balkan monitor - hrvatska umorna od eu reformi
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Copyright © 2008 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.EUROPE
Voices of the Balkans:between hope and disenchantment
Robert ManchinGallup Europe
Copyright © 2008 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
What is the Gallup Balkan Monitor?
A multi-year comparative project in 7 countries A stratified random sample of 1000 in each country Fieldwork September-October 2008 Oversampling regions Face to face methodology Comparative questions Dedicated web-page Data dashboard / interactive www.balkan-monitor.eu
2
AL
HR
BIH SRB
KS
MK
ME
Copyright © 2008 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved. 3
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Emotional energy in new countries vs. BiH and Croatia
4
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Strong feelings: Identification with “own country”
(% very & extremely strongly)
5
65
58
33
76
61
65
52
4279
1051
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% of people who can not identify at all or only a little
with “Balkans”
6
60
34
41
47
10
23
21
32
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Less emotional strength in identification with “Europe”
(% very & extremely strongly)
7
26
2215
67
49
35
25
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Staying home or moving elsewhere?
Ideally, would you like to move (permanently or temporarily) to another country, or would you prefer to continue living in [COUNTRY/ENTITY]?
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Subjective momentum – getting better or worse
9
Development of standard of living
5947
36 34 32 3124
25
28
38 4442 40
44
1522 25 20 25 28 31
Kosovo Montenegro Albania BIH Macedonia Serbia Croatia
Getting better Getting worse The same DK/NA
Right now, do you feel your standard of living is getting better or getting worse?
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Corruption – getting around, finding solutions
10
48
39
34 32
2723
20
33
28
2125
1815
13
27 27
1311
16 17
11
Montenegro BIH Serbia Croatia Kosovo Albania Macedonia
To use relations To give small gifts To give money
In order to help your child to get into a good school, is it acceptable....
And in order to help your child to get into a good school is it acceptable ...% acceptable
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Organized crime – popular pressure is particularly high in Croatia
11
Government against organised crime
4938 32 29 25
12 12
3545
4848 58
74 78
16 17 20 2317 14 10
Macedonia Montenegro Kosovo Albania Serbia BIH Croatia
Yes No DK/NA
Would you agree that the government is doing everything in its powers to fight organized crime?
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On the road to the European Union
12
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The majority feels welcomed by the EU
Do you think that the European Commission wants [COUNTRY] to join the European Union?
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No perceived difficulties in the form of popular support of further enlargement…
Do you think that people in the European Union wants [COUNTRY] to join the European Union?
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As Croats get closer to the date see more balanced
costs and benefits
Generally speaking, do you think that [COUNTRY]’s membership of the European Union WOULD BE a good thing, a bad thing, or neither good or bad?
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Croats convinced that personally they would not benefit from the accession
16
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The view of international community
17
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Role of the international community over last 15-20 years
Thinking of the last 15-20 years taking everything into account overall how would you describe the International community’s role in [COUNTRY]?
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Relative (dis)TRUST IN INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS
NATO > EU – Albania, – Kosovo – Macedonia
EU > NATO– Serbia– Croatia – Montenegro– BiH
19
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Deep divisions within Macedonia
20
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In your views what best describes the proceedings of the ICTY?
The reputation of the ICTY in the region
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Satisfaction with government performance
22
Country Government ratings
2414 14
4 2 1 1
31
32 39
23
7
2415
1827
25
27
21
32
34
1623 18
43
67
33 44
114 4 3 4 10 5
Montenegro Macedonia Kosovo Albania BIH Serbia Croatia
Excellent Good Only fair Poor DK/NA
For each of the following levels of government, please indicate how good of a job the government does – excellent, good, only fair, or poor. [COUNTRY] GOVERNMENT
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Majority sees a need for a new Constitution in Bosnia
23
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But they mean different outcomes:
24
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WWW.BALKAN-MONITOR.EU
Thank you and happy browsing:
25
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