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Confronting the challenges of responding to rising demand for higher education and research

CAUBOJune 20, 2005

The fastest growing occupations require the most education

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Natural and Applied Sciences

Professional Occupations in Business and Finance

Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport

Social Science, Education, Government & Religion

Sales and Service Occupations

Health Occupations

Management Occupations

Trades & Transport, Primary, Mfg & Processing

All Occupations

Growth in full-time employment, 1990 to 2004 Proportion with a university degree, 2004

Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, 2004

Provincial operating evenues, when adjusted for inflation, have risen strongly

over the past seven years

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Bil

lio

ns

Source: AUCC using data from Statistics Canada

Expectation / requirement to grow enrolment

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

550,000

600,000

650,000

700,000

750,000

800,000

850,000

Ful

l-tim

e en

rolm

ent

Source: Statistics Canada data and AUCC projections

Universities are using those resources to respond to growing enrolment demand

Almost 130,000 in three years –well beyond halfway to the 2011 projection

Trends projections

Contributions of the last eight federal government budgets to the foundations of university research

Human Resources

Canada Research Chairs

Graduate studies - 4,000 scholarships by 2007-08

Indirect Costs of Research

One-time support (2001)

Permanent support

2003-04 and beyond

InfrastructureCanada Foundation for Innovation

$500 million for research hospitals

Direct Costs of ResearchRestoration of granting agencies funding to1994 level

Annual increases to granting agencies budgets since 1998

Strong signals that PSE is rising on the political agenda

• Major space increases in Ontario, B.C. and Alberta in response to rising demand

• CMEC: Fall 2004 and Spring 2005– Provinces need to address Aboriginal education and PSE

capacity/ infrastructure issues

• Provincial reviews of PSE– NB, Newfoundland and Québec– Rae in Ontario – calls for greater federal investment

• Council of the Federation – “the restoration of higher education as key to our future.”

• Dedicated PSE transfer - Liberal and Conservative conventions• Layton Budget and McGuinty deal

Since 1997, all sectors have increased their investments in university research

Source: Statistics Canada, Estimates of Canadian research and development expenditures

Provincial Governments

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002p 2003p

Mill

ions

of c

onst

ant 2

003

dolla

rs Federal Government

Private Sector

Not-for-Profit Foreign

The majority of recent federal investments in university R&D have been over the last 3 or 4 years – more time is required to realize the returns on these investments

Canada Research Chairs

Beginning offederal reinvestment in research

Canada Foundation for Innovation

Indirect costs – one-time payment

1999-00

$200 $225

GRANTING COUNCILS

CANADA FOUNDATION FORINNOVATION

INDIRECT COSTS

CANADA RESEARCH CHAIRS

GENOME CANADA

Genome Canada

$349

1997-98 1998-99 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04

$13

$27

$683

Total

$59 $103 $146

$114 $325$231$183

$43 $60 $83

$768 $1,314$1,196$1,069$953$868

Total

Millions of current dollars

Source: AUCC estimates

$425

$188

$321

$6,850

$9 B$2,117$1,683$1,603$1,151$982$795$683

$1,231

$2

Indirect costs – permanent program

Support for R&D represents a long-term investment in Canada’s future

“Breakthroughs don’t happen by chance, they happen through sustained and dedicated effort. Research today is the source of new jobs tomorrow.”

Finance Minister Paul Martin, Budget Speech, 2001

“You have to recognize that the more basic the research, the longer-term the payoff is; so if people get into a mindset that you have to get a rapid return on your money, you're just not going to. That's not the nature of research, but it's critically important.”

Industry Minister David Emerson, House of Commons Standing Committee on Industry, Natural Resources, Science and Technology, 2004

“We should not look for short-term payback for that $13 billion we have invested…”

National Science Advisor Dr. Arthur Carty, House of Commons Standing Committee on Industry, Natural Resources, Science and Technology, 2004

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