an inconvenient reality
DESCRIPTION
AN INCONVENIENT REALITY. Workforce Preparation Challenges Facing Hawai`i October 5, 2007. Hawai`i’s Changing Economy. Major shifts in the world and U.S. economies have had a substantial impact in Hawai`i. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Workforce Preparation Challenges Facing Hawai`i
October 5, 2007
AN INCONVENIENT REALITY
Hawai`i’s Changing Economy
• Major shifts in the world and U.S. economies have had a substantial impact in Hawai`i.
• These shifts have had a dramatic affect on the type of jobs, the level of personal income, and the quality of life.
Hawai`i Employment by Industry - Hawai`i Employment by Industry - 19621962
Business services1%
Other services6%
Federal military23%
Insurance1%
Health services2%
Real estate2%
Hotel services2% Finance
2%
Retail12%
Communication1%
Wholesale5%
Utilities1%
Transportation4%
Manufacturing10%
Construction6%
Agriculture
5%
County government3%
State government6%
Federal civilian10%
Source: P. Brewbaker, BOH, Aug. 02
State and County Government
10%
Federal Civilian3%
Federal Military6%
Other services9%
Business Services13%
Hotel Services8%
Health Services8%
Real Estate5%
Finance3%
Communication1%
Transportation 4%
Utilities>1%
Retail13%
Wholesale3%
Manufacturing2%
Construction5%
Agriculture,2%
Hawai`i Employment by Industry - 2006
We Have Developing Opportunities, Will We Have the
Workforce?
The Worker Supply Gap
An Insufficient Number of Qualified Workers
Average Annual Openings
SOC Job ClusterDue to Growth
Due to Separations Total
Sales and related occupations 1,199 3,109 4,308
Food preparation and serving related occupations 428 3,180 3,608
Office and administrative support occupations 101 3,125 3,226
Building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations 883 982 1,865
Management occupations 650 967 1,618
Personal care and service occupations 806 759 1,565
Education, training, and library occupations 560 923 1,484
Transportation and material moving occupations 268 1,142 1,410
Production occupations 281 952 1,234
Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations 411 582 994
Business and financial operations occupations 352 607 960
Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations 272 687 959
Construction and extraction occupations 87 763 851
Military Occupations (494) 1,322 828
Protective service occupations 128 685 814
Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations 300 384 684
Healthcare support occupations 335 269 604
Community and social services occupations 267 247 514
Computer and mathematical science occupations 217 164 381
Life, physical, and social science occupations 89 194 283
Architecture and engineering occupations 33 248 281
Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations (2) 80 78
Legal occupations (4) 72 68
Total Jobs 7,169 21,446 28,615
We Need to Fill 28,000 Jobs Annually
Source: EMSI June 2007
Average Annual Openings
SOC Job ClusterDue to Growth
Due to Separations Total
Sales and related occupations 1,199 3,109 4,308
Food preparation and serving related occupations 428 3,180 3,608
Office and administrative support occupations 101 3,125 3,226
Building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations 883 982 1,865
Management occupations 650 967 1,618
Personal care and service occupations 806 759 1,565
Education, training, and library occupations 560 923 1,484
Transportation and material moving occupations 268 1,142 1,410
Production occupations 281 952 1,234
Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations 411 582 994
Business and financial operations occupations 352 607 960
Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations 272 687 959
Construction and extraction occupations 87 763 851
Military Occupations (494) 1,322 828
Protective service occupations 128 685 814
Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations 300 384 684
Healthcare support occupations 335 269 604
Community and social services occupations 267 247 514
Computer and mathematical science occupations 217 164 381
Life, physical, and social science occupations 89 194 283
Architecture and engineering occupations 33 248 281
Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations (2) 80 78
Legal occupations (4) 72 68
Total Jobs 7,169 21,446 28,615
Source: EMSI June 2007
Most Require Education Beyond HS
Source: EMSI June 2007
Hawaii’s Growing Innovation Sector
Description2006 Jobs 2017 Jobs
New Jobs
Replacement Jobs
Annual Jobs to
FillComputer and mathematical science occupations 11,995 14,386 2,392 1,798 381 Architecture and engineering occupations 11,781 12,143 363 2,732 281 Life, physical, and social science occupations 8,126 9,104 981 2,138 284 Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations 2,627 3,123 495 597 99 Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations 31,251 35,774 4,520 6,406 993 Healthcare support occupations 16,509 20,190 3,679 2,962 604
TOTAL 82,290 94,719 12,430 16,632 2,642
STEM Jobs Comprise nearly 10% of the Total Jobs in the State
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
American Indian/Alaskan Native (33 to 48)Black (177 to 126)Hispanic (441 to 413)
White (1,917 to 1,125)Asian/Pacific Islander (7,534 to 7,516)
Source: WICHE High School Graduate Projections
HS Graduates Supply Less Than 1/2 of the 28,000 Annual Jobs to Fill
We Need to be Ready to Replace Skilled People in Critical Jobs
0.7
1.9
2.8
4.2
5.1
8.3
8.1
14.7
11.5
13.6
0.7
1.5
1.6
2.8
4.0
4.9
5.5
7.9
11.5
12.0
15.2
1.3
0 4 8 12 16
Life, Physical & Social Science
Community & Social Services
Healthcare Support
Computer, Math., Architecture & Engineering
Healthcare Practitioners & Technical
Construction & Extraction
Education, Training & Library
Management, Business & Financial Operation
Production, Installation, Maintenance & Repair
Sales & Related
Office & Administrative Support
Percent
Entire Workforce
Age 55-64
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5%PUMS Files
Homes on O‘ahu—Beyond Affordable
Source: The Honolulu Advertiser, University of Hawaii economist Carl Bonham
We can no longer depend on an imported workforce.
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Median single-family home price on O'ahu
Affordable price*
* Price of an affordable home based on state’s median household income,
average mortgage rate, and a 30-year mortgage with 20% down.
** Projected
$356,100
$128,400
$591,300**
$369,400**
**
607
-5,778
-11,761
-1,787
-1,962
603
-20,078
-25,000 -20,000 -15,000 -10,000 -5,000 0 5,000
806
1,151
-2,132
-819
2,108
1,187
2,301
-3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000
We are Exporting the Experienced Core of Our Workforce
Hawaii Net Migration by Degree Level and Age Group
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files
22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds
Less than High School
High School
Some College
Associate
Bachelor’s
Graduate/Professional
Total
We Can Expect Continued Difficulty in Filling Job Vacancies Well Into the
FutureProjected Change in Population by Age Group, 2000 to 2020
Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Projections
36,953
16,383
25,457
-33,085
-20,697
71,899
103,926
-40,000
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
Age: <15 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Unemployment Rates—Hawaii and U.S., 1995-2006
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
2.6
5.9
5.64.6
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2006
Year (or Quarter)
Rate
Hawaii U.S.
We Need to Increase the Rate of Participation in the Workforce
Percent of Civilian Population Participating in the Workforce, 2004
64.7
66.0
54.7
74.6
0
25
50
75
Min
neso
taN
ebra
ska
Sou
th D
akota
Colo
rado
North
Dako
taW
isconsin
Kan
sas
Wyo
min
gA
lask
aN
ew
Ham
psh
ireU
tah
Verm
on
tIo
wa
Maryla
nd
Misso
uri
I daho
Wash
ingto
nM
assa
chu
setts
Georg
iaV
irgin
iaTexa
sIn
dia
na
Nevada
Oh
ioM
on
tana
Rhode I sla
nd
Connecticu
tD
elaw
are
I llinois
Ore
gon
Main
eM
ichig
an
Un
ited S
tate
sN
orth
Caro
lina
New
Jerse
yC
aliforn
iaA
rizon
aS
ou
th C
aro
lina
Haw
aii
Pennsylv
ania
Okla
hom
aN
ew
Mexico
Tenn
essee
New
York
Ala
bam
aA
rkan
sas
Florid
aK
en
tuck
yM
ississippi
Louisian
aW
est V
irgin
ia
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Hawaii = 64.7%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
66.6% to 66.9%60.6% to 66.6%58.0% to 60.6%39.4% to 58.0%
Hawaii
Maui
HonoluluKauai
Percent of Population Age 16 and Older Participating in the Workforce, 2004
An Individual’s Level of Education is Directly Related to Their Ability to Participate in the
Workforce
Hawaii Civilians Age 25-64 in the Workforce by Education Attainment, 2005
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS PUMS File
Less than High School
High School Diploma or GED
Some College, No Degree
Associate Degree
Bachelor's Degree
Graduate or Professional Degree
In Civilian Workforce Not in Civilian Workforce
Number Percent Number Percent
34,623 63.8 19,658 36.2
144,239 75.4 46,967 24.6
104,974 78.1 29,469 21.9
55,994 81.1 13,074 18.9
111,765 83.9 21,485 16.1
53,100 84.5 9,724 15.5
The Worker Preparation Gap
An Insufficient Number of People with Needed Skills
A Lack of Investment Has Resulted in Shortages in Critical Fields
Number of 2-Year Degrees and Certificates in Health Sciences Awarded (2003) Per 100 HS Graduates Three Years Earlier, 2000
Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions 2002-03; WICHE High School Graduates, 2000
17.4 16.5
12.6
12.6
12.4
10.4
10.3
10.0
9.9
9.8 9.3
9.3
9.3
9.3 9.1 8.8 8.3
8.2 8.0 7.7
7.6 7.3
7.3 7.1
7.1
7.0 6.8
6.7 6.3
6.2 6.0
5.9
5.9
5.8
5.8 5.6
5.5
5.5
4.5 4.3
4.3
4.2 3.9 3.7
3.7
3.6
3.6 3.3 3.1 2.6 2.1
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
ArizonaW
isconsinKansasColoradoFloridaNorth CarolinaLouisianaKentuckyIowaG
eorgiaSouth CarolinaIllinoisW
ashingtonM
ississippiM
innesotaVirginiaTennesseeAlabam
aArkansasSouth DakotaIndianaUtahUnited StatesIdahoM
issouriNew M
exicoW
est VirginiaW
yoming
Oregon
DelawareCaliforniaNew Ham
pshireNevadaM
ichiganNebraskaO
hioTexasM
aineM
assachusettsNew YorkPennsylvaniaNorth DakotaRhode IslandO
klahoma
Montana
Vermont
HawaiiM
arylandAlaskaConnecticutNew Jersey
Number of 4-Year Degrees in Health Sciences Awarded (2003) Per 100 High School Graduates Six Years Earlier, 2000
Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions 2002-03; WICHE High School Graduates 1997
7.4
5.1
4.7 4.6
4.2 4.0 3.8
3.8
3.8 3.7 3.6
3.6 3.5 3.4
3.4 3.3 3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2 3.1
3.1 3.0
3.0
3.0 2.9 2.7
2.7
2.7 2.6
2.6
2.6 2.5
2.5
2.5
2.5 2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4 2.3
2.3
2.3 2.2 2.1
2.1 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.4 1.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
North DakotaNebraskaDelawareSouth DakotaLouisianaM
aineM
issouriW
est VirginiaArkansasAlabam
aKansasPennsylvaniaIndianaRhode IslandM
assachusettsNorth CarolinaNew YorkM
ississippiIdahoNew Ham
pshireFloridaM
ichiganW
isconsinUtahConnecticutVirginiaUnited StatesO
hioTennesseeG
eorgiaHawaiiIllinoisM
arylandIowaO
regonKentuckyNew M
exicoO
klahoma
ArizonaM
ontanaColoradoNevadaTexasM
innesotaW
ashingtonSouth CarolinaVerm
ontW
yoming
AlaskaCaliforniaNew Jersey
Number of 4-Year Degrees Awarded (2003) Per 100 High School Graduates Six Years Earlier, 2000
2.5
4.1
8.1
0.2
0
3
6
9
Dela
ware
North
Dako
taR
hod
e Isla
nd
India
na
Iow
aA
labam
aN
ebra
ska
Mississip
pi
Arizo
na
Monta
naS
outh
Dako
taU
tah
Kansas
Neva
da
Okla
hom
aW
est V
irgin
iaId
aho
Pennsy
lvania
Missou
riM
inneso
taN
ew
Mexico
Ohio
I llinois
New
York
Mich
igan
Ark
ansa
sG
eorg
iaLo
uisia
na
Kentu
cky
Flo
rida
Main
eW
isconsin
South
Caro
lina
North
Caro
lina
Wyom
ing
Unite
d S
tate
sN
ew
Ham
psh
ireV
erm
ont
Massa
chuse
ttsTennesse
eM
ary
land
Wash
ington
Haw
aiiN
ew
J ersey
Ala
skaC
onnecticu
tO
regon
Virg
iniaTexa
sC
alifo
rniaC
olo
rado
Source: NCES-IPEDS Completions 2002-03; WICHE High School Graduates, 1997
As Experienced Workers Leave the Workforce, We Need to Get More Incumbent Workers to
Enroll in Further Education
Part-Time Undergraduate Enrollment as a % of Population Age 25-44, 2000
0
3
6
9
12
10.8
6.2
3.3
Arizona
California
Utah
New
Mexico
Kansas
Alaska
Wyom
ingN
evadaIllinoisO
regonM
ichiganN
ebraskaC
oloradoF
loridaM
issouriW
ashingtonR
hode IslandW
isconsinU
nited States
Maryland
Texas
Minnesota
Virginia
Iowa
Oklahom
aD
elaware
Maine
North C
arolinaH
awaii
Massachusetts
Alabam
aC
onnecticutIdahoO
hioS
outh Dakota
Verm
ontIndianaS
outh Carolina
New
Ham
pshireN
ew Jersey
Tennessee
Arkansas
New
York
Kentucky
Georgia
LouisianaM
ississippiN
orth Dakota
West V
irginiaP
ennsylvaniaM
ontana
Source: NCES-IPEDS, U.S. Census Bureau
5.2
Education Pipeline Performance
An Insufficient Number of Individuals Prepared for Further Education or Training
Key Transition Points in the Education to Work Pipeline
• Complete High School
• Enter College
• Finish College
• Enter the Workplace
Student Pipeline—200491
57
42
28
70
39
27
18
65
33
21
13
0
20
40
60
80
100
Graduate fromHigh School
Enter College Still EnrolledSophomore Year
Graduate Within150% Time
Best Performing State U.S. Average Hawaii
Of 100 9th Graders, How Many…
Source: NCES Common Core Data, NCES IPEDS 2004 Residence and Migration Survey, NCEC IPEDS 2004 Fall Enrollment Survey and Graduation Rate Survey
Fall 2006 Recent High School Graduates COMPASS Test Takers
13.229.9
53.240.6
31.8
28.146.2 38.3
18.7
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Reading Writing Math
Basic Skills Develomental Transfer
UH Community Colleges’ UH Community Colleges’ Entering Student PlacementEntering Student Placement
HAWAII
Hawaii’s underperformance in educating its young population could limit the state’s access to a competitive workforce and weaken its economy over time. As the well-educated baby boomer generation begins to retire, the young population that will replace it does not appear prepared educationally to maintain or enhance the state’s position in a global economy.
Hawaii continues to fall behind in graduating 9th graders from high school within four years and enrolling them in college by age 19—and these rates have dropped by double digits since the early 1990s.
PREPARATION
HAWAIITop
States 20061992 2006
High School Completion
18- to 24-year olds with a high school credential 94% 94% 94%
K-12 Student Achievement
8th graders scoring at or above "proficient' on the national assessment exam
in math 14% 18% 38%
in reading 19% 15% 38%
in science 15% 18% 41%
in writing 15% 18% 41%
Low-income 8th graders scoring at or above "proficient' on the national assessment exam
7% 7% 22%
Source: The National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education
PREPARATION
HAWAIITop
States 20061992 2006
High School Completion
18- to 24-year olds with a high school credential 94% 94% 94%
K-12 Student Achievement
8th graders scoring at or above "proficient' on the national assessment exam
in math 14% 18% 38%
in reading 19% 15% 38%
in science 15% 18% 41%
in writing 15% 18% 41%
Low-income 8th graders scoring at or above "proficient' on the national assessment exam
7% 7% 22%
Source: The National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education
• Eighth graders in Hawaii perform very poorly on national assessments in math, science, reading, and writing, indicating that they are not well prepared to succeed in challenging high school courses. Hawaii is among the lowest-performing states in science and reading.
• Low-income 8th graders perform very poorly on national assessments in math.
• We are a top state when we measure rate of HS graduation.
• We are far behind, however, when we look at actual student performance in skills critical to success in post-secondary education and the new jobs in our economy.
• Despite improvement, Hawaii lags many other states in preparing students to succeed in college.
To Sum Up
There are consequences.
• Hawaii is almost 30 percentage points below the national benchmark in workforce preparation as reflected in professional licensure examinations.
• Hawaii also ranks more than 35 percentage points below the national benchmark in preparing students for graduate study.
• Hawaii is about 15% below the national benchmark with respect to pass rates on the state’s teacher examinations.
HAWAII CHALLENGE: Raise Achievement and Close GapsHawaii Education SummitAugust, 2007
Let’s take a closer look at our 15 year olds.
2003: U.S. Ranked 24th out of 29 OECD Countries in Mathematics
300
350
400
450
500
550
Fin
lan
dK
ore
aN
eth
erla
nds
Japa
nC
ana
daB
elgi
um
Sw
itzer
land
New
Ze
ala
ndA
ustr
alia
Cze
ch R
epu
blic
Icel
and
Den
mar
kF
ranc
eS
wed
en
Aus
tria
Ger
man
yIr
ela
ndO
EC
D A
vera
geS
lova
ck R
epu
blic
Nor
way
Luxe
mbo
urg
Pol
and
Hun
gar
yS
pain
Uni
ted
Sta
tes
Por
tuga
l
Italy
Gre
ece
Tu
rkey
Mex
ico
Ave
rag
e S
cale
Sco
re
Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results , data available at http://www.oecd.org/
Problems are not limited to our high-poverty and high-minority schools . . .
U.S. Ranks Low in the Percent of Students in the Highest Achievement Level (Level 6) in Math
0
2
4
6
8
10
Bel
giu
m
Kor
ea
Japa
nF
inla
nd
Net
her
land
sN
ew Z
eal
and
Sw
itzer
land
Aus
tral
iaC
ana
daC
zech
Re
pub
licIc
ela
ndD
enm
ark
Sw
ede
nO
EC
D A
vera
geA
ustr
iaG
erm
any
Fra
nce
Slo
vak
Rep
ublic
Nor
way
Ire
land
Pol
and
Luxe
mbo
urg
Hun
gar
yU
nite
d S
tate
s
Italy
Tu
rkey
Spa
inP
ortu
gal
Gre
ece
Mex
ico
Per
cen
t o
f S
tud
ents
Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at http://www.oecd.org/
U.S. Ranks 23rd out of 29 OECD Countries in the Math Achievement of the Highest-Performing Students*
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
Bel
giu
mJa
pan
Kor
ea
Sw
itzer
land
Net
her
land
sN
ew Z
eal
and
Fin
lan
dA
ustr
alia
Can
ada
Cze
ch R
epu
blic
Den
mar
kS
wed
en
Ger
man
yO
EC
D A
VE
RA
GE
Aus
tria
Icel
and
Fra
nce
Slo
vak
Rep
ublic
Nor
way
Hun
gar
yLu
xem
bour
gIr
ela
ndP
olan
dU
nite
d S
tate
sS
pain
Italy
Tu
rkey
Por
tuga
lG
reec
eM
exic
o
Ave
rag
e S
cale
Sco
re
* Students at the 95th PercentileSource: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results , data available at http://www.oecd.org/
U.S. Ranks 23rd out of 29OECD Countries in the Math Achievement of High-SES Students
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
Bel
giu
mN
eth
erla
nds
Fin
lan
dC
zech
Re
pub
licC
ana
daJa
pan
Kor
ea
Sw
itzer
land
Aus
tral
iaG
erm
any
New
Ze
ala
ndF
ranc
eD
enm
ark
Sw
ede
nA
ustr
iaH
ung
ary
OE
CD
AV
ER
AG
ES
lova
k R
epub
licLu
xem
bour
gIr
ela
ndIc
ela
ndP
olan
dN
orw
ayU
nite
d S
tate
sS
pain
Por
tuga
lIta
lyG
reec
eT
urk
eyM
exic
o
Ave
rag
e S
cale
Sco
re
Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), PISA 2003 Results, data available at http://www.oecd.org/
Problems not limited to math, either.
PISA 2003: Problem-Solving, US Ranks 24th Out of 29 OECD Countries
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
Kor
ea
Fin
lan
dJa
pan
New
Ze
ala
ndA
ustr
alia
Can
ada
Bel
giu
mS
witz
erla
ndN
eth
erla
nds
Fra
nce
Den
mar
kC
zech
Re
pub
licG
erm
any
Sw
ede
nA
ustr
iaIc
ela
ndH
ung
ary
OE
CD
Ave
rage
Ire
land
Luxe
mbo
urg
Slo
vak
Rep
ublic
Nor
way
Pol
and
Spa
inU
nite
d S
tate
sP
ortu
gal
Italy
Gre
ece
Tu
rkey
Mex
ico
Ave
rag
e S
cale
Sco
re
Source: NCES, 2005, International Outcomes of Learning in Mathematics, Literacy and Problem Solving: 2003 PISA Results.NCES 2005-003
More than half of our 15 year olds at problem-solving level 1 or below.
Source: OECD Problem Solving for Tomorrow’s World. 2004
Where is Hawaiiin All of This?
Hawaii: State Math Results Grade 4, 2007
12 2137
834 40
13
17
30
34
21
3132
25
31
29
18
31
24 20
31
3921 12
40
12 932
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Chines
e
Filipin
o
Haw
aiian
Japan
ese
Part H
aw.
Samoa
n
White
ExceedsMeetsApproachesWell Below
Hawaii: State Math Results Grade 8, 2007
23
5065
25
6171
37
23
25
21
23
2517
2830
1712
29
12 11
2525
8 123
3 1 11
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Chines
e
Filipin
o
Haw
aiian
Japan
ese
Part H
aw.
Samoa
n
White
ExceedsMeetsApproachesWell Below
Hawaii 10th Grade Math: Students “Well Below”
Percent Number
Chinese 24% 99
Filipino 47% 1,352
Hawaiian 70% 349
Japanese 24% 326
Part Haw. 64% 1,667
Samoan 72% 292
White 35% 539
Loss at the Top: Math
Exceeds in Grade 4
Exceeds in Grade 8
Exceeds in Grade 10
Hawaiian
12% 1% 2%
Part Hawaiian
12% 3% 4%
Samoan 9% 1% 2%
Hawaii Students on National Assessments?
Hawaii: NAEP 8th Grade Math 2005
44
37
18
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Prof/AdvBasicBelow Basic
Hawaii: NAEP 8th Grade Math 2005
60
33
33
41
726
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Poor Non-Poor
Prof/AdvBasicBelow Basic
8th Grade Math: NAEPFewer Students Below Basic, More Proficient
1218
60
44
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1990 2005 1990 2005
Prof/Advanced
Below Basic
Relative to Other States?
NAEP 2005 Grade 8 Math, Overall Scale Scores
235
245
255
265
275
285
295
Mas
sach
uset
tsN
orth
Dak
ota
Ver
mon
tN
ew H
amps
hire
Wis
cons
inK
ansa
sN
ew J
erse
yO
hio
Nor
th C
arol
ina
Wyo
min
gC
onne
ctic
utId
aho
Pen
nsyl
vani
aTe
xas
Ala
ska
Nat
iona
l Pub
licM
aryl
and
Mis
sour
iFl
orid
aA
rkan
sas
Rho
de Is
land
Tenn
esse
eC
alifo
rnia
Loui
sian
aN
ew M
exic
oM
issi
ssip
pi
Ave
rag
e S
cale
Sco
re
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde
NAEP 2005 Grade 8 Math, Low-Income Scale Scores
235
245
255
265
275
285
295
Sou
th D
akot
aM
assa
chus
etts
Mon
tana
Wyo
min
gK
ansa
sO
rego
nM
aine
Indi
ana
Texa
sN
ew Y
ork
Nor
th C
arol
ina
Ohi
oK
entu
cky
Wis
cons
inN
ew J
erse
yN
atio
nal P
ublic
Ariz
ona
Flor
ida
Wes
t Virg
inia
Loui
sian
aM
ichi
gan
Nev
ada
Con
nect
icut
New
Mex
ico
Rho
de Is
land
Ala
bam
a
Ave
rag
e S
cale
Sco
re
Source: National Center for Education Statistics, NAEP Data Explorer, http://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde
Education “Pipeline” in Hawaii
K-12 UH System
East Asian
14% 21%
White 15% 21%
Hawaiian 27% 14%
Samoan 4% 3%
Filipino 21% 13%
Note: Enrollment data for 2- and 4- year colleges do not sum to 100 because each includes large number of students who self-identify as “other”, 13% in 2-year colleges and 38% in 4-year colleges.
Hawaii Postsecondary vs. Leading States
Hawaii Top Five States
HS Freshmen enrolling in college 4 years later
32% 53%
Community College Freshmen Returning
51% 62%
Freshmen in 4 Year Colleges Returning
72% 82%
Freshmen Obtaining BA in 6 years
43% 67%
Differences in College Attainment (Associate and Higher) by Age Group
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census
Age 25-34 Age 45-64
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%
Massachusetts
Minnesota
North DakotaConnecticutColoradoNew YorkNew JerseyVerm
ontNew Ham
pshireM
arylandNebraskaIllinoisVirginiaIowaRhode IslandSouth DakotaW
isconsinW
ashingtonPennsylvaniaKansasDelawareH
awaii
UtahU
nited StatesM
ontanaM
ichiganNorth CarolinaG
eorgiaO
hioM
issouriO
regonW
yoming
CaliforniaFloridaM
aineIndianaIdahoSouth CarolinaArizonaTexasAlabam
aTennesseeAlaskaO
klahoma
KentuckyNew M
exicoM
ississippiLouisianaW
est VirginiaArkansasNevada
60
Differences in College Attainment (Assoc. and Higher) by Age Group—Hawaii, U.S. and Leading OECD Countries, 2004
53.3
51.6 49.1
42.3
40.7
40.4
39.2
39.0 36.4
47.0 45.1
33.5
35.7 32.3 28.9
34.1
39.4
38.5
41.4
32.7
16.4
32.9
25.2 21.5
29.4
40.7
42.8
34.5
19.2
9.7
27.3
20.0 15.7
23.2
36.2 34.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Canada Japan Korea Sweden Belgium Ireland Norway U.S. Hawaii
Age 25-34 Age 35-44 Age 45-54 Age 55-64
Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2005
THE BOTTOM LINE: THE BOTTOM LINE: WE NEED BETTER OUTCOMESWE NEED BETTER OUTCOMES
• We are falling behind other states in the U.S. and competitors in the Pacific region in the education of our future workforce.
David Heenan – Flight Capital (2005)
• Know Thy Competition• Adapt – or Die• Spur Immigration
Reform• Dust off the Welcome
Mat• Target the Best Minds• Encourage Dual
Loyalties
• Reform – Really Reform – Public Education
• Nourish the Halls of Ivy
• Celebrate Science and Technology
• Expand the Workforce• Reconsider National
Service• Act Now
Confronting the Future
• We won't lose by taking bold action. But we will probably be hurt badly if we're too slow to prevent the worst-case scenario.
• Hawai'i needs no outside permission. The next generation will thank us. Let's get on with it.
Mike Fitzgerald, President and CEO of Enterprise Honolulu
(Honolulu Advertiser, July 17, 2007)
