chapter 16: limits to the use of debt 16.1 costs of financial distress 16.2 description of costs...

Chapter 16: Limits to the Use of Debt

16.1 Costs of Financial Distress

16.2 Description of Costs

16.3 Can Costs of Debt Be Reduced?

16.4 Integration of Tax Effects and Financial Distress Costs

16.5 Shirking, Perquisites, and Bad Investments: A Note on Agency Cost of Equity

16.6 The Pecking-Order Theory

16.7 Growth and the Debt-Equity Ratio

16.8 Personal Taxes

16.9 How Firms Establish Capital Structure

16.10 Summary and Conclusions

M&M Assumptions

Homogeneous expectations. Homogeneous business risk classes. Perpetual cash flows: V = CF/r. Perfect capital markets

No market frictions: corporate or personal taxes, issue costs, transactions costs, costs of financial distress.

The Modigliani-Miller Capital Structure PropositionsNO TAX CASE:

Proposition I: VL = VU

Proposition II: rS = r0 +(B/S)(r0-rB)

WITH CORPORATE TAXES:

Proposition I: VL = VU + TCB

Proposition II: rS = r0 +(B/SL)(1- TC) (r0-rB)

MM Theory with Taxes

VL = VU + TCB

implies firms should issue nearly all debt financing.

Extensions personal taxes financial distress costs

Costs of Financial Distress

Bankruptcy risk versus bankruptcy cost.

The possibility of bankruptcy has a negative effect on the value of the firm.

However, it is not the risk of bankruptcy itself that lowers value.

Rather it is the costs associated with bankruptcy.

It is the stockholders who bear these costs.

Costs of Financial Distress

Direct costs Indirect costs Financial distress costs result in an interior

solution in the determination of optimal capital structure.

VL = VU + PV(tax savings)-PV(costs of financial distress)

Costs of Financial Distress

Direct Costs Legal and administrative costs

Indirect Costs Impaired ability to conduct business (e.g., lost

sales) Selfish strategy 1: Incentive to take large risks Selfish strategy 2: Incentive toward

underinvestment Selfish Strategy 3: Milking the property

Balance Sheet for a Company in DistressAssets BV MV Liabilities BV MV

Cash $200 $200 LT bonds $300

Fixed Asset $400 $0 Equity $300

Total $600 $200 Total $600 $200

What happens if the firm is liquidated today?

The bondholders get $200; the shareholders get nothing.

$200

$0

Selfish Strategy 1: Take Large RisksThe Gamble Probability Payoff

Win Big 10% $1,000

Lose Big 90% $0

Cost of investment is $200 (all the firm’s cash)

Required return is 50%

Expected CF from the Gamble = $1000 × 0.10 + $0 = $100

133$50.1

100$200$

NPV

NPV

Selfish Stockholders Accept Negative NPV Project with Large Risks

Expected CF from the Gamble To Bondholders = $300 × 0.10 + $0 = $30 To Stockholders = ($1000 - $300) × 0.10 + $0 = $70

PV of Bonds Without the Gamble = $200 PV of Stocks Without the Gamble = $0

PV of Bonds With the Gamble = $30 / 1.5 = $20 PV of Stocks With the Gamble = $70 / 1.5 = $47

Selfish Strategy 2: Underinvestment Consider a government-sponsored project that

guarantees $350 in one period Cost of investment is $300 (the firm only has $200

now) so the stockholders will have to supply an additional $100 to finance the project

Required return is 10%

18.18$10.1

350$300$

NPV

NPV

Should we accept or reject?

Selfish Stockholders Forego Positive NPV Project

Expected CF from the government sponsored project: To Bondholder = $300 To Stockholder = ($350 - $300) = $50

PV of Bonds Without the Project = $200 PV of Stocks Without the Project = $0

PV of Bonds With the Project = $300 / 1.1 = $272.73

PV of Stocks with the project = $50 / 1.1 - $100 = -$54.55

Selfish Strategy 3: Milking the Property

Liquidating dividends Suppose our firm paid out a $200 dividend to the

shareholders. This leaves the firm insolvent, with nothing for the bondholders, but plenty for the former shareholders.

Such tactics often violate bond indentures.

Increase perquisites to shareholders and/or

management

Can Costs of Debt Be Reduced? Protective Covenants

Debt Consolidation: If we minimize the number of parties,

contracting costs fall.

Protective Covenants Agreements to protect bondholders Negative covenant: Thou shalt not:

Pay dividends beyond specified amount. Sell more senior debt & amount of new debt is limited. Refund existing bond issue with new bonds paying lower

interest rate. Buy another company’s bonds.

Positive covenant: Thou shall: Use proceeds from sale of assets for other assets. Allow redemption in event of merger or spinoff. Maintain good condition of assets. Provide audited financial information.

Integration of Tax Effects and Financial Distress Costs There is a trade-off between the tax

advantage of debt and the costs of financial distress.

It is difficult to express this with a precise and rigorous formula.

Integration of Tax Effects and Financial Distress Costs

Debt (B)

Value of firm (V)

0

Present value of taxshield on debt

Present value offinancial distress costs

Value of firm underMM with corporatetaxes and debt

VL = VU + TCB

V = Actual value of firm

VU = Value of firm with no debt

B*

Maximumfirm value

Optimal amount of debt

The Pie Model Revisited Taxes and bankruptcy costs can be viewed as just another

claim on the cash flows of the firm. Let G and L stand for payments to the government and

bankruptcy lawyers, respectively. VT = S + B + G + L

The essence of the M&M intuition is that VT depends on the cash flow of the firm; capital structure just slices the pie.

S

G

B

L

Pie Again

VT = S + B + G + L = VM + VN

VM= marketed claims = debt and equity.

VN= non-marketed claims = tax liabilities G plus other claimants L such as potential lawsuits or pension fund liabilities.

any change in the size of one piece of the pie must be offset by a change in the size of one or more of the other pieces.

the manager’s objective is to maximize the value of the marketed claims while minimizing the value of the non-marketed claims.

Example

1986: Pennzoil was awarded $10.3 billion from

Texaco by Texas courts because of Texaco’s interference with Pennzoil’s effort to acquire the assets of Getty Oil Co.

Texaco filed for Chapter 11 reorganization in attempt to shield the equity shareholders from this onerous non-marketed claim.

An individual will work harder for a firm if he is one of the owners than if he is one of the “hired help”.

Who bears the burden of these agency costs?

While managers may have motive to partake in perquisites, they also need opportunity. Free cash flow provides this opportunity.

The free cash flow hypothesis says that an increase in dividends should benefit the stockholders by reducing the ability of managers to pursue wasteful activities.

The free cash flow hypothesis also argues that an increase in debt will reduce the ability of managers to pursue wasteful activities more effectively than dividend increases.

Free Cash Flow Hypothesis

The Pecking-Order Theory Theory stating that firms prefer to issue debt rather

than equity if internal finance is insufficient. Rule 1

Use internal financing first. Rule 2

Issue debt next, equity last.

The pecking-order theory is at odds with the trade-off theory: There is no target D/E ratio. Profitable firms use less debt. Companies like financial slack

Growth and the Debt-Equity Ratio

Growth implies significant equity financing, even in a world with low bankruptcy costs.

Thus, high-growth firms will have lower debt ratios than low-growth firms.

Growth is an essential feature of the real world; as a result, 100% debt financing is sub-optimal.

Personal Taxes: The Miller Model The Miller Model shows that the value of a levered firm

can be expressed in terms of an unlevered firm as:

BT

TTVV

B

SCUL

1

)1()1(1

Where:

TS = personal tax rate on equity income

TB = personal tax rate on bond income

TC = corporate tax rate

Personal Taxes: The Miller Model (cont.)

BT

TTVV

B

SCUL

1

)1()1(1

In the case where TB = TS, we return to M&M with only corporate tax:

BTVV CUL

Effect of Financial Leverage on Firm Value with Both Corporate and Personal Taxes

Debt (B)

Val

ue

of f

irm

(V

)

VU

VL = VU+TCB when TS =TB

VL < VU + TCBwhen TS < TB but (1-TB) > (1-TC)×(1-TS)

VL =VU when (1-TB) = (1-TC)×(1-TS)

VL < VU when (1-TB) < (1-TC)×(1-TS)

BT

TTVV

B

SCUL

1

)1()1(1

Integration of Personal and Corporate Tax Effects and Financial Distress Costs and Agency Costs

Debt (B)

Value of firm (V)

0

Present value of taxshield on debt

Present value offinancial distress costs Value of firm under

MM with corporatetaxes and debt

VL = VU + TCB

V = Actual value of firm

VU = Value of firm with no debt

B*

Maximumfirm value

Optimal amount of debt

VL < VU + TCBwhen TS < TB but (1-TB) > (1-TC)×(1-TS)

Agency Cost of Equity Agency Cost of Debt

Managerial Recommendations The tax benefit is only important if the firm

has a large tax liability Risk of financial distress

The greater the risk of financial distress, the less debt will be optimal for the firm

The cost of financial distress varies across firms and industries and as a manager you need to understand the cost for your industry

How Firms Establish Capital Structure Most Corporations Have Low Debt-Asset Ratios. Changes in Financial Leverage Affect Firm Value.

Stock price increases with increases in leverage and vice-versa; this is consistent with M&M with taxes.

Another interpretation is that firms signal good news when they lever up.

There are Differences in Capital Structure Across Industries.

There is evidence that firms behave as if they had a target Debt to Equity ratio.

Observed Capital Structure

Capital structure does differ by industries Differences according to Cost of Capital 2000

Yearbook by Ibbotson Associates, Inc. Lowest levels of debt

Drugs with 2.75% debt Computers with 6.91% debt

Highest levels of debt Steel with 55.84% debt Department stores with 50.53% debt

Work the Web Example

You can find information about a company’s capital structure relative to its industry, sector and the S&P 500 at Yahoo Marketguide

Click on the web surfer to go to the site Choose a company and get a quote Choose ratio comparisons

Factors in Target D/E Ratio

Taxes If corporate tax rates are higher than bondholder tax rates,

there is an advantage to debt. Types of Assets

The costs of financial distress depend on the types of assets the firm has.

Uncertainty of Operating Income Even without debt, firms with uncertain operating income

have high probability of experiencing financial distress. Pecking Order and Financial Slack

Theory stating that firms prefer to issue debt rather than equity if internal finance is insufficient.

Example

EXES is an all equity firm (1,000 shares) r0 = 20% All earnings are paid as dividends. TC=TS=TB=0

Expected Operating Income (EBIT)Probability EBIT

0.1 $1,0000.4 $2,0000.5 $4,200

E(EBIT) = .1(1,000) + .4(2,000) + .5(4,200) = $3,000

Example, continued

a. What is the value of EXES Company?

VU = SU = (EBIT)/r0 = $3,000/.2 = $15,000

b. The president of EXES has decided that shareholders would be better off if the company had equal proportions of debt and equity. He proposes to issue $7,500 of debt at an interest rate of 10%. He will use the proceeds to repurchase 500 shares of common stock.

Example, continued.

i. What will the new value of the firm be?

Since we are in a world with no taxes:

VL =VU= $15,000

ii. What will the value of EXES’s debt be?B = $7,500

iii. What will the value of EXES’s equity be?

SL = VL-B = $15,000-$7,500 = $7,500

Example, continued

c. Suppose the president’s proposal is implemented.

i. What is the required rate of return on equity?

rS = r0 +(B/S)(r0-rB) = .20+(7500/7500)(.20-.10) = 0.30 = 30%

ii. What is the firm’s overall required return?

WACC= (7500/15000)(10%) + (7500/15000)(30%) = 20%= r0

Example, continued

d. Suppose the corporate tax rate is 40%.

i. What is the value of the firm?

VU = SU = (EBIT) (1- TC) / r0 = $3000(1-.4)/.2 = $9,000

VL= VU +TC B =$9,000+ .40*$7,500 = $12,000

Example, continued.

ii. Does the presence of taxes increase or decrease the value of the firm?

Taxes decrease the value of the firm because the government becomes a claimant on the firm’s assets.

iii. How does the presence of bankruptcy costs change the effect of taxes on the value of the firm?

They will further lower the value of the firm.

Example, continued

e. Suppose TB=40% and TS=0.

i. What is the value of EXES?

= $9,000 + [1-(1-.4)(1-0)/(1-.4)]($7,500) = $9,000

The debt no longer adds value.

V VT T

TBL U

C S

B

[( )( )

]11 1

1

Example, continued.

ii. Under the Miller model, what will happen to the value of the firm as the tax on interest income rises? (TB=55%)

VL= $9,000+[1-(1-.4)/(1-.55)]($7,500) = $6,500

Summary and Conclusions Costs of financial distress cause firms to

restrain their issuance of debt. Direct costs

Lawyers’ and accountants’ fees Indirect Costs

Impaired ability to conduct business Incentives to take on risky projects Incentives to underinvest Incentive to milk the property

Three techniques to reduce these costs are: Protective covenants Repurchase of debt prior to bankruptcy Consolidation of debt

Summary and Conclusions Because costs of financial distress can be

reduced but not eliminated, firms will not finance entirely with debt.

Debt (B)

Value of firm (V)

0

Present value of taxshield on debt

Present value offinancial distress costs

Value of firm underMM with corporatetaxes and debt

VL = VU + TCB

V = Actual value of firm

VU = Value of firm with no debt

B*

Maximumfirm value

Optimal amount of debt

Summary and Conclusions If distributions to equity holders are taxed at a lower effective

personal tax rate than interest, the tax advantage to debt at the corporate level is partially offset. In fact, the corporate advantage to debt is eliminated if (1-TC) × (1-TS) = (1-TB)

Debt (B)

Value of firm (V)

0

Present value of taxshield on debt

Present value offinancial distress costs Value of firm under

MM with corporatetaxes and debt

VL = VU + TCB

V = Actual value of firm

VU = Value of firm with no debt

B*

Maximumfirm value

Optimal amount of debt

VL < VU + TCB when TS < TB but (1-TB) > (1-TC)×(1-TS)

Agency Cost of Equity Agency Cost of Debt

Summary and Conclusions

Debt-to-equity ratios vary across industries. Factors in Target D/E Ratio

Taxes If corporate tax rates are higher than bondholder tax

rates, there is an advantage to debt. Types of Assets

The costs of financial distress depend on the types of assets the firm has.

Uncertainty of Operating Income Even without debt, firms with uncertain operating

income have high probability of experiencing financial distress.

The Bottom Line

The validity of the MM propositions depend on the nature and degree of market imperfections. Some market imperfections are important:

corporate and personal taxes, agency costs, and other costs of financial distress.

There is a target debt-to-equity range for most firms. A safe strategy is to stay close to the industry

average since these firms represent the survivors.