women and cc, dash, uuuno seminar 2011
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8/7/2019 Women and CC, DASH, UUUNO Seminar 2011
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Women and Climate ChangeUU-UNO Spring Seminar, 2011
Jan W. Dash, PhD
Director Climate Initiative, UU-UNO
UN Committee on Sustainable Development NY (CoNGO)
Visiting Research Scholar, Fordham U.
Adjunct Professor, Courant Institute, NYU
Head, Strategic Risk Research, Bloomberg LP.
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Outline! Climate Change Basics
" Science
"
Impacts"Risk Management
! Women and Climate Change
! Conclusions
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Global Temperature Data
There IS Global Warming
Data GISS/NASA. Last decade hottest in over 100 yrs
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Human Behavior Risk - Future
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Impacts - Progressively Severe
! Watershortages (glaciers/snow packs melting worldwide),
! Cropfailures (including the US),
! Fires (increasingly frequent huge wildfires),
! Droughts (during the summer),
! Disease (human and plant),! Flooding (huge precipitation increases when it rains)
! Species extermination (polar bear just most visible),
! Extreme weather(destabilized Jet Stream),
! Sea level rise (glaciers into ocean, US Navy scenarios),
! Heat waves (over 100 F days become common),! Acidified oceans (attacks base of food chain),
! Mass migrations (millions across US borders),
! Increased conflict (destabilizing wars - US Pentagon),
! Economic disruption (global financial/economic collapse)
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Disease Risk
Climate change is the
biggest global healththreat of the 21stcentury
Lancet : "Managing the health effects of climate change"
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US National Security Risk
Climate change: threat
to Americas nationalsecurity
Pentagon, Navy, senior US military
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Food Shortage Risk
! US crops - corn, soybeans, cotton -can decline 80% if temp up enough
! International too. Women = farmers
Schlenker and Roberts, Proc. Nat. Acad. Sciences
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Contrarian disinformation risk
! Contrarian / denier pseudoscience
" Supported by fossil fuel, think tanks
! Contrarian goals
" Stop climate legislation and regulation
" Stop mitigation of global warming
" Stop green energy, energy efficiency
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International Negotiation Risk -
Climate Conferences
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Main negotiation issue Risk:
Cumulative vs. Current Emissions
! Developed Countries (US, EU )" Responsible for most ofexisting CO2
! Developing Countries" Developing emissions will dominate in future
" China now #1 fortodays CO2 emissions
" Per-capita emissions lower than for developed
! Science => Already near limit ~ 400 ppm
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Millennium Development Goals
! MDGs apply to poorest countries" All 192 countries (including US) signed
" Goal 1: Eradicate Extreme Poverty, Hunger" Goal 3: Empowerwomen
" Goal 4: Reduce Child Mortality Rate
" Goal 6: Combat malaria and otherdiseases
" Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability
! Climate Change = threat to MDGs
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Women: Positive Role helping to
counter Climate Change! Women accept science more than men
! Women want to act more than men
! Powerful Motivations:" Survival
" Water and Food for Children
" Peace!
Vulnerability of Women and Children in War" Justice
" Intergenerational Equity = Grandchildren
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Increased U.S. Recognition of
Essential Role of Women
Promote participation of women all levels
Secy. Clinton Intl. Fund - Women, Girls:" Promote climate change solutions
" Example: Replace old cook stoves = bad forhealth, environment (black carbon)
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References
! Women and children vulnerability
" IPCC Report Volume II, Chapter 17
! UN Economic Social Council"Document - Women and climate
change, policies and strategies
! UN Committee Sustainable Develop.
"Climate Statement: Copenhagen,Cancun, Durban Conferences
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UU-UNO Climate Portalclimate.uu-uno.org
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Wrap-Up
!Recent global warming trend ofclimate change - Human caused." Impacts will be increasingly severe
"Mitigation - ameliorate impacts = justice /intergenerational equity / survival
!Women, Children most vulnerable
!Women have a central role to play
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Bottom Line
! We all have pictures of children. Wewant to say to them: We did our best
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We can all help make a real difference! We CAN still mitigate global warming!
" We need to stay optimistic!
" We need to ACT!
"YOU can help!! Thank you
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You can helpChildren and Grandchildren will
thank you
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