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JOHNSON COUNTY, KENTUCKY SECTION 202 PROJECT
SUPPORTING DOCUMENTATION FOR THE COST ESTIMATE
VOLUME 5: PROJECT COST ESTIMATE
DECEMBER 2019
U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS LOUISVILLE DISTRICT
Johnson County, KY Volume 5 Section 202 Project Cost Estimate
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION..................................................................................................... 1
2 REFERENCES .......................................................................................................... 1
3 PROJECT FEATURE ACCOUNTS AND ASSOCIATED SCOPE ................... 1
3.1 (01) LANDS & DAMAGES .................................................................................................................. 13.2 (02) RELOCATIONS ............................................................................................................................ 13.3 (06) FISH & WILDLIFE FACILITIES .................................................................................................... 23.4 (11) LEVEES & FLOODWALLS ............................................................................................................ 23.5 (15) FLOODWAY CONTROL & DIVERSION STRUCTURES ..................................................................... 43.6 (18) CULTURAL RESOURCES.............................................................................................................. 53.7 (19) BUILDINGS, GROUND & UTILITIES ............................................................................................. 53.8 (20) PERMANENT OPERATING EQUIPMENT ........................................................................................ 63.9 (30) PLANNING, ENGINEERING, AND DESIGN ................................................................................... 63.10 (31) SUPERVISION AND ADMINISTRATION ................................................................................... 6
4 METHODOLOGY ................................................................................................... 6
4.1 GENERAL .......................................................................................................................................... 6 4.2 COST METHODOLOGY ....................................................................................................................... 7 4.3 DIRECT COSTS .................................................................................................................................. 7 4.4 INDIRECT COSTS ............................................................................................................................... 8
5 TOTAL PROJECT COST SUMMARY ................................................................. 9
ATTACHMENT A.......................................................................................................... 11
ALT 2 (RECOMMENDED PLAN) & ALT 3 MII REPORT............................................................................... 11
ATTACHMENT B .......................................................................................................... 16
RECOMMENDED PLAN CSRA ........................................................................................................... 16
ATTACHMENT C.......................................................................................................... 22
ALT 2 (RECOMMENDED PLAN), ALT 3 & ALT 4 (NON-STRUCTURAL) TPCS ............................................ 22
ATTACHMENT D.......................................................................................................... 29
ANNUALIZED COST SUMMARY ................................................................................................................. 29
ATTACHMENT E .......................................................................................................... 30
OPERATION & MAINTENANCE COST SUMMARY ....................................................................................... 30
ATTACHMENT F .......................................................................................................... 34
MAJOR REHAB CALCULATION .................................................................................................................. 34
ATTACHMENT G ......................................................................................................... 35
CONSTRUCTION SCHEDULE ...................................................................................................................... 35
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1 INTRODUCTION
This section of the report details the preparation of the cost estimate, which contains all appropriate feature accounts, and the development of the implementation schedule for the project.
2 REFERENCES
• ER 1110-1-1300, Cost Engineering Policy & General Requirements, 26 Mar 1993.
• ER 1110-2-1302, Civil Works Cost Engineering, 15 June 2016. • EI 01D010, Construction Cost Estimates, 1 Sept 1997. • ER 1110-2-1150, Engineering & Design for Civil Works Projects, 31 Aug 1999. • ER 37-2-10 Change 89, Accounting And Reporting – Civil Works Activities, 31
Oct 2000. • EC 11-2-187, Corps Of Engineers Civil Works Direct Program: Program
Development Guidance – Fiscal Year 2009, 30 Mar 2007. • EP 1110-1-8 Volume 2, Construction Equipment Ownership and Operating
Expense Schedule – Region II, July 2007. • EC Bulletin No 2007-17, Application of Cost Risk Analysis Methods to develop
Contingencies for Civil Works Total Project Costs, 10 Sep 2007. • EM 1110-2-1304, Civil Works Construction Cost Index System (CWCCIS), 31
Mar 2008. • EC 1105-2-410, Review of Decision Documents, 1 July 2008—DRAFT • ETL 1110-2-573, Construction Cost Estimating Guide for Civil Works, 30 Sept
2008.
3 PROJECT FEATURE ACCOUNTS AND ASSOCIATED SCOPE
3.1 (01) LANDS & DAMAGES • This feature account covers all costs associated with Real Estate, including lands,
easements, rights of way, etc. The cost estimate for this account was provided by the Real Estate PDT team member and inserted into the MII estimate and TPCS. More information can be found in the RE appendix/tab.
3.2 (02) RELOCATIONS • This feature account covers the relocations of existing utilities impacted by this
project. The types and scope of relocations included in this cost estimate are outlined in the table below:
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Utility Relocations and Floodwall and levee penetrations.
Gas Line Diameter 2" 3" 4" 6"
Relocation Length 1,390 650 # of Penetrations 1 2 4 1
Water Line Diameter 6" 8" 10" 12"
Length 500 300 450 375 # of Penetrations 1 2 0 6
Sanitary Sewer Line Diameter 6" 8" 10" 14"
Length 800 990 # of Penetrations 0 5 2 2
Storm Sewer Diameter 24" 30" 60"
Length 797 220 570 # of Penetrations 13 3 5
Power Voltage Low Med High
Poles Relocated 6 5 3
• Also included is the repair/reconstruction of River Rd, which is on the south side of Paint Creek and is assumed to be damaged during construction by hauling/miscellaneous construction activities.
• A conservative length of 1,000 LF of road has been included to be replaced.
3.3 (06) FISH & WILDLIFE FACILITIES • Environmental mitigation costs are included in this account for the restoration of 13
acres. • Scope assumptions include clearing & grubbing, the planting of 435 seedlings per
acre, as well as covering the remaining area with native grass seed and straw cover in order to aid establishment of grass.
3.4 (11) LEVEES & FLOODWALLS Levees • The following reaches of levees are included, as shown on the plan sheets:
o State Street Levee o Flat Rock Branch Levee o Blackberry Branch Levee o Court House Levee o Walnut Avenue Levee
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o King’s Addition Levee • All levees have a cut volume that is assumed to be removed and hauled offsite. The
replacement volume and the additional fill required are assumed to come from the borrow area outlined in the plan sheets.
• Borrow area material assumed to be acceptable pending some grading/disking/watering of the material to allow it to break down. This effort has been included in the cost estimate.
Floodwalls
• The following reaches of floodwalls are included, as shown on the plan sheets: o Main Floodwall o Euclid Ave Floodwall o Highland Ave Floodwall
• Floodwall lengths were calculated based on the plan sheets and from LRL Structures section.
• Dimensions/qtys also obtained from Structures and validated in qty backup. • Assumed 3 rows of battered piles, HP 14 x 73, 70’ deep, spaced 5’ OC along every
length. • Floodwalls 15 ft high and taller are assumed to have a 30 ft deep sheet pile cutoff
wall underneath. PZ-22 sheets assumed. • Excavated material will be replaced as fill material once the floodwall is placed to
get the surrounding areas to grade. All excess material hauled offsite.
Alternative #2 Length (feet)
Main Wall
> 6' I-Wall 1,530 10' T-wall 320 15' T-wall 280 28' T-wall 165
Euclid Ave Wall > 6' I-Wall 1,716 10' T-wall 2,505
Highland Ave Wall
> 6' I-Wall 320
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Total Floodwalls
> 6' I-Wall 3,566 10' T-wall 2,825 15' T-wall 280 28' T-wall 165
Road Closures
• There are 4 road closures that will consist of a steel closure gate being constructed across various roadways – Tutor Key Rd., two on Route 40, and Bridge Street.
• Gates vary in height from 3-6 ft. Assumed a weight of 150 Lbs/SF of gate based on previous road closure structures in estimator’s experience.
• Additional personnel gate added into this feature so that there can be passage when the gates are closed.
Demolition
• All demolition of buildings required for levee and floodwall alignments have been included in this feature account.
• Building footprints calculated using Adobe area measurements and included in qty backup.
• Buildings assumed to be an average of 15 ft high for volume calculations for haul off and disposal. Apartment building assumed to be 30 ft.
3.5 (15) FLOODWAY CONTROL & DIVERSION STRUCTURES Interceptor Pipes
• Sizes/Lengths assumed below. • Assumed Pipe diameter plus 1 ft on each side for roadway cut, 12” deep. Demolish
pavement, haul off and dispose. • Excavate down 4 ft plus pipe diameter. • Pipe assumed to be corrugated HDPE. Backfill with CLSM up to pavement section. • Pavement section assumed to be roadway cut width, 10” concrete base, 2” asphalt
surface course. #3 dowels every 12” on center both sides of roadway cut. • Assumed inlets every 100 ft for runs on the North side, and curb and gutter. (Reduce
productivity here) • For all runs sanitary manholes 300 ft. • Location Pipe Dia Pipe Length • Mill Branch (S) 3x 36” 300’
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Closure Structure
• Based on Isometric provided by Structures. Roughly 90 ft wide by 270 ft long, with three (3) 25’ x 25’ steel tainter gates.
• Assumed HP 14 x 73 spaced 6.5’ OC over the footprint of the base slabs for the approach slab and stilling basin; spaced 5’ OC over the footprint of the gate/structure slab. Assumed avg depth 80 ft.
• PZ-22 Sheet pile cutoff underneath main portion of structure (across). Assume 80 ft deep.
• Total Excavation assumed to be 18 ft diameter • 5,000 psi concrete assumed to be required for entire structure. • Assumption for construction is that a combi-wall cofferdam will be constructed
around the work area. • Paint Creek will bypass the cofferdam via three (3) 10’ x 10’ box culverts that will be
placed alongside the cofferdam to convey water. • Access ramps from both the North and South shores will be constructed to allow
access. The South access ramp will be placed over the box culverts with an appropriate amount of fill material as cover.
• Excavated material will be hauled offsite for disposal.
3.6 (18) CULTURAL RESOURCES • There will be a cultural resource survey down and there will be some costs incurred.
Depending on the level of involvement from State Historic Preservation Office (SHPO) this cost could be significant. Assumption in the cost estimate is that this will be $1 million which the PDT recognizes could be conservative but at this point in the project this is what the team felt comfortable using.
3.7 (19) BUILDINGS, GROUND & UTILITIES Non-Structural
• There are 6 structures included in Alternatives 2 & 3 that are assumed to have dry floodproofing measures incorporated. These have been priced out as being performed by a construction contractor.
• The Non-structural elements for Alternative 4 were not priced out as construction; but rather using PVA data for replacement of those structures. More discussion on this is included in Volume 6.
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3.8 (20) PERMANENT OPERATING EQUIPMENT • This feature account is to include the costs for a flood warning and emergency
evacuation plan (FWEEP) that will be implemented across the county, with an assumed cost of $1 million
• The FWEEP that will reduce life safety risk associated with flash flooding, secondarily provide important basin inflow data to the Paint Creek Closure Operator, and to assist emergency response capabilities of the local emergency responders. It will include:
o A written plan that communicates how to operate the Paintsville FRM closure structures during flood emergencies
o A plan for evacuation in the event of flash flooding or potential design exceedance of levees and/or floodwalls.
o An automated flood warning system including, data collection, processing, and dissemination system.
o A study of inundation areas to support the evacuation plan.
3.9 (30) PLANNING, ENGINEERING, AND DESIGN • The work covered under this account includes project management, project planning,
preliminary design, final design, geotechnical and HTRW investigations, hydraulic modeling, preparation of plans & specifications, engineering during construction, coordination efforts, contract advertisement, opening of bids, and contract award. The cost for this account was estimated with input from the project manager, engineering design branch chief, planning chief, and the PDT for all anticipated tasks for this project.
3.10 (31) SUPERVISION AND ADMINISTRATION • The work covered under this account includes contract supervision, contract
administration, construction administration, technical management activities, and District office supervision and administration costs. The cost for this account was estimated with input from the project manager, engineering design branch chief, planning chief, and historical S&A rates from other similar-sized projects.
4 METHODOLOGY
4.1 GENERAL
The cost estimate was prepared in MII, MCACES the 2nd generation, version 4.3 for all feature accounts associated with construction. Certain costs were derived from detail while some were based upon other sources as mentioned below.
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4.2 COST METHODOLOGY
4.2.1 Historical Unit Pricing
In some instances, historical cost information was referenced and documented accordingly. These historical references include past contract bid prices for projects of similar design and magnitude and recent government studies and cost estimates.
4.2.2 Quote-in-Place
In some instances, a quote from a subcontractor may have been received that included overhead and profit. In that case, no additional markups were included for subcontractor’s overhead.
4.2.3 Detailed MII Cost Estimate
The MII estimating software was used to develop a construction sequence for each item of work and applying detailed line items and crews to perform the work. Crews were developed in correspondence with the work being performed and estimated productivities. Wage rates were taken from a combination of the local Davis Bacon rates. The latest MII equipment database was also used and adjusted for current fuel and energy costs. Material prices were obtained through telephone solicitations with vendors, Internet suppliers, the MII Cost Book, and R.S. MEANS. A summary level report of the MII cost estimate for the Recommended Plan can be found in Attachment A.
4.3 DIRECT COSTS
Direct costs are based on anticipated equipment, labor, and materials necessary to construct this project. Following formulation of the direct cost, a determination is made as to whether the work would be performed by the prime contractor or a subcontractor.
4.3.1 Labor - Wage Determination
Wage rates were taken from the latest Davis-Bacon wage determination. A combination of D-B KY20190043 03/01/2019, Building & KY20190050 05/10/2019, Heavy.
4.3.2 Equipment Costs
The 2016 Equipment database, based on EP 1110-1-8, Construction Equipment Ownership and Operation Expense Schedule, Region II, was used and adjusted for current, local fuel and energy costs.
4.3.3 Vendor Quotes
Vendor quotes have been acquired and documented for the anticipated material costs for most features of work.
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4.3.4 Crews
Project specific crews have been developed and applied to the detailed line items as appropriate. Crew members consist of selected complements of labor classifications and equipment pieces assembled to perform specific tasks. Productivity has been assigned to each crew reflective of the expected output per unit of measure for the specific activities listed in the cost estimate. In considering the crews and productivities, the engineer typically referenced other, similar work found in national reference manuals such as R.S. MEANS construction data, the MI Cost book, and other projects developed by USACE.
4.3.5 Quantities
Quantities were developed by USACE for each feature of work. Quantities were checked/verified by the estimator and adjusted to account for construction methodology, shrink, swell, waste, etc. Other associated sub-quantities were also developed by the estimator.
4.4 INDIRECT COSTS
4.4.1 Contract Acquisition Strategy
Through discussions with the Project Manager (PM) & PDT, one contract is planned for the remaining work. The assumption is that the winning Prime contractor would self-perform a small portion (~25%) of the major civil activities, while the remaining work will be subcontracted out.
4.4.2 Prime Contractors
4.4.2.1 Job Office Overhead (FOOH)
Job Office Overhead (JOOH) is estimated by percentage within the estimate for the Prime contractor. The estimate of 15% is based on similar-sized projects and includes such items as project supervision, contractor quality control, contractor field office supplies, personal protective equipment, field engineering, and other incidental field overhead costs.
4.4.2.2 Home Office Overhead (HOOH)
For Home Office Overhead (HOOH) expense, the cost estimate includes an allowance applied as percentage at 8% of direct cost plus field overhead. HOOH includes items such as office rental / ownership costs, utilities, office equipment ownership/maintenance, office staff (managers, accountants, clerical, etc.), insurance, and miscellaneous. In reality, the range of home office overhead can be quite broad and depends largely on the contractor’s annual volume of work and the type of work that is generally performed by the contractor.
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4.4.2.3 Profit
Profit was included as a running percentage of 10% for Prime based on Estimator judgment.
4.4.2.4 Bond
Bond was included as a running percentage of 1.5% (own work and subcontracted work).
4.4.2.5 Local Occupational Tax
A local occupational tax was included as a running percentage of 2.5% based on PDT input and local regulations.
4.4.3 Subcontractors
4.4.3.1 Overhead
All subcontractor overhead costs are set to 8% JOOH and 8% HOOH (own work and subcontracted work) of direct cost to account their JOOH and HOOH costs. The exception is where the subcontractor has provided a quoted price including overhead. In that case, no additional markups have been included for subcontractor’s overhead.
4.4.3.2 Profit
Sub Profit was included as a running percentage of 8% based on estimator judgment.
4.4.4 Escalation
The contract was escalated to the mid-point of construction using CWCCIS, to account for potential inflation during construction. This is included in the TPCS file, not the cost estimate in MII.
4.4.5 Contingency
Contingency was applied at 26% based on the results of the Cost & Schedule Risk Analysis, conducted 6-7 Sep 2019, with updates to specific risks and design features following.
5 TOTAL PROJECT COST SUMMARY
The feasibility-level cost estimate for the Recommended Plan (Alt 2) at the FY20 price level is $110,305,000 (including spent costs for PED). This estimate was escalated over the implementation schedule to generate a fully funded cost estimate in the amount of $116,997,000. The costs for the other alternatives can be found in the TPCS pdfs included in attachment C as follows.
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ATTACHMENT A
ALT 2 (RECOMMENDED PLAN) & ALT 3 MII REPORT
Estim
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by
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19 B
uild
ings
, Gro
unds
& U
tiliti
es...
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
. 1
Prin
t Dat
e Fr
i 6 D
ecem
ber 2
019
U
.S. A
rmy
Cor
ps o
f Eng
inee
rs
Tim
e 09
:36:
01
Eff.
Dat
e 10
/1/2
019
Pr
ojec
t : J
ohns
on C
ount
y Se
c 20
2 Fe
asib
ility
N
ew R
epor
t Ta
ble
of C
onte
nts
Labo
r ID
: NLS
2016
EQ
ID: E
P16R
02
Cur
renc
y in
US
dolla
rs
TRAC
ES M
II Ve
rsio
n 4.
4
20 P
erm
anen
t Ope
ratin
g Eq
uipm
ent ..
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
.. 1
30 E
ngin
eerin
g &
Des
ign .
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
1
31 C
onst
ruct
ion
Man
agem
ent ..
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
......
.. 1
Prin
t Dat
e Fr
i 6 D
ecem
ber 2
019
U
.S. A
rmy
Cor
ps o
f Eng
inee
rs
Tim
e 09
:36:
01
Eff.
Dat
e 10
/1/2
019
Pr
ojec
t : J
ohns
on C
ount
y Se
c 20
2 Fe
asib
ility
N
ew R
epor
t C
WBS
Sum
mar
y Pa
ge 1
D
escr
iptio
n
Qua
ntity
UO
M
Cont
ract
Cos
t
Con
tinge
ncy
Pr
ojec
tCos
t
Labo
r ID
: NLS
2016
EQ
ID: E
P16R
02
Cur
renc
y in
US
dolla
rs
TRAC
ES M
II Ve
rsio
n 4.
4
CW
BS
Sum
mar
y
178,
247,
515.
13
49,5
90,4
52.2
4 2
27,8
37,9
67.3
7
Rec
omm
ende
d Pl
an
1.
0000
EA
178,
247,
515.
13
49,5
90,4
52.2
4 2
27,8
37,9
67.3
7
Alte
rnat
ive
2 (R
ecom
men
ded
Plan
)
1.00
00
LS
85
,284
,381
.51
23,
720,
200.
82
109,
004,
582.
34
0
1 La
nds
& D
amag
es
1.
0000
LS
5,31
4,20
0.00
1,
328,
550.
00
6,
642,
750.
00
0
2 R
eloc
atio
ns
1.
0000
LS
3,03
3,29
1.20
849,
321.
54
3,
882,
612.
74
0
6 Fi
sh &
Wild
life
Faci
litie
s
1.00
00
LS
41
9,77
4.00
117,
536.
72
53
7,31
0.72
11
Leve
es &
Flo
odw
alls
1.00
00
LS
27
,080
,566
.25
7,
582,
558.
55
34,
663,
124.
79
1
5 Fl
oodw
ay C
ontr
ol a
nd D
iver
sion
Str
uctu
res
1.
0000
LS
31,9
70,9
70.8
0
8,95
1,87
1.83
4
0,92
2,84
2.63
18
Cul
tura
l Res
ourc
es
1.
0000
LS
1,00
0,00
0.00
280,
000.
00
1,
280,
000.
00
1
9 B
uild
ings
, Gro
unds
& U
tiliti
es
1.
0000
LS
465,
579.
27
13
0,36
2.19
595,
941.
46
2
0 Pe
rman
ent O
pera
ting
Equi
pmen
t
1.00
00
LS
1,
000,
000.
00
28
0,00
0.00
1,28
0,00
0.00
30
Engi
neer
ing
& D
esig
n
1.00
00
LS
8,
000,
000.
00
2,24
0,00
0.00
1
0,24
0,00
0.00
31
Con
stru
ctio
n M
anag
emen
t
1.00
00
LS
7,
000,
000.
00
1,96
0,00
0.00
8,96
0,00
0.00
Alte
rnat
ive
3
1.00
00
LS
92
,963
,133
.62
25,
870,
251.
41
118,
833,
385.
03
0
1 La
nds
& D
amag
es
1.
0000
LS
5,31
4,20
0.00
1,
328,
550.
00
6,
642,
750.
00
0
2 R
eloc
atio
ns
1.
0000
LS
3,03
3,30
5.71
849,
325.
60
3,
882,
631.
31
0
6 Fi
sh &
Wild
life
Faci
litie
s
1.00
00
LS
41
9,77
4.00
117,
536.
72
53
7,31
0.72
11
Leve
es &
Flo
odw
alls
1.00
00
LS
34
,759
,303
.84
9,
732,
605.
08
44,
491,
908.
91
1
5 Fl
oodw
ay C
ontr
ol a
nd D
iver
sion
Str
uctu
res
1.
0000
LS
31,9
70,9
70.8
0
8,95
1,87
1.83
4
0,92
2,84
2.63
18
Cul
tura
l Res
ourc
es
1.
0000
LS
1,00
0,00
0.00
280,
000.
00
1,
280,
000.
00
1
9 B
uild
ings
, Gro
unds
& U
tiliti
es
1.
0000
LS
465,
579.
27
13
0,36
2.19
595,
941.
46
2
0 Pe
rman
ent O
pera
ting
Equi
pmen
t
1.00
00
LS
1,
000,
000.
00
28
0,00
0.00
1,28
0,00
0.00
30
Engi
neer
ing
& D
esig
n
1.00
00
LS
8,
000,
000.
00
2,24
0,00
0.00
1
0,24
0,00
0.00
31
Con
stru
ctio
n M
anag
emen
t
1.00
00
LS
7,
000,
000.
00
1,96
0,00
0.00
8,96
0,00
0.00
Johnson County, KY Volume 5 Section 202 Project Cost Estimate
16 | P a g e
ATTACHMENT B
Recommended Plan CSRA
Nor
th B
ranc
h Ec
orse
Cre
ek M
anag
emen
t GR
R F
Y16
APPE
ND
IX A
Proj
ect D
evel
opm
ent S
tage
/Alte
rnat
ive:
R
isk
Cat
egor
y:M
eetin
g D
ate:
9/4/
2019
Sche
dule
Dur
atio
nJa
n-20
21Ja
n-20
24Sc
hedu
le D
urat
ion:
36.0
Mon
ths
49%
From
(Mon
th/Y
ear)
From
(Mon
th/Y
ear)
Sch
edul
e C
ontin
genc
y
80%
Fin
ish
Dat
eJu
n-20
25
CW
WBS
Feat
ure
of W
ork
Con
tract
Cos
t%
Con
tinge
ncy
$ C
ontin
genc
yTo
tal
Ris
k N
ot in
clud
ed w
ithin
CSR
A M
odel
01
LAN
DS
AND
DAM
AGES
01
Land
s &
Dam
ages
5,
314,
200
$
25%
1,32
8,55
0$
6,
642,
750
$
Ris
k in
clud
ed w
ithin
CSR
A M
odel
102
R
ELO
CAT
ION
S 0
2 R
eloc
atio
ns
3,03
3,29
1$
26
%78
8,65
6$
3,
821,
947
$
206
FIS
H A
ND
WIL
DLI
FE F
ACIL
ITIE
S 0
6 Fi
sh &
WIld
life
Faci
litie
s
419,
774
$
26%
109,
141
$
528,
915
$
311
LEV
EES
AND
FLO
OD
WAL
LS 1
1 Le
vees
& F
lood
wal
ls
27,0
80,5
66$
26
%7,
040,
947
$
34,1
21,5
13$
415
FLO
OD
WAY
CO
NTR
OL
AND
DIV
ERSI
ON
STR
UC
TUR
ES 1
5 Fl
oodw
ay C
ontr
ol a
nd D
iver
sion
Str
uctu
res
31
,970
,971
$
26%
8,31
2,45
2$
40
,283
,423
$
5
18 C
ULT
UR
AL R
ESO
UR
CE
PRES
ERVA
TIO
N 1
8 C
ultu
ral R
esou
rces
1,
000,
000
$
26%
260,
000
$
1,26
0,00
0$
6
19 B
UIL
DIN
GS,
GR
OU
ND
S, A
ND
UTI
LITI
ES 1
9 B
uild
ings
, Gro
unds
& U
tiliti
es
465,
579
$
26%
121,
051
$
586,
630
$
720
PER
MAN
ENT
OPE
RAT
ING
EQ
UIP
MEN
T 2
0 Pe
rman
ent O
pera
ting
Equi
pmen
t 1,
000,
000
$
26%
260,
000
$
1,26
0,00
0$
8
All O
ther
Rem
aini
ng C
onst
ruct
ion
Item
s -
$
0%-
$
-$
9
30 P
LAN
NIN
G, E
NG
INEE
RIN
G, A
ND
DES
IGN
30
Engi
neer
ing
& D
esig
n
8,00
0,00
0$
26
%2,
080,
000
$
10,0
80,0
00$
1031
CO
NST
RU
CTI
ON
MAN
AGEM
ENT
31
Con
stru
ctio
n M
anag
emen
t 7,
000,
000
$
26%
1,82
0,00
0$
8,
820,
000
$
XXFI
XED
DO
LLAR
RIS
K AD
D (E
QU
ALLY
DIS
PER
SED
TO
ALL
, MU
ST IN
CLU
DE
JUST
IFIC
ATIO
N S
EE B
ELO
W)
-$
KE
EPKE
EPTo
tals
KEEP
Rea
l Est
ate
5,31
4,20
0$
25
%1,
328,
550
$
6,64
2,75
0.00
$
KEEP
Tota
l Con
stru
ctio
n Es
timat
e64
,970
,182
$
26%
16,8
92,2
47$
81
,862
,429
$
KE
EPTo
tal P
lann
ing,
Eng
inee
ring
& D
esig
n8,
000,
000
$
26%
2,08
0,00
0$
10
,080
,000
$
KE
EPTo
tal C
onst
ruct
ion
Man
agem
ent
7,00
0,00
0$
26
%1,
820,
000
$
8,82
0,00
0$
Fi
xed
Dol
lar R
isk
Equa
lly D
istri
bute
d-
$
0%-
$
-$
KE
EPKE
EPTo
tal
85,2
84,3
82$
26
%22
,120
,797
$
107,
405,
179
$
R
ANG
EC
heck
sO
KR
ANG
EKE
EP
Feas
ibili
ty (R
ecom
men
ded
Plan
) - F
or M
ilest
one
#2M
oder
ate
Ris
k: T
ypic
al P
roje
ct o
r Pos
sibl
e Li
fe S
afet
y
Nor
th B
ranc
h E
cors
e C
reek
Flo
od R
isk
Man
agem
ent G
RR
FY
16 U
pdat
e
AP
PE
ND
IX A
C
ost d
ue to
Sch
edul
e R
isk
Risk
#R
isk/O
ppor
tuni
ty E
vent
Risk
Eve
nt D
escr
iptio
nP
DT
Disc
ussio
ns o
n Im
pact
and
Lik
elih
ood
Like
lihoo
dIm
pact
Ris
k Le
vel
Like
lihoo
dIm
pact
Ris
k Le
vel
Low
Var
ianc
e (M
in)
Like
ly (C
)H
igh
Var
ianc
e (8
0%H
)
Low
V
aria
nce
(S)
(Min
)Li
kely
(S)
Hig
h V
aria
nce
(S)
(80%
H)
Pre/
Post
A
war
dFu
ll/O
HLo
w V
aria
nce
(CS)
(M
in)
Like
ly A
dded
C
ost (
CS)
Hig
h V
aria
nce
(CS)
(80%
H)
Eve
nt P
rob
(PC
)Si
mul
ated
Cos
t (C
) + (C
S)E
vent
Pro
b (P
S)Si
mul
ated
Sc
hed
(S)
Risk
Qua
ntifi
catio
n D
iscus
sions
Risk
Miti
gatio
n M
easu
res
Lan
ds a
nd D
amag
es (L
D)
LD
10
Add
ition
al E
asem
ents
may
be
need
ed.
Add
ition
al e
asem
ent a
cqui
sitio
n m
ay b
e ne
eded
to p
erfo
rm w
ork.
Add
ition
al e
asem
ent a
cqui
sitio
n m
ay b
e ne
cess
ary
to
perf
orm
wor
k, o
r so
that
futu
re O
&M
can
be
perf
orm
ed.
Unl
ikel
yM
argi
nal
Low
Unl
ikel
ySi
gnifi
cant
Med
ium
0 M
onth
s0
Mon
ths
4 M
onth
sPr
eY
es$0
$0$3
24,8
5110
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
LD
20
Rea
l est
ate
acqu
isiti
ons n
ot
com
plet
ed fo
r int
erio
r wal
lsTh
is m
ay p
ush
cont
ract
aw
ard
out
if th
ose
prop
ertie
s are
n't a
cqui
red
Can
not a
war
d un
til A
LL re
al e
stat
e is
acq
uire
d.
Poss
ible
Neg
ligib
leL
owPo
ssib
leM
oder
ate
Med
ium
0 M
onth
s0
Mon
ths
3 M
onth
sPr
eY
es$0
$0$2
43,6
3810
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
Env
iron
men
tal a
nd R
egul
ator
y
ER
10
Miti
gatio
n Sc
ope
Cur
rent
ly 2
.3 A
cres
of m
itiga
tion
incl
uded
Incl
uded
13
acre
s in
estim
ate.
Wos
rt-ca
se a
sum
ptio
n is
th
at th
e sc
ope
incr
ease
s by
up to
25%
, whe
ther
it b
e ad
ditio
nal a
crea
ge o
r add
ition
al w
ork
requ
ired
with
in th
e 13
acr
es.
Poss
ible
Mar
gina
lL
owPo
ssib
leM
argi
nal
Low
$0$0
$121
,901
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
ER
20
His
toric
stru
ctur
es in
the
area
w
ill b
e ad
vers
ely
impa
cted
by
cons
truct
ion
Bas
ed o
n in
itial
look
ther
e ar
e a
num
ber o
f stru
ctur
es im
pact
ed.
Initi
al th
ough
t is $
3-6m
for C
ultu
ral R
esou
rces
, to
be
refin
ed fu
rther
in P
ED. U
nifo
rm fr
om $
3-6m
, add
$3m
to
base
est
imat
e. *
Rev
ised
by
PDT
to b
e ro
ughl
y $1
m, w
ith a
po
tent
ial i
mpa
ct o
f ano
ther
$1m
(wor
st c
ase
tota
l of
$2m
). A
nyth
ing
abov
e an
d be
yond
this
scop
e w
ould
be
miti
gate
d w
ith S
HPP
O a
nd re
duce
d do
wn
to a
mor
e re
sona
ble
amou
nt o
r diff
eren
t sco
pe.
Poss
ible
Mod
erat
eM
ediu
mPo
ssib
leM
argi
nal
Low
$0$0
$1,0
00,0
0010
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
Con
trac
t Acq
uisi
tion
(CA
)
CA
10
Bes
t val
ue c
ontra
ct a
war
d
Cur
rent
dire
ctio
n is
for l
ow-b
id
proc
urem
ent.
Pos
sibl
e ot
her
proc
urem
ent m
etho
ds m
ay b
e ut
ilize
d in
clud
ing
best
val
ue /
trade
of
f app
roac
h.
Cou
ld im
pact
the
over
all c
onst
ruct
ion
cost
s up
to 5
%.
Ass
ume
roug
hly
25%
cha
nce
that
this
occ
urs,
as it
is
antic
ipat
ed th
at th
ere
will
be
adeq
uate
com
petit
ion
and
the
low
bid
der w
ill n
ot b
e su
bsta
ntia
lly le
ss c
ompe
tent
that
th
e ne
xt-lo
wes
t.
Poss
ible
Sign
ifica
ntM
ediu
mPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
$0$0
$3,2
48,5
0925
%$0
100%
0 M
o
Clo
sure
Str
uctu
re
CS1
0H
Pile
des
ign
Cur
rent
ly 8
0 ft
in e
stim
ate.
Max
dep
th w
ill
be 3
5 ft
due
to ro
ck e
leva
tion
of E
L. 5
30
and
slab
EL.
Of 5
64.
Due
to ro
ck e
leva
tion,
pile
s will
be
shor
t tha
n in
est
imat
e (C
HA
NG
E IN
EST
IMA
TE).
Spac
ing
at 5
' OC
is o
k. 8
0/20
split
be
twee
n ba
tter/v
ertic
al sh
ould
be
fine
base
d on
Stru
ctur
al e
val.
Cha
nce
that
mid
dle
of th
e cr
eek
is 1
0 ft
deep
er to
rock
; say
50
ft w
ide
is d
eepe
r, m
ultip
ly #
of p
iles i
n th
at a
rea
to fi
nd w
orst
cas
e im
pact
.
Unl
ikel
yM
oder
ate
Low
Unl
ikel
yN
eglig
ible
Low
$0$0
$592
,348
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
CS2
0Sh
eet P
ile C
utof
fC
urre
ntly
80
ft in
est
imat
e. M
ax d
epth
will
be
35
ft du
e to
rock
ele
vatio
n of
EL.
530
an
d sl
ab E
L. O
f 564
.
Due
to ro
ck e
leva
tion,
pile
s will
be
shor
t tha
n in
est
imat
e (C
HA
NG
E IN
EST
IMA
TE).
Cha
nce
that
mid
dle
of th
e cr
eek
is 1
0 ft
deep
er to
rock
; say
50
ft w
ide
is d
eepe
r, m
ultip
ly #
of p
iles i
n th
at a
rea
to fi
nd w
orst
cas
e im
pact
.
Poss
ible
Neg
ligib
leL
owPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
$0$0
$20,
000
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
CS3
0B
ase
slab
dep
th -
Entra
nce
and
Still
ing
Bas
in3'
bas
e sl
ab u
sed
in e
stim
ate;
Cou
ld b
e le
ss
Plan
s sho
w 2
' but
est
imat
e w
ill st
ick
with
3' f
or ti
me
bein
g un
til
mor
e de
sign
info
rmat
ion
is a
vila
ble;
mod
el p
ossi
blity
that
bot
h en
tranc
e an
d st
illin
g ba
sin
slab
s will
be
2' th
ick
as sh
own.
Po
tent
ial d
ecre
ase
of 1
/3 o
f cos
t sho
wn
for l
ow sc
enrio
; mod
el a
s tri
angu
lar.
Like
lyM
oder
ate
Med
ium
Like
lyN
eglig
ible
Low
-$66
6,33
3$0
$010
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
CS4
1B
ase
slab
dep
th -
Clo
sure
st
ruct
ure
Estim
ate
assu
mes
larg
er se
ctio
n ac
ross
en
tire
wid
th o
f stru
ctur
e; w
ill b
e sm
alle
r ov
er a
smal
l por
tion
Estim
ates
ass
umes
wha
t is p
roba
bly
the
wor
st c
ase
dept
h/th
ickn
ess
for t
he sl
ab u
nder
the
clos
ure
stru
ctur
e; te
am fe
els t
his i
s ade
quat
e as
wor
st c
ase
risk
but f
eels
it is
con
serv
ativ
e to
go
forw
ard
with
th
is a
nd n
ot c
arry
any
opp
ortu
nity
for r
educ
tion
in th
e es
timat
e
Unl
ikel
yN
eglig
ible
Low
Unl
ikel
yN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
CS5
0Pi
er th
ickn
ess -
Clo
sure
st
ruct
ure
Cur
rent
ly sh
own
at 4
ft fo
r out
side
pie
rs; 5
ft
for i
nter
ior p
iers
Estim
ate
uses
wha
t is s
how
n on
the
plan
s; co
uld
be a
s big
as 8
ft.
Mod
el a
s tria
ngul
ar fo
r 5-8
ft th
ick.
Mod
eled
as a
n ad
ditio
n of
1-3
fe
et o
f thi
ckne
ss b
ased
on
5 ft,
so 2
0-60
% a
dditi
onal
.V
ery
Like
lyM
argi
nal
Med
ium
Ver
y Li
kely
Neg
ligib
leL
ow$5
58,7
99$0
$1,6
76,3
980
Mon
ths
0 M
onth
s1
Mon
ths
Pre
No
$0$0
$40,
606
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
CS6
1Ta
inte
r gat
e si
zeC
urre
ntly
show
n at
25'
x 2
5' fo
r 3 g
ates
; co
uld
pote
ntia
lly b
e sm
alle
r or l
arge
r
Cou
ld p
oten
tially
be
1 ga
te th
at's
the
sam
e si
ze; w
ould
als
o ha
ve
acco
mpa
nyin
g fla
p ga
tes o
n ei
ther
side
. Tea
m fe
els l
ike
this
layo
ut
with
3 g
ates
will
be
as b
ig a
s the
stru
ctur
e co
uld
pote
ntia
lly g
et.
Ver
y ne
glig
ible
cha
nce
that
gat
es w
ill b
e la
rger
than
this
, and
po
tent
ial i
ncre
ase
wou
ldn'
t be
muc
h la
rger
. Tea
m a
lso
feel
s lik
e th
e po
tent
ial t
o dr
op to
1 g
ate
will
be
used
as a
pot
entia
l cos
t sa
ving
mec
hani
sm d
own
the
road
if n
eede
d.
Unl
ikel
yN
eglig
ible
Low
Unl
ikel
yN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
CS7
0R
ip R
ap a
rmor
ing
of o
ppos
ite
bank
of L
evis
aN
othi
ng in
est
imat
e; p
oten
tial t
o ad
d in
to
the
estim
ate
beca
use
it m
ight
be
need
ed
Ass
umed
leng
th o
f rou
ghly
300
LF
base
d on
ope
ning
of P
aint
C
reek
; ass
ume
prot
ectio
n fr
om E
L. 5
98 to
EL.
564
, diff
eren
ce o
f 34
ft (s
lope
leng
th o
f 76
ft); a
ssum
e 3
ft de
pth
so 2
,533
CY
. A
ssum
e pl
acem
ent b
y ba
nk, n
ot m
arin
e. A
dded
into
mod
el b
ut
assu
med
wor
st-c
ase
of d
oubl
e th
e qu
antit
y.
Cer
tain
Mar
gina
lR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le$1
79,5
30$0
$179
,530
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
CS8
1B
affle
Blo
cks
Add
som
e ba
ffle
blo
cks i
nD
one
Cer
tain
Mar
gina
lR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le
CS9
1C
rane
requ
irem
ent
No
cran
e on
the
stru
ctur
e to
pla
ce/re
mov
e th
e bu
lkhe
ads i
n th
e st
ruct
ure
PDT
look
ed a
t cra
ne re
quire
men
ts a
nd w
ould
be
too
larg
e to
hav
e pe
rman
ent o
n th
e st
ruct
ure.
Will
be
an O
&M
con
cern
Unl
ikel
yM
argi
nal
Low
Unl
ikel
yN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
CS1
01
Nee
d fo
r bac
kup
gene
rato
r/red
unda
nt p
ower
In c
ase
of a
pow
er o
utag
e du
ring
a bi
g ev
ent,
gate
s will
still
nee
d to
ope
rate
(can
be
low
ered
by
hand
cra
nk).
Bul
khea
ds w
ill
be p
lace
d by
cra
ne so
no
need
for p
ower
.
Add
in so
met
hing
like
a 5
hP
gene
rato
r to
cove
r the
ope
ratio
n of
th
e ta
inte
r gat
es d
urin
g an
y po
wer
out
age.
(Add
ed in
to e
stim
ate)
Cer
tain
Mar
gina
lR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le10
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
CS1
11
Ope
ratin
g m
achi
nery
for g
ates
w
ill b
e co
mpa
rabl
e to
B
earg
rass
Che
ck sc
ope
of B
earg
rass
. Cur
rent
ly b
ased
on
chai
n ho
ists
from
N
ew S
avan
nah
Blu
ff L
&D
, whi
ch h
as g
ates
that
are
60'
x 1
5'.
Shou
ld b
e su
ffic
ient
for 2
5' x
25'
gat
es.
Unl
ikel
yM
argi
nal
Low
Unl
ikel
yN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
CS1
20
Cof
ferd
ams n
eed
to b
e de
sign
ed to
the
top
of
expe
cted
floo
ds fo
r CS
cons
truct
ion
Bot
h up
stre
am a
nd d
owns
tream
cof
ferd
ams
(or a
sing
le c
onne
cted
cof
ferd
am) w
ill n
eed
to b
e hi
gh e
noug
h th
at th
ey d
on't
flood
fr
om L
evis
a
Ass
ume
coff
erda
m fr
om E
L. 5
60 to
EL.
590
aro
und
the
wor
k ar
ea. L
engt
h of
640
ft a
nd 3
0 ft
deep
. (A
dd in
the
dem
o/re
mov
al o
f no
rth b
ank
stor
age
units
and
acc
ess r
oads
). A
ssum
e po
tent
ial o
f 10
0 LF
ext
ra le
ngth
bas
ed o
n la
yout
.
Cer
tain
Mar
gina
lR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le$0
$0$8
29,9
320
Mon
ths
0 M
onth
s1
Mon
ths
Pre
No
$0$0
$40,
606
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
CS1
31
Div
ersi
on C
ulve
rt in
stea
d of
by
pass
pum
ping
Cur
rent
ly e
stim
ate
show
s byp
ass p
umpi
ng;
team
thin
ks d
iver
sion
cul
vert
wou
ld b
e m
ore
effic
ient
/feas
ible
Eric
sizi
ng th
e op
enin
g ne
eded
to p
ass 5
,000
CFS
for d
iver
sion
st
rcut
ure.
Add
into
est
imat
e w
ith e
xcav
atio
n/ba
ckfil
l/rem
oval
Cer
tain
Mar
gina
lR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le10
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
CS1
40
Add
in fl
ood
even
t ris
k ite
m
for c
lean
up
Ass
ume
may
be $
500k
-750
k pe
r occ
urre
nce,
and
ass
ume
a m
inim
um o
f one
and
max
of 2
eve
nts t
hat w
ould
occ
ur. U
se
$500
k fo
r one
eve
nt a
s low
, ad
$750
k fo
r 2 e
vent
s for
hig
h sc
enar
io.
Ver
y Li
kely
Mar
gina
lM
ediu
mV
ery
Like
lyN
eglig
ible
Low
$500
,000
$0$1
,500
,000
1 M
onth
s0
Mon
ths
2 M
onth
sPo
stN
o$0
$0$0
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
Floo
dwal
l
FW
11
H P
ile d
esig
nC
urre
nt e
stim
ate
does
not
hav
e pi
les f
or
flood
wal
l
Add
in 4
row
s of p
iles s
pace
d 5
ft O
C (a
ssum
ed b
atte
red)
and
70
ft de
pth
over
leng
th o
f big
gest
floo
dwal
l. A
ll ot
her f
lood
wal
l with
ab
ove
grad
e st
em h
eigh
t ove
r 10
ft us
e 3
row
s of p
iles s
pace
d 7.
5 ft
OC
. *A
dded
into
est
imat
e*
Cer
tain
Sign
ifica
ntR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inM
argi
nal
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le10
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
FW
20
Shee
t Pile
Cut
off
Cur
rent
ly h
ave
30 ft
dep
thSh
ould
be
ok b
ut g
eote
ch w
ill k
now
(che
ck b
ack
in a
wee
k or
tw
o). M
ax d
epth
of 4
0 ft
base
d on
rock
ele
vatio
n. (M
odel
as
trian
gula
r)Po
ssib
leM
oder
ate
Med
ium
Poss
ible
Neg
ligib
leL
ow$0
$0$1
,804
,800
75%
$010
0%0
Mo
FW
30
Pile
Driv
ing
Subs
urfa
ce o
bstru
ctio
ns m
ay c
ause
pile
dr
ivin
g is
sues
Lack
of g
eote
ch in
vest
igat
ions
giv
e un
certa
inty
to o
bstru
ctio
ns
that
may
be
enco
unte
red
durin
g pi
le d
rivin
g. A
ssum
e a
pote
ntia
l 10
-20%
redu
ctio
n in
pro
duct
ivity
and
an
addi
tiona
l 5%
mat
eria
l w
aste
qty
on
top
of w
hat's
ass
umed
in th
e es
timat
e as
wor
st c
ase
scen
ario
. Sho
uld
be a
pplie
d to
the
stor
age
area
wal
ls (a
nyth
ing
arou
dn P
aint
Cre
ek a
nd L
evis
a). T
otal
leng
th o
f H-P
ile ti
mes
the
diff
eren
ce in
10%
pro
d. a
nd 5
% m
ater
ial a
dd; v
s 20%
pro
d. a
nd
5% m
ater
ial a
dd.
Poss
ible
Mod
erat
eM
ediu
mPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
$279
,714
$0$4
87,2
7110
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
FW
41
Any
wor
k w
ithin
railr
oad
line
will
nee
d a
flagg
erTh
is w
ill c
ome
up fo
r any
wor
k at
railr
oad.
Cos
t of $
1k p
er d
ay
adde
d in
.Po
ssib
leM
argi
nal
Low
Poss
ible
Neg
ligib
leL
ow10
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
FW
51
Floo
dwal
l con
cret
e st
reng
ths
Floo
dwal
l bel
ow g
rade
: 4,0
00 p
siFl
oodw
all a
bove
gra
de: 4
,500
psi
Con
trol s
truct
ure:
5,0
00 p
si
Mod
ify th
is in
est
imat
e. C
hang
es m
ade
in e
stim
ate:
5k
psi c
oncr
ete
used
for a
ll cl
osur
e st
ruct
ure
conc
trete
, and
all
conc
rete
for
flood
wal
ls a
bove
10 ft
hig
h. 4
k ps
i con
cret
e us
ed fo
r flo
odw
all
belo
w 1
0 ft
and
any
rem
aini
ng c
oncr
ete.
Poss
ible
Mar
gina
lL
owPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
FW
61
Rai
lroad
tie-
ins m
ight
be
diff
icul
tTy
ing
into
railr
oad
abut
men
ts h
as n
ot b
een
look
ed in
to b
ut m
ay ta
ke so
me
care
May
nee
d to
take
floo
dwal
l und
er th
e ra
ilroa
d br
idge
to ti
e in
to
solid
gro
und
for s
eepa
ge is
sues
. For
est
imat
e, a
ssum
e an
ad
ditio
nal l
engt
h of
floo
dwal
l to
go u
nder
neat
h th
e ra
il ro
ad
brid
ge a
nd ti
e in
. Pile
driv
ing
redu
ctio
n fo
r low
hea
droo
m,
conf
ined
spac
e, e
tc. G
et q
ty fr
om Ja
cob
Poss
ible
Mar
gina
lL
owPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
FW
71
Exca
vatio
n/fil
l qty
for
flood
wal
lEs
timat
e as
sum
es so
me
but m
odel
ed q
ty
may
be
diff
eren
tG
et fr
om Ja
cob
- DO
NE.
Incl
uded
in e
stim
ate
as to
tal f
lood
wal
l ex
cava
tion/
fill.
Poss
ible
Neg
ligib
leL
owPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
FW
81
Soil
cond
ition
und
erne
ath
non-
pile
-fou
nded
wal
lsM
ight
hav
e to
repl
ace
fill w
ith su
itabl
e in
so
me
area
s alo
ng P
aint
Cre
ek a
nd L
evis
aW
ould
be
a co
st in
crea
se to
brin
g su
itabl
e fil
l.. In
clud
e in
est
imat
e to
rem
ove,
hau
l off
/dis
pose
, and
repl
ace
with
suita
ble
fill.
Poss
ible
Mar
gina
lL
owPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
FW
91
Und
ergr
ound
stor
age
tank
al
ong
flood
wal
l alig
nmen
tN
ear t
he D
epot
St b
ridge
, acr
oss t
he c
reek
fr
om c
emet
ary
Rem
oval
will
be
nece
ssar
y an
d m
ight
be
expe
nsiv
e if
leak
ing.
Add
in
to e
stim
ate.
Pot
entia
l wor
st c
ase
scen
ario
is th
at it
s lea
king
and
w
ill n
eed
spec
ial c
onsi
dera
tion.
C
erta
inM
oder
ate
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is of
E
stim
ate
Cer
tain
Neg
ligib
leR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Sche
dule
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
Sche
dule
Mod
elC
ost M
odel
Sche
dule
Mod
elT
OT
AL
Sche
dule
TO
TA
L C
ost
Cos
t Fro
m S
ched
ule
Proj
ect C
ost
Proj
ect S
ched
ule
Cos
t Mod
el
Nor
th B
ranc
h E
cors
e C
reek
Flo
od R
isk
Man
agem
ent G
RR
FY
16 U
pdat
e
AP
PE
ND
IX A
C
ost d
ue to
Sch
edul
e R
isk
Risk
#R
isk/O
ppor
tuni
ty E
vent
Risk
Eve
nt D
escr
iptio
nP
DT
Disc
ussio
ns o
n Im
pact
and
Lik
elih
ood
Like
lihoo
dIm
pact
Ris
k Le
vel
Like
lihoo
dIm
pact
Ris
k Le
vel
Low
Var
ianc
e (M
in)
Like
ly (C
)H
igh
Var
ianc
e (8
0%H
)
Low
V
aria
nce
(S)
(Min
)Li
kely
(S)
Hig
h V
aria
nce
(S)
(80%
H)
Pre/
Post
A
war
dFu
ll/O
HLo
w V
aria
nce
(CS)
(M
in)
Like
ly A
dded
C
ost (
CS)
Hig
h V
aria
nce
(CS)
(80%
H)
Eve
nt P
rob
(PC
)Si
mul
ated
Cos
t (C
) + (C
S)E
vent
Pro
b (P
S)Si
mul
ated
Sc
hed
(S)
Risk
Qua
ntifi
catio
n D
iscus
sions
Risk
Miti
gatio
n M
easu
res
Sche
dule
Mod
elC
ost M
odel
Sche
dule
Mod
elT
OT
AL
Sche
dule
TO
TA
L C
ost
Cos
t Fro
m S
ched
ule
Proj
ect C
ost
Proj
ect S
ched
ule
Cos
t Mod
el
FW
101
Add
ition
al sh
eet p
ile n
eede
d fo
r fire
dep
t pro
tect
ion
Stee
p ex
cava
tion
mig
ht n
eed
prot
ectio
nFi
re D
ep si
ts o
n "u
ncon
trolle
d fil
l" -
Jaco
b Si
nkho
rn. T
eam
feel
s ar
mor
ing
will
pro
babl
y be
nee
ded
to p
rote
ct th
e em
bank
men
t. A
ssum
e 80
LF
shee
t pile
wal
l, 15
ft d
eep.
Add
into
est
imat
e.
Cer
tain
Mod
erat
eR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le10
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
FW
110
Pote
ntia
l for
I-w
all l
engt
hs to
be
arc
hite
ctur
ally
fini
shed
If SS
HPO
rais
es is
sues
abo
ut h
isto
ric lo
ok,
mig
ht re
quire
us t
o m
ake
the
conc
rete
flo
odw
alls
look
nic
e
Mod
el h
igh
scen
ario
as I
-Wal
ls re
quire
d st
ampe
d/pa
inte
d fo
rms
with
con
cret
e ca
p. M
odel
ed st
ampi
ng p
lus c
oncr
ete
coap
ove
r I-
wal
l len
gth;
initi
al e
stim
ate
cam
e ou
t rig
ht a
t $50
0k.
Poss
ible
Sign
ifica
ntM
ediu
mPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
$0$0
$500
,000
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
FW
121
Nea
rest
qua
rrie
s are
1 h
our
away
All
agg
pric
es w
ill b
e hi
gher
than
nor
mal
du
e to
hau
l dis
tanc
eR
ecei
eved
quo
tes i
n Se
p 20
19 fo
r agg
rega
te d
eliv
ered
to th
e pr
ojec
t site
.U
nlik
ely
Mod
erat
eL
owU
nlik
ely
Neg
ligib
leL
ow10
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
FW
121
Nea
rest
con
cret
e su
pplie
rs a
re
20 m
iles a
way
All
agg/
conc
rete
pric
es w
ill b
e hi
gher
than
no
rmal
due
to h
aul d
ista
nce
Rec
eiev
ed q
uote
s in
Sep
2019
for c
oncr
ete
deliv
ered
to th
e pr
ojec
t si
te.
Unl
ikel
yM
oder
ate
Low
Unl
ikel
yN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
Lev
ees
LV
10
Kin
g's A
dditi
on S
cope
Qty
of m
ater
ial n
eede
d m
ay c
hang
e50
0 C
Y o
f cut
, 1,3
09 C
Y o
f fill
. Com
pact
ed c
lay.
Tru
ck in
from
of
f site
(bor
row
site
#1,
shee
t CS1
25)
Cer
tain
Neg
ligib
leR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le$0
$0$3
00,0
0010
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
LV
20
Bor
row
site
mat
eria
l qua
lity
Tota
l qty
of 9
,019
CY
nee
ded;
mig
ht n
ot b
e en
ough
suita
ble
mat
eria
l in
both
site
s
Wor
st-c
ase
scen
ario
hav
e to
truc
k in
all
fill f
or b
orro
w. M
ight
be
able
to u
se e
xist
ing
borr
ow si
tes b
ut d
oesn
't so
und
prom
isin
g. A
ny
real
est
ate
purc
hase
for n
ew b
orro
w a
rea
wou
ld h
ave
to b
e co
ordi
nate
d w
ith R
E an
d co
uld
pres
ent i
ssue
s dow
n th
e ro
ad fo
r N
EPA
con
side
ratio
ns.
Cer
tain
Neg
ligib
leR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le$0
$0$3
00,0
0010
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
LV
31
Roa
d R
eloc
atio
n/C
losu
re
Scop
eC
urre
ntly
hav
e fu
ll de
pth
repl
acem
ent o
f R
iver
Rd
and
Che
ssie
Ln;
mor
e?Th
is sh
ould
be
the
max
ext
ent o
f roa
d re
plac
emen
tU
nlik
ely
Mar
gina
lL
owU
nlik
ely
Neg
ligib
leL
ow10
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
LV
41
Leve
e ov
erto
ppin
g ar
ea b
igge
r th
an id
entif
ied
Each
leve
e re
ach
has a
n ov
erto
ppin
g ar
ea
on th
e pl
ans;
pote
ntia
l for
this
to b
e th
e en
tire
prot
ecte
d si
de sl
ope?
Are
a co
uld
be la
rger
than
ient
ified
but
pro
babl
y no
t the
ent
ire
prot
ecte
d si
de sl
ope.
May
be a
ssum
e do
uble
the
SY a
rea
for e
ach
loca
tion
as w
orst
cas
e.Po
ssib
leM
oder
ate
Med
ium
Poss
ible
Neg
ligib
leL
ow10
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
LV
50
Subg
rade
soil
unde
rnea
th
leve
es n
ot su
itabl
eW
ill li
kely
hav
e to
eith
er u
nder
cut l
evee
a
few
feet
or i
nsta
ll sh
eet p
ile u
nder
neat
hA
fter r
evie
w o
f lev
ee X
-Sec
will
pro
baby
be
fine
with
insp
ectio
n tre
nch
and
degr
adin
g le
vee.
Won
't ne
ed sh
eet p
ile.
Poss
ible
Mar
gina
lL
owPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
0 M
onth
s0
Mon
ths
2 M
onth
sPr
eN
o$0
$0$8
1,21
310
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
LV
60
Inro
ads q
tys i
ncor
rect
Inro
ads q
tys m
ay n
ot c
aptu
re th
e fu
ll ex
tent
of
exc
avat
ion
and/
or q
tys o
f fill
cor
rect
lyA
ssum
e w
orst
cas
e of
dou
ble
qty
of e
xcav
atio
n an
d fil
l tha
t's
show
n on
the
draw
ings
Poss
ible
Mod
erat
eM
ediu
mPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
$0$0
$500
,000
0 M
onth
s0
Mon
ths
2 M
onth
sPr
eN
o$0
$0$8
1,21
310
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
Inte
rcep
tor
Pipe
s
Int1
0C
oncr
ete
Pipe
nee
ded
inst
ead
of H
DPE
Und
er c
erta
in ro
adw
ays m
ight
nee
d R
CP
inst
ead
of H
DPE
Ass
ume
100
LF p
er li
ne w
ould
nee
d co
ncre
te p
ipe
in li
eu o
f H
DPE
. Mod
el a
noth
er 1
00 L
F ea
just
in c
ase,
Ver
y Li
kely
Mod
erat
eH
igh
Ver
y Li
kely
Mar
gina
lM
ediu
m$0
$0$5
00,0
0010
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
Int2
1C
LSM
nee
ded
inst
ead
of st
one
back
fill
Ston
e ba
ckfil
l use
d in
est
imat
e bu
t inc
ludd
e C
LSM
und
erne
ath
leve
es a
nd 1
5 ft
eith
er
side
Add
into
est
imat
e - D
ON
EC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is of
E
stim
ate
Cer
tain
Neg
ligib
leR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Sche
dule
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
Int3
0H
ittin
g un
derg
roun
d lin
es
durin
g co
nstru
ctio
nC
ould
hit
utili
ties,
wat
er li
nes,
stor
m li
nes,
etc
durin
g ex
cava
tion/
cons
truct
ion
Add
som
ethi
ng in
for o
bstru
ctio
ns e
ncou
nter
ed d
urin
g co
nstru
ctio
n. S
ome
assu
mpt
ion
per L
F or
100
LF
may
be.
Cer
tain
Neg
ligib
leR
eloo
k at
B
asis
of
Est
imat
eC
erta
inN
eglig
ible
Rel
ook
at
Bas
is o
f Sc
hedu
le0
Mon
ths
0 M
onth
s1
Mon
ths
Post
Yes
$0$0
$197
,000
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
Non
-Str
uctu
ral
NS1
1Fo
r Joh
nson
Cou
nty,
scop
e m
ight
be
uncl
ear f
or
flood
proo
fing
Sugg
estio
n to
use
buy
out c
osts
for e
very
thin
g ou
tsid
e Pa
ints
ville
. If
cost
end
s up
bein
g le
ss th
an th
at to
floo
dpro
of, w
e w
ill g
o w
ith
that
.V
ery
Like
lySi
gnifi
cant
Hig
hV
ery
Like
lyM
argi
nal
Med
ium
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
Floo
d W
arni
ng S
yste
m
FW
S10
Scop
e U
ncle
arN
eed
to g
et w
ith Ja
cob
to in
corp
orat
e th
is in
to th
e es
timat
e so
meh
ow. P
ut $
1m in
to th
e es
timat
e; sh
ould
be
plen
ty, b
ut m
odel
an
add
ition
al $
1m in
risk
as u
nifo
rm.
Ver
y Li
kely
Mar
gina
lM
ediu
mV
ery
Like
lyM
argi
nal
Med
ium
$0$0
$1,0
00,0
0010
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
Est
imat
e an
d Sc
hedu
le R
isks
(ES)
ES1
0Si
te c
ontra
ints
rest
rictin
g pr
oduc
tivity
Bec
ause
man
y ar
eas o
f the
site
hav
e tig
ht
spac
ing,
pro
duct
ivity
may
bec
ome
an is
sue
Prod
uctiv
ity fo
r all
item
s red
uced
to 9
0%. R
isk
item
will
refle
ct
the
diff
eren
ce b
etw
een
85%
fact
or a
nd 9
0% fa
ctor
. Li
kely
Mar
gina
lM
ediu
mLi
kely
Mar
gina
lM
ediu
m$0
$0$1
,219
,975
0 M
onth
s0
Mon
ths
2 M
onth
sPr
eN
o$0
$0$8
1,21
310
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
ES2
0La
bor p
rem
ium
due
to o
ther
hi
gh p
rofil
e pr
ojec
ts in
the
area
Oth
er b
ig p
roje
cts c
omin
g up
; may
lead
to a
la
bor p
rem
ium
bei
ng re
quire
d to
kee
p cr
aft
wor
kers
.
This
pro
ject
shou
ld b
e a
high
prio
rity;
how
ever
, the
re c
ould
be
a pr
emiu
m p
aid
abov
e D
-B ra
tes f
or w
orke
rs to
stay
on
the
proj
ect i
f an
othe
r lar
ge p
roje
ct (p
roba
bly
high
way
) com
es o
n lin
e in
the
futu
re. P
ossi
bilit
y; a
ssum
e a
pote
ntia
l 5-1
5% in
crea
se in
labo
r co
sts i
f thi
s wer
e to
occ
ur, a
long
with
a 4
0% c
hanc
e of
oc
curr
ence
.
Poss
ible
Sign
ifica
ntM
ediu
mPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
$536
,773
$0$1
,610
,318
40%
$010
0%0
Mo
ES3
1C
ontra
ctor
Wor
k A
ssig
nmen
tsEs
timat
e cu
rren
tly sh
ows a
ll w
ork
subb
ed
out.
*Upd
ated
- so
me
wor
k is
now
show
n as
bei
ng p
erfo
rmed
by
the
Prim
e; ro
ughl
y 40
%. S
houl
d be
suff
icie
nt fo
r a c
apab
le P
rime
but
no p
oten
tial r
educ
tion
show
n.
Poss
ible
Mar
gina
lL
owPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
ES4
0D
esig
n B
udge
t Ove
rrun
sD
esig
n bu
dget
est
imat
ed b
y se
ctio
n/ta
sk
may
be
insu
ffic
ient
Initi
al R
OM
est
imat
e fo
r PED
/ED
C b
udge
t was
$8m
prio
r to
deta
iled
estim
ated
by
sect
ion
bein
g de
velo
ped.
$8m
was
bas
ed o
n tw
o ye
ars a
t $4m
per
yea
r, w
hich
the
PDT
felt
was
pro
babl
y th
e m
ost w
e co
uld
even
exp
end
on th
is p
roje
ct b
ased
on
FTEs
as
sign
ed to
it. A
ssum
e th
at a
wor
st-c
ase
scen
ario
of 1
5% g
row
th
on th
e de
taile
d es
timat
e w
ould
be
real
ized
(clo
se to
the
orig
inal
$8
m c
ost)
but t
hat a
min
imum
of 5
% g
row
th w
ould
be
real
ized
on
the
budg
et n
umbe
r. M
odel
ed a
s tria
ngul
ar.
Ver
y Li
kely
Neg
ligib
leL
owV
ery
Like
lySi
gnifi
cant
Hig
h$4
00,0
00$0
$1,2
00,0
0010
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
ES5
1S&
A B
udge
t too
Con
serv
ativ
eS&
A B
udge
t bas
ed o
n co
nser
vativ
e as
sum
ptio
n
Ass
ume
that
the
actu
al S
&A
bud
get w
ill b
e cl
oser
to $
2-2.
5M p
er
year
, rat
her t
han
$3m
per
yea
r. A
ssum
e tri
angu
lar m
odel
and
re
duct
ion
of $
1-3M
on
S&A
am
ount
of $
9m.
*Rem
oved
from
mod
el a
s S&
A b
udge
t was
cut
to $
6m in
es
timat
e.
Poss
ible
Mar
gina
lL
owPo
ssib
leN
eglig
ible
Low
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
ES6
0M
ods/
Cla
ims
Mod
s/C
laim
s will
occ
ur o
n co
nstru
ctio
ncon
tract
s; ne
ed to
acc
ount
for
them
Initi
al th
ough
t 3-1
0%. T
ime
grow
th m
aybe
3-6
mon
ths.
Ver
y Li
kely
Sign
ifica
ntH
igh
Ver
y Li
kely
Mod
erat
eH
igh
$1,9
49,1
05$0
$6,4
97,0
183
Mon
ths
0 M
onth
s6
Mon
ths
Post
No
$0$0
$010
0%$0
100%
0 M
o
Cur
rent
est
imat
e do
es n
ot in
clud
e an
y w
ork
to th
e w
etw
ell.
MSD
MSD
requ
este
d th
at o
pera
tion
of W
este
rn F
PS b
e re
view
ed a
nd p
ossi
bly
impr
ove
the
hydr
aulic
s in
side
the
wet
wel
l. Li
kelih
ood
is li
kely
, and
cos
t cou
ld re
ach
$2M
M, t
here
fore
m
oder
ate
impa
ct.
Like
ly v
aria
nce
is a
ppro
x. $
500M
, or 2
5% o
f the
max
imum
.
Ext
erna
l Ris
ks (E
X)
EX1
0B
id P
rote
stPo
ssib
leEs
peci
ally
with
Bes
t Val
ue p
rocu
rem
ents
. Will
be
a sc
hedu
le d
elay
of
pos
sibl
y 3-
9 m
onth
s.Po
ssib
leM
oder
ate
Med
ium
Poss
ible
Neg
ligib
leL
ow3
Mon
ths
0 M
onth
s9
Mon
ths
Pre
Yes
$243
,638
$0$7
30,9
1530
%$0
100%
0 M
o
Due
to p
ossi
ble
wei
ght i
ncre
ase
of n
ew re
plac
emen
t pum
ps.
>4%
incr
ease
wou
ld
requ
ire st
ruct
ural
ana
lysi
s of s
uppo
rts.
Som
e ris
k po
ssib
ly m
itiga
ted
by lo
ad
test
ing
of c
rane
s dur
ing
PED
. A
ffec
ted
stat
ions
incl
ude
5th,
10t
h, 1
7th,
27t
h, a
nd
34th
stre
et P
S's.
Min
imum
is $
0 w
ith n
o cr
anes
bei
ng re
plac
ed, m
axim
um w
ith
all P
S's r
epla
cem
ent c
rane
s is $
1.5M
M, w
ith li
kely
bei
ng o
ne c
rane
nee
ding
re
plac
emen
t at $
300M
M.
EX2
0B
id ri
sk
Ris
k/O
ppor
tuni
ty th
at b
idde
rs w
ill h
ave
low
er/h
ighe
r bid
s tha
n th
e IG
Es fo
r eac
h co
ntra
ct.
Like
lihoo
d is
alm
ost c
erta
in; b
ased
on
bidd
ing
eviro
nmen
t, co
ntra
ct ty
pe, a
ssum
ed c
ontra
ctor
risk
, will
be
subj
ectiv
e ra
nge
that
cou
ld b
e re
aliz
ed. *
Not
e* th
is ri
sk w
ill fa
ll of
f onc
e pr
opos
als
com
e in
and
con
tract
is a
war
ded.
Ass
ume
a 2.
5-10
% sp
read
on
top
of th
e co
nstru
ctio
n co
st e
stim
ate
w/tr
iang
ular
mod
el.
Ver
y Li
kely
Sign
ifica
ntH
igh
Ver
y Li
kely
Neg
ligib
leL
ow$1
,624
,255
$0$6
,497
,018
100%
$010
0%0
Mo
North Branch Ecorse Creek Flood Risk Management GRR FY16 Update
APPENDIX A
Contingency on Base EstimateBase Estimate (No Real Estate) $79,970,182
Baseline Estimate Cost Contingency Amount → $20,790,458 26%Baseline Cost (80% Confidence; No RE) → $100,760,640
Contingency on ScheduleProject Base Schedule Duration → 36.0 Months
Johnson County, Section 202 Schedule Contingency Duration → 17.6 Months 49%4-Sep-19 Project Schedule Duration (80% Confidence) → 53.6 Months
Base Case Estimate (Excluding 01)
Confidence Level Contingency Value Contingency0% 11,044,931 14% 79,970,182 11,044,931 10% 14,943,142 19% 79,970,182 14,943,142 20% 15,592,844 20% 79,970,182 15,592,844 30% 16,242,545 21% 79,970,182 16,242,545 40% 16,892,247 22% 79,970,182 16,892,247 50% 17,541,949 22% 79,970,182 17,541,949 60% 18,191,651 23% 79,970,182 18,191,651 70% 18,841,353 24% 79,970,182 18,841,353 80% 20,790,458 26% 79,970,182 20,790,458 90% 23,389,265 30% 79,970,182 23,389,265 100% 33,784,494 43% 79,970,182 33,784,494
Johnson County, Section 2024-Sep-19
Base Case Schedule
Confidence Level Contingency Value Contingency0% 10 Months 27% 36 10 10% 13 Months 36% 36 13 20% 14 Months 39% 36 14 30% 15 Months 41% 36 15 40% 15 Months 42% 36 15 50% 16 Months 44% 36 16 60% 16 Months 45% 36 16 70% 17 Months 47% 36 17 80% 18 Months 49% 36 18 90% 19 Months 52% 36 19 100% 24 Months 67% 36 24
80% Confidence Project Cost
80% Confidence Project Schedule
36.0 Months
- SCHEDULE CONTINGENCY (DURATION) DEVELOPMENT -
Contingency Analysis
- PROJECT CONTINGENCY DEVELOPMENT -
INITIAL CONSTRUCTIONContingency Analysis
$79,970,182
14% 19% 20% 21% 22% 22% 23% 24% 26% 30%43%
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
0% 10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Cos
t
Mill
ions
Confidence Levels
Cost Contingency
Contingency
1013 14 15 15 16 16 17 18 19
24
0 Months
10 Months
20 Months
30 Months
40 Months
50 Months
60 Months
70 Months
0% 10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Cos
t
Confidence Levels
Schedule Contingency
Base Case Schedule Contingency
North Branch Ecorse Creek Flood Risk Management GRR FY16 Update
APPENDIX A
Contingency on Base EstimateBase Estimate (No Real Estate) $79,970,182
Baseline Estimate Cost Contingency Amount → $20,790,458 26%Baseline Cost (80% Confidence; No RE) → $100,760,640
Contingency on Schedule
Project Base Schedule Duration → 36.0 Months Johnson County, Section 202 Schedule Contingency Duration → 17.6 Months 49%4-Sep-19 Project Schedule Duration (80% Confidence) → 53.6 Months
- Schedule Outputs Distribution and Sensitivity -
- Cost Outputs Distribution and Sensitivity -
Johnson County, KY Volume 5 Section 202 Project Cost Estimate
22 | P a g e
ATTACHMENT C
ALT 2 (RECOMMENDED PLAN) & ALT 3
****
TO
TAL
PRO
JEC
T C
OST
SU
MM
ARY
****
Prin
ted:
12/6
/201
9 Pa
ge 1
of 6
File
nam
e: J
ohns
on C
ount
y Al
ts T
PCS_
2019
-12-
3.xl
sxTP
CS
Alt 2
Var
1 (R
ecom
men
ded)
PRO
JEC
T:D
ISTR
ICT:
Loui
svill
e D
istri
ctPR
EPA
RED
:12
/6/2
019
PRO
JECT
NO
:P2
475
556
POC
: C
HIE
F, C
OST
EN
GIN
EER
ING
, Jam
es V
erm
illio
nLO
CATI
ON
:Pa
intsv
ille,
KY
This
Estim
ate
refle
cts t
he sc
ope
and
sche
dule
in re
port;
Det
aile
d Pr
ojec
t Rep
ort,
Dec
201
9
Prog
ram
Yea
r (B
udge
t EC
):20
20Ef
fect
ive
Pric
e Le
vel D
ate:
1 O
CT
19
Spen
t Thr
u:W
BS
Civ
il W
orks
CO
STC
NTG
CN
TGTO
TAL
ESC
CO
STC
NTG
TO
TA
L1-
Oct
-19
INFL
ATE
DC
OST
CN
TGFU
LLN
UM
BER
Feat
ure
& S
ub-F
eatu
re D
escr
iptio
n (
$K)
($K
) (
%)
($K
) (
%)
($K
) (
$K)
($K
) ($
K)
($K
) (
%)
($K
) (
$K)
($K
) A
BC
DE
FG
HI
JK
LM
NO
02R
ELO
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TIO
NS
$3,0
33$7
8926
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$3,8
220.
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,033
$789
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22$0
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226.
1%$3
,219
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5606
FISH
& W
ILD
LIFE
FA
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ITIE
S$4
20$1
0926
.0%
$529
0.0%
$420
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$529
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296.
1%$4
45$1
16$5
6111
LEV
EES
& F
LOO
DW
ALL
S$2
7,08
1$7
,041
26.0
%$3
4,12
20.
0%$2
7,08
1$7
,041
$34,
122
$0$3
4,12
26.
1%$2
8,73
8$7
,472
$36,
210
15FL
OO
DW
AY
CO
NTR
OL
& D
IVER
SIO
N S
TRU
$31,
971
$8,3
1226
.0%
$40,
283
0.0%
$31,
971
$8,3
12$4
0,28
3$0
$40,
283
6.1%
$33,
928
$8,8
21$4
2,74
918
CU
LTU
RA
L R
ESO
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CE
PRES
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ATI
ON
$1,0
00$2
6026
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$1,2
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0%$1
,000
$260
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$1,2
606.
1%$1
,061
$276
$1,3
3719
BU
ILD
ING
S, G
RO
UN
DS
& U
TILI
TIES
$466
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26.0
%$5
870.
0%$4
66$1
21$5
87$0
$587
6.1%
$494
$128
$623
20PE
RM
AN
ENT
OPE
RA
TIN
G E
QU
IPM
ENT
$1,0
00$2
6026
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0%$1
,000
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$1,2
606.
1%$1
,061
$276
$1,3
37__
____
___
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
___
____
____
___
____
____
____
____
____
____
____
____
____
CO
NST
RU
CT
ION
EST
IMA
TE
TO
TA
LS:
$64,
970
$16,
892
$81,
862
0.0%
$64,
970
$16,
892
$81,
862
$0$8
1,86
26.
1%$6
8,94
7$1
7,92
6$8
6,87
3
01LA
ND
S A
ND
DA
MA
GES
$5,3
14$1
,329
25.0
%$6
,643
0.0%
$5,3
14$1
,329
$6,6
43$0
$6,6
432.
0%$5
,420
$1,3
55$6
,776
30PL
AN
NIN
G, E
NG
INEE
RIN
G &
DES
IGN
$8,0
00$2
,080
26.0
%$1
0,08
00.
0%$8
,000
$2,0
80$1
0,08
0$2
,900
$12,
980
4.1%
$8,3
30$2
,166
$13,
396
31C
ON
STR
UC
TIO
N M
AN
AG
EMEN
T$7
,000
$1,8
2026
.0%
$8,8
200.
0%$7
,000
$1,8
20$8
,820
$0$8
,820
12.8
%$7
,899
$2,0
54$9
,952
PRO
JEC
T C
OST
TO
TA
LS:
$85,
284
$22,
121
25.9
%$1
07,4
05$8
5,28
4$2
2,12
1$1
07,4
05$2
,900
$110
,305
6.2%
$90,
596
$23,
501
$116
,997
CH
IEF,
CO
ST E
NG
INE
ER
ING
, Jam
es V
erm
illio
nE
STIM
AT
ED
TO
TA
L P
RO
JEC
T C
OST
:$1
16,9
97 P
RO
JEC
T M
AN
AG
ER
, Mic
hael
Moo
re
CH
IEF,
RE
AL
EST
AT
E, V
eron
ica
Hir
iam
s
CH
IEF,
PL
AN
NIN
G, A
my
Bab
ey
CH
IEF,
EN
GIN
EE
RIN
G, J
ohn
Boc
k
CH
IEF,
OPE
RA
TIO
NS,
Tim
Fud
ge
CH
IEF,
CO
NST
RU
CT
ION
, Kev
in J
effe
rson
CH
IEF,
CO
NT
RA
CT
ING
, Den
ise B
ush
CH
IEF,
RM
, Vic
ki V
asqu
ez
CH
IEF,
DPM
, Lin
da M
urph
y
TO
TA
L P
RO
JEC
T C
OST
(FU
LL
Y F
UN
DE
D)
TO
TA
L
FIR
ST
CO
ST
PRO
JEC
T F
IRST
CO
ST
(Con
stan
t Dol
lar
Bas
is)
John
son
Cou
nty,
Sec
tion
202
Civ
il W
orks
Wor
k B
reak
dow
n St
ruct
ure
EST
IMA
TE
D C
OST
****
TO
TAL
PRO
JEC
T C
OST
SU
MM
ARY
****
Prin
ted:
12/6
/201
9 Pa
ge 2
of 6
File
nam
e: J
ohns
on C
ount
y Al
ts T
PCS_
2019
-12-
3.xl
sxTP
CS
Alt 2
Var
1 (R
ecom
men
ded)
****
CO
NT
RA
CT
CO
ST S
UM
MA
RY
***
*
PRO
JEC
T:D
ISTR
ICT:
Loui
svill
e D
istric
tPR
EPA
RED
:12
/6/2
019
LOC
ATI
ON
:Pa
intsv
ille,
KY
POC
: C
HIE
F, C
OST
EN
GIN
EER
ING
, Jam
es V
erm
illio
nTh
is Es
timat
e re
flect
s the
scop
e an
d sc
hedu
le in
repo
rt;D
etai
led
Proj
ect R
epor
t, D
ec 2
019
3-D
ec-1
920
20
1-O
ct-1
91
OC
T 19
RISK
BA
SED
WB
SC
ivil
Wor
ksC
OST
CN
TGC
NTG
TOTA
LES
CC
OST
CN
TGTO
TAL
Mid
-Poi
ntIN
FLA
TED
CO
STC
NTG
FULL
NU
MB
ERFe
atur
e &
Sub
-Fea
ture
Des
crip
tion
($K
) (
$K)
(%
) (
$K)
(%
) (
$K)
($K
) (
$K)
Dat
e (
%)
($K
) (
$K)
($K
) A
BC
DE
FG
HI
JP
LM
NO
Alte
rnat
ive
2 V
aria
tion
1 (R
ecom
men
ded)
02R
ELO
CA
TIO
NS
$3,0
33$7
8926
.0%
$3,8
220.
0%$3
,033
$789
$3,8
2220
23Q
16.
1%$3
,219
$837
$4,0
5606
FISH
& W
ILD
LIFE
FA
CIL
ITIE
S$4
20$1
0926
.0%
$529
0.0%
$420
$109
$529
2023
Q1
6.1%
$445
$116
$561
11LE
VEE
S &
FLO
OD
WA
LLS
$27,
081
$7,0
4126
.0%
$34,
122
0.0%
$27,
081
$7,0
41$3
4,12
220
23Q
16.
1%$2
8,73
8$7
,472
$36,
210
15FL
OO
DW
AY
CO
NTR
OL
& D
IVER
SIO
N S
TRU
$31,
971
$8,3
1226
.0%
$40,
283
0.0%
$31,
971
$8,3
12$4
0,28
320
23Q
16.
1%$3
3,92
8$8
,821
$42,
749
18C
ULT
UR
AL
RES
OU
RC
E PR
ESER
VA
TIO
N$1
,000
$260
26.0
%$1
,260
0.0%
$1,0
00$2
60$1
,260
2023
Q1
6.1%
$1,0
61$2
76$1
,337
19B
UIL
DIN
GS,
GR
OU
ND
S &
UTI
LITI
ES$4
66$1
2126
.0%
$587
0.0%
$466
$121
$587
2023
Q1
6.1%
$494
$128
$623
20PE
RM
AN
ENT
OPE
RA
TIN
G E
QU
IPM
ENT
$1,0
00$2
6026
.0%
$1,2
600.
0%$1
,000
$260
$1,2
6020
23Q
16.
1%$1
,061
$276
$1,3
37
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
___
____
____
____
____
____
____
____
____
____
__C
ON
STR
UC
TIO
N E
STIM
AT
E T
OT
AL
S:$6
4,97
0$1
6,89
226
.0%
$81,
862
$64,
970
$16,
892
$81,
862
$68,
947
$17,
926
$86,
873
01LA
ND
S A
ND
DA
MA
GES
$5,3
14$1
,329
25.0
%$6
,643
0.0%
$5,3
14$1
,329
$6,6
4320
21Q
12.
0%$5
,420
$1,3
55$6
,776
30PL
AN
NIN
G, E
NG
INEE
RIN
G &
DES
IGN
2.5%
P
roje
ct M
anag
emen
t $8
,000
$2,0
8026
.0%
$10,
080
0.0%
$8,0
00$2
,080
$10,
080
2021
Q1
4.1%
$8,3
30$2
,166
$10,
496
0.0%
P
lann
ing
& E
nviro
nmen
tal C
ompl
ianc
e$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
E
ngin
eerin
g &
Des
ign
$0$0
26.0
%$0
0.0%
$0$0
$00
0.0%
$0$0
$00.
0%
Rev
iew
s, A
TRs,
IEPR
s, V
E$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
L
ife C
ycle
Upd
ates
(cos
t, sc
hedu
le, r
isks)
$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
C
ontra
ctin
g &
Rep
rogr
aphi
cs$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
E
ngin
eerin
g D
urin
g C
onstr
uctio
n$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
P
lann
ing
Dur
ing
Con
struc
tion
$0$0
26.0
%$0
0.0%
$0$0
$00
0.0%
$0$0
$00.
0%
Pro
ject
Ope
ratio
ns$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
31C
ON
STR
UC
TIO
N M
AN
AG
EMEN
T8.
0%
Con
struc
tion
Man
agem
ent
$7,0
00$1
,820
26.0
%$8
,820
0.0%
$7,0
00$1
,820
$8,8
2020
23Q
112
.8%
$7,8
99$2
,054
$9,9
520.
0%
Pro
ject
Ope
ratio
n:$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
P
roje
ct M
anag
emen
t $0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
CO
NT
RA
CT
CO
ST T
OT
AL
S:$8
5,28
4$2
2,12
1$1
07,4
05$8
5,28
4$2
2,12
1$1
07,4
05$9
0,59
6$2
3,50
1$1
14,0
97
TO
TA
L P
RO
JEC
T C
OST
(FU
LL
Y F
UN
DE
D)
Effe
ctiv
e Pr
ice
Leve
l:Pr
ogra
m Y
ear (
Bud
get E
C):
Effe
ctiv
e Pr
ice
Leve
l Dat
e:
John
son
Coun
ty, S
ectio
n 20
2
PRO
JEC
T F
IRST
CO
ST(C
onst
ant D
olla
r B
asis)
Civ
il W
orks
Wor
k B
reak
dow
n St
ruct
ure
EST
IMA
TE
D C
OST
Estim
ate
Prep
ared
:
****
TO
TAL
PRO
JECT
CO
ST S
UMM
ARY
****
Prin
ted:
12/6
/201
9 Pa
ge 3
of 6
File
nam
e: J
ohns
on C
ount
y Al
ts T
PCS_
2019
-12-
3.xl
sxTP
CS
Alt 3
PRO
JEC
T:
DIS
TR
ICT
:L
ouis
ville
Dis
tric
tPR
EPA
RE
D:
12/6
/201
9PR
OJE
CT
NO
:P2
475
556
POC
: C
HIE
F, C
OST
EN
GIN
EE
RIN
G, J
ames
Ver
mill
ion
LOC
ATI
ON
:Pa
ints
ville
, KY
This
Est
imat
e re
flect
s the
scop
e an
d sc
hedu
le in
repo
rt;D
etai
led
Proj
ect R
epor
t, D
ec 2
019
Prog
ram
Yea
r (B
udge
t EC)
:20
20Ef
fect
ive
Pric
e Le
vel D
ate:
1 O
CT 1
9
Sp
ent T
hru:
WB
SCi
vil W
orks
COST
CNTG
CNTG
TOTA
LES
CCO
STCN
TGTO
TAL
1-O
ct-1
9IN
FLA
TED
COST
CNTG
FULL
NU
MB
ERFe
atur
e &
Sub
-Fea
ture
Des
crip
tion
($K
) (
$K)
(%
) (
$K)
(%
) (
$K)
($K
) (
$K)
($K
) (
$K)
(%
) (
$K)
($K
) (
$K)
AB
CD
EF
GH
IJ
KL
MN
O
02RE
LOCA
TIO
NS
$3,0
33$7
8926
.0%
$3,8
220.
0%$3
,033
$789
$3,8
22$0
$3,8
226.
1%$3
,219
$837
$4,0
5606
FISH
& W
ILD
LIFE
FA
CILI
TIES
$420
$109
26.0
%$5
290.
0%$4
20$1
09$5
29$0
$529
6.1%
$445
$116
$561
11LE
VEE
S &
FLO
OD
WA
LLS
$34,
759
$9,0
3726
.0%
$43,
797
0.0%
$34,
759
$9,0
37$4
3,79
7$0
$43,
797
6.1%
$36,
887
$9,5
91$4
6,47
715
FLO
OD
WA
Y C
ON
TRO
L &
DIV
ERSI
ON
STR
UC
$31,
971
$8,3
1226
.0%
$40,
283
0.0%
$31,
971
$8,3
12$4
0,28
3$0
$40,
283
6.1%
$33,
928
$8,8
21$4
2,74
918
CULT
URA
L RE
SOU
RCE
PRES
ERV
ATI
ON
$1,0
00$2
6026
.0%
$1,2
600.
0%$1
,000
$260
$1,2
60$0
$1,2
606.
1%$1
,061
$276
$1,3
3719
BU
ILD
ING
S, G
ROU
ND
S &
UTI
LITI
ES$4
66$1
2126
.0%
$587
0.0%
$466
$121
$587
$0$5
876.
1%$4
94$1
28$6
2320
PERM
AN
ENT
OPE
RATI
NG
EQ
UIP
MEN
T$1
,000
$260
26.0
%$1
,260
0.0%
$1,0
00$2
60$1
,260
$0$1
,260
6.1%
$1,0
61$2
76$1
,337
____
____
___
____
___
__
____
___
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
___
____
____
____
__
____
___
____
____
___
____
____
____
___
CO
NST
RU
CTI
ON
EST
IMA
TE T
OTA
LS:
$72,
649
$18,
889
$91,
538
0.0%
$72,
649
$18,
889
$91,
538
$0$9
1,53
86.
1%$7
7,09
5$2
0,04
5$9
7,14
0
01LA
ND
S A
ND
DA
MA
GES
$5,3
14$1
,329
25.0
%$6
,643
0.0%
$5,3
14$1
,329
$6,6
43$0
$6,6
432.
0%$5
,420
$1,3
55$6
,776
30PL
AN
NIN
G, E
NG
INEE
RIN
G &
DES
IGN
$8,0
00$2
,080
26.0
%$1
0,08
00.
0%$8
,000
$2,0
80$1
0,08
0$2
,900
$12,
980
4.1%
$8,3
30$2
,166
$13,
396
31CO
NST
RUCT
ION
MA
NA
GEM
ENT
$7,0
00$1
,820
26.0
%$8
,820
0.0%
$7,0
00$1
,820
$8,8
20$0
$8,8
2012
.8%
$7,8
99$2
,054
$9,9
52
PRO
JEC
T C
OST
TO
TALS
:$9
2,96
3$2
4,11
725
.9%
$117
,080
$9
2,96
3$2
4,11
7$1
17,0
80$2
,900
$119
,980
6.2%
$98,
745
$25,
619
$127
,264
C
HIE
F, C
OST
EN
GIN
EE
RIN
G, J
ames
Ver
mill
ion
EST
IMA
TE
D T
OT
AL
PR
OJE
CT
CO
ST:
$127
,264
PR
OJE
CT
MA
NA
GE
R, M
icha
el M
oore
CH
IEF,
RE
AL
EST
AT
E, V
eron
ica
CH
IEF,
PL
AN
NIN
G, A
my
Bab
ey
CH
IEF,
EN
GIN
EE
RIN
G, J
ohn
Boc
k
CH
IEF,
OPE
RA
TIO
NS,
Tim
Fud
ge
CH
IEF,
CO
NST
RU
CT
ION
, Kev
in J
effe
rson
CH
IEF,
CO
NT
RA
CT
ING
, Den
ise B
ush
CH
IEF,
RM
, Vic
ki V
asqu
ez
CH
IEF,
DPM
, Lin
da M
urph
y
TOTA
L PR
OJE
CT
CO
ST
(F
ULL
Y F
UN
DED
)
TOTA
L FI
RST
C
OST
John
son
Cou
nty,
Sec
tion
202
Civ
il W
orks
Wor
k B
reak
dow
n St
ruct
ure
ESTI
MA
TED
CO
STPR
OJE
CT
FIR
ST C
OST
(C
onst
ant D
olla
r B
asis
)
****
TO
TAL
PRO
JECT
CO
ST S
UMM
ARY
****
Prin
ted:
12/6
/201
9 Pa
ge 4
of 6
File
nam
e: J
ohns
on C
ount
y Al
ts T
PCS_
2019
-12-
3.xl
sxTP
CS
Alt 3
****
CO
NTR
AC
T C
OST
SU
MM
AR
Y *
***
PRO
JECT
:D
ISTR
ICT:
Loui
svill
e D
istri
ctPR
EPA
RED
:12
/6/2
019
LOCA
TIO
N:
Pain
tsvi
lle, K
YPO
C: C
HIE
F, C
OST
EN
GIN
EERI
NG
, Jam
es V
erm
illio
nTh
is E
stim
ate
refle
cts t
he sc
ope
and
sche
dule
in re
port;
Det
aile
d Pr
ojec
t Rep
ort,
Dec
201
9
3-D
ec-1
920
20
1-O
ct-1
91
OCT
19
RISK
BA
SED
WB
SCi
vil W
orks
COST
CNTG
CNTG
TOTA
LES
CCO
STCN
TGTO
TAL
Mid
-Poi
ntIN
FLA
TED
COST
CNTG
FULL
NU
MB
ERFe
atur
e &
Sub
-Fea
ture
Des
crip
tion
($K
) (
$K)
(%
) (
$K)
(%
) (
$K)
($K
) (
$K)
Dat
e (
%)
($K
) (
$K)
($K
) A
BC
DE
FG
HI
JP
LM
NO
Alte
rnat
ive
302
RELO
CATI
ON
S$3
,033
$789
26.0
%$3
,822
0.0%
$3,0
33$7
89$3
,822
2023
Q1
6.1%
$3,2
19$8
37$4
,056
06FI
SH &
WIL
DLI
FE F
ACI
LITI
ES$4
20$1
0926
.0%
$529
0.0%
$420
$109
$529
2023
Q1
6.1%
$445
$116
$561
11LE
VEE
S &
FLO
OD
WA
LLS
$34,
759
$9,0
3726
.0%
$43,
797
0.0%
$34,
759
$9,0
37$4
3,79
720
23Q
16.
1%$3
6,88
7$9
,591
$46,
477
15FL
OO
DW
AY
CO
NTR
OL
& D
IVER
SIO
N S
TRU
C$3
1,97
1$8
,312
26.0
%$4
0,28
30.
0%$3
1,97
1$8
,312
$40,
283
2023
Q1
6.1%
$33,
928
$8,8
21$4
2,74
918
CULT
URA
L RE
SOU
RCE
PRES
ERV
ATI
ON
$1,0
00$2
6026
.0%
$1,2
600.
0%$1
,000
$260
$1,2
6020
23Q
16.
1%$1
,061
$276
$1,3
3719
BU
ILD
ING
S, G
ROU
ND
S &
UTI
LITI
ES$4
66$1
2126
.0%
$587
0.0%
$466
$121
$587
2023
Q1
6.1%
$494
$128
$623
20PE
RMA
NEN
T O
PERA
TIN
G E
QU
IPM
ENT
$1,0
00$2
6026
.0%
$1,2
600.
0%$1
,000
$260
$1,2
6020
23Q
16.
1%$1
,061
$276
$1,3
37
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
___
____
____
___
____
___
____
____
____
____
_C
ON
STR
UC
TIO
N E
STIM
ATE
TO
TALS
:$7
2,64
9$1
8,88
926
.0%
$91,
538
$72,
649
$18,
889
$91,
538
$77,
095
$20,
045
$97,
140
01LA
ND
S A
ND
DA
MA
GES
$5,3
14$1
,329
25.0
%$6
,643
0.0%
$5,3
14$1
,329
$6,6
4320
21Q
12.
0%$5
,420
$1,3
55$6
,776
30PL
AN
NIN
G, E
NG
INEE
RIN
G &
DES
IGN
2.5%
P
roje
ct M
anag
emen
t $8
,000
$2,0
8026
.0%
$10,
080
0.0%
$8,0
00$2
,080
$10,
080
2021
Q1
4.1%
$8,3
30$2
,166
$10,
496
0.0%
P
lann
ing
& E
nviro
nmen
tal C
ompl
ianc
e$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
E
ngin
eerin
g &
Des
ign
$0$0
26.0
%$0
0.0%
$0$0
$00
0.0%
$0$0
$00.
0%
Rev
iew
s, A
TRs,
IEPR
s, V
E$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
L
ife C
ycle
Upd
ates
(cos
t, sc
hedu
le, r
isks
) $0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
C
ontra
ctin
g &
Rep
rogr
aphi
cs$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
E
ngin
eerin
g D
urin
g Co
nstru
ctio
n$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
P
lann
ing
Dur
ing
Cons
truct
ion
$0$0
26.0
%$0
0.0%
$0$0
$00
0.0%
$0$0
$00.
0%
Pro
ject
Ope
ratio
ns$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
31CO
NST
RUCT
ION
MA
NA
GEM
ENT
8.0%
C
onst
ruct
ion
Man
agem
ent
$7,0
00$1
,820
26.0
%$8
,820
0.0%
$7,0
00$1
,820
$8,8
2020
23Q
112
.8%
$7,8
99$2
,054
$9,9
520.
0%
Pro
ject
Ope
ratio
n:$0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
0.0%
P
roje
ct M
anag
emen
t $0
$026
.0%
$00.
0%$0
$0$0
00.
0%$0
$0$0
CO
NTR
AC
T C
OST
TO
TALS
:$9
2,96
3$2
4,11
7$1
17,0
80$9
2,96
3$2
4,11
7$1
17,0
80$9
8,74
5$2
5,61
9$1
24,3
64
TOTA
L PR
OJE
CT
CO
ST (F
ULL
Y F
UN
DED
)
Estim
ate
Prep
ared
:Pr
ogra
m Y
ear (
Bud
get E
C):
Effe
ctiv
e Pr
ice
Leve
l:Ef
fect
ive
Pric
e Le
vel D
ate:
John
son
Cou
nty,
Sec
tion
202
Civ
il W
orks
Wor
k B
reak
dow
n St
ruct
ure
ESTI
MA
TED
CO
STPR
OJE
CT
FIR
ST C
OST
(Con
stan
t Dol
lar
Bas
is)
Johnson County, KY Sec 202 Project December 2019
29
ATTACHMENT D
ANNUALIZED COST SUMMARY
Johnson County, KY Volume 5 Section 202 Project Cost Estimate
29 | P a g e
ATTACHMENT D
ANNUALIZED COST SUMMARY
PRESENTFUTURE WORTH PRESENT
YEAR WORTH FACTOR WORTH
1 119,700$ 0.97324 116,496$ 2 119,700$ 0.94719 113,378$ 3 119,700$ 0.92184 110,344$ 4 119,700$ 0.89717 107,391$ 5 131,040$ 0.87315 114,418$ 6 119,700$ 0.84978 101,719$ 7 119,700$ 0.82704 98,997$ 8 119,700$ 0.80491 96,347$ 9 119,700$ 0.78336 93,769$
10 131,040$ 0.76240 99,905$ 11 119,700$ 0.74199 88,817$ 12 119,700$ 0.72213 86,439$ 13 119,700$ 0.70281 84,126$
14 119,700$ 0.68400 81,874$
15 131,040$ 0.66569 87,232$ 16 119,700$ 0.64787 77,551$ 17 119,700$ 0.63053 75,475$ 18 119,700$ 0.61366 73,455$ 19 119,700$ 0.59723 71,489$ 20 131,040$ 0.58125 76,167$ 21 119,700$ 0.56569 67,714$ 22 119,700$ 0.55055 65,901$ 23 119,700$ 0.53582 64,138$ 24 119,700$ 0.52148 62,421$ 25 5,003,460$ 0.50752 2,539,362$ 26 119,700$ 0.49394 59,124$ 27 119,700$ 0.48072 57,542$ 28 119,700$ 0.46785 56,002$ 29 119,700$ 0.45533 54,503$ 30 131,040$ 0.44314 58,070$ 31 119,700$ 0.43128 51,625$ 32 119,700$ 0.41974 50,243$ 33 119,700$ 0.40851 48,898$ 34 119,700$ 0.39757 47,590$ 35 131,040$ 0.38693 50,704$ 36 119,700$ 0.37658 45,076$ 37 119,700$ 0.36650 43,870$ 38 119,700$ 0.35669 42,696$ 39 119,700$ 0.34714 41,553$ 40 131,040$ 0.33785 44,272$ 41 119,700$ 0.32881 39,359$ 42 119,700$ 0.32001 38,305$ 43 119,700$ 0.31144 37,280$ 44 119,700$ 0.30311 36,282$ 45 131,040$ 0.29500 38,656$ 46 119,700$ 0.28710 34,366$ 47 119,700$ 0.27942 33,446$ 48 119,700$ 0.27194 32,551$ 49 119,700$ 0.26466 31,680$ 50 131,040$ 0.25758 33,753$
SUM OF PRESENT WORTHS 10,970,820$ 5,762,371$ TOTAL ANNUAL COST 213,400$
NOTES: INTEREST RATE = 2.750%PROECT LIFE = 50
CAPITAL RECOVERY FACTOR = 0.03704091950
Johnson County 202 Alternatives SummaryANNUAL OPERATION & MAINTENANCE COST ESTIMATE (Oct '19 PL)
Alternatives 2 & 3
Johnson County, KY Volume 5 Section 202 Project Cost Estimate
30 | P a g e
ATTACHMENT E
OPERATION & MAINTENANCE COST SUMMARY
PRO
JEC
TTO
TAL
W/
YEA
RTO
TAL
Con
tinge
ncy
(from
CSR
A)
170
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
2
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
370
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
4
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
570
,000
9,00
05,
000
20,0
0010
4,00
013
1,04
0$
6
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
770
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
8
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
970
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
10
70,0
009,
000
5,00
020
,000
104,
000
131,
040
$
1170
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
12
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
1370
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
14
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
1570
,000
9,00
05,
000
20,0
0010
4,00
013
1,04
0$
16
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
1770
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
18
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
1970
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
20
70,0
009,
000
5,00
020
,000
104,
000
131,
040
$
2170
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
22
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
2370
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
24
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
2570
,000
9,00
05,
000
1,45
0,00
019
2,00
050
,000
300,
000
1,20
0,00
020
,000
675,
000
3,97
1,00
05,
003,
460
$
26
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
2770
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
28
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
2970
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
30
70,0
009,
000
5,00
020
,000
104,
000
131,
040
$
3170
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
32
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
3370
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
34
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
3570
,000
9,00
05,
000
20,0
0010
4,00
013
1,04
0$
36
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
3770
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
38
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
3970
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
40
70,0
009,
000
5,00
020
,000
104,
000
131,
040
$
4170
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
42
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
4370
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
44
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
4570
,000
9,00
05,
000
20,0
0010
4,00
013
1,04
0$
46
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
4770
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
48
70,0
005,
000
20,0
0095
,000
119,
700
$
4970
,000
5,00
020
,000
95,0
0011
9,70
0$
50
70,0
009,
000
5,00
020
,000
104,
000
131,
040
$
Tota
ls3,
500,
000
90,0
0025
0,00
01,
450,
000
019
2,00
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,000
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000
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000,
000
675,
000
8,70
7,00
010
,970
,820
$
OPE
RA
TIO
N &
MA
INTE
NA
NC
E C
OST
EST
IMA
TEPr
iced
by
Ant
icip
ated
Yea
r (b
acku
p ca
n be
foun
d in
acc
ompa
nyin
g sp
read
shee
t)
Min
or
Lev
ee
repa
irs
Lev
ee
Insp
ectio
nsM
owin
g,
Insp
ectio
ns, R
ipra
p Sp
ray
Floo
dwal
l W
ater
stop
R
epai
r
Rep
air
Tai
nter
Gat
e A
rms
Lin
e Sh
aft
Rep
air
Rep
lace
mot
ors
and
cabl
esR
epai
ring
seal
sFl
oodw
all
Join
t rep
air
Wir
e R
ope
Rep
lace
men
tG
reas
e L
ine
shaf
t, M
ech
Com
pone
nts/
Bus
hin
gs
O&
M fe
atur
es o
f Wor
kFr
eque
ncy
area
/ le
ngth
Estim
ated
cos
tAn
nual
cos
t
Leve
e M
aine
nace
Mow
ing,
Insp
ectio
ns, R
ipra
p Sp
ray
8 tim
es a
yea
r7.
7 ac
res +
2.6
Acr
es, F
lood
wal
l and
TG
Insp
ectio
ns*
70,0
00$
Ro
dent
Con
trol
annu
al e
xter
min
atio
n7.
7 ac
res
*Le
vee
Insp
ectio
nsev
ery
5 ye
ars
30 in
spec
tions
($30
0 ea
ch)
9,00
0$
M
inor
Lev
ee re
pairs
annu
al10
0 LF
5,00
0$
Ri
prap
spra
y4
times
a y
ear
.8 a
cres
*
Floo
d W
all
Floo
dwal
l ins
pect
ion
4 tim
es a
yea
r1.
3 m
iles
*Fl
oodw
all W
ater
stop
Rep
air
50 y
ears
5680
of w
all x
40'
mon
olith
s x $
10K
per m
onol
ith1,
450,
000
$
Fl
oodw
all J
oint
repa
irev
ery
10 y
ears
5680
' of j
oint
s*
Tain
ter g
ate
Tain
ter G
ate
Insp
ectio
ns4
times
a y
ear
1 st
ruct
ure
*Re
pairi
ng se
als
50 y
ears
300
LF o
f sea
ls (b
ased
on
Eagl
e Cr
eek)
19
2,00
0$
Re
pain
ting
Gate
s50
yea
rsIn
clud
ed in
Lin
e sh
aft r
epai
r cos
tW
ire R
ope
Repl
acem
ent
25 y
ears
50,0
00$
Repl
ace
mot
ors a
nd c
able
s50
yea
rs3
mot
ors a
nd 6
cab
les (
Use
Cos
t est
imat
e da
ta)
300,
000
$
Line
Sha
ft R
epai
r50
yea
rs3
shaf
ts (4
00,0
00 e
ach)
1,20
0,00
0$
Grea
se L
ine
shaf
t, M
ech
Com
pone
nts/
Bus4
tim
es p
er y
ear
20,0
00$
Repa
ir Ta
inte
r Gat
e Ar
ms
50 y
ears
3 ga
tes (
225,
000
each
)67
5,00
0$
*per
form
ed b
y 1
new
full
time
empl
oyee
, est
imat
ed a
t 70k
incl
udin
g be
nefit
s.
Johnson County, KY Volume 5 Section 202 Project Cost Estimate
34 | P a g e
ATTACHMENT F
MAJOR REHAB CALCULATION
Johnson County, KY Sec 202 Project December 2019
34
ATTACHMENT F
MAJOR REHAB CALCULATION
Johnson County, KY Volume 5 Section 202 Project Cost Estimate
35 | P a g e
ATTACHMENT G
CONSTRUCTION SCHEDULE
IDTa
sk
Mod
eTa
sk N
ame
Dura
tion
Star
tFi
nish
Pred
eces
sors
Reso
urce
Nam
es
1C
onst
ruct
ion
Sche
dule
1167
day
sTu
e 10
/27/
20Sa
t 1/6
/24
2 P
reco
nstr
uctio
n Ph
ase
67 d
ays
Tue
10/
27/2
0Fr
i 1/1
/21
3C
onst
ruct
ion
Con
tract
Aw
ard
5 da
ysTu
e 10
/27/
20M
on 1
1/2/
204
Not
ice
to P
roce
ed0
days
Mon
11/
2/20
Mon
11/
2/20
35
Gen
erat
e C
ontra
ctor
Sub
mitt
als
30 e
days
Mon
11/
2/20
Wed
12/
2/20
46
Rev
iew
/App
rove
Sub
mitt
als
30 e
days
Wed
12/
2/20
Fri 1
/1/2
15
7 C
onst
ruct
ion
Phas
e10
98 d
ays
Mon
1/4
/21
Sat 1
/6/2
48
Con
stru
ctio
n B
egin
567
days
Mon
1/4
/21
Thu
12/7
/23
9M
obili
zatio
n/Se
tup
10 d
ays
Mon
1/4
/21
Thu
1/21
/21
610
Cle
ar &
Gru
b Si
te3
days
Fri 1
/22/
21Tu
e 1/
26/2
19
11B
orro
w A
rea
Prep
339
days
Thu
1/2
8/21
Thu
10/
27/2
212
Cle
ar/G
rub
2 da
ysTh
u 1/
28/2
1Fr
i 1/2
9/21
1013
Exca
vatio
n/St
rippi
ng o
f Top
soil
5 da
ysM
on 2
/1/2
1M
on 2
/8/2
112
14C
lean
up B
orro
w A
rea
5 da
ysTh
u 10
/20/
22Th
u 10
/27/
2210
4,13
15D
emol
ition
for
Floo
dwal
l15
0 da
ysT
hu 1
/28/
21T
hu 1
1/4/
2110
16A
partm
ent B
uild
ing
56 d
ays
Thu
1/28
/21
Mon
5/1
0/21
917
Stru
ctur
es/G
arag
es15
0 da
ysTh
u 1/
28/2
1Th
u 11
/4/2
19
18I-
Wal
ls12
0 da
ysFr
i 11/
5/21
Mon
6/2
0/22
19Ex
cava
tion
2 da
ysFr
i 11/
5/21
Mon
11/
8/21
16,1
720
Driv
e Sh
eet P
ile54
day
sTu
e 11
/9/2
1Fr
i 2/1
8/22
1921
Plac
e I-
Wal
l Mon
olith
113
days
Fri 1
1/19
/21
Mon
6/2
0/22
20SS
+5 d
ays
2 C
rew
s22
10-f
t Int
erio
r T
-wal
ls17
4 da
ysT
hu 2
/10/
22T
ue 1
/3/2
323
Exca
vatio
n5
days
Thu
2/10
/22
Fri 2
/18/
2224
SS-5
day
s24
Driv
e Sh
eet P
ile43
day
sM
on 2
/21/
22M
on 5
/9/2
220
25Pl
ace
Floo
dwal
l Mon
olith
s10
5 da
ysTu
e 6/
21/2
2Tu
e 1/
3/23
24SS
+5 d
ays,2
12 C
rew
s26
15-f
t Int
erio
r T
-wal
ls16
6 da
ysM
on 5
/2/2
2T
hu 3
/9/2
327
Exca
vatio
n5
days
Mon
5/2
/22
Mon
5/9
/22
28SS
-5 d
ays
28D
rive
Shee
t Pile
4 da
ysTu
e 5/
10/2
2Tu
e 5/
17/2
224
2914
x 7
3 H
-Pile
s20
day
sTh
u 5/
19/2
2Fr
i 6/2
4/22
2830
Plac
e Fl
oodw
all M
onol
iths
35 d
ays
Thu
1/5/
23Th
u 3/
9/23
25,2
931
Inte
rcep
tor
Pipe
s99
day
sM
on 3
/13/
23T
hu 9
/14/
2332
Cut
Roa
d6
days
Mon
3/1
3/23
Tue
3/21
/23
3033
Exca
vate
13 d
ays
Thu
3/23
/23
Thu
4/13
/23
3234
Plac
e Pi
pe9
days
Fri 3
/31/
23M
on 4
/17/
2333
SS+5
day
s35
Bac
kfill
65 d
ays
Tue
4/18
/23
Thu
8/17
/23
3436
Rep
lace
Pav
emen
t Sec
tions
13 d
ays
Fri 8
/18/
23Tu
e 9/
12/2
335
37C
oncr
ete
Cur
b &
Gut
ter
1 da
yTh
u 9/
14/2
3Th
u 9/
14/2
336
38Ta
inte
r Gat
e St
ruct
ure
499
days
Thu
1/28
/21
Thu
8/24
/23
39C
onst
ruct
ion
Acc
ess/
Hau
l Roa
ds5
days
Thu
1/28
/21
Thu
2/4/
2110
40In
stal
l Cof
ferd
am64
day
sFr
i 2/5
/21
Fri 6
/4/2
139
41D
ewat
erin
g
37 d
ays
Mon
6/7
/21
Thu
8/12
/21
4042
Div
ersi
on C
ulve
rt - 1
0'x1
0' B
ox C
ulve
rt30
day
sM
on 6
/7/2
1Fr
i 7/3
0/21
4043
Exca
vate
and
Sto
ckpi
le31
day
sM
on 8
/16/
21Tu
e 10
/12/
2141
44En
tranc
e C
hann
el S
lab
90 d
ays
Thu
10/1
4/21
Tue
3/29
/22
51C
ontro
l Stru
ctur
e Sl
ab93
day
sM
on 1
/17/
22Th
u 7/
7/22
59St
illin
g B
asin
Sla
b72
day
sTu
e 4/
19/2
2Tu
e 8/
30/2
266
Still
ing
Bas
in W
alls
29 d
ays
Thu
9/1/
22Tu
e 10
/25/
2272
Nor
th P
iers
43 d
ays
Tue
9/20
/22
Thu
12/8
/22
78So
uth
Pier
s44
day
sTu
e 10
/18/
22Fr
i 1/6
/23
8428
-ft T
-Wal
l52
day
sM
on 1
/9/2
3T
hu 4
/13/
2389
Ent
ranc
e C
hann
el R
etai
ning
Wal
ls23
day
sM
on 1
/9/2
3M
on 2
/20/
2395
New
Gat
e H
oist
s/M
achi
nery
60 d
ays
Mon
12/
26/2
2Th
u 4/
13/2
376
,82,
7096
New
Gat
es60
day
sM
on 4
/17/
23Fr
i 8/4
/23
9597
Gat
e Te
stin
g10
day
sM
on 8
/7/2
3Th
u 8/
24/2
396
98L
evee
Con
stru
ctio
n18
4 da
ysFr
i 11/
5/21
Tue
10/
18/2
299
Stat
e St
reet
31 d
ays
Fri 1
1/5/
21M
on 1
/3/2
217
100
Flat
Roc
k31
day
sTu
e 1/
4/22
Tue
3/1/
2299
101
Bla
ckbe
rry
18 d
ays
Thu
3/3/
22M
on 4
/4/2
210
010
2C
ourth
ouse
2 da
ysTu
e 4/
5/22
Thu
4/7/
2210
110
3W
alnu
t Ave
9 da
ysM
on 4
/11/
22M
on 5
/16/
2210
210
4K
ing'
s Add
ition
40 d
ays
Tue
5/17
/22
Tue
10/1
8/22
103
105
Rem
ove
Box
Cul
verts
13 d
ays
Fri 8
/25/
23Tu
e 9/
19/2
397
106
Rem
ove
Cof
ferd
am32
day
sTh
u 9/
21/2
3Fr
i 11/
17/2
310
510
7St
agin
g A
rea
Res
tora
tion
5 da
ysM
on 1
1/20
/23
Tue
11/2
8/23
106,
37,1
0410
8D
emob
Fro
m S
ite5
days
Thu
11/3
0/23
Thu
12/7
/23
107
109
Con
stru
ctio
n C
ompl
ete
0 ed
ays
Thu
12/7
/23
Thu
12/7
/23
108
110
Proj
ect C
lose
out
30 e
days
Thu
12/7
/23
Sat 1
/6/2
410
911
1Pr
ojec
t Com
plet
e0
days
Sat 1
/6/2
4Sa
t 1/6
/24
110
11/2
2 Cr
ews
2 Cr
ews
12/7
1/6
H1
H2
H1
H2
H1H2
H1
H2H
1H2
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
Task
Split
Mile
ston
e
Sum
mar
y
Proj
ect S
umm
ary
Inac
tive
Task
Inac
tive
Mile
ston
e
Inac
tive
Sum
mar
y
Man
ual T
ask
Dura
tion-
only
Man
ual S
umm
ary
Rollu
p
Man
ual S
umm
ary
Star
t-on
ly
Fini
sh-o
nly
Exte
rnal
Tas
ks
Exte
rnal
Mile
ston
e
Dead
line
Prog
ress
Man
ual P
rogr
ess
Page
1
Proj
ect:
John
sonC
ty20
2_TS
PSch
Date
: Fri
12/6
/19
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