comparing fertility in brazil and mexico: does policy matter? · 2012-12-09 · brazilian women...
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Comparing Fertility in Brazil
and Mexico:
Does Policy Matter?
What motivated this exercise?
• A recent controversy in the Brazilian press
• Previous work with Brazilian census data
• We realized that the 2000 census samples
had a lot in common:
– 10% samples
– date of last live birth
– many other household and individual variables
FOLHA DE SÃO PAULO—Newspaper 23 August 2003
“Back to Fertility” by Drauzio Varella
• One of Brazil’s most pressing problems is the high fertility rate among the
poor. I know this statement is considered politically incorrect among
intellectuals, and it may even get me in trouble, but I’ll spend some words
on it…
• Even in such a modern age as ours in which effective contraception
methods are available, there are still a huge number of undesired
pregnancies among the poor. This difference is so striking that it’s quite
reasonable to ask: Why do policy-makers keep avoiding this issue?
• According to IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics),
Brazilian women holding a bachelor’s degree have a fertility rate of 1.4
(similar to developed countries). On the other hand, among the “illiterate”
women who studied for only one year, the fertility rate is 5.6 (same rate of
Namibia, Africa).
MARIA JOSÉ de OLIVEIRA ARAÚJO—
Coordinator of Woman’s Health, Brazilian Ministry of Health
• Q: What do you think about the return of this debate, linking the control of poverty and criminality with family planning?
• A: I believe it’s an extremely important issue. Many years ago, the women’s movement, along with other social sectors in Brazil—demographers and parliamentarians concerned with women’s health—were able to demystify this link between poverty and the number of children. This relation doesn’t exist because Brazil, in the last 20 years, was one of the countries whose fertility rates fell most rapidly. We are talking about IBGE data, public data. On the other hand, poverty is still a reality; social exclusion is still out there; misery is still out there. So, I believe it is a grave contradiction that social sectors—governmentally-owned or not—re-start the debate over poverty, social exclusion and violence as an issue that requires fertility control!
MARIA JOSÉ de OLIVEIRA ARAÚJO
cont’d
• Q: What would be the role of social movements—specifically the
role of the feminist movement—concerning this topic?
• A: The Women’s Movement and the social movements in general
play a fundamental role. Thanks to the union with forward thinking
sectors of Brazilian society during the 1980’s and 90’s, the women’s
movement has been able to undo this neomalthusian (controlista)
discourse. It is imperative that women return to this struggle once
again, considering the existence of legal tools to do so. Brazil has
signed the Plans of Action of Cairo and Beijing; we have the
constitution and the Federal Law of Family Planning.
• As incredible as it may seem, the women’s movement must
now…look for allies in Brazilian society with which to return to this
debate…
On the Thoughts of President Lula—from his speech,
March 2003
I went to Irma Dulce village in Piaui state, along with Secretaries Emilia Fernandes, Benedita, and Dilma. We visited a poor neighborhood where approximately 70 thousand people live, and in this village, we visited 17 or 18 homes—we entered the house, talked with the people. In all the homes, the women were no more than 21 years old, had two, three or more children, and were without a husband.
I wonder how we can solve such a serious problem—which is no longer a legal problem. It’s a cultural problem, and ultimately, a matter of individual responsibility, for this young lady most likely has not had any sexual education during her childhood, teenage years, and even adult years.
Contrast with respect to FP/RH
services and policies
Mexico: Programs of
SSA, IMSS and
IMSS-Solidaridad for
both insured and
uninsured with
promotion of IUD and
Female Sterilization.
Postpartum, but also
via clinics.
Brazil: Much less
emphasis on the
supply of methods,
restrictions on female
sterilization, especially
postpartum, frustrated
demand, abortion, and
exchange of
sterilization for votes.
What we know already
• Brazil: The TFR in a
municipality is well
predicted by the
degree of
electrification and the
average level of
women’s education.
• Mexico: The use of
female sterilization
and the IUD in a
community is strongly
associated with the
proportion of births
taking place in public
hospitals.
Question we address here
• Within a municipality, will fertility
differentials by economic and social status
be smaller in Mexico than in Brazil?
– So long as the demand for children is
approximately equal between the very poor and
the not so poor in both countries
Data
• 2000 Censuses, 10% (15%) of four states: Piauí, Pernambuco, Guerrero y Veracruz, using individual data on date of last live birth
• Four categories of educational attainment: 0-2, 3-6,7-9, and 10+ years
• Municipal development factor based on the percentage of households with electricity, refrigerators, and TV
• Data on fertility desires from 1996 DHS and 1997 ENADID
PERCENT OF WOMEN WITH CHILD BORN ALIVE LAST YEAR
IN THE POPULATION OF BRAZILIAN AND MEXICAN STATES, 2000
8.67.4 7.5 7.8
19.5
15.0
12.213.5
7.6
4.93.6 3.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
Guerrero Veracruz Pernambuco Piaui
%
15 to 19 years 20 to 29 years 30 to 49 years
PERCENT OF YEARS OF SCHOOLING GROUPS
IN THE POPULATION OF BRAZILIAN AND MEXICAN STATES, 2000
33.2 33.832.7
35.6
21.7 22.4
18.8 18.1
25.9 26.628.3
19.217.3
20.3
25.7
20.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Guerrero Veracruz Pernambuco Piaui
%
0 to 2 years/school 3 to 6 years/school 7 to 9 years/school 7 to 9 years/school
PERCENT OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH SPECIFIC INFRASTRUCTURE
IN THE POPULATION OF BRAZILIAN AND MEXICAN STATES, 2000
82.6 84.7
92.3
59.7
44.6
75.7
65.4
55.9
38.8
53.7
35.439.1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Guerrero Veracruz Pernambuco Piaui
%
Electrification Television Refrigerator
Municipalities variables Guerrero Veracruz Pernambuco Piaui
(n) 76 210 185 221
Electrification
Mean 0.8256 0.8472 0.9227 0.5965
Standard deviation 0.1823 0.1479 0.0813 0.2129
5th percentile 0.4325 0.5611 0.7424 0.1987
25th percentile 0.7554 0.7990 0.9099 0.4620
Median 0.9147 0.8933 0.9455 0.6239
75th percentile 0.9532 0.9391 0.9703 0.7532
95th percentile 0.9775 0.9878 0.9936 0.9232
IQR 0.1978 0.1401 0.0604 0.2911
Women with Recoded Parity "4" by Years of Schooling
and Fertility Preference, Brazilian Northeast - DHS1996
39.332.0
23.8 25.1
71.865.6
60.751.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No more children Sterilized
Women with Recoded Parity "3" by Years of Schooling
and Fertility Preference, Brazilian Northeast - DHS1996
40.427.3 25.0
17.1
78.470.866.5
49.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No more children Sterilized
Women with Recoded Parity "2" by Years of Schooling
and Fertility Preference, Brazilian Northeast - DHS1996
36.3 40.326.1
33.9
50.357.7
37.034.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No more children Sterilized
Women with Recoded Parity "1" by Years of Schooling
and Fertility Preference, Brazilian Northeast - DHS1996
41.9 36.8 41.5 39.4
4.61.9
3.4 2.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No more children Sterilized
Women with Recoded Parity "1" by Years of Schooling and
Fertility Preference, Guerrero/Veracruz (MX) - ENADID1997
13.222.3 18.0
31.3
9.6 1.10.5
2.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No more children Sterilized
Women with Recoded Parity "2" by Years of Schooling and
Fertility Preference, Guerrero/Veracruz (MX) - ENADID1997
44.433.5 32.8 38.4
36.6
29.532.918.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No more children Sterilized
Women with Recoded Parity "3" by Years of Schooling and
Fertility Preference, Guerrero/Veracruz (MX) - ENADID1997
53.3
35.4 40.430.5
64.853.8
45.9
30.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No more children Sterilized
Women with Recoded Parity "4" by Years of Schooling and
Fertility Preference, Guerrero/Veracruz (MX) - ENADID1997
47.639.5
24.9 22.1
74.071.052.041.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No more children Sterilized
Women with 15-19 Years of Age by Years of Schooling and
Ideal Number of Children, Brazilian Northeast - DHS1996
12.23.9 2.7
48.158.9
61.4 58.7
6.5 10.7
1.5
14.39.7
15.4
15.3
13.815.4
15.6 21.2
4.410.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No child 1 child 2 children 3 children 4 children or more
Women with 20-29 Years of Age by Years of Schooling and
Ideal Number of Children, Brazilian Northeast - DHS1996
13.47.4 8.5
41.2 48.554.0 57.7
8.9 4.9
5.1
14.416.0 15.1 14.7
15.517.619.3
14.8
16.27.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No child 1 child 2 children 3 children 4 children or more
Women with 30-49 Years of Age by Years of Schooling and
Ideal Number of Children, Brazilian Northeast - DHS1996
18.6 13.3 11.9
34.336.1 33.2 41.4
23.1 18.0
9.1
9.110.1 12.6
9.7
22.624.417.415.8
22.2 17.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No child 1 child 2 children 3 children 4 children or more
Women 15-19 Years of Age by Years of Schooling and Ideal
Number of Children, Guerrero/Veracruz (MX) - ENADID1997
12.8
43.3
46.7 59.263.8
20.210.7
1.33.3 1.1
12.77.710.3
13.2
18.3
19.6
21.213.2
9.112.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No child 1 child 2 children 3 children 4 children or more
Women 20-29 Years of Age by Years of Schooling and Ideal
Number of Children, Guerrero/Veracruz (MX) - ENADID1997
22.5
7.0
1.72.8 2.2 3.21.9 4.7 9.3
12.6
60.1
57.2
41.638.1
18.324.8
29.1
25.7
31.5
5.8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No child 1 child 2 children 3 children 4 children or more
Women 30-49 Years of Age by Years of Schooling and Ideal
Number of Children, Guerrero/Veracruz (MX) - ENADID1997
30.5
13.9
3.8 2.23.2 3.17.9 4.0
11.2 7.4
22.7
43.644.5
31.2
31.128.2
31.1
18.8
46.9
14.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
No child 1 child 2 children 3 children 4 children or more
Women with 0-2 Years of Schooling by Age Group
and Desire for Last Child, Brazil - DHS1996
43.2 42.227.5
10.7
32.5
56.7
15.9
25.3
46.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
15-19 20-29 30-49
Age Group
%
Wanted then Wanted later Wanted no more
Women with 3-6 Years of Schooling by Age Group
and Desire for Last Child, Brazil - DHS1996
51.9 49.042.3
11.017.8
37.637.1
33.2
20.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
15-19 20-29 30-49
Age Group
%
Wanted then Wanted later Wanted no more
Women with 7-9 Years of Schooling by Age Group
and Desire for Last Child, Brazil - DHS1996
50.7 50.2 47.3
8.616.4
22.3
40.733.5
30.4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
15-19 20-29 30-49
Age Group
%
Wanted then Wanted later Wanted no more
Women with 10 Years of Schooling or More by Age Group
and Desire for Last Child, Brazil - DHS1996
39.5 41.953.4
12.419.2 20.1
26.539.048.1
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
15-19 20-29 30-49
Age Group
%
Wanted then Wanted later Wanted no more
Women by Years of Schooling and Place of Delivery of Last
Child, Brazilian Northeast - DHS1996
74.487.5 84.4
63.1
1.2
3.5 11.3
34.0
23.4
9.0 3.5 2.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
Public hospital Private hospital At home Another place
Women by Years of Schooling and Place of Delivery of Last
Child, Guerrero and Veracruz, Mexico - ENADID1997
46.9 52.5
71.9 68.2
42.934.2
27.818.8
12.5
9.6
4.19.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0-2 3-6 7-9 10+
Years of Schooling
%
Public hospital Private hospital At home Another place Total
Summary of the model specified
FOR EACH OF THREE LARGE AGE GROUPS : 15-19, 20-29, 30-49
Level-1 Model
Prob(Y=1|B) = P
log[P/(1-P)] = B0 + B1*(AGE) + B2*(INDIG) + B3*(CATHOLIC) + B4*(ED0_2) +
B5*(ED3_6) + B6*(ED10_17)
Level-2 Model
B0 = G00 + G01*(GUE) + G02*(VC) + G03*(PE) + G04*(LIGHT) + U0
B1 = G10 + G11*(GUE) + G12*(VC) + G13*(PE) + G14*(LIGHT) + U1
B2 = G20
B3 = G30
B4 = G40 + G41*(GUE) + G42*(VC) + G43*(PE) + G44*(LIGHT) + U4
B5 = G50 + G51*(GUE) + G52*(VC) + G53*(PE) + G54*(LIGHT) + U5
B6 = G60 + G61*(GUE) + G62*(VC) + G63*(PE) + G64*(LIGHT) + U6
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
GUERRERO-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PERNAMBUCO-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
PIAUI-BRAZIL, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
15 16 17 18 19
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS -0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +0.3, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
PREDICTED FERTILITY BY AGE AND YEARS OF SCHOOLING
LIGHT FACTOR EQUALS +1.0, VERACRUZ-MEXICO, 2000
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
AGE
PR
ED
ICT
ED
FE
RT
ILIT
Y
0-2 years/sch 3-6 years/sch 7-9 years/sch 10+ years/sch
Conclusiones
• Drauzio Varela no tiene razón cuando dice
que la fecundidad de mujeres pobres se
asemeja a Namibia
• Estos hallazgos son consistente con la
hipótesis de que programas de SRH
dirigidas a la “población abierta” llevan a
reducir diferenciales
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