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Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Africa and Asia
(RIMES)
Ramraj Narasimhan (RIMES) Edle Tenden (ESCAP)
Benefits of a Collective System
What is RIMES? v RIMES stands for Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early
Warning System for Africa and Asia
v Owned and managed by its Member States, for the generation and application of early warning information
v Established on 30 April 2009. Registered with the United Nations under Article 102 on 1 July 2009.
v 13 countries have signed cooperation agreements: Bangladesh, Cambodia, Comoros, Lao PDR, India, Maldives, Mongolia, Mozambique, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Timor-Leste, and Seychelles.
v 29 collaborating Member States in all
RIMES Member States
How did RIMES evolve?
v 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami - low-frequency, high-impact hazards
v Individual Tsunami EWS - prohibitively costly for most countries
v Collective system becomes economical due to the scale of operations
Ø USD 6 million establishment cost (ESCAP and DANIDA through ADPC)
Ø Operating cost USD 2.5 million yearly
v Multi-hazard focus- More cost effective and sustainable
What does RIMES do? Provides early warning services for enhanced preparedness, response, and mitigation of natural hazards, according to differing needs and demands of its Member States
v Facilitates establishment and maintenance of regional observation/ monitoring networks and ensure data availability for early warning
Regional monitoring networks Seismic stations
Son La, Vietnam Dalat,
Vietnam
Santa, Ilocos Sur, Philippines Sittwe,
Myanmar
Regional monitoring networks Sea level observation stations
Koh TaphaoNoi, Thailand (KOTA)
Subic, Philippines
(SUBI)
Vung Tao, Vietnam (VTAU)
Currimao, Philippines
(CURRI)
Qui Nhon, Vietnam (QUIN)
Lubang, Philippines
(LUBA)
What does RIMES do? Provides early warning services for enhanced preparedness, response, and mitigation of natural hazards, according to differing needs and demands of its Member States
v Facilitates establishment and maintenance of regional observation/ monitoring networks and ensure data availability for early warning
v Provides regional tsunami watch within the framework of UNESCO IOC
Tsunami bulletin (SL-1)
Text format Graphical format
PRECISE for tsunami forecast
Pre-computed tsunami database
Web portal system for the operation
Arrival Time Directivity maps
Coastal Impacts
Tsunami Threat
PRECISE : Forecasting Products
What does RIMES do? Provides early warning services for enhanced preparedness, response, and mitigation of natural hazards, according to differing needs and demands of its Member States
v Facilitates establishment and maintenance of regional observation/ monitoring networks and ensure data availability for early warning
v Provides regional tsunami watch within the framework of UNESCO IOC
v Supports national meteorological and hydrological services for providing localized hydro-meteorological risk information within the framework of WMO
R&D support for localized severe weather informa8on � Track, intensity and time of land fall of Cyclones/ Typhoons
� Heavy rainfall, Strong winds
� Riverine and Flash floods
Countries receiving inputs for daily weather informa8on from RIMES
• Bangladesh
• Bhutan
• Cambodia
• Comoros
• Lao PDR
• Maldives
• Mongolia
• Myanmar
• Nepal
• Philippines
• Seychelles
• Timor Leste
What does RIMES do? Provides early warning services for enhanced preparedness, response, and mitigation of natural hazards, according to differing needs and demands of its Member States
v Facilitates establishment and maintenance of regional observation/ monitoring networks and ensure data availability for early warning
v Provides regional tsunami watch within the framework of UNESCO IOC
v Supports national meteorological and hydrological services for providing localized hydro-meteorological risk information within the framework of WMO
v Supports warning response capacities at all levels (national to community) within each national early warning framework
RIMES social scientist and climate scientist interacting with the local community to ensure a sustainable forecast application for the community.
Focus group discussions with the Ekbulang community on the RIMES hazard risk information application
RIMES professionals engage national partners and builds capacity to interact both-ways for future sustainability
Economic Benefits of EW Bangladesh Sidr Cyclone case study
• With additional investment for building capacity for translating, interpreting and communicating probabilistic forecast information, for every USD 1 invested, a return of USD 40.85 in benefits over a ten-year period
Economic Benefits of EW Bangladesh, 2007 Flood case study
• Technology to provide this long-lead forecast information is already operational
• For every USD 1 invested in EWS, there is a return of USD 558.87 in benefits, over a ten-year period
Plumes and probability pies for the first Brahmaputra flood July 28-‐August 6, 2007
Model able to meet three fundamental information needs of communities at risk
2007 Brahmaputra Ensemble Forecasts and Danger Level Probabili8es
7-10 day Ensemble Forecasts
7 day 8 day
9 day 10 day
Economic Benefits of EW Sri Lanka May 2003 floods case study
• Cost-benefit analysis reveals that for every USD 1 invested, there is a return of only USD 0.93 in benefits, i.e., the costs outweighs the benefits, since the significantly damaging flooding is not very frequent.
• A good rationale for a collective regional system, due to economies of scale
RIMES Simula8on of Typhoon PARMA
Observed Track :20-28 Nov 2007
HAGIBIS MITAG
To sum up � A regional system owned, managed and operated by
Member States- such as RIMES- could complement national systems, by optimizing distribution of observation systems, reducing capital investment requirements
� RIMES, with an annual recurring cost of USD 2.5 million could enable Member States to accrue the benefits of early warning
� Collective savings for the system would be at least in the order of several tens of million US dollars each year.
To know more www.rimes.int - Subbiah Arjunapermal (subbiah@rimes.int) - Ramraj Narasimhan (ramraj@rimes.int) www.escap.org/disaster-preparedness-fund - Edle Tenden (tenden@un.org)
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