france and the new arab world
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France and the New Arab World - Speech by Laurent
Fabius (June 27, 2012)
Ladies and Gentlemen,
It is a pleasure to be concluding this most useful seminar on the state of play in the Arab
world in the age of revolutions. My presence here bears witness to the importance that
France attaches to its relations with the Arab world and to discussion with intellectuals,academics and researchers. I commend the quality of your work and thank Professor Gilles
Kepel for organising this seminar and for having so kindly invited me.
On 17 December 2010, when street vendor Mohamed Bouazizi set alight to himself outside
the local municipal office of Sidi Bouzid, no one could know that a shockwave wasforming that would change the Arab world. One and a half years later, with the Muslim
Brotherhoods Mohamed Morsi elected President of Egypt, the most densely populated
country in the region, the face of the region has totally changed. Yes, we are definitelylooking at a new Arab world and France needs to know how it relates to this new world.
To understand the importance of the changes underway, we need to look back a little at
recent history. When the regions states obtained independence in the mid-20th century, the
Arab world was already experiencing a period of political upheaval. Although the stateshad won their independence, the people had not won theirs. Then, as is often the case
following military coups dtat, authoritarian regimes took over with the consent or
complicity of the leading powers. Decades of political status quo followed in the guise ofArab nationalism. Yet the societies continued to move forwards, or in any case to want to,
paving the way for the current upheavals. These changes then form a sort of third era in the
Arab world since independence. In Tunis, Cairo, Damas, Sanaa and Benghazi, the samewatchword can be heard in different forms: dignity karama.
This wind of freedom has changed our Arab and Mediterranean neighbourhood often out of
all recognition, as the Arab Spring has created a striking landscape of contrasts and
uncertainties. In addition to the traditional differences the Maghreb is not the Middle
East, which is not the Arabian Peninsula a new map is emerging.
The regimes in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and Yemen have fallen and their dictators have been
toppled by a unique alliance of young people, the middle class and the armed forces. For
these countries, now is the time after the storm to build a fairer and more stable political,
economic and social order.
In other countries, the ripple effect of the Arab Spring has prompted the authorities to set in
motion a modernisation and democratisation movement. Morocco led the way in this, with
Jordan more or less following in its footsteps. In Algeria, the peoples expectations aresimilar to the rest of the Arab world, and we hope that the new parliament will quickly
implement the reforms called for.
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The Gulf countries Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Kuwait have
become important players on the world stage and major investors. They play a sometimes
decisive role in regional developments, especially in Libya, Syria and Yemen. Behind theirapparent status quo lay societies fashioned by austere Islam, but also an open outlook.
Public debate is surfacing and finding a voice in the press, and even the institutions.
Elsewhere, regimes attached to the status quo have responded to the protest movements
with repression and violence. In Syria, massive repression, the repercussions of thecountrys mosaic of communities and foreign interference have combined to produce a real
humanitarian catastrophe and a risk of destabilisation throughout the region. Lebanon has
borne the brunt of the spillover from this crisis and the situation in the country is verytense. In the south, Palestinian frustration is growing into a powerful force bolstered by an
international outlook and good level of education. And Israel wonders how these changes
will affect its own security.
Lets add to this patchwork landscape the many sources of instability. In Iraq, the
government has come a long way with rehabilitation, but a great deal remains to be done toguarantee the countrys security and cohesion and the protection of its minorities. A
complicated and highly dangerous crisis is brewing in the Saharan-Sahelian region, drivenby many disruptive factors failed states, neglected outlying regions, corruption, all
manner of trafficking, and heavily armed Islamist groups.
Although the Arab Spring has made some spectacular changes, the future still looks fragile
and uncertain. In France and Europe, this uncertainty has prompted mixed feelings inpublic opinion. The democratic ambition has triggered a wave of sympathy, but the risks of
political instability, their economic consequences and growing intolerance are to say the
least raising questions.
In this environment, what are our hopes and fears, and what can we do? These are threequestions Id like to go some way to answering.
France is confident about the changes in the Arab world, because we believe that it is
always preferable to give democracy a chance. So we are confident, but clear-sighted,
because we are aware of the challenges that lay ahead today, tomorrow and in the longterm. It is not in our power to guarantee the success of revolutions and we have no right to
interfere in the political life of sovereign states. Yet, aware of our responsibilities, it is
Frances purpose and duty to actively contribute bilaterally and multilaterally to progresswith democratic, economic and societal transitions.
What are our hopes? The movements underway in the Arab societies are far-reaching and,
as I have already said, complicated. They express expectations of freedom, justice, dignity
and democracy, which are also our own expectations and reflect values traditionally upheldin the world, especially by France. This is why I personally welcomed these movements
right from the early weeks of 2011. And it is why, like many others, I regretted that the
French government at the time failed to seize the moment in this revolutionary dynamic.France or its government in any case was a disappointment in the Maghreb, and this
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disappointment was made all the greater by the stigmatisation of the wave of immigration
occurring at the same time.
The French governments failure to step forward was rooted in the past. For decades,despite all those who knew what the situation was in many Arab countries robbed of
power, human rights flouted, the press gagged, and endemic corruption and unemployment the choice was to support authoritarian and even dictatorial regimes to guarantee stability
in the region. Yet authorities based on fear and repression merely give the illusion ofstability, which inevitably ends up coming apart at the seams.
The great hope raised by the Arab revolutions is one of an Arab world living in peace,
stability and prosperity in democracy and freedom.
I believe this hope is possible. The revolutions have shown us an Arab world attached tofreedom, in search of dignity and looking forward to political and social rights. Where we
have sometimes ourselves given the impression of doubting our democratic values by
settling for the status quo in the Arab world and elsewhere, these revolutions remind us ofthe universality of these aspirations.
I would like to express here my admiration for those trade unionists, human rights activists,
bloggers, students, civilians and also soldiers who have had the courage to rise up against
repression by cruel powers built on corrupt systems. I refer in particular to the selflessactions of those who, in Syria and elsewhere, fight daily at the cost of their own lives.
The movement is now underway. The wall of fear has fallen. For the first time since
gaining their independence, those who were considered more as subjects finally feel like
citizens. Societies in Tunisia, Libya, Egypt and Yemen have shown their will to take their
future in their own hands where many believed them incapable. And in this, they havedisproved the old Western assumption, frequently steeped in colonialism, that there is a
congenital incompatibility between democratic aspirations and the Arab world implyinghere the Muslim world.
In fact, this democratic wave is driven by a universal aspiration that is part of Arab history.
In the first half of the 20th century, the Arab world ushered in a liberal age in countries
where it was possible to establish constitutional and parliamentary practices. Thesedemocratic experiences themselves originated in the 19th century cultural and intellectual
renaissance movements the Nahda. These periods were peppered with powerful popular,
social, patriotic, and largely secular, protests. Todays protests are their heirs in many
ways, even though their forms and scale are not the same.
Far from always being the sign of opposition to other cultures and other values, and
contrary to the misguided prophecies of a fatal clash of civilisations, the Arab revolutions
are actually largely behind a reappropriation of what we all have in common. They are atimely reminder that Islam is in no way incompatible with the democratic ambition.
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So the hope we can have is that the Islamists voted into power will make constructive
compromises in their government, will prove capable of making the transition from
opposition to ruling party, will respect the context in which they were elected, will make asuccess of their countries economic and social development, and will help reduce
extremism.
What are our fears? We fear that, having made so many sacrifices to get into government,
these new authorities may, when the time comes, refuse to hand over the reins to others.We fear that they may not manage to relinquish the culture and practice of monolithism
rooted in years of repression and sometimes underground movements. We fear that their
foreseeable economic and social problems may radicalise them. In short, to put it bluntly,we fear that the ticket they have been given may turn out to be one way with no possibility
of, if not return, at least change.
The immediate situation takes in a whole host of concerns including the electoral processes
in the Maghreb, the rise of radical Islam, the often serious threats hanging over
fundamental rights, especially womens rights, and Syria and Mali.
Many democrats fear that their revolution will be hijacked. In largely conservative
societies, people often look to radical Islam, for one, and the army, for the other. In Islamist
circles, resolute opponents to the multiparty system can be found alongside true democrats.Caught between religious resurgence and societal conservatism, womens rights often
come under attack, as do those of religious minorities.
In Libya, for example, the situation remains unstable and the government is finding it hardto make its mark. In Syria, the carnage continues daily at the order of the chief butcher,
Bashar al-Assad. An estimated 1.5 million people are in need of humanitarian aid. Already,
over 100,000 Syrians have fled their country and are now refugees in Lebanon, Turkey,Jordan and Iraq, a situation threatening these countries balances. In Bahrain, popularprotests and regional security concerns have given rise to a crackdown.
One of the risks is to see a revolution prevented or hijacked, to face huge disappointment
after such high hopes. There is political disappointment in the case of a hijacked
democratic process. Then there is the economic and social disappointment that comes whenrevolutions initially trigger a negative economic impact, especially on tourism and foreign
investment. The revolutions have also rekindled internal tensions in the Arab societies:
social and religious tensions, tensions between modernity and cultural identity, andtensions between conservative societies and their more liberal educated young people. In
Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and the entire Near and Middle East, the historical divide between
Sunni and Shiite itself a long story is a defining element alone.
So can Arab societies resolve their tensions in a civil, pluralist and peaceful manner, in aword, democratically? Or, faced with the risk of conflicts, will they opt for supposed
stability by reinstating authoritarian rule, possibly less stereotypical than the previous
rules, but hardly more democratic? These are just some of the alternative scenarios andquestions that are taking shape.
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Personally, I believe that being over-pessimistic would be just as inappropriate today as
being over-hopeful about a swift transition to Western-style democracy might have been
yesterday.
We should never forget that all democratic processes are necessarily long term, with
advances and setbacks, momentum and hurdles, and doubts following promises. The courseof revolutions is never totally linear. In our own history, the Restoration followed the
French Revolution. After 1848 came the Second Empire. And after the Commune of 1871came the Ordre Moral period, marked by religious resurgence. Nowhere has democracy
ever come about in a day.
And I would add that there is no one democratic model, that it is up to each country tobuild the model best for itself. Political formulas should be tried out consider Turkey
that combine traditions with new forms of participation, specific references with universal
principles.
With hopes and fears mixed, what can we do? This is my third question, and one which agovernment needs to answer. In the face of such a complex and ambivalent situation,
France as a neighbour, friend and historical partner has a responsibility to be
supportive. Yet it is also in our interest to defend. The Arab world is our neighbour, and
everything that happens there has direct consequences for us. From an economicstandpoint, the Arab worlds stability, in view of its resources, is a decisive challenge.
There is no other reasonable choice for us than to work for the stability, peace, security and
economic development of these key partners.
We will do so while upholding four major principles: rejection of the use of violence
against the people, defence of fundamental rights, respect for the multiparty system and the
rights of minorities, and the need for extensive reforms to meet the peoples economic andsocial needs.
In the short term, our priorities are dictated by emergencies. In Syria, the ongoing bloody
crackdown claims new victims every day. France is actively working to put an end to the
violence. On Monday, we decided with our European partners on a new raft of sanctions to
step up pressure on the regime. Talks are continuing, particularly among the SecurityCouncils permanent members, to find a way to implement the Annan plan. This calls for
firm action from the Security Council, possibly via a resolution under Chapter VII. France
has invited more than 150 states to a meeting of the Group of Friends of the Syrian Peoplein Paris next week. Our purpose is to support the opposition and prepare for the political
transition, because Bashar al-Assad must go.
The situation in Mali, and the Sahel in general, is another emergency. If we do not take
action, northern Mali could turn into a permanent haven for terrorists. So we are workingactively here too on restoring security and constitutional order. We are supporting the
efforts of the African Union, ECOWAS, Europe and the United Nations to foster security
and development. Mediators are at work and security assistance is being prepared. Theresponse to the terrorist threat calls for regional co-operation to halt these dangerous and
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highly mobile groups. France is working on initiatives for this in support of the regional
initiatives and the legitimate local authorities. Iran remains a serious concern for us.
Naturally, this great country has the right to use nuclear energy for civil purposes. But itspossession of a nuclear weapon would bring with it serious risks of proliferation and would
destabilise the region. This is a major challenge for us all as it is for the neighbouring
countries, especially Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar. We are continuingto work with these countries and Security Council members to get Iran to agree to comply
with its international obligations.
We are also keeping a close eye on the situation in the Middle East, where it is vital to
resume the peace process to bring stability and peace to the new Arab world. Thechanges at work in the region have raised new expectations among the Palestinians, which
could change the conditions for Israels security. It is in no way given that we should fail to
make progress toward a resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, a potential source ofradicalism in Muslim societies. We cannot really expect to make much progress in the run-
up to the American elections. Yet we do need to pick up the initiative again, since the right
to a viable Palestinian state and the security of Israel is not some abstract mantra. It is apressing need for the world, the entire region and France.
In the medium term, France means to support democratic transitions wherever they are
launched. There is no better guarantee of peace and stability than democracy. This principle
in a break with certain practices in the past should form the backbone of ourengagement. We will support both the democratic potential of the Arab revolutions and the
expressed will to establish political participation. We will stand by the peoples who aspire
to democracy.
This principle naturally raises the question of method. A desire for emancipation from
anything remotely resembling domestic or foreign oversight permeated both the initialspark and the driving thrust of these revolutions. It is up to each of these societies to find
their own way and no one especially not a third country can do it for them. So we willsteer away from any paternalism, even, if I may use the expression, pro-revolutionary
paternalism.
Yet we will be pragmatic and firm. France is proactive in recognising the legitimacy and
diversity of democratic representations and in talking to those who head them. It would beabsurd, wouldnt it, to be more particular about the democratic processes underway than
we were about the old dictatorships in the past? And it would be just as absurd to refuse to
speak to legitimate, elected authorities when we talked to dictators in the past. At the same
time, we need to stand firm on our values and be clear-sighted about events. France willuphold its freedom of judgment and will speak up if and when it feels it should. Yet we
will do so with our eye on the fact that democracy also implies respect for two great
principles:
Firstly, the fundamental freedoms equality before the law, freedom of expression,
womens rights and minority rights are inviolable. We will pay particularly close
attention to respect for women. It is a question of dignity, but also progress for society as a
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whole. If the Arab world is to have every chance on its side, it needs to give women their
rightful place.
Secondly, no society can be free without the possibility of alternation of power and amultiparty system. So we will condemn any attempts to hijack power and restrict
democratic rights. Respect for a multiparty system is especially vital since Arab societiesare often ethnically and religiously diverse. The rights of minorities must be protected.
Our priority will be to support the new citizenry by speaking to societies rather than purelygovernments. We will also need to talk to the democratic movements, associations working
to defend rights, especially womens rights, and movements working for education, culture
and economic development. This support covers more than just diplomacy. It will go muchfurther than that. We mean to see all number of student exchanges, meetings of
intellectuals and academics, discussions among associations, and forums for business and
business heads at all levels making the most, in the Maghreb at least, of our societies
strong interconnections.
Broadly speaking, the democratic transitions will be all the more viable if they manage to
meet the real, human and potentially explosive economic and social expectations. The
revolutions have exposed massive needs in the Arab societies: access to common goods for
all, fair redistribution of wealth, better living conditions, and economic development. It is awell-known fact that youth unemployment is one of the main catalysts of the Arab
revolutions and one of the major threats to what follows. In Tunisia, for example, the
unemployment rate for young graduates is way over 30%. Growth would have to post atleast 5% to absorb all the new labour market entrants every year. This is not, or not yet to
this extent, the case.
In this economic and social sphere, we and Europe can and must strongly support thechanges underway. It is their future and ours that is at stake here. Youth employment,education and training, regional development, productive investment, eradicating
inequalities and environmental protection: meeting these needs is vital for the future of the
Arab societies. What is at stake for us is the stability of the entire region, the future ofmobility between the two Mediterranean shores, the future of our trade, and the future of
the French-speaking world. Our futures are clearly linked. As you know, the President of
the French Republic, Franois Hollande, has made youth, justice and growth the threepriorities of his stimulus policy for France. Significantly, these priorities are in a slightly
different, albeit similar way the self same priorities espoused by the Arab Spring.
We are therefore naturally converging toward a mutually supportive approach across the
two shores of the Mediterranean. Youth, justice and growth should be the core focuses ofthe Euro-Mediterranean partnership we hope to build. I emphasize youth in particular,
which implies a priority for education and vocational training in addition to culture and
academic exchanges. The recent repeal of the notorious, shocking Guant circular[restricting non-EU graduates right to work in France] came as a first welcome sign for
France to demonstrate its ambition to be a smart power by contributing to the training of
the leaders who will build the Arab world of the future.
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These priorities also form part of a long-term vision: we want to help build a sort of major
Euro-Mediterranean entity, as a significant asset for Europe and the Arab world in this
globalised world. We will need the right tools to do this, which means taking stock of thestate of play and making the necessary changes and adjustments.
The Union for the Mediterranean was based on a noble, but clumsy ambition. It wasprobably unrealistic to want to involve both shores of the Mediterranean in a rigid union
that wilfully glossed over any differences, disagreements and even conflicts on theseshores. And the choice of Mr Mubarak and Ben Ali as figureheads did not demonstrate
keen foresight. The ambitious UfM did not make it past the first hurdles. Yet we should
make the most of its secretariat, which has proved its worth, and manage concrete co-operation projects.
Rather than reworking the institutional project, I believe in the variable geometry method
of co-operation to bring together countries willing to work on given projects. We need a
range of formats to meet the diversity of situations and to implement concrete co-operation
projects now. We need to see to it that the Deauville Partnership keeps its promises tofinancially support the economic and social development of the transition countries. France
shares a special responsibility with the Maghreb countries. As neighbours, we should worktogether to build an area of co-operation and trade between the two shores. Yet it is also
vital for Europe as a whole to be part of the partnership with the Arab world. This is why
France will assertively promote this Mediterranean priority to our European Union partnersin keeping with the original spirit of the 1995 Barcelona Conference.
In this project, we will also need to be resolute regional integration players since we know,
as Europeans, the benefits that peace can bring. The Arab Maghreb Union can be revived
on the strength of warmer relations between Algeria and Morocco and a strong Tunisian
will. Beyond the Mediterranean rim, the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of theGulf (CCASG) is coming into its own. The EU regularly dialogues with the Council. We
should take this further and engage in a real partnership.
Ladies and Gentlemen, the new Arab world is here. It is a diverse, sometimesdisconcerting world full of advances and setbacks. Yet it speaks for the most part the
language of freedom, which we hear loud and clear in our country. This is fortunate for
France, whose language was, and could still be, as Jacques Berque put it in 1956, theHellenism of the Arab peoples. And I proudly use the words of this great Arabist, spoken
at a time when Frances position with the Arab peoples was much more sensitive, to
illustrate what this new Arab world means to France today. It is, he said, our duty to
contribute to young freedoms, if only to make room for ourselves there. The audacity ofproclaiming the future of the French-Arab thing at a time when many, among others and
among ourselves, are destroying it, seems paradoxical. I support this paradox...
And I, too, support this paradox: the prospect of independence yesterday finds a resoundingecho today, with the Arab uprisings seen as an extension of the struggles of fifty years ago.
This Arab spring, this spring, threatened in some cases with autumn and winter, reminds us
of the close bonds between us. Millions of our compatriots families are from this part of
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the world. In the Maghreb countries, our language is spoken daily alongside Arabic at
many levels of society. History and our co-operation have given us an image of a nation
with a liberating culture. Our countrys traditional stands for the legitimate rights ofpeoples, despite some lapses, have brought us lasting friendships. We should nurture these
friendships, rekindle them in some cases, make good use of them too, and be worthy of
them always.
Despite some dark moments in the past, our history with the Arab world is essentially ashared history. The Arab revolutions are writing a new page in this historical association
with France as a smart power. We have a duty to write it together in friendship and
partnership with the Arab peoples and to turn the Mediterranean into a flourishing area ofcooperation and mutual benefit.
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