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February 28, 2017

Sponsors:

Recognizing Community SustainabilityWelcome to

@APA_Planning

@APAadvocates

#APAlive

1.0

www.planning.org/tuesdaysatapa

planning.org

April 17 – Tuesdays at APA with Enterprise Community Partners

April 21-24 – NPC18 in New Orleans

April 25 – 2018 Great Places in America submission deadline

Important Dates

planning.org

Bike Sharing (PAS QuickNotes 61)• https://www.planning.org/media/document/9100472/

Creative Placemaking (PAS Memo, November 2016)• https://www.planning.org/pas/memo/2016/nov/

Inclusive Mobility (Planning, February 2018)• https://www.planning.org/planning/2018/feb/inclusivemobility/

APA Resources

A Lightning Presentation Night on Biking, Walking, and Citybuilding

March 20, 2018

Anna RayCommunity Activist and Connector

Food as Identityby Anna Ray

Siba El-SamraLandscape Designer/Planner

Toole Design Group

Darren BuckHead of Complete Streets Program

City of Alexandria

A virtuous bicycle

Video: Morning Ebb & Flow, jim.slade on Vimeo https://vimeo.com/141516172

Image: Bay Weekly Online http://bayweekly.com/old-site/year03/issueXI02/leadXI02.html

Graph and image from Ocean Cove Seafood - http://oceancoveclams.com/

Image: Clark Vandergrift http://www.visitmaryland.org/list/15-golf-courses-maryland-you-have-play

Video: Florida Oceanographic Society https://youtu.be/saAy7GfLq4w

Image: Chesapeake Bay Programhttps://www.chesapeakebay.net/news/blog/bernie_fowler_measures_a_sneaker_index_of_34_inches_at_annual_wade_in

Image: Kim Hairston/The Baltimore Sun http://darkroom.baltimoresun.com/2013/11/oyster-farming-on-the-chesapeake-bay/#5

Chart: Chesapeake Bay Program https://www.chesapeakebay.net/state/underwater_grasses

Image: Dave Harp, Bay Journalhttps://www.bayjournal.com/article/average_dead_zone_expected_this_summer_despite_clearer_water

Image: Chesapeake Bay Foundation http://cbf.typepad.com/bay_daily/2012/12/the-oyster-harvest-in-the-chesapeake-bay-is-improving-with-reports-out-of-the-maryland-department-of-natural-resources-that.html

Image: Museum of the City of New York, via https://ephemeralnewyork.wordpress.com/tag/wheelmen-of-19th-century-new-york/

Image: the Annandale Bloghttp://annandaleva.blogspot.com/2014/07/silver-line-adds-five-metro-stops-in.html

Image: Jonathan Maus/ BikePortlandhttps://www.flickr.com/photos/bikeportland/4973213624/in/photostream/

Image: People for Bikeshttps://peopleforbikes.org/blog/austins-quick-protected-lane-opens-a-bridge-to-student-biking/

Graph from 2014 Alliance for Biking and Walking Benchmarking Report

Image: From “Duck on a Bike” by David Shannon. Buy it! https://www.amazon.com/Duck-Bike-David-Shannon/dp/0439050235

~ Break ~

Rick RybeckDirector, Just Economics, LLC

Just Economics, LLC, 1669 Columbia Rd, NW, Suite 116, Washington, DC 20009 (202) 439-4176www.justeconomicsllc.com r.rybeck@justeconomicsllc.com

If Smart Growth Is So Smart, How Come There’s So Much

Dumb Growth?

Reversing Economic Incentives for Sprawl

APAMarch 20, 2018

OVERVIEW

• The Perversity of Infrastructure• No Good Deed Goes Unpunished• The Role of Land Speculation• Land Value Creation & Consequences• Land Value Recycling for Sustainability & Equity

Perversity of Infrastructure:

• Infrastructure is created to facilitate development.• But, it inflates the price of well-served land.• High land prices cause builders to develop cheaper

but more remote sites.• We run after development with more infrastructure,

but never catch up.• Ensuing sprawl harms the environment and impairs

our budgets due to expensive infrastructure duplication.

“No Good Deed Goes Unpunished”

• To help low-income communities:• Improve the schools• Reduce Crime• Enhance Transit

• If we accomplish any of these improvements, land prices rise, rents rise and the intended beneficiaries are displaced.

• Tax dollars, intended to help the poor, end up enriching Landlords (who tend not to be poor).

LAND SPECULATION• The ability of private landowners to appropriate publicly-

created land value is the fuel for land speculation

• Land speculation creates nothing of value

• Speculation does create• Artificial scarcity of developable land• Real increases in land prices• Periodic Real Estate Booms & Busts

INFLATED LAND PRICES

• Housing Affordability Problems• Labor & Material Prices Track General Inflation (CPI)• Since WWII, Land Prices Increased TEN TIMES FASTER Than CPI

• Sprawl• Inflated Land Prices Push Development to Cheaper, but more

Remote Sites

• Boom & Bust Cycles Create Hardships For Most• Speculators Outbid Land Users During Boom Times• Speculators Refuse to Sell At a Loss During Bust

LAND VALUE RETURN & RECYCLINGPROMOTES AFFORDABLE SMART GROWTH

• Did you learn something new about sprawl, affordable housing and job creation?

• What are you going to do about it?

Kim LucasBicycle & Pedestrian Program Specialist

District Department of Transportation

Me.

Heritage.

Arlington County

(Not a?)“Planner.”

http://apps.urban.org/features/OurChangingCity/demographics/#history

http://apps.urban.org/features/OurChangingCity/demographics/#history

Casey AndersonChair

The Montgomery County Planning Board

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2004 2007 2010 2013 2016

Percentage of Weekly Trips by Mode/Year

Drive Alone Transit Carpool Bike/Walk Telework

Source: 2016 State of the Commute Survey Report, National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board

Students who walk or bike to school – by school

<10% 11-25% 26-50% 51-75% 76-90% >90%

Source: 2016 US Report Card on Physical Activity for Children and Youth

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Ages 6-11

Ages 12-15

Ages 16-19

Percentage of youth meeting physical activity recommendations, 2005-6

Overall

Source: 2016 US Report Card on Physical Activity for Children and Youth

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

18-24

25-64

65-74

75 and over

Percentage of Adults 18 and over meeting federal physical activity guidelines

Female Male Total

Source: NCHS, National Health Interview Survey, 2016

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