in Lecture 2)
−10 −8 −6 −4 −2 0 2 4 6 8 100
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p(x)
p(A|x)
max{p(A|x),p(B|x)}
p(x|A)
Fig 1.2
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