october 19, 2010 state growth model 2006-10 trends ayp results 2010 school committee presentation...
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Brockton Public Schools
October 19, 2010
State Growth Model
2006-10 Trends
AYP Results
2010 School Committee Presentation
Brockton Public Schools
How did we do?
It depends…
Brockton Public Schools
2010 School Committee Presentation
• Accomplishments• Concerns• Changes
AYP Results
• Gap Analysis• Grade Level Analysis• Subgroup Performance
CPI Performance
• Primer• Gap Analysis
State Growth Model
Brockton Public Schools
• Status
• Accomplishments
• Concerns
• Changes
AYP
Brockton Public Schools
Brockton AYP 2010 Results
Adequate Yearly Progress History
NCLB Status 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
ELA
Aggregate Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes NoCorrective Action - Subgroups
All Subgroups - - No No No No No No No No
MATH
Aggregate Yes Yes Yes No No Yes Yes Yes Yes NoCorrective Action - Subgroups
All Subgroups - - No No No No No No No No
Brockton Public Schools
The Challenge of AYP: Rising Targets
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Cycle II Cycle III Cycle IV Cycle V Cycle VI Cycle VII Cycle VIII
70.775.6
80.585.4
90.295.1
100
53.0
60.8
68.7
76.5
84.3
92.2
100
Brockton Public Schools
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Cycle II Cycle III Cycle IV Cycle V Cycle VI Cycle VII Cycle VIII
70.7
75.680.5
85.4
90.2
95.1100
79.683.1
83.2 84.2 83.7 84.485.8 85.2
86.586.9
68.0 67.8
73.275.0 74.4 75.1
77.0 76.677.9 77.1
MCAS ELA Performance Targets
State
BPS
Brockton Public Schools
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Cycle II Cycle III Cycle IV Cycle V Cycle VI Cycle VII Cycle VIII
65.0 65.2
69.3 70.472.4 72.5
76.277.7 78.5
79.9
51.651.1
55.6 56.358.6 59.6
65.667.5 67.1 66.9
53.0
60.8
68.7
76.5
84.3
92.2
100
MCAS Math Performance Targets
State
BPS
Brockton Public Schools
21 Ways to Miss AYP
North Middle School Math
7 Targets3 Categories A + (B or C) + D = AYP
Brockton Public Schools
AYPAccomplishments
Angelo, Ashfield, BHS, Davis, North, Plouffe, South,& West Earned High
Performance Ratings in ELA
Angelo, Davis, North, & Plouffe made AYP in the Aggregate for
ELA
Ashfield, North & Plouffe made AYP in
the Aggregate for Math
Brockton Public Schools
AYP Challenges
District Missed AYP
at Every Grade Band.
No School Made AYP in
Both Aggregate
and Subgroups.
Brockton Public Schools
Changes
• National StandardsCommon Core
• National AssessmentsCommon Core Assessments
• Potential Changes in NCLBNew Tiers and Levels
Brockton Public Schools
• Aggregated & Disaggregated
• 2006-10 Trends & 2010 Results
CPI Performance
Brockton Public Schools
ELA CPI: Three Different LevelsThree Different Stories
Aggregate
Grade Band
Grade Level
Brockton Public Schools
ELA CPI Aggregate BPS vs. State
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
84.4
85.885.2
86.5 86.9
75.1
77.0 76.6
77.977.1
9.3
9.8
BPS
State
Brockton Public Schools
ELA CPI by Grade Band
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
72.772.8
69.5 70.571.572.5
79.3 80.281.8
79.881.7
83.2
8889.1
86.7
ELM MID HIGH
5 Gain
7.3 Gain
-1.2 Decline
2010
-2.4
-2
+1
Brockton Public Schools
2006-10 ELA CPI Gain/Loss by Grade Level
All Grd 3 Grd 4 Grd 5 Grd 6 Grd 7 Grd 8 Grd 10
2.0
-2.4 -2.2
-0.4
-3.8
9.88.8
2.72.5 2.4
1.30.5
1.9
4.0
2.1
5.1
BPS State
Elementary Losses
Secondary Grade Gains
Small Gain
5.8 Gain 6.7 Gain
Brockton Public Schools
2010 ELA Gains
All Grd 3 Grd 4 Grd 5 Grd 6 Grd 7 Grd 8 Grd 10-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
-0.6
5.6
-2.4
-0.5
-2.5
0.9
-4.4
-2.4
0.4
3.2
0.2
-1.5
1.10.5
-0.7-0.3
BPS State
+ 2.4
+ 1
+ .4
Brockton Public Schools
Grade 3 ELA Reversal? 2010 Outgains State
1 2 3 4 5
83.4 83.581.5 82.6
85.8
76.6
72.569.7 68.6
74.2
5.6 Gain
3.2 Gain2.4 Gain
-2.4 Loss
BPS
State
Brockton Public Schools
Grade 8 ELA 1 Year Regression: 5 Year Positive Trend
1 2 3 4 5
86.75205518670587.9
90.392.2 91.9
74
81.183.1
87.2
82.8
8.8 Gain
13.2
-4.4
Brockton Public Schools
2010 ELA CPA Aggregate
Worcester Lynn Brockton New Bedford Fall River Lowell Boston Lawrence Springfield State Totals
77.4 77.2 77.1
75.4 75.0 74.9 74.873.7
70.8
86.9
9.8 Gap
.3 Gap
Brockton Public Schools
ELA Subgroup Gain 2006-10 BPS vs State
Af-Am AGG Asian F/LEP Hispanic LI SWD White
4.1
2.5
3.6
7.06.3
4.9
1.62.0
1.5 2.01.3
10.8
5.7
2.4
0.1
2.4
10.8
2.4
Brockton Public Schools
2010 ELA Subgroup BPS vs State
Af-Am AGG Asian F/LEP Hispanic LI SWD White
76.6
86.989.8
59.873.6
76.5
67.3
90.5
73.177.1
85.8
59.4
75.1
73.8
55.5
83.8
75.1
Brockton Public Schools
BPS vs State SWD 2006-10 ELA Gain: Why We Drill Down
All Grd 3 Grd 4 Grd 5 Grd 6 Grd 7 Grd 8 Grd 10
0.1
-7.9
-9.6
-8.0
-4.6
11.111.9
7.0
1.6
-1.2 -0.9
-2.5
0.1
5.1
2.3
9.0
BPS State
Elementary Down
Secondary Higher
Brockton Public Schools
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
72.5
76.2
77.778.5 79.9
60.9
65.6
67.5 67.1 66.9
Math CPI Aggregate BPS vs. State
11.6
13
State
BPS
Brockton Public Schools
Math CPI by Grade Band
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
62.868.8
71.167.4 66.8
54.7
60.561.8
63.5 63.7
68.8
73.5
76.4 78.8 78.2
ELM MID HIGH
9.4 Gain
9.8 Gain
4 Gain
2010
-.6
+.2
-.6
Brockton Public Schools
Gain/Loss 2006-10 by Grade Level
All Grd 3 Grd 4 Grd 5 Grd 6 Grd 7 Grd 8 Grd 10
6.0
-3.9
3.41.6 2.5
13.0
15.5
6.27.4
5.8 5.47.2
9.2 9.58.5
5.6
BPS State
Gains
Decline
Smaller Gains
Larger Gains
+ 3.5 + 7
+ .6
Brockton Public Schools
2010 Math Gains
All Grd 3 Grd 4 Grd 5 Grd 6 Grd 7 Grd 8 Grd 10-5.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
-0.2
1.7
-1.4
-2.1
-4.4
2.4 2.5
-0.6
1.4
2.4
0.20.4
1.5
2.32.0
0.7
BPS State
Area of Concern
+.1 +.5
Brockton Public Schools
Grade 3 Math 1 Year Improvement:Overall Trend is Down
1 2 3 4 5
78.080.3 81.5 81.4
83.8
72.470.5
74.9
66.868.5
2006-10 3.9 Loss
1 Year 1.7 Gain
Brockton Public Schools
2010 Math CPI Aggregate
Lynn Worcester Boston New Bedford Lowell Brockton Fall River Lawrence Springfield State Totals
68.8 68.8 68.0 68.0 67.866.9 66.7
62.0
58.2
79.9
13 Gap
1.9 Gap
Brockton Public Schools
Math Subgroup Gain 2006-10 BPS vs State
Af-Am AGG Asian F/LEP Hispanic LI SWD White
10.2
7.4 7.1
9.2
11.510.7
6.3 6.8
6.2 6.0 5.9
8.27.4
6.9
3.2
6.8
LEP
Brockton Public Schools
2010 Math Subgroup BPS vs State
Af-Am AGG Asian F/LEP Hispanic LI SWD White
65.1
79.9
89
56.263.9
67.1
57.5
84.1
61.566.9
85.2
52.5
62.7 63.1
47.3
76.2
Brockton Public Schools
BPS vs State SWD 2006-10 Grade Level Gain
All Grd 3 Grd 4 Grd 5 Grd 6 Grd 7 Grd 8 Grd 10
6.3
4.13.2
4.5
8.6 8.36.9
7.6
3.2
-6.1
0.9
-0.4
6.2
11.1
7.2 6.9
State BPS
Elementary Concerns
Secondary Gains
Overall Gain
Brockton Public Schools
2006-2010 Trends
AccomplishmentsGrade 7 & 8 Large Gains in ELA & Decreased
Achievement Gap with State
Grades 7, 8, & 10 Improved Strongly In Math & Decreased Achievement Gap with State
Grade 10 Improved in ELA
Grades 4, 5, 6 Improved in Math
Brockton Public Schools
Growth•Primer•Gap Analysis
Brockton Public Schools
State Growth Model: Student Growth Percentile (SGP)
Academic Peer Group
Each student is compared to students with a similar score history
Growth to grade 7: Three students
92226214214Mary
25244246248Paul
35230234230Peter
SGP20010
Grade 72010
Grade 62009
Grade 52008
English language artsAcademic Peer Groups
Brockton Public Schools
Interpreting Student Growth Percentiles
Peter’s SGP was 35. His score was higher than 35% of his academic peers (and lower than 65%).
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
35
Percent of students
Lower growth Higher growthTypical growth
Is that amount of growth typical?
Seeking the Northeast Quadrant
Low Growth, High Performance High Growth, High Performance
Low Growth, Low Performance High Growth, Low Performance
Growth (SGP)Brockton Public Schools
Per formance
Brockton Public Schools
ELA Scatterplot
Pe rf o r
mance
Growth
20 30 40 50 60 70 8050
60
70
80
90
100
Wrcstr77.2 77.175.4 75.0 74.9
74.873.7
70.8
86.9
SGP
CPI
Brockton Public Schools
Math Scatterplot
Pe rf o r
mance
Growth20 30 40 50 60 70 80
40
50
60
70
80
90
68.8 68.868.0
68.0 67.866.9
66.762.0
58.2
79.9
Brockton Public Schools
ELA SGP
2008 2009 2010
4745 44
3941
46
51 51
4544
5250
53
59
52.5
78
70
Grd 4 Grd 5 Grd 6 Grd 7 Grd 8 Grd 10
Brockton Public Schools
Math SGP
2008 2009 2010
50.5
40
51
48
41
37
49
45
35
30
36
40
47 46 46
51
44
Grd 4 Grd 5 Grd 6 Grd 7 Grd 8 Grd 10
Brockton Public Schools
2008-10 SGP Trend Summary
Accomplishments
Every Grade has average or better SGP in ELA
BPS Grade 10 had highest SGP among Comparable Districts in ELA
2010 Grade 4 gained 10 points in Math2008-10 Grade 7 gained 10 points in Math
Brockton Public Schools
Conclusions
•Missed Aggregate AYP in ELA & Math•NCLB Change is LikelyAYP•06-10 Middle & High School Gaining in ELA and Math•06-10 Elementary Declining in ELA: Gaining in Math•2010 Secondary Decline & Elementary Gain in ELA•2010 Middle School Gain in MathCPI•ELA growth is moderate to high•Math growth is moderate to lowGrowth
Brockton Public Schools
Brockton Public Schools Data Presentation 2010October 19, 2010
Dr. Ethan R. Cancell
School CommitteeMayor Linda M. Balzotti ChairWard One Thomas J. Minichiello, Jr. Vice-ChairWard Two Richard E. BathWard Three Janice A. Beyer Ward Four Patricia A. JoyceWard Five William CarpenterWard Six James M. Daley Ward Seven Timothy J. SullivanSuperintendent Matthew H. Malone, Ph.D. Secretary
Brockton Public Schools
END
AYP
2006-10 Trends
SGP
2010 School Committee Presentation
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