pan atlantic sms spring omnibus poll
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6 City Center, Suite 200, Portland, Maine 04101• 207-871-8622
www.panatlanticsmsgroup.com
THE PAN ATLANTIC SMS GROUP
53rd OMNIBUS POLL
“The Benchmark of Maine Public Opinion”
Spring 2014
“Most Accurate Pollster on Maine’s 2010
Gubernatorial Race”
“Closest in predicting the actual results
of the Governor’s race and the 1st
Congressional District race in 2010”
“Maine’s Best Pollster 2008”2012 Elections:
“Most accurate polls on Presidential
and CD1 and CD2 elections.”
1
Table of Contents
2
I. Background…………………………...…………………………………………………………………….. 3
II. Methodology…………...…………………………………………...……………………………………… 4
III. Poll Results …………………………………...………...…………………………………………...…... 6
IV. Poll Demographic Profile ……………………………………………………………………………….. 29
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
2
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
• Pan Atlantic SMS Group is a Maine-based, independent marketing research and consulting firm which is
currently in its 29th year of successful operation.
• This Omnibus Poll is the 53rd poll in a series conducted by Pan Atlantic SMS Group on public policy,
business, economic, technology, and lifestyle issues. Because we have conducted this poll on a frequent
basis over a long time period (since 1996), we are in a unique position to provide reliable benchmarking
on a range of important issues.
• Media use of the information contained in the Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll must identify the
source of information.
• All questions reported on herein are non-proprietary and were not commissioned by any party other
than Pan Atlantic SMS Group.
• For further information, please contact Patrick O. Murphy, President of Pan Atlantic SMS Group, at
(207) 871-8622 or by email at pmurphy@panatlanticsmsgroup.com.
I. Background PA
N A
TLA
NTI
C S
MS G
RO
UP
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The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
• The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll was conducted between March 31st and April 5th, 2014. This
independent survey data is being released to the Maine media in the public interest.
• A randomly selected, stratified statewide sample of 400 Maine residents was interviewed by telephone. Each of
Maine’s two Congressional Districts are represented by approximately half of the sample.
• The survey was administered only to those who fulfilled the following criteria:
Are ages 18 and older
Do not, nor does anyone in their household, work for a market research, advertising or media firm
Describe themselves as “very” or “somewhat” likely to vote in the 2014 elections
• This independent poll was conducted by telephone, at our in-house interviewing center, by Pan Atlantic’s team of
experienced interviewers. No outside interviewer resources were used. The sample used comprised a mix of land
and cell phones so as to ensure as representative a sample as possible. Data were weighted according to the
eligible voting population to ensure representative age segment distribution.
II. Methodology
4
PAN
ATL
AN
TIC
SM
S G
RO
UP
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
• It should be noted that figures may not always equal 100.0 percent due to the rounding of decimals.
• The sample was stratified statewide based on the U.S. Census of Population and Housing data. The sample
size has statistical significance of ± 4.9 percent at the 95 percent confidence level. This means that if the
survey were to be repeated, 95 times out of 100 the results would reflect the results of this survey within
the ± 4.9 percent margin of error.
• The results are broken out by various demographic subsamples, including Congressional District, political
party affiliation, age, income level and gender. The margins of error for each of the two individual CDs is
± 6.9 percent at the 95 percent confidence level.
• Finally, we note that as with all surveys, these results are indicative of public opinion at a singular point in
time.
II. Methodology
5
PAN
ATL
AN
TIC
SM
S G
RO
UP
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
POLL RESULTS
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
6
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
ECONOMY
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
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Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
[Options rotated; n=400]
While a small majority of Mainers still feel that the state is headed in the
wrong direction (45.2%), they are showing a somewhat higher level of
confidence in the direction of the State (41.1% “Right direction”).
Feb. '05 Aug. '05 Mar. '06 July '06 May '07 Sept. '07
June '08 Apr. '09 Oct. '09 May '10 May '11 Mar. '13 Nov. '13 Apr. '14
Right Direction 35.0% 21.5% 41.1% 40.4% 31.0% 37.3% 23.0% 32.0% 34.2% 28.3% 29.4% 37.7% 38.9% 41.1%
Wrong Direction 48.0% 60.0% 41.6% 41.6% 51.0% 48.3% 59.8% 49.8% 51.1% 50.8% 57.1% 46.9% 48.5% 45.2%
Don't know 17.0% 18.5% 17.2% 18.0% 18.0% 14.5% 17.3% 18.3% 14.7% 21.0% 13.5% 15.4% 12.6% 13.7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Republicans in particular hold a
more favorable view of the State’s
direction (53.5% “Right direction”
versus 45.2% for Independents and
27.2% for Democrats).
In general, do you think that the State of Maine is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Residents of Northern / Down East
counties are less confident in the
State’s direction (34.8% “Right
direction”) than those in Southern
(41.2%) or Central / Western
counties (46.6%).
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Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
The importance of “Economy in general”
has increased since November 2013 by
4.1 percentage points.
“Jobs / Unemployment” and the “Economy in general” continue
to be viewed as the most important issues facing the State.
What do you think is the most important issue facing the State of Maine today?
[Unaided; n=400]
1.6%
18.8%
0.6%
1.8%
3.4%
3.6%
5.8%
7.5%
11.0%
16.8%
28.9%
Unsure
Other
Crime/Drugs/Violence
Cost of living
High level of taxes
Need for tax reform
Balancing the state budget
Education
Accessibility/Cost of health care
Economy in general
Jobs/Unemployment
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
9
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
The issue of “Jobs / Unemployment” is
most important to Independents
(34.5%) relative to Republicans
(28.7%) and Democrats (23.1%).
[Options rotated; n=400]
More than half of Mainers expect that their household
economic situation will remain stagnant this year.
Compared to 2013, for the year 2014, do you believe that your household economic situation will:
Improve 25.0%
Stay the same
54.0%
Worsen 20.0%
Unsure/ Other 1.0%
Mainers are a little more optimistic
regarding their own household
economic situation than that
recorded in the last Pan Atlantic
SMS Group Omnibus Poll. The
proportion anticipating
improvements in their household
economic situation has increased
from 20.6% in November 2013 to
25.0% in the current poll.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
10
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
11 NATIONAL PUBLIC POLICY
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
[Options rotated; n=400]
Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling his job?
54.5% of Mainers disapprove of the way President Obama is handling
his job. However, his approval levels have increased by 4.8 percentage
points since our November, 2013 poll to the current level of 41.0%.
17.8%, Republicans
63.8%, Democrats
38.3%, Independents
Approval by Political Affiliation
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
(A 4.9 percentage point increase
since November, 2013)
(A 1.1 percentage point increase
since November, 2013)
(An 8.2 percentage point increase
since November, 2013)
Disapprove54.5%
Approve41.0%
Unsure/ No answer
4.5%
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Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
13 MAINE PUBLIC POLICY
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
[Options rotated; n=400]
I’m going to read you the names of some people involved in public life in Maine. For each person, I would like you to tell me if you have a “very favorable,” “somewhat favorable,” “somewhat unfavorable,” or “very unfavorable” opinion of them. If you aren’t familiar with that person, just say so.
Susan Collins continues to have the highest favorability
level of several Maine politicians / political figures (tested).
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
21.9%
21.8%
9.0%
43.9%
2.9%
23.4%
34.3%
34.8%
35.5%
5.1%
15.7%
18.7%
16.7%
11.3%
4.2%
36.9%
11.2%
8.3%
4.6%
2.5%
2.1%
14.0%
31.2%
4.7%
85.3%
Paul LePage
Mike Michaud
Eliot Cutler
Susan Collins
Shenna Bellows
Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable Don't know / Not familiar
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Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
Susan Collins continues to have the highest favorability
level of several Maine politicians / political figures (tested).
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Highlights
• Senator Collins has an overall favorability level of 79.4%.
• Representative Mike Michaud (56.1%) continues to hold a strong lead in favorability over
Governor Paul LePage (45.3%), and also Independent candidate for Governor Eliot Cutler
(43.8%).
• Seven in ten Republicans (70.2%) have a favorable opinion of Gov. Paul LePage,
compared to 19.7% of Democrats and 50.6% of Independents. Gov. LePage’s support
among Independents has increased by 10.5 points since Pan Atlantic’s November 2013
poll.
• Gov. LePage has a much higher favorability level in District 2 than in District 1 (51.9% vs.
38.6%). Males (53.0%) also view him more favorably than females (37.6%).
• Eliot Cutler (I) has an overall favorability level of 43.8%, an increase of 5.3 points since
the November 2013 poll. 31.2% are not familiar with or are unsure of their opinion of
gubernatorial candidate Cutler, a decline of only 3.0 points since November.
15
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
36.9% 35.2%
19.1%
1.7% 2.1%
1.3%
3.7% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
[Options rotated; n=400]
Mainers will vote for Governor in the November, 2014 elections. If the election were held today, assuming the candidates are Independent Eliot Cutler, Republican Paul LePage, and Democrat Mike Michaud, who would you vote for? [For those who answered ‘Don’t know’:] Among those candidates, which one are you leaning towards voting for if the elections were today?
At this point, the gubernatorial race is essentially a dead heat with
only 1.3% separating Paul LePage and Mike Michaud. Eliot
Cutler is in third place with 20.3% of the anticipated vote.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
38.6% 37.3% 20.3% Totals:
3.7%
16
Paul
LePage
Mike
Michaud Eliot
Cutler None of the above/
Refused
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
April,
2014
Nov.,
2013 36.0% 37.3% 18.3% 8.5%
Note: Lighter colors
represent “leaning” voters.
[Options rotated; n=400]
Mainers will vote for Governor in the November, 2014 elections. If the election were held today, assuming the candidates are Independent Eliot Cutler, Republican Paul LePage, and Democrat Mike Michaud, who would you vote for? [For those who answered ‘Don’t know’:] Among those candidates, which one are you leaning towards voting for if the elections were today?
Gubernatorial Race – Breakdown by Political Party
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Michaud
61.8%
Democratic Voters
Michaud
28.5%
Independent Voters
Michaud
18.7%
Republican Voters
Cutler
21.5%
LePage
15.4%
Cutler
26.7%
LePage
38.7%
Cutler
12.0%
LePage
67.3%
17
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
None of the above/
Refused
1.3%
None of the above/
Refused
6.1%
None of the above/
Refused
2.0%
Note: Percentages include “Voting” and “Leaning” totals combined.
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
Michaud
39.9%
LePage
34.1% Cutler
21.9%
[Options rotated; n=400]
Mainers will vote for Governor in the November, 2014 elections. If the election were held today, assuming the candidates are Independent Eliot Cutler, Republican Paul LePage, and Democrat Mike Michaud, who would you vote for? [For those who answered ‘Don’t know’:] Among those candidates, which one are you leaning towards voting for if the elections were today?
Gubernatorial Race – Breakdown by Gender and Congressional District
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Michaud
34.8%
CD 1 CD 2
Michaud
42.5%
Michaud
32.1%
Female Male
Cutler
18.8%
LePage
43.0%
Cutler
24.5%
LePage
29.4%
Cutler
16.2% LePage
47.8%
18
None of the above/
Refused
3.7%
None of the above/
Refused
3.9%
None of the above/
Refused
3.4%
None of the above/
Refused
4.2%
Note: Percentages
include “Voting” and
“Leaning” totals combined.
[Options rotated; n=400]
I’m going to read you some phrases, and regardless of which candidate you support, I’d like you to tell me whether you think each one best describes Democrat Mike Michaud, Republican Paul LePage, or Independent Eliot Cutler.
A strong majority of respondents tend to ascribe the attributes
listed below to their candidate of choice.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
36.9%
38.1%
34.0%
34.4%
34.0%
38.9%
36.4%
40.8%
36.6%
27.2%
14.9%
15.1%
12.5%
16.4%
17.5%
9.3%
10.3%
12.8%
12.7%
21.3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Paul LePage Mike Michaud Eliot Cutler Don't know
Has the right experience to
be Governor
Understands the problems
facing the middle class.
Understands how state
government works
Is a leader
Understands how to get
jobs created in the state
34.0% of respondents believe that
Paul LePage “best understands how to
get jobs created in the state.”
40.8% of respondents believe that
Mike Michaud “best understands how
state government works.”
19
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
Biggest
Differentiators
20
Among Cutler supporters, Michaud supporters, and undecided
voters, almost two thirds (64.7%) believe that Mike Michaud has the
best chance of defeating Paul LePage in the gubernatorial election.
Regardless of which candidate you support, I’d like you to tell me whether you think this phrase best describes Democrat Mike Michaud or Independent Eliot Cutler: “Has the best chance of beating Paul LePage”
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
[Options rotated; Asked of those undecided or supporting Michaud or Cutler; n=246]
Mike Michaud 64.7%
Eliot Cutler 21.5%
Don't know 13.9%
Among those who plan on voting for
Eliot Cutler, about half (50.3%)
believe that he has the best chance
of beating Paul LePage.
The comparable figure for Mike
Michaud supporters is 84.9%
(believe he has the best chance of
beating Paul LePage).
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
Somewhat 15.7%
Somewhat
26.1%
Strongly36.5%
Strongly20.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Disapprove overall
Approve overall Don't know / Refused
Strongly 36.0%
Strongly 21.0%
Somewhat
14.9%
Somewhat
26.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Disapprove overall
Approve overall Don't know / Refused
[Options rotated; n=400]
Governor Paul LePage has been in office for almost three years. Do you approve or disapprove of his job performance? Is that strongly or somewhat?
A majority of respondents disapprove of Governor LePage’s
job performance – 46.6% approve and 52.2% disapprove.
• 68.7% of Republicans, 52.2% of Independents, and 26.1% of Democrats approve of Governor
LePage’s job performance.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Somewhat
21.1%
Somewhat
28.3%
Strongly31.8%
Strongly15.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Disapprove overall
Approve overall Don't know / Refused
Approval of Job Performance of
Governor LePage – March 2013
52.9%
43.4%
3.7% 1.2%
52.2%
46.6%
Approval of Job Performance of
Governor LePage – November 2013
Approval of Job Performance of
Governor LePage – April 2014
47.6% 50.9%
1.5%
21
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
[Options rotated; n=400]
From a policy perspective, who do you think is doing the most to help the state get ahead?
Results are mixed in terms of respondents’ choice of “who
is doing the most to help the State get ahead.”
In District 1, a third of respondents (33.2%) selected “our congressional delegation.”
In District 2, a third of respondents (33.4%) selected “Governor Paul LePage.”
It should be noted that 21.1% of the sample did not provide an answer on this question.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
29.4% 28.3%
21.1%
14.4%
6.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Our congressional delegation
Governor Paul LePage
Legislative leaders in the state capital
Don't know None of the above
22
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
[n=400]
Now I want to ask you about a ballot initiative that will be on the November ballot in Maine. This initiative has to do with bear hunting practices in Maine. “Do you want to make it a crime to hunt bears with bait, traps or dogs, except to protect property, public safety, or for research?”
Based on this question, if the election was held today, would you vote “yes” to make it a crime to use baiting, trapping and dogs in the hunting of bears, or would you vote “no” to continue to allow the use of baiting, trapping and dogs in the hunting of bears in Maine?
A slight plurality of respondents say they plan to vote “no” on
the bear-baiting ballot initiative, thus continuing to allow the use
of baiting, trapping, and dogs in the hunting of bears in Maine.
Vote Yes46.7%
Vote No48.1%
Don't Know/ Refused
5.3%
Citizens residing in CD1 are more
likely to vote yes (50.3%) than those in
CD2 (43.1%).
Democrats (64.9%) and females
(56.3%) are more likely to vote yes,
thus banning the use of baiting,
trapping, and dogs in the hunting of
bears in Maine.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
23
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
A vast majority of Mainers (85.2%) prefer the use of waste-to-
energy plants versus landfills (6.2%) to dispose of solid waste.
A sanitary landfill is a facility where solid waste is compacted and stored indefinitely, while a waste-to-energy plant involves the processing of solid waste to produce electricity, which is then used by households and businesses. Which of those two methods of solid waste disposal do you prefer?
Landfills 6.2%
Waste processing facilities 85.2%
Don't know/ Refused 8.6%
90.6% 89.4% 77.6%
18 to 34 35 to 54 55+
Younger Mainers have the highest support level
for waste processing facilities over landfills.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
[Options rotated; n=400]
Support for waste-to-energy plants has increased
by 6.0 percentage points since Pan Atlantic SMS
Group’s March 2013 Omnibus Poll.
24
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
[Options rotated; n=400]
The most recent legislature passed a bill to expand MaineCare to 70,000 Maine families that do not have health care coverage. The Governor, in turn, vetoed the bill, saying that we couldn’t afford the expense. Whose position aligns more closely with your own?
Statement A: The Governor was correct
to veto the bill because we cannot
afford the expense
Statement B: The legislature was correct
that MaineCare coverage should be
provided to these 70,000 families.
Don’t know
Refused
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
45.7%
48.5%
5.1%
0.7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Female respondents were more
likely to prefer position B by a
margin of 56.4% to 40.6% (males).
A slight majority of Mainers (48.5% versus 45.7%) believe that the
legislature was correct in attempting to expand MaineCare coverage.
25
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
[n=400]
Regardless of whether you support or oppose MaineCare expansion, how important will your elected official’s vote on this issue be to your decision on whether to vote for that person in November?
Three quarters of respondents (75.7%) feel that their elected official’s
vote on the issue of MaineCare expansion will be “somewhat” or “very”
important in their decision making for the November elections.
45.2% 30.5% 4.5% 15.4% 4.4%
Very important Somewhat important Not very important Not at all important Don't know
This issue is considered of similar importance across all parties/voting groups: 77.6% of
Democrats, 75.8% of Republicans, and 73.7% of Independents consider the issue a
“somewhat” or “very” important determinant in their voting decision.
Intensity of support is positively correlated with age—51.0% of respondents of age 55 or
older consider the issue “very important,” compared with 44.4% of those age 35-54 and
37.5% of those age 18-34.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
26
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
55.0%
40.7%
3.6%
0.7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
[Options rotated; n=400]
Which of the following statements comes closest to reflecting your values?
A majority of Mainers feel that Statement A below comes closest to
reflecting their values.
Statement A: Welfare fraud is
rampant in Maine, and we need
to crack down on its abuse
Statement B: People are
struggling economically and we
need to help those in need
Don’t know
Refused
80.8% of Paul LePage’s supporters feel
that Statement A comes closest to
reflecting their values, while only 33.8%
of Mike Michaud’s supporters chose
Statement A over B.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
27
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
Statement A
33.8%
Statement B
62.4%
Don't know3.8%
[Options rotated; n=400]
I am going to read you two statements about the role of government, and I’d like to know which one comes closer to your point of view…
By almost a 2:1 margin (62.4% vs. 33.8%), Mainers want their elected
officials to work with the other side, even if that means allowing
compromise on core values.
Statement A: I want my elected official to stand firm and not allow compromise on core values Statement B: I want my elected official to work with the other side, even if that means allowing compromise on core values.
77.9% of Democrats agree with Statement
B, promoting compromise, versus 18.0% who
support Statement A.
In contrast, only 44.0% of Republicans
agree with Statement B versus 51.8% who
support Statement A.
61.9% of Independents support Statement
B versus 35.5% who support Statement A.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
28
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
29 POLL DEMOGRAPHIC DATA
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
30
Poll Demographic Data
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
CD1 48.5%
CD2 51.5%
POLITICAL AFFILIATION
Democrats 33.5%
Republicans 29.8%
Independents / Unenrolled 35.8%
Other / Refused 1.0%
AGE
18 to 34 16.0%
35 to 54 47.3%
55+ 36.8%
GENDER
Female 51.2%
Male 48.8%
2013 HOUSEHOLD INCOME
$50,000 or less 34.5%
$50,000 to <$75,000 17.5%
$75,000 or more 38.8%
Prefer not to answer 9.3%
Note: The above figures show the sample demographics prior to weighting. Survey
responses were weighted to better represent Maine’s age distribution.
The 53rd Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Pan Atlantic SMS Group – 53rd Omnibus Poll – April, 2014
6 City Center, Suite 200, Portland, Maine www.panatlanticsmsgroup.com
207.871.8622
“Most Accurate Pollster on Maine’s 2010
Gubernatorial Race”
“Closest in predicting the actual results
of the Governor’s race and the 1st
Congressional District race in 2010”
“Maine’s Best Pollster 2008”2012 Elections:
“Most accurate polls on Presidential
and CD1 and CD2 elections.”
31
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