food insecurity in the horn of africa john omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)jmomiti@kippra.or.ke nancy...
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Food insecurity in the Horn of Africa
John Omiti (jmomiti@kippra.or.ke)
Nancy Laibuni (nlaibuni@kippra.or.ke)
Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and AnalysisNairobi, Kenya
Widespread Severe Droughts
Seasonal Rainfall to Annual Total (%): 1920 -1980
Source: FEWNET/USGS, 2011
1.Region is severely affected by drought.
2. Rain-fall was below average in all areas.
3.2010/11 being the driest or second driest year since 1950/51.
4.Drought is not a new challenge!
Livestock Systems – Hot Spots
Drought-affected pastoral areas in East Africa ( + urban poor).
Source: FEWNET/USGS,2011
Number of persons affected
People Requiring Humanitarian Assistance
Numbers
% of Population
Kenya 3.75 million
10
Ethiopia 4.8 million
7
Somalia 3.7 million
37
Djibouti 165,000 22Somali Refugees SourceKenya 507,000 UNHCR – August 25, 2011Ethiopia 161,000 UNHCR – August 25, 2011Djibouti 17,800 UNHCR – August 25, 2011UNOCHA estimates that across the four countries the persons in need will increased from 12.4 to 13.3 million
Some Impacts of the crisis
Children under age five
DJIBOUTI
ETHIOPIA
KENYA
SOMALIA
Severe acute malnutrition
2,895 28,233 34,280 190,000
Moderate malnutrition 16,085 n.a 91,202 97,482Source: UNOCHA, 2011
loss of livelihoods
loss of livestock
High food prices
WHAT IS THE ROLE OF THE POLITICAL ECONOMY ???
Response from Governments and Humanitarian Sources
Source: African Union , August 2011
Amount required US$M
Funding to date US$M
Deficit %
Food and Food Aid 986.8 521.1 42
Health and Nutrition 287.4 67.93 76
Water Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH)
117.75 35.97 77
Regional Requirements (US$ million)
Kenya Somalia Djibouti Ethiopia
Amount required US$M
Funding to date US$M
Amount required US$B
Funding to date US$M
Amount required US$M
Funding to date US$M
Amount required US$M
Funding to date US$M
741 357 1.06 408 33 14 398 146
Outlook for the region
Prospects for the Region
Short term Harvest water and grow short-season crops Storage and value-addition technologies for food
crops and livestock feeds. Social Protection Measures (Emergency
Assistance)
Long term Invest in increasing productivity & Regional Trade Control population growth rates Natural resource management Better Management of Food Stocks Good governance and political stability
Thank you
Asante!
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