lebanese energy statistics: a decade in review 2001-2010

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Lebanese Energy Statistics: A Decade in Review 2001-2010. Dr. Joseph Al Assad. Plan. Energy Statistics. Energy Balance. Lebanese Energy Flow Model. Lebanese Energy Indicators. Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance. Energy Statistics. Importance of Energy Statistics. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Lebanese Energy Statistics: A Decade in

Review 2001-2010

Dr. Joseph Al Assad

Plan

Energy Statistics

Energy Balance

Lebanese Energy Flow Model

Lebanese Energy Indicators

Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 2/35

Energy Statistics

Indicators

Accounts and Balances

Basic Statistics

Data Collection

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 3/35

Importance of Energy Statistics

• Global picture of energy situation in a country

• Quality check on the data

• Comparison with other countries

• Starting point for the calculation of CO2 emissions and indicators

• Great help for decision makers

• Clear view of energy security and the country’s dependencies

• Corner stone for energy efficiency policies

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 4/35

Plan

Energy Statistics

Energy Balance

Lebanese Energy Flow Model

Lebanese Energy Indicators

Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 5/35

Supply Consumption

Energy Balance

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 6/35

• Are a compact source of energy information

• Require good quality statistics

• Enable accurate check of energy flows

• Are the foundation for basic energy indicators, energy accounts and for CO2

emissions estimates

Good Energy Balances

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 7/35

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 8/35

MEDSTAT Energy Balance

Primary Energy Transformation Secondary Energy Final Consumption

Energy Flow Diagram

9/35

Primary Vs. Secondary Energy

Used in its raw form

Maybe transformed

Coal - Crude Oil

Wind - Solar

Geothermal

Nuclear

Biomass

Resulting from a

transformation

Gasoline

Liquid gas

Asphalt

Kerosene

Electricity

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 10/35

Plan

Energy Statistics

Energy Balance

Lebanese Energy Flow Model

Lebanese Energy Indicators

Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 11/35

PG

Electricity

EDLElectricity

Final Energ

y C

onsu

mp

tion

LG

Hydro

Kerosene

Asphalt

SE Import

Gasoline

FO

GO

SWH

Lebanese Energy Flow Diagram

Industry

Private

Public

Private

Public

Energ

y Im

port

Transport

Residential

Non Energy

Heating

Cooling

12/35

3049 KWh/year for 208 litters systems

1089 KWh/year/m2

20000 m2

increase for 2005-2010

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

Primary Energy Consumption

≈ 43000 m2 for 2011

≈ 31000 m2 in 2012Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 13/35

Secondary Energy Import

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

1600000

1800000

Year

Gas

oli

ne

Imp

ort

(TO

E)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Year

Ker

ose

ne

Imp

ort

(TO

E)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Year

Liq

uid

Gas

Im

po

rt(T

OE

)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Year

Asp

hal

t Im

po

rt(T

OE

)

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 14/35

Gas Oil

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

Year

GO

Im

po

rt(T

OE

)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000Private Use

EDL Use

Year

GO

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n(T

OE

) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102,000.00

2,500.00

3,000.00

3,500.00

4,000.00

4,500.00

5,000.00

5,500.00

6,000.00

6,500.00

7,000.00

Year

To

tal

GO

Ele

ctri

c G

ener

atio

n (

GW

h)

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 15/35

Fuel Oil

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Year

Liq

uid

Gas

Im

po

rt(T

OE

)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

1600000

1800000Private Use

EDL Use

Year

Liq

uid

Gas

Im

po

rt(T

OE

) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100.00

1,000.00

2,000.00

3,000.00

4,000.00

5,000.00

6,000.00

Year

To

tal

FO

Ele

ctri

c G

ener

atio

n (

GW

h)

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 16/35

Hydroelectricity

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Year

Hy

dro

ele

ctr

icit

y(G

Wh

)

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 17/35

Electricity Import

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

EgyptSyria

Year

Ele

ctr

icit

y I

mp

ort

s(G

Wh

)

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 18/35

Plan

Energy Statistics

Energy Balance

Lebanese Energy Flow Model

Lebanese Energy Indicators

Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 19/35

Lebanese Energy Statistics

Indicators

Accounts & Balances

Basic Statistics

Data Collection

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 20/35

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

% Asphalt TOE% FO TOE% Kerosene TOE% Gasoil TOE% Liquid Gas TOE% of Gasoline TOE

Year

%

Shares of Fuel Sources

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 21/35

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Year

Tota

l Fue

l Im

port

(kgO

E pe

r cap

ita)

Fuel Import per Capita

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 22/35

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102100

2200

2300

2400

2500

2600

2700

2800

2900

2,418.76

2,557.672,535.552,521.612,530.08

2,425.872,474.17

2,649.81

2,738.70

2,861.04

Year

Gros

s Ele

ctric

ity P

ower

(kW

h/ca

pita

)

Electricity Consumption per Capita

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 23/35

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

0.00

209,456.17226,051.58235,948.04239,683.66

226,649.72231,629.44245,671.43251,796.17

267,360.19

Year

Tota

l Ele

ctric

ity B

illin

g(L

BP/c

apita

, inc

. VAT

)

EDL Bill per Capita

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 24/35

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Year

Tota

l Hyd

raul

ic E

lect

ricity

(kW

h/ca

pita

)

Hydroelectricity per Capita

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 25/35

10%

43%

47%

2005

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

4%

35%

61%

2001

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

7%

40%54%

2002

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

13%

48%

39%

2003

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

11%

48%

42%

2004

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

7%

55%

38%

2006

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

6%

57%

38%

2007

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

3%

62%

35%

2008

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

5%

57%

38%

2009

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

7%

56%

37%

2010

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

Electricity Shares

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 26/35

Imported Vs. Generated

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Imported Electricity

Generated Electricity

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 27/35

Electricity Self Dependency

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 28/35

Plan

Energy Balance

Lebanese Energy Flow Model

Energy Indicators

Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance

Energy Statistics

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 29/35

Choice of Units

MBtu

KWh

Mtoe

TJ

Mtce

Mboe

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 30/35

Choice of Conversion Factors

Fuel type

Fuel source

Definition of electricity conversion factors (FO, GO) 0.086Mtoe/TWh ????

Electricity imports

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 31/35

Data Availability

Difficult access to key sources and contacts

Unharmonized definitions

Shadow energy data (PG)

Complex energy flows

Interference between players’ authorities

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 32/35

Data Availability

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 33/35

PG

Electricity

EDLElectricity

Final Energ

y C

onsu

mp

tion

LG

Hydro

Kerosene

Asphalt

SE Import

Gasoline

FO

GO

SWH

Data Availability

Industry

Private

Public

Private

Public

Pri

mary

Energ

y

Transport

Residential

Non Energy

Heating

Cooling

??????

???

???

???

???

???

???

???

???

34/35

Thank You!

The Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation (LCEC)

Ministry of Energy and Water- Corniche du Fleuve- First Floor- Room 303

Telephone: 01-569101

01-565108

Email: energy@lcecp.org.lb

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 35/35

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