commodity ppt
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MANGAL KESHAV
MK COMMODITY BROKERS LTD.
MANGAL KESHAV
Snapshot of Indian Commodity Market
MANGAL KESHAV
Two Major Commodities Exchange in India
MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange)
NCDEX (National Commodities & Derivatives Exchange)
MANGAL KESHAV
Commodities traded on the exchangesAgri Products:
JeeraPepper
Chilli
Turmeric
Guar SeedGuar Gum
Soya bean
Sugar
Maize
Precious Metals:
Gold
Silver
Platinum
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Commodities traded on the exchanges
Base Metals:Copper Nickel
Lead
Zinc
Aluminum
Tin
Energy:Crude oil
Natural Gas
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Other Information
Exchange Timings
Agri Products: 10:00 AM To 5:00 PM
Other Commodities: 10:00 AM To 11:30 PM
Instrument Traded: Futures Contract
Expiry of Contracts : Different for different commodities
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What are Commodity futures?
A Financial Contract
The underlying commodity is bought or sold at a future date
A tool used by Investors, Hedgers, Arbitrageurs, Day Traders
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Why futures trading in Commodities?Portfolio diversification and risk management
Additional investment opportunity
Low cost business
No Transportation, storage, insurance, security charges
Low Margins – High leverage
Intrinsic value of the commodity
Domain knowledge of industry
Hedging/ Arbitrage
MANGAL KESHAV Purpose of Futures Markets
Meet the needs of three groups of future market users
Those who wish to discover information about future prices of commodities (suppliers)
Those who wish to speculate (speculators)
Those who wish to transfer risk to some other party (hedgers)
Those who want to take advantage of price difference in different markets (Arbitrageurs)
MANGAL KESHAV
Commodity Futures Market – ParticipantsHedgersProducers – Farmers
Consumers – Refineries, Food processing companies
Speculators
Institutional proprietary traders
Brokerage houses
Spot Commodity traders
ArbitrageursBrokerage houses
Investors
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Exchange vs. Bilateral TradingExchange Bilateral trading
Common platform for all traders Restricted access
Price transparency Traded prices unknown to other players
Low transaction costs High cost and time consuming negotiations
Absence of counter party credit risk
Counter party credit risk
Market prices available to wider world
Difficulty in price dissemination
MANGAL KESHAV Risks encountered by industry
Price volatility depends on International market movementResults in higher procurement cost reducing operational marginsNo options or tools were available earlier
Directionless market
No control measuresCounter party RiskCredit risk especially during periods of volatile prices
Quantity risk during shortagesQuality Risk
MANGAL KESHAV Benefits…
Investor:
Portfolio diversification and risk managementAdditional investment opportunity
Physical trader:
Low cost businessNo Transportation, storage, insurance, security ChargesDomain knowledge of industry
Traders: Low Margins – High leverageNo balance-Sheet, P&L, EBITDA
Hedging/ Arbitrage
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HedgingPurposeAvoid risk of adverse market movements
RationaleCash and Futures prices tend to move in tandem Converge at close to expiry
Types of HedgesLong Hedge, Short Hedge
AdvantagesLock in a price and margin in advance
DisadvantagesLimits opportunities if prices move favorably
MANGAL KESHAV Types of Hedging
Long Hedge
Hedges that involve taking a long position in futures contract
Appropriate when a company plans to owns certain asset in the futureShort Hedge
Hedges that involve taking a short position in futures contract
Appropriate when the hedger already owns the asset or likely to own the asset and expects to sell it in future
MANGAL KESHAV
Short Hedge - ExampleSuppose:-COPPER producer wants to sell COPPER in future.There is an equal chances of price going up or down.There is a risk if price goes down.
Copper Producer Stock
Expecting/having stock 50000 Kg (50MT) of Copper
Case
If price goes up by Re. 1 Gain – Rs. 50000/-
If price goes down by Re. 1 Loss – Rs. 50000/-
MANGAL KESHAV Short Hedge- Example contd…
Date Spot Future
30th Nov Rs. 280/Kgs Rs. 295/Kgs
30th Nov Buy/Hold Sell
With Hedge (You rule out a loss)
30th Dec Spot Future Net Result
Case 1 - Rs. 270/Kgs
Loss Rs. 10/Kgs
Profit Rs. 25/Kgs
Profit Rs. 15/Kgs
Case 2 - Rs. 305/Kgs
Profit Rs. 25/Kgs
Loss Rs. 10/Kgs
Profit Rs. 15/Kgs
Without Hedge
Case 1 - Rs. 270/Kgs
Loss Rs. 10/Kgs
-- Loss Rs. 10/Kgs
Case 2 - Rs. 305/Kgs
Profit Rs. 25/Kgs
-- Profit Rs. 25/Kgs
MANGAL KESHAV Long Hedge- Example
Scenario of consumer who wishes to lock input prices
There is an equal chances of price going up or down.
There is a risk if price goes up.
Copper Consumer Stock
Wants to buy Copper in future 50,000 Kg (50 MT) of copper
Case
If price goes up by Re. 1 Loss – Rs. 50000/-
If price goes down by Re. 1 Gain – Rs. 50000/-
MANGAL KESHAV Long Hedge - Example contd…
Date Spot Future
30th Nov Rs. 280/Kgs Rs. 295/Kgs
30th Nov Wait till Nov Buy
With Hedge (You rule out a loss)
30th Dec Spot Future Net Result
Case 1 - Rs. 270/Kgs
Profit Rs. 10/Kgs
Loss Rs. 25/Kgs
Loss Rs.15/Kgs
Case 2 - Rs. 305/Kgs
Loss Rs. 25/Kgs
Profit Rs. 10/Kgs
Loss Rs. 15/Kgs
Without Hedge
Case 1 - Rs. 270/Kgs
Profit Rs. 10/Kgs
-- Profit Rs. 10/Kgs
Case 2 - Rs. 305/Kgs
Loss Rs. 25/Kgs
-- Loss Rs. 25/Kgs
MANGAL KESHAV
Advantage MK Commodity BrokersTop Quality ResearchProfessionally qualified analysts with rich industry experienceResearch on Precious Metals, Base Metals and Energy Daily outlook report and trading calls on SMS
Online TradingSingle Screen customized market watch for MCX / NCDEX with BSE / NSE Streaming quotes & intra-day trading calls
Pro-active Relationship Management Relationship management desk Educating clients on commodities futures market.
MANGAL KESHAV
Advantage for ClientsRound the clock operations in commodities tradingIndian commodities market, unlike stock market is open till 11.30 in the night and MK Commodity Brokers Ltd.is all poised to offer round the clock services through its dedicated team of professionals.Better Trading Facility at one place.
State of InfrastructureThe strong IT backbone of Mangal Keshav helps us to provide customized direct services through our back office system, nation-wide connectivity and website.
MANGAL KESHAV
THANK YOU
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