strategic roadmapping for healthcare robotics
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Roadmap for Healthcare Robotics
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4th March, 2014 Management Consulting Practice
Table of ContentsWhat is healthcare robotics?Who are the stakeholders?Industry roadmap– Next 5 years– Next 10 years– Next 30 years…
Recommendations
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What is Healthcare RoboticsFP7 (European Commission) Definition – Robotics for Medicine and Healthcare is considered the
domain of systems able to perform coordinated mechatronic actions (force or movement exertions) on the basis of processing of information acquired through sensor technology, with the aim to support the functioning of impaired individuals, medical interventions, care and rehabilitation of patients and also to support individuals in prevention programs
Innovation areas – Monitoring/therapy robots– Medical capsules– Intelligent prosthetics – Robotised surgery 3
Our focus
Existing Medical Robots & TechnologyVasteras Giraff
iRobot’s AVA Tele-presence Tech.
Hector Eldercare RobotTokyo Partner Robot
InTouch Health’s RP-VITA Mobile Robot
Hocoma AG’s Lokomat
Who are the StakeholdersManufacturers/Suppliers
– : big market opportunity– : regarded as high risk/cost
Research organizations– : research area getting importance– : not clear who should take initiative, researcher or company?
Healthcare providers/institutions– : possibility for more qualitative and more effective care with less man power– : lack of personnel dealing with new technologies
Professional users– : increase efficiency– : personal contacts with patient is still an important part of professional ethic
Patients– : provided more choices for care and lifestyle– : emotional barrier against robotics healthcare
Informal caregivers– : more choices– : reliability and usability concern
Government– : reducing healthcare expenses, solution for lack of care personnel– : requires lot of regulation changes and promoting actions 5
Our focus
Roadmap for Healthcare Robotics
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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier
ProductsServices
TechnologyCapability
Aging in developed countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance
Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
MonitoringIndividual
Monitoring + TherapyInteractive
Diagnosis + Care planProactive
• Aging society• Lack of doctors/nurses• Increased expense for
healthcare
• More people live alone• Depopulation of rural area• People care quality of life
more• Get used to IT
• WW Aging society• Acceptance for robotics
increase• Limited landscape
• Cost/Regulation• Reliability/acceptance
• Advanced technology• Usability
• Quality• Resistance
Market needs
Challenges
• Security cameras for nursing
• Wearable monitoring
• Therapy robots (pets, partners)
• Tele-medicine• Tele-diagnosis
• Proactive Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses)
• Autonomous devices
• Sensors (wearable)• Actuators• Monitoring camera• Pattern recognition• High speed network
• Sensor feedback• Soft Actuators• Intention recognition• Advanced Human
machine interface
• Natural language processing
• Autonomous navigation system
• Machine learning & statistical analysis
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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier
Aging in developed countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance
Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
• In 2011, 6% of less developed total 15% by 2050
• By 2050, 15b or 16% of global total • Projected 115m worldwide living with
AD/ dementia in 2050
1. Aging society & increasing burden of Dementia
• In 2011, 16% of developed total 26% by 2050
• Recent estimate 27-36m living with AD/dementia
• Worldwide cost of dementia exceeded US$600b in 2010
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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier
Aging in developed countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance
Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
2. Increased healthcare spending & workers shortage
Global increase in healthcare spending (2001-2011):• In USA, 26%• In Costa Rica, 156%• In China, 266%• In Japan, 50%• In Singapore, 234%
• In UK, 66%• In Poland, 122%• In Russia, 215%• In Iran, 162%• In S Africa, 59% • Global shortage of 12.9m
healthcare workers by 2035
• Global home healthcare: US$306b by 2020
• Global medical device: US$228b by 2015
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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier
Aging in developed countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance
Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
• In Europe, more than 40% of women elderly live alone
• In Japan, elderly living alone increased from 28% to 32% from 2001 to 2011
3. Changing family structure
• “Beanpole family” in more developed countries
• Fewer children & smaller generations
• Number of elderly living alone is rising in most countries
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2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030DriverBarrier
Aging in developed countries/Lack of
medical professionals
People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance
Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
4. Increased acceptance of technology & QOL
Global mature consumer study in 2011:• 3,000 interviews in 23 countries including BRIC,
USA, Britain• Technology use is extensive • 69% have both fixed-line and mobile phones; 50%
use the internet
• Socio-demographics, education, experience with technology will differ
Products/Services (2010-2014)
12http://wirelesswire.jp/Watching_World/201208101922.html
Wearable monitoring systemSecurity cameras for nursing
MonitoringIndividual
Network Camera NetworkWi-Fi
SmartphoneApps
Tremor and MovementInertial Sensors
Positioning, localization and pattern recognition
ElectronicActuator
Haptic Sensors
Adaptive auditoryCueing system
User friendlyInterfacing
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Products/Services (2015-2020)Monitoring + Therapy
Interactive
Tele-consultation, tele-diagnosisTherapeutic Interactive Robot
Paro
Tactile, Light, Audition, Posture and temperature Sensors
http://www.parorobots.com/index.asp
Speech and Vision Pattern recognition
Advanced Human machine Interface
Better understanding of the effectiveness of therapies
AmbientIntelligence
New materials, Artificial skins and Soft actuatorsSensory feedback
http://teledoctors.wordpress.com/2012/10/02/telemedicine/
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Products/Services (2020-2030) Diagnosis + Care planProactive
14Access to EMR and PHR Natural language
processing
autonomous navigationtechnology
Detection of vital data• patient's blood pressure and pulse
Conversation capability• Live conversation with doctors in hospitals• Extracting the meaning from human or natural
language input Autonomous navigation system Access to Personal health record (PHR) Suggest an appropriate diagnosis and a care plan to
patients/doctors by referring to previous cases (Machine Learning & Big data)
Statistical analysis
AI : Machine Learning
Intelligent Robot Platform ED-7270
Proactive diagnosis robot
RecommendationsHealthcare Robotics industry has the three steps
to the future growth– Monitoring– Monitoring + Therapy– Diagnosis + Care plan
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ProductsServices
MonitoringIndividual
Monitoring + TherapyInteractive
Diagnosis + Care planProactive
• Security cameras for nursing
• Wearable monitoring
• Therapy robots (pets, partners)
• Tele-medicine
• Proactive Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses)
• Autonomous devices
RecommendationsRecommendations to manufacturers for
monitoring as a first step
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MonitoringIndividual
• Manufacturers have to focus on these technologies• Sensors, Actuators and network• Monitoring camera• Pattern recognition
• Collaborative research with in-company institutions and independent research firms such as IT startups in Silicon Valley must be the best choice for a quick attempt to get dynamic information
• A collaboration can be the solution to improve current technology for aging society and lack of medical professionals in the developed countries
Aging in developed countries/Lack of
medical professionals
Solution
RecommendationsSecond step is to add the improvement of
interactive functions to monitoring system
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Monitoring + TherapyInteractive
• Manufacturers have to focus on these technologies• Therapy robots (pets, partners)• Self learning system
• Research and development has to focus on soft technology such as how to heal and improve the comfort to patients, that is, communication skills
• Knowledge from psychological counselors should be implemented to robots in this stage
• Robots will not be robots gradually, more partners
Solution
People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance
RecommendationsFinally Robots can make the decision
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Diagnosis + Care planProactive
• Manufacturers have to focus on these technologies• Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses)• Autonomous devices
• AI technology will be getting more important• Also doctors can still play an important role as
final decision makers for caring plan, therefore manufacturers can provide devices, which can show how to understand and interpret information from robots to real cares
• Technology transfer could be another issue in order to apply advanced technology to developing countries
Solution
Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of
robots & human
For the healthy society achieved with the coexistence of human and robots
Q&A
Appendices
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Speed of Population Aging
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References http://www.prb.org/Publications/Articles/2011/agingpopulationclocks.aspx http://www.emergogroup.com/resources/worldwide-health-expenditures http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/814221 http://www.nia.nih.gov/sites/default/files/nia-who_report_booklet_oct-2011_a4__1-12-12_5.pdf http://www.atkearney.at/consumer-products-retail/maturing-consumer/report http://wirelesswire.jp/Watching_World/201208101922.html http://www.parorobots.com/index.asp http://teledoctors.wordpress.com/2012/10/02/telemedicine/
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