world rice outlook 2013-2023 agrep briefing book march 2014 · .s. rice expo orld rice ha orld rice...
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Inte
T
1 L.C. CartAgricultura
Arkan
ernatiInt
The Food an
D
ter Chair and Dal Economics,
nsas Gl
ional Rternationa
Er
nd Agricultu
Department
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Distinguished PDivision of Ag
AGlobal R
Rice Bal Rice Bas
Repor
ric J. Wailes
In coop
ural Policy
Ma
of AgricultuDivision
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Professor, and griculture, Uni
GREPRice Eco
Baseliseline Proj
rt Prepared
and Eddie C
peration wit
Research In
rch 201
ural Economn of AgriculAgriculture Bsity of Arkanville, AR 72
Senior Programiversity of Arka
Ponomics
ine Bjections, 2
by
C. Chavez1
th
nstitute, Un
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ight 2014 by copies of tht notice app
kansas Globale, 217 Agriceville, AR 7business in t
on of Agricul
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eport and theEP, including.
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Darren Hudso
ke to thank pwed in Washlity of the au
Eric J. Waihis documentears on all s
al Rice Econculture Build2701. AGREthe Dale Bumlture, Univer
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k supported iPolicy Rese
epartment ofy the Arkansa
ons, or recomarily reflect tn of Agricult
e global rice g Eric J. Wa
pared with thedu), Scott Gan Binfield (d Mike Helmon (Darren.h
participants hington, DC uthors.
les and Eddit for non-comsuch copies.
nomics Progrding, DepartEP is part ofmpers Collegrsity of Arka
in part by a search Institutf Agricultureas Rice Rese
mmendationthe views of ture, nor the
projectionsailes (ewailes
he help of thGerlt (gerlts@(binfieldj@mmar (mhelmahudson@ttu.e
in a workshin Decembe
ie C. Chavezmmercial pu
ram (AGREtment of Agrf the Departmge of Agricuansas.
sub-grant frote (FAPRI–Me, No. 58-01earch and Pr
ns expressed f the U.S. DeArkansas R
presented ins@uark.edu)
he team at FA@missouri.emissouri.eduar@cabnr.unedu) at Texa
op where a per 2013. Any
z. All rights urposes by an
EP) at the Unricultural Ecment of Agriultural, Food
om the UnivMU) under a11-13-002. Tromotion Bo
in this publiepartment of
Rice Research
n this report ) and Eddie
APRI-MU, iedu), Jarrett Wu) and Wyatt nr.edu) at theas Tech Univ
preliminary y errors in th
reserved. Reny means, pr
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niversity of conomics anicultural
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ication are thf Agricultureh and Promo
were preparC. Chavez
ncluding PaWhistance Thompson e University versity.
version of thhis report are
eaders may mrovided that
Page2
nd
e l is
hose e, the otion
red
at
of
hese e
make t this
Table ofAbstract ....
Introductio
Rice Policy
Key Pol
Overview o
Results of
Detailed
Rice E
Rice I
Rice H
Rice D
Rice G
Rice Sup
Africa
Amer
Asia ..
Europ
Ocean
World
ECOW
Results of
Detailed
Conclusion
Estimates o
Estimates o
f Contents.....................
on .................
y Overview ..
icy Drivers ..
of Global Ric
the Determin
d Results on G
Export Suppli
Import Deman
Harvested Ar
Domestic Con
Global Stocks
pply and Dem
a ...................
ricas ..............
.....................
pe ..................
nia ................
d ...................
WAS ............
Stochastic Ba
d Results of th
ns and Summ
of the Determ
of the Stocha
s .....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
ce Supply and
nistic Baseline
Global Rice S
ies ................
nd ................
ea and Produ
nsumption ....
s ...................
mand by Worl
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
aseline Analy
he Stochastic
mary ...............
ministic Baseli
stic Baseline
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
d Demand .....
e Analysis .....
upply and De
.....................
.....................
ction .............
.....................
.....................
ld Region ......
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
ysis ................
Baseline Ana
.....................
ine Analysis .
Analysis ......
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emand ...........
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Page3
.................... 9
.................. 10
.................. 1
.................. 1
.................. 14
.................. 17
.................. 17
.................. 18
.................. 20
.................. 22
.................. 23
.................. 24
.................. 25
.................. 25
.................. 26
.................. 26
.................. 27
.................. 27
.................. 27
.................. 28
.................. 28
.................. 28
.................. 29
.................. 30
.................. 69
9
0
1
1
4
7
7
8
0
2
3
4
5
5
6
6
7
7
7
8
8
8
9
0
9
References
List of F
Figure 1 SeProgram ...
Figure 2 Im
Figure 3 H
Figure 4 U
Figure 5 W
Figure 6 W
Figure 7 Pe
Figure 8 T
Figure 9 N
Figure 10 S
Figure 11 R
Figure 12 N
Figure 13 S
Figure 14 T
Figure 15 T
Figure 16 T
Figure 17 S
Figure 18 S
Figure 19 S .................
Figure 20 S
Figure 21 S
Figure 22 S
Figure 23 S
s ...................
Figures
eparation betw.....................
mpacts of 201
Historical and
U.S. Rice Expo
World Rice Ha
World Rice Su
er capita rice
op World Ric
Net Rice Expo
Shares of tota
Rice imports
Net Rice Imp
Shares of tota
Top world ric
Top World ric
Top countries
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro.....................
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
.....................
ween Thai Ri.....................
11 of the Padd
Projected Wo
ort Prices rela
arvested Area
upplies, Consu
ending stock
ce Exporting C
rts by World
al rice exports
by top countr
orts by World
al rice imports
ce producing c
ce consuming
s of rice endin
ojection of Lo
ojection of U
ojection Com.....................
ojection of M
ojection of U
ojection of U
ojection of U
.....................
ice and other .....................
dy Pledging P
orld Referenc
ative to World
a and Yield, H
umption, Trad
s for selected
Countries, Hi
Regions, His
s by world reg
ries, Historica
d Regions, Hi
s by world reg
countries, His
g countries, H
ng stocks, His
ong Grain Ric
.S. Long Grai
mparisons of In.....................
Medium Grain
.S. Season Av
.S. Long Grai
.S. Medium G
......................
Asian Export......................
Program on Th
ce Rice Prices
d Reference P
Historical and
de and Ending
d countries, H
istorical and P
storical and Pr
gions, Histori
al and Project
istorical and P
gions, Histori
storical and P
Historical and
storical and P
ce Internation
in Rice FOB
nternational R......................
Rice Price, F
verage All Ri
in Average Fa
Grain Averag
.....................
t Prices after I.....................
hai Exports a
s. ...................
Prices for long
d Projected. ...
g Stocks, His
Historical and
Projected. .....
rojected........
ical and Proje
ted. ...............
Projected......
ical and Proje
Projected. ......
Projected.....
Projected. ......
nal Reference
Export Price.
Reference and.....................
FOB Californ
ice Farm Pric
arm Price. ....
e Farm Price.
.....................
Implementati.....................
and Stocks. ....
.....................
g-grain rice. .
.....................
storical and Pr
Projected. ....
.....................
.....................
ected. ............
.....................
.....................
ected. ............
.....................
.....................
.....................
e Price ...........
. ....................
d U.S. Long G.....................
nia. .................
e. ..................
.....................
. ....................
......................
ion of the Pad......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
rojected ........
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
Grain Rice Ex......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
Page4
.................. 82
ddy Pledging .................. 12
.................. 12
.................. 13
.................. 14
.................. 15
.................. 15
.................. 16
.................. 18
.................. 19
.................. 20
.................. 2
.................. 2
.................. 22
.................. 23
.................. 24
.................. 25
.................. 70
.................. 70
xport Prices................... 7
.................. 7
.................. 72
.................. 72
.................. 73
2
2
2
3
4
5
5
6
8
9
0
1
1
2
3
4
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
Figure 24 S
Figure 25 S
Figure 26 S
Figure 27 S
Figure 28 S
Figure 29 S
Figure 30 S
Figure 31 S
Figure 32 S
Figure 33 S
Figure 34 S
Figure 35 S
Figure 36 S
Figure 37 S
Figure 38 S
Figure 39 S
List of T
Table 1 W
Table 2 W
Table 3 U.
Table 4 Ar
Table 5 Au
Table 6 Ba
Table 7 Br
Table 8 Br
Table 9 Ca
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Stochastic Pro
Tables
orld Rice Net
orld Rice Sup
S. Rice Supp
rgentina Rice
ustralia Rice S
angladesh Ric
razil Rice Sup
runei Darussa
ambodia Rice
ojection of W
ojection of W
ojection of W
ojection of W
ojection of W
ojections of T
ojection of Th
ojections of V
ojections of In
ojection of In
ojections of U
ojections of P
ojections of In
ojections of P
ojections of N
ojections of E
t Trade by Co
pply, Utilizati
ly, Utilization
Supply, Utili
Supply, Utiliz
ce Supply, Uti
pply, Utilizati
lam Rice Sup
Supply, Utili
World Rice Ne
World Rice Ar
World Rice Mi
World Total Ri
World Rice En
Thailand Net R
hailand Rice E
Vietnam Net R
ndia Net Rice
ndia Rice End
U.S. Net Rice
Philippine Net
ndonesia Net
People’s Repu
Nigeria Net R
ECOWAS-15
ountry and Int
ion, Total Tra
n, Net Trade a
ization and N
zation and Ne
ilization and N
on and Net T
pply, Utilizati
ization and N
et Trade. ........
ea Harvested
illed Producti
ice Consumpt
nding Stocks. .
Rice Exports.
Ending Stock
Rice Exports.
e Exports. .....
ding Stocks. ...
Exports........
t Rice Import
t Rice Imports
ublic of China
Rice Imports. ..
Net Rice Imp
ternational Re
ade and Stock
and Farm Pric
et Trade, 201
et Trade, 2013
Net Trade, 20
Trade, 2013-20
ion and Net T
Net Trade, 201
.....................
. ...................
ion. ...............
tion. .............
.....................
. ...................
ks. .................
. ....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
ts. .................
s. ..................
a Net Rice Im
.....................
ports. ...........
eference Price
ks-to Use, 201
ces, 2013-202
13-2023 ........
3-2023 ..........
013-2023 ......
023 ...............
Trade, 2013-2
13-2023 ........
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
mports. ...........
.....................
.....................
es, 2013-2023
13-2023. .......
23. ................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
023 ...............
.....................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
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3 ...................
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Page5
.................. 73
.................. 74
.................. 74
.................. 75
.................. 75
.................. 76
.................. 76
.................. 77
.................. 77
.................. 78
.................. 78
.................. 79
.................. 79
.................. 80
.................. 80
.................. 8
.................. 3
.................. 33
.................. 33
.................. 34
.................. 34
.................. 35
.................. 35
.................. 36
.................. 36
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
7
7
8
8
9
9
0
0
1
1
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
Table 10 C
Table 11 C
Table 12 P
Table 13 C
Table 14 C
Table 15 E
Table 16 E
Table 17 G
Table 18 G
Table 19 C
Table 20 In
Table 21 In
Table 22 Ir
Table 23 Ir
Table 24 Ja
Table 25 K
Table 26 L
Table 27 L
Table 28 M
Table 29 M
Table 30 M
Table 31 M
Table 32 M
Table 33 N
Table 34 P
Table 35 P
Cameroon Ric
Canada Rice U
People’s Repu
Colombia Rice
Cote D’Ivoire
Egypt Rice Su
EU-27 Rice Su
Ghana Rice Su
Guinea Rice S
China-Hong K
ndia Rice Sup
ndonesia Rice
ran Rice Supp
raq Rice Supp
apan Rice Sup
Kenya Rice Su
Lao PDR Rice
Liberia Rice S
Malaysia Rice
Mali Rice Sup
Mexico Rice S
Mozambique R
Myanmar Rice
Nigeria Rice S
Pakistan Rice
Philippines Ri
ce Supply, Uti
Utilization and
ublic of China
e Supply, Uti
Rice Supply,
upply, Utilizat
upply, Utiliza
upply, Utiliza
Supply, Utiliza
Kong Rice Uti
pply, Utilizati
e Supply, Util
ply, Utilizatio
ply, Utilizatio
pply, Utilizat
upply, Utiliza
e Supply, Util
Supply, Utiliza
e Supply, Util
pply, Utilizatio
Supply, Utiliz
Rice Supply,
e Supply, Util
Supply, Utiliz
Supply, Utili
ce Supply, U
ilization and N
d Net Trade,
a Rice Supply
lization and N
, Utilization a
tion and Net T
ation and Net
ation and Net
ation and Net
ilization and N
ion and Net T
lization and N
on and Net Tr
on and Net Tr
tion and Net T
ation and Net
lization and N
ation and Net
ization and N
on and Net Tr
zation and Ne
Utilization an
lization and N
zation and Net
zation and Ne
tilization and
Net Trade, 20
2013-2023 ....
y, Utilization a
Net Trade, 20
and Net Trade
Trade, 2013-2
Trade, 2013-
Trade, 2013-
t Trade, 2013
Net Trade, 20
Trade, 2013-2
Net Trade, 20
rade, 2013-20
rade, 2013-20
Trade, 2013-2
Trade, 2013-
Net Trade, 201
t Trade, 2013
Net Trade, 201
rade, 2013-20
t Trade, 2013
nd Net Trade,
Net Trade, 20
t Trade, 2013
et Trade, 201
d Net Trade, 2
013-2023 ......
.....................
and Net Trad
013-2023 .......
e, 2013-2023
2023 .............
-2023 ............
-2023 ............
-2023 ...........
013-2023 ......
023 ..............
13-2023 .......
023 ................
023 ................
2023 .............
-2023 ............
13-2023 .......
-2023 ...........
13-2023 ........
023 ...............
3-2023 ..........
, 2013-2023 .
13-2023 .......
3-2023 ..........
3-2023 .........
2013-2023 ....
.....................
.....................
de, 2013-2023
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
......................
......................
3 ....................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
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Page6
.................. 37
.................. 37
.................. 38
.................. 38
.................. 39
.................. 39
.................. 40
.................. 40
.................. 4
.................. 4
.................. 42
.................. 42
.................. 43
.................. 43
.................. 44
.................. 44
.................. 45
.................. 45
.................. 46
.................. 46
.................. 47
.................. 47
.................. 48
.................. 48
.................. 49
.................. 49
7
7
8
8
9
9
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
7
7
8
8
9
9
Table 36 S
Table 37 S
Table 38 S
Table 39 S
Table 40 S
Table 41 S
Table 42 T
Table 43 T
Table 44 T
Table 45 T
Table 46 U
Table 47 V
Table 48 A
Table 49 ATrade, 201
Table 50 ATrade, 201
Table 51 W
Table 52 Wand Net Tr
Table 53 WUtilization
Table 54 A
Table 55 ATrade, 201
Table 56 ATrade, 201
Table 57 E
Saudi Arabia R
Senegal Rice S
Sierra Leone R
Singapore Ric
South Africa R
South Korea R
Taiwan Rice S
Tanzania Rice
Thailand Rice
Turkey Rice S
Uruguay Rice
Vietnam Rice
Africa Total R
African Aggre3-2023 ........
African Aggre3-2023 ........
Western Hemi
Western Hemirade, 2013-20
Western Hemin and Net Trad
Asian Rice Su
Asian Aggrega3-2023 ........
Asian Aggrega3-2023 ........
European Tota
Rice Supply,
Supply, Utiliz
Rice Supply, U
e Utilization
Rice Supply, U
Rice Supply, U
Supply, Utiliz
e Supply, Util
Supply, Utili
Supply, Utiliza
Supply, Utili
Supply, Utili
Rice Supply, U
egate of Coun.....................
egate of Other.....................
isphere Rice S
isphere Aggre023 ................
isphere Aggrede, 2013-2023
upply, Utilizat
ate of Countr.....................
ate of Other C.....................
al Rice Supply
Utilization an
zation and Ne
Utilization an
and Net Trad
Utilization an
Utilization an
zation and Net
ization and N
ization and N
ation and Net
ization and N
ization and Ne
Utilization and
ntries with Ind.....................
r Countries M.....................
Supply, Utiliz
egate of Coun.....................
egate of Othe3 ...................
tion and Net T
ies with Indiv.....................
Countries Mo.....................
y, Utilization
nd Net Trade,
et Trade, 2013
nd Net Trade,
de, 2013-2023
nd Net Trade,
nd Net Trade,
t Trade, 2013
Net Trade, 201
Net Trade, 201
t Trade, 2013
et Trade, 201
et Trade, 201
d Net Trade,
dividual AGR......................
Modeled as a G......................
zation and Ne
ntries with Ind......................
r Countries M......................
Trade, 2013-2
vidual Models......................
deled as a Gr......................
n and Net Trad
, 2013-2023 .
3-2023 ..........
2013-2023 ..
3 ...................
2013-2023 ..
2013-2023 ..
3-2023 ..........
13-2023 ........
13-2023 ........
-2023 ...........
13-2023 ........
3-2023 .........
2013-2023 ...
RM Models –.....................
Group in AGR.....................
et Trade, 2013
dividual AGR.....................
Modeled as a G.....................
2023 .............
s in AGRM –.....................
roup in AGRM.....................
de, 2013-202
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
.....................
Rice Supply,.....................
RM – Rice Su.....................
3-2023 ..........
RM Models –.....................
Group in AG.....................
.....................
– Rice Supply.....................
M – Rice Sup.....................
3 ...................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
......................
, Utilization, a......................
upply, Utiliza......................
......................
– Rice Supply......................
GRM – Rice S......................
......................
y, Utilization ......................
pply, Utilizati......................
......................
Page7
.................. 50
.................. 50
.................. 5
.................. 5
.................. 52
.................. 52
.................. 53
.................. 53
.................. 54
.................. 54
.................. 55
.................. 55
.................. 56
and Net .................. 56
ation and Net .................. 57
.................. 57
y, Utilization .................. 58
upply, .................. 58
.................. 59
and Net .................. 59
on and Net .................. 60
.................. 60
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
7
7
8
8
9
9
0
0
Table 58 ETrade, 201
Table 59 ENet Trade,
Table 60 O
Table 61 OTrade, 201
Table 62 OTrade, 201
Table 63 W
Table 64 W2013-2023
Table 65 WTrade, 201
Table 66 E
Table 67 P
Table 68 P
European Agg3-2023 ........
European Agg 2013-2023 ..
Oceania Total
Oceania Aggre3-2023 ........
Oceania Aggre3-2023 ........
World Total R
World Aggreg ....................
World Aggreg3-2023 ........
ECOWAS Tot
Projected Rice
Projected Per C
gregate of Cou.....................
gregate of Oth.....................
Rice Supply,
egate of Coun.....................
egate of Othe.....................
Rice Supply, U
gate of Countr.....................
gate of Other C.....................
tal Rice Supp
e Milled Yield
Capita Rice U
untries Model.....................
her Countries .....................
, Utilization a
ntries Modele.....................
er Countries M.....................
Utilization and
ries Modeled .....................
Countries Mo.....................
ply, Utilization
ds Per Hectar
Utilization for
led Individua......................
Modeled as a......................
and Net Trade
ed individuall......................
Modeled as a G......................
d Net Trade,
individually ......................
odeled as a Gr......................
n and Net Tra
re for the Wor
r the World an
ally in AGRM.....................
a Group in AG.....................
e, 2013-2023
ly in AGRM –.....................
Group in AG.....................
2013-2023 ...
in AGRM – R.....................
roup in AGR.....................
ade, 2013-202
rld and Select
nd Selected C
M – Rice Supp.....................
GRM - Rice S.....................
.....................
– Rice Supply.....................
GRM – Rice S.....................
.....................
Rice Supply, .....................
RM – Rice Sup.....................
23 .................
ted Countries
Countries, 201
ply, Utilizatio......................
Supply, Utiliz......................
......................
y, Utilization ......................
Supply, Utiliza......................
......................
Utilization an......................
pply, Utilizati......................
......................
s, 2013-2023 .
13-2023 ........
Page8
on and Net .................. 6
zation and .................. 6
.................. 62
and Net .................. 62
ation, and Ne.................. 63
.................. 63
nd Net Trade.................. 64
ion and Net .................. 64
.................. 65
.................. 66
.................. 67
1
1
2
2
et 3
3
, 4
4
5
6
7
Keyword JEL Code Abstrac This outloProgram (the currenpotential sevaluatingestimates and other
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Page9
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f the e a better lish likely
University ment.
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ction
ook is not a sriables in theistic and stocce Model (Ak developed
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annual cumuated from the
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set of predicte global rice chastic basel
AGRM). AGd and maintaigricultural Ec
fited from wUniversity o
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sent a baselinlity on some rt are generaistical simul
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gricultural Pains U.S. agrturn projecti
relevant conies. For exam
producing staIn the Peoplegjiang, Jilin, e provinces otes with whe
Distribution . The AGRMr 2013 or manam, and Indand April 201dAvailability
numbers presr period 2012
g, consumingonal aggregatd staple in SuCOWAS (theupply sector linkage equ
ence prices, l
ne of the likeof the key v
ated using thlation and ecrogram (AGArkansas, F
Policy Researicultural andions which a
nsidering thample, rice arates in the Ue’s Republicand Liaoninof Anhui, Cheat particular
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Page10
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GREP) with Fayetteville.
arch Instituted other
are
at these rea competes
U.S. c of China ng; with hongqing, rly in the
line databaseeting years r 2013/14 inober 2013-014 for etails. As s document
g rice a, the
Africa, we Communityarea and global rice nd medium
n
e
s
e
n
The determprojectionconditionsbaselines R&D fund
The stochdeterminisfact that uactual marand uncer
The stochvariable foproducingcountry buare critica200 randousing the al.(2008).
Rice Pol The rice sWailes anbaseline.
KeyPoliFor the paThe first isecond is support poas 50% hibetween T
ministic basens for macroes. Growth rain recognitioding on glob
hastic baselinstic analysis
underlying asrket outcom
rtainty which
hastic framewfor each of thg states in theut it is also v
al for rice proom draws aresoftware Sim
licy Overv
sector policynd Chavez (2
icyDriver
ast two yearsis India’s offThailand’s iolicy for Thaigher than prThailand’s an
eline assumeeconomic va
ates in rice yion of potentibal rice produ
ne provides a which genessumptions ies deviate fr
h is an impor
work is genehe 51 countrie U.S. Yieldvery sensitivoduction. The implementmulation & E
view
y assumption2012). Curren
rs
s the internatficial lifting implementatai farmers. Trevailing mand other Asi
es the followariables; no nields in selecial positive iuctivity.
a range of prerates averagin the determrom average rtant charact
rated using mies and regio
d is used becave to changeshe MVE takeed using a 2Econometric
ns by countrynt domestic
tional rice mof its ban on
tion in OctobThe PPP provarket prices (ian rice expo
wing: a continnew WTO Dcted countrieimpacts from
robable outcoge point estimministic base
estimates. Steristic of the
multivariate ons in the moause it is thes in weather e into accoun8-year empi
cs to Analyze
y are documeand trade po
market has ben non-basmaber 2011 of ivides price s(Wailes and ort prices unt
nuation of eDoha Round es are made
m the Global
omes (confimates. Stocheline usually Stochastic ane internation
empirical dodel, as welle variable thaconditions a
nt serial and irical distribue Risk (Sime
ented in Appolicies (e.g. t
een impactedati rice exporits paddy plesupports to thChavez, 201til early 201
existing polictrade reformrelatively st
l Rice Scienc
dence intervhastic estima
do not holdnalysis provinal rice econ
distributions l as for each at not only vand water av
d geographicaution of histetar) develop
pendix Tabletariff rates) a
d and dominrts as of Sepedging progrhe rice produ13). This res4 (Figure 1)
cies; Global ms; and avertronger than ce Partnersh
vals), as oppoates are usefud true in realiides informa
nomy.
(MVE) of th of the six ri
varies by yeavailability—al covarianctorical yieldsped by Rich
e 1 of the puare maintain
nated by two tember 2011ram (PPP), aucers whichsulted in a se.
Page11
Insight age weatherprevious ip (GRiSP)
osed to the ul given the ity, i.e., ation on risk
he yield ice-ar and by
—factors that ce. A total ofs generated ardson et
ublication byned over the
key events. 1. The a price-floor h are as mucheparation
f
y
h
Figure 1 Sep
Thex10
Figure 2 Im
Another cas the inte
paration betw
he major conxports plunge00% B price
pacts of 2011 o
consequence ernational re
een Thai Rice
nsequence ofed 40% in 20has substant
of the Paddy P
of this situaference long
and other Asia
f the PPP is t011; and its rtially decline
Pledging Progr
ation is that tg-grain rice p
an Export Price
that Thailandrice stockpiled from $61
ram on Thai Ex
the prevailinprice. As su
es after Implem
d lost leaderles doubled (5 per mt to $
xports and Stoc
ng high Thai uch, the equil
mentation of t
rship in glob(Figure 2). S$424 per mt,
cks.
rice price halibrium rice
the Paddy Pled
bal rice tradeSince May 2, a 31% drop
as limited itsinternationa
Page12
dging Program
e and its rice 013 the Thap.
s usefulness al reference
m
i
prices curand India now domiCambodiastorage elfor long g
Figure 3 His
U.
$2ricricprithede
ThThangaincdie
rrently gener(Wailes and
inated by Inda and Myanmement of the
grain rice.
storical and Pro
S. export pr200 per mt (Fce exports wce prices groice margin oe end of the
eclining trend
here are sevehese include nd processingains from hybcreasing cometary diversi
rated by the Ad Chavez, 20dia and Vietnmar. Our proe PPP, the Th
ojected World
ices, howeveFigure 4). Bill be expect
ow slightly, tover Asian pprojection pd (Table 3).
eral factors thpersistent ri
g capacity onbrids and GRmpetition witification awa
AGRM (Fig013). This is nam, with re
ojection howhai 100%B p
d Reference Ric
er, remain abBy historical ted to be impthe high U.Srices narrow
period (Table
hat can poteice surplusesn Mekong DRiSP researcth the U.S. bay from rice
gure 3) are clsupported b
elatively depwever suggest
price will res
ce Prices.
bnormally hstandards, thported into th. rice export
ws to a more e 1). U.S. av
ntially drives in India and
Delta in Vietnch, positivelybased on quaprimarily in
loser to the pby the fact thpendable supts that as Thsume its use
high---with mhis level is nhe U.S. Ovet prices are ehistorically-
verage farm
e the high U.d Thailand; nam, Camboy impacting ality with comn Asian coun
prevailing exhat the globalpplies also cohailand abandeful role as a
margins to Anot likely to ber the projectexpected to d-reasonable lprices are pr
.S. prices dosignificant i
odia and MyAsian and Ampetitors; an
ntries.
xport prices l rice exportoming from dons the gov
a world refer
Asian prices abe sustainabtion period, wdecline, as thlevel of abourojected to f
wnward, goinvestment inyanmar; and pAfrican rice end strong tre
Page13
of Vietnam t market is Pakistan,
vernment ence price
as high as ble as Asian while global
he wide U.S.ut $80 by
follow the
ing forward.n productionproductivityeconomies; ends in
l .
. n y
Figure 4 U.S
OvervieRice is theworld's pointernationdemand th
While riceproductionChavez, 2India, Vie
A combinyielding vself-sufficinternationin close tainternation
Over the bmetric ton
S. Rice Export P
ew of Globe most impoopulation, acnal rice pricehroughout m
e is the primn is traded a
2012). The intnam, Pakist
nation of slowvarieties and ciency progranal rice priceandem with gnal reference
baseline projns (mmt) in 2
Prices relative
bal Rice Surtant food cr
ccounting fores are highly
much of Asia,
mary staple foas opposed tonternational rtan, and the
w growth in hybrids andams of majoes over the ngains in conse price rema
jection perio2023 with 0.
to World Refe
upply and rop of the der more than y volatile du, where it is
or half the wo 10 percent rice trade is U.S.) accoun
rice consumd other improor consumingnext decade.sumption, pr
aining within
od, world ric.80% coming
erence Prices f
Demandeveloping wo20% of dailye to a numbethe dominan
world’s populfor coarse ghighly concnting for 90%
mption and inoved productg countries--Over the ba
rices remainn the range $
e output grog from yield
for long‐grain
orld and the y caloric reqer of reasonsnt food stapl
lation, it is thgrains and 16centrated wit% of global
ncreased outption technol-are expectedaseline perion relatively st$400-$412 pe
ows at 1.01%d improveme
rice.
staple food quirement (IRs. Rice has ple.
hinly-traded6 percent forth five dominnet trade (Ta
put driven bogies—in lind to have a d
od, as growthtable with loer mt (Table
% per year, reent and 0.21%
of more thanRRI, 2013). price inelasti
. Only aboutr wheat (Wainant playersable 1).
y the use of ne with mordampening eh in productiong grain rice 1 and Figur
eaching 525% coming fr
Page14
n half of theThe
ic supply and
t 7% of rice iles and (Thailand,
f higher-re focused effect on ion remains ce re 3).
.0 million rom growth
d
in area haannually, per capita
Figure 5 Wo
Figure 6 Wo
rvested (Figreaching nea
a use declinin
orld Rice Harve
orld Rice Supp
ure 5). Drivearly 522.0 mng very sligh
ested Area and
lies, Consump
en solely bymmt in 2023—htly by 0.01%
d Yield, Histori
tion, Trade an
population —with popu% (Table 2 a
ical and Projec
nd Ending Stoc
growth, globulation growiand Figure 6
cted.
ks, Historical a
bal rice consing at 1.03%
6).
and Projected
sumption gai% but average
Page15
ins 1.02% e world rice
While indit is equala more mestocks of scapita stocprojected
Figure 7 Per
Note that in PRC, oa per capihistorical stocks. Li Interestingand are prPhilippinefor much phistoricall Global nerice pricesare expect
dustry and goly interestingeaningful poselected majck levels incyears.
r capita rice en
while there nly Thailandta basis, PRCnorm. Vietnkewise, Indi
gly, the per crojected to coes and Indonpublicized rily safe levels
t trade grows are projectted to focus
overnment reg to examine
opulation-wejor rice expocrease in both
nding stocks fo
is a sharp bud exhibits a dC’s stock ac
nam is projecia’s per capit
capita stock ontinue at lo
nesia could bice self-suffis is a pruden
ws at 1.94% ped to increasincreasingly
eports typicae the correspeighted comporting and imh Thailand a
or selected cou
uild-up of totdramatic spicumulation icted to have ta stock leve
levels for thower levels obe related to ficiency. Onlynt course of a
per year, reacse only slighy on self-suff
ally present oponding endiparison. Figu
mporting couand People’s
untries, Histori
tal rice stockike in per capis relatively a slight incr
el is historica
he Philippineover the projrecent attemy time will taction.
ching nearlyhtly by 0.21%ficiency by i
only the totaing stocks oure 7 depicts
untries. With s Republic of
ical and Projec
ks in Thailanpita stock regradual and
rease but relaally consiste
es and Indonjection perio
mpts to limittell if reducti
y 39.0 mmt b% annually, increasing th
al rice stocksn a per capits comparativ
h high levels f China (PRC
cted.
nd and a conelative to its d steady, andatively stableent; and is pr
nesia have deod. The stockrice importsions in endin
by 2023. Intas major ricehe use of hig
s in particulata basis in orve paths of pof producer C) over the 2
nsiderable acown historic
d still consiste level of perojected to re
eclined in reck declines ins as both coung stock rela
ternational loe consuming
gher yielding
Page16
ar countries, rder to have
per capita support, per
2013-2023
ccumulation cal path. On tent with its er capita riceemain stable
cent years n the untries push ative to
ong grain g countries g hybrids and
r
.
d
other imprrelative to
Results
Pr20the
Tagraser
Ta
Taan
TaOcregof
Tahig
Ta
Ta
Detailed
OvpoByshco
In Indin rel
roved produo long grain p
of the Det
ojections ge013-2023 aree tables with
able 1 is a suain referencerves as the in
able 2 presen
ables 3 thru 4nd net trade),
ables 48 thruceania) rice sgion that are
f each region
able 66 preseghlight the in
able 67 summ
able 68 prese
dResults
ver the projeopulation groy sheer magnare of 45% o
onsumption,
comparisondonesia, Banproduction,
lated build-u
uction technoprices, with
terministic
nerated frome presented inh description
ummary of the price, U.S.nternational
nts the summ
47 are the ba, by country.
u 65 present tsupply and d
e modeled inn that are mo
ents the rice ncreasing im
marizes the r
ents the rice
onGlobal
ection periodowth, with a nitude, the twof world areand 63% of
n, the combinngladesh, Viand 27% in
up in stocks,
ologies. Medan annual gr
c Baseline
m the determn Tables 1 th
n is included
he net trade b. long grain ereference pr
mary of the g
asic supply a.
the world redemand projndividually indeled as a gr
supply and dmportance of
rice average
average per
lRiceSup
d, India and Pcombined sh
wo countriesa harvested, world rice e
ned global shietnam, the Pconsumptioaccount for
dium grain rirowth of 0.7
Analysis
ministic analyhru 56. To sebelow:
by country aexport pricerice for med
global rice su
and demand
gional (Afriections withn AGRM, anroup in AGR
demand projf the region t
yield per he
capita use b
pplyandD
PRC are projhare in worls remain the 52% of tota
ending stocks
hares of the nPhilippines aon over the s
17% of glob
ice prices are76% per year
ysis by counterve as conv
and internati, and the U.S
dium grain).
upply and de
projections
ica, Asia, Weh a sub-regiond another suRM.
jections for Eto the global
ectare by cou
by country.
Demand
ojected to accld populationlargest glob
al milled rices.
next six largand Myanmaame period. bal stocks.
e projected tr (Table 1).
try and by revenient refer
onal rice priS. medium g
emand.
(production,
estern Hemional aggregaub-regional
ECOWAS, pl rice econom
untry.
count for 26n of 37% in bal rice econe production
gest rice couar are 34% fThailand, w
to remain str
egion for therence, a gene
ices (internatgrain export
, consumptio
isphere, Euroate for countr
aggregate fo
presented semy.
% of total gl2012 and 35omies with c
n, 50% of tot
untries of Thafor area harvwith its recen
Page17
ronger
e period eral list of
tional long price which
on, stocks,
ope, and ries of each or countries
eparately to
lobal 5% by 2023.combined tal rice
ailand, ested, 30%
nt PPP-
RiceExp
FiThstrincex
Wshto inftheric
Figure 8 Top
India becaleading ricexports arimplemenSecurity Bentitlemen
portSuppl
igure 8 showhailand’s verrong presenccreasing its e
xcessive rice
While the Thaips high-pricrecoup its g
frastructural e branded hice which is f
p World Rice E
ame the top rce exporter ire projected tnts its subsidBill which wnt for eligible
lies
ws the worldry unpopularce in the globefforts on nestockpile (U
ai governmenced rice ontolobal positioresources an
igh quality rifragrant long
Exporting Coun
rice exporterin 2013/14, wto decline stized domest
was signed ine beneficiarie
’s top countrr and controvbal rice markegotiating goUSDA-FAS,
nt is expecteo the global mon as the topnd concertedice. The pop
g grain rice, i
ntries, Historic
r in 2011/12with total shteadily from tic rice consunto law on Sees to receive 5
ry rice exporversial paddyket over the overnment-to2013-2014)
d to incur sumarket at co rice exported focus on depularity of this strongly p
cal and Project
and 2012/1hipments thes
this high levumption progeptember 125 kilograms o
rters over thdy pledging p
next ten yeao-governmen).
ubstantial finompetitively er over the beveloping an
he country’s preferred by
ted.
3 marketingse years excvel to about gram and leg, 2013 (USDof rice, whea
he projectionprogram, it iars. Reports nt rice deals
nancial losselow prices,
baseline periond maintaini“Thai Hom consumers i
g years, and iceeding 10 m8.0 mmt by gislated in th
DA-FAS, 20at or coarse g
n period. Dess projected tindicate tha to liquidate
es in the shorthe country od--given itsing a strong Mali”- bran
in many nati
is projected tmmt. Howev
2023, as thehe National 13b). It crea
grain (millet)
Page18
spite to resume itsat Thailand is their
rt-term as it is expected s good presence in ded Jasmineons.
to remain a ver, India’s e country Food
ates an at highly
s s
e
subsidizedto about 82
India’s nemmt. Vietmmt. Tharesume ric2.3 mmt oyields and
Cambodiaboth with CambodiaproductionMyanmartotal produ
Global nebaseline pas is expaare shownBrunei DaThailand,
Figure 9 Ne
d prices. This20 million pe
et exports in tnam’s rice eailand, on thce export leaover most of d increasing
a and Myanmrice exports
a’s rice expon gains 3.8%, on the otheuction and c
t rice exportperiod (2012nds exports
n in Figure 9arasullam, Cand Vietnam
t Rice Exports
s reportedly ceople (USDA
2012/13 werexports are pe other hand
adership therf the projecticompetition
mar are two s projected toorts are proje% per year wer hand, are pconsumption
ts totaled 31.-2023), or aband regains
9 and 10. ASCambodia, Inm.
by World Reg
covers 50% oA-FAS, 2014
re 10.9 mmtprojected to cd, is projectereafter (Tablon period, g
n from Asian
countries wio expand steected to grow
while its totalprojected to
n growing at
.7 mmt in 20bout 1.9% andominance EAN is a su
ndonesia, Lao
gions, Historica
of the urban a4).
t, followed bcatch up witd to equal Inle 1). Rice eiven only sli
n exporters (T
ith strong poadily as prod
w at 9.2% an consumptiogrow at 6.4%1.6% and 1.
012 and is prnnually, of win global ric
ub-regional go PDR, Mala
al and Projecte
and 75% of th
by Vietnam wth India’s levndia’s exporexports of thight supply gTable 3).
otential as ricduction cont
nnually, reachon grows slo% per year, r.2% per year
rojected to gwhich nearlyce trade. By wgroup of Souaysia, Myan
ed.
the rural popu
with 7.1 mmvel by 2022/rts by 2018/1he U.S. remaigrowth in bo
ce exporters tinues to exching 2.4 mm
ower at 1.9%reaching 1.3r, respectivel
grow by a toty 70% is accworld region
utheast Asiannmar, Philipp
ulations whic
mt, and Thaila/23 at net exp19 at about 8in relativelyoth area and
in the yearsceed consummt in 2023, a
%. Rice expo3 mmt in 202ly.
tal of 7.1 mmcounted for bns, the top rin countries inpines, Singap
Page19
ch translate
and with 6.1ports of 8.0
8.7 mmt; andy flat around
average
s to come, mption. as its total orts of 23, with its
mt over the by Thailand, ice exportersncluding pore,
1
d
s
In terms of2023.
Figure 10 Sh
RiceImp
WovCoim
In terms oBangladesWest Afri79% sharethousand m
2 ECOWAS
Burkina-Fas
f share, the A
hares of total r
portDema
World rice impver the baseliote d’Ivoire,
mporters.
of growth of sh and Indonican States)2
e in expansiomt (or 7.6 m
S15-member co
so, Gambia, Gu
SEAN region
rice exports by
and
ports are domine period. Tthe Philippi
rice importsnesia combin, and 14% fron of global
mil. cwt), equ
ountries includ
uinea-Bissau, N
n is expect to
y world region
minated by 1They are Nigines, and Ma
s, 47% is proned, 18% frorom the Midnet imports.
uivalent to a
e Cote D’Ivoir
Niger, Togo, an
expand its sh
ns, Historical an
10 countries geria, PRC, Ialaysia. Figu
ojected fromom the 15-mddle East. Th. The U.S. togrowth of 2
re, Ghana, Guin
nd Cabo Verde
hare from 40%
nd Projected.
that accounIran, Indonesure 11 shows
m two major Amember ECO
hese countriotal rice imp.4% per yea
nea, Liberia, M
e.
% in recent ye
nt for nearly sia, Iraq, Saus the world’s
Asian imporOWAS (Econ
es/regions aports are projar.
Mali, Nigeria, S
ears to more th
50% of totaludi Arabia, Bs top country
rting countrinomic Commccount for a jected to inc
Senegal, Sierra
Page20
han 50% by
l imports Bangladesh,y rice
es of munity of
total of rease by 245
a Leone, Benin
5
,
Figure 11 Ri
By
Figure 12 N
ice imports by
y world regio
et Rice Import
y top countries
ons, the top
ts by World Re
s, Historical an
rice importe
egions, Historic
d Projected.
ers are shown
cal and Project
n in Figures
ted.
12 and 13.
Page21
Figure 13 Sh
RiceHar
Thgroarein exde
Thmimalimfarfoo
Th20nePhproga
hares of total r
rvestedAr
he global riceow by nearlye projected fthe five cou
xpansion of 2ecline by nea
he U.S. rice aillion hectarearket environmited land anrm to cities; ods; and em
he global mil023. By voluearly 44% frohilippines anojected to in
ains in area a
rice imports by
reaandPr
e major prody 5.0 millionfor a numberuntries of Nig2.0 million harly 1.0 milli
area is projees (or 2.7 minment. Othend water; faruncertain caerging envir
lled rice outpume, about 2om the seven
nd Vietnam cncrease by aband yields.
y world region
roduction
ducers are shn hectares onr of countriegeria, India,
hectares in Eion hectares
cted to remaillion acres) er constraintrm demograpalamities dueronmental iss
put is projec27% of the en countries ocombined; anbout 573 tho
ns, Historical a
hown in Figun a net basis s. There is aPakistan, BaCOWAS. Hdue to a shif
ain relativelydue to water
ts to potentiaphics—withe climate chasues on rice
cted to grow xpected grow
of PRC, Bannd 11% from
ousand mt (o
nd Projected.
ure 14. Whilover the bas
a total expanangladesh, a
However, the ft to substitu
y flat over thr constraintsal rice expanh farmers getange; changcarbon footp
by a total ofwth over the
ngladesh, Indm ECOWASor 17.3 mil. c
le the global seline periodnsion of 4.0 and Myanma
rice area of ute crops and
he projections and an incrnsion includetting older aning consume
tprint.
f 51.1 mmt oe same periodonesia, CamS. Total U.S. cwt) over the
rice harvestd, some notamillion hect
ar combinedf the PRC is pd irrigation c
n period at arreasingly come competing nd labor mover tastes tow
over the period will comembodia, Mya
rice producte same perio
Page22
ted area willable changestares of rice ; and a total projected to
constraints.
round 1.1 mpetitive uses of
ving from wards healthy
iod 2012- from India;
anmar, the tion is
od with sligh
y
t
Figure 14 To
RiceDom
RiincDeco
Ov
31Phco
Wgrorea150.7
op world rice p
mesticCon
ice consumpcomes dampemographic
onsciousness
ver the proje% accounte
hilippines, anountries are s
While PRC’s rows at 0.44%aching 147.4
5.1 mil. cwt) 76% in popu
producing cou
nsumption
tion is drivepen rice demtrends also wshift prefere
ection periodd for by Indind Vietnam cshown in Fig
rice per capi% annually--4 mmt in 202over the sam
ulation.
ntries, Historic
n
n by incomemand in some
weaken rice ences away f
d, global riceia; about 30%combined; a
gure 15.
ita use contin- resulting in23. U.S. totame period, w
cal and Project
e, populatione Asian coundemand as afrom carboh
e consumptio% by the fivand 11% by E
nues to declin net growth al rice consu
with annual g
ted.
n, and other ntries where aging populahydrates and
on will growve countries oECOWAS. T
ine at 0.30%in total rice
umption incrgrowth rates
demographirice is consiations and intowards pro
w by 56.0 mmof BangladeThe top wor
% per year, the consumptioreases by neaof 1.26% in
c variables. idered an infncreasing heotein-based d
mt (net)—wish, Indonesi
rld rice consu
he country’s on of 0.14%arly 847 thou
n per capita u
Page23
Rising ferior good. alth diets.
ith nearly ia, PRC, the uming
population annually, usand mt (oruse and
r
Figure 15 To
RiceGlo
Gl
mm
Tw58anchwo
op World rice
obalStocks
lobal rice stomt in 2023, w
wo countries8%, as the cond Thailand, hallenges in rorld’s leader
consuming cou
s
ocks expand with the stoc
s account forountry takes accounting f
releasing its rs in rice stoc
untries, Histor
by 39 mmt cks-to-use ra
r over 90% oadvantage ofor 35%, as excessive rickholdings.
rical and Proje
over the projatio increasin
of this rice glof low globalthe country
ice stockpile
ected.
ojection periong from 0.23
lobal stock bl prices and continues pr
e onto the glo
od, from 1073 to 0.28 ove
build-up, witmaintains itsroducer subsobal market.
7 mmt in 201er the same p
th PRC accos strong ricesidies and fa See Figure
Page24
12 to 146 period.
ounting for e purchases; aces
16 for the
Figure 16 To
RiceSup
Thassindgro
A ge
Africa
Tabosupfocande
op countries o
pplyandD
he summary sociated withdividually-moup. Thus, th
more detaileeographical d
able 48 showoth growth inpported by acused efforts
nd a possible eveloped New
of rice ending s
Demandb
results for thh each regio
modeled counhe sum of th
ed look at thdynamics an
ws that African area (1.8%availability os by the Afriexpanded d
w Rice for A
stocks, Historic
byWorldR
he five worldon. The first ntries in the he five region
he regional prd the relativ
a’s total rice) and yields
of increased ica Rice Cen
distribution aAfrica (NERI
cal and Project
Region
d regions areone is the toregion and tns covers the
rojections pre importanc
e output is pr(1.6%). Thiresearch fun
nter and the Iand adoptionICA) cultiva
ted.
e presented iotal for the rethe other coue entire wor
rovides a bee of each reg
rojected to gis expected pnding from iInternationa
n of improvears. The regi
in Tables 48egion, whichuntries in theld rice econo
tter understagion to the g
grow by 3.5%productivity nstitutions a
al Rice Resead rice variet
ion’s total ric
8-64. Three th is the sum e region modomy.
anding of theglobal rice ec
% per year, dimprovemen
and NGOs, aarch Instituteties like the rce consumpt
Page25
tables are of deled as a
e conomy.
driven by nt is
a more e (IRRI), recently-tion grows
byco
TaTh2.22.2inc
Taas 1.9cope
America
Toco1.51.8
Thtotco0.5
ToincTogro
Asia
Toanpeangro
3 Real per ca
y 3.0% per yeonsumption i
able 49 presehis group is e2% and 1.5%2% growth icome.
able 50 showa group) exp
9% from yieomes from poer capita inco
as
otal rice prodomes from 0.5% annually8% growth i
he group of ital rice outpu
onsumption o5% by per ca
otal rice prodcreases by 1otal consumpowth and 0.6
otal rice prodnnually and aer year comennually. Riceowth of 4.0%
apita income is
ear as populs supported
ents the resuexpected to g
%, respectiven population
ws that the “Opands its ric
eld. Total conopulation groome.
duction of th4% yield gr
y, a combinen real per ca
individually-ut slightly byof this groupapita use as r
duction of th.6% per yearption of this 6% from per
duction of Aarea increases solely from
e is an inferio% in real per
s computed by
ation grows by 2.8% gro
lts for the grgrow total riely. Total con, 0.9% grow
Other Africae output by nsumption oowth and 0.5
he Western Howth and ared effect of 0
apita income
-modeled Wy 1.0% per y
p gains 1.3%real per capi
he “Other Wer, with 0.2%group grow
r capita use.
Asia (Table 5es marginallym populationor good in mr capita incom
dividing total
by 2.3% andowth in real p
roup of indivice productionsumption o
wth in per ca
a” region (or 2.5% per ye
of this group 5% from per
Hemisphere (ea gain of 0.
0.9% populate.
Western Hemiyear, as area
annually, wita income g
estern Hemi% coming fro
s at 1.8% peReal per cap
4) increases y (0.1%). Thn growth, as most Asian co
me has damp
real gross dom
d per capita per capita in
vidually-modon by 3.7% pof this groupapita use, and
the rest of Aear, with 0.6%
expands at 2r capita use g
(Table 51) g.8% annuallytion growth
isphere coungains 0.4%
with 0.8% cogains 2.1% p
isphere” regiom area expaer year, of whpita income
by 0.9% pehe growth in per capita uountries andpening effec
mestic product b
use by 0.8%ncome3.
deled Africaper year, as
p gains 3.1%d 2.9% grow
African coun% coming fr2.8% per yegain, suppor
grows at 1.2%y. Total consand 0.6% ga
ntries (Tableand yields gntributed byer year.
ion modeledansion and 1hich 1.2% ccontracts by
er year, as yien total Asian use declines bd the relativect on rice con
by population.
% annually. T
an countries area and yie
% annually, drwth in real pe
ntries that arerom growth iar, of which
rted by 2.6%
% per year asumption incain in per cap
e 52) is projegrow by 0.6%y population
d as a group .4% from yiomes from p
y 0.8% annua
eld grows byconsumptioby nearly 0.1
ely strong pronsumption.
.
Page26
This
in AGRM. elds grow byriven by er capita
e modeled in area and
h 2.3% % gain in real
all of which creases at pita use with
ected to grow%. Total ricegrowth and
(Table 53) ield gain. population ally.
y 0.8% n of 0.8% 1% ojected
l
h
w e
Simric0.1gro
Th0.7thidethe
Europe
Thyiesope
ThouToacpe
Tobygrogro
Oceania
TaprogroRe
World
Ta
milarly, the ce production1%. Total ricowth as per
he net growth7% annuallyis group grow
eclines by 0.2e group of m
he total rice peld growth alely from ga
er year.
he group of iutput slightlyotal consumpcounting for
er year.
otal rice prody 0.2% per yeows by 1.3%oup grows s
a
ables 60 thruoduction expows nearly 2eal per capita
ables 63 thru
group of indn by 0.9% ance consumptcapita use d
h of total ricy, with area gws at 1.2% p2% and real
modeled Asia
production oand 0.4% froain in per cap
individually-y by 1.9% peption of this r 0.2% and 0
duction of thear, as yield
% annually, strongly at 3.
u 62 show thpands by 0.62.0% annuala income gro
u 65 present t
dividually-mnnually, as ytion of this geclines marg
ce output of tgrowing by 0per year, of wper capita in
a countries.
of Europe (Tom a slight gpita use, as p
-modeled Euer year, as argroup gains
0.3%, respec
he “Other Eugrows by 0.
solely from p.8% per year
e results for 6% per year, ly attributedows at 1.5%
the sum of th
modeled Asiayields increagroup grows ginally with
the “Other A0.3% and yiewhich 1.4% ncome grow
Table 57) groain in area. T
population gr
uropean counrea increases 0.5% annuatively. Real
urope” region.4% and yielper capita usr.
Oceania whsolely from
d to 1.3% popannually.
he world reg
an countries ase by 0.8%
by 0.8% ann4.1% annua
Asia” region eld gaining 0comes froms at 2.8% wh
ows at 1.6% Total consumrowth is flat
ntries (Tables by 0.6% anally, with poper capita in
n modeled ald contracts se growth. T
hich mainly cm gain in area
pulation gro
gions.
(Table 55) iand area harnually, all co
al gain in rea
modeled as 0.4% per yea
m population hich is relati
per year of wmption incret. Real per ca
e 58) is projend yields groopulation andncome of thi
as a group (Tby 0.2%. Co
The real per c
consists of Aa harvested. owth and 0.6
s projected trvested gainsontributed b
al per capita
a group (Taar. Total congrowth as p
ively slower
which 1.2% eases slightlyapita income
ected to growow by 1.3% pd per capita uis group grow
Table 59) groonsumption capita incom
Australia. To Total consu% per capita
Page27
to grow totals slightly byy populationincome.
able 56) is nsumption ofper capita use
than that of
comes fromy at 0.6%, e is up 2.0%
w total rice per year. use ws at 1.6%
ows slightly of this group
me of this
otal rice umption a use gain.
l
n
f e f
m
p
ECOWAS
Praninc
Result
DetailedThe detailFigures 17four selecvariation (and 90th) idecreased
Another mdistributiorelation tois, the bett
The informonly one runderstan
Figure 17 per metrichigher thapercentile11.2%.
Going for10% of thtime. This
Again, a spresented
S
oduction is pnd yield imprcreases by 3
ts of Sto
dResults
led results of7a thru 33. Inted outcome(C.V.) for seindicates vol
d volatility.
measure of dons in this stuo the mean. Iter it is beca
mation projerepresentativding the rest
shows the loc ton (mt), than $463 per mes is $111; an
rward to 202he time the avs time the ga
similar analy. The same p
projected to rovements (T.2% annuall
ochastic
oftheSto
f the stochasn order to sh
e items (stocelected varialatility or ris
dispersion of udy, is the cIt is computeause it indica
ected in eachve chart (Figt of the chart
ong grain riche stochasticmt and lowend the gap va
3, while the verage price
ap between th
ysis can be mprinciple hol
grow by 5.2Table 66). Cy; and net im
Baselin
ochasticB
stic analyseshow the direchastic avera
ables are pressk. Widening
f data points oefficient ofed by dividinates more sta
h one of the cgure 17) will ts.
ce internatioc distributioner than $352aries across t
mean price e will be highhe two perce
made for the lds—with th
2% per annumConsumptionmports expan
e Analy
BaselineAn
for selectedction and disge, 10th percsented. Intuig indicates in
in a data serf variation (Cng the standaability, i.e., le
charts is simbe discussed
nal referencn indicates thper mt 10% the estimatio
is $416 per her than $48entiles is wid
rest of the ste difference
m with equan, fueled by pnd by 1.38%
ysis
nalysis
d variables anspersion of tcentile, 90th pitively, the gncreased vol
ries, such as C.V.) which ard deviationess risk.
milar in princd--which can
ce price. For hat 10% of th of the time.on period. T
mt, the stoch89 per mt andder at $129,
tochastic reslying only w
al contributiopopulation a
% per year.
nd countriesthe stochastipercentile, a
gap between latility and n
each of the shows the e
n by the mea
ciple. Hence,n then be us
2014, whilehe time the a. The gap be
The computed
hastic distribd lower thanwith C.V. of
sults for the with varying
ons from harand income g
s are presenteic outcome dand the coeffthe two perc
narrowing in
resulting proextent of varian. The lowe
, for space coed as a patte
e the mean praverage prictween the twd C.V. for 20
bution indican $360 per mf 12.4%.
other selecteg units and ab
Page28
rvested area growth,
ed in distribution, ficient of centiles (10th
dicates
obability iability in er the C.V.
onsiderationern in
rice is $404e will be
wo 014 is
ates that mt 10% of the
ed variables bsolute
h
n
e
numbers. are distribagriculturcomplemeunderstan
Conclus
Ththaricproen
AsunThareus
This featurebuted, thus pal commoditents the basiding of the d
sions and S
he general asat, under assce supplies docessing tec
nvironment o
s in any othencertainties ohe probable ue indicated ieful guide fo
e of the stochroviding infty enterprisec informatiodynamics of
Summary
ssessment ofsumed normadue to currenhnologies; a
of relatively l
er enterprise,of weather, dupper and lon the stochaor various st
hastic analysformation ones and markeon generatedf the global r
f the global ral average w
nt surpluses; and focus onlow and stab
, however, thdomestic polower bounds stic analysisakeholders i
sis provides an risk and unets, such as t
d by the deterice market.
rice economyweather cond
increased pr self-sufficie
ble global ric
here are risklicies, politic(confidence
s included inin the rice in
an advantagncertainty whthat of rice. Trministic ana
y in this basditions, the wroductivity aency in rice-ce prices.
ks involved incal developme intervals) on this report. ndustry.
e as it indicahich is an innThus, the stoalysis by pro
eline over thworld is projeand use of m---all pointin
n the rice indments, and otof future distThis inform
ates how thenate characteochastic analoviding a bet
he next decaected to face
modern growng to a most
dustry due tother unexpectribution of o
mation can se
Page29
e outcomes eristic of lysis tter
de indicates e abundant ing and likely
o the cted events. outcomes erve as
Esti
Tab
imates
bles and C
s of th
Charts of
he Det
Rice Supp
ermin
ply, Utiliz
nistic B
ation and
Baselin
d Net Tra
ne Ana
de, 2013‐
Page30
alysis
‐2023
Table 1 W
Net Expo Argent Austra Cambo People Egypt India Myanm Pakista Thailan United Urugua Vietna
Total N
Net Imp Bangla Brazil Brunei Camer Canada China ‐ Colom Cote d Europe Ghana Guinea Indone Iran Iraq Japan Kenya Lao PD Liberia Malays Mali Mexico
World Rice Net Trad
orters tina lia odia e's Republic of Chin
mar (Burma) an nd d States ay m
Net Exports *
orters adesh
Darussalam roon a ‐ Hong Kong bia 'Ivoire ean Union‐27
a esia
DR a sia
o
de by Country and
13/14
574 373
1,007 na ‐3,050
839 10,029
677 3,349 7,761 2,407 910
7,116
31,991
313 ‐84 47 528 358 438 276
1,330 1,132 600 259
1,717 1,720 1,446 482 449 15 240
1,131 158 747
d International Ref
14/15 15/
606 6398 4
1,146 1,3‐2,504 ‐2,3
870 99,647 9,3701 7
3,525 3,77,648 7,72,305 2,2928 9
7,259 7,5
32,528 33,3
961 1,3‐337 ‐348488 4376 4445 4325 3
1,329 1,21,155 1,1631 6269 2
2,117 2,01,710 1,71,438 1,4482 4461 5‐23 ‐246 2
1,065 1,0138750 7
erence Prices, 201
/16 16/17
638 656407 438342 1,581322 ‐2,268920 939324 9,149774 996748 3,833777 7,989298 2,337944 969509 7,509
360 34,129 3
376 1,418363 ‐31449 50485 488420 435447 453342 386265 1,246147 1,148653 672225 217074 2,052731 1,839481 1,534482 482533 549‐25 ‐31257 286066 1,09145 15762 777
13‐2023
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Metric713 755445 447
1,641 1,880‐2,138 ‐2,043
992 9878,886 8,7331,153 1,2183,571 3,5588,192 8,7112,395 2,330984 993
7,637 7,738
34,470 35,308
1,636 1,573‐347 ‐33051 53502 505448 461458 463405 422
1,248 1,2551,142 1,134696 757218 235
1,715 1,7011,862 1,9211,595 1,647482 482587 662‐68 ‐101303 327
1,118 1,141‐52 ‐64797 819
19/20 20/
c Tons) 783 8456 44
1,997 2,10‐1,971 ‐1,9
984 98,564 8,31,169 1,13,563 3,649,264 9,72,334 2,3997 99
7,911 7,9
36,051 36,6
1,575 1,59‐310 ‐254 520 54471 48468 4425 4
1,229 1,21,128 1,10773 80228 2
1,897 1,81,961 1,91,696 1,74482 48711 7‐137 ‐1339 3
1,166 1,19‐90 ‐9839 8
/21 21/22
27 87141 45905 2,22475 ‐1,783 ‐71 96874 8,05963 1,20749 3,71276 10,294 166 2,37299 1,00362 8,090
59 37,476 3
90 1,59472 ‐25355 5645 54381 49173 47723 42123 1,24704 1,09207 82437 26674 2,01162 2,00847 1,80382 48262 80170 ‐19657 37591 1,22296 ‐10860 878
Page31
22/23 23/24
916 948458 421
2,306 2,375‐1,711 ‐1,616
970 9848,088 7,9871,250 1,2593,769 3,834
10,660 10,9732,316 2,3281,015 1,0388,176 8,225
38,214 38,756
1,855 1,918‐247 ‐21757 58551 533500 514481 494426 427
1,193 1,2071,085 1,059835 854257 276
2,137 2,0852,045 2,0451,856 1,908482 482830 863‐234 ‐235382 406
1,240 1,262‐144 ‐143888 890
Mozam Nigeria Philipp Saudi A Senega Sierra Singap South A South Taiwan Tanzan Turkey Other A Other A Other A Other Other O Ecowa Residu
Total N
Rice Pric
Interna
U.S. FO
U.S. No
*Total ne
mbique a pines Arabia al Leone pore Africa Korea n nia y Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania s‐7 al
Net Imports
ces
ational Reference P
OB Gulf Ports
o. 2 Medium FOB C
et exports are the
533 2,944 1,474 1,272 1,092 353 361 949 410 123 236 280
2,732 1,847 2,632 299 259
1,111 ‐223
31,991
Price 393
606
CA 636
e sum of all posit
472 52,984 2,91,412 1,41,311 1,31,048 1,0353 3364 3931 9409 4123 1277 3281 2
2,775 2,81,556 1,72,754 2,6241 2274 2
1,126 1,1‐235 ‐2
32,528 33,3
401 4
559 5
670 6
tive net exports a
507 509987 2,945406 1,345355 1,401075 1,082349 352372 375930 943409 409123 123302 298287 282864 3,025755 1,830697 2,854239 257287 300196 1,269236 ‐264
360 34,129 3
(U
402 403
545 532
680 688
nd negative net i
520 5582,924 3,0151,220 1,1461,437 1,4671,087 1,100341 337376 377952 968409 409123 123315 352298 301
3,183 3,3061,899 1,9512,930 3,044253 265313 326
1,363 1,467‐269 ‐268
34,470 35,308
U.S. Dollars per Me
403 404
517 519
693 698
imports.
574 63,012 3,081,064 91,501 1,51,105 1,1331 3378 3962 9409 40123 1369 40269 2
3,415 3,42,060 2,03,148 3,2269 2339 3
1,577 1,69‐277 ‐2
36,051 36,6
etric Ton)
404 40
511 5
704 7
21 65483 3,10969 84831 1,56012 1,11422 31578 37776 1,00409 40923 12300 44475 28675 3,60868 2,05220 3,33677 30252 36498 1,81962 ‐283
59 37,476 3
06 407
11 509
11 718
Page32
705 7293,121 3,144762 649
1,584 1,6111,114 1,115298 286375 386994 1,035409 409123 123469 494282 280
3,683 3,7501,994 1,9533,462 3,539324 347376 388
1,947 2,081‐282 ‐245
38,214 38,756
410 412
498 494
722 728
Table 2 W
Area Har
Yield
ProductiBeginnin Domest
ConsumEnding S Domest Total Tr
Stocks‐to
Table 3 U
Area Har
Yield
ProductiBeginnin Domest
ConsumEnding S Domest Net TraU.S. Rice Season Long G Medium
World Rice Supply,
rvested
ion ng Stocks tic Supply
ption Stocks tic Use rade
o‐Use Ratio
U.S. Rice Supply, Ut
rvested
ion ng Stocks tic Supply
ption Stocks tic Use ade e Farm Prices Average Farm Pricrain Farm Price m Grain Farm Price
Utilization, Total T
13/14
160,418
2.95
473,470 107,200 580,669
474,370 106,526 580,896 39,614
22.46
tilization, Net Trad
13/14
999
6.02
6,013 1,156 7,169
3,843 923
4,766 2,407
ce 15.44 14.92
e 16.63
Trade and Stocks‐t
14/15 15/
160,457 161,1
3.00 3
482,068 488,3106,526 110,3588,594 598,6
478,466 483,5110,363 115,3588,829 598,939,795 40,4
23.07 23
de and Farm Prices
14/15 15/
1,060 1,0
6.05 6
6,415 6,5923 1,0
7,338 7,5
4,008 4,11,025 1,15,033 5,22,305 2,2
14.42 14.13.92 13.15.57 15.
to Use, 2013‐2023.
/16 16/17
152 161,436 16
.03 3.06
336 493,434 49363 115,368 12698 608,802 61
566 488,781 49368 120,285 12935 609,066 61462 41,236 4
.86 24.61
s, 2013‐2023.
/16 16/17
072 1,082 .08 6.11
517 6,608025 1,140542 7,749
104 4,182140 1,230244 5,412298 2,337
(U.S. Dol.31 14.21.73 13.52.65 15.79
.
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect61,700 161,949(Metric Tons per H3.08 3.11(Thousand Metric
98,201 503,97120,285 124,95518,486 628,926
93,799 499,29024,955 129,90518,755 629,19541,505 42,309
(Percent)25.30 26.02
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect1,091 1,100 (Metric Tons per 6.13 6.15(Thousand Metric6,691 6,7691,230 1,2207,921 7,989
4,305 4,4161,220 1,2425,525 5,6592,395 2,330lars per Cwt)13.63 13.6912.75 12.8115.62 15.71
19/20 20/
tares) 162,076 162,2
Hectare) 3.13 3.
c Tons) 507,689 512,1129,905 133,7637,594 645,8
504,151 508,5133,721 137,60637,871 646,142,995 43,6
26.52 27.0
19/20 20/
tares) 1,118 1,1
Hectares) 6.17 6.
c Tons) 6,903 6,91,242 1,28,145 8,24
4,540 4,51,272 1,305,812 5,82,334 2,3
13.56 13.12.67 12.15.61 15.
/21 21/22
51 162,472 16
16 3.18
54 516,374 5121 137,602 1474 653,975 66
34 513,317 5102 140,941 1436 654,258 6652 44,300 4
06 27.46
/21 21/22
25 1,113
20 6.23
72 6,93472 1,30944 8,242
69 4,57609 1,29478 5,87166 2,372
52 13.4862 12.5161 15.69
Page33
22/23 23/24
62,511 162,644
3.20 3.23
19,523 525,08040,941 143,01560,464 668,095
17,731 521,87743,015 146,46460,746 668,34144,971 45,437
27.62 28.06
22/23 23/24
1,106 1,100
6.25 6.28
6,917 6,9091,294 1,2158,211 8,125
4,680 4,5991,215 1,1985,895 5,7972,316 2,328
13.44 13.4712.43 12.4215.71 15.78
Table 4 A
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 5 A
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Argentina Rice Supp
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Australia Rice Supp
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ply, Utilization and
13/14
232
4.20
975
194
1,169
431
164
595
574
ly, Utilization and
13/14
99
7.07
702
120
822
362
87
449
373
d Net Trade, 2013‐
14/15 15/
236 2
4.34 4
1,023 1,0
164 1
1,186 1,2
434 4
146 1
580 5
606 6
Net Trade, 2013‐2
14/15 15/
106 1
7.05 7
750 7
87
838 8
352 3
88 1
439 4
398 4
‐2023
/16 16/17
240 246
.49 4.56
077 1,121
146 149
223 1,269
437 441
149 173
586 614
638 656
2023
/16 16/17
112 114
.04 7.03
789 800
88 115
877 915
355 353
115 124
470 477
407 438
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
252 259
(Metric Tons per H
4.63 4.67
(Thousand Metric
1,166 1,208
173 181
1,338 1,388
445 448
181 185
626 633
713 755
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
115 115
(Metric Tons per H
7.04 7.05
(Thousand Metric
807 810
124 131
931 940
355 359
131 134
486 493
445 447
19/20 20/
tares)
263 2
Hectares)
4.71 4.
c Tons)
1,239 1,28
185 18
1,424 1,4
452 4
189 18
641 64
783 8
19/20 20/
tares)
115 1
Hectares)
7.05 7.0
c Tons)
809 80
134 1
943 9
360 3
126 1
487 49
456 44
/21 21/22
70 276
76 4.80
82 1,328
89 188
71 1,516
55 458
88 187
43 645
27 871
/21 21/22
14 115
07 7.10
08 816
26 131
34 947
62 363
31 124
93 487
41 459
Page34
22/23 23/24
284 289
4.85 4.89
1,376 1,411
187 186
1,563 1,597
461 464
186 185
647 649
916 948
22/23 23/24
115 115
7.11 7.11
817 817
124 115
942 932
368 375
115 136
483 511
458 421
Table 6 B
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra*In this t Table 7 B
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
angladesh Rice Su
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade* table and the rest o
razil Rice Supply, U
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
pply, Utilization an
13/14
11,770
2.92
34,412
722
35,134
34,674
773
35,448
‐313 of the tables, nega
Utilization and Net
13/14
2,421
3.39
8,217
680
8,897
7,987
826
8,813
84
nd Net Trade, 2013
14/15 15/
11,731 11,8
2.92 2
34,269 34,6
773 7
35,043 35,4
35,220 35,9
784 8
36,004 36,7
‐961 ‐1,3tive net trade mea
t Trade, 2013‐2023
14/15 15/
2,424 2,4
3.40 3
8,249 8,3
826 8
9,075 9,1
7,903 7,9
835 8
8,738 8,7
337 3
3‐2023
/16 16/17
856 11,943 1
.92 2.94
638 35,145 3
784 800
422 35,945 3
998 36,552 3
800 811
798 37,363 3
376 ‐1,418 ans net imports, as
3
/16 16/17
425 2,430
.42 3.43
304 8,344
835 836
139 9,180
939 8,031
836 835
775 8,866
363 314
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
11,990 12,116
(Metric Tons per H
2.97 3.00
(Thousand Metric
35,598 36,317
811 824
36,409 37,141
37,221 37,876
824 838
38,045 38,714
‐1,636 ‐1,573opposed to positiv
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
2,435 2,437
(Metric Tons per H
3.46 3.48
(Thousand Metric
8,417 8,474
835 832
9,252 9,306
8,073 8,148
832 828
8,905 8,976
347 330
19/20 20/
tares)
12,150 12,1
Hectares)
3.02 3.0
c Tons)
36,725 37,10
838 84
37,562 37,94
38,291 38,68
846 8
39,137 39,5
‐1,575 ‐1,59ve net trade which
19/20 20/
tares)
2,438 2,4
Hectares)
3.49 3.
c Tons)
8,502 8,5
828 8
9,330 9,3
8,195 8,2
824 8
9,019 9,08
310 2
/21 21/22
58 12,183 1
05 3.08
03 37,511 3
46 854
49 38,365 3
85 39,097 3
54 862
39 39,959 4
90 ‐1,594 ‐h means net export
/21 21/22
38 2,443
50 3.51
28 8,581
24 820
52 9,402
60 8,332
20 816
80 9,148
72 253
Page35
22/23 23/24
12,185 12,219
3.09 3.12
37,679 38,068
862 871
38,541 38,938
39,526 39,976
871 880
40,396 40,856
‐1,855 ‐1,918 ts.
22/23 23/24
2,445 2,449
3.52 3.53
8,606 8,646
816 813
9,422 9,460
8,362 8,432
813 810
9,175 9,242
247 217
Table 8 B
Table 9 C
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
runei Darussalam
ambodia Rice Sup
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Rice Supply, Utiliz
ply, Utilization and
13/14
5
0.20
1
0
1
48
0
48
‐47
13/14
2,975
1.65
4,918
196
5,114
3,806
301
4,108
1,007
zation and Net Trad
d Net Trade, 2013‐
14/15 15/
5
0.20 0
1
0
1
49
0
49
‐48 ‐
14/15 15/
2,961 2,9
1.70 1
5,027 5,2
301 3
5,328 5,6
3,878 3,9
304 3
4,182 4,2
1,146 1,3
de, 2013‐2023
‐2023
/16 16/17
5 5
.20 0.20
1 1
0 0
1 1
50 51
0 0
50 51
‐49 ‐50
/16 16/17
969 2,992
.78 1.87
296 5,606
304 307
600 5,913
951 4,022
307 310
258 4,332
342 1,581
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
5 5
(Metric Tons per H
0.20 0.20
(Thousand Metric
1 1
0 0
1 1
52 54
0 0
52 54
‐51 ‐53
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
3,006 3,018
(Metric Tons per H
1.91 2.00
(Thousand Metric
5,738 6,045
310 312
6,047 6,357
4,094 4,162
312 315
4,406 4,477
1,641 1,880
19/20 20/
tares)
5
Hectares)
0.20 0.
c Tons)
1
0
1
55
0
55
‐54 ‐
19/20 20/
tares)
3,025 3,0
Hectares)
2.06 2.
c Tons)
6,228 6,4
315 3
6,543 6,7
4,229 4,30
318 3
4,547 4,6
1,997 2,10
/21 21/22
5 5
20 0.20
1 1
0 0
1 1
56 57
0 0
56 57
55 ‐56
/21 21/22
34 3,045
12 2.17
17 6,614
18 321
34 6,935
09 4,387
21 324
29 4,711
05 2,224
Page36
22/23 23/24
5 5
0.20 0.20
1 1
0 0
1 1
58 59
0 0
58 59
‐57 ‐58
22/23 23/24
3,037 3,041
2.23 2.27
6,773 6,917
324 327
7,097 7,243
4,464 4,539
327 330
4,790 4,868
2,306 2,375
Table 10 C
Table 11 C
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Cameroon Rice Su
Canada Rice Utiliza
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
pply, Utilization an
ation and Net Trad
13/14
140
0.90
127
0
127
630
24
655
‐528
13/14
358
0
358
‐358
nd Net Trade, 2013
de, 2013‐2023
14/15 15/
140 1
0.97 1
136 1
24
160 1
624 6
24
648 6
‐488 ‐4
14/15 15/
376 4
0
376 4
‐376 ‐4
3‐2023
/16 16/17
145 147
.07 1.08
155 159
24 25
179 184
639 647
25 25
664 672
485 ‐488
/16 16/17
420 435
0 0
420 435
420 ‐435
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
149 152
(Metric Tons per H
1.08 1.09
(Thousand Metric
162 166
25 26
187 191
663 671
26 26
689 696
‐502 ‐505
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Metric
448 461
0 0
448 461
‐448 ‐461
19/20 20/
tares)
156 1
Hectares)
1.08 1.0
c Tons)
168 1
26
194 19
687 7
26
714 74
‐520 ‐54
19/20 20/
c Tons)
471 48
0
471 48
‐471 ‐48
/21 21/22
57 160
08 1.09
70 173
26 27
97 201
14 716
27 28
42 744
45 ‐543
/21 21/22
81 491
0 0
81 491
81 ‐491
Page37
22/23 23/24
163 167
1.09 1.09
177 182
28 28
205 210
728 716
28 28
756 744
‐551 ‐533
22/23 23/24
500 514
0 0
500 514
‐500 ‐514
Table 12
Table 13 C
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
People’s Republic
Colombia Rice Sup
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
of China Rice Supp
pply, Utilization an
13/14
30,386
4.67
141,811
46,782
188,593
146,282
45,361
191,643
‐3,050
13/14
441
2.99
1,318
78
1,396
1,541
131
1,672
‐276
ply, Utilization and
nd Net Trade, 2013
14/15 15/
30,170 30,0
4.80 4
144,907 145,8
45,361 46,2
190,268 192,1
146,516 146,8
46,256 47,6
192,772 194,4
‐2,504 ‐2,3
14/15 15/
448 4
3.00 3
1,341 1,3
131 2
1,473 1,5
1,571 1,6
226 3
1,797 1,9
‐325 ‐3
d Net Trade, 2013‐
3‐2023
/16 16/17
089 30,073 3
.85 4.88
879 146,884 14
256 47,657 4
136 194,541 19
800 146,983 14
657 49,826 5
457 196,809 19
322 ‐2,268
/16 16/17
452 454
.01 3.02
360 1,373
226 305
586 1,678
623 1,727
305 337
928 2,064
342 ‐386
‐2023
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
30,014 29,884
(Metric Tons per H
4.92 4.95
(Thousand Metric
47,560 147,976
49,826 52,521
97,386 200,497
47,003 147,109
52,521 55,431
99,524 202,540
‐2,138 ‐2,043
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
456 457
(Metric Tons per H
3.04 3.05
(Thousand Metric
1,386 1,396
337 348
1,723 1,744
1,780 1,823
348 344
2,128 2,166
‐405 ‐422
19/20 20/
tares)
29,671 29,5
Hectares)
4.99 5.0
c Tons)
147,909 148,14
55,431 57,99
203,340 206,1
147,320 147,1
57,991 60,94
205,311 208,10
‐1,971 ‐1,9
19/20 20/
tares)
458 4
Hectares)
3.07 3.0
c Tons)
1,405 1,4
344 34
1,749 1,7
1,834 1,8
340 34
2,174 2,1
‐425 ‐4
/21 21/22
61 29,445 2
01 5.04
43 148,394 14
91 60,942 6
34 209,336 21
67 147,400 14
42 63,719 6
09 211,119 21
75 ‐1,783 ‐
/21 21/22
58 458
08 3.10
11 1,418
40 341
51 1,759
33 1,832
41 347
74 2,179
23 ‐421
Page38
22/23 23/24
29,272 29,149
5.07 5.10
48,448 148,687
63,719 66,443
12,167 215,130
47,435 147,363
66,443 69,384
13,878 216,747
‐1,711 ‐1,616
22/23 23/24
458 459
3.11 3.12
1,425 1,432
347 349
1,772 1,781
1,848 1,855
349 352
2,197 2,207
‐426 ‐427
Table 14 C
Table 15
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Area Har
Yield
Producti
Beginnin
Domest
Consum
Ending S
Domest
Net Tra
Cote D’Ivoire Rice
Egypt Rice Supply,
13/14
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
tic Supply
ption
Stocks
tic Use
ade
Supply, Utilization
, Utilization and Ne
14/15 15
801
6.48
5,188
462
5,650
4,086
725
4,811
839
13/14
452
1.23
555
320
875
1,879
326
2,205
‐1,330
n and Net Trade, 2
et Trade, 2013‐202
5/16 16/17
1 764
8 6.69
8 5,111
2 725
0 5,836
6 4,065
5 901
1 4,966
9 870
14/15 15/
454 4
1.33 1
605 6
326 3
931 9
1,925 1,9
335 3
2,260 2,2
‐1,329 ‐1,2
2013‐2023
23
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
763 763
6.77 6.8
5,165 5,186
901 1,044
6,066 6,230
4,101 4,180
1,044 1,111
5,146 5,291
920 939
/16 16/17
458 474
.43 1.47
654 697
335 334
989 1,031
920 1,939
334 338
254 2,277
265 ‐1,246
/19 19/20
Hectares)
759
(Metric Tons
6.83
(Thousand
5,185 5
1,111 1
6,295 6
4,230 4
1,074
5,304 5
992
17/18 18/19
(Thousand Hect
491 507
(Metric Tons per H
1.51 1.55
(Thousand Metric
739 786
338 346
1,077 1,132
1,979 2,031
346 356
2,325 2,387
‐1,248 ‐1,255
20/21 21/
759 759
per Hectares)
6.86 6.88
Metric Tons)
5,206 5,224
1,074 997
6,279 6,221
4,296 4,317
997 920
5,293 5,237
987 984
19/20 20/
tares)
519 5
Hectare)
1.59 1.
c Tons)
823 8
356 3
1,180 1,2
2,053 2,09
356 3
2,409 2,44
‐1,229 ‐1,2
/22 22/23
761
6.94
5,283 5
920
6,203 6
4,378 4
855
5,233 5
971
/21 21/22
33 551
63 1.67
70 918
56 358
26 1,277
91 2,157
58 366
49 2,524
23 ‐1,247 ‐
Page39
23/24
762 761
7 7.06
,335 5,373
855 821
6,189 6,193
4,401 4,420
821 803
,221 5,224
968 970
22/23 23/24
568 576
1.71 1.75
973 1,007
366 364
1,340 1,371
2,169 2,210
364 367
2,532 2,577
‐1,193 ‐1,207
767
7.12
5,459
803
6,262
4,535
743
5,278
984
Table 16
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 17 G
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
EU‐27 Rice Supply
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Ghana Rice Supply
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
, Utilization and N
13/14
456
4.62
2,104
1,055
3,159
3,389
903
4,291
‐1,132
y, Utilization and N
13/14
194
1.69
329
132
461
926
135
1,061
‐600
et Trade, 2013‐202
14/15 15
458
4.67
2,138 2
903
3,041 2
3,410 3
786
4,196 4
‐1,155 ‐1
Net Trade, 2013‐20
14/15 15
197
1.72
338
135
473
962 1
142
1,104 1
‐631 ‐
23
5/16 16/17
461 464
4.74 4.81
,185 2,234
786 689
,971 2,923
,429 3,451
689 619
,118 4,071
,147 ‐1,148
023
5/16 16/17
205 213
1.75 1.8
360 384
142 151
502 535
,004 1,047
151 159
,155 1,207
‐653 ‐672
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
468 4
(Metric Tons p
4.88 4
(Thousand M
2,283 2,3
619 5
2,902 2,9
3,463 3,4
581 5
4,044 4,0
‐1,142 ‐1,1
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
223 2
(Metric Tons pe
1.85 1
(Thousand M
412 4
159 1
572 6
1,098 1,1
170 1
1,268 1,3
‐696 ‐7
/19 19/20
Hectares)
471 473
per Hectare)
4.94 5.01
etric Tons)
326 2,370
581 568
907 2,938
472 3,490
568 576
041 4,066
134 ‐1,128
/19 19/20
Hectares)
235 247
er Hectares)
1.89 1.94
etric Tons)
445 479
170 187
615 666
185 1,241
187 198
373 1,439
757 ‐773
20/21 21/
476 4
5.08 5.
2,416 2,4
576 5
2,991 3,0
3,504 3,5
591 6
4,095 4,1
‐1,104 ‐1,0
20/21 21/
256 2
1.96
503 5
198 2
701 7
1,298 1,3
210 2
1,508 1,5
‐807 ‐8
Page40
/22 22/23
78 481
14 5.21
61 2,506
91 627
52 3,133
17 3,534
27 684
45 4,218
92 ‐1,085
/22 22/23
67 280
2 2.04
35 572
10 220
44 792
49 1,397
20 229
68 1,627
24 ‐835
23/24
481
5.25
2,523
684
3,208
3,546
721
4,267
‐1,059
23/24
296
2.08
616
229
846
1,458
242
1,700
‐854
Table 18 G
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Table 19 C
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Guinea Rice Suppl
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
China‐Hong Kong
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
y, Utilization and N
13/14
1,001
1.27
1,275
105
1,380
1,555
85
1,640
‐259
Rice Utilization an
13/14
438
0
438
‐438
Net Trade, 2013‐20
14/15 15
1,001 1
1.34
1,338 1
85
1,423 1
1,605 1
87
1,692 1
‐269 ‐
d Net Trade, 2013
14/15 15
445
0
445
‐445 ‐
023
5/16 16/17
,002 1,004
1.4 1.46
,405 1,462
87 88
,492 1,550
,629 1,677
88 90
,717 1,767
‐225 ‐217
‐2023
5/16 16/17
447 453
0 0
447 453
‐447 ‐453
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
1,008 1,0
(Metric Tons pe
1.5 1
(Thousand M
1,509 1,5
90
1,598 1,6
1,725 1,7
91
1,816 1,8
‐218 ‐2
17/18 18/
(Thousand M
458 4
0
458 4
‐458 ‐4
/19 19/20
Hectares)
007 1,016
er Hectares)
1.54 1.58
etric Tons)
549 1,606
91 94
640 1,700
781 1,832
94 95
875 1,928
235 ‐228
/19 19/20
etric Tons)
463 468
0 0
463 468
463 ‐468
20/21 21/
1,018 1,0
1.62 1.
1,653 1,6
95
1,748 1,7
1,887 1,9
98 1
1,985 2,0
‐237 ‐2
20/21 21/
473 4
0
473 4
‐473 ‐4
Page41
/22 22/23
19 1,020
65 1.69
82 1,728
98 100
80 1,828
46 1,984
00 101
46 2,085
66 ‐257
/22 22/23
77 481
0 0
77 481
77 ‐481
23/24
1,020
1.72
1,757
101
1,859
2,031
103
2,134
‐276
23/24
494
0
494
‐494
Table 20
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 21
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
India Rice Supply,
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Indonesia Rice Sup
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Utilization and Ne
13/14
43,503
2.37
103,265
25,100
128,365
95,034
23,302
118,336
10,029
pply, Utilization an
13/14
12,168
3.1
37,758
3,085
40,843
40,010
2,550
42,560
‐1,717
et Trade, 2013‐202
14/15 15
43,480 43
2.45
106,474 108
23,302 23
129,776 131
96,567 98
23,562 24
120,129 122
9,647 9
nd Net Trade, 2013
14/15 15
12,198 12
3.14
38,321 38
2,550 2
40,872 41
40,302 40
2,686 2
42,989 43
‐2,117 ‐2
23
5/16 16/17
,590 43,535
2.48 2.51
,287 109,428
,562 24,316
,849 133,744
,208 99,908
,316 24,687
,524 124,594
,324 9,149
3‐2023
5/16 16/17
,272 12,208
3.17 3.21
,905 39,130
,686 2,872
,592 42,002
,794 41,055
,872 2,999
,666 44,054
,074 ‐2,052
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
43,451 43,4
(Metric Tons p
2.54 2
(Thousand M
110,182 112,0
24,687 24,4
134,868 136,4
101,578 103,0
24,404 24,7
125,982 127,7
8,886 8,7
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
12,207 12,2
(Metric Tons p
3.26 3
(Thousand M
39,779 40,2
2,999 3,0
42,778 43,3
41,423 41,9
3,069 3,1
44,492 45,0
‐1,715 ‐1,7
/19 19/20
Hectares)
420 43,479
per Hectare)
2.58 2.6
etric Tons)
093 113,160
404 24,729
497 137,889
035 104,607
729 24,718
764 129,325
733 8,564
/19 19/20
Hectares)
220 12,204
per Hectare)
3.29 3.31
etric Tons)
251 40,384
069 3,103
320 43,487
918 42,267
103 3,118
022 45,385
701 ‐1,897
20/21 21/
43,527 43,5
2.63 2.
114,553 115,8
24,718 24,7
139,271 140,5
106,182 107,7
24,715 24,8
130,897 132,5
8,374 8,0
20/21 21/
12,208 12,2
3.34 3.
40,743 40,9
3,118 3,1
43,861 44,0
42,611 42,9
3,124 3,1
45,735 46,0
‐1,874 ‐2,0
Page42
/22 22/23
62 43,567
66 2.67
65 116,536
15 24,804
80 141,340
17 109,158
04 24,094
21 133,252
59 8,088
/22 22/23
00 12,197
36 3.37
46 41,160
24 3,126
70 44,286
55 43,296
26 3,127
81 46,424
11 ‐2,137
23/24
43,564
2.74
119,152
24,094
143,246
110,532
24,727
135,259
7,987
23/24
12,227
3.39
41,505
3,127
44,633
43,590
3,127
46,717
‐2,085
Table 22
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 23
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Iran Rice Supply, U
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Iraq Rice Supply, U
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Utilization and Net
13/14
570
2.81
1,601
756
2,357
3,373
704
4,077
‐1,720
Utilization and Net
13/14
65
2.17
142
208
350
1,511
285
1,796
‐1,446
t Trade, 2013‐2023
14/15 15
581
2.83
1,645 1
704
2,349 2
3,441 3
618
4,059 4
‐1,710 ‐1
t Trade, 2013‐2023
14/15 15
67
2.17
146
285
431
1,538 1
331
1,869 1
‐1,438 ‐1
3
5/16 16/17
592 595
2.86 2.88
,690 1,715
618 578
,308 2,293
,462 3,559
578 573
,040 4,132
,731 ‐1,839
3
5/16 16/17
68 69
2.19 2.2
148 152
331 358
480 510
,603 1,665
358 379
,961 2,044
,481 ‐1,534
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
598 6
(Metric Tons p
2.91 2
(Thousand M
1,738 1,7
573 5
2,311 2,3
3,597 3,6
576 5
4,172 4,2
‐1,862 ‐1,9
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
70
(Metric Tons p
2.22 2
(Thousand M
156 1
379 3
535 5
1,733 1,7
398 4
2,131 2,2
‐1,595 ‐1,6
/19 19/20
Hectares)
600 603
per Hectare)
2.93 2.96
etric Tons)
759 1,783
576 588
335 2,371
668 3,729
588 603
256 4,332
921 ‐1,961
/19 19/20
Hectares)
72 75
per Hectare)
2.23 2.24
etric Tons)
160 168
398 415
558 583
790 1,848
415 431
205 2,279
647 ‐1,696
20/21 21/
604 6
2.98 3.
1,802 1,8
603 6
2,405 2,4
3,753 3,8
615 6
4,368 4,4
‐1,962 ‐2,0
20/21 21/
76
2.25 2.
171 1
431 4
602 6
1,902 1,9
447 4
2,349 2,4
‐1,747 ‐1,8
Page43
/22 22/23
05 606
01 3.03
20 1,839
15 629
35 2,468
13 3,869
29 645
43 4,514
08 ‐2,045
/22 22/23
75 75
27 2.28
69 171
47 461
16 632
58 2,013
61 475
19 2,488
03 ‐1,856
23/24
608
3.06
1,858
645
2,503
3,892
656
4,549
‐2,045
23/24
75
2.29
173
475
648
2,066
489
2,556
‐1,908
Table 24 J
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 25
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Japan Rice Supply,
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Kenya Rice Supply
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
, Utilization and N
13/14
1,603
4.8
7,697
2,753
10,450
8,164
2,768
10,932
‐482
y, Utilization and N
13/14
33
1.8
58
77
135
498
86
584
‐449
et Trade, 2013‐202
14/15 15
1,572 1
4.81
7,556 7
2,768 2
10,324 10
8,094 7
2,712 2
10,806 10
‐482 ‐
Net Trade, 2013‐20
14/15 15
33
1.82
60
86
147
517
91
608
‐461 ‐
23
5/16 16/17
,548 1,526
4.81 4.8
,445 7,332
,712 2,680
,157 10,012
,959 7,854
,680 2,639
,639 10,494
‐482 ‐482
23
5/16 16/17
34 34
1.83 1.84
61 63
91 107
153 169
578 605
107 113
685 718
‐533 ‐549
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
1,510 1,4
(Metric Tons p
4.81
(Thousand M
7,259 7,1
2,639 2,5
9,898 9,7
7,790 7,7
2,590 2,4
10,380 10,2
‐482 ‐4
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
35
(Metric Tons pe
1.84 1
(Thousand M
64
113 1
178 1
642 7
123 1
765 8
‐587 ‐6
/19 19/20
Hectares)
489 1,483
per Hectare)
4.8 4.8
etric Tons)
152 7,121
590 2,491
742 9,612
733 7,658
491 2,436
224 10,094
482 ‐482
/19 19/20
Hectares)
36 36
er Hectares)
1.85 1.86
etric Tons)
66 67
123 138
188 206
713 769
138 147
851 917
662 ‐711
20/21 21/
1,462 1,4
4.8 4
7,017 6,9
2,436 2,3
9,453 9,3
7,592 7,5
2,343 2,2
9,935 9,8
‐482 ‐4
20/21 21/
37
1.86 1.
69
147 1
216 2
823 8
156 1
978 1,0
‐762 ‐8
Page44
/22 22/23
56 1,449
4.8 4.79
83 6,941
43 2,266
26 9,207
43 7,491
66 2,198
08 9,689
82 ‐482
/22 22/23
38 39
87 1.87
71 73
56 166
26 238
62 895
66 174
28 1,068
01 ‐830
23/24
1,436
4.79
6,873
2,198
9,072
7,400
2,153
9,554
‐482
23/24
40
1.87
74
174
248
928
182
1,111
‐863
Table 26
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Table 27
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Lao PDR Rice Supp
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Liberia Rice Supply
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ply, Utilization and
13/14
872
1.77
1,547
50
1,597
1,533
79
1,612
‐15
y, Utilization and N
13/14
258
0.78
201
0
201
424
16
441
‐240
d Net Trade, 2013‐2
14/15 15
884
1.8
1,589 1
79
1,668 1
1,565 1
80
1,645 1
23
Net Trade, 2013‐20
14/15 15
262
0.79
206
16
223
451
17
468
‐246 ‐
2023
5/16 16/17
886 891
1.83 1.87
,621 1,665
80 81
,701 1,746
,595 1,633
81 83
,676 1,716
25 31
023
5/16 16/17
266 269
0.8 0.8
212 217
17 18
229 235
468 501
18 19
486 520
‐257 ‐286
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
898 9
(Metric Tons pe
1.93 1
(Thousand M
1,733 1,8
83
1,816 1,8
1,664 1,6
84
1,748 1,7
68 1
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
273 2
(Metric Tons pe
0.81 0
(Thousand M
221 2
19
241 2
523 5
20
544 5
‐303 ‐3
/19 19/20
Hectares)
909 920
er Hectares)
1.98 2.02
etric Tons)
800 1,861
84 85
884 1,946
698 1,723
85 86
783 1,809
101 137
/19 19/20
Hectares)
275 278
er Hectares)
0.82 0.83
etric Tons)
226 230
20 21
246 252
552 569
21 22
573 591
327 ‐339
20/21 21/
930 9
2.07 2.
1,922 1,9
86
2,008 2,0
1,751 1,7
87
1,838 1,8
170 1
20/21 21/
280 2
0.84 0.
235 2
22
257 2
591 6
23
614 6
‐357 ‐3
Page45
/22 22/23
42 953
11 2.15
85 2,051
87 89
72 2,139
88 1,815
89 90
77 1,905
96 234
/22 22/23
83 285
85 0.85
39 243
23 24
62 267
13 625
24 24
37 649
75 ‐382
23/24
963
2.17
2,093
90
2,183
1,856
91
1,947
235
23/24
286
0.86
247
24
271
652
25
678
‐406
Table 28
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 29
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Malaysia Rice Sup
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Mali Rice Supply, U
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ply, Utilization and
13/14
680
2.58
1,751
594
2,345
2,801
676
3,477
‐1,131
Utilization and Net
13/14
626
2.19
1,370
127
1,497
1,526
129
1,655
‐158
d Net Trade, 2013‐
14/15 15
692
2.58
1,784 1
676
2,460 2
2,844 2
681
3,524 3
‐1,065 ‐1
t Trade, 2013‐2023
14/15 15
652
2.23
1,455 1
129
1,584 1
1,591 1
131
1,723 1
‐138
‐2023
5/16 16/17
701 707
2.59 2.62
,816 1,852
681 687
,496 2,539
,875 2,938
687 692
,563 3,630
,066 ‐1,091
3
5/16 16/17
695 722
2.28 2.35
,588 1,693
131 133
,720 1,826
,632 1,706
133 136
,765 1,841
‐45 ‐15
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
711 7
(Metric Tons p
2.64 2
(Thousand M
1,876 1,8
692 7
2,568 2,5
2,984 3,0
702 7
3,686 3,7
‐1,118 ‐1,1
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
757 7
(Metric Tons pe
2.41 2
(Thousand M
1,824 1,9
136 1
1,960 2,0
1,770 1,8
138 1
1,908 1,9
52
/19 19/20
Hectares)
713 714
per Hectare)
2.66 2.69
etric Tons)
896 1,924
702 709
598 2,633
030 3,083
709 716
739 3,799
141 ‐1,166
/19 19/20
Hectares)
776 796
er Hectares)
2.47 2.54
etric Tons)
921 2,018
138 141
059 2,159
854 1,925
141 144
995 2,069
64 90
20/21 21/
715 7
2.73 2.
1,950 1,9
716 7
2,667 2,6
3,133 3,1
724 7
3,857 3,9
‐1,191 ‐1,2
20/21 21/
808 8
2.59 2.
2,090 2,1
144 1
2,234 2,3
1,992 2,0
147 1
2,138 2,2
96 1
Page46
/22 22/23
15 715
75 2.79
70 1,994
24 732
94 2,726
84 3,226
32 740
16 3,966
22 ‐1,240
/22 22/23
17 840
65 2.71
64 2,274
47 149
10 2,423
53 2,128
49 152
02 2,280
08 144
23/24
714
2.82
2,015
740
2,755
3,270
746
4,017
‐1,262
23/24
848
2.77
2,346
152
2,497
2,199
155
2,354
143
Table 30
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 31
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Mexico Rice Suppl
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Mozambique Rice
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ly, Utilization and
13/14
36
3.74
134
168
302
863
186
1,049
‐747
Supply, Utilization
13/14
242
0.94
226
0
226
746
14
760
‐533
Net Trade, 2013‐2
14/15 15
37
3.71
137
186
323
887
186
1,074 1
‐750 ‐
n and Net Trade, 2
14/15 15
246
0.95
233
14
246
707
12
719
‐472 ‐
023
5/16 16/17
39 40
3.77 3.81
148 153
186 188
334 341
908 930
188 188
,096 1,118
‐762 ‐777
2013‐2023
5/16 16/17
251 255
0.97 0.99
244 254
12 14
256 267
750 762
14 14
763 777
‐507 ‐509
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
41
(Metric Tons p
3.78 3
(Thousand M
153 1
188 1
341 3
950 9
188 1
1,138 1,1
‐797 ‐8
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
260 2
(Metric Tons pe
1.01 1
(Thousand M
263 2
14
278 2
783 8
15
798 8
‐520 ‐5
/19 19/20
Hectares)
40 40
per Hectare)
3.73 3.75
etric Tons)
151 151
188 190
339 340
968 990
190 189
158 1,179
819 ‐839
/19 19/20
Hectares)
265 270
er Hectares)
1.03 1.04
etric Tons)
274 281
15 17
289 298
830 854
17 18
847 872
558 ‐574
20/21 21/
40
3.73 3.
150 1
189 1
339 3
1,009 1,0
190 1
1,199 1,2
‐860 ‐8
20/21 21/
275 2
1.05 1.
289 3
18
307 3
908 9
20
928 9
‐621 ‐6
Page47
/22 22/23
40 40
73 3.77
49 150
90 191
40 342
27 1,038
91 192
18 1,230
78 ‐888
/22 22/23
81 287
07 1.09
01 312
20 22
21 334
53 1,015
22 24
75 1,039
54 ‐705
23/24
40
3.79
151
192
343
1,048
185
1,233
‐890
23/24
293
1.11
325
24
349
1,052
25
1,077
‐729
Table 32
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 33
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Myanmar Rice Sup
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Nigeria Rice Suppl
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
pply, Utilization an
13/14
6,507
1.69
11,014
147
11,161
10,391
94
10,485
677
y, Utilization and N
13/14
2,479
1.16
2,884
885
3,769
6,054
659
6,713
‐2,944
nd Net Trade, 2013
14/15 15
6,611 6
1.71
11,304 11
94
11,398 11
10,521 10
177
10,697 11
701
Net Trade, 2013‐20
14/15 15
2,547 2
1.22
3,101 3
659
3,761 3
6,093 6
652
6,745 6
‐2,984 ‐2
3‐2023
5/16 16/17
,744 6,809
1.73 1.74
,649 11,878
177 395
,825 12,273
,657 10,788
395 489
,052 11,277
774 996
023
5/16 16/17
,670 2,734
1.24 1.27
,315 3,475
652 669
,968 4,144
,286 6,405
669 685
,955 7,090
,987 ‐2,945
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
6,885 6,9
(Metric Tons p
1.76 1
(Thousand M
12,131 12,2
489 4
12,620 12,7
10,981 11,1
485 4
11,467 11,5
1,153 1,2
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
2,801 2,8
(Metric Tons p
1.31 1
(Thousand M
3,655 3,8
685 6
4,340 4,5
6,567 6,8
696 7
7,263 7,5
‐2,924 ‐3,0
/19 19/20
Hectares)
900 6,899
per Hectare)
1.78 1.8
etric Tons)
277 12,393
485 404
762 12,797
139 11,254
404 374
543 11,628
218 1,169
/19 19/20
Hectares)
873 2,947
per Hectare)
1.34 1.37
etric Tons)
847 4,048
696 705
544 4,753
854 7,054
705 711
559 7,765
015 ‐3,012
20/21 21/
6,901 6,8
1.81 1.
12,516 12,6
374 3
12,890 12,9
11,372 11,4
355 3
11,727 11,7
1,163 1,2
20/21 21/
3,016 3,0
1.41 1.
4,245 4,4
711 7
4,956 5,1
7,324 7,5
715 7
8,039 8,2
‐3,083 ‐3,1
Page48
/22 22/23
99 6,893
83 1.85
31 12,740
55 358
86 13,098
21 11,427
58 422
79 11,849
07 1,250
/22 22/23
90 3,162
44 1.48
55 4,667
15 718
70 5,385
61 7,785
18 721
79 8,506
09 ‐3,121
23/24
6,889
1.87
12,852
422
13,274
11,555
459
12,015
1,259
23/24
3,213
1.51
4,853
721
5,573
7,995
722
8,717
‐3,144
Table 34
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 35
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Pakistan Rice Supp
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Philippines Rice Su
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ply, Utilization and
13/14
2,704
2.34
6,323
600
6,923
2,618
956
3,574
3,349
upply, Utilization a
13/14
4,692
2.47
11,606
1,487
13,093
12,883
1,684
14,567
‐1,474
d Net Trade, 2013‐
14/15 15
2,726 2
2.36
6,426 6
956 1
7,382 7
2,743 2
1,114
3,857 3
3,525 3
and Net Trade, 201
14/15 15
4,693 4
2.48
11,656 11
1,684 1
13,341 13
13,080 13
1,672 1
14,752 14
‐1,412 ‐1
2023
5/16 16/17
,724 2,756
2.36 2.36
,420 6,517
,114 964
,534 7,481
,821 2,904
964 744
,786 3,648
,748 3,833
13‐2023
5/16 16/17
,698 4,682
2.51 2.56
,795 11,997
,672 1,689
,467 13,686
,184 13,348
,689 1,683
,873 15,032
,406 ‐1,345
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
2,768 2,7
(Metric Tons p
2.36 2
(Thousand M
6,536 6,6
744 7
7,280 7,3
2,961 3,0
749 7
3,710 3,7
3,571 3,5
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
4,679 4,6
(Metric Tons p
2.62 2
(Thousand M
12,265 12,5
1,683 1,6
13,948 14,2
13,469 13,6
1,698 1,7
15,168 15,3
‐1,220 ‐1,1
/19 19/20
Hectares)
792 2,795
per Hectare)
2.37 2.37
etric Tons)
607 6,619
749 772
355 7,391
026 3,077
772 750
797 3,827
558 3,563
/19 19/20
Hectares)
683 4,700
per Hectare)
2.67 2.71
etric Tons)
513 12,756
698 1,714
211 14,469
643 13,799
714 1,734
357 15,533
146 ‐1,064
20/21 21/
2,837 2,9
2.37 2.
6,731 6,9
750 7
7,482 7,6
3,113 3,1
719 7
3,832 3,9
3,649 3,7
20/21 21/
4,698 4,7
2.77 2.
13,035 13,3
1,734 1,7
14,769 15,0
13,984 14,1
1,754 1,7
15,738 15,9
‐969 ‐8
Page49
/22 22/23
13 2,946
37 2.38
15 7,024
19 753
34 7,777
69 3,227
53 781
22 4,008
12 3,769
/22 22/23
08 4,712
83 2.88
01 13,551
54 1,776
55 15,327
27 14,294
76 1,795
03 16,089
48 ‐762
23/24
2,990
2.39
7,134
781
7,915
3,270
811
4,081
3,834
23/24
4,718
2.93
13,823
1,795
15,618
14,451
1,815
16,267
‐649
Table 36 S
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 37 S
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Saudi Arabia Rice
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Senegal Rice Supp
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Supply, Utilization
13/14
214
214
1,265
221
1,486
‐1,272
ply, Utilization and
13/14
148
3.38
500
247
747
1,574
265
1,839
‐1,092
n and Net Trade, 20
14/15 15
221
221
1,307 1
225
1,532 1
‐1,311 ‐1
Net Trade, 2013‐2
14/15 15
150
3.57
537
265
802
1,604 1
246
1,850 1
‐1,048 ‐1
013‐2023
5/16 16/17
225 229
225 229
,351 1,396
229 233
,580 1,630
,355 ‐1,401
2023
5/16 16/17
155 158
3.76 3.97
583 625
246 251
828 876
,653 1,707
251 251
,904 1,958
,075 ‐1,082
17/18 18/
(Thousand M
233 2
233 2
1,432 1,4
238 2
1,670 1,7
‐1,437 ‐1,4
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
160 1
(Metric Tons pe
4.19 4
(Thousand M
671 7
251 2
923 9
1,758 1,8
252 2
2,010 2,0
‐1,087 ‐1,1
/19 19/20
etric Tons)
238 241
238 241
464 1,498
241 244
705 1,742
467 ‐1,501
/19 19/20
Hectares)
162 165
er Hectares)
4.42 4.62
etric Tons)
719 762
252 262
971 1,023
808 1,857
262 271
070 2,128
100 ‐1,105
20/21 21/
244 2
244 2
1,528 1,5
247 2
1,775 1,8
‐1,531 ‐1,5
20/21 21/
167 1
4.82 5.
804 8
271 2
1,075 1,1
1,906 1,9
281 2
2,187 2,2
‐1,112 ‐1,1
Page50
/22 22/23
47 250
47 250
57 1,581
50 253
07 1,834
60 ‐1,584
/22 22/23
69 171
03 5.25
50 899
81 291
31 1,190
54 2,003
91 301
45 2,304
14 ‐1,114
23/24
253
253
1,609
255
1,864
‐1,611
23/24
173
5.43
941
301
1,242
2,051
305
2,356
‐1,115
Table 38 S
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Table 39 S
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Sierra Leone Rice S
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Singapore Rice Uti
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Supply, Utilization
13/14
617
1.25
768
0
768
1,121
1
1,122
‐353
ilization and Net T
13/14
361
0
361
‐361
and Net Trade, 20
14/15 15
624
1.28
802
1
803
1,153 1
2
1,155 1
‐353 ‐
Trade, 2013‐2023
14/15 15
364
0
364
‐364 ‐
013‐2023
5/16 16/17
632 641
1.32 1.37
837 875
2 3
840 879
,185 1,225
3 5
,188 1,231
‐349 ‐352
5/16 16/17
372 375
0 0
372 375
‐372 ‐375
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
651 6
(Metric Tons pe
1.41 1
(Thousand M
916 9
5
921 9
1,255 1,2
6
1,262 1,3
‐341 ‐3
17/18 18/
(Thousand M
376 3
0
376 3
‐376 ‐3
/19 19/20
Hectares)
661 672
er Hectares)
1.45 1.5
etric Tons)
959 1,005
6 8
965 1,012
294 1,334
8 9
302 1,343
337 ‐331
/19 19/20
etric Tons)
377 378
0 0
377 378
377 ‐378
20/21 21/
683 6
1.54 1.
1,054 1,1
9
1,063 1,1
1,374 1,4
11
1,385 1,4
‐322 ‐3
20/21 21/
378 3
0
378 3
‐378 ‐3
Page51
/22 22/23
94 705
59 1.64
04 1,156
11 12
15 1,169
18 1,453
12 14
30 1,467
15 ‐298
/22 22/23
77 375
0 0
77 375
77 ‐375
23/24
716
1.69
1,210
14
1,224
1,494
15
1,510
‐286
23/24
386
0
386
‐386
Table 40 S
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 41 S
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
South Africa Rice S
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
South Korea Rice S
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Supply, Utilization
13/14
22
22
930
41
971
‐949
Supply, Utilization
13/14
843
5.02
4,232
722
4,954
4,539
826
5,365
‐410
and Net Trade, 20
14/15 15
41
41
919
54
972
‐931 ‐
and Net Trade, 20
14/15 15
835
5.02
4,188 4
826
5,014 5
4,499 4
924
5,423 5
‐409 ‐
013‐2023
5/16 16/17
54 56
54 56
928 932
56 66
984 998
‐930 ‐943
013‐2023
5/16 16/17
834 829
5.03 5.04
,191 4,176
924 986
,115 5,162
,538 4,520
986 1,050
,523 5,570
‐409 ‐409
17/18 18/
(Thousand M
66
66
940 9
78
1,018 1,0
‐952 ‐9
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
828 8
(Metric Tons p
5.05 5
(Thousand M
4,182 4,1
1,050 1,1
5,232 5,2
4,524 4,5
1,117 1,1
5,641 5,7
‐409 ‐4
/19 19/20
etric Tons)
78 91
78 91
955 961
91 92
046 1,053
968 ‐962
/19 19/20
Hectares)
826 827
per Hectare)
5.05 5.05
etric Tons)
175 4,180
117 1,195
292 5,375
505 4,487
195 1,297
701 5,784
409 ‐409
20/21 21/
92
92
973 9
95 1
1,068 1,0
‐976 ‐1,0
20/21 21/
824 8
5.05 5.
4,158 4,1
1,297 1,3
5,454 5,5
4,465 4,4
1,398 1,5
5,863 5,9
‐409 ‐4
Page52
/22 22/23
95 100
95 100
99 995
00 99
98 1,093
04 ‐994
/22 22/23
25 822
05 5.05
67 4,149
98 1,507
65 5,655
67 4,471
07 1,593
73 6,064
09 ‐409
23/24
99
99
1,028
106
1,134
‐1,035
23/24
818
5.05
4,132
1,593
5,725
4,446
1,688
6,134
‐409
Table 42 T
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 43 T
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tr
Taiwan Rice Suppl
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Tanzania Rice Sup
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ly, Utilization and
13/14
279
4.14
1,153
377
1,530
1,286
367
1,653
‐123
ply, Utilization and
13/14
954
1.04
995
0
995
1,205
26
1,232
‐236
Net Trade, 2013‐20
14/15 15
276
4.14
1,142 1
367
1,509 1
1,279 1
352
1,632 1
‐123 ‐
d Net Trade, 2013‐
14/15 15
966
1.05
1,017 1
26
1,044 1
1,281 1
39
1,320 1
‐277 ‐
023
5/16 16/17
272 268
4.14 4.14
,127 1,111
352 332
,480 1,443
,271 1,262
332 304
,603 1,566
‐123 ‐123
‐2023
5/16 16/17
978 990
1.07 1.09
,049 1,081
39 52
,089 1,133
,340 1,378
52 53
,391 1,431
‐302 ‐298
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
267 2
(Metric Tons p
4.14 4
(Thousand M
1,106 1,1
304 2
1,410 1,3
1,245 1,2
288 2
1,533 1,5
‐123 ‐1
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
1,001 1,0
(Metric Tons pe
1.11 1
(Thousand M
1,113 1,1
53
1,166 1,2
1,426 1,4
55
1,481 1,5
‐315 ‐3
/19 19/20
Hectares)
266 263
per Hectare)
4.15 4.15
etric Tons)
103 1,093
288 282
391 1,375
232 1,226
282 272
514 1,498
123 ‐123
/19 19/20
Hectares)
011 1,022
er Hectares)
1.13 1.15
etric Tons)
145 1,177
55 57
200 1,234
495 1,543
57 59
552 1,603
352 ‐369
20/21 21/
260 2
4.16 4.
1,082 1,0
272 2
1,354 1,3
1,221 1,2
256 2
1,477 1,4
‐123 ‐1
20/21 21/
1,031 1,0
1.17 1.
1,208 1,2
59
1,268 1,3
1,606 1,6
62
1,668 1,7
‐400 ‐4
Page53
/22 22/23
56 253
18 4.21
72 1,065
56 236
28 1,301
16 1,211
36 213
51 1,424
23 ‐123
/22 22/23
41 1,051
19 1.21
40 1,272
62 65
02 1,337
81 1,739
65 67
46 1,805
44 ‐469
23/24
252
4.24
1,070
213
1,283
1,206
200
1,406
‐123
23/24
1,060
1.23
1,305
67
1,371
1,796
69
1,865
‐494
Table 44 T
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 45 T
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Thailand Rice Supp
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Turkey Rice Supply
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ply, Utilization and
13/14
10,867
1.88
20,456
12,830
33,286
10,704
14,821
25,525
7,761
y, Utilization and N
13/14
102
4.89
500
204
704
777
207
985
‐280
d Net Trade, 2013‐
14/15 15
10,789 10
1.88
20,327 20
14,821 16
35,147 37
10,651 10
16,849 18
27,500 29
7,648 7
Net Trade, 2013‐20
14/15 15
101
4.93
501
207
708
786
204
990
‐281 ‐
‐2023
5/16 16/17
,785 10,788
1.9 1.92
,490 20,671
,849 18,915
,339 39,586
,647 10,627
,915 20,969
,562 31,596
,777 7,989
023
5/16 16/17
102 101
4.99 5.05
507 513
204 202
711 715
796 801
202 196
998 997
‐287 ‐282
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
10,811 10,8
(Metric Tons p
1.92 1
(Thousand M
20,801 20,9
20,969 22,9
41,770 43,9
10,626 10,6
22,953 24,5
33,578 35,1
8,192 8,7
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
101 1
(Metric Tons p
5.11 5
(Thousand M
518 5
196 1
713 7
815 8
196 1
1,011 1,0
‐298 ‐3
/19 19/20
Hectares)
817 10,813
per Hectare)
1.94 1.96
etric Tons)
955 21,145
953 24,551
908 45,695
646 10,655
551 25,776
197 36,431
711 9,264
/19 19/20
Hectares)
101 101
per Hectare)
5.17 5.23
etric Tons)
522 527
196 193
718 720
826 813
193 176
019 989
301 ‐269
20/21 21/
10,807 10,8
1.97 1.
21,254 21,2
25,776 26,5
47,030 47,8
10,673 10,7
26,581 26,8
37,254 37,5
9,776 10,2
20/21 21/
101 1
5.29 5.
532 5
176 1
708 7
815 8
168 1
983 9
‐275 ‐2
Page54
/22 22/23
06 10,791
97 1.97
80 21,307
81 26,867
61 48,174
00 10,704
67 26,810
67 37,514
94 10,660
/22 22/23
00 100
34 5.4
37 542
68 166
05 708
25 830
66 161
91 990
86 ‐282
23/24
10,777
1.98
21,362
26,810
48,172
10,722
26,478
37,199
10,973
23/24
100
5.46
547
161
708
833
155
988
‐280
Table 46
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 47 V
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Uruguay Rice Supp
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Vietnam Rice Supp
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ply, Utilization and
13/14
181
5.63
1,018
93
1,111
91
111
202
910
ply, Utilization and
13/14
7,867
3.54
27,881
2,326
30,207
20,661
2,430
23,091
7,116
d Net Trade, 2013‐
14/15 15
176
5.74
1,011 1
111
1,122 1
87
108
194
928
d Net Trade, 2013‐
14/15 15
7,897 7
3.55
27,994 28
2,430 2
30,423 30
20,745 20
2,419 2
23,164 23
7,259 7
2023
5/16 16/17
178 180
5.79 5.87
,031 1,053
108 108
,139 1,161
87 85
108 108
195 193
944 969
2023
5/16 16/17
,914 7,926
3.58 3.6
,326 28,503
,419 2,506
,745 31,009
,730 20,951
,506 2,550
,236 23,500
,509 7,509
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
181 1
(Metric Tons p
5.91 5
(Thousand M
1,068 1,0
108 1
1,176 1,1
84
108 1
192 1
984 9
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
7,930 7,9
(Metric Tons p
3.63 3
(Thousand M
28,762 29,0
2,550 2,6
31,311 31,6
21,034 21,2
2,640 2,6
23,674 23,9
7,637 7,7
/19 19/20
Hectares)
181 180
per Hectare)
5.96 6
etric Tons)
077 1,080
108 108
185 1,188
84 83
108 107
192 191
993 997
/19 19/20
Hectares)
927 7,925
per Hectare)
3.66 3.69
etric Tons)
018 29,267
640 2,680
658 31,947
240 21,413
680 2,624
920 24,037
738 7,911
20/21 21/
179 1
6.05 6.
1,082 1,0
107 1
1,189 1,1
83
107 1
190 1
999 1,0
20/21 21/
7,920 7,9
3.72 3.
29,461 29,6
2,624 2,6
32,085 32,3
21,461 21,5
2,663 2,6
24,123 24,2
7,962 8,0
Page55
/22 22/23
78 177
09 6.17
84 1,095
07 107
92 1,202
82 80
07 107
89 187
03 1,015
/22 22/23
16 7,908
75 3.78
63 29,863
63 2,652
26 32,515
84 21,750
52 2,588
36 24,338
90 8,176
23/24
179
6.25
1,116
107
1,223
78
107
185
1,038
23/24
7,905
3.81
30,099
2,588
32,687
21,883
2,578
24,461
8,225
Table 48 A
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 49 A
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Africa Total Rice S
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
African Aggregate
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
upply, Utilization a
13/14
10,754
1.76
18,908
2,489
21,397
31,402
2,672
34,073
‐12,677
of Countries with
13/14
8,505
1.79
15,202
2,437
17,639
24,985
2,598
27,583
‐9,944
and Net Trade, 201
14/15 15
10,875 11
1.79
19,424 20
2,672 2
22,096 23
31,869 32
2,885 3
34,754 35
‐12,658 ‐12
Individual AGRM
14/15 15
8,634 8
1.82
15,716 16
2,598 2
18,314 19
25,396 26
2,801 3
28,197 29
‐9,883 ‐9
13‐2023
5/16 16/17
,137 11,331
1.82 1.84
,217 20,845
,885 3,110
,102 23,954
,747 33,675
,110 3,238
,856 36,912
,754 ‐12,958
Models – Rice Sup
5/16 16/17
,885 9,068
1.85 1.88
,456 17,048
,801 3,012
,257 20,060
,134 26,856
,012 3,137
,147 29,993
,890 ‐9,933
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
11,534 11,7
(Metric Tons p
1.87
(Thousand M
21,524 22,2
3,238 3,2
24,762 25,5
34,689 36,0
3,269 3,2
37,958 39,3
‐13,196 ‐13,7
pply, Utilization, an
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
9,254 9,4
(Metric Tons p
1.91 1
(Thousand M
17,651 18,2
3,137 3,1
20,787 21,4
27,637 28,7
3,163 3,1
30,800 31,9
‐10,013 ‐10,4
/19 19/20
Hectares)
723 11,917
per Hectare)
1.9 1.93
etric Tons)
236 22,953
269 3,286
504 26,240
013 37,046
286 3,263
300 40,310
795 ‐14,070
nd Net Trade, 2013
/19 19/20
Hectares)
426 9,603
per Hectare)
1.94 1.96
etric Tons)
255 18,862
163 3,176
418 22,038
730 29,544
176 3,149
907 32,693
489 ‐10,655
20/21 21/
12,087 12,2
1.96 1.
23,709 24,4
3,263 3,2
26,973 27,6
38,267 39,4
3,256 3,2
41,523 42,7
‐14,550 ‐15,0
3‐2023
20/21 21/
9,756 9,9
1.99 2.
19,462 20,0
3,149 3,1
22,611 23,2
30,549 31,4
3,138 3,1
33,686 34,6
‐11,076 ‐11,4
Page56
/22 22/23
65 12,453
99 2.02
00 25,194
56 3,287
56 28,481
18 40,432
87 3,313
05 43,745
49 ‐15,264
/22 22/23
16 10,085
02 2.06
76 20,748
38 3,164
14 23,912
90 32,306
64 3,187
54 35,493
40 ‐11,581
23/24
12,604
2.06
25,939
3,313
29,252
41,589
3,307
44,896
‐15,644
23/24
10,217
2.09
21,366
3,187
24,553
33,270
3,177
36,447
‐11,894
Table 50 A
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 51 W
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
African Aggregate
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Western Hemisph
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
of Other Countrie
13/14
2,248
1.65
3,706
52
3,758
6,417
73
6,490
‐2,732
ere Rice Supply, U
13/14
6,415
3.7
23,717
3,462
27,179
22,891
3,546
26,436
742
es Modeled as a Gr
14/15 15
2,240 2
1.66
3,709 3
73
3,782 3
6,473 6
84
6,558 6
‐2,775 ‐2
tilization and Net
14/15 15
6,488 6
3.77
24,427 24
3,546 3
27,973 28
23,067 23
3,737 3
26,804 27
1,169
roup in AGRM – Ri
5/16 16/17
,251 2,264
1.67 1.68
,761 3,797
84 97
,845 3,894
,612 6,819
97 101
,710 6,920
,864 ‐3,025
Trade, 2013‐2023
5/16 16/17
,517 6,535
3.8 3.84
,766 25,072
,737 3,983
,503 29,055
,557 24,045
,983 4,163
,540 28,208
964 847
ce Supply, Utilizat
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
2,280 2,2
(Metric Tons p
1.7 1
(Thousand M
3,874 3,9
101 1
3,975 4,0
7,052 7,2
106 1
7,158 7,3
‐3,183 ‐3,3
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
6,557 6,5
(Metric Tons p
3.87
(Thousand M
25,404 25,6
4,163 4,2
29,567 29,8
24,474 24,8
4,204 4,2
28,678 29,1
889 7
ion and Net Trade
/19 19/20
Hectares)
297 2,314
per Hectare)
1.73 1.77
etric Tons)
981 4,091
106 110
086 4,202
283 7,502
110 114
393 7,616
306 ‐3,415
/19 19/20
Hectares)
581 6,611
per Hectare)
3.9 3.92
etric Tons)
661 25,944
204 4,249
865 30,193
862 25,256
249 4,309
111 29,564
755 629
e, 2013‐2023
20/21 21/
2,331 2,3
1.82 1.
4,248 4,3
114 1
4,362 4,4
7,718 7,9
118 1
7,837 8,0
‐3,475 ‐3,6
20/21 21/
6,630 6,6
3.95 3.
26,210 26,4
4,309 4,3
30,519 30,7
25,516 25,7
4,371 4,3
29,887 30,1
632 6
Page57
/22 22/23
49 2,368
84 1.88
24 4,446
18 122
42 4,568
28 8,125
22 126
50 8,251
08 ‐3,683
/22 22/23
37 6,647
98 4.01
03 26,651
71 4,381
73 31,031
36 26,022
81 4,323
16 30,345
57 686
23/24
2,387
1.92
4,573
126
4,699
8,319
130
8,449
‐3,750
23/24
6,659
4.04
26,873
4,323
31,196
26,133
4,315
30,448
748
Table 52 W
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 53 W
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Western Hemisph
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Western Hemisph
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ere Aggregate of C
13/14
4,310
4.1
17,675
2,369
20,044
15,115
2,341
17,455
2,589
ere Aggregate of O
13/14
2,105
2.87
6,041
1,093
7,134
7,776
1,205
8,981
‐1,847
Countries with Ind
14/15 15
4,380 4
4.15
18,176 18
2,341 2
20,517 20
15,265 15
2,527 2
17,792 18
2,724 2
Other Countries M
14/15 15
2,108 2
2.97
6,251 6
1,205 1
7,457 7
7,802 8
1,210 1
9,012 9
‐1,556 ‐1
ividual AGRM Mod
5/16 16/17
,406 4,432
4.18 4.21
,437 18,653
,527 2,725
,964 21,379
,519 15,831
,725 2,870
,245 18,701
,719 2,678
odeled as a Group
5/16 16/17
,111 2,104
3 3.05
,329 6,419
,210 1,257
,539 7,677
,037 8,214
,257 1,293
,295 9,507
,755 ‐1,830
dels – Rice Supply,
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
4,455 4,4
(Metric Tons p
4.24 4
(Thousand M
18,880 19,0
2,870 2,8
21,750 21,9
16,085 16,3
2,876 2,8
18,962 19,2
2,789 2,7
p in AGRM – Rice S
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
2,103 2,1
(Metric Tons p
3.1 3
(Thousand M
6,524 6,5
1,293 1,3
7,817 7,9
8,388 8,5
1,328 1,3
9,716 9,8
‐1,899 ‐1,9
, Utilization and Ne
/19 19/20
Hectares)
474 4,496
per Hectare)
4.26 4.29
etric Tons)
075 19,279
876 2,896
951 22,175
349 16,566
896 2,921
245 19,486
706 2,689
Supply, Utilization
/19 19/20
Hectares)
107 2,115
per Hectare)
3.13 3.15
etric Tons)
587 6,665
328 1,353
914 8,018
513 8,690
353 1,388
865 10,078
951 ‐2,060
et Trade, 2013‐202
20/21 21/
4,509 4,5
4.31 4.
19,425 19,4
2,921 2,9
22,345 22,4
16,690 16,7
2,955 2,9
19,646 19,7
2,700 2,7
and Net Trade, 20
20/21 21/
2,121 2,1
3.2 3.
6,786 6,9
1,388 1,4
8,174 8,3
8,826 8,9
1,415 1,4
10,241 10,3
‐2,068 ‐2,0
Page58
23
/22 22/23
09 4,510
32 4.34
95 19,569
55 2,943
50 22,512
98 16,969
43 2,862
41 19,832
10 2,680
013‐2023
/22 22/23
28 2,136
25 3.32
08 7,082
15 1,438
23 8,519
38 9,053
38 1,461
75 10,513
52 ‐1,994
23/24
4,515
4.36
19,666
2,862
22,528
16,991
2,837
19,828
2,701
23/24
2,144
3.36
7,208
1,461
8,668
9,142
1,478
10,621
‐1,953
Table 54 A
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 55 A
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Asian Rice Supply,
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Asian Aggregate o
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
, Utilization and Ne
13/14
142,469
3
427,525
99,955
527,480
415,314
99,141
514,454
13,026
of Countries with In
13/14
138,458
3.02
418,070
99,153
517,223
403,158
98,407
501,565
15,658
et Trade, 2013‐202
14/15 15
142,306 142
3.06
434,814 439
99,141 102
533,955 542
418,741 422
102,688 107
521,429 529
12,526 12
ndividual Models i
14/15 15
138,268 138
3.08
425,256 430
98,407 101
523,663 532
406,432 410
101,951 106
508,383 516
15,280 15
23
5/16 16/17
,701 142,768
3.08 3.11
,863 443,967
,688 107,293
,551 551,260
,438 426,188
,293 111,959
,731 538,147
,820 13,113
n AGRM – Rice Su
5/16 16/17
,647 138,703
3.1 3.13
,231 434,274
,951 106,556
,183 540,830
,109 413,645
,556 111,218
,665 524,863
,518 15,967
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
142,803 142,8
(Metric Tons p
3.13 3
(Thousand M
447,665 452,4
111,959 116,5
559,624 569,0
429,734 433,4
116,589 121,4
546,323 554,9
13,301 14,0
pply, Utilization an
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
138,730 138,7
(Metric Tons p
3.16 3
(Thousand M
437,917 442,6
111,218 115,8
549,135 558,4
417,059 420,6
115,845 120,7
532,904 541,3
16,231 17,0
/19 19/20
Hectares)
837 142,738
per Hectare)
3.17 3.19
etric Tons)
421 455,095
589 121,483
010 576,578
477 436,873
483 125,261
960 562,135
050 14,444
nd Net Trade, 2013
/19 19/20
Hectares)
757 138,651
per Hectare)
3.19 3.21
etric Tons)
620 445,243
845 120,736
465 565,979
635 423,877
736 124,511
371 548,388
094 17,591
20/21 21/
142,722 142,7
3.21 3.
458,492 461,7
125,261 129,0
583,754 590,8
439,741 443,1
129,066 132,3
568,806 575,4
14,947 15,4
3‐2023
20/21 21/
138,628 138,6
3.24 3.
448,590 451,8
124,511 128,3
573,101 580,1
426,621 429,8
128,313 131,5
554,934 561,3
18,167 18,7
Page59
/22 22/23
56 142,596
23 3.25
76 463,836 4
66 132,331
42 596,167 6
03 446,160 4
31 134,385
34 580,545 5
08 15,622
/22 22/23
55 138,488
26 3.28
24 453,835 4
13 131,576
37 585,411 5
18 432,701 4
76 133,626
94 566,326 5
44 19,085
23/24
142,565
3.29
468,409
134,385
602,794
448,984
137,785
586,769
16,024
23/24
138,450
3.31
458,360
133,626
591,985
435,398
137,024
572,423
19,563
Table 56 A
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 57
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Asian Aggregate o
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
European Total Ric
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
of Other Countries
13/14
4,011
2.36
9,455
802
10,257
12,155
734
12,889
‐2,632
ce Supply, Utilizati
13/14
677
3.84
2,601
1,169
3,769
4,125
1,075
5,201
‐1,431
Modeled as a Gro
14/15 15
4,039 4
2.37
9,558 9
734
10,292 10
12,309 12
737
13,046 13
‐2,754 ‐2
ion and Net Trade,
14/15 15
679
3.88
2,637 2
1,075
3,712 3
4,148 4
959
5,107 5
‐1,395 ‐1
up in AGRM – Rice
5/16 16/17
,054 4,064
2.38 2.39
,632 9,693
737 737
,369 10,430
,329 12,542
737 741
,066 13,284
,697 ‐2,854
, 2013‐2023
5/16 16/17
683 686
3.93 3.99
,686 2,736
959 862
,645 3,598
,170 4,208
862 795
,032 5,003
,386 ‐1,405
e Supply, Utilizatio
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
4,072 4,0
(Metric Tons p
2.39
(Thousand M
9,748 9,8
741 7
10,490 10,5
12,675 12,8
744 7
13,419 13,5
‐2,930 ‐3,0
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
688 6
(Metric Tons p
4.05
(Thousand M
2,786 2,8
795 7
3,582 3,5
4,220 4,2
757 7
4,976 4,9
‐1,395 ‐1,3
on and Net Trade, 2
/19 19/20
Hectares)
080 4,087
per Hectare)
2.4 2.41
etric Tons)
801 9,852
744 747
545 10,599
842 12,997
747 750
589 13,747
044 ‐3,148
/19 19/20
Hectares)
691 693
per Hectare)
4.1 4.15
etric Tons)
830 2,874
757 746
586 3,620
239 4,263
746 755
985 5,017
399 ‐1,397
2013‐2023
20/21 21/
4,094 4,1
2.42 2.
9,903 9,9
750 7
10,652 10,7
13,120 13,2
752 7
13,872 14,0
‐3,220 ‐3,3
20/21 21/
695 6
4.2 4.
2,920 2,9
755 7
3,674 3,7
4,284 4,3
771 8
5,055 5,1
‐1,381 ‐1,3
Page60
/22 22/23
01 4,107
43 2.43
52 10,001
52 755
04 10,756
85 13,460
55 759
41 14,219
36 ‐3,462
/22 22/23
97 699
25 4.31
65 3,011
71 811
37 3,822
20 4,358
11 872
31 5,230
95 ‐1,409
23/24
4,114
2.44
10,049
759
10,808
13,585
761
14,347
‐3,539
23/24
699
4.33
3,028
872
3,900
4,394
912
5,306
‐1,406
Table 58
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 59
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
European Aggrega
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
European Aggrega
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ate of Countries M
13/14
456
4.62
2,104
1,055
3,159
3,389
903
4,291
‐1,132
ate of Other Count
13/14
222
2.24
497
114
611
737
173
909
‐299
odeled Individuall
14/15 15
458
4.67
2,138 2
903
3,041 2
3,410 3
786
4,196 4
‐1,155 ‐1
ries Modeled as a
14/15 15
221
2.25
498
173
671
738
173
911
‐241 ‐
y in AGRM – Rice S
5/16 16/17
461 464
4.74 4.81
,185 2,234
786 689
,971 2,923
,429 3,451
689 619
,118 4,071
,147 ‐1,148
Group in AGRM ‐
5/16 16/17
222 221
2.26 2.27
501 502
173 173
674 676
740 756
173 176
914 932
‐239 ‐257
Supply, Utilization
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
468 4
(Metric Tons p
4.88 4
(Thousand M
2,283 2,3
619 5
2,902 2,9
3,463 3,4
581 5
4,044 4,0
‐1,142 ‐1,1
Rice Supply, Utiliz
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
221 2
(Metric Tons p
2.28 2
(Thousand M
503 5
176 1
679 6
756 7
176 1
933 9
‐253 ‐2
n and Net Trade, 20
/19 19/20
Hectares)
471 473
per Hectare)
4.94 5.01
etric Tons)
326 2,370
581 568
907 2,938
472 3,490
568 576
041 4,066
134 ‐1,128
ation and Net Trad
/19 19/20
Hectares)
220 220
per Hectare)
2.29 2.29
etric Tons)
504 504
176 178
680 682
767 772
178 179
945 951
265 ‐269
013‐2023
20/21 21/
476 4
5.08 5.
2,416 2,4
576 5
2,991 3,0
3,504 3,5
591 6
4,095 4,1
‐1,104 ‐1,0
de, 2013‐2023
20/21 21/
219 2
2.3 2.
504 5
179 1
683 6
780 8
180 1
960 9
‐277 ‐3
Page61
/22 22/23
78 481
14 5.21
61 2,506
91 627
52 3,133
17 3,534
27 684
45 4,218
92 ‐1,085
/22 22/23
19 218
31 2.31
04 505
80 184
84 688
03 825
84 187
86 1,012
02 ‐324
23/24
481
5.25
2,523
684
3,208
3,546
721
4,267
‐1,059
23/24
218
2.32
505
187
692
848
191
1,039
‐347
Table 60 O
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 61 O
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Oceania Total Rice
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
Oceania Aggregate
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
e Supply, Utilizatio
13/14
102
7.02
720
125
845
639
93
731
114
e of Countries Mod
13/14
99
7.07
702
120
822
362
87
449
373
on and Net Trade, 2
14/15 15
109
7.01
765
93
858
640
93
734
124
deled individually
14/15 15
106
7.05
750
87
838
352
88
439
398
2013‐2023
5/16 16/17
115 116
7 7
803 813
93 121
897 934
656 666
121 130
777 796
120 138
in AGRM – Rice Su
5/16 16/17
112 114
7.04 7.03
789 800
88 115
877 915
355 353
115 124
470 477
407 438
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
117 1
(Metric Tons p
7.01 7
(Thousand M
821 8
130 1
950 9
682 6
137 1
819 8
131 1
upply, Utilization a
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
115 1
(Metric Tons p
7.04 7
(Thousand M
807 8
124 1
931 9
355 3
131 1
486 4
445 4
/19 19/20
Hectares)
117 117
per Hectare)
7.02 7.02
etric Tons)
823 823
137 140
960 963
699 713
140 133
839 846
121 117
and Net Trade, 201
/19 19/20
Hectares)
115 115
per Hectare)
7.05 7.05
etric Tons)
810 809
131 134
940 943
359 360
134 126
493 487
447 456
20/21 21/
117 1
7.04 7.
822 8
133 1
955 9
727 7
138 1
865 8
90
13‐2023
20/21 21/
114 1
7.07 7
808 8
126 1
934 9
362 3
131 1
493 4
441 4
Page62
/22 22/23
17 117
06 7.08
29 831
38 131
67 963
41 758
31 122
72 881
95 82
/22 22/23
15 115
7.1 7.11
16 817
31 124
47 942
63 368
24 115
87 483
59 458
23/24
117
7.08
831
122
954
777
144
921
33
23/24
115
7.11
817
115
932
375
136
511
421
Table 62 O
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 63 W
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Residua
Oceania Aggregate
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
World Total Rice S
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
al
e of Other Countri
13/14
3
5.45
18
5
23
277
5
282
‐259
Supply, Utilization
13/14
160,418
2.95
473,470
107,200
580,669
474,370
106,526
580,896
‐227
es Modeled as a G
14/15 15
3
5.47
15
5
20
289
6
294
‐274 ‐
and Net Trade, 20
14/15 15
160,457 161
3
482,068 488
106,526 110
588,594 598
478,466 483
110,363 115
588,829 598
‐235 ‐
Group in AGRM – R
5/16 16/17
3 2
5.48 5.51
14 14
6 6
19 20
301 314
6 6
307 320
‐287 ‐300
013‐2023
5/16 16/17
,152 161,436
3.03 3.06
,336 493,434
,363 115,368
,698 608,802
,566 488,781
,368 120,285
,935 609,066
‐236 ‐264
Rice Supply, Utiliza
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
2
(Metric Tons p
5.53 5
(Thousand M
14
6
20
327 3
6
333 3
‐313 ‐3
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
161,700 161,9
(Metric Tons p
3.08 3
(Thousand M
498,201 503,9
120,285 124,9
618,486 628,9
493,799 499,2
124,955 129,9
618,755 629,1
‐269 ‐2
ation, and Net Trad
/19 19/20
Hectares)
2 2
per Hectare)
5.56 5.58
etric Tons)
14 14
6 7
20 20
340 352
7 7
346 359
326 ‐339
/19 19/20
Hectares)
949 162,076
per Hectare)
3.11 3.13
etric Tons)
971 507,689
955 129,905
926 637,594
290 504,151
905 133,721
195 637,871
268 ‐277
de, 2013‐2023
20/21 21/
2
5.58 5
14
7
21
365 3
7
372 3
‐352 ‐3
20/21 21/
162,251 162,4
3.16 3.
512,154 516,3
133,721 137,6
645,874 653,9
508,534 513,3
137,602 140,9
646,136 654,2
‐262 ‐2
Page63
/22 22/23
2 2
5.6 5.62
14 14
7 7
21 21
78 390
7 7
85 397
64 ‐376
/22 22/23
72 162,511
18 3.2
74 519,523 5
02 140,941
75 660,464 6
17 517,731 5
41 143,015
58 660,746 6
83 ‐282
23/24
2
5.63
14
7
21
402
8
410
‐388
23/24
162,644
3.23
525,080
143,015
668,095
521,877
146,464
668,341
‐245
Table 64 W
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
Table 65 W
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
World Aggregate o
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
World Aggregate o
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
of Countries Mode
13/14
151,828
2.99
453,753
105,134
558,887
447,008
104,336
551,344
7,543
of Other Countries
13/14
8,589
2.3
19,717
2,066
21,782
27,361
2,190
29,552
‐7,769
eled individually in
14/15 15
151,847 152
3.04
462,037 468
104,336 108
566,372 576
450,855 455
108,153 113
559,007 568
7,365 7
s Modeled as a Gro
14/15 15
8,611 8
2.33
20,031 20
2,190 2
22,221 22
27,611 28
2,210 2
29,821 30
‐7,600 ‐7
n AGRM – Rice Sup
5/16 16/17
,512 152,781
3.07 3.1
,099 473,008
,153 113,097
,251 586,106
,547 460,136
,097 117,968
,644 578,104
,607 8,002
oup in AGRM – Ric
5/16 16/17
,640 8,655
2.34 2.36
,237 20,425
,210 2,271
,447 22,696
,020 28,645
,271 2,317
,290 30,962
,843 ‐8,266
ply, Utilization and
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
153,021 153,2
(Metric Tons p
3.12 3
(Thousand M
477,538 483,0
117,968 122,5
595,505 605,6
464,600 469,5
122,596 127,5
587,196 597,0
8,310 8,6
e Supply, Utilizatio
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
8,678 8,7
(Metric Tons p
2.38
(Thousand M
20,663 20,8
2,317 2,3
22,980 23,2
29,199 29,7
2,359 2,3
31,559 32,1
‐8,578 ‐8,8
d Net Trade, 2013‐
/19 19/20
Hectares)
243 153,338
per Hectare)
3.15 3.17
etric Tons)
085 486,562
596 127,511
681 614,073
546 473,837
511 131,283
057 605,120
624 8,953
on and Net Trade,
/19 19/20
Hectares)
706 8,737
per Hectare)
2.4 2.42
etric Tons)
886 21,127
359 2,394
245 23,521
743 30,314
394 2,438
137 32,751
892 ‐9,231
‐2023
20/21 21/
153,484 153,6
3.2 3.
490,700 494,6
131,283 135,1
621,983 629,8
477,725 481,9
135,129 138,4
612,854 620,4
9,129 9,3
2013‐2023
20/21 21/
8,767 8,7
2.45 2.
21,454 21,7
2,438 2,4
23,891 24,1
30,809 31,3
2,473 2,5
33,282 33,8
‐9,390 ‐9,6
Page64
/22 22/23
73 153,679
22 3.24
72 497,475 5
29 138,435
00 635,910 6
86 485,878 4
35 140,475
20 626,353 6
80 9,557
/22 22/23
99 8,832
47 2.5
02 22,047
73 2,507
75 24,554
31 31,853
07 2,541
38 34,393
63 ‐9,839
23/24
153,778
3.27
502,732
140,475
643,207
489,580
143,895
633,475
9,731
23/24
8,866
2.52
22,348
2,541
24,889
32,297
2,569
34,865
‐9,977
Table 66
Area Ha
Yield
Product
Beginnin
Domes
Consum
Ending S
Domes
Net Tra
ECOWAS Total Ric
rvested
ion
ng Stocks
stic Supply
ption
Stocks
stic Use
ade
ce Supply, Utilizatio
13/14
6,336
1.36
8,607
1,876
10,483
16,889
1,681
16,889
‐6,407
on and Net Trade,
14/15 15
6,484 6
1.41
9,159 9
1,681 1
10,840 11
17,284 17
1,680 1
17,284 17
‐6,444 ‐6
2013‐2023
5/16 16/17
,715 6,879
1.46 1.5
,781 10,305
,680 1,716
,460 12,021
,798 18,351
,716 1,754
,798 18,351
,338 ‐6,330
17/18 18/
(Thousand H
7,051 7,2
(Metric Tons p
1.54 1
(Thousand M
10,863 11,3
1,754 1,7
12,618 13,1
18,953 19,7
1,793 1,8
18,953 21,6
‐6,335 ‐8,4
/19 19/20
Hectares)
203 7,360
per Hectare)
1.58 1.62
etric Tons)
399 11,944
793 1,850
193 13,794
772 20,412
850 1,886
621 22,298
429 ‐8,504
20/21 21/
7,493 7,6
1.66 1
12,442 12,9
1,886 1,9
14,327 14,8
21,146 21,8
1,924 1,9
23,070 23,8
‐8,742 ‐8,9
Page65
/22 22/23
33 7,784
1.7 1.74
56 13,541
24 1,965
80 15,505
77 22,516
65 1,992
42 24,508
62 ‐9,003
23/24
7,890
1.78
14,021
1,992
16,014
23,215
2,024
25,239
‐9,225
Table 67
Argentin
Australi
Banglad
Brazil
Brunei
Cambo
Camero
People'
Colomb
Egypt
Europe
Ghana
Guinea
India
Indones
Iran
Iraq
Cote d'I
Japan
Kenya
Lao PD
Liberia
Malaysi
Mali
Mexico
Mozam
Myanm
Nigeria
Pakista
Philippi
Projected Rice Mil
na
ia
desh
Darussalam
dia
oon
's Republic of China
bia
an Union-27
sia
Ivoire
DR
ia
bique
ar (Burma)
an
nes
lled Yields Per Hec
13/14
4.20
7.07
2.92
3.39
0.20
1.65
0.90
4.67
2.99
6.48
4.62
1.69
1.27
2.37
3.10
2.81
2.17
1.23
4.80
1.80
1.77
0.78
2.58
2.19
3.74
0.94
1.69
1.16
2.34
2.47
ctare for the World
14/15 15
4.34
7.05
2.92
3.40
0.20
1.70
0.97
4.80
3.00
6.69
4.67
1.72
1.34
2.45
3.14
2.83
2.17
1.33
4.81
1.82
1.80
0.79
2.58
2.23
3.71
0.95
1.71
1.22
2.36
2.48
d and Selected Cou
5/16 16/17
4.49 4.56
7.04 7.03
2.92 2.94
3.42 3.43
0.20 0.20
1.78 1.87
1.07 1.08
4.85 4.88
3.01 3.02
6.77 6.80
4.74 4.81
1.75 1.80
1.40 1.46
2.48 2.51
3.17 3.21
2.86 2.88
2.19 2.20
1.43 1.47
4.81 4.80
1.83 1.84
1.83 1.87
0.80 0.80
2.59 2.62
2.28 2.35
3.77 3.81
0.97 0.99
1.73 1.74
1.24 1.27
2.36 2.36
2.51 2.56
untries, 2013‐2023
17/18 18/
(Metric Tons p
4.63 4
7.04 7
2.97 3
3.46 3
0.20 0
1.91 2
1.08 1
4.92 4
3.04 3
6.83 6
4.88 4
1.85 1
1.50 1
2.54 2
3.26 3
2.91 2
2.22 2
1.51 1
4.81 4
1.84 1
1.93 1
0.81 0
2.64 2
2.41 2
3.78 3
1.01 1
1.76 1
1.31 1
2.36 2
2.62 2
/19 19/20
per Hectare)
4.67 4.71
7.05 7.05
3.00 3.02
3.48 3.49
0.20 0.20
2.00 2.06
1.09 1.08
4.95 4.99
3.05 3.07
6.86 6.88
4.94 5.01
1.89 1.94
1.54 1.58
2.58 2.60
3.29 3.31
2.93 2.96
2.23 2.24
1.55 1.59
4.80 4.80
1.85 1.86
1.98 2.02
0.82 0.83
2.66 2.69
2.47 2.54
3.73 3.75
1.03 1.04
1.78 1.80
1.34 1.37
2.37 2.37
2.67 2.71
20/21 21/
4.76 4.
7.07 7.
3.05 3.
3.50 3.
0.20 0.
2.12 2.
1.08 1.
5.01 5.
3.08 3.
6.94 7.
5.08 5.
1.96 2.
1.62 1.
2.63 2.
3.34 3.
2.98 3.
2.25 2.
1.63 1.
4.80 4.
1.86 1.
2.07 2.
0.84 0.
2.73 2.
2.59 2.
3.73 3.
1.05 1.
1.81 1.
1.41 1.
2.37 2.
2.77 2.
Page66
/22 22/23
.80 4.85
.10 7.11
.08 3.09
.51 3.52
.20 0.20
.17 2.23
.09 1.09
.04 5.07
.10 3.11
.00 7.06
.14 5.21
.00 2.04
.65 1.69
.66 2.67
.36 3.37
.01 3.03
.27 2.28
.67 1.71
.80 4.79
.87 1.87
.11 2.15
.85 0.85
.75 2.79
.65 2.71
.73 3.77
.07 1.09
.83 1.85
.44 1.48
.37 2.38
.83 2.88
23/24
4.89
7.11
3.12
3.53
0.20
2.27
1.09
5.10
3.12
7.12
5.25
2.08
1.72
2.74
3.39
3.06
2.29
1.75
4.79
1.87
2.17
0.86
2.82
2.77
3.79
1.11
1.87
1.51
2.39
2.93
Table 67
Senega
Sierra L
South K
Taiwan
Tanzan
Thailan
Turkey
United S
Urugua
Vietnam
Rest of
World
Table 68
Argent
Austra
Bangla
Brazil
Brunei
Cambo
Camer
Canad
People
Colom
Cote d
Egypt
Europe
Ghana
7 Projected Rice M
al
Leone
Korea
nia
d
States
ay
m
World
Projected Per Cap
tina
alia
adesh
i Darussalam
odia
roon
a
e's Republic of Chin
bia
d'Ivoire
ean Union‐27
a
Milled Yields Per He
3.38
1.25
5.02
4.14
1.04
1.88
4.89
6.02
5.63
3.54
2.30
2.95
ita Rice Utilization
13/14
10.4
15.5
221.4
39.9
115.1
251.5
34
10.2
na 98.9
32
92.1
49.8
6.7
35.7
ectare for the Wor
3.57
1.28
5.02
4.14
1.05
1.88
4.93
6.05
5.74
3.55
2.33
3.00
n for the World and
14/15 15
10.4
14.9
222.2 2
39.1
116.2 1
251.7
33.1
10.6
98.3
32.2
93
48.8
6.7
36.4
ld and Selected Co
3.76 3.97
1.32 1.37
5.03 5.04
4.14 4.14
1.07 1.09
1.90 1.92
4.99 5.05
6.08 6.11
5.79 5.87
3.58 3.60
2.34 2.36
3.03 3.06
d Selected Countri
5/16 16/17
10.4 10.4
14.8 14.6
24.4 225.2
39 39.1
17.5 117.7
252 252.3
33.5 33.4
11.7 12
98 97.5
32.9 34.6
91.5 91.2
48.4 48.6
6.7 6.7
37.2 38
ountries, 2013‐202
4.19 4
1.41 1
5.05 5
4.14 4
1.11 1
1.92 1
5.11 5
6.13 6
5.91 5
3.63 3
2.38 2
3.08 3
es, 2013‐2023
17/18 18/
(Kilogra
10.4 1
14.5 1
226.8 22
39 3
118.8 12
252.8 2
33.8 3
12.2 1
97.1 9
35.2 3
91.9 9
48.5 4
6.7
39.1 4
3, continued
4.42 4.62
1.45 1.50
5.05 5.05
4.15 4.15
1.13 1.15
1.94 1.96
5.17 5.23
6.15 6.17
5.96 6.00
3.66 3.69
2.40 2.42
3.11 3.13
/19 19/20
ams)
10.4 10.4
14.5 14.3
28.2 228.2
39.1 39.1
21.2 121.4
253 253.2
33.7 34.1
12.4 12.6
96.7 96.5
35.7 35.5
93.1 92.9
48.5 48.1
6.7 6.8
41.4 42.5
4.82 5.
1.54 1.
5.05 5.
4.16 4.
1.17 1.
1.97 1.
5.29 5.
6.20 6.
6.05 6.
3.72 3.
2.45 2.
3.16 3.
20/21 21/
10.4 10
14.2 14
228.1 228
39.1 39
122.8 123
254.2 255
35 34
12.7 12
96 95
35.1 34
93.4 95
48.1 47
6.8 6
43.6 44
Page67
.03 5.25
.59 1.64
.05 5.05
.18 4.21
.19 1.21
.97 1.97
.34 5.40
.23 6.25
.09 6.17
.75 3.78
.47 2.50
.18 3.20
/22 22/23
0.4 10.4
4.1 14.1
8.2 228.4
9.2 39.1
3.6 124.9
5.2 256.1
4.7 34.8
2.8 12.9
5.9 95.6
4.8 34.7
5.2 94.5
7.7 47.3
6.8 6.8
4.5 45.3
5.43
1.69
5.05
4.24
1.23
1.98
5.46
6.28
6.25
3.81
2.52
3.23
23/24
10.4
14.2
228.8
39.2
125.8
256.9
33.9
13.1
95.4
34.5
95.2
47.9
6.8
46.4
Table 68
Guinea
China ‐
India
Indone
Iran
Iraq
Japan
Kenya
Lao PD
Liberia
Malays
Mali
Mexico
Mozam
Myanm
Nigeria
Pakista
Philipp
Saudi A
Senega
Sierra
Singap
South
South
Taiwan
Tanzan
Thailan
Turkey
United
Urugua
Vietna
Rest of
World
8 Projected Per Ca
a
‐ Hong Kong
esia
DR
a
sia
o
mbique
mar (Burma)
a
an
pines
Arabia
al
Leone
pore
Africa
Korea
n
nia
nd
y
d States
ay
m
f World
pita Rice Utilizatio
132.1
60.8
75.9
160.1
43.6
44.7
64.1
11.3
226.5
97.1
94.2
100.1
7.1
28.9
165.4
34.9
14.4
130.9
43.9
111.9
184
66.8
18.4
92.1
55.4
24.5
159.7
10.4
12.1
26.7
225.4
22.6
66
on, World and Sele
132.9 1
61.2
76.2
159.4 1
43.8
44.2
63.7
11.4
226.9 2
100 1
94.2
101.4 1
7.2
26.7
164.1
34.1
14.8
130.7 1
44.5
111.1 1
185.8 1
65.9
18.1
90.9
54.9
25.4
158.4
10.4
12.5
25.3
224.2
22.5
65.8
ected Countries, 20
31.6 132.2
61.2 61.6
76.6 77
59.5 158.8
43.6 44.2
44.8 45.3
62.8 62.1
12.5 12.7
27.2 228.5
00.8 104.7
93.8 94.5
01.2 103
7.3 7.3
27.6 27.4
163 161.7
34.2 34
15 15.2
29.5 129
45.2 45.9
11.6 112.3
87.4 190.2
66.3 65.5
18.2 18.1
91.2 90.4
54.4 54
25.8 25.9
158 157.3
10.4 10.3
12.7 12.9
25.5 24.7
222 222.4
22.6 22.8
65.8 65.8
013‐2023, continue
132.7 1
61.8 6
77.5 7
158.5 15
44.2 4
45.9 4
61.8 6
13.2 1
228.8 22
106.3 1
94.6 9
104.1 10
7.4
27.5 2
161.4 16
33.9 3
15.2 1
128 12
46.3 4
112.8 11
191.3 19
64.8
18.2 1
90.1 8
53.2 5
26.2 2
157.1 15
10.4 1
13.2 1
24.4 2
221.5 22
23 2
65.7 6
ed
134 134.7
62.1 62.3
77.7 78.1
58.7 158.4
44.5 44.8
46.2 46.6
61.6 61.2
14.3 15
29.4 228.9
109 109.5
94.7 95.1
06.3 107.6
7.5 7.6
28.5 28.6
62.1 162.3
34.4 34.5
15.3 15.4
27.6 127
46.6 47
13.2 113.5
93.7 196.1
64 63.2
18.4 18.4
89.4 88.7
52.5 52.2
26.8 27
57.2 157.1
10.5 10.2
13.4 13.7
24.3 24
21.9 222.1
23.1 23.3
65.8 65.8
135.8 1
62.6 62
78.5 78
158.2 157
44.6 44
46.7 46
60.9 60
15.7 16
228.8 2
110.8 112
95.3 95
108.6 109
7.6 7
29.7 30
162.9 162
34.8
15.3 15
126.7 1
47.2 47
113.8 1
198.4 201
62.4 61
18.5 18
87.9 87
51.9 51
27.4
157.3 157
10.1 10
13.7 13
23.8 23
221.1 2
23.4 23
65.7 65
Page68
37 136.8
2.8 63
8.8 79.1
7.9 157.7
4.9 45.1
6.9 47.1
0.8 60.6
6.1 16.3
30 229.9
2.1 111.5
5.6 95.7
9.3 110.6
7.7 7.7
0.5 31.7
2.6 161.7
35 35.1
5.4 15.4
26 125.5
7.5 47.7
14 114.2
1.1 202.5
1.5 60.7
8.9 18.7
7.7 87.5
1.6 51.3
28 28.3
7.6 157.6
0.2 10.2
3.6 13.8
3.4 22.8
21 221.3
3.6 38
5.7 65.7
137.3
64.4
79.3
157.3
45
47.2
60.1
16.5
231.5
113.6
95.8
111.7
7.7
32
162.7
35.1
15.4
124.9
48
114.4
204.7
61.9
19.2
86.7
51
28.5
157.8
10.1
13.4
22.2
221.5
23.8
65.6
Est
Charts
90th P
Proba
imate
s of Sele
ercentile
ble Distr
s of th
cted Pri
es, the S
ribution
he Stoc
ce and T
Stochasti
s (100 O
chastic
Trade Va
ic Mean
Outcome
c Base
ariables S
, and the
es from R
eline A
Showing
e C.V. of
Random
Pa
Analysi
g the 10t
f Future
Draws)
age69
is
th and
Figure 17 St
Figure 18 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ection of Long
ection of U.S. L
Grain Rice Int
Long Grain Ric
ernational Ref
e FOB Export P
ference Price
Price.
Page70
Figure 19 St
Figure 20 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ection Compar
ection of Medi
risons of Intern
ium Grain Rice
national Refer
e Price, FOB Ca
rence and U.S.
alifornia.
Long Grain Rice Export Price
Page71
es.
Figure 21 St
Figure 22 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ection of U.S. S
ection of U.S. L
Season Averag
Long Grain Ave
ge All Rice Farm
erage Farm Pri
m Price.
ice.
Page72
Figure 23 St
Figure 24 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ection of U.S. M
ection of Worl
Medium Grain
d Rice Net Tra
n Average Farm
de.
m Price.
Page73
Figure 25 St
Figure 26 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ection of Worl
ection of Worl
d Rice Area Ha
d Rice Milled P
arvested.
Production.
Page74
Figure 27 St
Figure 28 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ection of Worl
ection of Worl
d Total Rice Co
d Rice Ending
onsumption.
Stocks.
Page75
Figure 29 St
Figure 30 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ections of Thai
ection of Thaila
iland Net Rice
and Rice Endin
Exports.
ng Stocks.
Page76
Figure 31 St
Figure 32 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ections of Viet
ections of India
nam Net Rice
a Net Rice Exp
Exports.
ports.
Page77
Figure 33 St
Figure 34 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ection of India
ections of U.S.
Rice Ending St
Net Rice Expo
tocks.
orts
Page78
Figure 35 St
Figure 36 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ections of Phili
ections of Indo
ippine Net Rice
onesia Net Rice
e Imports.
e Imports.
Page79
Figure 37 St
Figure 38 St
tochastic Proje
tochastic Proje
ections of Peop
ections of Nige
ple’s Republic
eria Net Rice Im
of China Net R
mports.
Rice Imports.
Page80
Figure 39 St
tochastic Proje
ections of ECO
WAS‐15 Net RRice Imports.
Page81
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