mark smolinski big data and public health

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Ending Pandemics:  Big Ideas, Big Data and You!

Mark Smolinski, MD, MPHSkoll Global Threats Fund

Big Data and Public HealthOctober 24, 2013

Epidemic curve

Routine disease reporting

TIME

CASES

Epidemic curve

Routine disease reporting

Astute clinician reports

TIME

CASES

Epidemic curve

Routine disease reporting

Astute clinician reports

Sentinel networks

TIME

CASES

Epidemic curve

Routine disease reporting

Astute clinician reports

Sentinel networks

Digital disease detection

TIME

CASES

Epidemic curve

Routine disease reporting

Astute clinician reports

Sentinel networks

Digital disease detection

Participatory epidemiology and future innovations

TIME

CASES

Epidemic curve

Routine disease reporting

Astute clinician reports

Sentinel networks

Digital disease detection

Participatory epidemiologyand future innovations

TIME

CASES

Even earlier: disease surveillance in animals

Early detection is working

19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009

150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS167 Days

23 Days

Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Early detection is working

19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009

150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS

GOARN

GPHIN & ProMed

New International Health Regulations

Approved

New International Health Regulations

Implemented

Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Flu Trends

Flu Trends

Flu Trends

Flu Trends

Flu Trends

Flu Trends

Flu Trends

19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009

150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS

20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

1996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Early detection is working

New ideas, policies and technologies

Quicker Detection=Smaller Epidemics

19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009

150 DAYS50 DAYS 100 DAYS

20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Chan et al. 2010. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

1996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

New ideas, policies and technology

New ideas, policies and technologies

Quicker Detection=Smaller Epidemics

A Better and Faster Signal?

A Better and Faster Signal?

25

AND PERSONNAL PROGRESS

VACCINE INFORMATION

The first year of participatory surveillance

Hotspots for pandemic threats

Expanded Symptoms

Expanded Geographies

Taking Participatory Surveillance to where it is most needed now.

pushing the boundaries of surveillanceEnding Pandemics in Our Lifetime

Training the next generation of field epidemilogists…

faster detection across the globeEnding Pandemics in Our Lifetime

Thank you!

mark@skollglobalthreats.org

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