co2 climate alarmism debunked by mathematics claes johnson kth
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CLIMATE MATHEMATICS
CO2 CLIMATE ALARMISM DEBUNKED BY MATHEMATICS
Claes Johnson KTH CENSORS OF SCIENCESCIENTIFIC JOURNALSSCIENTIFIC SOCIETIES(INTER) GOVERNMENTAL INST.MEDIAWIKIPEDIACLIMATE SCIENCE: POLITICAL CORRECTNESS
KTH-GATE: MATH BOOK BURNED 2010HELP FROM ROYAL SWEDISH ACAD of SCIENCESHOSTED CLIMATE ALARMIST NOBEL SYMP 2011SCIENCE: EXPERT KNOWLEGDEONLY PHYSICIST CAN UNDERSTAND PHYSICSONLY PRIEST CAN UNDERSTAND RELIGION
PHYSICS MADE IMPOSSIBLE TO UNDERSTAND
MODERN PHYSICS: IRRATIONAL AFTER 1900CLASSICAL PHYSICS: RATIONAL BEFORE 1900
FAUSTIAN DRAMA: SELL SOUL FOR POWERBOOK: DR FAUSTUS OF MODERN PHYSICS ATMOSPHERE: AIR CONDITIONER
AIR CONDITIONER: HEAT PUMP
HEAT PUMPTHERMODYNAMICS + RADIATION
NAVIER-STOKES + RADIATIVE TRANSFER EQ
2ND LAW of THERMODYNAMICSBLACKBODY RADIATIONSTABLE SYSTEMHEATSCOOLS
MAINTAINS TEMPERATURE NO RUN AWAY EFFECTS
SMALL FORCING SMALL EFFECTDOUBLED CO2 SMALL FORCING
BACKGROUND CJComputational Mathematics Finite Element Methods Computational Fluid Dynamics: Turbulence Computational Thermodynamics: 2ND LAW Computational Blackbody Radiationbooks, articles, knols, blog,
Chalmers, KTH, UChicago,ICIHighlyCited, Humboldt Prize
TURBULENT FLOW: DRAG
SECRET OF FLIGHT: LIFT + DRAG
BEGINNING STALL AOA = 14
JOULE EXP 1845: VELOCITY T = 6
JOULE EXP: TEMP T = 12
JOULE EXP: TURBULENT DISSIPATION
DENSITY + TEMPERATURE: GAP LEFT RIGHT
STATISTICAL MECH: NO GAP: WRONGCOMPUT MECH: SPEC. GAP: CORRECTMAIN RESULTSRESOLUTION DALEMBERTS PARADOX 1752NEW THEORY OF FLIGHTDETERMINISTIC 2ND WITHOUT ENTROPY:KINETIC, HEAT ENERGY, WORK + TURB DISSIPATION
FINITE PRECISION COMPUTATION: ANALOG vs DIGITAL
COMPUTATION OF TURBULENT FLOWMEANVALUES COMPUTABLEMONTHLY MEAN VALUE PREDICTABLE OVER YEARSDAILY TEMPERATURE UNPREDICTABLE OVER WEEKSREFORM OF MATH EDUCATION: BODY&SOUL
2ND LAW WITHOUT ENTROPYE = HEAT ENERGYK = KINETICS ENERGYW = WORKD = TURBULENT DISSIPATION > 0
dK = W D, dE = - W + D, dK + dE = 0
W > 0 EXPANSION, W < 0 COMPRESSIOND > 0 IRREVERSIBLE: FROM K TO ETWO TOPICSCLIMATE SENSITIVITY:CHANGE OF TEMP UNDER CHANGE OF HEAT FORCING
BACKRADIATION:UNPHYSICAL FALSE STEFAN-BOLTZMANNNOT IN PHYSICS LITERATURE
CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
GLOBAL CLIMATETOA TEMPERATURE AT 5 KM: -18 CEFFECTIVE OUTGOING RAD. = 235 W/m2= INSOLATION X ALBEDO = 235 W/m2
OBSERVED LAPSE RATE = 6.5 C/KMOBSERVED SURFACE TEMPERATURE = + 15 C
CHANGE: TOA ALTITUDE + LAPSE RATE CLIMATE SENSITIVITY: CO2 ALARMISMNO FEED-BACK STEFAN-BOLTZMANN: 1 C
LINEARIZED SB: dQ = 4 dT
RADIATIVE FORCING FROM DOUBLED CO2 = 4 W/m2
WITH FEED-BACK: 3 - 4 C
ATMOSPHERIC CLIMATE SENSITIVITY ATMOSPHERE EFFECT = 33 C (288 255 K)
DOUBLED C02 = 1% CHANGE OF ATMOSPHERE
1% OF EFFECT = 0.4 C
OBSERVATION: 0.4 CVARIATION OF TEMP VS INSOLATIONDAILY, SEASONAL, REGIONAL,dQ = 10 dT
IDSO, LINDZEN, SPENCER,
IPCC: 4 C: FACTOR 10??
YEARLY VARIATION STOCKHOLM
DIURNAL + YEARLY VARIATIONBASIC MODEL: C dT/dt = F(t) Lambda T
SENSITIVITY: S = 1/Lambda
DETERMINE C + S FROM MEASURED T(t) + F(t)
DIURNAL + YEARLY: S < 0.1 IPCC S = 1: 10 TIMES BIGGER.
PHASE LAGLARGE: 1/4 PERIOD: Lambda SMALLSMALL: 1/8 PERIOD: Lambda LARGE + S SMALL
OBSERVATION: SMALL:DIURNAL: 3 HOURS: SMALLYEARLY : ONE MONTH: SMALL
RADIATIVE FORCING: FACTOR 4
RADIATIVE FORCING = DIP IN THE SPECTRUM = 4% OF TOTAL AREA
DOUBLED C02 = 10% CHANGE OF WIDTH OF DIP = 0.4% OF TOTAL 250 = 1 W/m2
IPCC = 4 W/m2 = 4: FACTOR 4THE IPCC TRICK: + 3 CRADIATIVE FORCING dQ = 4 W/m2 = 6.3 LOG(2) W/m2 = AD HOC FORMULA4 TIMES TOO BIG VS OBSERVATION
NO-FEEDBACK SENSITIVITY dQ = 4 dTdT = 1 CONLY A DEFINITION; NOT ANY REALITY
FEED BACK dT = 3 C = CLIMATE SENSITIVITY
BACKRADIATION
BACKRADIATIONATMOSPHERE to SURFACE 330 W/m2SURFACE INSOLATION = 170 W/m2
GROSS SURFACE INFLUX = 500 W/m2
NET FLUX EXCHANGE = 60 W/m2
FACTOR 10: GROSS FLUX VS NET FLUXCLIMATE SENSITIVTY: REAL vs FICTIONOBSERVATION = 0.4 C
BY DEFINITION SB = 1 C SIMPLISTIC RADIATION MODELSAYS NOTHING ABOUT REALITY
IPCC FEED BACK = 4 C INFLATION FACTOR = 10
HOW TO MAKE SMALL BIGA BIG LIE MORE CREDIBLE THAN SMALL LIEIPCC FACTOR 10CLIMATE SENSITIVITYPERTURBATIONS OF HEAT FLUX
PERTURBATIONS OF NET FLUX
PERTURBATIONS OF GROSS FLUX??FACTOR 10??
1 = 10 - 91% of 1 = 0.01
1% of 10 = 0.1
FACTOR 10MATHEMATICAL ANALYSISBACKRADIATION
2ND LAW THERMODYNAMICS
FACTOR 10?MATH-PHYSICS-REALITYREAL PHYSICS: ANALOG COMPUTATION
SIMULATION: DIGITAL COMPUTATION
FINITE PRECISION COMPUTATION DETERMINISTICUNDERSTANDABLE
STATISTICAL PHYSICSNOT UNDERSTANDABLENON-PHYSICAL 2ND LAW: TURBULENT DISSIPATIONSMOOTHING-DECREASE DIFFERENCE-AVERAGEDIFFUSION: HEAT CONDUCTION DETAILS LOST: FINITE PRECISIONTURBULENCE
NO BACK-CONDUCTIONNO BACK-RADIATIONUNSTABLE UNPHYSICAL:
IRREVERSIBLE: DIRECTION OF TIME
2ND LAW: BURNING BOOKS IS EASY
2ND LAW: CATABOLIC FINE IMAGE TO COARSE IMAGE: POSSIBLEJPEG
COARSE IMAGE TO FINE IMAGE: IMPOSSIBLE
BURNING BOOKS EASY WRITING BOOKS DIFFICULT
DESTRUCTION: QUICK AND EASY: CATABOLISMCONSTRUCTION: SLOW AND DIFFICULT: ANABOLISM
2ND LAW:FINITE PRECISIONHIGH FREQ TO LOW FREQ: POSSIBLE
LOW FREQ TO HIGH FREQ: IMPOSSIBLE
WARM HIGH FREQ TO COLD LOW FREQ: POSSIBLE
HEAT FROM WARM TO COLD: POSSIBLEHEAT FROM COLD TO WARM: IMPOSSIBLEBACK-RADIATION UNPHYSICAL, UNSTABLE
FINITE PREC COMPUTATION 2ND LAWDETERMINISTIC 2ND LAWNO STATISTICSUNDERSTANDABLENO BACKRADIATION
BOLTZMANN 2ND LAWSTATISTICSAD HOC NOT UNDERSTANDABLEBLACKBODY OSCILLATOR: LATTICE OF ATOMS (MATTER)RADIATION: ACC. CHARGE gener. EM-LIGHT FORCING: EM-LIGHT
INTERACTION MATTER-LIGHT: FORCE BALANCE
OSC FORCE + RADIATION PRESSURE = FORCINGd OSC ENERGY/dt + RADIANCE = INPUT ENERGYd INTERNAL/dt + OUTPUT = INPUT STATIONARY: OUTPUT = FORCING ENERGY
STUDENT-TEACHERSTUDENT: BLACKBODYTEACHER: FORCING SPECTRUM: LOW TO HIGHSTUDENT ABSORBS ALL BELOW CUT-OFFRE-EMITS ALL BELOW CUT-OFFHEATS UP BY FORCING ABOVE CUT-OFFCUT-OFF INCREASE WITH TEMPERATURECUT-OFF FREQUENCYABSORPTION + RE-EMISSION BELOW CUT-OFFABSORPTION + HEATING ABOVE CUT-OFFWARM HEATS COLDCUT-OFF INCREASE WITH TEMPERATURETRANSFORMATION FROM HIGH TO LOW FREQ
STABLE - PHYSICAL
BACKRADIATION UNPHYSICALBACKRADIATION: LOW FREQ TO HIGH FREQCOLD HEATS WARM UNSTABLE UNPHYSICALVIOLATION OF 2ND LAW
SWING AS BLACKBODYSMALL RADIATION COEFF.FORCING OUT-OF-PHASE WITH OSC VELOCITYFORCING IN-PHASE WITH OSC
SWING + DAMPING = FORCING
PIANO AS BLACKBODYFORCING BALANCED BY OSCPIANO AS ACOUSTIC BLACKBODYFINITE NUMBER OF KEYSSTRING-SOUNDBORD-OUTPUT
STEFAN-BOLTZMANN LAWRADIANCE = R = c T4, T TEMPERATURE
R-NET = c (T4 TB4), TB = BACKGROUND TEMP
PHYSICAL: WARM HEATS COLDONE-WAY NET HEAT TRANSFER
UNPHYSICAL FALSE SBR-NET = c T4 c TB4 = R-OUT R-INR-OUT = c T4R-IN = c TB4 BACKRADIATION
TWO-WAY GROSS HEAT TRANSFER
c T4 c TB4 = c (T4 TB4) ALGBRAICALLY BUT NOT PHYSICALLY
R-IN = R-OUT R-NET: BACKRADIATIONUNPHYSICAL UNSTABLE: COLD HEATS WARM
PYRGEOMETER FICTIONMEASURES R-NET FROM TB AND TDEFINES R-IN = R-OUT R-NET
EXISTENCE BY DEFINITION NOT OBSERVATIONINVENTED TWO-WAY GROSS HEAT TRANSERMEASURING WHAT DOES NOT EXIST
PHOTON - WAVESBACKRADITION: UN-PHYSICALTWO-WAY STREAM OF PHOTONSPRIMITIVE TRIVIAL MODEL
NO BACKRADIATION: PHYSICALONE-WAY NET HEAT TRANSFERTWO-WAY LIGHT WAVESEDUCATED NON-TRIVIAL MODELECONOMY VS NATUREMASSIVE BACKRADITION =MASSIVE TRANSFERS
UNSTABLE TWO-WAY FLOW OF MONEYROTATION OF MONEY UNSTABLE TAX SYSTEM
NATURE HAS NO TAX SYSTEMNATURE ABHORS INSTABILITYNO BACKRADIATIONUNSTABLE TWO-WAY HEAT TRANSFER
HOW TO MAKE SMALL BIG1 = 11 101 SMALL10 BIG
ONE-WAY NET FLOW = 60 W/m2TWO-WAY GROSS FLOW = 500 W/m260 = 500 440INFLATION FACTOR 10: FROM 0.4 C TO 4 C
GLOBAL CIRCULATION MODELSNAVIER-STOKES + RADIATIONTURBULENT (CHAOTIC) SOLUTIONS MEAN-VALUES COMPUTABLE
POSSIBLE PRECISION: 5% ??LONG TIME SHORT TIMEDATA (SUN) MODELING (CLOUDS)THE ONLY THING WE HAVE
CONCLUSIONCO2 ALARMISM based onINFLATED CLIMATE SENSITIVITY based onUNPHYSICAL BACKRADIATION based onUNPHYSICAL FALSE STEFAN-BOLTZMANN LAW
BIGGEST SCIENTIFIC FRAUD EVER?IN FREE FALL: TRAGEDY OF SCIENCESCIENTIFIC FRAUD OF CO2 ALARMISMMANIPULATION OF THEORY:
DEFINITION AS PHYS. FACT: NO-FEEDBACK CLIMATE SENSITIVITY = 1 CFALSE SB LAW WITH BACKRADITION
MANIPULATION OF DATA:HOCKEY-STICK WHY PHYSICISTS SAY NOTHINGDEFINITION AS PHYS FACT COMMON IN PHYSICS: CONSTANCY OF SPEED OF LIGHT BOTH DEFINITION AND PHYSICAL FACT
FALSE STEFAN-BOLTZMANN:PLANCKS LAW NOT UNDERSTOOD BECAUSEPLANCKS PROOF NOT UNDERSTOOD
ABOUT FUNDING:LHC MORE IMPORTANT THAN CO2 ALARMISMBLOGOSPHEREWINDOW OF SKEPTICSIMARENA OF SKEPTICISMCANNOT BE CENSORED
STOPPING CO2 ALARMISMCHANGING SCIENCE
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