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3 Things You Need to Make Better,

Faster, Decisions

Session Code: EM15LDR09

J. LeRoy Ward PMP, PgMP, PfMP, CSM, GWCPM, SCPM ESI International

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

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“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

3

Drug Development Project Economics 101

How much time and money does it take to develop a

drug? 11 years $1 Billion

Tufts Univ Center for the Study of Drug Development http://csdd tufts edu

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4

Drug Development Project Economics 101

Blockbuster Drug: $1 Billion/Yr $2.74 M/Day

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5

Drug Development Project Economics 101

Lipitor: $13.6 Billion/Yr $37.3 M/Day

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6

They’re driving me crazy…they never have enough data and they

just can’t seem to make up their minds!

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7

What does a project manager need to make better, faster, project decisions?

1. Accurate information, at frequent intervals, from reliable sources

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

8

What does a project manager need to make better, faster, project decisions?

1. Accurate information, at frequent intervals, from reliable sources

2. Willingness to make decisions under uncertain conditions

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

9

What does a project manager need to make better, faster, project decisions?

1. Accurate information, at frequent intervals, from reliable sources

2. Willingness to make decisions under uncertain conditions

3. A project governance structure that pushes decisions down to the lowest possible level

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

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Accurate information: what does it tell us?

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And, where do we find it?

Maybe it’s down here

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12

Accurate information tells us three things….

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

13

What happened: the “past”

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14

What’s happening: the “present”

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

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What might happen: the “future”

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

16

Information about the “past”

Project Reports –Cost –Schedule –Scope (Quality) –Resource use –Other information

• Burn down charts

• Burn up charts

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

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Information about the “past”

Wind

Currents

Project Reports –Cost –Schedule –Scope (Quality) –Resource use –Other information

• Burn down charts

• Burn up charts

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

18

Information about the “past”

Than here

There’s more here

Project Reports –Cost –Schedule –Scope (Quality) –Resource use –Other information

• Burn down charts

• Burn up charts

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

19

Information about the present

Where do I find this

stuff?

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

20

Hey Raed, have you seen the project team

lately?

I wonder what those rascals are up to this

week!

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21

Information about the “present”

–“Stand-up” meetings

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

22

Information about the “present”

–“Stand-up” meetings –MBWA

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

23

Information about the “present”

–“Stand-up” meetings –MBWA –Speaking to

• Clients/Users • Sponsor • Executives • Team members

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

24

Information about the “present”

–“Stand-up” meetings –MBWA –Speaking to

• Clients/Users • Sponsor • Executives • Team members

–Networking

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

25

Information about the “present”

–“Stand-up” meetings –MBWA –Speaking to

• Clients/Users • Sponsor • Executives • Team members

–Networking –Remember, “never eat alone”

Maybe I should get

on Facebook

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

26

Information about the “present”

–“Stand-up” meetings –MBWA –Speaking to

• Clients/Users • Sponsor • Executives • Team members

–Networking –Remember, “never eat alone”

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

27

It’s all about being in the “zone”

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…and knowing where your iceberg is headed!

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Now let’s talk about the future… If-then-this

If-then-that If-then-else Ouch! my

head hurts!

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Information about the future

•“Relentless” risk analysis •Tools and techniques

– Strategy meetings – Delphi technique – Monte Carlo Analysis – Earned Value Management

•Project “Leading Indicators” Consumer Confidence Index Stakeholder Confidence Index

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…at frequent intervals Your project

has its “vital signs”

too!

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From reliable sources

I’m over-budget by 50% and

behind schedule by

30%

Looks like he’s telling the truth!

He must be a PMP!

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33

What is the key to honest reporting?

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What is the key to honest reporting?

I’ll NEVER, EVER tell Farley the truth

on my project reports!

Farkas, If you go over-budget you’ll never work here

again!

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35

But what information should we be looking for?

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36

Be careful what you measure…it may be accurate but completely worthless!

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

37

What does a project manager need to make better, faster, project decisions?

1. Accurate information, at frequent intervals, from reliable sources

2. Willingness to make decisions under uncertain conditions

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

38

Some people struggle to make timely decisions

USMC 70% solution Ask yourself these questions

– Is it better to do something, or nothing?

– How bad can it be? – Will I get fired if my decision doesn’t

work? – What’s my “track record”?

Use your network and all those tools and techniques

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

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…but they still can’t make a decision

You’ll be 6 months late if you don’t fire Anderstones

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Try this decision framework

From: HBR on Decision Making (Drucker; and Hammond, Keeney and Raiffa ) Smart Choices (Hammond, Keeney and Raiffa)

Agile Project Management (Highsmith)

Define the problem correctly Frame the decision Implement the decision Measure or Monitor the results

Define

Frame

Implement

Monitor

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…but if they continue to struggle

You’re fired!

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

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Let’s hit “pause” and see where we are!

1. Accurate information, at frequent intervals, from reliable sources

2. Willingness to make decision under uncertain conditions

3. A project governance structure that pushes decisions down to the lowest possible level

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

43

If you had to describe your current process would it look like this?

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Do you feel like you’re on trial?

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It’s a flatter world out there!

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

46

What’s YOUR governance structure? Do you…

Let team members make decisions? Hold productive meetings? Support the escalation process?

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

47

Law of “first knowledge”

What comes first is true It takes evidence to change……lots of evidence Believing is seeing

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Law of “first knowledge”

Family of cave people on a hunt Grandma eaten by a tiger What did they learn quickly?

– always hunt with the elderly – always run faster than

grandma – tigers are bad

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

49

5 Ways to Speed Up Decision-making

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

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5 Ways to Speed Up Decision-making

Put real choices “on the table”

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

51

5 Ways to Speed Up Decision-making

Put real choices “on the table” Focus on decisions not discussions

Information sharing Discussions

Decisions (make them stick)

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

52

5 Ways to Speed Up Decision-making

Put real choices “on the table” Focus on decisions not discussions

Information sharing Discussions Decisions (make them stick)

Apply risk management through MBWA

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

53

5 Ways to Speed Up Decision-making

Put real choices “on the table” Focus on decisions not discussions

Information sharing Discussions Decisions (make them stick)

Apply risk management through MBWA Establish a “lean” governance structure

“PMI” is a registered trade and service mark of the Project Management Institute, Inc. ©2012 Permission is granted to PMI for PMI® Marketplace use only.

54

5 Ways to Speed Up Decision-making

Put real choices “on the table” Focus on decisions not discussions

Information sharing Discussions Decisions (make them stick)

Apply risk management through MBWA Establish a “lean” governance structure Identify your project’s leading indicators

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J. LeRoy Ward

jleroyward@gmail.com

www.esi-intl.co.uk

Thanks for Listening!

+44 (0)20 3743 2910

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