bamford wed 845am tus 3and4.pdf
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8/12/2019 BAMFORD WED 845AM TUS 3AND4.pdf
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Holly A. Bamford, PhD
Assistant Administrator
NOAAs National Ocean Service
Cat Modeling 2014: Adapting for Today Preparing for Tomorrow
February 12, 2014
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Outline
Major EnvironmentalRisk Factors
Managing Risk
Building ResilientCommunities &
Economies
Discussion
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Coastal Vulnerability Around the World
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America Was Born on the Coast
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Americans Need Resilient Coasts
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Coastal Communities:Steadily Growing
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52%
of the people on
20%
of the land
39%
of the people on
10%
of the land
National Coastal Population Rpt, 2013
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A Coastal Nation
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Coastal Economies:Vital to U.S. and International Markets
98% of products in U.S reach usthrough ports.
45% of U.S. GDP is generated incoastal shoreline counties.
$6.6 trillion 51 million jobs & $2.8 trillion in wages
Coastal tourism and recreation issignificant portion of U.S. economy.
Beach recreation alone ~$30 billionannually.
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What Does the Future Hold?
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Billion Dollar Disasters: Fact of Life
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Source: NOAA
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Weather-related versus Geophysical Events
Source: Munich RE
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Sea Level Trend: Atlantic City, NJ
Mean Sea Level Trend
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Determining Risk
Probability (Frequency)
Consequ
ence
(L
ife,
Economic,
Politic
al,Habitat,Social)
Chart courtesy of Western Kentucky University
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Public Risk Perception
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Attitudes and Incentives
Source: Global Warmings Six Americas, 2009.
Energy Rebates
Increased Fuel Efficiency
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Managing Risk: Who Pays?
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Sandy: A Turning Point?
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Coastal Intelligence
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Decision Support Tools: Sea Level Viewer
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Decision Support Tools: Sea Level Viewer
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Decision Support Tools: Sea Level Viewer
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Decision Support Tools: County Snapshots
www.csc.noaa.gov/snapshots
Coastal County Snapshot
Uses
Demographics information
Exposure and resilience toflooding (population in/out offloodplain)
Coastal dependent economy
Comparison across counties
Downloads can serve ashandout/ educational tool
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Decision Support Tools: Coastal Change
http://www.csc.noaa.gov/ccapatlas/
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Not Waiting for a Disaster
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Not Waiting for a Disasterto Achieve Better Resilience Today
Digital Coast ResilienceData and Tools
Coastal County Snapshots
C-CAP Land Cover Atlas
Coastal Lidar
SLR and Coastal FloodingImpacts Viewer
ENOWhttp://csc.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/
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We Live in a Built Environment
Multiple Lines of Defense
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Green/Gray Rebuilding Concepts
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Green/Gray Rebuilding ConceptsExample: Visualizing Living Shorelines (CanVis)
http://www.csc.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/canvis
Green/Gray Infrastructure:
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Green/Gray Infrastructure:Working with Nature
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Shared Flood Risk Management:
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Shared Flood Risk Management:Buying Down Risk
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Adaptation Costs of Climate Change Risks
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Change is Here: Time to Act is Now
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