maidan summit 2012 dr. jyotsna puri, 3ie
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Using impact evaluations in sport: An art and a science
Dr. Jyotsna PuriHead of Evaluation
Deputy Executive Director, 3iewww.3ieimpact.org
PROGRESA
So what was different with Progesa?
• Why was it different?• Why did policy
makers take note?• ……• It was an IMPACT
EVALUATION!• ….• What is an IMPACT
EVALUATION??
Providing sports programs to disadvantaged youth
Before After
Project (treatment) 92
comparison
What do we need to measure impact?
Before versus after single difference comparisonBefore versus after = 92 – 40 = 52
Before After
Project (treatment) 40 92
comparison
But this could have happened in the absence of the program?!
The project led a larger number of girls and boys to higher levels of health.
Post-treatment comparisonSingle difference = 92 – 84 = 8
But we don’t know if they were similar before…
Before After
Project (treatment) 92
comparison 84
Before After
Project
Comparison
What do we need to measure impact?
Basic Setup of a Randomized Evaluation
Potential Participants
Evaluation Sample
Random Assignment
TreatmentGroup Comparison
Group
Participants No-ShowsBased on Orr (1999)
RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION
RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATIONRANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATIONRANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION
RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION RANDOMIZATION
RANDOMIZATION
RANDOMIZATION
Evidence on the impact of sport on development has been scarce.
An impact evaluation examining the impact of sport
Did the program cause an increase in development indicators amongst program participants?
Were the effects on boys and girls the same?
What are the necessary/sufficient conditions for success?
Can this be extrapolated to other circumstances/contexts?
2010 study on sports - Conclusions
Does sport contribute to personal development and well being of disadvantaged youth?•Unclear and non-significant impact on self-esteem and self-efficacy.•Peer leaders (South Africa: yes, Magic Bus: unclear)•HIV/AIDS, gender beliefs?
Evaluating Sports and development : A need for better thinking
• Ill defined program theory.• Small sample sizes• Survey samples powered
for heterogeneous impacts (e.g. girls vs. boys, starting levels of self-esteem)
• Before vs. after but comparisons not chosen well.
Improving Lives through Impact Evaluation
Improving the supply side and the demand side of evidence based developments
3ie
3ie sub-grant windows• Funds ‘IMPACT’
evaluations and provides technical expertise;
• Necessary attributes:- Counterfactual analysis- Policy relevant, LIMCs- Good program theory- Capacity development- High technical quality- Use mixed methods - Policy impact and
potential for scaling up
Policy impact!?!
We take sophisticated techniques
Which make nice academic studies
Which get published in top journals
Bridging the gap: Bringing facts to policy makers and program managers
• School based deworming: cuts absenteeism by one-fourth and costs only 50 cents/child/year.
• Conditional cash transfer programs: reduce poverty and increase level of secondary school enrollment.
• Financial performance incentives: can improve use and quality of health services.
Policy window grants
Preparation grants:
Policy Window
Sri Lanka, Philippines, Fiji, Ecuador, South Africa, NEPAD, Uganda etc.
3ie: State of the art expertise• More than 100 impact
evaluations.• Systematic reviews• Policy impact• More than 50 countries• Other:
– Staff expertise– Experts network– Training– Monitoring– In-house research
Impact Evaluations
– Efficacy and design– Effectiveness of
interventions. – Cost effectiveness of
interventions– Trade-offs and
unintended consequences.
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