mobile operators: from packet delivery to content logistics
Post on 27-Nov-2014
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Faster Networks Faster to the Abyss?
From “packet delivery” to “content logistics”
Maximilian OttCTO, Incoming Media
max@incoming-media.com
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Objective
• Carriers need to provide a different service• From “packet/bit delivery” to “content logistics”
• Outline• Why nobody likes Carriers• The Standoff between Carrier & Service Providers• Incoming: Solving Mobile Video with Data Science• A Proposal for a new Carrier Service
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Nobody likes Carriers
Voice
SMS
http://bit.ly/1bOmlVl
Not too long ago they actually provided a service customers wanted
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Nobody likes Carriers
Voice
SMS
http://bit.ly/1bOmlVl
YouTube
Carrier
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… Even the Financial Markets
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… Even the Financial Markets
• Carriers look more & more like utilities• Valuation (P/E Multiple) will drop accordingly
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Mexican Standoff
ServiceProvider
Carrier
Advertiser
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But it is a Symbiotic Dependency
• Increased User Experience, increased Income• Great User Experience requires great network
• Service Providers need to incentivize Carriers to help maximizing User Engagement
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How to Share?
ServiceProvider
Carrier
Advertiser ???
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How to Share – Shapley Values?
• Model as a cooperative game which derives a distribution among the players of the total surplus generated by their coalition.
• http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shapley_value• Ma, et al, Internet Economics: The use of Shapley value for ISP
settlement, CoNeXT ‘07
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More pragmatic – Let’s look at Cost
• What is the REAL cost of delivering a Movie?• Infrastructure (CapEx) & Operation (OpEx)
• Dominated by Capex• Capex driven by PEAK demand• Leads to Congestion Pricing
• Cost varies greatly based on congestion – Orders of Magnitude!• Same for service providers (servers, connectivity)
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More pragmatic – Let’s look at Cost
Real delivery cost of a Bit can vary by
Orders of Magnitude!
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Lower the Peaks, Filling the Valleys
Time-shifting
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Lower the Peaks, Filling the Valleys
Time-shifting
But Data Services cannot do that!
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What is the traffic mix?
VideoWeb Games
Voice M2M
Live
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Anything special about Video?
t
“Created”
Hours – days - months
Consumed
FedEx – Packet delivery?
FedEx – Logistics Company!
FedEx – Logistics Company!
The ideal place for zero-latency delivery
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Content Logistics
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Content Logistics – Control Peaks
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Lowering Cost by Increasing Traffic!
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Incoming Media
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The Phone IS part of the network!
• Lots of storage• Lots of processing• Big screen• Lots of sensors• ONE, very loyal user• The FIRST screen
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Incoming Media
• Smart on-device content pre-positioning• Create great mobile video experiences• Increase engagement and satisfaction• Save money doing this
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Incoming’s Solution
• Pre-fetching content on the mobile utilizing spare network capacity when available.
• Decision what and when to pre-fetch is based on our ability to learn (and predict):• user behavior• user’s social network behavior• mobile’s context and network environment• operator’s preferences
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Incoming’s Architecture
Incoming TV App
• Proves value proposition of Smart Caching to user
• Over 1.3M installs
• 80% cache-hit ratio
• Top 20% users watching 10 to 20+ mins per day
• Zero mobile data cost
• Instant start, zero stalling, zero buffering, HD video
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What should Carriers do?
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Content Logistics Service
• New content-centric network API• This is a bit different to CCN proposals
• Smart distributed storage • This includes mobile device (terminals)• Opportunistic pre-positioning of content
• Less-than-best-effort traffic class• Only forward when there is nothing else to
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Content-centric network API
• Declaring of intent• Probabilistic intent of future use
• Declaring meta-data• Prediction algorithms rely on discovering
correlations• Providing feedback
• What was the final utility of retrieved content
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Smart distributed storage
• Storage before bottleneck• Using meta-data and past behavior to predict:
• what to store• when to move between storage
• Building on IEEE 2200 (HQME)?
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New Traffic Class
• Less-than-best-effort traffic class• Focus on keeping pipes full
• Using IP Header DiffServ Code Points (DSCP)?• Technology is there• May require new Traffic Management insights• Various large carriers are thinking about it• Interest in exploiting LTE Broadcast
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Conclusion
• Carriers need to provide a different service• From “packet/bit delivery” to “content logistics”
• Video is THE dominating traffic source• Need new technical approach & business
model to tackle it• Move from ‘dumb pipes’ to ‘smart logistics’
Faster Networks Faster to the Abyss?
From “packet delivery” to “content logistics”
Maximilian OttCTO, Incoming Media
max@incoming-media.com
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