ruy teixeira and william h. frey america’s new swing region the political demography and georgaphy...

Ruy Teixeira and William H. Frey

America’s New Swing RegionThe Political Demography and Georgaphy

of the Mountain West

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

2008 Key Demographic Segments: MT West States

2920

9

31

51

11

38 4157

4225

56

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Arizona Colorado Idaho Nevada NewMexico

Utah

All Minorities Whites: Age 65+Whites: College Grad Working Age Whites: Non College Working Age

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

2000-2008 Change in Segment: All Minorities

4.2

3.2

1.6 1.61.3

7.1

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Nevada Arizona New Mexico Idaho Colorado Utah

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

2000-2008 Change in Segment:Whites-College Grad, Working

Age

2.1

1.6

1.2

0.1

-0.7

2.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

Utah Idaho Colorado Nevada Arizona New Mexico

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

2000-2008 Change in Segment:Whites-Non College, Working Age

-3.7 -3.8 -3.9 -4

-8

-2.7

-9.0

-8.0

-7.0

-6.0

-5.0

-4.0

-3.0

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

New Mexico Colorado Idaho Utah Arizona Nevada

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

Key Demographic Segments: Phoenix Metro, and AZ

27 29

16 17

18 16

40 38

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Phoenix Metro Arizona

All Minorities Whites: Age 65+Whites: College Grad Working Age Whites: Non College Working Age

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

2000-8 Change in Segments: Phoenix Metro, and AZ

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

Phoenix Metro ArizonaAll Minorities Whites: Age 65+Whites: College Grad Working Age Whites: Non College Working Age

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

Key Demographic Segments: Denver City,

Inner Suburbs Outer Suburbs and CO

3423

1020

11

13

9

12

30

2440

26

2540 40 41

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Denver City Inner Suburbs Outer Suburbs ColoradoAll Minorities Whites: Age 65+Whites: College Grad Working Age Whites: Non College Working Age

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

2000-8 Change in Segments: Denver City, Inner Suburbs and

Outer Suburbs

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

Denver City InnerSuburbs Outer Suburbs

All Minorities Whites: Age 65+Whites: College Grad Working Age Whites: Non College Working Age

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

Key Demographic Segments: Boise Metro, and ID

10 9

14 16

23 18

54 57

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Boise Metro Idaho

All Minorities Whites: Age 65+Whites: College Grad Working Age Whites: Non College Working Age

Source: Ruy Teixeira and William H Frey analysis

2000-8 Change in Segments: Boise Metro, and ID

-5

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Boise Metro Idaho

All Minorities Whites: Age 65+Whites: College Grad Working Age Whites: Non College Working Age