the chaos theory of careers · working with uncertainty, complexity and change using the chaos...
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Working with uncertainty, complexity and change using the
Chaos Theory of Careers
CDI Annual Conference Cardiff, Mon 9th November 2015 Professor Jim Bright
Faculty of Education and Arts jim.bright@acu.edu.au
The Chaos Theory of Careers
•Complexity
•Change
•Chance
© Jim Bright 2015
Careers are subject to a huge number of different influences
• Parents
• Economy
• Globalisation
• Education
• Teachers
• Accidents
• Health
• Geography
• Acts of War
• Terrorism
• Relatives
• Friends
• Relationships
• Parenthood
• Chance Encounters
Complexity, puppies & ping pong
• Limits on Predictability
© Jim Bright 2015
How many combinations of a Rubik’s cube are there?
43,252,003,274,489,856,000 ~ 43 Quintillion
It is estimated by Simon Harper that it takes 90 days counting 16 hours a day to reach 1 million.
making it 10664877519737 years, 2 months & 20 days to count to 43 quintillion
(currently life expectancy is approximately 82 yrs) Good luck!
© Jim Bright 2015
Change
© Jim Bright 2015
Chance
Between 70% - 100%
of people say
a chance event
significantly changed
their career Pryor & Bright, 2011
© Jim Bright 2015
Lorenz, Chaos, Weather & Prediction
Non-linearity A tiny change in the initial conditions leads to a
dramatically different outcome
In this case the change was
C=C+0.01 between A and B
LorenzModified Lorenz attractor. It is defined by
the following 3 differential equations:dx/dt=-ax+aydy/dt=cx-y-xzdz/dt=-bz+xy
values a=10, b = 28, c= 3.99 from 3.98 x=y=z=1
© Jim Bright 2015
The Limits of Plans
Chaos Theory of Careers Pryor & Bright 2011
• Dynamic, continual change
• Planning NOT Plans
• Strategic Opportunism
• Being open to Possibilities
• Avoid being trapped into narrow & static thinking
• Stepping back and seeing bigger emergent picture
© Jim Bright 2015
Successful Careers Flow fromFlexibility
Curiosity
Creativity
Openness
Risking Failure
Persistence
Contact Jim Bright
• jimbright@me.com or jim.bright@acu.edu.au
• https://au.linkedin.com/in/jimbright
• www.brightandassociates.com.au
• @DrJimBright
• https://www.facebook.com/jimbright.careerdevelopment
© Jim Bright 2015
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