an introduction to land economics
TRANSCRIPT
CHAPTER 1: TOWN AND URBAN GROWTH
The definition of town can be from different perspectives but overall it has the same
concept. Town is a place where it is the focus of inhabitants and economic activities.
Some researchers have defined town based on the physical aspects only, while others
have defined it based on society’s characteristics. Most of the time, town can be defined
based on the size of its inhabitants. For example, in Malaysia a settlement with a
minimum of 10,000 people can be considered as a town. The basis of town definition is
crucial as it can influence the definition of township and town growth nationwide.
However, the minimum total of inhabitants is only a general guideline in determining
whether the settlement is a town. In reality, it is often that the term town is defined with
the help of other criteria such as population density, percentage of residents not working
in the agricultural sector of at least 75%, amenities provided, legal administration and
business administration.
Compared to the context of rural area, town is the centre of distribution of specialised
human resources in non-agricultural economic activities. However, the town growth
process depends on the trade with rural areas where their economy is mainly on
agricultural output. Excess of agricultural output from the rural areas is important in
maintaining a two-way relationship and as a catalyst for town growth.
Town Concept
According to W. Lean and B. Goodall in their book “Aspects of Land Economics”, town
concept is referred from the aspects of physical, demography, human life and social
characteristics, elements of concentration of work place and economic activities carried
out. Physical factors here means the physical environment such as river, valley, hill and
others as well as minerals in it. History shows that river played an important role in the
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civilisation of a race and a country’s development. World major towns in the past had a
close relation to the river such as the Ganges River in India, Nile River in Egypt and
Thames River in London.
In his writing “A Bibliography of the Urban Community”, Louis Wirth defined town as a
settlement that is relatively large, crowded and permanent where people from different
backgrounds live.
As an area becomes the focus point of many, the number of its population will rise and
various economic activities will happen. The existence of this settlement will turn into a
town, which is more permanent compared to a rural area. Rural areas are less permanent
due to the inclination of its inhabitants to move to a better area. The town will be
enriched with various customs, cultures and lifestyles due to its residents of many races
and will thus create a variety of economic activities and different levels of income.
In a research by Phillips M. Houser – “The Study of Urbanisation”, a town is defined as a
grouping of a certain size of population within an area. A town definition is focused on
concentration and collection of inhabitants at a specific rate which varies from one town
to another.
The minimum point of measurement for the population density is different from one
country to another. For instance in Denmark, a settlement with a population of more than
250 people is considered as a town whereas in Japan is 30,000 people, France 2,000
people and Malaysia 10,000 people (Census Report 1970). The most important concept
emphasised here is that the town has a specific population and it will grow from time to
time.
From the economics perspective, town growth happens when a community from the
town’s society has shown an increase in the capacity to produce goods and services. This
means that the town’s society has reached a level in development where agricultural land
usage has shifted to industrial and commercial usage.
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In truth, from the beginning, town concept depends wholly on economic power. For
example, the effectiveness use of earth natural resources cannot be separated from the
inhabitants’ concentration and wealth. With the existence of specialised human resources,
a town can be progressive and its productivity will increase.
Furthermore, town growth also depends on trade specialisation in the town and rural
areas. It covers all sectors from agriculture to industrial and so on. This trade requires
excess in output of goods so that exchange of goods is possible.
With these resources of economic power, the town growth will progress and the output of
goods will increase if it is undertaken correctly and properly.
In conclusion, it is clear that town growth is changes in the number of people living in a
town whereas urbanisation is the ratio or percentage of a country’s total population that
lives in urban areas.
History of Early Cities
Cities have long existed since the Neolithic revolution around 8000 B.C. Most of the
earliest human settlement started at river valleys in Central Asia. After at first being
active in hunting activities only, man now has started to dabble in breeding and
agriculture. This newly developed lifestyle is known as Neolithic Revolution that shows
early characteristics of human civilization such as grains production, animals breeding,
invention of the ploughing tools, and invention of wheel for movement purpose.
With these developments, there was an increase in food production and thus villages
developed into towns and small cities. The most important factor during that period was
the surplus of food production. The surplus occured after there was a specialisation
factor, which then became an important factor to design various sectors in town
economy. The surplus had its implication where it freed some people from agricultural
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work. This also means that there was an increase in production of non-agricultural goods,
which became the basis of city life.
This rapid and intensive development had created large cities with elements of social
class. It is estimated that these cities had a population of between 20,000 and 30,000
people. The next city development involved modernisation in agriculture. This
Agricultural Revolution recreated the city into a huge central market due to an increase of
food production.
The Modern Age showed the starting of the capitalist system in trade creating large
powerful colonies such as London, Paris and Amsterdam. During that period, the
development of science and technology also helped in the growth of cities.
The Industrial revolution and society revolution, which happened in France, Germany,
England and America had encouraged rapid urbanisation process due to the following
factors:
1. Industrial advancement such as, the discovery of steam engine, hydro and wind
power, use of fuel to move machineries and the process of changing land use from
agriculture to industrial and trading.
2. Agricultural advancement such as technological advancement and the discovery
of trade and service technique in obtaining food supply from rural areas.
3. Changes in society where city life was desired and this was followed with
migration to Conurbations and Megalopolis.
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Factors encouraging Urban Growth
Urban growth happens due to technological development, migration of residents, and the
development in economic activities from surplus production due to specialisation.
In general, urban growth in this country is influenced by factors below:
1. Migration and development of various economic activities
2. The history of how a city emerge and its development
3. Location factor that determines the growth pattern of a city suitable to be turned
into a city or a business area
4. Organisational, institutional and business facilities such as shopping complexes
5. Beneficial natural resources in an area
6. Good and suitable climatic factor; and
7. Good and strategic communication system that will speed up the city’s
development and growth
Urbanisation Concept
Town exist through a process called urbanisation. It is a changing process in different
aspects such as people, settlement, lifestyles, jobs and economic activities, human
thinking and others, which can create a town.
However, an urbanisation process is also influenced by other factors, such as agricultural
products, mining activities, strategic location, and political stability.
Kingsley Davis (1972) an expert in population studies defined urbanisation as a process
of people concentrating in an area considered as a town. It can be measured by comparing
the percentage of people living in the urban areas with the rural areas in a region, country
or other area units. Through this, the degree of urbanisation in area can be determined.
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R. M Hanson and C. F Schnore in their book entitled “The Study of Urbanisation” stated
that town development or urbanisation depends upon 4 items which are size and total
population, human knowledge of controlling the environment, technology development
and social development.
Urbanisation can also be defined as a process where the shape of society changes from
rural (informal) to town (formal). This is the difference between the rural society and the
town society.
Based on research in population, the major characteristics of an urbanisation process is
the large-scale movement of people from the rural areas to the cities. This process has
resulted in the followings:
1. Change of job ( from rural to city)
2. Change in lifestyle, way of thinking and so on
3. Change of land use from agricultural land, forest or neglected land to housing,
commercial and office buildings, school, hospital, roads and others
4. Change of distribution of population to a higher density
5. Change in society heading towards a more modern one
History of Urbanisation
According to western researchers, urbanisation process was slow prior to 1800. During
that period, cities were moderate centres of administration and business. Facilities such as
modern transportation that can create large cities were non-existent and well-known cities
did not have a population as large as today.
After 1800, rapid urbanisation process happened in Europe and America, as there was a
surplus in agricultural products, better transportation system, political stability and the
emergence of high technology industry. Therefore, there was a greater increase of people
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living in the cities than the increase of people in the world as a whole. It was found that
between 1800 and 1960, the world population has increased 3 times but the city
population with a total of more than 20,000 has increased 40 times while a city that has a
population between 20,000 and 100,000 has increased 90 times. Simultaneously, a city
with a population of more than a 100,000 has increased 60 times.
Urbanisation in Malaysia can be observed from the historical context of the Malaysian
Government before the year 1800. There were a few small towns in Malaysia located at
the mouth of the rivers, which was the King’s central administration. For example,
Malacca was a famous city back then and it was a major trade centre. From there
onwards, Malacca has gone through an urbanisation process and is still going through the
development progress to this present day.
Factors Encouraging Malaysia’s Urbanisation Process
Urbanisation process in Malaysia and other South-Eastern Asian countries are influenced
more by political and social factors compared to economic factors.
Factors that influence the urbanisation process in Malaysia are as follows:
1. Production Activities Based on Local Resources
Products made of newly found mineral and plants such as tin ore and rubber were
produced in a large-scale. These large-scale outputs have created a need to have a
central place for collection, storage and management purpose as well as for
workers residence. Upon the establishment of these centres, a town would emerge
nearby its output area. Examples of towns in Malaysia that have emerged through
this way are Kuala Lumpur, Taiping, Ipoh and Seremban. However, these towns
are located in the inland areas and therefore a port was required in order to market
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the tin ore and rubber products. This need has thus created towns by the sea such
as Port Weld and Port Klang.
2. Migration of People from Rural Areas to Town Areas
Migration of people from rural areas to town areas has started from the period of
the first ten years after the World War 2. The main reason for the migration was
the significant poverty in the rural areas due to scarcity of land and
overpopulation. Furthermore, the unproductive agricultural activities were not
enough to support a large population and this has resulted in unemployment.
Since then, people from the rural areas are drawn to the cities because of the job
opportunities from both the private and government sectors and the facilities in
the city that do not exist in the rural areas. The migration has caused a more rapid
urbanisation process and the movement of the Bumiputera community to the city
has also contributed to the high percentage of population growth in the city.
3. Function Centralisation and Economic Development
Urbanisation can also be linked to the centralisation of economic investment for
the development of the major cities. These readily advanced areas have huge
budget allocation in the country’s development such as amenities and facilities,
social function, culture and trade. The industrial growth in the major cities after
the 1960’s has also caused the centralisation of other functions, followed by the
population increase in the cities that varies the country’s economy and source of
income, and also fulfilling the needs and request of local users on previously
imported products.
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4. Urbanisation of Underdeveloped Areas
The urbanisation process of underdeveloped areas did not happen rapidly due to
the centralisation of the industrial sector in major cities. At the end of the 1970’s,
tremendous efforts have been made through the New Economic Policy to develop
the underdeveloped areas. Among the ways used for social and economic
development is through the formation of new towns in regional development
areas and the development of small towns especially in rural areas with a high-
density population.
5. Natural Increase in City Population
The concentration of inhabitants in the cities is not only caused by migration of
people from rural areas to the cities. The natural increase of inhabitants living in
the cities also plays an important role and Malaysia’s high rate of natural increase
is due to high birth rate and the low death rate.
6. Other Factors
‘The concentration of inhabitants to an area considered as town’ is the basis of
definition for ‘Urbanisation’. Therefore, the extension of the city border areas can
also increase the percentage of inhabitants living in the area. For example, when
the Kuala Lumpur area was extended from 93 square kilometres to 243 square
kilometres through the formation of the Federal Territory in 1974, inhabitants
outside the city border is accounted for the population census for the new Kuala
Lumpur. Other than that, the relocation of inhabitants to new settlements during
the emergency between 1948 and 1963 has also influenced the urbanisation
process.
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Benefits of the Urbanisation Economy
The urbanisation process is linked to the population growth of an area. When the total
population increases, people will live in groups and communities that would allow each
group to be active in a particular field. For example, a group would be active in the
business field while the other groups will be active in administration, service or industrial
fields. This situation creates specialisation and thus encourages economic development of
an area. The benefits of the urbanisation economy are as follows:
1. Specialisation Benefits
Specialisation is an important characteristic in modern economies. Specialisation can
increase production of output, increase on the quality of products, lowering the
average cost of production and providing more job opportunities.
There are two types of specialisation, which are labour specialisation and
specialisation according to regional or area function.
a. Labour Specialisation
This type of specialisation is practised in the cities for example, in the industrial,
manufacturing, construction, service and other sectors that are linked to the
city’s economic activities. The benefits gained from labour specialisation are:
i. Increasing the productivity of labour
ii. Decreasing cost of production
iii. Time saving
iv. The use of machineries and tools that are more efficient
v. Increase of products from the output of goods and services
vi. Large-scale production
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b. Specialisation according to Regional/Area Function
This type of specialisation arises due to differences of factors of production
between areas. Specialisation also depends on the Government’s Planning and
Policy. For instance, Kuala Lumpur CBD has been designated for commercial
and administration activities; whilst town edge area for industrial activities. In
addition to town edge areas such as Cheras and Ampang, certain hilly areas
such as Damansara Heights, Kenny Hills and Ukay Heights have also been
identified as residential areas.
2. Economies of Scale
Town area is the focal point of inhabitants as it provides a wide market for goods and
services. Good infrastructure, a stable economic and political condition encourages
the output of goods at a large scale. Thus, producers can enjoy economies of scale.
These benefits can be divided into two:
a. Internal economic benefits
b. External economic benefits
a. Internal economic benefits
An industry that operates in a declining cost situation has a tendency to group
its output. This situation will increase the profits of the producer and thus the
following benefits are enjoyed:
i. Management economics
Cost per unit management will decrease as the output increases.
This is because the same manager will be instructed to carry out
administration although the quantity changes.
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ii. Technical economics
Usually large firms in the cities have advantages in technical
economics such as the use of machineries and tools in the
production process. These firms can also use larger and more
advanced machineries to increase output and thus able to
decrease cost of production.
iii. Marketing economics
Firms that produce goods at a large scale are going to enjoy
benefits from the marketing aspect. Purchases in bundles and the
use of high and sophisticated technology decreases cost of
production. Large-scale production can increase the producer’s
capital and this would further intensify the promotions or
advertisements of the goods produced.
iv. Financial economics
It involves the large and stable firms with facilities to obtain
loans at lower interest rate.
v. Research economics
Large firms that carry out research to improve their product’s
quality, production of new products will further decrease their
cost of production.
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b. External economic benefits
External economic benefits are from the development of the entire industry
and enjoyed by the firms. There are two types of external economics that can
be enjoyed by producers due to urbanisation of an area. These are settlement
economics and information economics.
External economics will increase with the size of development of a town.
Therefore, external economics is dependent upon the market size.
3. Urbanisation economics
There are several types of economic activities that can enjoy benefits as a result of
being in the same location. With the existence of a town, all facilities as stated below
are gathered for its inhabitants:
a. Various types of facilities such as transportation, health and medical,
shopping centres, entertainment, cultural and institution of learning.
b. An increase of job opportunities in various sectors such as small
businesses, restaurants and hotels, tourism, construction and
manufacturing; and financial services, insurance and real estate.
c. Increase in supply of goods and services in the market.
d. Increase of technological design and innovation; and
e. Increase use of management techniques and efficient financing.
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4. Supply of factors of production
A town offers an attractive location for economic activities because all supply factors
can be generally utilised. The benefits are more obvious for labour, entrepreneurship,
capital and land.
Urbanisation Problems
Rapid and uncontrolled urbanisation process will cause a few problems as follows:
1. Concentrated and uncontrolled urbanisation
In general, rapid urbanisation process is mostly focused in the large cities only.
Concentrated urbanisation can create problems such as unbalanced development
between large cities and the continuing underdeveloped areas (Wan Daud,
2002). Inhabitants will continue to converge to the big cities and forced
allocation of social development to be concentrated to those cities only.
2. Migration of people from rural areas to the city
This problem exists in two ways:
a. From the economic aspect, migration of the educated and active young
people from the rural areas causes the agricultural sector from rural areas
to lose skilled and able labour. The decrease in the number of young
people in the rural areas can pose a threat to the rural area’s agricultural
industry.
b. A more threatening problem is the presence of rural inhabitants that is
unprepared with the city’s economic and social pattern and system.
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3. Poverty
A problem of poverty exists due to unemployment and the inhabitants’ low
source of income.
4. Problems in providing basic amenities for the inhabitants
From the social aspect, the government is forced to spend a huge financial
allocation to provide various basic amenities such as services, education,
communication and others. The huge financial allocation to provide these
amenities is a burden that can create liabilities to the government.
5. Housing problems
The low-income earners will face housing problems in the urban areas. With
their limited income, they will find that the houses are unaffordable. This root
problem is difficult to overcome and when this happens, the low-income earners
will opt to live as squatters.
6. Problem in separating the places of residence according to race and socio-
economic status
Poverty will become more complicated if there are city inhabitants who group
themselves according to their races. Separation pattern for places of residence
according to each group’s background would lead to communication tension,
prejudice and threats from illegal gangs.
c. Pollution of the physical environment
Pollution of the physical environment happens due to burning of energy
resources such as oil, coal and waste which has reached a dangerous stage.
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The high content of carbon monoxide together with dirt, smoke and other
particles in the air in the city area is enough to threaten humans’ health.
Indirectly, the increase of industrial area that has changed the land use from
agriculture to industrial has contributed to the pollution. Covered area,
whether it is concrete or tar has increased the rate of water flow, as water
cannot absorb into the earth and thus flash flood will happen.
d. Other problems
Another problem that can arise due to rapid urbanisation process is traffic
congestion. Most of the transportation problem is caused by traffic congestion
at major roads in the city. This usually happens when the road could not
support the existing amount of vehicles.
The next problem that could probably happen would be insufficient supply of electricity.
There are also several short-term programmes to overcome the problems stated above.
Examples are:
1. To develop squatters and crowded settlement areas, including giving advice and
training to the inhabitants in order to eradicate poverty gradually.
2. Prioritising home loan facilities from the public and private sector and also giving
first priority to low cost housing projects to overcome housing problems for the
low income earners.
3. Straightening and widening of roads to overcome traffic congestion problem.
4. Make an effort to maintain a balanced ecology.
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Long-term programmes to control urbanisation process are:
1. To develop new and old cities such as areas at the edge of a large city,
underdeveloped rural areas and regional development areas that can act as the
centre for economic growth.
2. To build more amenities in the underdeveloped rural areas, that can allow the
inhabitants to have a better life and to facilitate their acceptance towards
development.
Theories of Urban and Regional Growth
The theories of urban and regional growth can be considered from the aspect of demand.
Based on the aspect of demand, a number of urban and regional growth models have been
proposed by western economics researchers. Some of the proposed models are as
follows:
1. Central Place Theory (Walter Christaller)
2. Rank-size Rule (Zipf)
3. Urban Base Theory
4. Money Flow Theory
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Central Place Theory (Walter Christaller)
Walter Christaller proposed this theory in the year 1933 based on research done in the
south of Germany. This theory explains the relevance of the market area to the size of a
town’s population and the distribution of settlements. In his opinion, there is a unity in
distribution and pattern of settlement based on the degree of importance of the
centralisation, pictured by its functional characteristics. According to Christaller, central
place is defined as a settlement that provides services such as trading, education, cultural,
health, security and government’s services.
Other than physical space, central concept also covers aspects of economic system,
activity and size of population. Physical space is important in understanding the
distribution, location, arrangement and distance of central place in relation with the
economic system. This concept claims that the larger the size of the city, the greater the
degree of centralisation and thus the city will become more important in a settlement.
Based on the concept, the idea of urban hierarchy is introduced according to the town’s
level of specialisation. The difference of settlements’ specialisation shows different
degree of centralisation of a town that can be measured through different ways such as
population, numbers of function/specialisation, space, various types of goods and
services offered, size of spheres of influence and others.
ASSUMPTIONS IN CENTRAL PLACE THEORY
1. The land topography is a uniform plane. This would create a simple transportation
system in all directions where cost of transportation is compatible with the
distance.
2. Distribution of inhabitants and purchasing power are uniform in all areas where
consumers have the same income.
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3. Market areas for all types of goods and services take the form of a hexagon. The
form of a hexagon was chosen to avoid certain areas not being served and other
areas being served overlapping hinterlands. Market areas main function is to
supply goods and services plus administrative functions to rural areas.
4. The services provided depend on the status or hierarchy of a town. For example, a
medical centre is provided to a high grade town centre while a low grade town
centre is provided with a lower grade medical facility such as a local clinic.
5. Users will head towards the nearest centre that offers the function needed,
therefore long distance travelling is minimised.
Two important concepts that are emphasised in this theory are:
1. The threshold of inhabitants
The threshold of inhabitants is the minimum number of inhabitants needed to
support the existence of a settlement function. The threshold of inhabitants of a
town is largely influenced by the dispersion of purchasing power and its
inhabitants. The threshold of inhabitants is different between different types of
goods and services. For example, a shop is only necessary when the population is
in the region of 300 people while a clinic needs 1,200 people. A school is only
provided when there are around 2,500 inhabitants. These figures are the minimum
market threshold.
This concept is important in settlement research especially from the aspect of
providing basic amenities. This can be shown in the figure below:
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Figure 1.1: The threshold of inhabitants
With reference to figure 1.1, the radius is the potential maximum radius size for
that market area. A to C is the distance of goods.
a. Purchasing Goods Distance
The purchasing goods distance is the market of a service. The distance of the
market goods is related with the travelling distance, which is the travelling
distance back and forth depending on the geographic situation that involves
transportation cost and travelling period.
A :border of market area where its radius is equal to distance of goods
CSize of market area is determined by minimum demand
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Figure 1.2: The Relation between Demand for Goods and Distance
(1 type of good and 1 supplier)
The distance from A to C is the distance of goods where users are willing to travel in
obtaining the goods. The distance friction from the cost of transportation will lower the
demand for goods due to the increase of distance from the central place. For example,
when a user is at C, he has to purchase the least amount of goods compared to A because
he has to settle a high cost of transportation.
The layout of centralised area according to Christaller’s theory is as follows:
a. The formation of a specialised area is according to hierarchy where the
arrangement is from the towns with the highest level to the lowest level of
specialisation. It starts with the District Centre, County Seat, Township Centre
and Market Hamlet. Please refer to Figure 1.3 for a better picture.
b. The market areas of goods and services are hexagonally shaped.
Quantity of goods
A C Distance of goods/ distance from supplier (price + transportation costs)
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c. For each group of six towns there would be a larger city with more specialised
functions that would also be located an equal distance from other cities and each
has hexagon shaped market area. The lowest ranked centres are 7 km, followed by
the second lowest (Township Centre) that is 7km x √3 = 12km, next is Country
Seat at 12km x √3 = 21km and the biggest is the District Centre at 21km x √3 =
36km
The size of the area and the total population is three times according to hierarchy.
Hence, the trade factor has a pattern referred to as K = 3 hierarchy. The traffic factor has
a K = 4 hierarchy. This refers to the traffic network for a central market area with a
multiplier of 4. Administration factor has a pattern of K=7. This means that a central area
with a higher status has more administration compared to lower status area based on this
multiplier K=7.
Therefore, it can be observed that central place theory has two potential roles: first, as a
guideline to understand the regional space structure and second, as a model for future
planning. One main argument that supports the use of this theory in regional planning is
due to the central hierarchy system that encourages development. Thus, social benefits
from an economic field can be gained. Although, there are problems of using this
structure theory, the ideas contained in this theory is quite fascinating to plan the regional
pattern of an area.
Some of the weaknesses of the Central Place Theory by Walter Christaller are:
a. The assumption of a uniform plane does not exist and Christaller ignored
variations in topography.
b. The influence of the manufacturing industry especially in developed countries is
discounted. When the industry is focused on a certain product, the pattern of
settlement arrangement would also change.
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c. Government’s development policy for an area will also change the arrangement
pattern of function for Central Place.
d. Discount of changes in transportation system and trading between cities and its
effect upon the size of towns of a large in-migration of labour
Although this theory has received a lot of criticism, the Central Place Theory still plays
an important role as stated below:
a. Laying the foundation in understanding the arrangement of town settlements
(please refer to Figure 1.4)
b. The use of centralised settlement distribution of various sizes is important in
regional planning. If there are certain situation that can influence the known
distribution, a solution can be done from the aspect of the town size that can be
created, the amount, distance between one central area to another and the
functions that can be offered (based on the economic background and residents
distribution)
c. The residents limit concept and the distance of purchasing goods are most useful
from the aspect of planning and determining the type of highest goods that can be
offered in a city centre.
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Figure 1.3: Christaller’s Central Place Theory
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Figure 1.4: Central Place Dispersion (Grade 1 & Grade 2) in Peninsular Malaysia
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Rank Size Rule
The rank size rule explains that the cities distribution of a country tends to be a
continuous arithmetic from the biggest size to the smallest.
The cities in a country can be graded from the largest to the smallest size based on the
size of the settlers. Therefore, the largest city can be classified its rank as number 1, the
second largest number 2, and the number continues to the smallest city in that country.
Zipf (1949) explains the relation between the size of the urban settlers with its rank by
using a mathematical equation.
Assume ‘R’ is equal to the size of settlers in the largest city which is Level 1 divided with
‘R’. In other words, the studied urban settlement can be levelled as Rank 1 for the largest
city, ½ for second largest city, 1/3 for the third largest, 1/4 for the fourth and then 1/n for
the smallest city in that country.
In the mathematical equation:
Pr = Pi / Rb
Where Pr is Level ‘R’ urban settlers that needs to be counted
Pi is Settlers from the largest city (Level 1)
R is the known level for ‘R’ city
b is fixed value and often ignored in the calculation as P
value is mostly not explained.
This equation is often stated with different symbols but has the same meaning.
If the largest city, level 1 has a 1,000,000 population therefore the settlers for R city (for
example level 10) is equal to 1,000,000 / 10 which is 100,000 people. If the urban settlers
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for each level is counted, based on the population of the largest city which is level 1,
therefore the city’s size is as though having a systematic sequence from the largest to the
smallest.
Table 1.1: Rank-size of 12 Principal Cities in Peninsular Malaysia, 2000
City Ranks
CR
Name of City Real Population Expected Population
Pr = Pi / Rb
1. Kuala Lumpur 1,297,526 1,297,526
2. Ipoh 566,211 648,763
3. Klang 563,173 432,509
4. Petaling Jaya 438,084 324,382
5. Johor Bahru 384,613 259,505
6. Shah Alam 319,612 216,254
7. Kuantan 283,041 185,361
8. Kuala Terengganu 250,528 162,191
9. Seremban 246,441 144,170
10. Kota Bharu 233,673 129,753
11. Taiping 183,320 117,957
12. George Town 180,573 108,127
Source: www.citypopulation.de, Thomas Binkoff, 2003
THE IMPORTANCE OF CITY DISTRIBUTION BASED ON ITS RANK-SIZE
The distribution of a city based on its size is an important study to determine the overall
settlement system. Some of the important contributions of this study are:
1. Rank-size shows the number and frequency of cities of various sizes in a country.
It is useful to observe the cities’ importance from the aspect of size and function.
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2. It makes us able to observe the wider perspective of all cities in a country.
3. Comparison on the distribution of cities in a country with another country can be
done. Thus, it is useful in measuring the balance of cities distribution.
4. It can prove whether the cities are uniformly arranged in a smooth hierarchy as
claimed by Zipf.
In situations when other factors such as history, demography, natural resources and
government policy do not influence much on the development of urban settlements, the
distribution which is of log-frequency character depicts a more balanced social and
economic development between different areas in a country.
The truth is that rank size principle is only effective in helping researchers explain the
cities distribution of a large country. For a small country with an economic system that is
hard to explain, this rank-size principle, may not assist much in understanding the
problems in the distribution of cities.
For small countries like Malaysia that do not have a large population, it is difficult to
determine the most suitable distribution pattern for the cities.
Overall, the Rank-Size Principle is still useful at least to provide a guide in outlining the
urbanisation policy and strategy of a country
Urban Base Theory
Unlike the central place theory which was concerned with the distribution of products
from an urban centre to its hinterland, the urban base theory involves a consideration of
demand from anywhere outside the boundaries of the settlement. Urban growth will thus
28
depend upon the urban area’s ability to export goods and services to pay for its import
needs.
The urban base theory divides the urban area into two activities:
1. ‘Basic’ activity which involves the production of goods and services for export
2. ‘Non-basic’ activity which involves the output of products for distribution solely
to the urban area itself.
Based on this theory, the urban growth depends upon basic industry where it will
encourage development in non-basic activity and increase the overall urban economic
standard. In short, the theory states that non-basic industry will be dependent upon the
basic sector. The theory assumes that once the underlying economic, technological and
social structure of a country has stabilised, the ratio between basic and non basic
activities of an urban area and the ratios between all activities and the total population
remain constant. Furthermore, it is assumed that the open market principle is practised in
the urban area where there is no restriction in trade.
According to the theory, the larger the ratio between basic and non-basic activities, the
higher will be the rate of urban growth. As stated before, non-basic industries will be
dependent upon the basic sector where employees in the later activity provide much of
the demand for the products of the former. This theory also suggests that if an urban area
loses substantial employment in the basic sector, the employment in the non-basic sector
will also decrease.
If there is an injection of basic employment into the town, eventually non-basic
employment will have to increase. Local demand for goods and services will also
increase and this will create temporary imbalance between the local demand and ability
of non-basic sector to meet the demand. This temporary imbalance resulting from an
29
initial increase in basic employment will be eliminated through an upward adjustment in
both non-basic employment and total population as showed in Table 1.2.
Criticisms against the urban base theory are as follows:
1. This theory assumes that the underlying economic, technological and social
structure of a country is stable but in reality, it often changes especially changes
in technology.
2. There is unlikely to be a constant basic - non- basic ratio for an urban area with
other urban areas. The ratio will change when there are changes on the factors that
were assumed stable.
3. The theory only suggests what might happen if there is a change in the basic
activity but gives no indication of what future changes that may be anticipated in
an urban area.
4. The theory ignores the importance and effects of imports in urban growth
5. The theory states that a non-basic activity is dependent upon a basic activity but in
reality, the reverse is often true where there will be no basic activity without
excess factors from a non-basic activity.
6. By focusing on exports, the theory has ignored other variables such as
autonomous investment that can influence urban growth.
Nevertheless, the urban base theory is still important for the following purposes:
1. To provide a guideline in forecasting population growth in an urban area.
30
2. To determine the inter-relationship between economic sectors in a region.
3. To determine the strength of principal economies of an urban area, in order to
anticipate future development.
4. To provide guidelines in determining sector of employment for urban areas that
needs to be developed.
5. To measure the rate of unemployment and underutilised labour; and
6. To determine the type of basic amenities, services and other facilities that can be
provided.
Table 1.2 : Balance between Basic and Non-basic ctivities
Level І
Number Initial equilibrium ratio
to basic employment
Basic employees 10,000 1.0
Non-basic employees 18,750 1.5
Total employees 25,000 2.5
Total population 50,000 5.0
Level П
Number Disequilibrium ratio
to basic employment
Basic employees 12,500 1.0
Non-basic employees 15,000 1.2
Total employees 27,500 2.2
Total population 55,000 4.4
31
Level Ш
Number Possible equilibrium ratio
to basic employment
Basic employees 12,500 1.0
Non-basic employees 15,000 1.5
Total employees 31,250 2.5
Total population 62,500 5.0
Level П – shows that an injection has been given to the numbers of employees and
therefore the ratio to basic employment changes temporarily
Level Ш – shows that the ratio to basic employment has returned to the original
equilibrium
Money flow theory
J.M. Keynes introduced money flow theory in the year 1930. There are 4 role playing
sectors in the cash flow cycle which consists of households, firms, government and
overseas sectors. Figure 1.5 shows the income flow cycle as follows:
1. Consumers’ income is used for income tax payment, payment for goods and
services produced by the manufacturers as well as for savings.
2. Manufacturers’ income is used for tax payment imposed by the government,
payment for factors of production from households (consumers) and payment for
capital goods and imported raw materials.
3. Government’s income is used to pay civil servants’ wages and salaries and
government’s expenditures on goods and services produced in and out of the
country.
32
Savings made by the households or consumers and firms in financial institutions will be
borrowed and used by the producers for investment. Leakages and injections will happen
in the money flow. According to Keynes, these leakages consist of savings, government
taxes and imports whilst the injections comprise of investments, government’s
expenditures and exports.
In the open economic system model, savings made by the consumers and firms are the
leakages in the income flow and will cause the income flow to decrease. This is because
the savings made are not used immediately for investment (frozen savings). On the
contrary, investments made by the manufacturers are injections to income flow and
causes the income flow to increase. This is because the investments made are used to
increase the national production. Therefore, the larger the investment rate, the larger is
the income flow.
Tax imposed by the government is a leakage to this income flow. This is because the part
of consumers’ income used to pay the tax is not used by the consumers but will be
channelled to the government sector and this happens to the firm sector too. If the
government keeps the income they obtain from the taxes, the cash flow in the country
will decrease. However, government’s expenditure on goods and services is an injection
to this cash flow. Government’s expenditure on goods and services will increase firm
sector’s income. Besides that, the use of labour (civil servants) from the household sector
will increase income in this sector.
The action from household, firm and government sectors to import goods and services
from abroad is a leakage where it will cause cash to flow overseas. This is because there
is no income for factors of production in the country and there are expenses for imported
goods. On the contrary, export to overseas is an injection where the export of goods and
outgoing services will result in the inflow of money into the country for spending and the
balance to be saved.
33
Figure 1.5: Income (cash) Flow in a Four Sector Economy
34
SALARY AND WAGES, RENT, INCOME AND PROFIT
GOVERNMENT SECTOR
TAX TAX
PAYMENT FOR GOODS AND SERVICES
PAYMENT FOR PRODUCTION FACTORS
FIRM SECTORHOUSEHOLD SECTOR
IMPORT
OVERSEAS SECTOR
FINANCIAL BODIES
IMPORT IMPORT
EXPORT
FIRM FUND HOUSEHOLD FUND
ENTR
EPR
ENEU
R’S
INV
ESTM
ENT
USERS EXPENSES
SALARY AND WAGES, RENT, INCOME AND PROFIT
GOVERNMENT SECTOR
TAX TAX
PAYMENT FOR GOODS AND SERVICES
PAYMENT FOR FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
FIRM SECTORHOUSEHOLD SECTOR
IMPORT
OVERSEAS SECTOR
FINANCIAL BODIES
IMPORT IMPORT
EXPORT
FIRM SAVING HOUSEHOLD SAVING
ENTR
EPR
ENEU
R’S
INV
ESTM
ENT
USERS EXPENSES
The total allocation of money is based on the Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC).
The process is continuous until the total money spent is small. The total income
generated is based on the concept of multiplier that is the multiplication of income flow
in the economy as a result of an injection.
Below is how the size of the multiplier is derived:
K = 11-MPC
= 11-0.8
= 1 or 10.2 MPS
= 5
When the change of investment that was earlier mentioned is said to be RM10 million,
MPC = 0.8, MPS = 0.2, therefore the change in output is
1 x change in investment1 - MPC
= 1 x 101 - 0.2
= RM50 million
From the above equation, the size of the multiplier in the economy is 5 times from the
investment. This means that the economic income increases 5 times from the initial
investment, thus, the change in investment as much as RM10 million previously will
generate an income flow as much as RM50 million. Here, the economic level that was at
RM1,000 million increases to RM1,050 million.
35
Thus, an investor is able to know the economic situation of a place or an area through the
multiplier value.
Based on Figure 1.5 above, it is clear that the high income in the city will cause an
increase in utilisation and thus encourage urban growth. When injection is made in the
cash inflow or the income into the country, export creates an income for the factors of
production. Multiplier will also cause the income to change at a higher rate from the
changes in those expenses. The formula to arrive at a multiplier is related both to MPC
and Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS) as follows
Multiplier Formula:
MPC is the changes in total consumption due to the changes in disposable income. MPS
is the change in total saving due to the changes in disposable income.
Although this theory relates to urban growth, it has its weaknesses from the aspect of
national economy as follows:
1. Insufficient data that make it difficult to predict when variable changes will occur.
2. Insufficient information on activities that is not payable by money where
originally these activities have to be considered in determining the income of a
city.
3. This theory also concludes that the higher the income, the higher is the
consumption and thus demand for goods in a city will also increase. However, if
the percentage change in income is equal to the percentage change in price of
goods, it will cause no difference in the purchasing power. If there is no increase
in the consumers’ expenditure, there would be no increase in the demand for
K = 1 or 11-MPC MPS
36
goods in a city and thus the city will develop slowly. This is also the case if
inflation happens.
Urban Growth from the Aspect of Supply
Urban growth from the aspect of demand can only happen in the short term, as it does not
consider the need for factors of production. Since the available factors of production are
limited, the subsequent long-term urban growth process would need an increase and
modification in factors of production in accordance with the current increase in demand.
There are two ways to upgrade the factors of production in an urban area. First, the
capability to attract resources within and outside the urban area. Second is the capability
to modify the output from production resources within the urban area or region itself.
This urban growth analysis can be further considered from the four factors of production;
labour, land, capital and entrepreneurship.
Labour
Labour is defined as the mental and physical capacity of workers to produce goods and
services other than the direct benefits gained from the employment. From the aspect of
economics, all labourers who receive wages in the form of money or goods for their
services are called labour. In general, there are three types of labour; skilled labour, half
skilled labour and unskilled labour.
An economics supply of labour is influenced by the size of inhabitants, ratio of employed
inhabitants, the total hours of each individual is willing to work, custom and beliefs
toward the job, labour mobility and others. In general, a large population would have a
large supply in labour. A country’s population rate of increase is dependent upon the rate
of birth, death and migration of inhabitants from rural areas.
37
The supply of labour is influenced by the rate of inhabitants that are willing to work. This
depends on the gender, age and the level of education of the inhabitants of a country.
The power in determining the labour supply for different jobs depends upon the number
of jobs available and the ability to enter or to get involved in a job and the amount of time
that they are willing to work. The supply curve of labour from an individual worker is of
a normal shape as below.
Figure 1.6 : Supply Curve of Labour
When wages increase, so does labour. Thus, the total supply will increase to a certain
level. If wages still increase, the supply curve of labour will curve backwards as
illustrated in figure 1.7 below.
Total labour’s working hours
Real wages
0
Pn
38
Figure 1.7 : Supply Curve of Labour that Curves Backward
Trade unions are labour associations that were formed to represent workers in a collective
negotiation in an industry. Trade unions have become the spokespersons for the workers
in fighting for their interest and welfare. Examples of active trade unions in Malaysia are
the Malaysian Trade Union Congress (MTUC). MTUC acts as a public relation and
spokesperson on behalf of its members. MTUC is dependent upon financial contribution
from each international labour trade society.
The main purposes of trade unions are as follows:
1. To increase wages and obtain more benefits
2. To ensure a better working environment such as shorter working hours,
comfortable working area, leave and others
3. To protect workers from unjust action such as dismissal of employment
0Total labour working hoursK1K
H1
H
PnReal wages
39
4. To discuss and negotiate economics and industrial policy
5. To participate in political organisations and to console the government to pass
bills that benefit workers
In conclusion, it can be stated that labour plays an important role in urban growth. At the
early stages, labours that are focused in an urban area originate from the inhabitants of
that area itself and from nearby areas. This is because labour supply is greatly needed in
the development of a pioneer city. When the city starts to develop, labours from rural
areas will migrate to the city.
Land
According to the National Land Code, land can be defined as all items that are attached to
the earth including plants and other natural resources whether it needs to use energy
periodically in its production or not.
Land is an important factor because it is a source of raw materials, vegetation for
agriculture, and site for development plus nature where it can further encourage the
process of urban growth. The finding of important raw materials such as minerals and
agricultural products for trade has pushed efforts to produce in a large scale. The need for
a central place to collect, store, manage and workers quarters has resulted in the
emergence of new cities nearby the production area.
In the 19th century, history has proven that urban growth is linked to high demand for
natural resources of an area. It can be observed, that the developed areas are places with
plenty of raw materials such as tin ore and petroleum or fertile soil suitable for
agriculture. In these areas, the number of inhabitants have increased, large cities have
emerged, railroads and highways were built and public amenities were provided.
40
The need to build a port has also resulted in new urban areas by the sea to emerge such as
Pelabuhan Kuala Sepetang (Port Weld), Port Klang and Teluk Intan. In addition, the
growth of a city population is indirectly linked to land factor and its use which naturally
creates higher need for housing, jobs and basic amenities. This will involve the process of
changing land use from agriculture, forest or neglected land to housing, commercial
buildings, offices, schools, hospital, roads and others. Therefore, it can be stated that the
change of agricultural land use to non-agricultural use is part of the urban growth
process.
Capital
In economics, the term capital means “tools to produce other goods”. Capital is surplus
goods such as factories producing raw materials, highways, railroads, factories,
machineries and others. Therefore, capital is a factor of production and helps to produce
other goods that can give satisfaction to consumers.
There are several types of capital:
1. Fixed capital
Fixed capital is a long-term production tool that is long life and does not change
form during production. In this category, we can include factors of production like
factories, machineries, highways and railroads, tractors and others that assist
further production.
2. Employment capital
Employment capital is a production tool that is only used once such as rubber,
clay and fuel. They change form entirely at different stages of production.
41
Employment capital needs to be replaced once it is all used which is different
from fixed capital that takes a long time to be replaced.
3. Social capital
Each community has large capital that is indirectly used in production. Schools,
hospitals, flower nursery and playgrounds are part of the country’s capital but are
not directly involved in the production of goods. This type of capital is important
to improve the standard of health, provides education and training and other
aspects to upgrade the standard of living. Indirectly, this type of capital will
increase the capacity to produce.
The relationship between capital and urban growth is crucial. Without capital, a city
cannot be developed or expanded properly. This is because capital is much needed at the
early stages of urban development.
Entrepreneurship
Lastly, an entrepreneur is needed to manage the three factors of production as explained
above to become one production unit. There must be a person to decide on:
1. What to produce (type and quantity of goods)
2. How to produce (method of producing)
3. Where to produce (factory location) and the risk involved in the decision-making.
The person who makes these decisions and undertakes its risk is called an entrepreneur.
An entrepreneur is a person who produces to seek profits. He will undertake on a
production that he believes has a satisfactory demand with prices that can give him
42
profits. He will decide on the location of the factory, hiring factors of production and
combining it in ratios that he thinks is effective. He is also ready to face risk of using his
savings by incurring all the expenses before his products hit the market. In conclusion, all
these four factors of production play an important role in the growth of urban economics.
Tutorial Questions
1. State the important concepts in the Central Place Theory (Christaller). How far does
the theory contributes in planning the structure of a settlement in a new developing
area that you know.
2. Explain the concept of ‘Urban Growth’. How far is the urban-regional growth
dependent upon the capacity to attract productive resources that is needed from
outside?
3. State an economics definition for urbanisation. Discuss the problems that may arise
due to rapid and uncontrollable urbanisation process that most developing countries
face.
4. Explain the factors that encourage urbanisation process in Malaysia and state the
economic benefits from the process.
5. Provide comments on two (2) from below:
a. Rank-size rule (Zipf)
b. Urban Base Theory
c. Money Flow Theory
43
CHAPTER 2: URBAN AND REGIONAL LAND USE MODEL
Introduction to Urban Land Use
From the aspect of physical planning, land use can be defined as a form or way how the
land is to be used. Therefore, land use is the land function or the activities carried out on
a piece of land and it can be classified into certain categories such as trade, commercial,
industrial and residential.
Urban and Regional Land Use Models
There are several theories that have been brought forward by economists and planners.
Among them is the earliest theory by Heinrich Von Thunen. He put forward the theory
where agricultural land use is different based on how far it is located from the market
centre. William Alonso has adapted this theory by suggesting the urban land use pattern
and Land Rent Value Principle. Another theory was put forward by David Ricardo who
emphasises that the land rent value is influenced by certain factors.
Von Thunen Land Use Model
In the year 1826, Johan Heinrich Von Thunen, a German economist came out with the
Agriculture Land Use theory. This theory is contained in his book, Der Isolierte Staat
(The Isolated State).
The theory’s main objective is to show the difference in land use with the increasing
distance from the market. Von Thunen tries to explain the location of different
agricultural land uses through economic principles with the rural land use pattern.
44
Basic Principles in Von Thunen’s Theory
In general, this theory has 2 basic principles. First, the intensity of a particular
agricultural output will decrease when its location gets farther from the market.
The farther is the farm from the market, the lesser is the intensity of its cultivation.
Therefore, intensive cultivation are carried out in areas that are located nearby the market
whereas an extensive agriculture system is carried out in areas far from the market.
Adaptation to the agriculture system is made to reduce transportation cost and cost of
production. This cost includes cost of transporting agriculture input from the field to the
market, cost of frequent supervision and tight care. For areas that are far from the market,
agriculture inputs including labour are reduced to save cost and maximise return and
products.
The second principle is that different types of land use follow the distance from the
market. Land use or types of plants are different with the increasing distance from the
market in order to cut cost of output and to increase the returns.
The assumptions proposed by Von Thunen are as follows:
1. A state has only one city centre in the middle.
2. The city centre has only one place to market agriculture goods.
3. The land area is uniform or similar from the aspect of soil fertility, climate and
geography.
4. There is only horse carriage as a form of transportation at the time.
45
5. Transportation cost is determined by the travelling distance.
6. All farmers in the area act as a human economy. This means that the farmers have
the attitude to maximise profits.
Economic Rent or Location Rent is an important concept in this theory.
Economic rent is the difference between the total revenue of a farmer for a particular
agriculture goods planted in a land area and the total production and transportation
cost of the particular agriculture goods. The revenue gained is based on the price of
the agriculture goods in the market.
It is found that transportation cost increases as the farther the agricultural activity is
from the market. The higher the transportation cost, the smaller is the difference
between revenue and the total cost. Thus, the location rent will become smaller.
The location rent of an area of land will decrease as it gets farther from the market.
For example, location ‘A’ has a revenue equal to the cost. Therefore, location ‘A’ has
location rent of zero for a land unit. Location rent is what a farmer would offer for a
land area.
46
Figure 2.1 : The Relationship between Location Rent and Distance from Market
1. Intensity model
As illustrated in figure 2.2 below, the Von Thunen model can also be explained in the
context of an intensity model.
Location Rent
0A Distance from Market
47
Figure 2.2 : Intensity Model
Based on the intensity model, location rent is different due to the distance from
the market for different intensity of output.
2. Location model for a number of crops related to the market.
This involves two types of crops, location rent and distance from the market as
illustrated in figure 2.3.
48
Intensive Extensive
Extensive
Intensive
km
Loca
tion
rent
Market
Market
Figure 2.3 : Location Model for a Number of Crops Related to the Market
In reality, the market price, durability, portability, rate of return and production
cost are always different between one agriculture product to another.
Therefore, the crop that can guarantee the highest location rent for a unit of land
will be cultivated.
Location rent is paid in the form of land price or land rent.
The location rent formula for a particular crop is:
SL = Hp - Hk – Htj
= H ( p – k – t)
Where:
SL : Location rent for a unit of land
H : the goods for a unit of land
49
Crop A Crop B
Crop A
Crop BLo
catio
n R
ent
P : the market price for a unit of commodity
K : the cost of production for a unit of commodity
T : transportation cost for a unit of commodity
j distance from the market
Pattern and Arrangement of Von Thunen Model of Land Use
Von Thunen depicts the suggested model’s pattern of arrangement as a circle.
This circle is then divided into six zones where there is one city centre in the
middle. (Figure 2.4)
50
Small town with its own production zone
Figure 2.4: Von Thunen Model
The zones are as follows:
1. Zone 1
This zone is the area closest to the city centre. Agriculture and economic
activities are focused on milk and vegetables production. The product is
not durable and the rent is the highest.
2. Zone 2
This zone is used for the production of forest resources. During Von
Thunen’s era, wood is important for fuel and building materials. As this
production creates transportation problem, it is important that production
be nearby the city.
51
Town centreFresh vegetables and milkSmall forestSix-year seasonal crop
Seven-year seasonal crop
Three field systemAnimal breeding
River
3. Zone 3, 4, 5
Activities carried out are in the form of agriculture too. Less intensive
agriculture is undertaken here and the agriculture products include
potatoes, dry grass and cereals that are cultivated alternately. The main
type of cereal is rye. The rental rate for this area is lower.
4. Zone 6
This area is for animal breeding. The rent is the lowest.
The Weakness of Von Thunen’s Theory
The weaknesses in the Von Thunen’s theory are as follows:
1. This model is only suitable in explaining the pattern of agriculture land use only.
It is very different from now, as land use displays a few important characteristics
such as the existence of a city centre and activities like commercial, trade and
services. In the suburbs, there are residential and industrial uses while in rural
areas there are intensive agriculture activities.
2. This model considers the distance aspect only and do not consider soil fertility
although it plays an important role in determining the suitable type of land use
and cultivation.
3. In his assumption, Von Thunen ignores technology advancement in the
transportation sector although in today’s reality it is one of the factors that
determines urban land use pattern.
4. Nowadays, there is no isolated state as explained by Von Thunen.
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5. Von Thunen assumed that the land area is uniform from the aspect of fertility,
climate and topography. In reality, this is impossible as no place on earth has the
same topography.
6. The assumption that all farmers know the market price with the total revenue in
the future is inaccurate.
David Ricardo Land Use Model
Ricardo land use model is known as Rent Difference Theory. Through this theory,
Ricardo has denied Von Thunen’s opinion on constant soil fertility. According to
Ricardo, the rate of soil fertility is different and thus has influenced the agriculture land
use pattern. Hence, soil fertility is a major factor in determining different production cost
based on its economic function.
Assumption in Ricardo’s Theory
Among the assumptions that was put forward by Ricardo are as follows:
1. The market price of agricultural goods is higher than the cost. With this surplus
over production cost, profits from the agriculture produce are gained.
2. The land use pattern is based on the concept of marginal land. This concept refers
to land productivity where land is considered economical if it is intensively
utilised to create the surplus.
3. The land use pattern is based on the soil fertility itself where the type of activities
carried out will become more economical.
53
David Ricardo has created a formula to determine the land use pattern based on rental as
follows:
L = E (p - a) – EFK
Where:
L = Land rental
E = Production rate for each land unit
P =Market price for each commodity unit
a = Cost of production for each commodity unit
F = Cost of transportation for each commodity unit
K =Distance
With this formula, it is clear that the Ricardo Land Use Model is more focused on the rent
difference based on the supply and demand measured through the soil fertility.
Weakness of Ricardo Theory
Ricardo’s theory also has a number of weaknesses as follows :
The emphasis of this theory is on agricultural land use only. This theory does not give a
complete explanation on the urban land use.
Ricardo focuses more on the soil fertility without considering other factors of production
such as labour, capital and entrepreneurship and development of modern technology.
In reality, the market price is not always higher than the cost of production. Product
abundance, price fluctuation and other economic factors can affect the market price.
54
In conclusion, the theories brought forward by Ricardo and Von Thunen only emphasise
on agricultural land use pattern. Emphasis was also given on factors like soil fertility, rent
difference, influence of distance and cost of transportation. However, it is clear that the
given theories still fails to show other factors that influence the land use pattern such as
planning, government policy, technology advancement and change in current taste.
Urban Land Rent Value (William Alonso)
William Alonso in the year 1964 introduces this land use theory, which is a century after
the Von Thunen theory was introduced.
This theory was introduced based on the principle of the land rent where William Alonso
states that the land rent of an area is influenced by its distance from the central market
(city) and it will differ according to the land use in the particular area.
Basic Principles and Characteristics of W. Alonso Theory
This theory is based on the principle that land rent will decrease for areas that is getting
further from the city centre. This is the result of the rising cost of transportation needed to
get to the city centre despite the decreasing incomes received by the residents in that area.
Thus, it is W. Alonso’s opinion that the fall in rental rates will balance out the increasing
cost and the decreasing income.
As a result of the theory’s basic principle, a series of bid rents curve would emerge which
shows the steepness or the rent gradient. Different rent uses would have different rent
gradients. Here, Alonso has divided it into three types of land use which are commercial,
office and residential.
55
In figure 2.5, the horizontal axis shows the distance from the city centre while the vertical
axis shows the bid rent. Exhibit B shows that the land rent varies according to its land use
where the land rent for retail land is higher compared to land rent for office and
residential land use respectively.
a-a rent curve is a bid rent curve for retail land use. The rental rate is highest and has the
closest distance to the city centre. B-b curve shows the bid rent curve for office land use
while c-c curve is the bid rent for residential land use. Both bid rent curves have gradients
that gets steeper when the distance is further from the city centre.
For each land use mentioned, the bid rent is proportionally inversed with the distance
from the city centre. This is because the land rent will decrease when the distance of the
land increases from the city centre.
56
Exhibit A
Figure 2.5 : Land Rent by Alonso
57
Bid Rent
Distance from the City Centre
Bid Rent Curve
Exhibit B
Figure 2.5: Land Rent by Alonso
Exhibit A and B are bid rent curves that show the total resources that can be allocated to
own land closer to the market.
W. Alonso came up with a few assumptions in forming his theory. The assumptions are
as follows:
1. There is only a single market centre
58
b
Bid Rent
c
Commercial
Office
Residential
a b
c
Distance from City Centre
a
2. A uniform plain low land exist
3. Soil being of constant fertility
4. Perfect market; and
5. Goods located in city centre
W. Alonso’s model also has two approaches:
1. Total land use needed for each developer
2. Developer’s total revenue that is allocated for the purpose of purchasing land and
travelling cost needed due to the location of purchased land including cost of
service and purchasing of goods.
The individual capacity in competing and paying rent for the land partially depends on
the land size needed and the necessity to spend for other goods.
Critics on the Land Rent Theory can be summarised as follows:
1. The concept of a single city centre is not accurate because now many sub-centres
exist to support rapid growth of activities in the city centre area. For example, in
Malaysia the government has tried to spread these centralised activities to
surrounding areas to avoid the emergence of various problems such as the
increasing population that is getting denser due to process of migration that leads
to higher needs in other facilities such as residence facilities, transport facilities,
business centre and others.
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2. The assumption that the topography is plain lowland that is uniform does not exist
in reality. Therefore, factors such as distance, physical and topography are also
important in determining the land use pattern and rent value in the city area.
3. The land rent does not always decrease as it gets further from the city centre. For
example, the Golden Triangle area in the Kuala Lumpur city centre has higher
land rent compared to the land rent of the city centre itself. The Golden Triangle
area has a high land rent because of the existence of exclusive buildings of
international status in the area. The materials used in the construction of the
buildings are also of high quality. In addition, other internal factors have also
attracted the interest of foreign investors to invest in this area.
4. In W. Alonso theory, the assumption is that inhabitants do not focus towards the
city centre. The opposite situation happens in Kuala Lumpur City, where it is the
inhabitants’ central focus. Migrations are focused here. This is due to the
attraction factor of easily obtaining a job and the social amenities and services
offered.
5. W. Alonso theory also ignores the industrial land use factor. Industrial activities
are ignored although the industrial revolution has already happened when the
theory was introduced. Due to modern advancement, various industries emerged
especially the light industries to increase the production of goods.
Determining the Urban and Regional Land Use Pattern
Besides the factors observed in the model analysis by Von Thunen, Ricardo and W.
Alonso, there are other factors that also influence the land use pattern of an urban area as
below:
a. Physical factor
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b. Location
c. Accessibility
d. Demand and Supply
e. Grouping
f. Refusal
g. Government’s Policy and Planning
Physical factor especially topography will determine the positioning of a city whether it
is on top of a hill, at the hill’s terrace, on a plain, at the edge of a river estuary or by the
beach. From the aspect of climate, a city can be built in an area where it is too cold or too
hot. For example, a typhoon free area will have a different kind of building design.
Location factor plays an important role in determining the urban and regional land use
pattern. It is clear that the private sector, firms and local residents will try to obtain a
piece of land in the city and willing to bid prices if the land has a good location from the
aspect of communication and fulfils the total area of space needed. That location will
have a high land value because of its good potential.
Accessibility is another facility in order to communicate with the agents involved in the
city area, for example between the supplier, wholesaler, sundry shop owner and buyer. In
general, there are several types of relationship, which are relationship between
individuals, relationship from the information aspect and relationship from the aspect of
production factor. A site that has capabilities to offer these facilities will have a huge
profit where the value will increase and cost of production will decrease.
Agglomeration is the focus of all economic activities nearby the cities so that economies
of scale can be enjoyed. For an industrial area, this factor can cause distribution of social
class according to income level. Thus, this will attract other activities such as trading and
services sector to fulfil the demands from this social class.
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Pushing aspect is found when there is an unsuitable economic activity and hence would
reject other activities in the same particular location. For example, palm oil factory is not
suitable to be placed next to a hospital area.
The demand and supply factor work alongside in determining the land use pattern.
Demand for an area is based on user incomes which are too dependent on location aspect,
accessibility, concentration and refusal. Therefore, users are willing to pay more to get
their ideal location. Here is when the demand for the location is said to be inelastic. Land
supply for a particular location at a particular time can be assumed to be less elastic due
to factors as follows; physical, communication, transportation and public services. A
suitable site from the accessibility aspect has a good potential and thus will have high
demand. The approach for land that has that quality will become the main principle in
determining the urban land use pattern. This result and reaction from demand and supply
are the main determinant for a particular site (land) in a location. Due to this
characteristic of shortage of land supply, a site is utilised to the best and highest level of
usage.
Lastly, planning is an important factor in determining urban and regional land use pattern
as a whole. Since economic factor shows supply of urban land is limited for a certain
purpose, negative planning factor will increase the problems in urban land market by
interfering in the open market system. This happens through planning influence as below:
1. In land division, where certain purposes are written in the development plan of an
area
2. In limiting change of land use to other uses; and
3. In limiting intensive usage level
The planning approach factor is the main determinant in forming the urban and regional
land use pattern.
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Theories of Urban Structure
Rapid urban development since the early 20th century, either from the aspect of
population size or from the width of the bordered area will cause the layout and the land
use development to be disorganised and unmanageable. Control and planning problems
of land use will emerge and these have influenced economists, sociologists and planners
to undertake research in solving these problems for the purpose of an effective
management.
Their research focuses on the layout and urban land use structure in its relation to
economic activities and socio-economic traits of its residents. The researchers make an
effort to prove that uniformity exist from the aspect of land use arrangement of a city and
another city of the same size. This generalisation is useful for anticipating, managing and
planning purposes of urban land use development.
Attention is next given to opinions that were brought up on the urban land use structure.
Among it, are researches done by:
1. E.W Burgess (Concentric Zone Theory)
2. Hoyt (Sector Theory)
3. C.D Harris & E.L Ullmann (Multiple Nuclei Theory)
Concentric Zone Theory (E.W Burgess)
Concentric zone theory emerged from the work of E.W. Burgess on Chicago city in the
year 1900. He suggested that the urban land use structure of Chicago city has
characteristics of concentric circle. This pattern can also be observed in other large cities
in the United States of America at that time.
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According to Burgess, Concentric circle can be distinguished into five zones, which are:
a. Central Business District (CBD)
b. Transitional Zone
c. Low Income Housing
d. High Income Housing
e. Commuter Zone
The diagrammatic representation and the explanation is shown in Figure 2.6 and Figure
2.7 respectively.
Legend:
1. Central Business District (CBD)2. Transitional Zone3. Low Income Housing4. High Income Housing5. Commuter Zone
Figure 2.6 : The Concentric Zone Theory
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1. Central Business District (CBD)
This zone is the focal point of shops offices, high-rise buildings and traffic. A
small part of the land is used for residential. It is also allocated for hotels and
entertainment centre where this area becomes the central focus of residents during
the day and will subside in the evening. Therefore, the price and land rent of this
area is very high.
2. Transitional Zone
This zone places some business that needs ample space. There are a few hotels,
supermarkets, and public buildings with a small part of the land used for
residential areas. The population density is moderate. Therefore, the price and
land rent is also moderate.
3. Low Income Housing
Dwelling houses in this zone are usually shabby and may consist of low income
housing which are dilapidated and have been allocated for factory workers. The
residential areas are crowded with busy and narrow roads. The land rent in this
area is moderate and relatively cheap.
4. High Income Housing
This zone would be residential areas that are comfortable and complete with a
park, wide roads with trees planted by the roadside. Parts of the area which is not
developed are still agricultural areas that produce fruits, vegetables and milk. The
population density is moderate and the price and the land rent in this area is still at
a high level.
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5. Commuter Zone
This area is the isolated residential township. It is connected to the city by roads.
The population is small and its density is moderate. Therefore, the price and the
land rent are moderate and low.
Increase of inhabitants, migration, economy and income cause each zone to encroach
into another zone outside it. The figure below will show the effect of an increase in
rent towards urban land use focal pattern.
Figure 2.7: Rent for Urban Land Use Concentric Zone Slope
a
b
Distance from City Centre (km)
Rent per sq. m.
0
c
66
Comments on Burgess Theory and the Development of Central Business District (CBD)
The development of CBD can be clearly seen in cities of America and the development
of CBD is moderate in European cities and old colonised cities in South America such as
Buenos Aires and Caracas. CBD can be found in countries where the majority is
Europeans such as Australia, South Africa and Rhodesia. CBD is not progressive in cities
of Asia, Africa and Europe due to several reasons:
1. The desire to preserve ancient buildings in the city centre will block efforts to
build sky scrapers, for example in Europe, Asia and Africa.
2. Shop houses institution will not only make the city centre a focal commercial
centre but also as the densest residential area in the city such as cities in Asia.
However, the CBD pattern is slowly being copied by countries such as Hong
Kong, Bangkok, and Singapore. In city of Kuala Lumpur, squatter areas have
been cleared and flats or condominiums have been built. The construction of high
office blocks in the city centre has been encouraged.
3. In most African or Asian cities, the land use structure is not really in the shape of
concentric circle. Since certain ethnic groups specialise in certain activities, the
Inhabitant Zone becomes a Functional Zone. For example, Chinese in the
Southeast Asia causes a Residential Zone to become a Trade Zone.
4. The land use for several areas in the city is heterogenic. Shops, offices, factories
and residential area may be located near to each other despite varying requirement
for the location and site. It is possible that there are a few locations suitable for
different activities and do not have to follow the Burgess model.
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5. Concentric model does not take into account the following items:
Physical factors
Industrial use
Effect of radial route ways or highways towards the land value and its use
A star shaped land use pattern may exist, taking account of travelling time
factor.
Imperfect market; and
Planning control
However, Burgess still emphasised that these land use zones are not static in their
characteristics as this structure will change from time to time. Changes happen outwards
where the first zone will invade the next zone and so on. With the emergence of the
Burgess Model, more theories or other models on land use model have been proposed.
Sector Theory (H. Hoyt)
Homer Hoyt formulated the sector theory in the year 1939. This theory is a continuation
from the debate on the Burgess Concentric Zone Model. The sector theory is based on the
arrangement of residential land use where the urban growth is a continuation of the
growth of residential area and the result of high-income earners that moves along the
main road. Hoyt’s study is mainly on the surrounding cities in America. Hoyt explains
that the residential land use should be arranged in the shape of a sector with radius
patterns emitted from the city centre that are parallel with the main transportation roads.
Basis of Sector Theory
Hoyt’s theory is based on the difference of land value between zones that are located in
the city centre and the suburbs.
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Hoyt’s study focused on the area of New York City, Chicago, Detroit, Washington and
Philadelphia. In Hoyt’s opinion, the land rental value of cities in America can show the
sector pattern where the tendency for the most expensive land rent are those located along
the transportation road and that the highest land value does not need to be located in the
city centre.
The characteristics of the sector theory are as follows:
1. The expansion of land use moves outwards from the city centre usually parallel
with the direction of the main transportation roads.
2. The arrangements of the main roads are radial where each road focus towards the
city centre and emits out toward the suburbs. This would create different rents and
in the end would create different land use too.
In this theory, there are a few fractions of different land use, which are known as sector
where:
a. Production and storage areas are located far from the areas of high-income earners.
b. Areas of low-income earners are located next to the production and storage areas.
c. Medium-income areas are located between the high-income and low-income areas.
d. There are network of highways exiting the sector area.
e. A railway connection crosses the sector area.
Figure 2.8 shows the different sectors in the Homer Hoyt’s model.
69
1. Central Business District
2. Manufacturing and Warehousing
3. Low Income Housing
4. Medium Income Housing
5. High Income Housing
Figure 2.8: Sector Model (Homer Hoyt)
70
The assumptions in the theory brought forward by Hoyt are as follows.
1. There are various group of society in the city
2. The city source of economics is industrial and trade
3. Individual ownership of assets
4. There is competition in land use
5. There is no focus on heavy industry
6. There is no land use due to heritage of historical city
7. The transportation road is not uniform but heading towards a specific direction in
the city.
In Hoyt’s model, there are several factors that result in different sectors to form:
a. Income factor
According to Homer Hoyt, there is a different stratum according to the people’s
income. For the high-income earners (prioritise comfort and able to afford it), they
will choose luxurious residential areas. Thus, the sector formed will extend out from
the city centre (sector 5).
For medium income earners, their housing are located between the high-income
housing and low cost housing (sector 4). In time, this group would be in the high-
income housing from their own effort.
For the low-income earners, they will occupy the area between the manufacturing and
warehousing area, the low cost housing area (sector 3). The shorter distance to work
can reduce their travelling expenses further.
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b. Connection Factor
The city centre is connected to other cities through a network of roads and railways.
Thus, the city centre would function as the pulse of land use and urban growth.
Different land use occurs along these series of road based on the facilities provided.
c. Culture and Social Factor
This factor is more focused on the elite and high–income group. The focal influence
will cause the land price and rent of that area to be expensive. This is due to demand
and competition which snap up the areas with the required characteristics.
d. Physical Factor
Recreation area with a beautiful natural view that is also safe will become the focus
of high-income group.
Factors that encourage the growth of high cost residential area in the city can be
summarised as below:
i. The existence of a good transportation road
ii. The site speciality (no flood threats, beautiful view, clean air and far from
pollution)
iii. The focus of luxury housing around the homes of leaders and other elite groups
iv. The growth of commercial areas, financial institution and administration offices
that becomes an attraction, which encourages the development of luxury housing
v. The growth direction for high cost area will last for a certain period.
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The Criticism on Sector Theory
Since Hoyt model was developed based on observation done on several cities in the
world, not many researchers have make an effort to test it. However, Walter Firey (1947)
did a study to observe the land use of Boston City, America. From the comparison made,
it was found that the Boston land use contradicts with the model formulated by Hoyt. The
difference on the physical factor of a city with another city, cannot be combined to make
one generalisation. The approach, performance and the cartography of the study is also
questioned by Firey and was considered insufficient to form a theory. To Firey, factors
such as social, history, sentiments and aesthetic value sometimes have more influence.
In 1964, Hoyt himself admitted that the high cost housing is not characteristically a full
circle instead it is in sectors at few urban areas. According to Hoyt, the high cost housing
is not changeable. The construction of express transportation road has caused new high
cost housing sector to expand outside its traditional area. Although Hoyt explained that
high cost housing expand towards the suburbs in the shape of sector, there is still a
tendency of layers of circular zones to exist based on the building’s age where the old
buildings are at the city centre and the new buildings at the suburbs as though it depicts
the pattern of concentric zone. Therefore, the sector model is only as a redevelopment
towards refining and completing the Burgess Model.
Multiple Nuclei Theory (Harris and Ullmann)
The Multiple Nuclei Theory was proposed by Chauncy D. Harris and Edward l. Ullmann
in the year 1945. In this theory, the development of land use structure does not focus on
certain areas only as other central point can grow and has its own attraction. These city
centres are known as ‘nuclei’ and are able to plan a different land use with other cities.
According to Ullmann, the growth of multiple nuclei in a large city is motivated by a few
factors as follows:
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1. The need for facilities or attractions by an economic activity at certain sites in the
city. For example, an industrial area is very suitable to be placed nearby ports,
railway tracks, highways or ample water supply.
2. The grouping of economic activities that will bring agglomeration benefits. For
instance, general stores will benefit if located in the middle of the city whilst
financial institutions and private office administration tend to locate together.
3. Incompatible land use at an isolated area.
4. The site cost factor plays an important role in determining the dispersion of an
economic activity in the city.
5. Historical result that can influence the urban land use. For example, certain cities
with older areas have become the traditional trade focal point in the city.
The characteristics of this theory are as follows:
a. A city will grow from one nucleus. When the city grows, then new city centres
will grow.
b. A few cities expand from more than one central point and later joined to become a
big city. For example, London and Westminster are two separate central points,
which have different specialisation.
c. There are a few groups of land use type that can expand around the nucleus of big
cities; and
d. Other city centres may grow due to certain needs by the city society.
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The Multiple Nuclei Theory does not suggest a general model that can be used in
understanding the land use structure such as in figure 2.7. One of the critics for this
theory is that it cannot explain other situations such as the existence of concentric zone as
mentioned by Burgess and Hoyt, where in reality concentric and sector zones do exist.
Division of Zones:
1. Central Business district2. Wholesale and Light Manufacturing3. Low Income Residential 4. Middle Income Residential5. High Income Residential 6. Heavy Manufacturing7. Outlying Business District8. Residential Suburb9. Industrial Suburb
Figure 2.9: Multiple Nuclei Model (Harris & Ullmann)
75
The other weakness of this theory is the relation between the land uses and the main
transportation system rule pattern. The Multiple Nuclei Theory does not focus directly on
the role played by roads in influencing the growth of multiple nuclei in a city as
explained in the Sector Theory.
Land Use Development in Developing Countries
Although there is no suitable model that can explain the urban land use structure for all
countries, nevertheless, opinions suggesting the existence of land use structure according
to certain zones in the Western cities can be generally accepted.
Not many studies have been done on land use structure in the developing countries.
However, not so long ago, T.G. McGee has made a generalisation on South East Asian
urban land use structure. According to him, the existence of dualism economy in South
East Asian countries has created developed and underdeveloped sectors in these
countries.
Part of this scenario is reflected in the urban land use structure. A developed sector is
characterised by a commercial area similar to Western commercial area with large capital
and more formal arrangements while the underdeveloped sector is self reliant and
informal.
In certain parts of the city commercial areas, there are markets and bazaars besides
emporiums and supermarkets to place poor self-relying economic activities. Outside this
area, are poor housing areas especially those that consist of squatter and crowded areas.
As for the suburbs, it consist of high-income housing area especially those on higher
grounds.
The edge of a housing estate and industrial area reflects the efforts made to apply the
Western planning ideas. However, the land use structure is disorganised and far from the
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accepted western standards due to obvious poverty problems. Studies of other areas in
developing countries such as Taipei, Calcutta, Cairo and Istanbul also proved the
significant difference in land use pattern between a developed and a developing country.
This proves that the Western land use model has to be modified before it can be applied
to the developing countries.
It is clear therefore, that certain land use structure exists in cities. However, there is a
difference in the shape and pattern between a developed and a developing country. The
difference on development of land use structure is because of dissimilarities in factors
such as the historical background, culture, level of development, inhabitants and others.
The knowledge on land use pattern is useful for the purpose of social and urban
economics planning specifically in formulating the urban development plan.
The Land Use Structure in City of Kuala Lumpur
Since the early 19th century, the Sumatrans have lived in villages around the confluence
of the Klang and Gombak Rivers. The first group of people to come on a large scale to
Kuala Lumpur in 1857 was led by Raja Abdullah and 87 Chinese miners to explore and
open tin mines. This group landed at a muddy pier at the confluence of Klang and
Gombak Rivers and succeeded in finding tin ore in Ampang. The discovery of tin ore has
quickened the economic growth and numbers of inhabitants. A small village has
developed into a town. In the year 1880, Kuala Lumpur became the capital of Selangor
with 2000 inhabitants only.
On 1st February 1972, Kuala Lumpur was awarded city status and was placed under the
Prime Minister’s Department (Federal Territory Development Division). The Mayor of
Kuala Lumpur holds the administration of Federal Territory and as the local enforcer, his
role is focussed on service provision and development besides concentrating efforts in
developing Kuala Lumpur City as Malaysia’s capital.
77
As the nation’s capital, Kuala Lumpur would be the source of the country’s life with
various activities, covering politics, administration, religious, trade, finance, culture,
sports and education. Today, Kuala Lumpur has a population of 1.7 million people and is
a dynamic capital that is on par with other nation’s capital in the world.
Main Development Areas in Kuala Lumpur
In general, Kuala Lumpur can be divided into four (4) main zones:
(See figure 2.8)
Zone A - Main Planning Area
Zone B - Area of New Developing Towns (Bandar Tun Razak, Wangsa Maju, Bukit
Jalil and Damansara)
Zone C - Existing Development Area (Jinjang, Sentul, Setapak, Dato’ Keramat,
Maluri, Bukit Anggerik, Seputeh, Bukit Indah, Penchala and Edinburgh)
Zone D - Industrial area
78
Figure 2.10 : Kuala Lumpur and Main Development Areas
79
Main Road
Zone ACentral Planning Area
Zone CExisting Developing Area
Zone B New Growth Area
Kuala Lumpur Development Strategy
Several future alternative-development strategies has been developed and tested before it
is applied into the concept contained in the Kuala Lumpur Structure Plan. These
strategies try to visualise the implication that allows development trend that is centralised
and distributed.
Decisions made on the strategy of development of Kuala Lumpur are based on a number
of factors as follows:
1. The potential in achieving the objective and target of Structure Plan;
2. To allow a balanced development in Kuala Lumpur City without an interest in
congested private investment in the city;
3. To take into account of current development trend and the objective in
rearranging and redistributing development in Kuala Lumpur City;
4. To provide an approach that is most pragmatic towards the hierarchy of centres
development and the execution of the concepts contained in the Structure Plan;
5. Enhance the working, living and business environment of the City Centre;
6. Designate and develop International Zones;
7. Designate and implement Comprehensive Development Areas (CDAs);
8. Encourage and facilitate the development of Malay Reservation Areas, traditional
kampungs and new villages;
9. Initiate and implement the redevelopment of blighted areas;
80
10. Ensure complete and integrated city linkages;
11. Provide priority and incentives to development in areas around transit terminals;
12. Ensure the functional distribution of centres and facilities;
13. Consolidate the development and enhance the environment of stable areas; and
14. Consolidate the development and enhance the environment of major entry points.
These strategies and their underlying principles are described in greater detail below.
(refer to figure 2.11 and figure 2.12)
81
Figure 2.11 : Kuala Lumpur Development Strategies Plan 1
Source : Draft Kuala Lumpur Structure Plan 2020 (2003)
82
Figure 2.12 : Kuala Lumpur Development Strategies Plan 2
Source : Draft Kuala Lumpur Structure Plan 2020 (2003)
83
This chosen strategy estimated that the Planning Unit 1, which is the Central Planning
Area as Zone 1 (City Centre) due to the surplus number of controlled labor (375,000) and
the population (360,000), compared to other planning units.
Planning Unit 5 (Wangsa Maju), Planning Unit 6 (Bandar Tun Razak), Planning Unit 12
(Bukit Jalil) and Planning Unit 13 (Damansara) are grouped into zone 3 which are
Existing Developing Area and Zone 4 that is Specialised Planning Unit.
The niches of the chosen strategy are as follows:
a. The ability to develop and prioritise development for Wangsa Maju and Bandar
Tun Razak where a huge part of it are government’s land
b. The ability to spread out some of the activities in the city centre and to reduce
commuting to the Central Planning Area
c. The ability to encourage a more balanced development in the Federal Territory.
Development centres are created at area outside the city centre.
d. It would be the city centre hierarchy where the new developing area will function
as a residential and labour zone. This would create a better environment and
structure for Kuala Lumpur.
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Table 2.1: Federal Territory: The Distribution of Land Use and Population According
to the Planning Unit
ZONE LAND USE
Area (ha)
% POPULATION %
Zone 1
City centre (CPA) 370,000 35.8 128,721 16.4
Zone 2
New Developing Area
1. Planning Unit 5
Wangsa Maju
2. Planning Unit 9
Bandar Tun Razak
3. Planning Unit 12
Bukit Jalil
4. Planning Unit 13
Damansara
306,000
72,000
72,000
72,000
90,000
29.7
7.0
7.0
7.0
8.7
510,000
120,000
140,000
120,000
130,000
23.2
5.5
6.4
5.5
5.8
Zone 3
Existing Developing Area
1. Planning Unit 2
Jinjang
2. Planning Unit 3
Sentul
3. Planning Unit 4
Setapak
4. Planning Unit 6
Dato’ Keramat
5. Planning Unit 7
Maluri
6. Planning Unit 8
Bukit Anggerik
316,000
33,000
49,000
27,000
17,000
25,000
24,000
30.6
3.2
4.8
2.6
1.6
2.4
2.3
1,255,000
185,000
140,000
160,000
50,000
100,000
100,000
57.0
8.4
6.4
7.3
2.3
4.5
4.5
85
7. Planning Unit 10
Seputeh
8. Planning Unit 11
Bukit Indah
9. Planning Unit 14
Penchala
10. Planning Unit 15
Edinburgh
36,000
42,000
44,000
19,000
3.5
4.1
4.3
1.8
150,000
180,000
120,000
70,000
6.8
8.2
5.4
3.2
Zone 4
Specialized Planning Unit
KEMENTAH
Kelab Golf Di Raja Selangor
Universiti Malaya
Kem Sungai Besi
Chan Sow Lin
40,000
10,000
700
5,000
9,700
15,000
3.9
0.9
0.1
0.5
0.9
1.5
75,000
14,000
1,000
5,000
45,000
10,000
3.4
0.6
0.1
0.2
-
-
TOTAL 1,032,400 100 2,200,000 100
Adapted from: Kuala Lumpur Draft Structure Plan (1990 & 2003)
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Table 2.2: Residential, Commercial and Industrial Land Use change, 1984-2000
Growth CentreResidential (ha) Commercial (ha) Industrial (ha)
1984 2000 1984 2000 1984 2000
KUALA LUMPUR 3822.03 5489.56 504.36 1091.71 474.63 553.05
Central Planning
Area (CPA)
Percentage Change
1984-2000
390.58 287.60
(26.37%)
254.88 318.99
25.15%
4.12 0.93
(77.43%)
Designated New Growth Centres
Wangsa Maju 108.58 314.59
189.73%
5.22 64.64
1138.31%
18.57 30.66
65.11%
Bukit Jalil 2.75 51.76
1782.18%
0.00 9.04
0.00%
9.25 33.09
257.73%
Damansara 640.56 774.56
17.3%
12.74 49.60
74.31%
0.00 0.00
0.00%
Bandar Tun Razak 289.69 410.67
41.76%
19.18 62.25
224.56%
10.73 26.52
147.56%
Other Growth Areas
Jinjang 252.65 428.77
69.71%
32.27 80.63
149.86%
106.57 134.94
26.62%
Sentul 276.93 492.28
77.76%
17.63 124.50
606.18%
62.10 112.34
71.43%
Setapak 366.86 458.06
24.86%
15.79 53.20
236.92%
37.33 7.91
(78.81%)
Datuk Keramat 248.87 306.49
23.15%
11.83 41.81
253.42%
0.00 0.00
0.00%
Maluri 97.59 141.15
30.86%
13.14 34.01
158.83%
9.46 8.68
(8.25%)
Bukit Anggerik 56.97 127.46
123.73%
8.50 21.08
148%
11.29 21.69
92.12%
Seputeh 268.1 397.74
48.36%
39.80 70.50
77.14%
37.86 32.49
(14.18%)
Bukit Indah 305.78 677.90 31.00 99.79 99.46 57.77
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121.70% 221.90% (41.92%)
Penchala 147.00 281.11
91.23%
12.8 27.65
116.01%
1.97 2.76
40.10%
Bukit Maluri 189.28 197.11
4.14%
11.88 20.08
69.02%
22.64 25.90
14.40%
Adapted from: Kuala Lumpur Draft Structure Plan, 2020 (2003)
Based on the theories by Hoyt and Harris and Ullmann, it is clear that certain principles
in the theories are applicable to the current structure of Kuala Lumpur City. The most
important principle of these theories is the development and growth toward the suburbs
(as shown in Table 2.1 and Table 2.2). Both theories also explain the residential aspect
and here the Multiple Nuclei Theory is more appropriate to Kuala Lumpur City because it
takes into account other land use in detail. This theory is more prepared to adapt itself to
changes in the present structure of urban land use of Kuala Lumpur.
Factors Determining rental value in Kuala Lumpur City
W. Alonso in the Land Rent Theory put forward that the principles of rental value will
decrease when it gets further from the city centre. (Refer to Figure 2.3)
However, from the observation on the Kuala Lumpur land use structure, it is found that
the land rent value does not have the same pattern as the theory suggested (See Table
2.3). This is due to several influencing factors on the Kuala Lumpur property rental value
which are as follows:
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1. Supply and Demand Factor
This is the core factor influencing rental value in this city. The Property Market
Report 2005, for example has shown that an encouraging increase on the office
rental value in the city centre and the Golden Triangle area with rental exceeding
RM50.50 per square metre per month. Its occupancy rate too has also increased.
Table 2.3: Rental Value (per month) According to Type of Land Use in Kuala
Lumpur
a. TRADE (SHOP HOUSES)
i. Central Town Prime Area
- Jalan Tuanku Abdul Rahman = RM 138.89 p.s.m
ii. Central Town Secondary Area
- Lorong Haji Taib = RM 58.33 p.s.m
iii. Suburban Prime Area
- Desa Sri Hartamas = RM 70.55 p.s.m
iv. Suburban Secondary Area
- Taman Midah = RM 25.93 p.s.m
b. COMMERCIAL COMPLEX
i. Central Town Prime Area -Suria KLCC = RM 323.00 p.s.m
ii. - Kota Raya = RM 267.00 p.s.m
iii. Central Town Secondary Area -Ampang Park = RM 201.00 p.s.m
iv. - Plaza Imbi = RM 111.00 p.s.m
v. Suburban Prime Area -Mid Valley = RM 576.00 p.s.m
vi. Suburban Secondary Area -Cheras Leisure Mall= RM 205.00 p.s.m
v. Golden Triangle Area -Lot 10 = RM 377.00 p.s.m
-Star Hill = RM 387.00 p.s.m
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-Bukit Bintang Plaza= RM 290.00 p.s.m
c. OFFICE
i. Central Town Prime Area -Multi-Purpose Tower = RM 43.05 p.s.m
ii. Central Town Secondary Area-Amoda = RM 46.28 p.s.m
iii. Suburban Prime Area -PNB Damansara = RM 32.29 p.s.m
iv. Suburban Secondary Area -Wisma Damansara = RM 34.44 p.s.m
v. Golden Triangle Area -AmBank Group = RM 52.74 p.s.m
-UBN Tower = RM 62.43 p.s.m
-IMC Tower = RM 78.58 p.s.m
d. RESIDENTIAL
i. Kuala Lumpur District
-Single-storey terrace = RM 1,450/mth
-Double-storey terrace = RM 2,400/mth
ii. Ampang District - Taman Maluri
-Single-storey terrace = RM 800/mth
-Double-storey terrace = RM 1,200/mth
iii. Petaling District - Setapak
-Single-storey terrace = RM 700/mth
-Double-storey terrace = RM 1,200/mth
Source: Property Market Report Jan-June 2009
The increasing demand and high occupancy rate for both the city centre and the
Golden Triangle area has caused office spaces outside the city centre area to
experience higher rental value.
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The supply of office spaces is slow in responding to its demand. This would cause
the rental value to increase. Thus, the office space rental value in the Golden
Triangle area is higher than the city centre as the demand is higher in the former.
2. Economic Factor
A stable economy has encouraged investment to enter into the main areas of
Kuala Lumpur. This was followed by the increase of purchasing power due to
rapid economic growth for the past 7 years and the important recovery from
unemployment situation in the country.
The increase in the rental level in the commercial sector is an obvious proof of the
stable economic situation. Commercial property can be divided into Pre-War type
buildings and Commercial Complexes (shopping centres). An obvious rental
value pattern for the Commercial Complexes is where the Secondary City Centre
area experiences a higher value compared to the city centre area because investors
are more interested to invest in the secondary areas following an encouraging
economic development in those areas.
3. Type of Buildings
The design, structure and the shape of the buildings also influence the rental value
for Kuala Lumpur city. Careful considerations are given by a building owner to
these factors for the purpose of attracting customers or investors to his property.
Indirectly, these aspects would influence the rental value.
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Pre-War buildings in the city centre such as in Jalan Tuanku Abdul Rahman and
China Town have a much lower rental value compared to commercial complex
buildings outside the city centre ( for example in Ampang Park in the Secondary
Suburban area). This is because the Pre-war buildings do not have the attraction
and have less space to display goods.
4. Modern Facilities
All the facilities provided either basic amenities or modern facilities in an area
also influence the Kuala Lumpur rental value. These facilities include open car
parking area, controlled car parking area and other ancillary facilities.
5. Surrounding Development
Surrounding development can also influence the existing rental value pattern. For
example, the Sogo Pernas Complex and Marcoland along Jalan Tuanku Abdul
Rahman have brought new interest on the Pre-War and the 4-5 storeys shop
houses.
Retail space for the Mall Shopping Complex (located in the Secondary City
Centre) also has a high rental value compared to the city centre and the Golden
Triangle Area. This is due to its surrounding development comprising of
international hotels and luxury condominiums.
TUTORIAL QUESTIONS
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1. Briefly explain the land use model suggested by Von Thunen. How far does it explain
the land use pattern for any particular urban area that you know?
2. With reference to Kuala Lumpur city or any other large cities that you have studied,
explain and give comments on the characteristics and structure of:
a. Central Business District (CBD)
b. Industrial area
c. Residential area
3. Provide an assessment on the classic land use model that was put forward by E.W.
Burgess. How far does the model fulfil the real urban land use structure in Malaysia?
4. There is a close relation between land use, location and the land value. Discuss the
basic principles and theory behind this relationship.
5. With reference to a city that you have studied, give comments on its urban land use
pattern and state the main factors that influence the land use pattern.
6. Elaborate the factors influencing the land rent in Kuala Lumpur city and differentiate
the rental pattern with Land Rent Theory by W. Alonso.
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CHAPTER 3: REGIONAL ECONOMICS
Regional economics is a relatively new branch in economics. Lack of attention was given
to it in the early stages, as it is easier to see a country’s economy than regional. No
attention was given to regional economics in the traditional economics because the space
factor was not considered a factor that influences the economy. However, other factors
like time factor is considered a critical dimension. Awareness on the importance of space
factor has been emphasised earlier by other fields such as geography, sociology and
demography. Only when problems or weaknesses arise from the traditional economics,
the realisation on the importance of space factor emerges. From here, the regional
economics studies arises dealing with matters related to existing settlement and regions.
The following factors also contribute to the development of regional economics studies,
which are:
Increasing implications of regional policy
The development of new techniques in economic analysis; and
The awareness that there is a direct connection between regions in regional
planning.
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Concept and Definition of a Region
A region has a definition originally used in certain branches of discipline including
geography, political science and economy. A renowned Oxford Geography expert, A.J.
Herbertson uses the analysis approache to divide the world into natural regions based on
four criteria, which are land surface, climate, vegetation and population density.
According to political scientists, a regional concept is a superior achievement of a
political unit. This group refers to the division of government power such as the central
government and state government. They interpret a regional concept in terms of a
political unit based on similar characteristics found in the unitary system.
Economists regard region as a country’s economic sub-system. This approach is often
used in empirical studies. Most economists interpret region based on the government’s
objective and on existing definition especially from the aspect of political unit and
administrative unit.
Overall, the concept and definition of regions can be divided into three specific
approaches:
1. Uniform region
2. Nodal region
3. Planning region
Uniform region
Uniform region or homogenous region is based on the opinion that each space unit in a
country or geography area can be connected with one another to form a region if this
space unit shows uniform characteristics.
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Richardson, a Regional Economics expert (1969) said that the uniform characteristics
might consist of economic factors (such as similarities in production structure or usage
pattern), geographic factors (similarities in topography or climate), social factors and
political factors. All of these are considered as homogeneous variables.
Nodal region
Nodal region is a region that has different units or areas (heterogeneous). For example
from the aspect of dispersion pattern and the population division that brings to the
formation of cities, towns and metropolitan cities according to the settlement hierarchy.
These areas are closely connected to each other through the economic function and need.
The concept of nodal region consists of two areas, central area and the suburbs. The
central area is important from the aspect of economic, social and political activities while
the suburbs usually depend on the central area.
Planning region
This region can be defined as an area where economic decisions are executed and this
gives unification for that area. Related areas with certain problems are united to execute
certain development strategy.
Regional Concepts Suitable in Malaysia
1. Classification Based on Uniformity Concept
Based on Malaysia’s history, the uniformity concept has been applied by the English
where the states in Malaysia were divided into three areas: Allied Malayan States,
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Unallied Malayan States and the Straits. This division is considered from the angle of
politics and history.
According to the First and Second Malaysia Plans, the planning and execution of
regional development programme is undertaken by states where each state has its own
political unit and divided to its own administration. It is divided into 14 states, which
are Selangor, Perak, Kedah, Perlis, Pulau Pinang, Kelantan, Terengganu, Pahang,
Johor, Melaka, Negeri Sembilan, Sabah, Sarawak and Federal Territory.
This regional concept changes with time and economic conditions. In the Third
Malaysia Plan, regional development was introduced to reduce the economics gap
between regions. However, a more intensive approach was introduced in the Fifth
Malaysia Plan in terms of the development of states that have less resources and
having growth problems.
Consequently, Malaysia was divided into six regions, which consists of the Northern
Region, Central, Southern, Eastern, Sabah and Sarawak (Figure 3.1). For the
Northern Region, the selection of states is based on economic activities and resources
where most of it is from agriculture. This can be observed from the Goss Domestic
Product (GDP) where the Northern region has the highest agricultural produce
compared to other regions. For the Central region, the affiliated states under it
focused on the industrial and manufacturing sectors while the Eastern region has
natural resources industry. The Southern region has the same socio economic
characteristics as other states in Peninsular Malaysia and its development rate and the
resource-channelling pattern, is influenced substantially by its location nearby to
Singapore. The Sabah and Sarawak region is considered as a separate region based on
its size, location and its own socio-economic characteristics.
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98
Figu
re 3
.1: R
egio
ns in
Mal
aysi
a
Nor
ther
n re
gion
Cen
tre
regi
onE
ast r
egio
nSo
uth
regi
onSa
raw
ak r
egio
nSa
bah
regi
on
Overall, Peninsular Malaysia can be divided into 3 regions based on the achievement
and the stages of its economic development; which are the underdeveloped region
(Kelantan, Terengganu, Kedah and Perlis), moderate region (Malacca, Pahang and
Negeri Sembilan) and developed region (Selangor, Perak, Pulau Pinang and Johor).
2. Classification Based on Nodal Concept
Based on this concept, a region can be divided into a central node acting as a
growth centre and suburb areas. It started in the Fourth Malaysia Plan where
Malaysia was divided into six regions and each region has a growth centre as
below:
a. Northern region
Consists of Perlis, Kedah, Pulau Pinang and Perak where George Town acts as
the centre for growth.
b. Eastern region
Consists of Pahang, Kelantan and Terengganu where its centre for growth is
Kuantan.
c. Central region
Consists of Selangor, Federal Territory, Negeri Sembilan and Malacca where
the centre for growth is Kuala Lumpur.
d. Southern region
Consists of Johor where its centre for growth is Johor Bahru.
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e. Sabah region with Kota Kinabalu as its centre for growth.
f. Sarawak region growth with Kuching as its centre for growth.
It is found that each of those regions consists of a group of neighbouring states or a single
state only and its activities with at least one large town acting as its centre for growth.
3. Classification Based on Planning Concept
In Malaysia, the concept of planning regions has been classified according to the
criteria of the potential of natural resources in the area, growth stages, poverty,
income distribution and unemployment. The awareness on the necessity of
planning regions started in the year 1961 with the emergence of MUDA planning
region and to date there are several planning regions in Malaysia such as the
North Western Selangor, Klang Valley and Kuala Lumpur Territory.
The benefit of this concept is its changing capabilities due to the usage of both
concepts of uniform region and functional region. When a region has been
identified and its border determined, it is much easier to obtain data and execute
its development policy. Integration between sectors can also be easily formulated
in determining the relation of a sector’s development with another sector. It is also
found that it is easier to evaluate the regional planning development process.
Problems of Imbalanced Regional Development
In general, there are several forms of regional problems as follows:
1. Problems faced in the agricultural region where it is too underdeveloped and not
directly involved in the industrial activities. The region has a low standard of
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living and is not provided with basic amenities that are found in other regions in
that country.
2. Problems faced in industrial region where they suffer from economic downturn
and as a result have a high unemployment rate.
3. Problems faced in congested region where its future development involves high
social cost. Consequently, the region needs a huge public investment in its
infrastructure development.
Imbalanced Regional Development in Malaysia.
Problems of imbalanced regional economics are the root of the problem of development
for many developing countries. Therefore, various strategies have been carried out to
tackle the imbalance between a poor region and a rich region.
In Malaysia, the issue in rural development and the imbalance problem has long existed.
Realising the existence of these problems, a regional development plan has been
introduced to reduce the economic development gap between the regions.
There are a number of factors leading to imbalanced regional development:
1. Natural Resources
Each region has different natural resources and this causes the development of
each region to be non-simultaneous and unbalanced. For example, in the case of
the central region; it was developed early with the discovery of tin ore in the area.
This discovery attracted many people to migrate and to work on the industry.
Thus, the central region developed earlier compared to other regions.
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2. Politics
Politics also plays an important role in development. The opposition party for
example, has dominated the Eastern region and therefore it has less allocation for
development by the government. A region with political instability also will affect
its development.
3. Economic factors
Economic factors can cause imbalance. It is clear that each region has different
economic base. For example, the economic activity of the eastern region is based
on resources from the sea; south, agriculture; and central resembles more to trade
and industry. This difference is caused by factors related to history, geography,
natural resources and government policy. It cannot be denied that regions
practising agriculture-based economics are less developed compared to regions
that practices industrial and export oriented economies.
4. Migration factors
Migration can be defined as human or capital transfer from one place to another.
Migration can happen within an area or from an area to another area. The
migration motivating factors are:
a. High population increase that happens naturally that will cause limited
ownership of land and shortage of return from goods.
b. A decline in natural resources that cannot be renewed such as mining.
c. The prospect of getting a job is more secure in a more developed region.
d. More job opportunities and high wage jobs in a developed region.
102
e. High relative cost of living in the originating region because of low wages.
f. The provision of social facilities in a more developed region such as
entertainment, education, residential and infrastructure.
Migration can cause the following problems:
a. The arrivals of new inhabitants will cause a population surplus and if it continues,
will cause the decrease of average individual income per capita. This situation
happens when labour supply exceeds the demand for produced goods. Therefore,
unemployment in the region will occur.
b. The region that was left behind also has to face a number of problems as follows.
i. Shortage of skilled labour occurs, where most of them have moved to a more
secure region. Only the less productive labour remains to continue the
activities in the region.
ii. Abandoned land areas emerge and natural resources are not utilised. Interest is
given to the main sectors such as trade and manufacturing but the rate of
involvement is low.
iii. Problems in age structure of population in the region may occur, where the
people living in that region consist of the elderly and the below 15 age group.
Those within that age group are non-productive. Hence, the region will not be
that productive.
5. Income factor
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Economists measure a region’s income through the region’s income account
where the level of achievement in the Gross National Product (GNP) can be
determined.
The Gross National Product (GNP) method is only suitable at the national stage as
there are problems at the regional stage as below:
a. There is a leakage such as income of a region spent in another region.
b. The production of goods produced for individual use such as farming
especially in less developed region. In a developed region, most of its
production will re-enter into the market.
c. The labour participation in a developed region is high where the percentage of
18 year olds that can enter the labour market is high. Furthermore, migration
happens continually and hence that region is total income is different from a
less developed region. Most of the productive labour groups have moved to a
more developed area.
d. Economic resource difference where the less developed region practices
agriculture-based economy where its income is constantly influenced by
external factors such as weather, geography and others.
6. Unemployment factor
One of the problems faced by some regions is unemployment. Types of
unemployment that usually happens are as follows.
a. Seasonal Unemployment
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This type of unemployment is seasonal such as a region where fishing is
the main activity. During the rainy season, the fishermen are not able to
carry on with their activities as usual. This also applies to regions focusing
on agricultural activities where jobs can also be disrupted during drought
season. While waiting for the season to pass, many labourers are
unemployed.
b. Cyclical Unemployment
This is caused by the change in regional economics such as a change from
agriculture based economy to industrial based economy.
c. Frictional Unemployment
This usually happens when workers change jobs to a better paying one.
d. Structural Unemployment
This type of unemployment is caused by a mismatch of the skills of
workers out of work and the skills required for existing job opportunities.
For example when an electronics factory closes due to economic
downturn, the factory workers cannot change to other jobs, as their skills
are not suitable to available jobs.
e. Demand Deficiency Unemployment
Unemployment happens when there is a surplus of supply in a developed
region. This surplus will cause price of goods to fall and will thus increase
the cost of production. Therefore, entrepreneurs have to reduce the number
of their workers to reduce that cost hence the workers will become
unemployed.
105
Unemployment usually happens in a developed region because the total
number of workers, Malaysian or foreigners that enters the labour market is
high. However, seasonal unemployment usually happens in an
underdeveloped region because its economy is based on agriculture, which is
always influenced by climatic conditions.
7. Inflation factor
Inflation is a phenomenon where the general price level continues to increase.
According to quantity of money theory, the general price level will increase if the
money supply in the economy increases. The formula for this theory is:
MV = PT
Where, M - Supply
V - Velocity
P - General price level
T - Money exchange or total transaction
According to this theory, if the economy is at full employment, T and V will be
constant. If M increases, therefore P will increase directly at the same rate.
Inflation can be divided into several types:
a. Demand-Pull Inflation
This type of inflation occurs due to “too much money chasing too few goods.”
In other words, demand exceeds supply. It usually happens in a developed
region because of high individual disposable income. In a less developed
region, inflation rarely happens as full employment is rarely achieved.
106
b. Cost-Push Inflation
This type of inflation occurs when there is an increase in the general price
level resulting from an increase in the cost of production, such as an increase
in wages, raw materials or entrepreneurs trying to obtain more profit.
Wage-push inflation happens when the level of employment is full and no
labour is unemployed. This situation will increase the wage rate and when
wages increase; entrepreneurs will increase the price of goods to support the
increase of wages.
Profit-push inflation occurs when oligopoly and monopoly try to increase their
profits by increasing the price level of their produced good. It is usually seen
when an entrepreneur does his business in separate regions.
c. Imported Inflation
For regions that import goods from other regions, the cost of production for
that region will also increase when there is a price increase in the exporting
region. In order to fix the profit level, the price of production has to be
increased.
8. Accessibility
This factor is important in determining whether the region is developed or
underdeveloped. It can be observed to happen in a fast developing region such as
the central region. Investors can bring in factors of production and bring out the
produced goods easily compared to other regions that are not easily accessible
such as Sarawak. Although it is rich in natural goods, but due to inaccessibility
this region is less attractive to investors.
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Due to this imbalance between regions, certain parties especially the government
has to take necessary steps to overcome this problem. Regional policies that can
be used to overcome this imbalance are policies to enhance the richness of an area
and the wealth of its people.
Regional Policy
In most countries, regional policy is the result based on the interaction of politic, social
and economic factors. Political factors emphasise on the effect of regional imbalance on
the community consolidation such as in the United Kingdom, Belgium and Malaysia (13th
May 1969 incident).
Social factors also emphasise the effect of poverty on underdeveloped region. Therefore,
social or community needs has to be given attention; the quality of the region’s
environment has to be taken care of and pollution problems has to be overcome.
From the aspect of economics, a region cannot depend on the power of free market to
determine the result of a location. Thus, the country’s economic growth needs a policy to
ensure that natural resources can be exploited to its maximum.
Regional Policy Objectives
The main purpose of a regional policy is to overcome problems of unbalanced regional
development. In other words, this purpose is related to social, environment, economics
and political issues. In line with its purpose, a regional policy has a number of specific
objectives:
1. To reduce the rate of unemployment
2. To reduce the concentration of a region
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3. To reduce the pressure from demand between regions to avoid inflation
4. To balance man and environment
5. To balance the distribution of income, jobs, ownership and wealth domination
6. To maintain and further strengthen the identity and culture of everyone’s region
7. To increase the usage of resources in less developed region that has many natural
resources.
Strategy
In the execution of a regional policy, the Government needs two strategies that have
relation with the New Economic Policy, which are:
1. To Eradicate Poverty
New regions are created and existing regions are developed to increase the
society’s standard of living. With the existence of new regions, new job
opportunities are created and an increase in activities carried out by the local
people.
2. Rearranging Society by Disassociating Race Identification According to
Economic Functions
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The rearrangement of society is also an attempted strategy by the government. By
forming new regions, the government gives an opportunity to other races to go
into other sectors such as trade and industry. For example, the existence of new
factories and new commercial spaces are able to provide opportunities to
Bumiputeras to be involved in trade. When other races are involved in various
industries, in time it can eradicate race identification according to economic
functions, which happens since the colonized era.
In general, a regional policy is based on a regional development plan. This plan is based
on more specific objectives and strategies. Through the regional plan, the government has
tried to achieve the stated regional policy objectives.
Regional Development Plan
Regional development plan is an important strategy to achieve the New Economic Policy.
Regional development planning started in the Second Malaysia Plan which serves as the
New Economic Policy blueprint. Some of the Boards of Regional Development that have
been established in the Peninsular Malaysia are shown in figure 3.2 and subsequently
explained as follows.
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Figure 3.2: Location of Regional Development Boards in Peninsular Malaysia and the
Areas Covered by Central Planning Studies
111
Kedah –Perlis Study
KESEDAR(2.9 million acres)
Penang Study
Kelantan StudyTHAILAND
Jengka Triangle(300,000 acres)
East Negeri Sembilan Study
Klang Valley Study
Perak utara Study
Seberang Perak Study
Terengganu Study
Kuantan Study
Malacca Study
West Johor Study
South Johor Study
KETENGAH(1.09 million acres)
DARA(2.5 million acres)
KEJORA(750,000 acres)
1. Central Terengganu Development Board (KETENGAH)
KETENGAH which was established on 6th April 1973 covers a huge portion of
district of Kemaman, Dungun and Hulu Terengganu. KETENGAH covers an area
of 443,945 hectare with a total population of 71,291 people.
2. South Eastern Johor Development Board (KEJORA)
KEJORA which was established on 1st June 1972 covers the district of Tanjung
Pengerang and the middle area of south eastern Johor . KEJORA’s total area is
300,000 hectares with a total population of 53,667 people.
3. Southern Kelantan Development Board (KESEDAR)
KESEDAR which was established on 1st May 1972 covers a combination of four
districts namely Gua Musang, Kuala Krai, Jeli and Tanah Merah. KESEDAR’s
total area is 1,237,667 hectare with a total population of 195,597 people.
4. Kedah Regional Development Board (KEDA)
KEDA which was established on 28th May 1981 combines several areas such as
Langkawi, Kubang Pasu, Padang Terap and a few other areas. KEDA’s total area
is 243,094 hectares with a total population of 195,597 people.
5. Jengka Regional Development Board (JENGKA)
JENGKA which was established on 1st August 1983 concentrates on the middle
area of Pahang. The JENGKA’s total area is 196,728 hectares with a total
population of 156,928 people.
112
6. South Eastern Pahang Development Board (DARA)
DARA was established on 1st September 1971. It covers several districts such as
Rompin, and part of it is from Pekan and Temerloh. DARA’s total area is
1,000,000 hectares with a total population of 142,269 people.
7. Penang Regional Development Board (PERDA)
PERDA which was established on 1st June 1983 comprises the whole of Penang
Island besides George Town and Butterworth. PERDA’s total area is 60,000 -
70,000 hectares with a total population of 293,141 people.
8. Iskandar Development Region (IDR)
Iskandar Development Region (IDR) (Malay: Wilayah Pembangunan Iskandar
subsequently changed to Iskandar Malaysia) is the new main southern
development corridor in Johor, Malaysia. The IDR was established on 20th July
2006. It was also known as South Johor Economic Region. It is named after
Sultan Iskandar of Johor.
It is against this backdrop that in July 2005, the Government of Malaysia had
appointed an investment company, Khazanah to conduct a feasibility study for the
development of a special economic zone in South Johor in what was then referred
to as the Southern Belt Economic Zone (SBEZ).
In October 2005, Khazanah presented a Conceptual Outline Plan for the proposed
South Johor Economic Region (SJER) to the National SJER Planning Committee
(NSPC) and concluded that there was a strong economic, social and
developmental rationale for the proposed development of SJER. The NSPC was
chaired together by the Prime Minister of Malaysia, Abdullah Ahmad Badawi and
Chief Minister of Johor, Abdul Ghani Othman. Khazanah acts as the secretariat
for the committee. The NSPC further instructed Khazanah to develop a detailed
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and comprehensive Master Plan for the development of SJER that aims to address
socio-economic development in a holistic and sustainable fashion.
In March 2006, the Ninth Malaysia Plan covering the period 2006 to 2010 was
launched by the Prime Minister. It identified the newly named Iskandar
Development Region (IDR) as one of the catalyst and high-impact developments
under the Plan. This was further reinforced when in November 2006, the Prime
Minister, Chief Minister of Johor and Khazanah announced further details of IDR
on the following Comprehensive Development Plan (CDP):
The Iskandar Development Region is administered by Iskandar Development
Authority.
9. Northern Corridor Economic Region (NCER)
Northern Corridor Economic Region (NCER) (Malay: Wilayah Ekonomi Koridor
Utara or Korridor Utara) is a new economic development corridor in Malaysia.
This programme is a Government initiative to accelerate economic growth and
elevate income levels in the north of Peninsular Malaysia - encompassing the
states of Perlis, Kedah, Pulau Pinang and the north of Perak. The NCER initiative
will span from 2007 to the end of the 12th Malaysia Plan period, i.e. 2025. The
NCER was launched on 30 July 2007 in Alor Star, Kedah and on 31 July 2007 in
Butterworth, Penang.
The vision of the NCER is to be a world-class economic region by 2025, where it
is amongst the world’s best in a number of its key economic sectors, such as E&E
(Electrical and Electronics cluster), agriculture, tourism and biotechnology.
Through the provision of a conducive business environment, the NCER will be a
destination of choice for foreign and domestic businesses to invest in, while its
emphasis on social development, community infrastructure and environmental
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integrity will make it a place where both Malaysians and foreigners would choose
to work, learn, visit and live.
The mission of the NCER development programme is therefore to help the
Region achieve this vision, through identifying commercially-viable opportunities
and implementing strategic initiatives approved by the Government of Malaysia.
10. East Coast Economic Region (ECER)
East Coast Economic Region (ECER) (Malay: Wilayah Ekonomi Pantai Timur or
Korridor Pantai Timur) is a new economic development corridor in Malaysia. It
covers the states of Kelantan, Terengganu, Pahang and the north of Mersing
district of Johor. The ECER initiative will span for 12 years starting from 2007.
The master planner for ECER is Malaysia-owned oil and gas company,
PETRONAS.
The ECER was launched in Kuala Terengganu and Kota Bahru on October 30,
2007 and in Kuantan the next day. During the launch of the project, a RM 6
billion allocation was announced for the opening phase of the project,
strengthening the Malaysian government's commitment to the project.
After this Economic Region, almost all areas in Peninsular Malaysia had become
Economic Regions, only Northern Johor, Southern Perak and Southern Negeri
Sembilan not included. Klang Valley include Kuala Lumpur, Selangor and
Northern Negeri Sembilan, and Melaka originally is an Economic Region. This
shows that the Government has initiatives to develop the whole of Peninsular
Malaysia by Economic Regions.
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11. Sabah Development Corridor (SDC)
The Sabah Development Corridor or SDC (Malay: Koridor Pembangunan Sabah
or Koridor Sabah) is a new development corridor in Sabah, Malaysia. The SDC
was launched on 29th January 2008.
The project is expected to take 18 years with total investment of up to RM 105
billion.On average, it starts from the year of 2009, RM5.83 billion will be
allocated each year for development. 900,000 jobs are expected to be created with
this project along with a waterfront city, tourism sub project and a Sabah Railway
terminal. The project kick-started with the Government announcing an extra
allocation of RM 5 billion under the Ninth Malaysia Plan to improve
infrastructure and lower the cost of doing business in the state.
12. Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy (SCORE)
The Sarawak Corridor of Renewable Energy or SCORE is a new development
corridor in central Sarawak state, Malaysia. SCORE was launched on 11th
February 2008. It is one of the five regional development corridors being
developed throughout the country.
SCORE is a major initiative undertaken to develop the Central Region and
transform Sarawak into a developed State by the year 2020.
It aims to achieve the goals of accelerating the State's economic growth and
development, as well as improving the quality of life for the people of Sarawak.
An alternative development strategy is needed in Malaysia since development has been
highly concentrated in cities such as Kuala Lumpur and Petaling Jaya. One of the
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methods is to develop regions that have potential but is underdeveloped to prevent people
from migrating out of the region.
The purpose of a regional development strategy is to strengthen the integration between
regions of a state in Malaysia. This can be achieved through eradication of unbalanced
economy and structure between regions of a state. This will identify and develop a
region’s strength from the aspect of agriculture and industrial development especially for
less developed states. The attempted objective is to balance the distribution of income
and also medical facilities, education, services, recreation, housing and most importantly
the social development opportunities and citizen’s economy in accordance with the
national objective.
Regional Development Strategy
In order to achieve regional development objective, four strategies were introduced,
which are:
1. Development of Resources and New Land
This is a strategy to place the development of agriculture, industrial and services
at less developed areas and underdeveloped states. Three natural resources
become the target of regional development activities that consist of:
a. Fertile land for agriculture
b. Forest for timber and related goods; and
c. Minerals for mining and initiating industrial activities.
These three mentioned resources can be largely found in Pahang, Johor, Kelantan
and Terengganu.
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2. In-situ Rural Development
The opening of new lands and central development cannot support the poor and it
is difficult for villagers to leave their place of birth and the area, which is
compatible with them. Therefore, in-situ development was planned to redevelop
and bring changes to existing areas and villages.
3. Industrial Placement Distribution
This strategy attempts to bring industrial activities to new areas in less developed
states. The strategy is formed based on three factors, which are:
a. The importance of industrial activities in regional development.
b. It is easier to influence or to get involved in determining the industrial
location from agriculture.
c. The government’s objective through the New Economic Policy is to
encourage the Malays, who mostly live in less developed parts of the country
to play their role in modern economic activities especially industrial activities.
4. The Formation of New Development Centre and Rural Urbanisation
The programmes that are included in this strategy are construction of cities,
traditional village development and construction of public amenities and
recreation. Development for new central development leans against the
development of Kuala Lumpur and Pulau Pinang with its capability to develop on
its own.
The strategy of urbanising rural areas is related with rural industrialisation,
distribution of industries and the formation of new central development. The
purpose of urbanisation is to bring the city’s environment, facilities and services
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to the agricultural area and rural areas. The main objective of rural urbanisation is
to rearrange the living structure of rural society and free them from traditional
living, which is full of poverty.
Agencies Involved in Regional Development
In making this regional development programme a success and hence achieving the
objectives of Regional Policy., various agencies are directly involved:
These government agencies can be divided into three categories, which are:
1. Socioeconomics
a. Pihak Berkuasa Kemajuan Pekebun-pekebun Kecil Getah (RISDA)
b. Lembaga Kemajuan Tanah Persekutuan (FELCRA)
c. Perbadanan Kemajuan Getah Malaysia (MARDEC)
d. Lembaga Pemasaran Pertanian Pesekutuan (FAMA)
e. Institut Penyelidikan Perhutanan Malaysia (FRIM)
f. Institut Penyelidikan Kalapa Sawit Malaysia (PORIM)
g. Institut Penyelidikan Getah Malaysia (RRIM)
h. Perbadanan Kemajuan Kraftangan Malaysia (PKKM)
i. Batik Malaysia Limited
j. Animal Services Department
k. Department of Education, and others
2. Trade and Industry
a. Petroleum Malaysia Berhad (PETRONAS)
b. Heavy Industry Corporation Malaysia (HICOM)
c. Insititut Piawaian dan Penyelidikan Industri Malaysia (SIRIM); and others
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3. Tourism
a. Tourism Development Corporation Malaysia (TDC)
b. Malaysian Airline System (MAS)
Methods of Measuring the Development Imbalance between Regions
A number of methods can be used to measure the difference in regional development:
1. Conservative Method to Measure Economic Development
This method usually does not take into account the regional macroeconomics
situation but emphasised more on microeconomics.
2. The utilisation of certain indicators such as:
a. The regional income per capita
b. The increase in income per capita over a period
c. The population growth rate
d. The migration rate
e. The total population in an urban area
f. The percentage growth of labour force
g. Industrial structure
h. Rate of unemployment
i. Level of education, medical facilities and others
3. The utilisation of indirect mediums towards differences in regional economic
development such as population percentage, housing percentage, power supply and
others due to the absence of direct statistics.
4. Statistical technique in regional data analysis
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a. Regional Income Measurement
b. Difference in incomes between states become a good indicator for the differences
in the rate of economic development between states. This method divides the
country’s income data according to sectors.
c. Regional Income Analysis
d. It compares the regional income with the country’s income.
e. Coefficient of Variation for each year is gathered to measure the difference
between regional income and the country’s income per capita.
f. The regional income data analysis is used to construct a graph to show a visual
picture on the meeting or deviation from the ideal line (equilibrium) in regional
development
5. Location Quotient (L.Q.)
This method is used to compare the receipt and the distribution of certain
activities of a region (population, industry production, agricultural production and
others) compared to the country’s total overall.
The formula used is as below:
% of state population = % of state total area
Country’s population Country’s total area
The figure obtained from the L.Q. will be used to form a curve called the ‘Lorenz
Curve’.
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TUTORIAL QUESTIONS
1. Explain the approach used by economist in explaining region. How far is the concept
of regional planning suitable in the regional classification in Malaysia?
2. How far are the concepts of uniform region and nodal region suitably used in this
country’s regional classification?
3. Explain the problems that arise due to regional development imbalance in Malaysia
and the regional policy that is needed in addressing the problem.
4. Explain the main objectives of regional policy.
5. Discuss the regional development strategies executed in the country during the
National Economic Policy period (1970-1990).
6. “Regional policy is expected to increase the efficiency of economic activities in
Malaysia”. Discuss this statement using various methods of measuring the
achievement of regional policy.
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CHAPTER 4: THE ECONOMICS OF PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTORS
Introduction to Public and Private Sectors
According to Arthur Seldon & F.G. Pennance in “Dictionary of Economics”, private
sector is a combination of economic elements and is neither a body nor a central agency
or Local Government. Therefore, it covers companies sector or individuals sector.
However, according to Alan Gilpin in “Dictionary of Economic Terms”, private sector is
a part of the economic system that is independent from government control. Private
sector is widely involved in productive activities carried out by private organisations.
This includes a wide organisational coverage from small firms to huge organisations
which are managed and controlled by private individuals who wish to maintain the
income and profits by selling goods and offering services to the general public.
On the other hand, public sector is defined as a part of national economic activities that
comprises of Central Government, State Government, Local Authorities and other public
organisations. Both these sectors play important roles in the development of a country.
The main difference between both sectors is in their objectives. The main motive of the
public sector is economic development and welfare of society without calculating the
profits. For the private sector, priority is on sufficient profits through services offered.
The objective of private trade sector is to offer quality, fast, cheap and profitable service
with social aspects and society’s welfare less focused upon.
It can be assumed that the number of staffs that serve the public sector is much larger
compared to the private sector which keeps only productive workers. The number of
workers in the private sector is kept to the minimum to save cost and others.
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In terms of range of services offered, it can be said that in the private sector this would
depend on customers’ requirements whereas in the public sector services are offered
according to certain standards. Schedule 4.1 shows the difference from various aspects
between these both sectors.
Table 4.1: Differences between Public Sector and Private Sector
PUBLIC SECTOR PRIVATE SECTOR
Objective
Without taking into account of profit,
emphasises the importance of social
welfare.
Efforts made to gain maximum profits.
Scope of Work
Has a wide scope especially in the
provision of hard to find goods through the
pricing system. For example:
a. Commodity such as public service,
police force, army and others.
b. Basic amenities for the people such
as infrastructure, highways and
others.
It includes commercial goods that can
generate profits.
Form of Organisation
Under the direct surveillance of the Federal
or State Authorities.
Under the surveillance of corporate parties
such as the Director of the Company, the
Board of Directors and shareholders.
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User
The society is able to use the service sector
provided.
Only for certain people with interests in the
sector.
Labour Force
The use of labour force may not necessarily
takes into account of optimum production.
Labour force is used efficiently to gain
optimum production of goods.
Working Hours
Working hours is fixed by the Authorities Working hours is not fixed and unlimited.
Investment
Investments made are more for the comfort
of the public without only considering the
profits from the production of goods.
Investments made emphasise more on the
profits and the produced goods in terms of
their value in monetary terms.
Bureaucracy
More complex and effective but more time
consuming for matters linked to the service
provided.
Transactions are made much simpler and
are not time consuming because of the
competition for the best service provider.
Level of Expertise
Level of expertise may be less because of
administrative constraints
The level of expertise in a field is much
higher and efficient with the capabilities of
the experts provided unlimited.
Use of Tools
The tools used are limited by cost and The tools used are modified to the latest
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dependent on the authorities. development so that they are more
effective, modern and sophisticated.
The Role of Private Sector
The role of the private sector is to complement the public sector’s efforts in the country’s
economic development and structural change. A more challenging responsibility has been
given to the private sector in the country’s effort to achieve continuous economic growth
and to further strengthen the industrial base.
The roles played by the private sector in assisting the country’s development are as
follows:
1. To put the country’s economic growth into motion
2. To increase investment
3. To achieve the New Economic Policy’s objective and the country’s vision
4. To quicken the industrialisation process
Malaysia Corporatisation Policy
The government in February 1983 introduced Malaysia Corporatisation Policy and as a
sequence from this policy is the launch of Privatisation Policy within the same year, that
is in May 1983. As a result, both of these policies are based on the concept of co-
operation between the government and the private sector so that more contribution can be
made towards the country’s development.
Based on this concept, Malaysia is considered as a company where both public and
private sectors nurture close co-operation and becomes equal owners. The importance of
this concept can be felt when co-operation between both parties is stepped up.
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Therefore, Malaysia corporatisation is an action plan for the economic development and
privatisation is part of the strategy. In summary, privatisation involves the transfer of
government’s interest, investment and responsibility in supplying goods, services and the
management of public sector to the private sector.
Objectives of Privatisation
In implementing the privatisation policy, a number of desired objectives or goals are to
be achieved:
1. To Create Public and Private Parties Co-operation
Established co-operation between both parties is for the sake of the country’s
development where its benefits are enjoyed among the people. It is known that the
government has many heavy responsibilities in the country’s development. This co-
operation will encourage more information sharing and the understanding of
procedures and vision of both parties.
2. To Reduce Government’s Service Work Load
Privatisation is intended to reduce the government administrative load in preparing
and maintaining a huge part of the service network. The provided policy is to
handover management in the form of trade to the private sector to allow the
government to focus fully in the up keeping of the law and legislation and gives
support in achieving the growth and objective of distribution of wealth.
3. Assistance in Achieving the New Economic Policy’s Objective
By increasing the private sector’s growth prospect, especially the corporate sector,
privatisation will provide opportunities in achieving the New Economic Policy’s
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objective and thus the National Development Policy related with the reformation in
economic thinking.
4. To Encourage Economic Growth
An important factor behind privatisation is to achieve the highest economic growth
rate. Privatisation will provide opportunities to the private sector in playing its role in
the development of the country since the private sector is more business oriented.
Therefore, it is hoped that the profits gain will contribute to a continuous economic
growth. That gain will also entails revenues to the government in the form of
corporate tax where it can finance projects under the socio-economic development
plan.
5. To Increase the Work Efficiency and Production
Privatisation can increase the quality of service provided because the private sector is
profit motivated is not influenced by the public service bureaucratic rules and
regulations. Each company that produces goods or provides services has to compete
with other companies that produce the same goods or provides the same services.
This will create high quality of service at a low or competitive price level.
6. Efficient Resource Allocation
A more tight competition between companies created by privatisation can exploit the
country’s scarce resources through open market to activities that can bring maximum
return.
7. To Reduce the Size and Existence of Public Sector
Withdrawal in stages by the government in the production of certain goods and
services through privatisation will reduce the size of the public sector. This will result
in an increase in economic activities that is spearheaded by the private sector.
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8. To Increase National Production
The source of revenue is an important element for a country especially in
implementing the country’s development policy. Before the existence of
corporatisation, the government plays an important role in the distribution of the
services to the people. However, the services provided by the government are less
efficient and productive. Therefore, the existence of corporatisation policy ensures
provision of better services to serve the people. Hence, the national income will
optimally increase.
Forms of Privatisation
There are several forms of privatisation as follows:
1. Privatisation through Build, Operate and Transfer (BOT)
BOT is a form of privatisation where it involves the giving of power or contracts by
franchising to the private party. The contracts awarded and the power given to the
private party involve building works, maintenance an operation. An example of
privatisation through the BOT method is the construction of highways where the
government will award the contract to the private party to carry out the construction
work, maintenance and operation including toll collection.
The BOT method is for a certain period set by the government to the private party.
2. Overall privatisation
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This method is carried out through a complete hand over (100%) to the private sector
in carrying out the management of a project. This means that all ownership, power
and management of the industry will transfer to the private sector after it is privatised.
An example of this method that has been executed is Telekom Malaysia Limited,
Tenaga Nasional Limited, Pos Malaysia and Selangor Water Supply Company.
3. Partial Privatisation
This method of privatisation is carried out by giving partial sale of the equity assets
owned by the government to the private party. The purpose of this partial
privatisation is to reduce the government’s burden from the financial management
aspect and provides best service to the users besides increasing the country’s
economic growth.
Examples of this type of privatisation are Urban Development Authority (UDA)
Holdings, Muda Agricultural Development Authority (MADA) and the Pilgrimage
Board. Partial privatisation of these bodies is to increase the quality of the respective
services.
4. Selective Privatisation
This method involves the privatisation of certain division in selected government
departments/bodies. Privatisation of garbage collection to certain contractors by local
authorities is a case in point.
5. Lease
This method involves privatising a service within a certain period. This is done
through leasing certain facilities and services where people have to pay for the use of
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the facilities. One example is for authorities to lease out parking lots to private parties
for a certain period. This form of privatisation does not involve changes in ownership
from the government to the private bodies. However, at the end of the lease, the
leaseholder may want to buy those facilities.
6. Management Contract
This method involves the giving out of contracts to private parties to manage
government entities. A sum of money will be paid as management fees to the
managing bodies. This will involve transfer of management responsibilities and may
also include the transfer of staffs. However, it does not involve transfer of assets to
the parties that was given the contract.
An example is the privatisation of the management of Wisma Persekutuan office
buildings of the entire country.
Privatisation in Real Estate Development
At present, the country’s real estate development projects are expanding progressively
and rapidly. This progress will make Malaysia a developed industrial nation in line with
its vision 2020 that is jointly upheld by the government and private sectors. Joint efforts
between the public and private sectors are essential since reliance on either the semi-
government bodies or government agency alone is inadequate to solve problems that may
arise.
The country’s privatisation policy, which was introduced in the year 1984, has played a
major role in the formation of the country’s economic charts and polarisation. The
improvement in the economic performance can be further enhanced through the
continuous increase in the foreign investment in the real estate industry in the country. A
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current example is the serious focus of private developers in increasing the construction
of low cost housing.
As a result, Bumiputera’s participation in the real estate industry increases and this will
indirectly increase the status of the Bumiputera group.
Another benefit from this development is that the government gains profit from tax
revenues and this will reduce its financial burden. The government’s budget allocation
especially in funding real estate projects will also be reduced.
However, a housing project carried out by the private party may face some problems in
its development process due to a number of factors as listed below:
1. Original Owner’s Perception
The original owner or the landowner refuses to give or share their land that is meant
to be developed by the private bodies.
2. Environmental Impact
Some projects that are developed by the private party are sometimes too intensive and
may disregard guidelines on the protection of the environment.
3. Imbalance Allocation
Most developers carry out residential projects of high commercial value. As a result
only the elite groups are able to enjoy the developed facilities.
4. Developers Main Priority of High Return
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Most projects that are carried out tend to gain high profits. Therefore, the prices
offered are too high.
5. Price Increase that is Not Uniform
Developers may exploit the fluctuation in residential market price by increasing the
house price by 35% to overcome huge losses incurred in the low-cost housing
projects.
6. Not Following the Planning Procedure
Due to the rapid development, some developers are eager to construct building
projects that may violate the planning procedures and regulations. Limited urban
lands supposedly for two-storey buildings were replaced by the construction of high-
rise buildings.
7. The Focus on Large Cities and City Centres
Site projects are more focused in the city centres and large cities and this will result in
an unbalanced physical development for settlements between the city centre and
suburbs.
A number of suggestions to reduce the above problems are as follows:
a. Giving accurate and detailed information
b. Detailed planning before the execution of the project
c. The control of price increase
d. Agreement between the Planning and Housing Department
e. Encouragements to provide loans and funding for project development; and
f. Government providing conditional tax reductions.
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Decision Making Process and Techniques in the Private Sector
The decision making process is a tough and complicated process. This is because the
process involves various aspects that need to be scrutinised, observed and studied before
a rational decision can be made. This process needs a prediction on the future market and
economic situation. Therefore, the private sector should be responsible and prepared to
accept the risk from the execution of the decision made.
The present day society can enjoy rapid development from the aspects of economy,
social, culture and specifically real estate development. The rapid development of real
estate has caused difficulties for the developers, owners and investors to make decision in
a real estate development project. This is because an active development and construction
sector will indirectly cause the rise of many competitors among the investors, buyers,
demand and supply and hence, the risks become more varied in the real estate
development. To overcome these problems, the private sector has focused its attention
towards in depth research and analysis on their projects before a decision is made.
Feasibility Study
Feasibility study is the preliminary step in the development process. It is an analytical
method and the viability aspect of a project is considered from various perspectives,
which are physical, economic, market, design and analysis. The contents of the study are
as follows:
1. Objectives
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The objectives of a feasibility study comprises of a strategic objective, priorities on
the alternatives being studied and the decision procedure.
2. Physical Analysis
Physical analysis includes a study on the location and site for development such as:
a. Information on the subject site
b. Provision of basic amenities such as water supply, electricity, sewage, drainage
and public transportation.
c. Planning requirements that are related to zoning, density and plot ratio. From
there, the subject site has to be inspected to determine whether it is in accordance
with the planned use.
d. Surrounding development and other facilities available.
3. Economic Analysis
A complete economic analysis will provide information on the following matters:
a. Population trend: The data can be obtained from the Department of Statistics
on the past total population trend, current population size and its main
characteristics.
b. Job trend: This analysis needs data related to activity rate, job rate and its
allocation according to types of industry and jobs. These data are useful in giving
a general picture, stability, income level and the implication of demand in the
subject studied area.
c. Income trend: For example, certain household income
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d. Economic resources of the study area: the feasibility study from the
economic perspective will provide a picture on the potential market size, its
characteristics and views on its possible growth.
4. Market Analysis
Market study is a macro analysis that involves forecasting and analysis on the
market focus. Market analysis is orientated on demand and focus on important
aspects in analysing rent rate, current and future economic situation of an area,
potential for improvement, recovery and change of development units. This study
also takes into account aspects of supply such as changes in the number of units in
real estate development. The determination of supply is important and is always
carried out by the Planning Agency, Housing Department and Local Government
and consultants. The market study focuses on two main topics, which are:
a. Supply Analysis
Real estate supply is influenced by sites that become competitive, land cost,
project rivalry, tearing down of buildings, building permits, presence of
building plans for similar projects, building costs and financing facilities.
b. Demand Analysis
The demand in real estate can be determined from sales and lease data,
vacancy rate and return, consumers’ taste, and real estate prices. Attention has
to be given on the necessity towards demand for expansion and replacement;
and whether there is a demand for extra facilities over and above the existing
facilities.
The market study is an analysis of data with various patterns and forms. These
data are usually stated in relatively smaller and uniform units to measure the
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effective changes in a wider category. For example, data on jobs will be defined
by types of industries (base or non-base) or by previous records and projection on
the average level of jobs in a studied area at a state or national level. A market
study is not only an economic projection or an analysis on the ratio of various
economic variables but it also uses the judgment and art of planning and
forecasting the population increase and the development of economic activities.
The market study will give answers on the decision that should be made in the
effort to achieve an organised development.
5. Financial Analysis
The last aspect in the feasibility study is the analysis of project financial situation
and the existing risk level. The estimation is based on surveys related to the
previous physical, economics, and market and design feasibilities.
In addition, the process involved in this study is the aspect of financial calculation
involving the following elements.
a. Gross development value
b. Cost of Construction
c. Professional fees
d. Loan interest
e. Developer’s profit
f. Return on investment
All the elements are crucial to a private developer to determine whether there is a
financial justification for a development project. The elements are considered in a
development appraisal.
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Development Appraisal
Real estate development can be defined as activities carried out on the real estate to
increase its value. These activities include construction, renovation and division of land
ownership and repairs carried out on the real estate. Real estate development is the key to
other real estate industry and indirectly creates demand in other industries.
Real estate development schemes may consist of one of the following items:
1. Development of a new building on a cleared site
2. The redevelopment of a site that involves changes and replacement of older buildings
with newer ones
3. Renovations or upgrading works on existing buildings; and
4. Combination of all the above
Activities in real estate development are the result of decisions made by the real estate
owners. The owners act as a leader in the development team and make managerial
decisions and supervise the activities of consultants involved in the development.
Main Objectives of Development Appraisal
The main objectives of development appraisal or valuation are:
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a. To study the viability of a project by taking into account other factors such as
demand, market and finance.
b. To calculate the maximum value of a development site for the purpose of sale in the
open market. The maximum development value is later compared with the asking
price to see whether it is profitable for the developer to purchase it.
c. To calculate the expected profits by the developer from the development where the
site belongs to the developer.
d. To calculate the ceiling cost for the construction after the land is acquired so that all
costs are known and the minimum profit to the developer can be determined.
Residual Method
The residual method is a method usually used in valuing land for development or land
that has potential for development. This method is based on the estimated total income or
the gross development value that can be obtained from the proposed development. After
deducting cost of development and developer’s profit, the residual from the gross
development value is considered as the market value which is delayed for the
construction period to arrive at the current market value. Therefore:
Gross development value – Development cost – Developer’s profit
= Residual value of development land
Development costs are the expenses spent in carrying out a development project as
follows:
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1. Preliminary cost, that is the cost to obtain planning permission, change of condition in
the land title, land surveying cost, cost of obtaining ownership and other related costs.
2. Site preparation cost that includes site clearance and site levelling cost so that
development can be carried out.
3. Infrastructure costs which include road construction, sewerage and drainage works.
4. Construction cost which is the actual cost for building the units in the development.
5. Management cost which includes advertising and promotion cost.
6. Professional fees, which are the payment made to the professionals involved.
7. Cost of loan.
8. Contingency, that is a sum allocated for unexpected costs.
Gross Development Value is the value of a completed development. For example in the
case of a housing development, the gross development value is the total selling price for
all units in the development.
Developer’s Profit is an estimation of the return on the invested capital. Usually the
estimated percentage as the developer’s minimum profit margin is 15% - 25% of the
Gross Development Value or 20% - 30% of the invested capital.
Table 4.2 is an example of calculation using Residual Method in valuing a development
site.
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Table 4.2 : An Example of Residual Method Calculation
The valuation of development site for:
1) Shops with a gross floor area of 13,000 square feet. Net lettable area (NLA) is
8,000 square feet. The current net market rent is RM 50 per square foot per
annum and the construction cost is RM 105 per square foot.
2) Apartments
i. 50 units (2 bedrooms) with a floor area of 1,300 square feet.
ii. 50 units (3 bedrooms) with a floor area of 1,700 square feet.
iii. The selling price is RM 110,000 per unit for a 2-bedroom apartment and
RM 140,000 for a 3-bedroom apartment.
iv. Cost of construction is RM 45 per square foot.
3) Preliminary work : RM 40,000
4) Promotion : RM 200,000
5) Fixed interest rate @10%
Gross Development Value (GDV)
a) Shops NLA s.f. RM 8,000.00
Net market rent
p.s.f.. RM 50.00
RM 400,000.00
YP in perp @ 6.50% 15.384615 RM 6,153,846.15
141
No. Description Units Price / Unit Total
(RM) (RM)
b) Apartments
2-bedroom 50 110,000.00
5,500,000.00
3-bedroom 50 140,000.00
7,000,000.00 12,500,000.00
GDV 18,653,846.15
Gross Development Cost
RM
a) Shops
13,000 s.f (gross) @ RM
105.00 p.s.f.
1,365,000.0
0
b) Apartments
i)
1,30
0 s.f @ 50 units@RM
4
5 p.s.f.
2,925,000.0
0
ii)
1,700 s.f @ 50 units@RM
4
5 p.s.f.
3,825,000.0
0
c) Preliminary Works 40,000.00
Cost of
Construction
8,155,000.0
0
d)
Professional Fees
@ 12%
from cost of
construction 978,600.00
Total 9,133,600.00
e) Finance Cost @ 10% p.a. for 2.5 yrs
142
((1+0.1)^2.5)-1) X (9,133,600 X 0.5)
1,228,737.3
0
f) Promotion 200,000.00
Total Building Cost 10,562,337.30
g) Contingency @ 5% of Total Building Cost 528,116.9
h)
Legal / Agent fees
@ 4% of GDV 746,153.8
i)
Developer's profit
@ 25% of GDV 4,663,461.5 5,937,732.25
GDC 16,500,069.55
Residual value = 2,153,776.60
Gross Development Value - Gross Development Cost
Land Acquisition
Cost:
Assuming land value is
X
Land Acquisition Cost
@ 2% of X 0.02X
Land acquisition cost is
1.02 x 2.5 years
@ 10% 0.274X
0.294X
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Therefore,
X = 2,153,776.70 - 0.294X
1,294X = 2,153,776.70
X = 1,664,433.31
Residual Value = RM 1,664,433.31
Say RM 1,660,000
There are opinions stating that the residual value needs to be present valued since the
development value can only be realised after the ongoing development is completed.
From the above example, it can be observed that the site value is RM 1,660,000 after the
development is carried out. From this appraisal, the developer can make a decision
whether to develop the land or not. If the value achieves the expected target or higher, it
is certain that the development will be carried out but if the value is too low, the
development will be postponed. Here, a careful decision has to be made as each decision
has its risks.
Viability Study
Viability study involves a comparison between cost and return of a development project.
The purpose of a viability study is to determine the viability of a development project and
the profit potential (or loss).
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The conventional viability study method is derived from the residual method, where:
Gross Development Value – Development Costs- Site Cost
= Developer’s Profit
In measuring the viability of a development project, there are a number of approaches as
follows:
1. Capital Profit (Developer’s profit or Goss profit)
Measurement is based on the overall total return of a development project.
2. Development Return
Measurement is based on the potential income from the development project as a
percentage of the total building cost.
3. Developer’s Return
Measurement is based on the developer’s profit as a percentage of the development
cost or gross development value.
Based on Table 4.3 below, it is assumed that the developer has purchased the subject
project site or has been offered a doubtful price. In this situation, the developer wants
to know whether he can gain profit from the proposed development and whether it is
viable.
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By using the conventional viability study, the developer can calculate the
development’s return and determine the project’s viability.
Table 4.3 : Example of Development’s Return Calculation
RM RM
Gross Development Value
18,653,846.00
Development Costs
a) Building Costs
8,155,000.00
b) Professional Fees
978,000.00
Building Finance
1,228,737.00
Promotion
200,600.00
Contingency
528,117.00
Legal / Agent Fees
746,153.80
Land Acquisition Cost:
i) Site cost
1,664,433.31
ii) Legal cost, duty stamp
and others @ 2%
33,288.67
iii) Land Acquisition
Financing
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456,786.88 2,154,508.86 13,991,116.66
4,662,729.34
Gross Profit as % on GDV 24.996%
(Developer's Profit)
Gross Profit as % on Development Cost 33.326%
(Developer's Return)
The above gross profit is receivable within 2.5 years. There are opinions which state
that the Gross Profit should be present
valued.
Gross Profit 4,662,729.34
PV for 2.5 years @ 10% 0.788
3,674,163.63
Risk and Uncertainties in Real Estate Development
Investment in real estate development is the exchange of current capital value
(purchasing power) for future benefit. This benefit may be in the form of income or
appreciation in capital value or both. Investors that are involved in real estate
development should take into account what had happened in the past to predict what will
happen in the future.
Risk is defined as a form of measuring the degree of identified loss resulting from a
decision made. Risk is accountable when the probability or a value is placed on a few
hopeful alternatives.
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Uncertainties can be defined as something that is unknown that can happen when a
decision is made. It is used to explain situations where the chances of occurrence of
something cannot be measured and hence no probability can be given to any hopeful
alternatives.
Weaknesses of Applying Residual Method in Development Appraisal and the Solutions
Some of the weaknesses in using the Residual Method are as follows:
1. Determined or given average cost for the length of development period is
unrealistic. This does not depict the real situation because in reality, the real cost
is not fixed and may change according to factors such as inflation and others.
This problem can be solved through the Cash Flow Analysis Approach where all
development costs especially building costs are divided into monthly, quarterly or
annually. The cash flows give a detailed calculation on the total cost of a
development scheme through a more accurate appraisal. The cash flows will
allow the incidence of short term financing to be spread through out the
development period. Costs in residual method are used as basic data for the cash
flow. The use of computers will give a more accurate and concise calculation.
2. Residual method is extremely sensitive toward relatively small changes in each
input. From the example given, if building costs increase by only 2%, the residual
value will decrease by as much as 10% (from RM1,664,433.31 to
RM1,496,265,46). If there are changes in building costs by as much as 2% from
the original costs resulting from say an increase in building costs for an apartment
by RM107.70 and an increase in building costs for a shop by RM45.90 p.s.f., the
site value will decrease.
148
This situation is one of the risks faced by a developer in a development project.
Therefore, it is important that an input is measured as accurately as possible by
using information that has been properly studied and suitable with current time.
This weakness can be fixed by using the Sensitivity Analysis Approach. In this
analysis, possible changes in the future need to be listed down and studied based
on the variables found in a project such as promotion, building costs, loan interest
and others.
Sensitivity Analysis is used in determining effects from changes or mistakes in
variables of a project on its result or value. It is formulated to answer questions
such as the effect on the Net Present Value or the rate of return if the gross return
increases for example by 10% or the vacancy rate (spaces that is unable to be
rented out) is 8% and not 4% or the effect caused by the difference in inflation
rate.
The analysis that is systematically tested will show which variable can cause a
huge change or needed attention to reduce risk. This analysis is able to decide on
which variable that needs more attention when making an investment.
3. All inputs in the residual method of valuation are fixed estimations. This approach
does not take into account possible changes such as increase of building costs
during construction or inflation during sales. These problems are not easily solved
but the increase of computer usage can overcome these problems through
Probability Analysis and Monte Carlo Simulation.
Probability Analysis and Monte Carlo Simulation
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A simulation model is a model where the characteristics of a complex system are
represented by a symbolic model. The symbolic model parameters are studied by
simulating input data through random figures generated in the computer programme
through the Monte Carlo process.
This model is very flexible because all the characteristics of the problems are in fact
studied by simulating the symbolic model for the problem. In general, a simulation can be
defined as a quantitative method of studying the characteristics of a business system or
the economy within a certain period.
To experiment a model through the simulation method, a large size of input data is
needed. The data input used in the simulation process are not explicit data but data that is
generated from a quantitative process. The method that is usually used is the Monte Carlo
method, which is based on the spread of random variable functions.
In a simulation analysis, the parameter value for each input or variable is needed. This
parameter value can be determined through research, previous saved records and the
valuer’s own experience.
This analysis involves 3 stages, which are:
1. At the first stage, the parameter value for each variable will be calculated together
with the probability of occurrence for each value contained in that parameter value.
For example, these parameters may include rental, vacancy rate, building costs,
developer’s profit and others. This can be observed from Table 4.4 below that takes
into account possible alternatives for the rental value and their respective probability
of occurrence.
Table 4.4 : Possible Alternatives for the Rental Value and their Respective Probability of
Occurrence
Possible Value (RM) Probability Random numbers
45 0.15 1-15
150
48 0.4 16-55
58 0.3 56-85
60 0.1 86-95
62 0.05 96-100
2. At the second stage, each variable will be given a value from the existing spread of
value by referring to a random number related to the respective probabilities. Here, a
value within a variable that has a 0.15 probability means that there is a 15 out of 100
chance for it to happen.
Next, a number between 1 – 100 will be chosen randomly and this number will
determine which value between the parameter values will be matched with those
parameters. For example, based on the above rental values, if number 22 is chosen
randomly, it is situated within the number group of 16 – 55. As a result, and it will
give a rental value of RM48 p.s.f.. If other random number is chosen, other
determinants for the first valuation can be determined.
3. At the third stage, values obtained from the determinants in the parameter value will
be inserted into the computer programme package (for example; Crystal Ball Version
7.2 and ICL 1900 series Package Prosper 2). This process will be done repeatedly
where each round will give a residual value for each of the valuation. Sometimes, the
combination from each variable will produce the same answer. For a more accurate
and satisfactory simulation, this procedure needs to be repeated 300 times or a
minimum of 100 times.
This simulation process will produce 300 site values that depict a more accurate real
value for that site. From the analysis that has been undertaken, the average value of the
site and its standard deviation can form the basis in estimating the site value.
By using the average value and its standard deviation, the following formula is
formulated to obtain a normal distribution that shows the probability of occurrence of a
parameter input.
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Z = X-M
S
where Z shows standard deviation between the real site value and the average site value.
M = Average Site Value
S = Standard Deviation
X = Raw Score (Site Value)
As a conclusion, the application of this simulation and probability approach can improve
decision-making techniques. However, these approaches are difficult to apply unless the
user has research resources or good records on the parameter values or inputs that will be
used. In addition, the user needs a complete knowledge on the computerised probability
and simulation. The simulation process also needs extra scrutiny towards matters that can
possibly happen in the future.
Investment Appraisal
When an investor is investing his/her money in an investment, a number of factors must
be studied, which are:
1. Capital stability
Capital stability means that the investment can guarantee that the invested capital will
not be lost or depreciate its value due to inflation. This can be linked with the future
such as unstable political situation, changes in government policy and others.
2. Return Prospect
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This relates to whether the investment secures a stable and safe flow of income. A
decision is made based on the expected rate of return and a comparison with other
investments.
3. The Possibility of an Increase in Income and Capital Growth
This can be studied from the percentage increase in income from the investment.
When there is an increase in the flow of income, this means that there is a capital
growth in the investment.
4. Liquidity and Marketability Elements
The ability to convert back the investment into money according to the economic
situation of a country is difficult especially in the real estate sector. This liquidity
characteristic is important for an investor to gain back his capital in the form of
money.
Factors that can cause an investment decision to become more complex are government
policy, changes in economic policy, inflation rate, high base lending rate and unstable
building costs. Therefore, investors have to undertake an in-depth study before making a
decision on the investment to ensure that the capital invested can provide a maximum
return.
Normally, in an investment, the developer or investor has a number of alternative
investments with different levels of return. The investor needs to be skilled in several
techniques prior to choosing a suitable alternative that will generate a profitable return.
Several appraisal techniques that can be applied in an investment appraisal are as follows:
Payback Method
153
This method is usually used in assessing investment in small projects. The payback
method is defined as the period taken in gaining net profit after deducting taxes in order
to recoup back the full capital used. In general, a shorter period that is used to recoup the
capital used for a project will attract the interest of a private party to invest in the project.
It is simply used to select those projects whose profits are large enough to repay the
amount invested within a chosen number of years.
An example of a cash flow for the purpose of applying the payback method is provided in
Table 4.4 below.
Table 4.5 : An Example of a Cash Flow for the Purpose of Applying the Payback
Method
Project A Year Project B
- RM500,000 0 -RM500,000
RM100,000 1 RM100,000
RM100,000 2 RM125,000
RM150,000 3 RM100,000
RM150,000 4 RM75,000
RM100,000 5 RM75,000
RM10,000 6 RM25,000
RM10,000 7 RM25,000
RM10,000 8 RM20,000
From the given example, between Project A and B, it is found that Project A recoups
back the capital used within the period of 4 years. On the other hand, Project B recoups
back all its capital that was invested in the 6th year.
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Based on this method, it is found that Project A is a better investment for the private
party.
Strengths
1. This method is easily applied because it does not require many and difficult
calculations.
2. Elements of risk are considered. For example, the method allows the estimation of
how soon the capital expenditure that was forked out can be paid back. The earlier an
investor recovers his capital, the smaller is the risk of making a loss.
Weaknesses
1. This method fails to interpret long-term profit. This is because the decision made is
based on the swiftness in regaining back the expenses.
2. Does not consider cash flow; which are the cash inflow and outflow.
3. The cash flow after recouping the invested capital expenditure is not considered,
whether it is an income or a small or large return.
4. This method does not consider current monetary value where future income needs to
be present valued to determine the current present value.
5. No allowance is made for taxation, for example, corporate tax and capital allowance.
6. Ignore the profit streams after the payback period is over.
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7. A problem of risk such as project with shorter payback period means it is riskier.
Highest Profit Method
This method takes into account the highest year net profit for the whole duration of the
investment. This highest profit is accounted as the percentage of return on the investment
capital.
An example of a cash flow for the purpose of applying the highest profit method is
provided in Table 4.5 below.
Table 4.6 : An Example of a Cash Flow for the Purpose of Applying the Highest Profit
Method
Year Project A Project B
0 - RM100,000 -RM100,000
1 RM20,000 RM50,000
2 RM40,000 RM50,000
3 RM60,000 RM50,000
4 RM40,000 RM50,000
5 RM20,000 RM50,000
The above example shows that the highest cash flow profit for Project A is in the 3rd year
which is at 60% (60,000 / 100,000) where as Project Y shows an equal return each year at
50% (50,000 / 100,000). When compared, based on the decision criteria, Project A is
more suitable. The assumption behind this method is that the highest return is the average
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return for a project. This assumption is more accurate if the projects compared have the
same life duration and cash flow. Normally, the life duration and the cash flow for each
project are different. However, when Project A and B are closely examined, Project B is
better than Project A from in terms of profit. The profit for Project B is higher than
Project A for each year except in the 3rd year.
Average Profit Method
This is based on average profits over the whole project’s life. Such average profit is
expressed as a rate of return on initial investment after allowing for tax and capital
allowance.
An example of a cash flow for the purpose of applying the average profit method is
provided in Table 4.7 below.
Table 4.7 : An Example of a Cash Flow for the Purpose of Applying the Average Profit
Method
Project A & B with a capital outlay of RM100 each.
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 Total Profit Average Profit % Return
A -100 20 30 40 50 60 200 40 40
B -100 60 50 30 30 20 190 38 38
From the above example, Project A is chosen since it gives the higher rate of return
The criticisms of this method are as follows.
1. The method is misleading as no consideration is given on the length of the project.
157
2. It does not take into account of profits that can be reinvested. For example, Project B
still makes higher profits in early years despite having lower average profits. The
surplus can be reinvested at the end of the period and may offset its disadvantage.
Discounted Cash Flow
Discounted cash flow provides assistance in investment valuation that produces a cash
flow. The application of this method is based on the principle that the present value of an
interest is more valuable than its future value. This discounting technique allows the
investors to make a more accurate decision whether to accept or decline projects that
have different time period, income or cost. In general, the cash flow has two standard
results which are the Net Present Value (NPV) and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR).
1. Net Present Value (NPV)
NPV is the future net profit that is obtained from the investment and discounted at a
certain discount rate to arrive at its present value. The total discounted profit is
obtained and the initial cost of investment is deducted from that total and the balance
is known as the Net Present Value. A positive NPV indicates that investment rate of
return is higher than the target rate. Target rate is the minimum rate required by the
investor so that investment is profitable after taking into consideration the risk
involved and other related factors.
The target rate should be compared with cost of capital. From that basis, a positive or
negative NPV will be derived from the analysis. The result from this analysis can
determine the investment to be chosen.
158
Based on the following example as shown in Table 4.8, a capital of RM100,000 is
invested into Project A that has a duration of 5 years. The flow of income with a 10%
discount rate is stated below.
Table 4.8 : An Example of a Cash Flow for the Purpose of Applying the Discounted
Cash Flow Method
YEAR NET CASH
FLOW
PV @ 10% PROJECT PV
0 - RM100,000 1 -RM100,000
1 RM28,000 0.9091 RM25,454,54
2 RM28,000 0.8264 RM23,140.49
3 RM28,000 0.7513 RM21,036.81
4 RM28,000 0.6830 RM19,124.37
5 RM28,000 0.6209 RM17,385.79
RM6,142.02
The investment produces a return of 10% and a positive NPV of RM6,142.02. In the
absence of other options, this investment is acceptable.
The NPV method is a useful assistance in overcoming most investment problems but
nevertheless, this method has a specific weakness. The gained return is stated in two
parts, which are rate of return and the total cash that represents extra return. Both
parts are stated in different units causing difficulties for comparison in some
investments.
159
2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The Internal Rate of Return method is almost similar to the NPV method but the
result of the calculation is shown in percentage form. IRR is the rate of return
where all future cash flow has to be discounted so that its NPV becomes 0 (zero).
The investment decision criteria according to IRR method is that it must exceed
the discount rate used for the investment.
The Internal Rate of Return can be obtained through trial and error by using a number
of trial discount rates until the rate used can produce an NPV equal to 0 (zero).
However, this method is quite complicated. The IRR calculation can also be obtained
through a graphical interpolation method.
Assume that a cash flow of an investment is as stated in Table 4.9 below.
Table 4.9 : A Cash Flow for the purpose of using IRR method
YEAR CASH FLOW PV @
12%
PROJECTED PV
@ 12%
PV @
13%
PROJECTED PV
@ 13%
0 - RM100,000 1 - RM100,000 1 - RM100,000
1 RM28,000 0.8928 RM24,998.40 0.8849 RM24,777.20
2 RM28,000 0.7971 RM22,318.80 0.7831 RM21,926.80
3 RM28,000 0.7117 RM19,927.60 0.6930 RM19,404.00
4 RM28,000 0.6355 RM17,794.00 0.6133 RM17,172.40
5 RM28,000 0.5674 RM15,887.20 0.5427 RM15,195.60
RM926.00 (RM1,524.00)
From the cash flow, a graph can be obtained as shown in Figure 4.1 below:
160
Figure 4.1 : Using a Graph to Determine IRR
From the graph, it can be determined that the IRR for the cash flow is 12.3779% .
However, the graph drawing is time consuming without the guarantee of full accuracy.
Although it can be observed that the graph has a gentle sloping curve, a straight line is
assumed to be located between two trial rates that are close to each other. Using this
method, the IRR can be estimated at a degree of average accuracy. This process is called
Linear Interpolation.
Through Interpolation method, the IRR can be determined as follows:
IRR = R1 + (R2 - R1) [(NPV@R1) / (NPV@R1 + NPV@R2)]
= 12 + (13 – 12) {(926.00 / (926.00 + 1,524.00)]
= 12 + (1) (926 / 2,450)
= 12 + 0.3779
= 12.3779%
NPV
(RM
) Trial rates (%)
12%
Actual NPV
Interpolation to 12.3779
13%
161
Here, the Internal Rate of Return that can be obtained form the investment is 12.3779%
However, the IRR method has the following weaknesses:
a. This method assumes that a cash flow is promptly received at a pre-determined time
without giving attention to elements of risks and uncertainties.
b. When the NPV and IRR are compared, difficulties may arise as they are expressed in
different units.
Incremental Cash Flow Analysis
When there is a situation where an investor is faced with problems of choice amongst
competing alternative investments or mutually exclusive projects, this analysis is
required. In such circumstances, the decision is to choose the ‘best’ amongst a number of
alternative investments and not simply to accept or reject a particular investment.
Subsequently, it is to be decided whether that ‘best alternative’ is a worthwhile
investment to be selected.
The use of Incremental Cash flow Analysis is to solve the problem where NPV and IRR
methods of appraisal produce contradictory results as to which investment to choose.
An example of the cash flow from two projects producing conflicting results between
NPV method and IRR method is shown in Table 4.10 below.
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Table 4.10 : An Example of the Cash Flow from Two Projects Producing Conflicting
Results Between NPV Method and IRR Method
Years Project A Project B A-B
0 -1,000 -500 -500
1 475 256 219
2 475 256 219
3 475 256 219
NPV @ 10% 181 137 44
IRR 20% 25% 15%
The conflict between the use of NPV method and IRR method is as follows:
Based on NPV - Project A should be chosen
Based on IRR - Project B should be chosen
The solution is to use Incremental Cash Flow Analysis that is, A-B to find incremental
IRR.
The decision by using the Incremental Cash Flow Analysis is to choose project A. Since
IRR on A-B (incremental) is 15% being greater than the firm’s marginal rate (opportunity
cost of capital rate) A is preferable than B.
The reason is that since A offers similar to B plus 15% rate of return on extra capital
invested of 500, it would be better to choose A.
The decision rule suggested by Lumby (1991) is as follows:-
1. If the incremental IRR is greater than the discount rate and:
163
less than both projects’ IRR , then accept the project with smallest IRR (or
highest NPV).
a. Greater than both projects’ IRR, then accept the project with highest IRR.
2. If the Incremental IRR is less than the discount rate and:
a. The IRR of one or both projects are higher than the discount rate, and then
accept the project with highest IRR.
b. If neither projects’ IRR is greater than the discount rate, reject both.
Sensitivity Analysis
David B Hertz introduced sensitivity analysis into the business field in1964. Sensitivity
analysis is an analysis to determine the variations of a variable due to a change in another
variable. For instance, an investor would like to know whether the value of a property is
sensitive to its rental. If the property value is sensitive to rental, the investor then should
be careful of their rental data for a slight discrepancy in rental data will result in a large
error in property value.
The Sensitivity Index
There are several variations of sensitivity analysis. One of the common measure of
sensitivity is to compare the percentage change in one variable and the percentage change
in another variable. For example, to determine whether property value is sensitive to
rentals, we compare the percentage change in value and the percentage change in rentals.
If the percentage change in property value is less than the percentage change in rentals, it
means that the property value is not sensitive to rentals. If his happens, we need not be
too concern if our rental data is slightly inaccurate.
164
base
base
base
base
Alternatively, if the percentage change in property value is more than the percentage
change in rentals, it means that property value is sensitive to rentals. In this case, we need
to exercise caution as a slight error in our rental data will lead to a large error in our
valuation. A convenient way to show whether the percentage change in one variable is
more or less than the percentage change in another variable is to express it as an index.
The sensitivity index is shown by the following formula:
S.I = % ∆ in variable A
% ∆ in variable B ……(1)
where,
% ∆ in variable A = A - A x 100
A
% ∆ in variable B = B - B x 100
B
Note:
i. -1.0 ≤ variable A is not sensitive to variable B if SI ≤1.0
ii. Variable A is sensitive to variable B if SI > 1.0
iii. Variable A is sensitive to variable B if SI < -1.0
165
basebase
Derivation of SI – A Simple Example
Rental of 2 storey shop houses in Taman Kayangan is RM1,500 per month. Rate of return
for shop houses is about 6% per annum. The shop houses are freehold and tenants are
responsible for maintenance.
You are required to value a shop house and determine whether the value is sensitive to
rentals (in this case rental is equivalent to net income)
Value of a shop house= Net income p.a. x Years Purchase @ 6%p.a.
= (1500 X 12) x 1/0.06
= RM300,000
To determine whether the shop house value is sensitive to rentals, you first have to vary
rentals. This is shown in Table 4.11 where rental varies between RM1,200 to RM1,800
per month. Note that you only change rentals while rate of return remains constant at 6%
per annum.
Table 4.11 : Changes in Rentals vs. Changes in Value
Net Income per month
(RM)
Value
(RM)
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
240,000
260,000
280,000
300,000
320,000
340,000
360,000
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value-rental
base base
value-rental
value-rental
SI = % ∆ in value
% ∆ in rental
where,
% ∆ in value = 300,000 – 280,000 x 100
300,000
= 6.67
% ∆ in rental = Rental - Rental x 100
Rental
= 1,500 – 1,400 x 100
1,500
= 6.67
Therefore,
SI = 6.67
6.67
= 1.0
The SI equals 1.0 means that changes in rental result in an equal change in
value. This means that in this example, value is not sensitive to rental. Note that it is not
necessary to calculate the sensitivity index based on a variation of rental from 1,500 to
1,400. One could very well calculate the sensitivity index base on any rental variations
for example, from 1,500 to 1,800 or 1,500 to 1,200. The only requirement is that the
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calculation must start from the base rental that is 1,500. Regardless of the variations of
rentals (from base rental), the sensitivity index remains constant at 1.0.
Decision Techniques in the Public Sector
The main objective of investment by the Public Sector is to maximise social welfare and
to provide facilities to the public. The approach in appraising investment projects are
different and depends on the methods used. Some of the methods used in appraising
public projects are Cost-Benefit Analysis, Planning Balance Sheet and Goal Achievement
Matrix. If compared to the private investment valuation technique, the public sector
techniques are different because:
1. The market mechanism that is generally received by the public as the basic method in
allocating resources (in a free market economy) cannot be carried out in the public
sector because each individual in the society has to be considered and involved in the
decision made.
2. Cost and interest elements involve the calculation of visible and invisible matters.
The private sector usually does not consider invisible matters and focus on the profits
and revenues only.
3. Most public projects involve large capital and public resources where private sectors
do not want to be involved. For example, highways, airports, and pollution control
system projects and others that require the economisation of those resources.
Cost-Benefit Analysis
The cost-benefit analysis is an economic analysis that can assist in selecting a project by
scrutinising aspects related to cost and benefit related to the project. It is a practical way
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in appraising the project’s welfare because the analysis considers a wide and far-sighted
perspective (including external and side effects) on the society, industry and region or
country.
For example:
1. In the redevelopment of cities , the advantage to the locals is that they can experience
a more comfortable living place and can enjoy the benefits of development and public
facilities.
2. The benefits of city redevelopment to the traders are that they have a more organised
trading space and can attract more customers. In addition, the Government can create
more jobs for the people and optimise the usage of utilities.
Procedures in Executing Cost-Benefit Analysis
Several aspects that have to be considered in the use of Cost-benefit analysis as a method
in decision-making are as follows:
1. What are the costs and benefits that need to be valued?
2. How to measure those costs and benefits?
3. What are the discount rate that needs to be used in valuing the future costs and
benefits and the next course of action?
4. What is the project’s viability?
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a. The cost and benefit that needs to be valued
The decision maker has to determine the cost and benefit that have to be considered.
This is because this technique involves social cost, cost of interest and utility function
of each individual that forms each investment unit output. Therefore, the calculation
of cost and benefit is based on the following items:
i. Some of the items are calculated in the same way as the private sector financial
valuation.
ii. Some of the items which are not taken into account in the above valuation is
considered in the cost and benefit analysis. For example, the side effects such as
pollution, and value of invisible items that needs to be changed into monetary
values. As this investment project is undertaken for the public, priority is given
to its effect on the society.
iii. Some items are exempted or amended. For example, labour cost that is
unemployed is not considered for public projects because it does not involve
social cost.
iv. All cost of the inputs and benefits from the output of the project are listed down.
b. Method of measuring cost and benefit
Cost benefit analysis requires practice in comparison valuation where the financial
valuation is based on the market price that refers to the buyers’ or sellers’ needs.
When the price can be clearly used to exchange items freely, the market price can be
used in public investment projects.
However, when the market price is not clearly stated, it cannot be used freely and is
called shadow price or accounting price. In general, this shadow price shows the
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opportunity cost of the goods and services and it reflects the benefits foregone from
the consumption of the last item, which is a person’s willingness to pay for the last
item which is its real value. Shadow price depends on two main factors, which are
objective function and social and political factors.
c. The discount rate used
Any chosen projects will involve the flow of cost and benefit for a number of years to
come. The value of these benefits has to be discounted to get its present value. There
are three types of discount rate, which are:
i. Individual discount rate
ii. Social discount rate
iii. Market discount rate
Since the future usage value is low compared to current usage value, a social discount
rate is used. The use of social discount rate in cost benefit analysis considers the
overall interest of society and not only the individuals involved.
Social discount rate is based on the statement that the future generation will probably
achieve a higher standard of living compared to the current generation.
However, this social discount rate does not reflect the market rate. In the cost benefit
analysis, the discount rate used is lower than the market rate. In practice, the
government fixed a lower discount rate that is known as “test discount rate” and this
rate assists the decision makers in the public sector.
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d. To value the viability of a project
A project that gives the highest net social benefit has to be chosen but this depends on
existing obstacles. Nevertheless, other potential projects that give a positive net social
benefit must also be considered in valuing the proposed project’s viability.
Below is the assessment methodology of cost benefit analysis according to the LMST
(Little and Mirrlees (1990) and Squire and van der Tak (1975)) principle.
Cost Benefit Analysis Valuation (LMST Principle)
The valuation approach involves three stages of analysis as follows:
1. Financial Valuation
This analysis is similar to the private sector’s analysis on return. It involves an
analysis on the viability of a project from various angles by using the project’s
input and output values at market price.
2. Economic Valuation
The purpose of an economic valuation is to identify, quantify and assess the costs
and benefits involved in the project. The use of market price becomes a problem
when that price is inefficient and produces a confusing result.
Shadow price or Accounting Price (AP) is used to overcome problems in local
market price. AP can be obtained based on the Market Price (MP) by making the
following modifications:
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a. A base yardstick is determined to measure the shadow price or AP as it is
needed to measure the opportunity cost and real benefit of the project to the
economy. Thus, the base yardstick that is chosen can be in terms of limited
scarce resources or constraint to the country’s economic development such as
the level of foreign exchange.
b. Use international price in valuing a project’s cost and benefit. In the economic
analysis, the project’s contribution towards the national income is considered
as a criterion to value a public investment. Hence, in the terms of the chosen
base yardstick, the criteria used in valuing the project is the “project’s
contribution towards the national income measured in the form of a foreign
currency”.
c. To value the cost and benefit of the inputs and outputs, LMST principle
categorised goods into two categories, which are:
i. Traded goods (TGs)
ii. Non-traded goods (NTGs)
All TGs are valued according to world price by using the Conversion Factor
(CF) where:
Conversion Factor (CF) = Accounting Price (AP)
Market Price (MP)
Therefore, AP (Shadow price) = CF X MP
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d. The production of NTGs has an indirect effect on the country’s situation in
foreign exchange. There are two ways to value it:
i. NTG is divided into its cost component as follows:
TG1, NTG1, & L1 (Labour)
Next, TG1 is valued according to the above procedure and L1 is valued using
the opportunity cost of labour.
NTG1 is further subdivided into TG2, NTG2 and L2. Then NTG2 component
is valued. This process is continued until NTG = 0
ii. NTG account value is counted by multiplying NTG market value with suitable
conversion factor for the NTG. The country’s Planning Unit provides this
conversion factor.
iii. The principle used to value the labour cost is by estimating opportunity cost of
labour in the economy. Labour opportunity cost is the marginal product of
labour in the best alternative job. Labour wages in a developing country
exceeds their opportunity cost. Therefore, the value has to be adjusted using
the following formula:
Wage Conversion Factor (WCF)
= Opportunity Cost of Labour i.e. Accounting Price (AP)
Wages i.e. Market Price (MP)
e.All costs and benefits valued at world price (in local currency), is converted into
another exchangeable foreign currency (such as US dollar) by using the Official
Exchange Rate (OER).
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f. Prepare a cash flow and use the investment criteria to value the project’s viability
by using the method of Net Present Value or Internal Rate of Return (IRR).
Project that produces a positive NPV and IRR >i (opportunity cost of capital), is
considered profitable if executed.
3. Project Social Analysis
Project Social Analysis covers important allocation aspects in a country as
follows:
a. Allocation between current income groups
b. Allocation between areas
c. Allocation between ethnic groups
d. Allocation between citizens and non-citizens
e. Allocation between generations
The allocation between current income groups is central to the project social
analysis and it merits elaboration as follows.
i. Allocation Between Income Groups
The increase in income from a project is valued differently by different
groups who gain benefits from the project. This depends on the elasticity of
the marginal utility of consumption of people in different income groups.
The allocation given is as follows:
d1 = (Ŷ)n
Yi
Where:
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d1 is the value of the allocation given to the increment in each group’s
income of Yi relative to the average income Ŷ for a country.
n : Marginal elasticity of income (consumption)
di : Allocation of value depends on two items which are the group
income level i relative to the average income level per capita and Value n.
In principle, if the income level of a group relative to the average income is
low and the marginal elasticity of income is high, a high allocation of
benefits is given to this group and vice versa.
ii. Social Wage Rate
Economic Wage Rate (EWR) = M1 X AR1
This means that the Marginal Production of Labour in the original job is
valued at the accounting price multiply the accounting price ratio. Another
cost element that needs to be considered in the Social Wage Rate (SWR), as
in the example below:
Firstly, additional jobs utilisation is a benefit for new workers but is cost to
the government.
Secondly, additional utilisation is equal to the difference between new
worker’s wages (W1) with the value of production that has to be stopped
(M1) by the worker in his old job.
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Therefore, Social Wage Rate (SWR) = Mi Arm + [(Wi-Mi) – (Wi – Mi) d/v] ARc
1 2 3
4
Where:
1 is EWR (opportunity cost of labour)
2 is additional cost in consumption to be borned by the government to
provide a job opportunity
3 is the benefit received by the workers as a result of the wage increment
after considering inter and intra-temporal allocation aspects (d, v)
4 to change point (4) into a base yardstick, it needs to be multiplied with
suitable changing factors (ARc)
If those workers come from the poor group (d / v < 1), the additional cost element
is negative. The Social Wage Rate (SWR) is less than the Economic Wage Rate
(EWR).
But if those workers come from the well to do group (d/v >1), the additional cost
is positive and SWR > EWR.
Social cost for the poor group is small although the economic cost is high.
iii. Social Discount Rate
Social Accounting Rate of Interest (SARI) is the social interest rate to
calculate the present value of the project’s social net profit.
SARI is needed to compare the Social Internal Rate of Return (SIRR). From
there, if the NPV(NSB) >0 and SIRR > SARI, the project is viable. In
practice, SARI is determined by the economic planning unit as a discount rate
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that equates the project investment total value with the existing total financial
resource at the treasury.
Critiques Toward the Cost Benefit Analysis
The critiques toward the Cost Benefit Analysis are as follows.
1. Proposals such as urban and regional planning involve a wider group and
influence the whole society. Therefore, hidden cost and benefit needs to be
considered but it is difficult to measure. For example, not all conversion factors
can be obtained from the State Economic Planning Unit, thus there is a need to
find our own information. In determining the conversion factor, the crucial market
price is forced to face the problem of constant changing world price. Each world
currency exchange rates with the US Dollar will be stated. The process of
determining the exchange rate is related to the price theory. The local exchange
rate is the number of US Dollar for each Malaysian Ringgit. In the end, the
exchange rate in determining the market price may not reflect the shadow price.
2. Cost benefit analysis is only suitably used in one economic sector only. It does
not consider the practice in urban and regional planning that usually involves a
number of different types of investment made at the same time.
3. It is difficult to determine or classify an external factor whether it is an external
factor or not. This is because according to its principle, external factors cover
parties that gain profits or loss in terms of cost and benefit due to ongoing
development. The problem is to determine how far the element is considered a
loss or profit from the development.
4. A problem may arise in the calculation of cost and benefit. In doing a cost and
benefit calculation, care has to be taken to avoid double counting or insufficient
178
calculation. For example, the benefits that do not have a price sometimes can be
given a value that is possible to count but usually the value given is inaccurate.
5. The discount rate used varies and is not based on a solid basis. This creates
critiques towards the application of the discount rate.
6. Problems in placing a price on public goods also arise. This is because some of
the public goods are not marketable and does not have a price, for example, more
highways and transportation facilities to save time.
An example of the Cost and Benefit Analysis in an urban renewal project in terms of the
different benefits and costs to different parities is summarised in Table 4.12 below.
Table 4.12 : Examples of Cost Benefit Analysis Application in Urban Renewal Project
Parties Receiving Benefits
Government Facilities provision
Job opportunities to the citizens
A good impression to the tourist and others on aesthetic values
Residents Educational facilities and others
Avoidance of congestion
Clean and more comfortable environment for daily activities
A better place to live
Traders Transportation system and storage area
Vehicles and others
Shop lots for business
Safety to run business
Prospect of more profits
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The Costs Involved
Government Financial cost for the project
Delay will cause a decline in trade
Development time may evade traffic movements and trading
activities
If fail, problems will arise from the public
Subjected parties’ refusal to carry out trade or live in those areas
Residents Noise, dirt and dust the during construction works
Transfer of residents
Emotional and sentimental values on old houses
Living routine is temporarily disrupted
Traders Disrupts daily trading
Related opportunity cost
Loss from price of land, goods and transportation
TUTORIAL QUESTIONS
1. Explain the main differences between the public sector and the private sector. Explain
the roles played by both sectors in the country’s economic development.
2. Malaysia Corporatisation Policy (1984) is an action plan for the country’s economic
development and privatisation is one of its strategies. State the objectives and forms
of privatisation in this country. Give comments on its achievement in the real estate
development sector.
3. State the main objectives in development appraisal. Explain how the probability
analysis and simulation can improve decision-making techniques in development
appraisal.
180
4. What are the main objectives of investment appraisal? Suggest the benefits of
alternative techniques in investment appraisal.
5. “Cost benefit analysis is an economic analysis that aims to evaluate projects based on
their benefits and cost”. Discuss.
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CHAPTER 5: FINANCIAL RESOURCES FOR PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTORS
In the development of a country that practices an open system like Malaysia, the
integrated role of the public and private sector is important. Through these both sectors,
the country’s development and advancement can be achieved. The public sector which
consists of the Central Government, State Government and the Local Authorities need to
outline a solid and careful development policy to execute the planned development. The
private sector which consists of private or individually owned firms and the corporate
sector from either local or overseas need to take necessary steps to execute the policies
outlined by the authorities. With the consolidation in job methods and policies between
both sectors, the development of the country can be achieved.
Both sectors need to have specific financial resources to finance the development
projects.
Federal Government Financial Resources
The Federal Government financial situation is expected to improve further and strengthen
in 2006, because of a more favourable economic outlook, particularly greater private
activities. The government’s fiscal policy will continue to stress on efficiency and
effectiveness in its financial management.
The total budget allocation for 2006 amounted to RM134,748 million and based on a
projected revenue growth of 9.2% or RM115,561 million, the Federal Government
financial position is expected to further improve, with the overall deficit decreasing to
RM18,443 million or 3.5% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2006. In contrast,
the consolidated public sector fiscal situation is envisaged to show a large surplus of
RM53,184 million or 10% of the GDP. The situation is shown in Table 5.1 below.
182
Table 5.1: Consolidated Public Sector Financial Position (2004-2006)
2004
RM million
2005
RM million
2006
RM million
Current Account
Government Sector
Revenue
Operating Expenditure
NFPEs current surplus
Public Sector current balance
116,328
101,649
81,875
96,654
122,663
108,475
100,120
114,308
135,305
112,471
100712
123,546
Development Account
Development Expenditure
General Government
NFPEs
Overall balance
% on GDP
56,716
32,083
24,633
39,838
8.9
70,839
31,437
39,402
43,469
8.9
70,362
39,429
30,933
53,184
10.0
Source: Economic Report (2005/2006)
Federal Government Financial Resources
There are a number of important sources of revenue for the Federal Government as listed
below:
1. Direct taxes
2. Indirect taxes
3. Non-tax revenues
4. Receipt of non-revenues
5. Loan
183
An example of revenues from taxes and non-taxes is shown in Table 5.2 below.
Table 5.2: Federal Government Revenue (2004-2006)
Revenues 2004
Million
%
of
GDP
2005
Million
%
of
GDP
2006
Million
%
of
GDP
i. Direct Taxes
ii. Indirect Taxes
A. Total Tax
Revenues
B. Total Non-Tax
Revenues
C. Total Revenues
RM48,703
RM23,347
RM72,050
RM27,347
RM99,397 22.1
RM48,345
RM26,990
RM75,335
RM30,521
RM105,586 21.7
RM52,008
RM28,417
RM80,425
RM35,136
RM115,561 21.8
Source: Economic Report (2005/2006)
Direct Taxes
Direct taxes consist of:
1. Income tax
This tax is imposed on individuals and partnerships. This tax is also received from
companies. Petroleum income tax is also included under this category. For company
taxes, the petroleum companies’ income tax is not included.
2. Share transfer tax
This tax is imposed on transferred shares. It was introduced in the 1985 budget.
184
3. Petroleum Royalty
Petroleum Royalty is received by the Federal Government from oil rig companies and
oil production companies.
4. Gas Royalty
This royalty is received from projects related to natural liquid gas production and
projects in Bintulu, Sarawak.
5. Estate Duty
This duty is imposed on the dead willed estate. This duty is only imposed when the
ownership of the estate is transferred.
6. Real Property Gains Tax
This tax is imposed on capital gains obtained from sale of property. For private
individuals, this tax is only imposed for gains from disposal made within five years
from the date of purchase.
Indirect Taxes
Indirect Taxes can be divided into:
1. Import duty
185
This tax is the receipt from the country’s total import such as raw materials,
components, machineries and equipments, passenger vehicles, alcohol, cigarettes and
clothes. The increase in import rate on these goods causes the increase in excise duty
revenues, where the goods are produced in the country and subject to excise duty.
2. Road tax
This tax is imposed especially on individual passenger vehicles according to their
engine power in terms of centimetre cubic horsepower.
3. Service tax
Service tax is the receipt of tax imposed on the hotel industry, restaurants and tourism
industry.
4. Export duty
This duty is received from the export of rubber, tin ore, palm oil, timber and
petroleum. The increase in the price of rubber and other goods including the increase
of rubber export will also contribute to an increase of indirect tax to the Federal
Government.
5. Excise duty
This duty is received from duty imposed by Customs.
6. Stamp duty
This duty is imposed on transferred assets either in the form of land and buildings or
shares.
186
Non-tax revenues
Non-tax revenues consist of:
1. Collection from payment for licence and permit
2. Rental from government assets
3. Service payment such as assessment imposed on facilities provided within the Local
Council area like street lights and others
4. Income from investments
5. Collection from fines and confiscation
6. Petronas dividends and Bank Negara Malaysia profits
7. Receipt, expenditure returns from Government agencies and revenues from Federal
Territory.
Non-revenue receipts
Non-revenue receipts include the following:
a. Return from expenditures
b. Receipt from Government agencies
c. Revenues from the Federal Territory
Loans
Loans can be divided into three, which are:
187
1. Gross domestic loans
This loan consists of government guarantee letters, 21 year guarantee letter at 8.6%
interest rate and 15 year guarantee letter at 8% interest rate, treasury bills and
investment certificates.
2. Gross overseas loan
This loan consists of market loan, project loan and return payment of International
Monetary Fund (IMF) facilities.
3. Market loan
Two loans that can be obtained from the international finance market is Swiss Bank
loan with a 10 year maturity period and interest rate of 5.82%. The second loan is
Yen loan for 10 years with an interest rate of 28.1% from the total overseas loan
expected to be received from the project loan. These loans can come from two-way
sources and financial institutions such as the World Bank and Asia Development
Bank.
Federal Government Expenditure
Expenditure at the Federal Government level consists of:
1. Operating expenditure
Operating expenditure is the largest expenses in the Federal Government expenditure.
There is always an annual increase in the operating expenditure. This is because of
the need to increase the operating expenditure of government agencies. A case in
point is the need for civil servant salary review. The obvious increase in the operating
expenditure is from pensions and gratuities, management expenses of primary and
secondary schools and return payment (Refer Table 5.3).
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Table 5.3: Federal Government Operating Expenditure (RM millions)
Operating Expenditure
2004 2005 2006
Emolument 23,779 23,137 23,587
Debt Service Charges 10,920 13,300 12,726
Grants to state
government
2,895 3,089 2,651
Pensions and gratuities 6,060 6,227 6,633
Supplies and services 16,663 19,286 20,554
Subsidies 5,796 11,833 11,022
Grants to statutory bodies 6,653 8,212 8,611
Refunds and write-offs 5,023 322 357
Others 13,539 12,838 15,105
Total 91,298 98,244 101,246
% of GDP 20.3 20.1 19.1
Source: Economic Report (2005/2006)
a. Emolument
The schedule above shows the government has approved an emolument of
RM23,137 million in the year 2005 . The emolument expenses has increased by
as much as 1.9% to RM23,587 in 2006. Slightly more than half of the emolument
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is for salaries of teachers, doctors and nurses whose term and conditions of
service have been improved with better incentives and higher allowances.
b. Debt Service Charges
Debt Service Charges is expected to be higher, totalling RM13,300 million in
2005 and RM12,726 in 2006 which are 13.5% and 12.6% of total operating
expenditure respectively. Of the total debt service charges, approximately 85% is
for domestic debt.
c. Supplies and services
For supplies and services, the second largest component, they have increased by
6.6% to RM20,554 million between 2005 and 2006, mainly for maintenance and
repairs, rentals as well as payments for professional services.
d. Pensions and gratuities expenditure
For the expenditure on pensions and gratuities, between 2004 and 2006 more than
RM 6 billion are spent every year.
e. Grants to state government
This category of expenditure shows an increase of 6.7% between 2004 and 2005
and a drop by 14.2% between 2005 and 2006. The expenditure is mainly on road
maintenance and constitutes the largest component in the grants from the Federal
Government to the State Governments.
f. Subsidies
190
From this portion of operating expenditure also, there are expenses allocated for
subsidies. Some subsidies expenses are paddy price support subsidies, textbooks
subsidies and petroleum subsidies. The bulk of the increased expenditure in 2006
is for payment of subsidies, which accounts for 86.9% of the increase in total
operating expenditure. This follows a sharp escalation in world crude oil prices.
The increase in retail prices of petroleum products by 10 sen and 20 sen for petrol
and diesel respectively has helped the government to reduce subsidies by
approximately RM1 billion. Despite the gradual price adjustment of petroleum
products at the retail level, total subsidy payments remain high at RM11,833
million in 2005 an increase of 104.2% from the figure in 2004.
2. Expenditure according to sector
Expenditure according to sector is summarised in Table 5.4.
This comprises of the followings.
a. Social Services Sector which consists of health, education, housing and others.
b. Economics Service Sector is divided into agricultural and rural development,
public services, commercial, industrial, transportation, communication and others.
c. Security Sector is given specific attention for the country’s safety. The sector’s
expenses are divided into defence and internal state security.
d. General Administration Sector covers expenses for departmental services,
overseas services and return profits.
191
Table 5.4 : Federal Territory Development Expenditure (according to Sector)
Development Expenses 2004
(RM million)
Changes
in
%
2005
Revised
Budget
(RM million)
Changes
in
%
Economic services of which:
a. Agriculture and rural
development
b. Trade and industry
c. Transport
11,851
2,881
1,201
6,630
-14.0
77.8
-65.2
-9.8
14,097
2,537
1,743
7,442
19.0
-11.9
45.1
12.2
Social services of which:
a. Education and
training
b. Health
c. Housing
10,260
4,316
2,352
1,593
-42.1
-57.7
-12.3
-17.4
8,422
3,424
1,204
1,729
-17.9
-20.7
-48.8
8.5
Security
General administration
4,133
2,620
-31.4
43.6
4,782
3,210
15.7
22.5
Total
% of GDP
28,864
6.4
-26.7 30,511
6.3
5.7
Source: Economic Report (2005/2006)
Local Government Financial Resources
192
Local Government in the Peninsular Malaysia context means government in the urban
area, rural or combination of both of these areas and under the jurisdiction of the
respective Local Government.
The first Local Government established in this country is Pulau Pinang by the British in
the year 1800 and followed by Malacca in the year 1848. The next Local Government
was established in 1907 for the Federation of Malay States and Non-Federation of Malay
States.
After gaining independence, the development on Local Government took place where the
Federal Constitution placed the Local Government under the State Government while the
Federal Government has the right to give advice in order to achieve a comprehensive
development for the whole country.
The main function of the Local Government is in general to give as much municipality
services. The District Councils are responsible for rural areas while the Municipal
Councils for urban areas. The Local Government in Malaysia practise decentralisation
concept where power is transferred from the Central Government to the urban units.
Detailed Local Government Financial Resources
The local government financial resources consists of the followings:
1. Loan
Loan is one of the Local Authorities financial resources. Section 41 of the Local
Government Act 1976 has given permission to Local Authorities to borrow money
from the State Government, Federal Government or even other parties such as banks
with condition that approval has been obtained from the State Government. One of
193
the conditions that need to be complied by the Local Authorities before making a loan
is that the total loan must not exceed 5 times the annual value from the valuation list.
2. The Issue of Permits and Licences
The revenue from charge collection imposed on issued license and permit is an
important resource for the Local Authorities. This is because the Local Authorities
have the power to issue specific licenses and permits for businesses. The issue of
these licenses and permits will involve payment of certain fees and provide revenues
to the Local Authorities.
3. Rental Payments
Rental payments are one of the sources of Local Authorities’ incomes. The Local
Authorities rent out their buildings or properties such as food emporium, shops, stalls,
hawkers lots, markets and others.
4. Rates
Rates or its common name assessment is a sum of payment towards fixed properties
that is imposed annually. The method used in determining the payment for rates is
based on a percentage from the Annual Value or the estimated gross rent per annum
for the property. Rates are the largest financial resources of Local Authorities
compared to other resources.
5. Contribution
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Contribution meant here is a sum of money contributed by the Federal Government or
the State Government for the financing of a development project within the Local
Government jurisdiction.
6. Mortgage
The Local Authorities can obtain their financial resources from mortgage or
collateral. The Local Authorities can mortgage or pledge their properties as collateral
to a bank or financial institution to obtain money for the financing of a development
project.
7. Service Payment
Payment for services is another form of financial resources for the Local Authorities.
Usually, the Local Authorities will provide public facilities and impose a certain
charge for those services. For example, the Local Authorities provide garbage
collection service, waste soil collection and others. Therefore, charges will be
imposed on those who use those services.
8. Compound and Fines
Compound or fines are imposed on offences committed or in conflict with the local
legislation stated by the Local Authorities. Examples of offences are parking at the
wrong place, littering, unkept home compound area and others. Hence, compound or
fines are imposed to those who disobey the law set by the Local Authorities.
9. Profits from Investments
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Sometimes, the local Authorities allocated a certain amount of money in its annual
budget for investment purpose. This money would be invested into sources or
activities that can give profitable return. Profits from this investment are financial
resource for the Local Authorities to finance future projects such as shop houses and
high-rise buildings.
10. Special Aid Contribution
In certain situations, the State Government will provide a sum of money to Local
Authorities as Special Aid contribution in order to assist the Local Authorities in
solving their financial problems. However, this special aid contribution is normally
provided when the State Government finds that the Local Authorities’ financial
resource is insufficient compared to their expenses.
11. Annual Grants
The Local Authorities also obtain their financial resources from Annual Grants given
by the Federal Government. This yearly grant which was introduced in early 1978 is a
form of financial aid from the Federal Government to the Local Authorities.
However, the giving out of Annual Grants is based on a number of requirements set
by the Federal Government.
12. Contribution in Aid for Rates
The Local Authorities is able to obtain its financial resources through Contribution in
Aid for Rates. It comes from rates imposed on assets belonging to the Federal
Government, State Government or Semi Government Bodies situated in the area of
jurisdiction of a Local Authority. The tax rate imposed is known as Contribution in
Aid for Rates. The Federal Government’s assets that are involved in this Contribution
in Aid for Rates are schools, investment, railways and others.
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The summary of a Local Council financial resources is shown in Table 5.5 below.
Table 5.5 : Summary of a Local Council’s Financial Resources
Financial Resources Examples of Related Items
1. Licence Business Licence
Industrial Licence
Hawkers Licence
Advertisement Licence
2. Direct tax Rates
3. Permit Banner permit
Hawker’s permit
Rubbish dumping permit
4. Services and Payment for
Services
Fees for Planning Plan Approval
Fees for New Building Approval
Fees for Change of Building Use
5. Earnings from Sales Sale of Tender Documents/Quotations
Sale of Maps
Sale of Goods/Auctions
6. Rental Rented Stalls
Rented Markets
Rented Office spaces
Rented Hawkers’ Sites
7. Interest and Earnings from
Investment
Current Account Interest
Fixed Deposit Interest
8. Compounds and Fines Hawkers’ Compound
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Building Compound
Parking Compound
9. Contributions and Payment
for Loss
Contribution/Donation
Insurance Claim
Payment for Loss/Compensation
10. Return from Expenditure Return from Expenditure on
Infrastructure
Return from Expenditure on Restoration
and Repair
Return from Expenditure on Finishes
11. Receipts from Government Equity Grants
Development Grants
Contribution in Aid for Rates
Local Government Expenditure
Based on the obtained financial resources, below is the list of the Local Government
expenses.
1. Management expenses such as salary payment, building and equipment maintenance,
travelling, professional services expenses and others.
2. Development expenses inclusive of infrastructure expenses and others for the purpose
of development. Among the expenses made for the purpose of development are:
a. The provision of infrastructure such as the construction of bus stops and map
booths.
b. The provision of sewage service for the people and maintenance of plant and
sewage system.
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c. Maintenance inclusive of cost of road repairs that needed to be done. The
expenses are also for construction of new roads based on the plans of the Planning
Department.
Table 5.6 provides an example of the revenues and expenditures of a Local Council.
Table 5.6 : Shah Alam City Council Revenues and Expenditures
REVENUES
Tax Revenues
Non-tax Revenues
Receipt from non-revenues
Total Revenue
2003 (RM)
124,880,466
30,130,843
7,743,033
162,754,342
2004 (RM)
126,801,872
38,037,821
11,118,524
175,958,217
EXPENSES
Emolument
Services and Supply
Asset
Imposed Fixed Payment
Other expenses
Total Expenses
Income Surplus/(Deficit)
Less:
Loss on Sales of Shares
Income Surplus/(Deficit) before
adjustment
25,200,562
98,355,589
17,420,928
638,192
326,423
194,170,924
(31,416,581)
(15,314,400)
(46,730,982)
9,302,485
24,359,480
18,347,430
207,450
40,380
56,185,535
7,233,036
-
7,233,036
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Plus:
Previous year adjustments
Income Surplus/(Deficit) in the year
1,473,192
(45,257,790)
(136,872)
7,096,164
Sources: Shah Alam City Council Report (2003/2004)
Local Authorities Financial Resources Problems
Although the Local Authorities have a number of financial resources to finance its
development projects, there are still several problems that need to be faced in order to
obtain those resources. Among the problems are as follows:
1. Problems in Arrears and Tax Evasion
Although the main financial resource for Local Authorities is from the collection of
rates and others, most of these taxes are not paid. This will result in arrears in taxes
that can affect the Local Authorities financial resources.
2. Investment losses
Sometimes the investments made by the Local Authorities bring losses. For example,
investment in the construction of shop houses that is not rented out or transacted if
there is an economic downturn.
3. Insufficient Allocation From the Federal and State Government
Not all allocation or contribution by both parties can fulfil the required expenses of
Local Authorities’ project. Due to the insufficient contribution made, the Local
Authorities will face problems in meeting the expenses for the ongoing projects.
4. Doubts from the Banks and Financial Institutions.
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In certain situations, the banks and financial institutions are not fully confident with
the Local Authorities’ capabilities to execute a development project. They may have
the perception that Local Authorities always suffer losses in their development
projects. This perception can also affect the Local Authorities financial resources.
Private Development Projects Financial Resources
The private sector needs sufficient financial resources to finance a project. The type of
financial resources depends on the project duration whether the interest is kept as an
investment, or sold to interested institutions.
In general, financial resources for private projects can be divided into two categories,
which are equity funds or debt funds.
The form of funding is the same for private companies or others. The structure on the
equity or debt fund is shown in the following graph in Figure 5.1.
Indicators:
A: 100% equity base
C
A
0
Debt/equity fund (%)
Time
BD
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B: Debt fund begins until project completes
C: Project completes
D: Debt is finally cleared
Figure 5.1: Equity/Debt fund Structure
At the start of the project, the private party has obtained financial resources for the
ongoing project. This amount is the amount agreed between the developer and the private
institution as shown in the graph at point A.
When the project starts, the private party will start to use the fund to support funding
costs (point B) and this situation will continue until the construction completes (point C).
After “n” years, the developer will take some time to pay back the loan. This is proven
by the rising of the curve after “n” years even though the construction period and the
funding period are over. At “point D”, the return of investment has started and this
situation will enable the private party to start paying back the loan.
Equity Fund
Equity fund can represent a personal investment on the planned private project.
Sometimes the equity fund is known as “risky capital” because investors are assumed to
accept the risk (basis) if their business fails. However, they will also enjoy return and
interest if the project succeeds.
At the start of the project, equity fund is considered cheaper than external loans from
financial institution. This equity consists of the sale of ordinary shares and preference
shares.
To encourage participation from outsiders (other than ordinary shareholders), private
developers can invite banks and contractors to invest in both types of shares. This
instrument can be structured to gain the following benefits:
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1. Sufficient and fixed return can be gained by both parties namely the contractors and
financial institutions.
2. An “exit tool” can be provided where there is a possibility for investment liquidation
through sale in the open market or sale and leaseback by the owner when the project
completes.
3. To provide a share from the contract total amount to the contractors
This equity fund has a number of advantages. It facilitates the private sector in reducing
original cash expenses and thus reduce loans, reduce cost of funds, obtain contractors
commitment, and ensure that the job in the contract is completed according to the original
agreement.
Debt fund
Debt fund involves the resources from borrowings and then paid back at an interest rate.
The borrowed capital allows developers to maintain full ownership of that project. There
is a variety of credit options based on the credit characteristics.
Thus by understanding the different types of debt fund resources (commercial and
government loan) and their characteristics, the developers are able to increase their
chances of obtaining a loan at an optimum cost.
The sources of debt fund resources are debt security; commercial banks, merchant banks
and local and overseas financial institutions; insurance companies and also the
government.
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Debt Security
Normally, this type of security is in the form of loan stocks that is transferable, gives a
fixed interest rate, and thus gives the option to the investors to switch their investment
into equity.
Commercial Banks, Merchant Banks and Local and Overseas Financial Institutions
These banks and financial institutions are at the centre of the financial market and offers
different types of loans and credit facilities. The periods of the loans are as follows:
1. Long-term loan
There are several types of long-term loans , for example loans exceeding 10 years,
debentures and mortgages for 20-25 years for freeholds and long term leasehold
(95-120 years) and through sales and leaseback. The parties involved in offering
this type of loans consists of insurance companies, developer groups, property
sales unit, large property companies and other investors.
2. Medium-term loan
This loan is between 3 and 10 years.
3. Short-term loan
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This type of loan is between 1and 5 years. The source of this loan is Merchant
Banks.
Types of loans
Several types of loans are available to the private sector. They are as follows.
1. Bridging finance
In general, banks expect that private parties will mortgage their assets as collateral
to finance its development.
A financial institution or usually a group of banks under a syndicated loan
arrangement manages bridging finance.
Here, private parties will appoint a main manager (usually a Merchant Bank) to
pool certain funds by inviting other banks to participate and thereafter manage the
loan. This loan is a periodic loan with fixed instalments. Sometimes, overdraft
facilities offered can be reduced by redeeming ownership of sold units. In some
cases, to facilitate the initial problem of cash flow, half of the loan can be released
to the borrower at early stages of the development when situation permits.
The interest rate stated is the rate agreed on above the bank’s base lending rate.
Private parties should realise on the interest rate trend between banks (given by
the Merchant Bank) that contradicts with the commercial banks’ base lending rate
and then continue to choose a two-way strategy that gives both benefits.
2. End-financing
205
This type of financing is easily obtained. For example, housing developers will try
to get the best deal from banks for their customers by arranging an end-financing
scheme.
Currently, the interest rate imposed on buyers is between 1.5% and 2.0% higher
that the banks’ base lending rate (between 6.75% and 10.0%). The loan duration
is 15 to 25 years. As collateral, banks need first fixed charge on the ownership,
loan agreement or deed of assignment.
Other Types of Financing
This can be in the form of joint ventures; turnkey contracts; issue of company shares;
debentures; overdrafts and leasing.
1. Joint ventures
For companies that have insufficient capital, they usually will search for
partners or joint ventures that have strong financial standing. By using
financial resources of the partnership, ongoing projects can be funded. Profits
from the projects are usually, divided equally or based on a percentage of
contribution between the partners. In Malaysia, private local companies often
practise this system with overseas companies.
Development can also be financed through joint ventures between:
a.Banks and developers
b. Two developers
c.Landowners and developers
d. Public bodies and developers
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Loose arrangements are simply an arrangement to cooperate in order to
achieve a common objective that takes the form of a single purpose vehicle, a
limited liability company established solely for carrying out the project and
which the joint venture partners have shares.
The advantages of joint ventures are:
i. To spread the risk among participating parties
ii. To enable the development of large projects
iii. To attract market knowledge and development expertise
iv. To secure sufficient development finance
The disadvantages of joint ventures are:
i. Control over the development project is dissipated
ii. Disposal of a particular interest in a partnership scheme is more difficult
iii. There may be double taxation
Before embarking into a joint venture, the parties will need to consider the
following:
i. Number of participants in the project
ii. Nature of the proposed scheme and the relative risks inherent in
development
iii. Time scale involved and the policy towards disposal or retention
iv. How the venture is to be financed and the desired mix of debt and equity
v. Responsibility for losses and limitation on liability
vi. Tax position of the respective parties
vii. Way in which profits are to be distributed
viii. Any relevant statutory legislation on joint ventures
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ix. Ability and ease of disposing of interest by the parties involved
x. Any special balance sheet requirements
2. Turnkey Contracts
The landowner will appoint a contractor fully responsible in completing the
project. This provides a single point responsibility so that in the event of a
building failure the contractor is solely responsible. The client’s interest is
safeguarded. The project will only be handed over to the client after the
project is completed. The fees imposed are according to the agreement made
before the project is executed. The nature of the contract tends to reduce
changes (variations) from the original design and disruption of the works is
less likely to occur, hence encouraging time and cost savings.
3. Sale of Company’s Shares
For large companies that have gained respect of many, company shares are issued
to the public. These companies normally gain profits from their business deals.
The money from the sale of the shares is used to finance their projects. The profits
obtained from their projects will be channelled to their shareholders in the form of
dividends or bonus. To date, many companies list their shares in the Bursa
Malaysia either on the Main Board or Second Board.
4. Debentures
Private developers can also obtain loans in the form of debentures that is
redeemable or non-redeemable, exchangeable or non-exchangeable, secured or
non-secured. This loan is for a certain period with interest payment at an annual
rate.
208
5. Overdrafts (OD)
An overdraft is a credit agreement where banks allow the borrowers to manage
their current account into deficit to the approved amount.
An overdraft is a main short-term financial resource that is offered by the
commercial banks. The borrowers are free to mange it within the fixed overdraft
limit and repay as much as possible at anytime without any notice. Interest is
calculated on the daily loan balance and is usually paid every month or within an
agreed period.
6. Leasing
Leasing facilities provide an opportunity to use capital goods by paying a certain
amount of rents within a fixed period under a leasing contract.
There are two types of leasing, which are:
a. Direct leasing
Two parties are involved where a bank obtains the capital goods and lease
them to a company.
b. Leverage leasing
It is within a syndicated loan arrangement where a large amount of
financing is involved. Three parties are involved in this type of leasing
namely the company, equity participants and borrowers.
7. Forward sale and rental guarantees
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Two main options are available to a developer as follows:
a. Forward sales where the project is sold before any work has started.
b. Wait until construction has been completed and the buildings have been
fully let.
Most short-term financiers will look for a guarantee that there is an
arrangement with a long-term investor or a prospective owner-occupier to
“take out” their interest when the project is completed and often occupied.
8. Sales and leaseback
This arrangement involves a developer selling the freehold interest and the
investor taking back a long lease at a rent that equates to the initial yield reflected
in the selling price. The developer sublets the property at a higher rent paid to the
investor thus creating an immediate profit rent.
Insurance Company
In Malaysia, insurance companies are not actively involved in providing finance to
the private sector due to restrictive legislation that allows investment in approved
assets only. Therefore, their participation is limited to syndicated loans only.
Government
In a high risk construction industry, the types of support that are offered by the
Government are as follows:
210
1. Soft loan that is a loan with low interest rate and reasonably long repayment
period.
2. To determine that the foreign exchange rate is secure to avoid fluctuations in
foreign exchange.
3. To ensure a secure traffic flow such as toll collection that constitutes a part of
the financing resources; and
4. As a guarantor to borrowers (private sector) by imposing a tax rate that
supports the project.
Other Resources
Other financing resources in the private sector are institutions of Social Security,
Foreign Government and the World Bank.
Risks
The risks involved in the development of private projects consist of risks of rising interest
rate, fluctuations in foreign exchange, price increase, construction delay, and receiving
financing resource delay and changes in tax legislation.
Below are some of the problems faced by the private sector in obtaining financial
resources:
1. High interest on loan
211
The bank and other financial institutions will impose an interest rate on the loan given
to the private sector. Although the current interest rate has gone down to 8% - 10%
and is much lower compared to the past, the private sector still feel that the rate is still
at a high level.
2. No Direct Government Aid
If the Local Authorities obtain government aid in its financial resources, the private
sector however does not have any direct aid from the government. This closes one of
the financial options for the private sector.
3. Government’s policy
Sometimes the policy determined by the government affects the financing resources.
For example, a high tax policy such as income tax, real property gains tax and stamp
duty causes the source of income or financial resources of the private sector to be
affected, and this will probably affect ongoing projects. This is because a large
amount of money is needed to pay the imposed tax rate.
4. Lack of Confidence on Shares Issued
Company shares that are sold to the public are one of the financial resources for the
private sector. However, sometimes the company’s profile causes the public to lose
confidence in the company. This will hinder the public from purchasing the shares
and thus will affect the company’s financial resources and the planned or ongoing
development projects.
A slow economy can seriously affect the private sector financial resources. Economic
depression will cause a poor return in investment, less opportunities to apply for a
loan, an increase in the cost of construction materials and others. All these can create
problems for the private sector in obtaining its financial resources.
212
5. Deprecation in Property Value
Land value also plays a role in the efforts made in loan application through mortgage
or collateral to the bank or other financial institutions. If the market value of
properties depreciates, the total amount that can be loaned by the bank to the private
sector will also decrease according to the total value of the mortgaged properties. This
situation will affect the private sector’s financial resources for their projects.
6. High Risk Assumptions
Before banks and other financial institutions give out loans, they need to know the
type of project planned out. If it is in their opinion or assumption that the project
carries a high risk to its developer, they will not give the loan or give a small amount
of loan. This is because they are worried that the loan may not be repaid. The
assumption and opinion of the bank will affect the private sector financial resources.
It is felt that there are several solutions to the problems faced by both these sectors.
For the Local Authorities, the proposed solutions for their problems are as follows:
a. To impose a strict action against those that have not paid their tax arrears and
those who try to evade the tax.
b. To ensure that only profitable investments are invested into and to prevent
investments that fail to consider other factors such as loan interest, economic
situation and others.
c. To urge the Federal Government and the State Government to provide sufficient
financial allocation.
213
d. To convince the bank on the future potential customers from the ongoing project
to facilitate the loan application.
e. To review drafted legislations that give negative effects to Local Authorities.
For the private sector, the proposed solutions for the problems are as follows:
a. To urge the Government to decrease the interest rate on loans.
b. To request that the Government provide financial assistance to the private
companies facing financial problems.
c. To look after the company’s image and performance when it is necessary to
convince the public to purchase the company’s shares.
d. To urge the Government to review the high tax rate to a lower level.
e. To convince the bank by giving an impression that the planned project is
profitable to facilitate obtaining the financial loans.
The suggestions could help overcome the problems faced by the Local Authorities and
private sector in obtaining their financial resources for their development projects.
TUTORIAL QUESTIONS
1. List down all the Federal Government or the State Government financial
resources. Explain how these financial resources are spent.
2. “The role of Financial Institutions in the developemt of central areas in Malaysia
is quite encouraging recently.” Discuss.
214
3. Explain the Local Government financial resources that you have studied and state
the problems faced in obtaining those resources.
4. Give comments on the types of equity financing and explain the speciality of this
form of financing.
5. What is meant by “debt financing”? State those financial resources and the
facilities offered by financial institutions in this country.
215
CHAPTER 6: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT AND MARKET
Investment is the giving up of a capital sum in the hope for a profitable return in the
future whether in the form of rent, interest, dividend, bonus, increase in value and others.
An investor would consider the security of capital and the return expected from the
investment. Other qualities that would be considered are liquidity of capital, security of
income from the aspect of stability in the purchasing power and the prospect of capital
appreciation.
In general, two main investment vehicles exist in the market. These investment vehicles
are:
1. Security (equity shares and fixed income securities)
2. Real estate or property
Security investment is the main investment vehicle that offers various types of shares and
stocks investment from fixed income securities such as stocks and debentures that are
low-risk to high-risk equity stocks.
Stocks and shares that are offered represent various sectors of the economy such as
manufacturing, agriculture, mining, finance, trade and real estate. Besides direct security
investment, investors can also invest in unit trust where a large amount of the investors’
fund is invested into main stocks and other investments.
Real Estate Investment
216
The availability of real estate investment is limited compared to other investments but the
capital and income are more secure. Moreover, real estate investment offers the prospect
of capital appreciation.
Real estate also has its own special characteristics that are not available in the other
alternative types of investment. These characteristics are:
1. The supply of land is limited.
2. Land is man’s basic need for any type of activity.
3. Real estate ownership brings pride and status to its owners.
4. Real estate is physically durable with low rate of depreciation.
5. The site on which the property sits cannot decay, be destroyed or stolen. On the
contrary, its value will appreciate through time and it can be a good hedge against
inflation.
6. A property is unique and different from other properties in terms of location,
design, area, structural condition and others.
7. In general, a real estate investment has a more stable performance compared to
other types of investment.
8. Large amount of capital is usually required in a real estate investment.
9. Generally, a real investment cannot be easily divided into smaller units. However,
smaller divisions of ownership can be made possible through the purchase of
investment units in Real Estate Investment Trusts as will be discussed later in this
chapter.
217
Real Estate Market
Real estate or property market is a collection of all real estate transactions in the country.
However, in general, it is an imperfect market compared to other investment markets due
to the following:
1. Property market does not have a central institution similar to the share market
such as the Bursa Malaysia and it does not exist physically.
2. Property market needs real estate experts such as agents and property consultants
for sale and purchase transactions and giving professional advice to reduce
imperfect knowledge.
3. Property market is complex due to the different objectives and intentions of
investors in different property transactions.
4. Transfers of ownership in property market are time consuming and costly
involving among others legal fees, stamp duty and real property gains tax. On the
contrary, transfers of ownership in general investment market does not take a long
time and are not costly.
5. The property market is unique and this would create some problems to the
investor. With the exception of property unit trusts, property cannot be bought in
smaller units. This is different from investment in stocks and shares.
Determining Property Value in the Perfect Market
218
Economists verify that the market price of a property reflects its economic value. The
economic value of land is determined by three factors, which are utility, scarcity and
proof of ownership. The open market value or the land value depends on the demand for
and supply of the land. The interaction between these two factors determines the property
market price.
Firstly, the concept of market value is explained here. Economists confirm that the
economic value of property is the same with its market value. Therefore, its economic
value is influenced by supply and demand and the value is not fixed. There will be
changes in value if there are changes in supply or demand.
The market value is the expected price by an individual in a particular market situation.
This value is sometimes defined as the most probable selling price. However, explanation
on the meaning of a definition must be based on certain assumptions as follows:
1. A market where competition exists that is there are more than one buyer and seller
dealing in the market
2. Perfect knowledge
3. Rational behaviour from both buyers and sellers
4. Normal selling market situation (not forced selling)
5. Open market situation
6. Normal financing situation
Therefore, the meaning of the concept of market value is the most probable selling price
that is agreed between a buyer and a seller in a normal market situation.
219
Complications Faced in the Perfect Market
The process of adjusting the market price to an equilibrium situation (where the demand
is equal to supply) has a number of complications. This would lead to the difficulty of
reaching market price in the property market. Factors that can cause an imperfect market
are:
1. Imperfect knowledge on the market where the seller and buyer do not realise the
price and quantity offered or the price that other buyers can afford to pay.
2. The influence of Government’s policy that is demand can be influenced by
government’s policy namely, actions or policies that can cause an increase in the
demand for property such as:
a. Subsidisation where the interest rate through tax policy are exempted from tax
b. Reduction in stamp duties and quit rent
c. Provision of housing loan facilities
Properties transacted in the market will reflect the changes in supply and demand
influenced by the Government’s policies.
3. Social factors, for example the land value of Malay reserve land is lower
compared to other areas, and this will influence the demand for property in this
area.
4. Market movements in response to changes in supply and demand: Real estate is
fixed economic goods. Its supply cannot be increased in the short term. As
indicated in Figure 6.1, there would be a price increase if there were any changes
in the demand for a particular type of property.
220
Price
Figure 6.1 : Price increase with demand increase
5. Legal restrictions such as ownership restrictions and transfer of ownership.
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
A REIT is a company that buys, develops, manages and sells real estate assets. REITs
allow participants to invest in a professionally managed portfolio of real estate properties.
It also qualifies as pass-through entities, enabling companies to distribute the majority of
income cash flows to investors without taxation at the corporate level (providing that
certain conditions are met). As pass-through entities, whose main function is to pass
profits on to investors, a REIT's business activities are generally restricted to generation
of property rental income. Another major advantage of REIT investment is its liquidity
(ease of liquidation of assets into cash), as compared to traditional private real estate
Supply Curve (Zero elasticity)
Quantity
221
ownership which are not very easy to liquidate. One reason for the liquid nature of REIT
investments is that its shares are primarily traded on major exchanges, making it easier to
buy and sell REIT assets/shares than to buy and sell properties in private markets.
Investing in REITs
Both foreign and domestic capital sources provide investment in the REIT market.
Thousands of individuals, as well as large institutional investors including pension funds,
endowment funds, insurance companies, bank trust departments and mutual funds own
REITs. The investment goals for REIT share ownership are much the same as investment
in other stocks. For example, in the investment, current income distributions and long-
term appreciation potential are considered.
The majority of REIT shares can be purchased on the major stock exchanges, and orders
can be placed through stockbrokers. Financial planners and investment advisors can help
to match an investor's objectives with individual REIT investment.
REITs also provide an annual report, prospectus and other financial information directly
to an investor. Recently, mutual funds have emerged specializing in REIT investment and
diversification.
Some of the key elements in evaluating a REIT include:
1. Management
As with any business, a key to successful performance lies with the expertise of
management. However difficult for the individual investor, a couple of indicators
used to assess a REITs’ value are its management's amount of experience as well
as the length of time the management team has worked together. If a REIT has
recently booked a new source of funds, it can be inferred that the institution
providing the capital feels comfortable with the strengths and strategies of the
REIT's management.
222
2. Capital Sources
Because REITs are, by definition, obligated to distribute 90% of their taxable
income to investors, they must rely upon external funding as their key source of
capital. Investors must consider a REITs potential for future success, assessing
whether individual REITs have the access to debt or equity capital sufficient to
fund their future growth plans. REITs that have the ability to properly leverage
themselves usually will deliver superior returns.
3. Earnings
Net income under generally accepted accounting principles assumes that the value
of assets diminishes predictably over time. However, real estate values tend to rise
and fall with current market conditions. Funds From Operations (FFO) was
adopted to address the problems with valuation and performance by excluding
historical depreciation costs from the net income figure.
FFO has become the industry’s wide performance standard for REIT operating
performance, but other factors should be considered when evaluating a REIT's
overall performance. For instance, if a REIT has a portfolio which includes older
properties, its higher capital expenditure needs make its FFO value misleading to
investors. Many professional REIT investors calculate cash flow after capital
items (known as Cash Available for Distribution or CAD) as another measure of a
REIT's performance. In addition, investors must also be familiar with the REIT
dividend payout ratio as a measure of sustainability of dividends.
Types of REITs
REITs fall into three broad categories:
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a. Equity REITs
Equity REITs invest in and own properties, thus responsible for the equity or
value of their real estate assets. Their revenues come principally from their
properties' rents.
b. Mortgage REITs
Mortgage REITs deal in investment and ownership of property mortgages. These
REITs loan money for mortgages to owners of real estate, or invest in (purchase)
existing mortgages or mortgage backed securities. Their revenues are generated
primarily by the interest that they earn on the mortgage loans.
c. Hybrid REITs
Hybrid REITs combine the investment strategies of Equity REITs and Mortgage
REITs by investing in both properties and mortgages.
Individual REITs are able to distinguish themselves by specialisation. REITs may focus
their investments geographically (by region, state, or metropolitan area), or in property
types (such as retail properties, industrial facilities, office buildings, apartments or
healthcare facilities). Certain REITs choose a broader focus, investing in a variety of
types of property and mortgage assets across a wider spectrum of locations.
Benefits of REITs
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In general, REITs and their performance have some common characteristics with small-
cap stocks and bond-like investments. However, REITs have advantages over stocks and
bonds in terms of dividends. The long-term performance of an individual REIT is
determined by the value of its real estate assets at any given time. One of the primary
incentives for REIT investment is the low correlation of its value to that of other financial
assets. Because of this, REITs possess low relative historical volatility and provide some
degree of inflation protection. In addition to the advantages of an investment which
avoids double taxation and requires no minimum investment, REITs offer investors
current income that is usually stable and often provides an attractive return. Another
factor attractive to the investor is that independent directors of the REIT, analysts,
auditors, and the business and financial media monitor a REIT’s performance on a
regular basis.
Planning Concept
It is important to understand the concept of town planning as it has some implications on
investments and real estate market.
Planning is a process executed for obtaining an optimum result or benefit. Town planning
is executed through development control of an area that ranges from physical, land use
and surroundings for its inhabitants and their needs. Other factors include economic
factors and management of resources. Planning plays an important role in determining
the success and the development process of a city or the property market. The
government is directly involved in executing this plan.
In coming up with a plan, firstly, the government would undertake a study and research
on an area that would be developed. A structure plan is prepared for developing that area
and suggestions will be made on the execution of work. Subsequently, the local plan will
be executed after considering various aspects, conditions and objections from all parties.
The execution of a local plan is the result of cooperation from various government
departments. All respective departments have specific tasks and responsibilities in
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executing the local plan. The Town and Country Planning Act 1976 is the act directly
involved in regulating the planning aspects on land use matters.
The Development Plan System
Planning involves the preparation of improvement scheme system, which is the planned
development system from the aspect of shape, content and procedure. The development
scheme is divided into two main phases, the Structure Plan and the Local Plan, which are
closely related to each other.
1. Structure Plan
It is a wide working outline for local plans. It covers policies that have been
identified by the government in developing the country, which provides a
comprehensive basis for the overall planning system. A structure plan is therefore,
an overall plan or policy statement and suggestion which concerns with the
development and land use of an area. These involve social, economics, physical
and environmental aspects of a local authority. It indicates to the State Authority
and the society on the Local Planning Authority’s development and land use plan
for the next 5 to 20 years.
In general, the themes contained in most Structure Plans include the following:
a. Equality principles
b. The situation of existing main cities
c. Development control (such as zoning, density and green belt area)
d. Status or standard of office development or shopping complex
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e. Compromising strategy
2. Local Plan
It is a map with written statements showing all the detailed plans of a Local
Planning Authority for the land development in the local authority area. For
example, the plan may contain the steps in improving the physical environment,
communication and traffic management. In the preparation of the local plan, the
structure plan provides the framework or guideline in the form of policy
statements.
The emphasis of the local plan is to provide an explanation of the objectives of
the Local Planning Authorities to the public on how their properties would be
affected by the planning activities and informing developers on opportunities that
can be gained. The planning components of the Local Plan can be explained in the
layout plan map.
The Implications of Development Plan on Investment and Real Estate Market
Development Plan Policy plays an important role in determining the success of an
investment and thus responsible towards the development of the property market. Each
plan that is successfully implemented would ensure the success of the government
towards improving the people’s standard of living in a country.
In summary, the implications of the structure plan theme are as follows:
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1. Equality principles can be used to solve problems in a declining economy and
controlling development in an established city centre. Here, positive
discrimination is used to:
a. Increase job opportunities
b. Facilitate planning permission if there is an investment
c. Provide initiatives and subsidies in creating job opportunities
2. Development Control Policy can control the growth of low-density development
in rural areas. The purpose for this control is to prevent the emergence of too
many new centres that will compete with existing city centres. This is to ensure
that future investments in established city centres can be retained.
3. The following development control in general affect the demand for properties.
a. Zoning
Urban planning needs a comprehensive layout of land use so that an
organised and systematic area can be created .Good land allocations through
zoning can bring changes in development of an area. Zoning is the division
of land into several areas according to its use. Land in an area can be
divided into agriculture, industrial, manufacturing, residential and
commercial land uses.
Division according to land use will directly affect the market of the land
depending on the zone to which the land is designated. For example, an
agricultural land that has later been zoned as an industrial area will
experience an increase in value to the level of value of existing industrial
area in the market.
b. Population Density Control
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The control of population density in a developing area intends to avoid over
supply of certain types of property in the area. This is imposed during the
construction of development projects where the planning authority limits the
number of houses that can be built in that area. If such a restriction is not
made, housing developers will build more houses to gain extra profits and
when this happens, an oversupply of houses will indirectly decrease its
value. This step to determine the limit of population density is one of the
best ways to control the price from declining sharply in the market.
c. Development Approval
For commercial buildings, the local planning authority can control the
supply by limiting development approvals. The purpose of this control is to
ensure that there would be no oversupply of retail and office spaces in the
market. If this is not done, developers may build high-rise commercial
buildings as they please. Oversupply of commercial spaces will indirectly
decrease the rental value if the supply of commercial spaces exceeds its
demand. The issue of supply and demand is initially studied before the land
use planning of an area is undertaken. This will depend on the prospect for
future development schemes. From another point of view, value will
increase if developers offer limited spaces. Through plot ratio, the supply of
commercial spaces can be controlled by the government.
The Negative Effects of Planning on Real Estate Investment
Planning may also bring negative effects on real estate investment. Planners should also
take into account of aspects of planning that can cause these outcomes. Some of the
planning that need to be considered carefully are as follows.
1. Malay Reserve Land
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In the beginning, this form of control was introduced to avoid land belonging to
the Malays to fall to foreign investors. However, it may bring negative effect on
the country’s development, as development may not take place due to lack of
capital and the attitude of some of the owners themselves of not wanting
development. The Malay Reserve Land will continue to be ignored if the
government does not take any positive action to promote development in that
area.
2. Express condition
In a land ownership title, an express condition may be stated by the government.
Originally, its purpose was to prevent real estate owners from undertaking
activities as they please on their land. The government as the original owner has
plans on the land and this may become an obstacle for any development for the
area. For example, a piece of land with development potential may have been
allocated for agriculture, and thus cannot be developed as there is an express
condition that prohibits development on the land. However, development can still
take place by application to change the condition but this can be a long process
and some are not approved. This is the reason behind the failure to develop due
the existence of strict express condition.
3. Temporary Occupation Land
Temporary occupation land is difficult to develop because development on the
land is not approved although there is development potential. The government
can acquire the land as and when it is needed. Therefore, no development can
take place although there are many interested investors to develop that area.
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Government Intervention in Real Estate Market
Listed below are actions by the government that can assist in the development of the
property sector.
Housing Sector
In the housing sector, the government can facilitate the processing of application for
conversion of land use from agriculture to residential use. In the execution of a
development, the government also has to be involved in the following matters:
1. To specify the population density rate in an area with the intention that all public
amenities are channelled properly and sufficiently into the area.
2. To determine the quota of ownership to people of low income bracket to ensure
that they are given opportunities to home ownership.
3. To ensure that the people will benefit from infrastructure facilities. The
government can only approve development that provides sufficient infrastructure.
4. To provide loan facilities to developers so that development can be undertaken by
them.
Retail Sector
The government introduces the following course of action to encourage more investment
in the retail sector.
1. To determine that each housing project has an allocated area for retail activities.
2. To have capital loan scheme for Bumiputera traders or purchasers of retail
properties.
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3. To provide encouragement and training to the traders to develop their
entrepreneurship skills and expand their business.
4. To offer a fair loan rate of interest so that they can compete with foreigners.
Office Sector
The government can provide assistance in improving investment in the office sector
through the following.
1. To restrict the development growth of office spaces for a certain period. This can
maintain the rental value and prevent excessive supply of office spaces.
2. To protect property value by opening up investment opportunities in business.
When the economy picks up, the investors are able to pay rent and eventually own
the property.
Industrial Sector
In the industrial sector, the government has introduced certain initiatives to encourage its
development. Among the initiatives are :
1. To award pioneer status where tax exemption is given to new industries in a
particular new field. This will encourage foreign investment and the transfer of
new technologies from overseas to the country.
2. To designate free trade zones such as the one in Shah Alam to encourage
investment in the industrial sector.
3. To provide all infrastructures in the industrial areas to attract the interest of
investors into these areas.
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4. To provide a well planned and complete highway system so that investors are able
to transport their goods for distribution easily.
5. To allocate industrial sites near the country’s entry and exit points in proximity to
ports or airports to facilitate the import and export of goods.
It is clear that planning brings benefits and smoothes the operation of the property
market. However, several aspects pertaining to imperfection of the property market and
land use planning need to be understood so that all forms of investment in the property
market can be undertaken smoothly. These need to be given serious consideration so that
the country’s economic development will continue to prosper in accordance with the
nation’s aspiration.
TUTORIAL QUESTIONS
1. State the difference between property market and stock market. What are the factors
that cause the imperfections of the property market?
2. “Planning has brought positive effects on the land value and the smoothness of
operation of the property market”. Discuss
3. Present a complete report on factors that influence the Current and Future Rental
Value for residential and commercial properties in this country.
4. With reference to relevant economic principles, discuss the need of Government
intervention in the development of the property sector especially in the housing
industry.
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