morning report 08dec2014
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8-Dec-14
Source: Bloomberg compounded midpoint rate
Contact us: Golomt Bank Treasury Division, Ulaanbaatar-210620A, Mongolia; Tel:+976-70127676, Facsimile: +976-11-311958
Policy Rate Last Prior Last Change date
BoM Policy rate 12.00 10.50 07/31/2014
China Target rate 5.60 6.00 11/24/2012
U.S Fund rate 0.25 1.00 12/16/2008
Euro Refinance rate 0.05 0.15 09/04/2014
U.K Official rate 0.50 1.00 05/03/2009
Japan Target rate 0.10 0.30 12/19/2008
Bank of Mongolia Rate Last Prior Last Change date
Overnight repo 14.00 12.50 07/31/2014
Overnight deposit 10.00 8.50 08/01/2014
Repo 12.50 11.00 08/02/2014
Money Market Rates Indicator 0.2354 0.21 -4.37
LIBOR USD 3M 0.2356 0.11 -4.27
LIBOR EUR 3M 0.0579 2.53 -78.22
LIBOR GBP 3M 0.5559 0.57 5.82
LIBOR JPY 3M 0.1064 -2.62 -28.02
SHIBOR CNY 3M 6.80 - 11.84
UBIBOR 3 month 12.50 0.00 -
Stock Indices
Mongolia Related Companies’ Securities
Stocks Crncy Volume
ths. USD Close
1D %
Chg
YTD %
Chg
MMC HKD 12463.5 0.44 -7.45 -37.89
SGS HKD 35.4 3.89 -2.75 -43.46
TRQ USD 3026.2 3.11 -0.96 -5.76
Bonds Crncy Yields Mid price Day
change
DB Bond USD 6.46 98.50 -
MMC Bond USD 28.40 68.50 -
TDBM 2015 USD 8.64 99.88 -
TDBM 2017 CNY 11.17 97.81 0.01
Mongol 2018 USD 5.91 95.06 -0.07
Mongol 2022 USD 6.84 89.57 -0.08
Samurai 2023 JPY 1.11 103.38 0.00
Commodity Prices
Indicator Last 1D % Chg YTD % Chg
Crude oil 64.88 -1.46 -34.08
Gold 1,192.53 0.22 -1.04
Copper 6,515.00 -0.31 -11.67
IronOre/Beijing/ 565.00 0.00 -28.03
Coal/Tianjinl/ 860.00 0.00 -26.50
Highlights U.S
Dollar Extends Rallies Versus Yen, Aussie as Economies Diverge Emerging Markets Approach Decade Low on Dollar, Oil: Currencies U.S. Jobs Report Can Seem Like Nerd's Rorschach Test
Europe ECB Loans Seen as Underwhelming Banks to Stoke Draghi’s Resolve BOE Disregards Rate Guidance to Stress the Biggest U.K. Banks Putin’s New Deal for Russia Spells End to 15 Years of Wage Gains
Asia EJapan Recession Deeper Than First Thought as Election Looms Asian Stocks Rise as Payrolls Boost Optimism, Dollar; Oil Sinks China Probe of Zhou for Secrets Leaks May Mean Closed-Door Trial
Commodity
Oil Extends Drop From Five-Year Low as U.S. Drill Rigs Increase Gold Bulls Return as Wagers on Stimulus Accumulate: Commodities Copper Falls as Job Gains Spur Interest Rate Bets: LME Preview
Foreign Exchange Market
8-Dec-14 9:02 5-Dec-14 0:00 1D % Chg YTD % Chg
EUR/USD 1.2295 1.2293 0.0163 -10.8347
GBP/USD 1.5575 1.5590 -0.0962 -5.9821
USD/CHF 1.0222 1.0224 0.0196 9.9491
USD/CNY 6.1500 6.1530 0.0488 -1.5415
USD/JPY 121.48 121.5300 0.0412 -13.3520
Mongolian Economic Indicators YTD Indicators unit Oct.2013 Oct.2014
Change YoY %
Money supply ( M2 ) bln.MNT 8715.9 9980.3 14.5%
CPI index YoY Chg Percent 9.7 9.3 -4.1%
Expenditure of Government Budget bln.MNT 3539 4122.6 16.5%
Government Budget Balance bln.MNT -183 -278.5 -52.2%
Imports mln.USD 5341 4474.3 -16.2%
External trade Balance mln.USD -1860.8 131.4 -107.1%
-4.65
-1.77
21.48
1.92
6.16
6.93
8.56
2.67
2.14
3.20
2.19
0.00
0.11
1.32
0.71
0.19
2.70
2.39
0.95
0.17
0.24
0.33
-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 1012141618202224
Commodity - 112.20
Top20-MSE - 15,040.45
Shanghai - 2,937.65
Hang Seng - 24,002.64
Nikkei 225 - 17,935.85
Stoxx 50 - 3,277.38
DAX - 10,087.12
FTSE 100 - 6,742.84
S&P 500 - 2,075.37
NASDAQ - 4,780.76
Dow Jones - 17,958.79
INDICATOR - LAST 1D % Chg 1M % Chg
(200.0)
(150.0)
(100.0)
(50.0)
0.0
50.0
100.0
9-S
ep
11-
Sep
16-
Sep
18-
Sep
23-
Sep
26-
Sep
30-
Sep
2-O
ct
7-O
ct
9-O
ct
14-O
ct
28-
Oct
4-N
ov
6-N
ov
11-N
ov
13-N
ov
19-N
ov
25-N
ov
2-D
ec
Mill
ion
s
Central bank USD swap auction
Buy order from banks
BoM sold USD
Sell order from banks
Bom bought
BOM
sold USD BOM bought USD
BOM
sold USD BOM bought USD
BOM
sold USD BOM bought USD
BOM
sold USD BOM bought USD
BOM
sold USD BOM bought USD
BOM
sold USD BOM bought USD
BOM
sold USD BOM bought USD
Source: Bloomberg compounded midpoint rate
Contact us: Golomt Bank Treasury Division, Ulaanbaatar-210620A, Mongolia; Tel:+976-70127676, Facsimile: +976-11-311958
2 8-Dec-14 MORNING REPORT Treasury Division
Gov.Bill auction calendar
Government bill type
Announcement date
Trading date
Settlement date
Amount
12 weeks 11/07/2014 11/12/2014 11/17/2014 40 Billion
28 weeks 11/14/2014 11/19/2014 11/24/2014 40 Billion
5 years 11/14/2014 11/19/2014 11/24/2014 10 Billion
12 weeks 11/21/2014 11/26/2014 12/01/2014 30 Billion
52 weeks 11/28/2014 12/03/2014 12/08/2014 30 Billion
3 years 11/28/2014 12/03/2014 12/08/2014 10 Billion
12 weeks 12/05/2014 12/10/2014 12/15/2014 50 Billion
28 weeks 12/12/2014 12/17/2014 12/22/2014 60 Billion
5 years 12/12/2014 12/17/2014 12/22/2014 10 Billion
12 weeks 12/19/2014 12/24/2014 12/29/2014 50 Billion
Economic events Event Survey Actual Prior
GE Factory Orders MoM Oct 0.5% 2.5% 0.8%
GE Factory Orders WDA YoY Oct - 2.4% -1.0%
EC GDP SA QoQ 3Q P 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
EC GDP SA YoY 3Q P 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
EC Household Cons QoQ 3Q 0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Nov 230K 321K 214K
US Change in Private Payrolls Nov 225K 314K 209K
CA Net Change in Employment Nov 0.0K -10.7K 43.1K
US Change in Manufact. Payrolls Nov 15K 28K 15K
US Unemployment Rate Nov 0.06 5.8% 5.8%
US Trade Balance Oct -$41.2B -$43.4B -$43.0B
Economic events calendar Time Event Survey Prior
13:00 JN Eco Watchers Survey Current Nov 45.80 44.00
13:00 JN Eco Watchers Survey Outlook Nov 47.00 46.60
15:00 GE Industrial Production SA MoM Oct 0.4% 1.4%
15:00 GE Industrial Production WDA YoY
Oct 0.9% -0.1%
15:30 FR Bank of France Bus. Sentiment
Nov 96.00 96.00
17:30 UK Lloyds Employment Confidence
Nov -- 0.0%
17:30 EC Sentix Investor Confidence Dec (9.00) (11.90)
21:15 CA Housing Starts Nov 195.0K 183.6K
21:30 CA Building Permits MoM Oct 3.9% 12.7%
23:00 US Labor Market Conditions
Index Change Nov -- 4.00
Disclaimer:
The information contained in this report is for general information purposes only. The information and opinions contained herein has been compiled or arrived
at based upon information obtained from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith. Such information has not been independently verified and no
guaranty, representation or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness, reliability or suitability.
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0
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
200,000
9.00%
10.00%
11.00%
12.00%
13.00%
14.00%
15.00%
16.00%
17.00%
Mill
ion
s
Government bond auction
Total demand Government sold Min rate
Weighted average rate Max rate
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