nielsen-gammon, texas weather update

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Texas Weather UpdateJune 2016

John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M UniversityTexas State Climatologist

Weekly number of flood reports through November

October 24, 2015

Rank of Late October 2015 Texas Storm Statewide, since 1950

• One day: 1.27” (2nd)• Two days: 2.34” (1st)• Three days: 3.02” (1st)• Four days: 3.61” (1st)• Five days: 3.88” (1st)• Six days: 3.96” (2nd)• Seven days:3.97” (2nd)

• Eight days: 3.97” (3rd)

• Nine days: 4.56” (1st)• Ten days: 5.14” (1st)

• 14 days: 5.54” (3rd)– (4th: May 2015, 5.17”)

La Niña and Water

End of Drought Cycle? We’ll see

Summary

• 2015 and 2016 have been wild so far, even for El Niño years

• Stage set for “cool” early part of summer• La Niña likely this fall and winter

– Tilts odds toward warmer, drier conditions• The next couple of years will determine

whether Texas has ended its drought cycle

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