defrag 2012: anticipation nation 2020

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Anticipation nationWelcome to the enterprise of 2020Paul MullerChief Evangelist, HP SoftwareTwitter: @xthestreams

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2019?

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“The last time a data scientist was left in charge!…”

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…it wasn’t (entirely) the data scientist’s fault

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The real culprit might have been the king maker of the 1800’s

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Cash hoarding and risk averse

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Bias for short-term

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Monocultures

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Mounting

technical

debt

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“not invented here”

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BYOD BYOx

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Same modelsSame dataSame vendors

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Same result

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The signs were there…(if you new where to look)

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What will matter in 2020?

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Most of us will live in cities

http://www.citymayors.com/statistics/urban_2020_1.html

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Young and old, more people will shape our planet

US Census Bureau

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Global top 10 consuming middle classes

Emerging middle classes will redefine markets

The Emerging Middle Class in Developing Countries, Homi Kharas, Brookings Institution, June, 2011

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Scarce resources will make us resourceful

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We’ll wrestle with security, privacy and openness

Guardian UK, http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2011/mar/02/cctv-cameras-watching-surveillance

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We will build our businesses on dynamic services

0% 1% to 25%

26% to 50%

51% to 75%

76% to 100%

1%

16%

47%

22%14%

Percentage of apps composed of

multiple services in 2020

Q: What percent of your organization’s applications do you expect will be composite by 2020, that is consisting of multiple services built and/or hosted in different environments?

IDG Research Services, IT Executives Vision, conducted for HP, for 2020, May 2012

Dynamic organizations and processes based on human and IT services anywhere

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We will re-imagine computation

What we expectWe will see vast increases in the data we need to manage

• 44x more data in 2020 vs 20091

• 33x more mobile network traffic in 2020 vs 20102

We will see advances in technology

• New computer/storage blocks that enable us to process huge amounts of data in real time

• Advanced software to gain insight across unstructured and structured data

• Application development and IT management software designed for vast processor power

1IDC, The Digital Universe Decade , May 2010, sponsored by EMC Corp. 2UMTS Forum, Mobile Traffic Forecasts 2010-2020, January 2011

IDG Research Services, IT Executives Vision, conducted for HP, for 2020, May 2012

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We will have cognitive systems as partners

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_of_robotics

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Welcome to 2020

Concentrated

Democratized

Connected

Instrumented

Innovative

Always on

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Welcome to 2020

Concentrated

Democratized

Connected

Instrumented

Innovative

Always on

Uncertain

Polarized

Vulnerable

Monitored

Disruptive

Distracted

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Winners?

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Multi-disciplinary and diverse

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Excel at collaborating with suppliers and customers

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LOVE CHANGE!

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From idea to implementation

Strategy

Risk & Compliance

Development

All suffer from “a miracle

happens here” syndrome –

MDM, etc etc

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The secret sauce of enterprise 2020?

Operations

• Governs ultimatevelocity and agility

• Connective tissue between functions

• Killer vs Keepers of the culture

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Boundary spanners

Strategy

Risk & Compliance

Development

ChiefOps

DevOps

SecOpsDataOps

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What about the data scientists?

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ScientistsObserve | Correlate |Model and test

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ArtistsChallenge | Design | Inspire

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Model scientists and data artists Realising parking lot occupancy

can be used to predict sales performance, that’s art

Turning the results into a reliable model, that’s science

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A possible 2020 playbook

People & culture

Different roles – developer, integrators, scientistsDifferent mentality – curious, risk seeker

Different skills - professionals vs experts

Process Collaborative - sharing, borderless

Scientific – hypothesize, model, test & refine

Enabling - Control models, not change

Technology

Massive scale, real-time, distributed

Meaning based, deductive modeling

Declarative, automated, proactively secured

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A collaborative effort to not just imagine the enterprise of tomorrow, but shape it

Participate in the exclusive preview

hp.com/go/enterprise2020#enterprise2020@enterprise20_20

Join the Enterprise 20/20 Community

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Thank You

Paul Muller@xthestreams