an equity perspective paul malan global markets 21 january 2004
TRANSCRIPT
An Equity PerspectivePaul MalanGlobal Markets21 January 2004
2
Global Markets
Discussion Points
1 UK Water Characteristics
2 Financing of Growth
3 UK Water in an International Context
3
Global Markets
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
'91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04
C.C. Op. Profit / Asset Value
90%
100%
110%
120%
130%
140%
150%
160%
Purchase Price /Asset Value
1. UK Water Characteristics
Asset Returns and Purchase Prices as a % of Asset Value
Sources: Ofwat publications, brokers reports, press releases, company releases and estimates.
4
Global Markets
2. Financing of Growth
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Est. AMP4 C.C. Op. Profits
Est. AMP4 Net Capex
Est. AMP4 Gross Capex
Est. Equity ('03)
Debt ('00 vs '03)
Asset Value ('03)
Selected Parameters relating to UK Water Growth (£ billion)
Sources: Ofwat publications, company reports press releases and estimates.
5
Global Markets
3. UK Water in an International Context
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
UK Water UK Electricity North AmericanEnergy
Australia Energy
Indicative Purchase Prices as a % of Asset Value
Sources: Brokers reports, company releases, press releases and estimates.
6
Global Markets
Conclusion
Tensions facing UK water suggest favourable outlook
Ongoing support required for a range of sources of finance
Attractive in an international context
7
Global Markets
Important Notice
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