redd sub-national mrv activities in bolivia
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Eric Armijo
REDD Sub-national MRV
Activities in Bolivia
Methods for Biomass Estimationand Forest-Cover Mapping in the Tropics
Kigali, Rwanda. June 20, 2011
FAN´S EXPERIENCE IN THE CLIMATE DOMAIN
Noel Kempff Climate Action Project
First sub-national REDD project in the world
certified using CDM
State-Level Climate Adaptation Program
Piloting adaptation schemes in biodiversity conservation,
watershed management and food security
Bolivia-Cameroon: South-South cooperation in REDDTraining in IPCC compliant biomass measurement schemes, spatial and economic modeling at national scale
Indigenous REDD Program
in the Bolivian Amazon
BOLIVIA
Area: 1,098,581 Km2
Population: ~10 Mill.
High biodiversity~ 50% forest cover
Deforestation:~300,000 Ha/year
Indigenous REDD Programin the Bolivian Amazon
Size: ~ 3.8 Million Ha.
160,000 inhabitants
4 indigenous territories
Forest cover (2008):
~2.7 Million Ha. (71,9 %)
Deforestation: 9,800 Ha/yr
REDD BASELINE:
DEFORESTATION PAST AND FUTURE TRAJECTORIES
MAIN DRIVERS AND AGENTS OF DEFORESTATION
Cattle ranching (pastures) Small-scale agriculture
Slash-and-burn
~ 20 - 50 Ha. ~ 1 - 5 Ha.
Road improvement
FOREST CHANGE
DETECTION
ForestSavannaWaterDeforestation
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
0 5 10 15 20
Observed deforestation(AREA Ha.)
1991 2001 2005 2008
“Deforestation
risk”
Deforestation predictors
Land use
1991
& 2005
Map of
changes
Spatial transition probability
SPATIALLY-EXPLICIT MODELING
PROJECTING FUTURE DEFORESTATION SCENARIOS
2008 2020
forestdeforestation Dinamica
EGO
REDD BASELINE:
FOREST DEGRADATION PATTERNS
1. Build relevant activity data on area change:
disturbance maps (CLASLite™ or NDFI)
2. Extract degraded areas of disturbance maps
3. Factor out non-anthropogenic degradation
4. Determine emission factors for each forest
stratum
Steps to determine anthropogenic degradation
emissions
Normalized Difference FractionIndex – NDFI (Souza et al 2005)
CLASLite(Asner et al 2009)
FOREST DISTURBANCE DETECTION
deforested– degraded – intact
tC/ha
deforestation degradation intactforest
FOREST DEGRADATION EXTRACTION
FOREST DEGRADATION EXTRACTION
ThresholddefinitionUsing high-resolution (2.5m CBERS HRC & SPOT ) and fielddata
Forest
Deforestation
Flooding
Burned Areas
Unplanned degradation“Natural” forest degradation
FACTORING OUT NON-ANTROPOGENIC DEGRADATION
REDD BASELINE:
BIOMASS ESTIMATION
FOREST STRATIFICATION AND PLOT DEFINITION
• Follow IPCC guidelines
Intact forest• 30 biomass plots• 4 forest types sampled• Average 274 tC/Ha
Degraded forest• 18 biomass plots• Average 200 tC/Ha
Square plot100 x 100 m
100 m
Subplot
10 x 10 m
0,0 1,0 4,0 2,0 3,0 5,0 6,0 7,0 8,0 9,0
0,9
0,8
0,5
0,7
0,6
0,4
0,3
0,2
0,1
2 m
5 m
10 m
10 m
BIOMASS ESTIMATION
• Stratify and multiply(work in progress)
• Direct estimation(Baccini et al 2004)
Aboveground woody biomass (MgC/Ha)
Thanks
Questions, comments
Eric Armijo
earmijo@fan-bo.org
http://www.fan-bo.org/
http://www.reddamazonia.org
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