manpower employment outlook survey: united states - q2, 2006
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8/9/2019 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q2, 2006
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Manpower
EmploymentOutlook SurveyUnited States
A Manpower Research Report
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Nearly 16,000 interviewshave been conducted withemployers across theUnited States to measureanticipated employmenttrends between April andJune 2006. All participants
were asked, How do youanticipate total employmentat your location to changein the three months tothe end of June 2006 ascompared to the currentquarter?
Among employers surveyed, 30% foresee an increase
in hiring activity during the second quarter of 2006, and6% anticipate a decline in staff levels. Fifty-eight percent
expect no change in hiring activity, while 6% have yet to
decide on their April June hiring plans.
When the seasonal variations are removed from the
data, the second quarter hiring projections follow the
pattern of the eight preceding quarters. Since the
second quarter of 2004, there has been almost no
change in the Net Employment Outlook for the United
States, and the momentum of this healthy hiring pace
is expected to continue through the middle of 2006.
Please note that throughout this report, the figure used
in all graphs is the Net Employment Outlook. This
figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers
anticipating an increase in hiring activity and subtracting
from this the percentage of employers that expect to
see a decrease in employment at their location in the
next quarter.
United States Employment Outlook
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Increase Decrease No Change Dont Know Net EmploymentOutlook SeasonallyAdjusted
% % % % % %
2nd Quarter 2005 30 7 58 5 23 20
3rd Quarter 2005 31 6 57 6 25 21
4th Quarter 2005 29 8 57 6 21 20
1st Quarter 2006 23 10 61 6 13 20
2nd Quarter 2006 30 6 58 6 24 21
The results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey in the United States include Puerto Rico.
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Employers in seven of the 10 industry sectors report
hiring plans that are on par with first quarter expectations,
including Construction, Durable and Non-Durable
Goods Manufacturing, Transportation/Public Utilities,
Wholesale/Retail Trade, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate
and Services.
Job prospects in the Mining sector are expected to pick
up considerably during the April June period. A dip in
hiring activity was predicted for the early months of the
year, but anticipated hiring for second quarter more
than makes up for the weak start. Education employers
The hiring outlook for the U.S. regions shows virtually
no change from first quarter projections. Staffing plans
for the Northeast, Midwest, South and West are all
expected to remain consistent through June 2006.
The April June hiring pace is also about the same as
it was a year ago in the Northeast, Midwest and South.
Employers in the West are slightly more optimistic about
their staffing plans than they were last year at this time.
Employers in the West are most optimistic about their
staffing plans, while those in the Midwest and Northeast
express the weakest hiring intentions.
are slightly more optimistic about hiring than they were
at the start of the year, while employer confidence in the
Public Administration sector has dipped.
A year-over-year comparison reveals similar hiring plans
among employers in Durable and Non-Durable GoodsManufacturing, Wholesale/Retail Trade and Services.
Construction, Education and Mining employers report
stronger job prospects than in the second quarter of
2005, while those in the Transportation/Public Utilities,
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate and Public
Administration sectors foresee a softer job market.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % %%%
Construction 43 3 49 405 28
Education 20 5 70 15 165
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 26 4 63 7 22 21
Manufacturing Durables 33 7 54 6 26 22
Manufacturing Non-Durables 28 7 60 5 1921
Mining 37 3 52 8 3334
Public Administration 23 5 62 18 1210
Services 31 6 57 6 25 21
Transportation & Public Utilities 23 6 65 6 17 17
Wholesale & Retail Trade 30 7 57 6 23 22
At the overall national level, the margin of error on the data is +/ 0.8%.
Net Employment SeasonallyIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
Outlook Adjusted
% % % %
Midwest
Northeast 27 9 58 6 18 17
31 5 57 7 26 23
27 5 64 4 22 17
South
West 35 7 51 7 28 26
% %
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Regional ComparisonsMidwest
Of the employers surveyed in the Midwest, 27%
anticipate adding to their payrolls for the second quarterof 2006, and 5% expect to reduce employment levels.
This yields a Net Employment Outlook of 22%. On a
seasonally adjusted basis, the Midwest is the picture of
stability with little change in hiring from first quarter and
a year ago at this time. Although the job market is
steady, employer confidence levels are weaker in
comparison with other regions.
In a quarter-over-quarter comparison, Mining employers
report the most notable change with a considerable spike
in confidence levels over first quarter. The employment
picture is expected to improve slightly in Education,
and Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing.
Wholesale/Retail Trade, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate
and Services employers expect little change in the
hiring pace, while a slow-down is predicted in the
Construction, Transportation/Public Utilities and Public
Administration sectors.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 27 5 64 4 22 17
Construction 40 2 53 5 38 18
Education 814 74 4 6 7
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 21 3 70 6 18 17
Manufacturing Durables 32 7 58 3 25 20
Manufacturing Non-Durables 28 5 62 5 23 20
Mining 40 0 60 0 3840
Public Administration 23 5 66 6 18 6
Services 27 5 63 5 22 18
Transportation & Public Utilities 20 725 3 15 16
Wholesale & Retail Trade 28 5 62 5 23 19
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The Midwest Region comprises the following states: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South
Dakota, Wisconsin.
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Northeast
Twenty-seven percent of employers in the Northeast are
likely to increase staff levels, while 9% expect to trim
payrolls in the second quarter of 2006, resulting in a
Net Employment Outlook of 18%. On a seasonallyadjusted basis, hiring intentions are similar to those
from first quarter and a year ago at this time. Among
the four regions, the hiring picture for the Northeast is
at the weak end of the scale.
When compared with the beginning months of 2006,
Wholesale/Retail Trade employers foresee a strong
acceleration in the hiring pace for the coming quarter.
Employers are slightly more positive about staffing in
Education and Public Administration. Job market
optimism is fading in Durable and Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing, and Construction. Compared with first
quarter, employer confidence in the Mining sector has
plummeted. Hiring is expected to remain unchanged in
Transportation/Public Utilities, Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate and Services.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 27 9 58 6 18 17
Construction 40 7 48 5 33 25Education 319 71 7 16 16
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 26 6 62 6 20 18
Manufacturing Durables 28 11 55 6 17 16
Manufacturing Non-Durables 24 9 62 5 15 15
Mining 0 25 75 0 -24-25
Public Administration 17 5 72 6 12 10
Services 27 8 58 7 19 16
Transportation & Public Utilities 20 668 6 12 14
Wholesale & Retail Trade 30 11 53 6 19 22
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
The Northeast Region comprises the following states: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania,
Rhode Island, Vermont.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
South
In the South, 31% of employers plan to add staff, while
5% expect personnel reductions. This creates a Net
Employment Outlook of 26%. Seasonally adjusted
survey data points to continued job market stability inthe region. For the second quarter of 2006, hiring plans
are on par with those from first quarter and a year ago
at this time.
Consistency is also the story in four of the industry sectors
surveyed. Compared to last quarter, the hiring pace is
expected to remain relatively unchanged in Construction,
Durable Goods Manufacturing, Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate and Public Administration. Mining employers are
significantly more confident about hiring in the April
June period. Employer confidence is also up, although
less dramatically, in Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Education and Services. At the other end of the
spectrum, employers in Transportation/Public Utilities
and Wholesale/Retail Trade reported softer hiring plans.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 31 5 57 7 26 23
Construction 43 2 49 6 41 32Education 422 69 5 18 21
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 26 3 62 9 23 22
Manufacturing Durables 35 5 51 9 30 25
Manufacturing Non-Durables 29 7 57 7 22 20
Mining 39 0 53 8 3639
Public Administration 24 4 57 15 20 15
Services 34 4 55 7 30 26
Transportation & Public Utilities 22 666 6 16 17
Wholesale & Retail Trade 32 6 56 6 26 26
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The South Region comprises the following states: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia.
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West
Thirty-five percent of employers surveyed in the West
foresee an increase in employment levels, and 7%
expect a decline in their payrolls. The result is a Net
Employment Outlook of 28%. When seasonal variationsare removed from the data, the West surfaces as the
region with the most promising employment prospects
for the second quarter of 2006.
Fueling the job market strength are some considerable
improvements in employer optimism. The hiring pace
in the Mining, Durable Goods Manufacturing and
Transportation/Public Utilities sectors is expected to be
notably stronger compared with first quarter. A moderate
gain in employer confidence is also evident among
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing, Finance/Insurance/
Real Estate and Education employers. Employers in the
Construction, Services, Public Administration and
Wholesale/Retail Trade sectors expressed more
conservative hiring plans over first quarter.
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 35 7 51 7 28 26
Construction 51 4 41 4 47 35Education 630 61 3 24 25
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 34 4 54 8 30 30
Manufacturing Durables 38 6 50 6 32 29
Manufacturing Non-Durables 34 6 56 4 28 25
Mining 40 7 40 13 3333
Public Administration 28 6 57 9 22 20
Services 39 7 47 7 32 27
Transportation & Public Utilities 30 545 11 25 27
Wholesale & Retail Trade 32 10 52 6 22 23
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The West Region comprises the following states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah,
Washington, Wyoming.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Sector ComparisonsConstruction and Mining employers are the most confident
about hiring plans for the second quarter of 2006,
according to seasonally adjusted survey results. Solid
job prospects are expected in seven of the 10 industry
sectors, including Education, Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate, Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Services, Transportation/Public Utilities and
Wholesale/Retail Trade. Employers in the Public
Administration sector are least optimistic about their
second quarter hiring pace.
Construction
Education
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Manufacturing Durables
Manufacturing Non-Durables
Mining
Public Administration
Services
Transportation & Public Utilities
Wholesale & Retail Trade
22
28
15
16
0 4540
3433
1812
25
17
21
2322
2622
21
17
19
21
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted Outlook
40
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
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Construction +28%
In the Construction sector, the hiring pace is expected
to remain historically high during the second quarter
of 2006. Seasonally adjusted survey results show
consistency in employer confidence levels comparedwith first quarter of this year, while job prospects are
slightly improved from a year ago.
During the April June period, hiring plans are most
buoyant in the West, while Construction employers in the
Midwest report considerably weaker hiring expectations.
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Education +16%
When seasonal variations are removed from the survey
data, Education employers expect a small pick-up in the
hiring pace during the second quarter of 2006. Hiring
plans are slightly more optimistic than those reported
for first quarter of 2006 and last year at this time.
As was the case last quarter, employers in the West are
more likely to staff up, while the hiring landscape in the
Midwest is predicted to be the more barren than in the
other regions.
-10
25
-5
0
5
10
15
20
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate +21%
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate employers remain
consistent in their hiring plans as they look ahead to the
second quarter of 2006. The seasonally adjusted survey
results indicate that the hiring pace in the comingquarter is expected to mirror that of first quarter 2006.
Compared to a year ago, employers are just slightly
less optimistic about their staffing plans.
A regional comparison reveals that employers in the
West have the strongest hiring plans, while those in the
Midwest report the weakest staffing expectations.
0
25
5
10
15
20
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Manufacturing Durable Goods +22%
Durable Goods Manufacturers are unmoved in their
hiring expectations, according to seasonally adjusted
survey data. For five consecutive quarters, there has
been little change in hiring plans. Thus, job prospects
for the second quarter of 2006 are similar to those
reported for the January March period and a year ago.
Hiring plans are most promising in the West, while the
weakest hiring activity is expected in the Northeast.
-10
-5
0
5
1015
20
25
30
35
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
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Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods+19%
According to seasonally adjusted data, Non-Durable
Goods Manufacturers foresee no change to the steady
hiring pace that has been in place for the past two years.
Employer confidence levels are identical to those reported
for the first quarter of 2006 and last year at this time.
For the second quarter, employers in the West are most
likely to add staff, while those in the Northeast have the
weakest hiring expectations.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Mining +33%
Employers in the Mining sector expect to hire at a strong
pace during the second quarter of 2006. According to
seasonally adjusted survey results, Mining employers
have the most optimistic hiring outlook among the
10 industry sectors surveyed. Hiring plans are considerably
improved from first quarter, and employers report a
modest gain in the hiring pace compared to a year ago.
Regional hiring patterns show that employers in
the Midwest expect to offer the most promising job
prospects, while those in the Northeast have the
weakest hiring intentions.
-10
35
-5
0
5
10
15
20
2530
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
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Transportation & Public Utilities +17%
Seasonally adjusted survey results reveal that confidence
among Transportation/Public Utilities employers is
expected to remain steady during the second quarter of
2006. Employers are equally as confident about hiring asthey were during the first quarter, and just slightly less
optimistic about staffing plans than they were a year ago.
The strongest hiring activity for the Transportation/Public
Utilities sector is expected in the West, while employers
in the Northeast are more reserved in their staffing plans.
-10
25
-5
0
5
10
15
20
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Wholesale & Retail Trade +22%
During the second quarter of 2006, Wholesale/Retail
Trade employers expect the hiring pace to remain
steady. When seasonal variations are removed from the
data, hiring plans are similar to those reported for the
January March period and a year ago at this time.
Employers in the South are most confident about hiring
in the coming quarter, while those in the Midwest have
the most conservative staffing plans.
-15
35
-10-505
1015202530
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
Net Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
Over 47,000 employers have been interviewed across
24 countries and territories to measure anticipatedemployment trends between April and June 2006.
Employers in 23 of the 24 countries and territories
surveyed expect to add to their workforces in the second
quarter of 2006, although 8 of the 24 countries and
territories are reporting weaker employment prospects
compared to last year at this time. All employers
report improved or equal Net Employment Outlooks
compared to three months ago, except those in the
UK, when seasonal adjustments are taken into
account. Employers in Peru joined the survey for the
Global Employment Outlook
first time this quarter and reported a buoyant forecast,
while employers in Germany reported only theirsecond positive Outlook since the survey began in
the country in Quarter 3 2003. Employers in Japan,
India, Taiwan and Peru reported the strongest hiring
expectations, with those in Italy reporting the weakest,
and only negative, forecast. Across Europe, the
majority of markets look set to improve from three
months ago, with the strongest hiring expected in
Spain, Norway and Sweden. In the United States and
Canada, seasonally adjusted data reveals stable and
continued buoyant hiring activity.
Americas
Canada
Mexico
Peru
Asia Pacific
Australia
ChinaHong Kong
Japan
India
New Zealand
Singapore
Taiwan
Europe
Austria
Belgium
France
Germany
Ireland
Netherlands
Norway
Spain
UK
Italy
Switzerland
Sweden
Net Employment Outlook
Net Employment Outlook
Net Employment Outlook
Quarter 2 2006
Quarter 2 2006
Quarter 2 2006
Quarter 1 2006
Quarter 1 2006
Quarter 1 2006
12
%
-3
8
0
-4
3
2
%
2 (17)1
17
-
%
20
15
24
16
27
9
22
11
11
8
2
9 (13)1
-2
21
%
7
8
4
5
7
9
%
29 (21)1
21
31
%
20
43
26
25
40
19
31
15
16
17
16
13 (11)1
-1
Qtr on Qtr Change
Q1 2006 to Q2 2006
Qtr on Qtr Change
Q1 2006 to Q2 2006
Qtr on Qtr Change
Q1 2006 to Q2 2006
9
10
0
4
9
4
7
27 (4)1
4
-
0
28
2
9
13
10
9
4
5
9
14
4 (-2)1
1
-7
5
1
2
6
9
-
3 (3)1
-1
-
-1
8
-4
6
-
7
-4
0
-3
7
7
-2 (-1)1
-4
Yr on Yr Change
Q2 2005 to Q2 2006
Yr on Yr Change
Q2 2005 to Q2 2006
Yr on Yr Change
Q2 2005 to Q2 2006
1. Number in parentheses is Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove the impact of seasonal variations in hiring activity for Canada, the UK
and the United States.
Quarter 2 2005
%
26 (18)1
22
-
United States 13 (20)1 24 (21)1 11 (1)1 1 (1)123 (20)1
Quarter 2 2005
%
21
35
-
28
-
19
35
30
12
Quarter 2 2005
%
2
7
2
-1
15
-2
19
10
9
15 (12)1
3
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50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
Canada
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Peru joined the survey in Q2 2006.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Mexico
Peru
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
USA
International Comparisons AmericasOver 21,000 interviews have been conducted across
Canada, Mexico, Peru and the United States tomeasure employment prospects for Quarter 2 2006.
Across the region, Net Employment Outlooks show
employers in all four countries anticipate strong hiring
activity during the next three months.
Seasonally adjusted data for the United States paints a
picture of stability, with the same steady hiring pace seen
throughout 2005 and the first quarter of 2006, continuing
in the second quarter. Employer hiring plans in Canada
have improved slightly from both Quarter 1 and last year.
Strong hiring expectations are also found in Mexico,
where the outlook is similar to last year at this time.
Employers in Peru joined the survey this quarter with a
particularly optimistic Net Employment Outlook.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
China joined the survey in Q2 2005.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
India joined the survey in Q3 2005.
Australia China
Hong Kong India
International Comparisons Asia PacificNearly 15,000 interviews have been conducted across
Asia Pacific to measure anticipated employment trendsbetween April and June 2006. Employment prospects
are positive across all countries surveyed in Asia Pacific,
with Outlooks improving from the first quarter across
all countries surveyed, except in Australia where the
forecast remains the same.
Japanese employers are reporting the strongest hiring
expectations in the region and among the 24 countries
and territories surveyed internationally. The second
quarter is Japans peak hiring season. Hiring activity is
also expected to be robust in India and Taiwan.
Meanwhile, employers in Singapore predict solid hiring
activity but continue to be the least optimistic in Asia
Pacific. Employers in China, Taiwan, New Zealand and
Australia expect reduced hiring activity for the second
quarter of 2006 when compared to last year at this time.
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Japan
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
New Zealand joined the survey in Q2 2004.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Taiwan joined the survey in Q2 2005.
New Zealand
Singapore Taiwan
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Austria Belgium
France Germany
International Comparisons EuropeOver 11,000 interviews have been conducted across
12 European countries to measure anticipatedemployment trends for the second quarter of 2006.
Hiring activity throughout Europe remains cautiously
optimistic, with many employers predicting an increase
in hiring intentions from first quarter and last year at this
time. On a year-over-year basis, the Net Employment
Outlooks across Europe have improved in seven of the
12 countries surveyed. When compared to first quarter,
hiring expectations have improved in 10 countries.
In addition, employers in four countries reported their
most optimistic hiring plans to date: Germany,
Netherlands, Spain and Switzerland.
Across the region, employment expectations are
strongest in Spain, Norway, Sweden and Ireland. Italianemployers again reported the least optimistic and only
negative employment prospects. German employers
have reversed their trend for negative expectations and
reported a positive Outlook for only the second time since
the survey began in the country in Quarter 3 2003. When
seasonal variations are taken into account, employment
prospects in the UK are slightly reduced from the first
three months of 2006 and last year at this time.
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Ireland Italy
Netherlands Norway
Spain Sweden
Switzerland UK
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook
Switzerland joined the survey in Q3 2005.
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
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2003 2004 2005 2006
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment OutlookSeasonally Adjusted OutlookSeasonally Adjusted Outlook
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey United States
About the SurveyThe Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted
quarterly to measure employers intentions to increase or
decrease the number of employees in their workforces during
the next quarter. The survey has been running for more than40 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of
employment activity in the world. Various factors underpin the
success of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey:
Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and area
of focus.
Projective:The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is the
most extensive, forward-looking employment survey in the
world, asking employers to forecast employment over the
next quarter. In contrast, other surveys and studies focus on
retrospective data to report on what occurred in the past.
Focused: For more than four decades, the survey has derivedall of its information from a single question.
Independent:The survey is conducted with a representative
sample of employers from throughout the countries in which it
is conducted. The survey participants are not derived from
Manpowers customer base.
Robust:The survey is based on interviews with more than
47,000 public and private employers across 24 countries and
territories to measure anticipated employment trends each
quarter.This sample allows for analysis to be performed across
specific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information.
MethodologyThe Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted
using a validated methodology, in accordance with the highest
standards in market research. The research team for the 24
countries and territories where the survey is currently
conducted includes Manpowers Market Intelligence team; the
Organization Research and Analysis Division of Right
Management Consultants an independent operating division
of Manpower Inc.; NOP World, Grupo IDM and DATUM
Research. The survey has been structured to be representative
of each national economy. The margin of error for all national,
regional and global data is not greater than +/- 4.1%.
In the United States, the national survey is conducted by
Manpowers North American Market Intelligence Team and
includes 16,000 employers. With this number of interviews,
the margin of error for the United States survey is +/- 0.8%.
Survey QuestionAll employers participating in the survey worldwide are asked
the same question, How do you anticipate total employment
at your location to change in the three months to the end of
June 2006 as compared to the current quarter?
Net Employment OutlookThroughout this report, we use the term Net Employment
Outlook. This figure is derived by taking the percentage of
employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and
subtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect tosee a decrease in employment at their location in the next
quarter. The result of this calculation is the Net Employment
Outlook.
Seasonal AdjustmentSeasonal adjustments have been applied to the data for Canada,
United Kingdom and the United States to provide additional
insight into the survey data. These adjustments make it
possible to review the data without the employment fluctuations
that normally occur at the same time each year, thus providing
a clearer picture of the data over time. Manpower intends to
add seasonal adjustments to the data for other countries inthe future, as more historical data is compiled.
History of the Survey1962 1st generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
1966 Manpowers UK operation launches the equivalent of
the United States survey, naming the report the Quarterly
Survey of Employment Prospects. The survey adopts
the same forward-looking research format as the United
States survey and is the first of its kind in Europe.
1976 2nd generation of Manpowers Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
Research methodology is updated to evolve with
advancements in the field of market research.
2002 Manpower UKs Quarterly Survey of Employment
Prospects is updated to adopt an enhanced research
methodology. Manpowers operations in Mexico and
Ireland launch the survey in their respective countries.
2003 3rd generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey is launched, expanding the program to a total
18 countries and territories worldwide: Australia,
Austria, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hong
Kong, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands,Norway, Singapore, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom
and United States.
2004 Manpower operations in New Zealand launch the
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.
2005 Manpower operations in China, India, Switzerland and
Taiwan launch the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey.
2006 Manpower operations in Peru join the survey program.
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About Manpower Inc.Manpower Inc. (NYSE: MAN) is a world leader in the
employment services industry; creating and delivering services
that enable its clients to win in the changing world of work.
The $16 billion company offers employers a range of servicesfor the entire employment and business cycle including
permanent, temporary and contract recruitment; employee
assessment and selection; training; outplacement;
outsourcing and consulting. Manpowers worldwide network
of 4,400 offices in 72 countries and territories enables the
company to meet the needs of its 400,000 customers per year,
including small and medium size enterprises in all industry
sectors, as well as the worlds largest multinational corporations.
The focus of Manpowers work is on raising productivity
through improved quality, efficiency and cost-reduction across
their total workforce, enabling clients to concentrate on their
core business activities. Manpower Inc. operates under fivebrands: Manpower, Manpower Professional, Elan, Jefferson
Wells and Right Management. More information on Manpower
Inc. is available at www.manpower.com.
About Manpower USAIn the United States, Manpower offers businesses a range
of HR services, in addition to providing administrative,
industrial and contact center personnel. Under the
Manpower Professional brand, the company placescontract professionals on assignment in areas such as
information technology, scientific, f inance, engineering and
telecommunications. More information about Manpowers
US operation can be found at www.us.manpower.com.
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Manpower Inc., 5301 N. Ironwood Rd., Milwaukee, WI 53217
Tel: 414 961 1000
www.us.manpower.com
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