shaping the ran and raaf for seamless integration€¦ · shaping the ran and raaf for seamless...
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ShapingtheRANandRAAFforSeamlessIntegration
AVMJohnBlackburn(Reserve)– WilliamsFoundationFellow
MyTask:
• Howcanweaddressthestove-pipednatureofourcapabilityprojects?
• WouldacomprehensiveJointCONOPShelp?
• WhatisapossibleroadmaptoprogressAir/SeaIntegration?
Iwilladdress:
• Howarewebuildingourfutureforce?/Lessonsfromhistory
• AnAir/SeaRoadmap?...
• NextSteps?
ShapingtheRANandRAAFforSeamlessIntegration
AVMJohnBlackburn(Reserve)– WilliamsFoundationFellow
Plan JerichoNarrative
CONOPS
GapAnalysis
ProgramofWork
Jericho Dawn ++
Jericho Experiments
Design
Innovation
ThePlanJerichoProgramofWork
Timelagtorectifygaps?Reactive…Integrationafterthefact
=OperationalRisk
Top-downdesignmeetsbottom-upinnovation.
Concept– FJOC?
Architectures
ConceptofOperations(CONOPS)
Guidance for future Capability Decisions
DefenceWhitePaper
FutureRequirements/Concepts
Concept– FJOC?
Architectures
ConceptofOperations(CONOPS)
DefenceWhitePaper
FutureRequirements/Concepts
Guidance for future Capability Decisions
Concept– FJOC?
Architectures
ConceptofOperations(CONOPS)
DefenceWhitePaper
FutureRequirements/Concepts
Guidance for future Capability Decisions
Spiral of Stagnation
• The OODA loop exceeds the posting / reorganisation cycle time
• Defence reorganisations work on a big bang model … • we don’t prototype and
experiment ... we just try to implement a theoretical large-scale change model
Concept– NCW(circa2002)
Architectures
ConceptofOperations(CONOPS)
DefenceWhitePaper
NCWgoals
RPDEIntent
Guidance for future Capability Decisions
FutureRequirements/Concepts
NETWORK
EDLEV
EL
TIME
Concept– FJOC?
Architectures
ConceptofOperations(CONOPS)
DefenceWhitePaper
FutureRequirements/Concepts
Guidance for future Capability Decisions
80,000Pages
Concept– FJOC?
Architectures
ConceptofOperations(CONOPS)
DefenceWhitePaper
FutureRequirements/Concepts
Guidance for future Capability Decisions
Project
Project
Project
Project
Architectures
Guidance for future Capability Decisions
IndustryPartneringStudy…4thGenModel?
An integrated force needs to be designed integrated … not just
integrated after the fact...Defence cannot do this alone
DISTRIBUTEDCONTROLNODES
MROC/ROC
DCN?
DCN?DCN
DCNDCN
CommonDCN
Functionality?
Comms/DataGateways
ABMFunctions
Distributedfusion/correlation
Networkredundancy
P8
KC30
E7
AWD
LHD
Turning the Kill Chain into Kill Webs …
ADM Manazir USN
Concept– FJOC?
Architectures
ConceptofOperations(CONOPS)
DefenceWhitePaper
FutureRequirements/Concepts
Guidance for future Capability Decisions
Can we avoid the Spiral of Stagnation …
yet again ?
… given a 4th Gen Business Model ?
... we need to be smart designers as well as
smart buyers
An integrated force needs to be designed integrated … not just integrated after the fact.
INTEGRATEDFORCEDESIGN
2016 2030
INTEGR
ATIONLE
VEL
IntegratedForceDesignConceptDemonstrator
An integrated force needs to be designed integrated … not just integrated after the fact.
INTEGRATEDFORCEDESIGN
2016 2030
INTEGR
ATIONLE
VEL
IntegratedForceDesignConceptDemonstrator
TheJointApproachStudy– “…Thedriversforthismovetowardsjointincludetheneedforgreaterefficiency,thedesireforfinercontrol...everincreasingrangeofmissions...”
Myview• thedriveristhatanIntegratedForcewill possessasuperiorwarfighting
capabilityintheextendedbattlespaceandwill resultinloweroperationalrisk• IntegratedForceDesignisnotjustaprocess,itisaboutthewarfighting
outcome...WhatistheintegratedforcenarrativeinDefence?
Bottomupinnovationdrivesatop-downdesignA5thGenCONOPSApproach?
Technologypotential
ExploredinVignettes
FutureOpsoptions
ForceCharacteristics
FutureRequirements/Concepts
FutureCONOPSinawiderrangeofscenarios?
?
?
GapAnalysisCurrent
ProjectChanges?
GapAnalysisFuture
NewProjects?
Acquisition/Contracting/sustainmentmodelstosupportaDefence- Industrypartneringapproach?
Startwithwhatis“known”…inpart
Complexscenariosaregoodfortestingaforce…notfordesigningone
Whereisoperationalinnovationevident?
Risktradeoff– AcquisitionversusFutureOperations?
Wheretonext?- DIIPExtract
• Substantialinvestmentsareproposedtostrengthenourplatforms,command,control,communications,computingandintelligence(C4I)systems,sensorsandadvancedweapons.
• Defencewilldevelopsystems,sensorsandnetworkstodelivereffectiveairandspacesituationalawarenessaroundAustraliaandindeployedlocations.Anew,moresophisticated(C4I)systemwillalsoberequiredtobeabletofuseinformationfrommultiplesources.Thiswillenablecoordinationofforcesandmoretimelyoperationalresponse,includinganabilitytosupportthemorecomprehensivesituationalawarenessrequiredforcapabilitiessuchasintegratedairandmissiledefence.
• TheADF’senhancedintegratedairandmissiledefence C4Iarchitecturewillhavetheflexibilityforfurtherenhancementtohandlemorecomplexthreatsthatmayemergeinfuture.
Architectures
SpaceProjects
AIR65
00
LAND19-7
SEA50
00
SEA40
00
SEA10
00
GAPProjects?
IAMDPROGRAMGUIDANCE
EnablingCapabilities
EnablingCapabilities
Acquisition/SustainmentModels
ADJACENTCONOPS/GUIDANCE…
INTEGRATEDFORCEDESIGNIAMDCONOPS
CONCEPTDEMONSTRATOR?
Architectures
SpaceProjects
AIR65
00
LAND19
-7
SEA50
00
SEA40
00
SEA10
00
GAPProjects?
IAMDCONOPS
EnablingCapabilities
Acquisition/SustainmentModels
• Williams Foundation intends to run a Force Integration Study, focussed on the IAMD Program as an exemplar, to explore a new partnership model / method with Industry+ and Defence to address:• Capability Guidance and Design• Acquisition and Contracting models• Capability Implementation in a “5th Gen”
capability Environment• Study not constrained by 4th Gen thinking /
contracting model• Progress report at Williams Foundation Seminar
in March 2017• The March 2017 seminar theme will be –
“Integrated Force Design” • Intent – to contribute to Integrated Force Design
thinking and to try to help break the “spiral of stagnation” in a shared design process.
HowcanDefenceandIndustry+worktogetheraspartnersintheforcedesignprocess?
The hypotheses the seminar will explore could include:
• If we don’t “design” the integrated force we are committed to “after-market” integration
• We can’t build and operate an integrated force using business models developed for acquiring stand-alone, stove-piped capabilities.
• If we over-complicate the “design” process we will stall our efforts and get the same results we have had over the past 20 years – stove-piped capabilities.
• “Design” is about more than just platforms and systems … it is about how we design, acquire, operate and sustain an integrated force in a more complex interconnected global context.
• We have to change ... and operate as an integrated team – if the “Strategic Centre” fails in this arena, we all fail and incur unnecessary operational risk in future operations ... It is about the combat outcomes we must achieve.
WilliamsFoundationMarch2017Seminar“IntegratedForceDesign”
• Howarewebuildingourfutureforce?• Lessonsfromhistoryifwechoosetolearnthem
• WouldacomprehensiveJointCONOPShelp?• Idon’tthinkitisachievable...
• AnAir/SeaRoadmap?...• Proveofconcept– startbybuildingapartoftheIntegratedforce
Roadmap– e.g.IAMD
• NextSteps– let’sprotoypetheintegratedforceapproach...
ShapingtheRANandRAAFforSeamlessIntegration
AVMJohnBlackburn(Reserve)– WilliamsFoundationFellow
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