playing keep-away: the state of texas and dallas county children & our revenue crisis

Playing Keep-Away:

The State of Texas and Dallas County Children & Our Revenue

CrisisFrances Deviney, Ph.D.

Texas Kids Count DirectorCenter for Public Policy Priorities

May 13, 2011

Special ThanksTo Our Sponsors

M.R. and Evelyn Hudson Foundation

&

The Annie E. Casey Foundation

www.stateoftexaschildren.org

www.tkcmobile.org

Let’s explore the Texas Century from Let’s explore the Texas Century from the perspective Texas’ childrenthe perspective Texas’ children

74 Million Children in the U.S.That’s nearly 1.9 MILLION more than in 2000

Source: Brookings analysis of 2010 Census data

HALF (or 979,000) of that growth occurred in Texas

Source: Brookings analysis of 2010 Census data

23 states have fewer kids now than in 2000

Texas’ child population added nearly ONE MILLION Kids

6.9 M

Source: 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census data, U.S. Census Bureau

Although Texas’ child pop grew overall, 144 counties lost kids

Source: CPPP analysis of 2000 SF3 data and 2010 redistricting data from the U.S. Census Bureau

Source: 2010 Decennial Census data, Redistricting Data, U.S. Census Bureau

One of every 10 Texas kids is from Dallas Co. Dallas County grew by 35K kids to 654K

In 2000, Dallas County’s White and Hispanic child populations were fairly close in size

Source: Summary File 3, 2000 Decennial Census data, U.S. Census Bureau

By 2010, the White child population declined in both Dallas and Tarrant Counties

Source: CPPP analysis of redistricting data, 2010 Decennial Census, U.S. Census Bureau

The vast majority of Dallas Co. kids are U.S. citizens

Source: Table B05003, 2007-2009 American Community Survey 3-year estimates, Census Bureau

Dallas Co. child poverty climbed steadily throughout decade

Recession began in Sept 2008

Source: 2000 through 2009 Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau

Dallas Co.’s Black & Hispanic children 4x more likely to live in poverty than White children

Source: 2007-2009 American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

4x 4x

Thrive

Grow

Births to Dallas Co. teens declining, but only for married teens

Source: Vital Statistics, Texas Department of State Health Services

10.4%9.2%

4.5%

Births to Married Teens

Births to Unmarried Teens

More babies born too early . . .

Dallas County

U.S.

Texas

Source: Vital Statistics, Texas Department of State Health Services

. . . and too small

Source: Vital Statistics, Texas Department of State Health Services

Babies born weighing less than 5.5 lbs

One of Every Four Texas Preschoolers Not Read to Regularly

Source: 2007 National Survey of Children’s Health from Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center

Over half of Texas’ 4 year-olds attend Public Pre-K

192,

594

Source: Texas Education Agency18

,787

Nearly three-quarters of Dallas County’s students are economically disadvantaged

Source: Texas Education Agency Standard Student Reports

Since recession, nearly 38,000 more economically disadvantaged students in Dallas

Co.

Source: Texas Education Agency Standard Student Reports

Fewer Economically Disadvantaged Kids in Dallas Co. Pass the TAKS Tests

Source: Percent Students Passing Across Grades Within Each Test, 2010 TAKS data, Texas Education Agency

How Many Economically Disadvantaged Kids Not Passing in

Dallas County?

• Reading = 45,000+• Math = 23,000+• Science = 17,800+• Social Studies = 3,300+• Writing = 3,200+

Source: Students Not Passing Across Grades Within Each Test, 2010 TAKS data, Texas Education Agency

Dallas Co. Dropouts: Still Not Great, But Improving

Source: Attrition rate, Intercultural Development Research Association

Texas

Dallas Co.

Dallas Co. Dropouts Nearly Twice as Likely to Live in Poverty as Graduates

Source: Table C17003, Adults 25+ yrs, 2007-2009 American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

Nearly 5,600 Dallas County kids confirmed as abused or neglected in 2010

Source: Department of Family and Protective Services

Dallas county kids in Foster Care decreased by 38 percent

Source: Rate of kids in foster care per 1,000 Children Ages 0-17, Department of Family and Protective Services

DFPS making more relative care placements, fewer foster care placements

Source: Annual Data Books, Texas Department of Family and Protective Services

Foster Care Relative

Percentage of kids in excellent/very good health varies by . . .

Geography: TX = 78%, U.S. = 84%

Source: 2007 National Survey of Children’s Health

Texas Has Highest Rate of Uninsured Children in the Nation Eleven Years Running

Source: Kids 0-18, KIDS COUNT State-Level Data Online, Annie E. Casey Foundation

Reduction in uninsured Texas kids leaves middle class behind

23%

Source: CPPP analysis of 3-year average data, children ages 0-18, Current Population Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

Texas Century for childrenTexas Century for children

We do big things

Sustained & balanced investment is the key to

healthy child development and Texas’

future prosperity.

Only one dime of every federal dollar is spent on kids

Source: Children’s Budget 2010, First Focus

Combined State & Federal Funds Spent on Children in 2010-11 = $80.5 Billion

3%

1%

3%

4%

Source: Texas Children’s Budget for 2010-11, CPPP

Children’s Spending

41%

Per Capita Spending by State

Children’s Spending

41%

Children’s Spending in Other States

Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?

Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?

Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?

Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?

Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?

Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?

It’s not just the Recession!2006 school tax cut created a structural deficit

2008-2009Predicted Cost of Property Tax Reduction $14.2 BPredicted Amount of New Revenue $ 8.3 BPredicted Shortfall $ 5.9 B

2012-13Minimum Cost of Property Tax Reduction $14.2 BForecast of New Revenue $ 4.5 BLikely Shortfall $ 9.7 B

Proposed Texas House budget would lead to $10.4 BILLION less for children

Source: Proposed Texas Children’s Budget for 2012-13, CPPP

Source: University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, 2-20-11

Proposed cutsProposed cutsProvider rate cuts in Medicaid and

CHIP

Initiative to improve rural

health care

Community Mental Health services

Pre-K grantsState and

community mental health

hospitals

Newborn health

screenings

Child abuse, neglect, and delinquency prevention

Children with special health care needs

Early Childhood Intervention

Foundation School Program

Community-based obesity prevention

Family Planning ServicesCommunities in

Schools program

Middle school PE grants School bus seat belt

grants

Financial support for Family Based

Services for abused kids

Financial support for kids adopted

out of Foster Care

Source: University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, 2-20-11

“Cutting the budget” really means

Firing teachers & increasing class sizes

Limiting access to health care

Putting children in harm’s way

We know we can do big things.

It’s time to do the right thing.

TEXAS KIDS COUNT

CPPP ResourcesCPPP Resources• Research: www.cppp.org • Online data: www.stateoftexaschildren.org• Mobile data: www.tkcmobile.org• Facebook:

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http://www.youtube.com/user/CPPPvideo • Twitter: CPPP_TX