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Mapping The Social Mapping The Social Significance of Phenologic Significance of Phenologic
ChangesChangesBRITTANY ORKNEYBRITTANY ORKNEY
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS:ACKNOWLEDGMENTS:
National Phenology NetworkNational Phenology NetworkJake Weltzin, Ph.D.Jake Weltzin, Ph.D.
Mark LoslebenMark LoslebenBarron Orr, Ph.D.Barron Orr, Ph.D.
PHENOLOGYPHENOLOGY
The study of the The study of the seasonal timing of seasonal timing of cyclical life eventscyclical life events National Phenology National Phenology
NetworkNetwork Monitors changes in Monitors changes in
natural environment natural environment through seasonal through seasonal timing of events.timing of events.
CLIMATE CHANGECLIMATE CHANGE
2007 Report from 2007 Report from Intergovernmental Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)Change (IPCC) Warming of the Warming of the
climate system is climate system is unequivocal unequivocal
COCO22 levels in the levels in the atmosphere are atmosphere are increasingincreasing
NASA Earth Observatory http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/Giants/Arrhenius/arrhenius_2.html
Phenologic AdaptationsPhenologic Adaptations
Associated Press coverage by Seth Associated Press coverage by Seth BorensteinBorenstein– Scientific data revealing earlier spring Scientific data revealing earlier spring
events in the United Statesevents in the United States Identifies pressing issues at hand as Identifies pressing issues at hand as
current trends stray from historical current trends stray from historical datadata
Map of Earlier SpringMap of Earlier Spring
Connecting Phenology to SocietyConnecting Phenology to Society
Society’s Society’s celebration and celebration and reliance on reliance on phenologic eventsphenologic events– Social impacts of Social impacts of
changing changing phenologiesphenologies
Popular Press SearchPopular Press Search
Systematic search of popular press on how Systematic search of popular press on how climate-phenologic change is affecting society.climate-phenologic change is affecting society.– Searched a number of online databases (i.e., typical Searched a number of online databases (i.e., typical
Google searches, NewsBank)Google searches, NewsBank)– Used a variety of keywords (e.g., blooming and Used a variety of keywords (e.g., blooming and
warming)warming)– Tracked and recorded search efforts (for repeatability)Tracked and recorded search efforts (for repeatability)– Compiled in a simple Excel database (for analysis)Compiled in a simple Excel database (for analysis)
Example: Tree Quality and Example: Tree Quality and Baseball BatsBaseball Bats
Pa., Mi., IlPa., Mi., Il– Decreasing quality Decreasing quality
of Ash Wood in the of Ash Wood in the manufacturing of manufacturing of Baseball Bats.Baseball Bats.
– Harming small town Harming small town economieseconomies
Source: Source: Balmy Weather May Balmy Weather May Bench a Baseball StapleBench a Baseball Staple. New . New
York Times- July 11, 2007York Times- July 11, 2007
Image from:http://www.justbats.com/images/products/item-wo08-wp243.jpg
Example: Extending Hunting Example: Extending Hunting SeasonsSeasons
MissouriMissouri– Hunting seasoned Hunting seasoned
doubled in lengthdoubled in length– Threat of altered Threat of altered
migration routemigration route
Source: Source: In Duck Blinds, Visions of In Duck Blinds, Visions of Global Warming.Global Warming. New York Times- New York Times-
December 11, 2007December 11, 2007
Image from: http://www.ducks.org/Hunting/MigrationMap/3602/DUMigrationMapReturnsFall2008.html
Accessible ResultsAccessible Results
Tabular data are not enoughTabular data are not enough Public access and understanding is Public access and understanding is
more likely using mapsmore likely using maps Creating a Google “My Map” and made Creating a Google “My Map” and made
publically accessiblepublically accessible
Accessible ResultsAccessible Results
Conclusions Conclusions
Climate change is happening and Climate change is happening and affecting phenologic calendarsaffecting phenologic calendars
These changes are impacting societyThese changes are impacting society Bridging the science and society at Bridging the science and society at
largelarge
Questions?Questions?
Special Thanks To:Special Thanks To:The National Phenology NetworkThe National Phenology Network
Jake WeltzinJake Weltzin
Mark LoslebenMark Losleben
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