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Applied Welfare Economicsand Agricultural Policy

by Dieter Kirschke

in cooperation with Franz Heidhues and Jerzy Wilkin

supported by Nana Künkel

MSc Course, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

Ch1: 2/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Applied Welfare Economics and Agricultural Policy

Introduction

1 Principles of applied welfare economics2 Price policy I3 Price policy II

4 EU agricultural policy and international framework

Ch1: 3/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Applied Welfare Economics and Agricultural Policy

5 Agricultural policy in transition countries (Wilkin) 6 EU enlargement and accession (Wilkin)7 Rural finance in development (Heidhues)8 Structural adjustment policies (Heidhues)

9 Structural policy10 Multiobjective policy analysis

Chapter 1

Principles of Applied Welfare Economics

Applied Welfare Economics and Agricultural Policy

MSc Course, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

Ch1: 5/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Benefit

Benefit:

The benefit from consumption of a good is equal to the willingness to pay for this good.

Price

Demand curvep

q Quantity

Assumptions:

people count, consumer sovereignty, irrelevance of distribution

What is Benefit in Applied Welfare Economics?

Ch1: 6/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Cost

Cost:

The cost to produce a certain amount of a good is equal to the foregone consumption of other goods measured as foregone willingness to pay.

PriceSupply curve

q Quantity

What is Welfare Cost?

Ch1: 7/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

BenefitPriceS

q Quantity

p

D

Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 1. Approach: economic activities

Ch1: 8/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Cost

PriceS

q Quantity

p

D

Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 1. Approach: economic activities

Ch1: 9/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare

Welfare:

Welfare describes the level of satisfaction that people obtain from the consumption of a good.

PriceS

q Quantity

p

D

Note:Welfare (W) = Benefit (B) - Cost (C)

Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 1. Approach: economic activities

Ch1: 10/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Expenditure

BenefitPrice

Demand curvep

q Quantity

What is Consumer Surplus?

Ch1: 11/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Consumer surplusPrice

Demand curvep

q QuantityConsumer surplus:

The consumer surplus describes the satisfaction for a group of consumers to consume a certain amount of a good. It is equal to the willingness to pay for this amount of the good (benefit), minus foregone willingness to pay on other markets.

Note: Consumer surplus = Benefit - Expenditure

What is Consumer Surplus?

Ch1: 12/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Revenue

Cost

Price

Supply curve

q Quantity

p

What is Producer Surplus?

Ch1: 13/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Producer surplus:

The producer surplus describes the satisfaction for a group of producers to produce a certain amount of a good. It is equal to the potential willingness to pay for the production of a certain amount of this good (revenue), minus foregone willingness to pay (cost). The producer surplus has the gross margin as its equivalent on firm level.

Producer surplus

Note: Producer surplus = Revenue - Cost

Price

Supply curve

q Quantity

p

What is Producer Surplus?

Ch1: 14/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Consumer surplus

PriceS

q Quantity

p

D

Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 2. Approach: economic groups

Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 2. Approach: economic groups

Ch1: 15/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Producer surplus

PriceS

q Quantity

p

D

Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 2. Approach: economic groups

Ch1: 16/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare

Welfare:

Welfare describes the level of satisfaction that people obtain from the consumption of a good.

PriceS

q Quantity

p

D

Note:Welfare (W) = Consumer surplus (CS) + Producer surplus (PS)

Welfare Measurement under Autarky: 2. Approach: economic groups

Ch1: 17/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Note:

1. Approach: economic activitiesWelfare (W) = Benefit (B) - Cost (C)

WelfarePriceS

q Quantity

p

D

2. Approach: economic groupsWelfare (W) = Consumer surplus (CS) + Producer surplus (PS)

Welfare Measurement under Autarky: Summary

Ch1: 18/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

BenefitPrice S

qd Quantity

p

D

qs

Welfare Measurement with Trade

Ch1: 19/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Cost

Price S

qd Quantity

p

D

qs

Welfare Measurement with Trade

Ch1: 20/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Foreign exchange

Foreign exchange:

Foreign exchange describes the potential satisfaction that an economy can achieve from the consumption of goods produced in other countries. Foreign exchange results from the potential willingness to pay from export goods (foreign exchange earning), minus foregonewillingness to pay for import goods.

Price S

qd Quantity

p

D

qs

Welfare Measurement with Trade

Ch1: 21/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare

Note:Welfare (W) = Benefit (B) - Cost (C) + Foreign exchange (FE)

Price S

qd Quantity

p

D

qs

Welfare Measurement with Trade

Ch1: 22/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare Measurement with Government Intervention

Consumer surplusPrice S

q Quantity

pp

D

pc

Ch1: 23/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare Measurement with Government Intervention

Producer surplusPrice S

q Quantity

pp

D

pc

Ch1: 24/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare Measurement with Government Intervention

Tax = Governmentbudget

Government budget:Government budget describes the potential satisfaction that an economy can achieve from this source. It is equal to the potential willingness to pay (government revenue), minus the foregone willingness to pay (government expense).

Price S

q Quantity

pp

D

pc

Ch1: 25/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare

Note:Welfare (W) = Consumer surplus (CS) + Producer surplus (PS)

+ Government budget (B)

Price S

q Quantity

pp

D

pc

Welfare Measurement with Government Intervention

Ch1: 26/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Price S

qs Quantity

pi

D

pw

qd

i denotes a situation under current price policy toincrease foreign exchange earning

w denotes a free trade situation

qs‘ qd

Welfare Effects of Import Substitution

Ch1: 27/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Decrease in benefit

Price S

qs Quantity

pi

D

pw

qdqs‘ qd

Welfare Effects of Import Substitution

Ch1: 28/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare Effects of Import Substitution

Increase in cost

Price S

qs Quantity

pi

D

pw

qdqs‘ qd

Ch1: 29/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare Effects of Import Substitution

Increase inforeign exchange

Price S

qs Quantity

pi

D

pw

qdqs‘ qd

Ch1: 30/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare Effects of Import Substitution

Decrease inwelfare

Price S

qs Quantity

pi

D

pw

qdqs‘ qd

Note:

dWelfare (dW) = dBenefit (dB) - dCost (dC) +dForeign exchange (dFE)

(-)

(-) (+) (+) (+)

(-)

Ch1: 31/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare?

i denotes a situation under current price policy toincrease government revenue

w denotes a free trade situation

qs‘qd

Price S

qs Quantity

pw

D

pi

qd‘

Export country

Ch1: 32/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare?

Increase inconsumer surplus

qs‘qd

Price S

qs Quantity

pw

D

pi

qd‘

Export country

Ch1: 33/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare?

Decrease inproducer surplus

qs‘qd

Price S

qs Quantity

pw

D

pi

qd‘

Export country

Ch1: 34/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare?

Increase ingovernment budget

qs‘qd

Price S

qs Quantity

pw

D

pi

qd‘

Export country

Ch1: 35/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Does Government Revenue Increase Welfare?

Decrease inwelfare

qs‘qd

Price S

qs Quantity

pw

D

pi

qd‘

(+)

Note:

dW = dPS + dCS + G(-) (-)

(-) (+)

Export country

Ch1: 36/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Decrease inproducersurplus (PS)

Loss ofwelfare (W)

Increase inconsumersurplus (CS)

Increase ingovernment expense (G)

P S

qs Q

pi‘

D

pi = pw

qd

P S

qs Q

pi‘

D

pi = pw

qd

P S

qs Q

pi‘

D

pi = pw

qd

P S

qs Q

pi‘

D

pi = pw

qd

Welfare Effects of Producer Incentive Prices and Cheap Food Prices for Consumers

Import subsidy

qs‘ qd‘

qs‘ qd‘ qs‘ qd‘

qs‘ qd‘

Ch1: 37/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare Effects of Producer Incentive Prices and Cheap Food Prices for Consumers

Producersurplus (PS) is constant!

Increase inconsumer surplus (CS)

Increase ingovernment expense (G)

Loss ofwelfare (W)

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

Consumption subsidy

qd‘

qd‘ qd‘

qd‘

Ch1: 38/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare Effects of Producer Incentive Prices and Cheap Food Prices for Consumers

Loss ofwelfare (W)

Increase inconsumer surplus (CS)

Increase ingovernment expense (G)

Increase inproducer surplus (PS)

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

pis‘

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

pis‘

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

pis‘

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

pis‘

Consumption and production subsidy

qs‘ qd‘ qs‘ qd‘

qs‘ qd‘ qs‘ qd‘

Ch1: 39/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Welfare Effects of Producer Incentive Prices and Cheap Food Prices for Consumers

Loss ofwelfare (W)

Increase ingovernment expense (G)

Increase inproducer surplus (PS)

Increase inconsumer surplus (CS)

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

pis‘

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

pis‘

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

pis‘

P S

qs Q

pid‘

D

pis=pi

d=pw

qd

pis‘

“Social food policy”

qd‘=qs‘

qd‘=qs‘ qd‘=qs‘

qd‘=qs‘

Ch1: 40/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Discussion

• Should everything be counted in money?

• Do Markets impose a „dollar democracy“?

Ch1: 41/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Literature

Houck, J.P. (1986): Elements of Agricultural Trade Policies. New York: Macmillan, pp. 45-60, 87-93

Pindyck, R.S.; Rubinfeld, D.L. (1998): Microeconomics. 4th. ed. Upper Saddle River: Prentice-Hall, pp. 289-329

Buckwell, A. (1997): Some Microeconomic Analysis of CAP Market Regimes. In: Ritson, C.; Harvey, D.R. (Ed.): The Common Agricultural Policy.Wallingford: CAB International, pp.139-162

Helmberger, P.G.; Chavas, J.-P. (1996): The Economics of Agricultural Prices. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, pp. 203-221

Just, R.E.; Hueth, D.L.; Schmitz, A. (2004): The Welfare Economics of Public Policy. Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, pp. 49-182

Sadoulet, E.; de Janvry, A. (1995): Quantitative Development Policy Analysis. Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, pp. 176-213

*

*

Ch1: 42/42

© Dieter Kirschke, HU Berlin

Questions

1. How can welfare be measured with supply and demand curves?

2. Explain the two different approaches to welfare measurement based on economic activities and economic groups!

3. What are the economic consequences of policies to increase foreign exchange earning? Give an example!

4. What are the economic consequences of policies to increase government revenue? Give an example!

5. Explain the budgetary consequences of various policies to provide producers with incentive prices and consumers with cheap food prices!

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