copyright © 2014 paul m burke 1 on december 10, 2013, six people left lovelock nevada for a day...
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Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke1
On December 10, 2013, six people left Lovelock Nevada for a day trip…
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke2
…they never returned that day
or the next !
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke3
Local searchers looked for two days…The weather reached 20 below zero…
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke4
…then Sheriff Machado asked for technical assistancefrom the Nevada Division of Emergency Management
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Using the VSP Process developed by the Divisionand additional search resources…
The family was located, stabilized, and transported…
Found, and returned home.!
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke6
VIRTUAL SEARCH PLANNING:AID TO RURAL SEARCH OPERATIONS
Paul M BurkeAlaska State Troopers (Ret.)NV State SAR Coordinator
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke7
OBJECTIVES
Ground audience in rural search issues Introduce and define the concept of Virtual
Search Planning (VSP) Examine the process for VSP Identify the software and equipment
necessary for VSP Provide examples of VSP application in SAR Review the use of VSP to given situations and
outcomes
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FACTS BEFORE WE BEGIN…
SAR Operations are based upon limited planning/searching data available at the start of a search.
Of the data available, a certain percentage will be wrong!
Planning effort is not a priority in most initial operations.
Chaos will be a component of initial operations.
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke9
WHAT IS VSP:
Virtual Search Planning: Process of examining known verified facts
surrounding a missing person event Applying subject and statistical behavior data Weather data Technical data (cell /radar forensics, audio, video,
etc) Layered to virtual imaging and terrain analysis
tools Building a logical search plan (IAP) Remote from incident site
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke10
QUESTION TO ALL SEARCH MANAGERS ?
How relevant is the search planning process during the initial operations period of a search for your organization?
ANSWER:
If you do not know where the subject is (true search), the planning response must be as quick and efficient as any other efforts you make!
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Virtual Search Planning
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke
CASE STUDY: SHANE MCNEIL, SEPTEMBER 2010
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BACKGROUND:
16 year old white male, no physical or mental issues Moved to Henderson, NV Spring 2010, from PA. Practiced “extreme hiking”, watched “Man vs. Wild”
religiously, hiked 6-12 miles in summer conditions including 100°+ weather.
Set goal to hike to the Colorado River, swim across, hike through Whites Canyon to Highway, and meet mother at Hoover Dam
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EVENT:
McNeil leaves residence at 0600, 9-25-2010 – Saturday
Stops in Boulder City to refill water bottles @1200 hrs, 9-25-2010 – Saturday
Text message to mother at 1900 hrs, 9-25-2010 – Saturday “I can see the river”, “I’m tired but almost there, have to get down this
canyon”, “meet me at the Hoover Dam at 10” (2200 hrs)
Mother waited at Hoover Dam Visitors Center till 2300 hrs and then called 911 (emergency call)
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MISSION TIMETABLE: 9-25-10 @ 2300 hrs: 911 call 9-25-10 thru 9-26-10, 2300 hrs-0300 hrs: Air search
of river
Home
Boulder CityColoradoRiver
Hoover Dam17 miles/27.4 km
ColoradoRiver
White Canyon
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke15
MISSION TIMETABLE: 9-26 and 9-27-2010 0700-1800: Search of AZ side
and river
Boulder City
ColoradoRiver
White Canyon
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MISSION TIMETABLE: 9-26-10 Cell forensics obtained:
Text messaging shows phone was 3.0 miles from tower at dam
Text indicated he “saw” the Colorado River Coverage was poorly mapped during mission What assumptions made of McNeil at this point?
9-27-10 No clues found (what happened to text/cell data?) Poor Investigation (KFC store in Boulder City)
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke17
MISSION TIMETABLE: 9-28-10:
NV SAR Coordinator learns of search by news report at 1425 hrs.
Contact Made with LVMPD-SAR for any data. Initiated a VSP
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Shane McNeil Search
VIRTUAL SEARCH PLANNING PROCESS
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VIRTUAL SEARCH PLANNING PROCESS
Form Subject Profile: Investigation, Lost Person Behavior data
Establish Search Area: Theoretical ?, Statistical Probability Zone, Subjective, Specific
Plot Cell Forensic Data Locate cellular Tower, Plot 360° circle with 3 mile radius
Conduct “virtual flight” of potential route (Google Earth Pro)
Locate “route of least resistance” Make note of terrain and correlate to “text message” Produce VSP Report with “High POA segmentation” Sent to LVMPD at 1630 hrs…2 Hours after notification!
Copyright © 2014 Paul M Burke20
ANALYSIS:
McNeil did not enter Colorado River Information from text critical to this analysis
McNeil was facing darkness, fatigue, high angle terrain
Boy Scout Canyon was logical route to the river No further text messages
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SEARCH PLAN:
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SEARCH RESULTS:
Footprints of shoe type located in dry wash Tracked to Boy Scout Canyon over edge McNeil found 45 minutes later at bottom of
canyon Deceased, most likely on 9-26-2010. No fractures! Cause of death: Undetermined Manner of Death: Undetermined
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SITE OF INCIDENT
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SITE OF INCIDENT
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PROCESSING THE VIRTUAL SEARCH PLAN
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VSP REQUIREMENTS
Search Planning experience
Reliable intelligence Lost person
behavior data sets Planning /searching
data for incident LPQ data, clue log Great process
Quiet space Computer with
GIS mapping (Google Earth Pro)
MS Office Suite/PPT Apple/Keynote Understanding of
software to be proficient at building product.
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VSP COMPONENTS
Data provided and source Lost Person Behavior data (Koester’s Work, others) Cell Forensic data (all) Radar Track data METAR Data: historical weather for incident DSM IV for any mental condition data Physicians Desk Reference for drug information Vehicle or aircraft specifications Terrain data and flow analysis for subject across
environment Anything else?
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PROCESS…
Gather all data Verify data and source Plot everything: PLS/LKP/IPP, cell data, radar,
PLB Plot Median distances for data set Plot Search area: theoretical, statistical,
subjective, specific Once everything is gathered… then conduct
analysis! “If…, then…” Prepare IAP, Mapping, and distribute as .pdf
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ADDITIONAL PRODUCT INFORMATION FOR CLIENT
Provide the LPB data you have used in this analysis
If your solution is based upon special circumstances, include these in your analysis
Reference all materials to analysis: Tech data, medical data
Prepare delivery as .pdf for distribution across platforms
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CHALLENGES IN VIRTUAL SEARCH PLANNING
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CHALLENGES
Need data link between VSP Planner and client
Does not eliminate the need for a PSC on site due to other requirements
Practice this process and do not experiment, speed is essential!
The product must be simple to understand and provide foundation for decision points. Vague or non-committal analysis helps no one.
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VIRTUAL SEARCH PLANNING CASE HISTORIES
Current Cases documented as VSP: 23Cases solved with VSP: 19 80%+ solution rate
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HARRELL SEARCH, JAN 2014, ARKANSAS
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MARBLE SEARCH, JAN 2014, NEVADA
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VIRTUAL SEARCH PLANNING
Paul M BurkeAlaska State Troopers (Ret.)385 Manciano Way, Reno, NV 895211 (775) 434-4886
Request a Virtual Search: virtualsearchplan@gmail.com
Questions ?
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