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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils Haroon Bhorat Carlene van der Westhuizen Sumayya Goga Development Policy Research Unit Working Paper 09/135 January 2009 ISBN Number: 978-1-920055-70-7

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Page 1: Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour

Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

HaroonBhorat

CarlenevanderWesthuizen

SumayyaGoga

DevelopmentPolicyResearchUnit

WorkingPaper09/135

January2009

ISBNNumber:978-1-920055-70-7

Page 2: Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour

Abstract

Theroleofbargainingcouncils,thecentralpillarofcollectivebargaininginSouthAfrica,

in the formationofwages is important in thecontextofhighunemployment rates in

South Africa. In this study we find that while institutionalised collective bargaining system

coveredsubstantiallymore formalsectorworkers in2005(30percent)compared to

1995(15percent),thisstillmeantthatlessthanathirdoftheformallyemployedwere

coveredbybargainingcouncils.Notwithstanding this, theoverall rise in thenumber

ofworkerscoveredbybargainingcouncilagreementsbetween1995and2005was

drivenalmostprimarilyby the introductionofpublicsectorcouncils.Thus,bargaining

council coverage in the first decade of democracy is characterised by an erosion of

coveragewithin theprivatesectorbargainingcouncilsystemon theonehandand

therapid riseof thissystemofbargaining in thepublicsector.Thedescriptivedata

and multivariate models show therefore a significant wage premium associated with

coverage under public sector councils in 2005, in excess of the large and significant

unionwagepremium.Thedeclineinthebargainingcouncilsystemintheprivatesector

isaccompaniedbydecliningwagepremia for formalsectorworkerscoveredunder

private sector bargaining council agreements, with our preferred specification in 2005

indicating no significant private sector bargaining council wage premium. The wage

premiumassociatedwithunionmembershiphowever remainsverystrongbetween

1995and2005.Furthermore,notonlydidunionmembershipin1995and2005award

wagepremiaacrossthewagedistribution, italsoservedtoreducedwage inequality,

particularlyinthebottomhalfofthewagedistribution.

Acknowledgement

This Working Paper is one in a series eminating from The Critical Research

Projects fundedby theDepartmentofLabour.Theprojectwascommissionedto the

DevelopmentPolicyResearchUnit(headedbyProfHaroonBhoratattheUniversityof

CapeTown)andtheSociologyofWorkUnit(ledbyProfEddieWebsterattheUniversity

oftheWitwatersrand)undertheauspicesoftheHumanSciencesResearchCouncil(led

byAndreKraak).

Development Policy Research Unit Tel: +27 21 650 5705Fax: +27 21 650 5711

InformationaboutourWorkingPapersandotherpublishedtitlesareavailableonourwebsiteat:http://www.dpru.uct.ac.za/

Page 3: Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour

Contents

1. Introduction............................................................................................1

2. Institutionalised Wage Formation: A Brief Overview..........................3

FunctionsandPowersoftheIndustrialCouncils.................................5

DevelopmentofaDualIndustrialRelationsSystem..............................7

2.1 Bargaining Councils in the Labour Relations Environment

since 1994....................................................................................10

BargainingCouncilsandtheLegislativeEnvironment.......................11

BargainingCouncilsinPractice............................................................14

3. The Nature of Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market.......................................................................................17

SectoralDeterminations.........................................................................17

Non-StatutoryCollectiveBargainingandWageDetermination.........18

ExtensionsofandExemptionsfromBargainingCouncil

Agreements.............................................................................................20

4. Data and Descriptive Overview............................................................22

4.1 Data Sources and the Construction of Industrial and

Bargaining Council Coverage....................................................22

4.2 Bargaining Council Membership, Employment and Earnings:

A Descriptive Overview...........................................................25

BargainingCouncilCoveragebySector,OccupationandUnion

Status.......................................................................................................26

EarningsintheBargainingCouncilSystem........................................34

5. Bargaining Council Membership and Wages –A Multivariate Analysis

...............................................................................................................41 Results.....................................................................................................43

ResultsfromQuantileRegressions......................................................53

DeterminantsofWageInequality:Inter-QuantileRegression

Estimates.................................................................................................62

Page 4: Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour

6. Conclusion............................................................................................64

7. References............................................................................................66

Appendix A: List of Industrial Councils – 1995..............................................73

Appendix B: List of Bargaining Councils – 2005...........................................76

Appendix C: Technical Notes: Creation of IC Coverage for 1995................78

Appendix D: Technical Notes: Creation of BC Coverage 2005....................80

Appendix E: Estimated Industrial Council Coverage in the 1995 OHS........87

Appendix F: Estimated Bargaining Council Coverage in the 2005 LFS.......88

Appendix G: Broad Labour Force Participation Equation, 1995 and 2005......................................................................................89

Appendix H: Formal Employment Equation, 1995 and 2005.........................90

Appendix I: Inter-Quantile Determinants of Earnings, 1995.........................91

Appendix J: Inter-Quantile Determinants of Earnings, 2005........................93

Page 5: Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour

Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

1. Introduction

Bargainingcouncils(knownasindustrialcouncilsbefore1995)arethekeyinstitutions

involved in thestatutorysystemofcollectivebargainingandwagedetermination in

theSouthAfrican labourmarket.Abargainingcouncilcanbeestablishedbyoneor

moreregisteredtradeunionsandoneormoreregisteredemployerorganisationsfor

a specific sector and area. Worker interests are therefore represented at a bargaining

councilby theparty tradeunions.Both tradeunionsandbargainingcouncilshave

claimed to be contributing to labour market inflexibility, and specifically wage inflexibility.

Theextensionsofwageagreementstonon-bargainingcouncilmembersandnon-union

membersaredeemedtobeparticularlyproblematicandithasbeenarguedthatthese

extensionsplaceunnecessaryburdensonsmallandnewbusinessesandcontributes

tothehighunemploymentrateinthecountry(seeforexampleButcher&Rouse,2001:

349,350;Michaud&Vencatachellum,2001:3). Ultimately,however, theroleplayed

bybargainingcouncils– their forerunners the industrialcouncilsandofcoursetrade

unions,inwageformation–isakeycomponentofthebroaderongoingdebatearound

SouthAfrica’slabourregulatoryenvironment.

Anumberofpaststudieshaveexplored thewagepremiumassociatedwithunion

membership in theSouthAfrican labourmarket.Dependingon thedatasetsused,

dependentvariable(hourly,weekly,monthlyorannualwages)and themethodology

used,thesizeoftheestimatedunionpremiumdifferswidely.1Thesestudiesgenerally

found a positive and significant wage premium associated with union membership.

Notmanystudieshave,however,investigatedtheroleofbargainingcouncilsinsetting

minimumwages in theSouthAfrican labourmarket.Theonlynoteworthystudywas

thatconductedbyButcherandRousein2001.Usingdatafrom1995,theyfoundthat

Africanworkerswhobelongedtoanindustrialcouncil,butnotaunion,earnedabout10

percentmorethanthoseworkersnotcoveredbyanindustrialcouncilagreement.When

theseworkersbelongedtoauniontoo,thewagepremiumincreasedtomorethan30

percent.

Themainobjectiveofthisstudyistoevaluatetheroleofbargainingcouncils inwage

formation in the South African labour market. Specifically, the study aims to determine

whatpremiumisassociatedwithBargainingCouncilmembershipasdistinctfromUnion

membership,foremployeesintheSouthAfricanlabourmarket.

� SeeMichaudandVencatachellum(200�:20)foracomparisonofsomeofthereportedwagepremiaintheliterature.

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DPRU Working Paper 09/135 Haroon Bhorat, Carlene van der Westhuizen & Sumayya Goga

Section2providesabrief overviewof thedevelopmentof institutionalisedwage

formationintheSouthAfricanlabourmarket,focusingontheestablishmentofindustrial

councils, thedevelopmentofadualsystemof industrial relations in thecountryand

theshift fromindustrialcouncils tobargainingcouncils inpost-apartheidSouthAfrica.

InSection3differentformsofwageformationareexplored.Thevariousdatasources

used inouranalysisandtheestimationof industrialandbargainingcouncilcoverage

arediscussed intheSection4.1,whileSection4.2providesadescriptiveoverviewof

theestimatedcoverageintermsofthenumbersofworkersaswellastheirassociated

earnings.Section5providesamultivariateanalysisofearnings,whichallowsus to

account for thesimultaneous impactofarangeof relevantvariablesonearnings, in

particular,isolatingtheimpactofindustrial/bargainingcouncilandunionmembershipon

earnings.Section6concludes.

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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

2. Institutionalised Wage Formation: A Brief Overview

Industrialcouncilswereestablishedinresponsetotheneedtoresolvedisputessuch

asthosebetweenminingcompaniesandminersintheearly1920saswellastheRand

Rebellionof the1922whenworkersembarkedonstrikeactionagainstemployers.

As such, then, industrial councils represented the first institutionalised representation

ofcollectivebargaining in theSouthAfrican labourmarket. In1924, the Industrial

ConciliationActwas introducedwith thespecificaimofestablishingasystemof

collectivebargaining(SALDRU,1990:3).TheActprovidedthe legislative framework

fortheestablishmentofindustrialcouncilsaswellastheframeworkfortheregulationof

collective bargaining and industrial conflict. According to Godfrey (1992: 1) the central

aimof theActwas tocreateasystemofnational industry-widecouncils thatwould

allowindustrialsectorstogovernthemselvesbyrepresentativeemployerorganisations

andtradeunions.Agriculturalworkers,domesticworkersandgovernmentemployees,

however,felloutsidetheambitoftheAct(SALDRU,1990:3).

Inpracticeanindustrialcouncilwasformedwhenanemployer,employers’organisation

oragroupofemployers’organisationstogetherwitharegisteredtradeuniongroupof

registeredtradeunionscametogetherandagreedontheconstitutionfor thecouncil

–andthenproceededtoregister thecouncil in termsof theAct.Onceregistered,an

industrialcouncilbecameapermanentbargaining institution(Godfrey,1992:5).The

establishmentofan industrialcouncilwasvoluntaryandnoprovisionwasmade for

majorityorproportionalrepresentationinthelegislation,whichmeantthatcouncilscould

accommodateawidevarietyof tradeunionsofvaryingsizesand interests(Godfrey,

1992:7).Thegeographicaland industrialscope (whichconstituted the jurisdiction

of thecouncil)wasalso left for theparties tobedetermined.Finally, the issuesthat

thesecouncilschosetonegotiateon,were left to thediscretionof theparties to the

council, but generally included wages, social welfare benefit funds, and conditions of

employmentsuchasworkinghours.

The IndustrialConciliationActdid require that thepartiesbe representativeof the

jurisdictionforwhichthecouncilwasseekingregistration.Theissueofrepresentation

was left to thediscretionof theMinisterofManpower,butgenerallymeant that the

partiesrepresented themajorityofemployersoremployees inageographicalarea,

industry,occupationortrade(Butcher&Rouse,2001:351).Onceanindustrialcouncil

wasregistered, itcouldrequesttheMinisterofManpowertopublishtheiragreements

in the Government Gazette and to extend the agreements to all employers and

employeeswithin the jurisdictionof thecouncil.TheMinistercouldusehisdiscretion

bothinthepublicationofagreementsandtheextensionofagreementsandhadtobe

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satisfied that the parties to the Industrial Council were sufficiently representative of the

employersandemployeeswithinthejurisdictionoftheCouncil.Foranagreementtobe

extended to non-parties, the Minister had to be satisfied that non-extension would result

inunfaircompetitionfromemployersnotsubject totheagreement.Thepublicationof

anagreement intheGovernmentGazettewaslegallybindingandoffenderscouldbe

prosecutedbythestate inacriminalcourt.Theonus,however,wasonan industrial

counciltoenforceitsagreements.

Oneof themost important featuresof theAct,however,was that itexcludedpass-

bearingAfricans from thedefinitionofan ‘employee’,meaning that theseworkers

wereexcludedfromrepresentationon industrialcouncilsandalsoexcludedfromthe

agreementsreachedbyindustrialcouncils.Thisessentiallyresultedinthedevelopment

of a dual system of industrial relations defined by race (Godfrey, 1992: 14).

Thevoluntarynatureof the industrialcouncilsystemmeant that industrialcouncils

developed indiverseandunevenways.Theenvisagedsystemofnational industrial

councilsdidnotmaterialiseduetoavarietyoffactorssuchastheexclusionofAfrican

workers, low levelsof tradeunionorganisation, thegeographicpatternsof industrial

developmentanddeepracialandskillsdivisionsbetweentradeunions.Asaresult,

manylocalandregionalindustrialcouncilsdeveloped,withalimitednumberofnational

councils.Manyofthecouncilsweredominatedbyemployerorganisationsduetoweak

tradeunionorganisation,whileonthetradeunionsiderepresentationwasdominated

byartisanandpseudo-artisanunions,especiallyWhitecraftunions(Godfrey&Macun,

1991: 7).These tradeunionsused the councils for theexclusivebenefit of their

membersandtothedetrimentofunorganisedorpoorlyorganisedsectorsofthelabour

market.

TheWageActwas introduced in1925asacompanion to the IndustrialConciliation

Act.TheActestablishedaWageBoardtomakerecommendationsonminimumwages

andworkingconditions.TheBoardwasappointedbytheMinisterofManpowerfora

specific period and undertook investigations and made recommendations to the Minister

before a wage determination was made for a specific area, sector of categories of

employees.TheMinisterwasundernoobligationtomakeawagedeterminationbased

ontherecommendationsof theBoard. Inaddition, theBoardadvisedtheMinisteron

exemptionsandextensionstoawagedetermination(Standingetal,1996:143,144).

TheWageActessentiallysoughttoprovideminimumwagesforWhiteworkersthatdid

notfallwithintheindustrialcouncilsystem(RepublicofSouthAfrica,1996:63).

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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

Wageswerealsoregulated throughso-called ‘labourorders’whichwere introduced

asanamendmenttotheLRAin1981.Theseweredesignedtoregulatewagesmostly

atthebottomendofthelabourmarket. Inthoseindustriesthatwerenotgovernedby

industrialcouncils,anygroupofemployerscouldapproachtheMinisterofManpower

withaproposalonwagesandotherconditionsofemployment for theworkers they

employed, and they could request that such proposals be made binding on all

employersandemployees inthe industry,areaor tradeconcerned.Afterconsultation

with theWageBoardandconsiderationof representation, theMinistercould issuea

labourorder to implement theproposals.Theorderwaspublished inaGovernment

Gazette in a manner similar to which wage determinations were published and

remainedapplicableuntilsupercededbyanyotherwageregulatingmeasurethatwas

determinedtobebinding(Standingetal,1996:144).

In theabsenceofan industrialcouncilagreement,awagedeterminationora labour

order,theprovisionsoftheBasicConditionsofEmploymentAct(BCEA)of1983applied

(Standingetal,1996:133).Wagescouldbedeterminedthroughenterpriseorcompany

level bargaining. In non-unionised sectors and firms, however, employment conditions,

includingwages,wereoftendeterminedunilaterallybymanagementand took the

formofindividualcontracts.Inhigher-leveloccupationsandforhigherskilledworkers,

employmentconditionsalso took the formof individualcontracts (RSA,1996:54).

IndustrialCouncilagreementssupercededboth theBCEAandWageAct in termsof

matterscoveredbytheagreement(Standingetal,1996:147).

FunctionsandPowersoftheIndustrialCouncils

The legislationonlyprovidedaskeletal frameworkand thedetailswere left to the

individualcouncilsthemselvestonegotiateandagreeupon,withtheresultthatcouncils

haddifferentdegreesofscope.Councilscouldnegotiateonanymatterofmutual

interest toemployersandemployees.Most industrialcouncils,however,negotiated

onmatters related towages,workingconditionsandbenefit funds.Acouncilalso

establishedproceduresfordealingwithdisputesarisingwithinitsjurisdiction.

Anequalnumberofpersonsfromtheemployerandtradeunionorganisationshadto

beappointed to represent the twoparties in thecouncil,and theserepresentatives

constituted thebargaining forumthatconducted theactualnegotiations.The forum

metperiodicallyaccordingto itsconstitutionalrequirements toattendto itsbusiness,

aswellasannuallyorbiannually tonegotiateon itsmainagreement(Godfrey,1992:

8). The main agreement of an industrial council referred to the agreement that

prescribedminimumwageratesandconditionsofwork.Oncethemainagreementwas

published, the fullagreementwasgenerallynever renegotiated.Tradeunionscould

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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

submitproposalsforamendmentstothemainagreement.Negotiationwouldthentake

placebetween theunionsandemployerparties.Aftersuccessfulconclusionof the

negotiations, thenewsetofagreementswaspresentedtotheMinisterofManpower,

whopublishedanotice renewingandamending themainagreement (including the

periodof therenewal).Anentirelynewagreementwasusuallyonlypublishedaftera

numberoryears(Godfrey,1992:9).

The councils appointed full-time officials to staff the council in order to attend to its day-

to-dayoperations.Theseusuallyincludedasecretary,anumberofdesignatedagents,

and administrative personnel. The majority of the councils were financed by a levy

(usuallyprescribedinthemainagreement) imposedonallemployersandemployees

withinthecouncil’sjurisdiction(Godfrey,1992:8).

Some councils established benefit funds (for example, pension funds and sick pay

funds) in the main agreement or in separate agreements. Benefit fund agreements

weregenerallynotrenegotiatedveryoftenandremainedinplacemuchlongerthanthe

mainagreement.Councilsusuallyestablishedsub-committeestooverseetheoperation

of the benefit fund (Godfrey, 1992: 10).

Asub-committeewithinthecouncilwasusuallysetuptodealwithdisputeswithin its

jurisdiction.The ideaofself-governancemeant that itwas the taskof thecouncil to

maintain industrialpeacewithintheirareaof jurisdictionaswellastoprovideaforum

throughwhichdisputesintheirareaoftheirjurisdictioncouldbesettled(Godfrey,1992:

7).

Thelowlevelofregisteredtradeunionorganisationanddiversityoftradeunionsmeant

thatemployersgenerallyhadthebalanceofpowerinindustrialcouncils.Theydictated

thelevelsatwhichbargainingtookplaceinthecouncilsandthis,forexample,resulted

inrelativelylowlevelsofstipulatedwageminima,particularlyforlessskilledemployees

(Godfrey & Macun, 1991: 7). The fact that pass-bearing Africans were not defined as

employeesand,therefore,notincludedinthesystemofindustrialcouncils,onlyserved

toreinforcetheweakbargainingpowerofAfricanemployees.Internalisedmanagement

of industrial relationswithin theworkplace, the initialaimof the industrialcouncil

system,impliedadequaterepresentationforallconcerned.However,unskilledworkers

werepoorlyrepresented,asthemajorityofthemwereAfrican.Theexclusionofpass-

bearingAfricansalsoledtothereplacementofWhiteworkersbyAfricanworkersinthe

semiandunskilledworkcategories,becausetheycouldbepaid less thanthewage

prescribedforWhiteworkersintheagreement.In1930,however,theActwasamended

toallowtheMinisterofManpower toextend thewageandmaximumhoursofwork

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clausestopass-bearingAfricanworkersthat fellwithin the jurisdictionof therelevant

industrialcouncil.Africanworkerswere,however,stillexcludedfromrepresentationon

thecouncils(Godfrey,1992:17).

DevelopmentofaDualIndustrialRelationsSystem

TheIndustrialConciliationsActwassuccessful inreducingstrikeactioncomparedto

pre-1924levelsand inboostingtradeunionaswellas industrialcouncilparticipation.

Italsohadsome lesssatisfactoryconsequencesand thesewerehighlightedby the

IndustrialLegislationCommission’s review (the firstnotableone)of the industrial

councilsystemin1935(Godfrey,1992:14,15).Oneof themainconcernsraisedby

thecommissionwasthehugegapbetweenskilledandunskilledwagesinSouthAfrica,

andthewayinwhichcraftunionshadusedtheIndustrialCouncilsystemtoentrench

thisgap.Thecommissionalsonotedthatinmanycasestradeunionsdidnotnegotiate

for less-skilledworkersand, therefore, theseworkerswerenotcoveredby industrial

council agreements. Another identified failure of the industrial council system was the

limitednumberofnational industry-widecouncilsthatwerecreated,whichwasmostly

theresultofthedominationbycraftcouncils(Godfrey,1992:18,19).

As a result of the findings of the commission, the Industrial Conciliation Act of 1924

wasrepealedandreplacedbytheIndustrialConciliationActNo36of1937.Thisnew

actsought to improvetheprotectionof the interestsofworkersnotparty to industrial

councils.Theactprovided foran inspector toattend industrialcouncilmeetings to

representtheinterestsofworkersnotrepresentedbytradeunions.Italsoprovidedfor

theextensionofalloftheprovisionsofanagreementtopass-bearingAfricanworkers,

andnotjustthosepertainingtoworkinghoursandwages(Godfrey,1992:20).

In1941, the formationof theCongressofNon-EuropeanTradeUnions (CNETU)

constitutedamilestone,andby1945therewereabout158000workersrepresentedin

119unions(SALDRU,1990:3).ThoughtheseAfricanunionsrepresentedasubstantial

numberofpeople,theydidnotfallwithinthelegalsystemandremainedvulnerable.In

1946,thestatecrushedahistoric75000strong,Africanmigrantmineworkerstrike,but

itwasclearthatAfricanworkersweregainingorganisationalstrength.Thiswas,inturn,

usedbytheNationalPartytofuelWhitefears.

In1948, theNationalPartycame intopower inSouthAfricaandappointedanother

IndustrialLegislationCommissionwith the intention to revise industrial regulation

andbring it in linewiththeapartheidpolicy(Godfrey,1992:20,21).Thecommission

foundthatthewagegapbetweentheskilledandunskilledworkerspersistedafterthe

introduction of the new Industrial Conciliation Act in 1937 and continued to reflect racial

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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

discrimination(Godfrey,1992:21). Inaddition, thecommissionfoundthat inspectors

representingAfricanworkers’ interestsat industrialcouncilswere ineffectiveas they

werenot familiarwith theneedsofAfricanworkersand found itdifficult tohandle

competingdemandsofemployersandemployees.Thecommissioncalled for the

establishmentofaco-ordinatingbody toco-ordinatewagesandotherconditionsof

employment(Godfrey,1992:22).

Thegovernmentdidnot,however,adopt theproposalofaco-ordinatingbody,but

didmakechangesto labour legislation thatwould impactonthedevelopmentof the

industrialcouncilsystem.First,theNativeLabour(SettlementofDisputes)Actof1953

excludedAfricansfromregisteredunionsandprohibitedthemfromtakingpartinstrike

action.The foundation foradualsystemof industrial relationswas laidwith theAct

providingfortherepresentationofAfricanworkersbyliaisonandworkscommitteesto

negotiateconditionsofemploymentwithemployers(VanderBerg&Bhorat,1999:7).In

addition,thepasslawswereamendedtoincludeAfricanwomen,whowerenowforced

toresignfromregisteredtradeunionsandwerenolongereligibletoberepresentedon

industrialcouncils(Godfrey,1992:25).

In1956 the IndustrialConciliationActof1937was repealedand replacedby the

IndustrialConciliationAct,No.28of1956.Thekeychangewastheseparationoftrade

unionsalongracial lines,meaningthatWhiteworkerswereseparatedfromColoured

andAsianworkers.Africanworkerswerestillexcludedfromregisteredtradeunions.

If thenumbersby racegroupwere toosmall tocreateseparateunions,separate

branchesbyracecouldbecreatedinthesameunion.However,onlyWhitemembers

were allowed seats on trade unions’ executive bodies.As a result, trade unions

becameweakerastheynowcompetedagainsteachotheratnegotiationsratherthan

collectivelynegotiatingwithemployers(Godfrey,1992:25).

MassivestrikesbyAfricanworkersoccurredin1973andsignalledthefailureofthedual

industrial relationssystem. Inresponseto this, thegovernmentamendedtheNative

Labour(SettlementofDisputes)ActtorestrictAfricantradeunionorganisationandthe

nameoftheactwaschangedtotheBlackLabourRelationsActof1973(Godfrey,1992:

26).Government’smeasuresproved inadequateandthesystemof liaisonandwork-

committeeswasrejectedby themajorityofAfricanworkers in favourof independent

tradeunions.

In theseventies, thepowerofAfricanworkersgrewconsiderablyandby1979there

were34unregisteredAfricanunions.As theseunionswerenot recognised legally,

theiractivitiesincreasinglyemphasisedtheshortcomingsoftheexistingdualsystemof

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labourregulationsasinsomeinstancestheindustrialregulationswerebeingbypassed

asemployersrecognisedandbargainedwithAfricanunions(SALDRU,1990:5).

In1977, theWiehahnCommissionof Inquiry intoLabourLegislationwasappointed.

Theyrecommended thatAfricanworkersbeallowed to join registered tradeunions,

whileunionsshouldbeallowedtoadmitmembersfromanyracegroup.This implied

thatAfricanworkerswouldbealloweddirect representationon industrialcouncils. In

1979thegovernmentadoptedtherecommendationof theWiehahnCommissionand

amended the Industrial Conciliation Act to change the definition of an “employee” to

includeAfricanworkerswithpermanenturban residency.Followingmuchcriticism,

theActwasamendedasecond time in1979 to includeAfricancontractworkers

and commuters in the definition. Participation in an industrial council was, however,

conditionalon tradeunionregistration in termsof theAct.Africantradeunionswere

reluctant to register and increasingly pursued plant-level bargaining outside the

industrialcouncilsystem(Godfrey,1992:27).

In1981theIndustrialConciliationActwasonceagainamendedandtheadministrative

controls imposedon registered tradeunionswereextended tounregistered trade

unions,includingAfricantradeunions.TheamendmentalsorepealedtheBlackLabour

RelationsRegulationActandeffectivelyendedthedualsystemof industrialrelations.

Inaddition,thisamendmentchangedthenameoftheIndustrialConciliationActtothe

LabourRelationsAct(LRA)2(Godfrey,1992:27).

Theunregisteredtradeunionsremainedreluctanttoparticipateintheindustrialcouncil

systemandperceivedplant-levelbargainingasbestsuited to theirownstructural

requirementsanddemocraticgoalsaswellas thebestway tobargain. Inaddition,

theseunionsfeltthattheindustrialcouncilsystemwasbestsuitedtotheneedsofcraft

unionsandunionsthatrepresentedracialminorities.Theneedfornational,regionalor

industry-wideagreementswasacknowledgedtoprovideforunorganisedworkers,but

ascomplementarytoplant-levelbargaining(Godfrey,1992:28,29).

Duringthe1980stheAfricantradeunionmovementgrewandwiththiscamegreater

support forparticipation incentralbargaining. In1982at theSecondCongressof

Africanunions,someofthelargerunionscalledforgreaterparticipationincentralised

bargaining, claiming that it would be more effective than plant-level bargaining.

TheFederationofSouthAfricanTradeUnions (FOSATU), the largest federationof

independent tradeunionsat the time,agreed toparticipate in the industrialcouncil

2 NowreferredtoastheLabourRelationsAct(LRA)of�956.

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�0

Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

system on the condition that workers could join a union of their choice and that

bargainingatindustrialcouncillevelwouldnotprecludeplant-levelbargaining(Butcher

&Rouse,2001:352).

Therapidgrowthof tradeunionsplacedastrainon theorganisationalandhuman

resourcesof theseunionsandcreatedpressureonunions tocentralisebargaining

arrangements. Industrialcouncilsprovidedaforumthroughwhichthiscouldbedone.

The Metal and Allied Workers Union (MAWU), an affiliate of FOSATU, was the first to

applyforpermissiontojoinanindustrialcouncilandsubsequentlyjoinedtheIron,Steel,

EngineeringandMetallurgicalIndustryindustrialCouncil(SALDRU,1990:7).

TheformationoftheCongressofSouthAfricanTradeUnions(COSATU)in1985ledto

a series of mergers as affiliates sought to comply with COSATU’s policy of one union in

oneindustry.However,theestablishedindustrialcouncilswerenotadequatelyprepared

to deal with the interests of these unions, which conflicted sharply with their own. The

unions’attempts togainmembership tocouncilsandrestructure thecouncils tosuit

theirownneedsledrisinginstabilitywithintheindustrialcouncilsystem(Godfrey,1992:

31).

Inaddition,plant-levelbargaininghadseenprogressive tradeunionssecuringwage

increases far inexcessof theminimum levelssetat industrialcouncils.While the

unionsparticipated in the industrialcouncilsystem,manycontinuedtopursueplant-

levelbargaining.Theessenceof the industrialcouncilsystemwastobargainatone

levelonlyandmanyoftheemployerpartiestothecouncilswereopposedtocontinuing

orentering intodual levelbargaining toaccommodate theemerging tradeunions,

contributingtofurtherinstabilitywithinthesystem(Godfrey,1992:31).

Asnotedabove,therewereotheravenuesofwagedetermination,includingtheWage

Board.TheWageBoard,however,becamelessactiveintheyearsleadingupto1994.

Itscoveragehaddeclinedanditsdeterminationswerenotupdatedregularly.Itwasalso

foundthatthedeterminationswererarelyenforced(RSA,1996:63).

2.1 Bargaining Councils in the Labour Relations Environment since 1994

The incoherentand inconsistent,and inmanycases,still racist,systemof industrial

relationswhichcharacterised thepre-1994erawasclearly inneedof significant

overhaul with the advent of democratic rule. Within the labour market policy

environment, the immediateperiod followingtheelectionof themajoritygovernment

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wascharacterisedbya franticprocessof recasting thecountry’s labour regulatory

environment.Theoutcomeof thesenegotiationsbetweenemployersandemployees

and the significant rewriting of laws was manifest in four key pieces of legislation. These

weretheLabourRelationsAct(LRA)of1995,theBasicConditionsofEmploymentAct

(BCEA)of1997,theEmploymentEquityAct(EEA)of1998andtheSkillsDevelopment

Act(SDA)of1999.TheLRAandBCEAwereamendedin2002,whiletheEmployment

EquityActwasamendedin2006.

TheLRAand theBCEAare the twokeypiecesof regulationgoverningbargaining

councilsandwagedeterminationandarethereforediscussedinmoredetailhere.

BargainingCouncilsandtheLegislativeEnvironment

The purpose of the LRA is to “advance economic development, social justice, labour

peace and the democratisation of the workplace by fulfilling the primary objectives of

the Act” (RSA, 1995: 8). The LRA regulates the organisational rights for trade unions,

entrenches the right tostrike, regulatescollectivebargaining,aswellas regulates

disputeresolutionanddismissalprocedures(Bhoratetal.2002:43)

The LRA provides the legislative framework for the establishment of bargaining

councils. In termsof the legislation,oneormoreregisteredtradeunionsandoneor

more registeredemployers’organisationsmayestablishabargainingcouncil fora

sectorandarea.TheActalsoprovides for theState tobeaparty toanybargaining

council if it isanemployer in thesectorandarea inwhich thebargainingcouncil is

established(RSA,1995:22).

Section29of theLRAregulates theprocessand requirements for the registration

ofabargainingcouncil (RSA,1995:22-24). In termsof thissection,partieswishing

toestablishabargainingcouncilhavetoapply to theregistrarof labourrelationsfor

registrationof thebargainingcouncil.After receiving theapplication the registrar is

requiredtopublishanoticeintheGovernmentGazette,allowingthegeneralpublicthe

opportunity toobject totheapplication.TheLRAsetsout thestepstobefollowedby

thepersonwhoobjectsaswellastheapplicant.Theregistrarisalsorequiredtosend

acopyof thenoticetotheNationalEconomicandDevelopmentCouncil (NEDLAC).3

It isNEDLAC’sresponsibility toevaluate theappropriatenessof thesectorandarea

� Nedlacwaslaunchedin�995asaforumwhereGovernment,organisedbusiness,organisedlabourandorganisedcommunitygroupingsmeetonanationalleveltodiscussandreachconsensusonissuesofsocialandeconomicpolicy(seewww.nedlac.org.za).

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inrespectofwhichthebargainingcouncilisproposedandprovidetheregistrarwitha

writtenreport.IfNEDLACcannotmakeadecisiononthedemarcation,theMinisterof

Labourhastoadvisetheregistrar.Whenconsideringtheapplicationtheregistrarhasto

determine,amongstotherthings,whethertheconstitutionof theproposedbargaining

councilcomplieswiththerequirementssetoutinSection30oftheLRA;ifithasmade

adequateprovision for the representationofsmallandmediumenterpriseson the

council; and if the parties to the council are sufficiently representative of the sector and

area as determined by NEDLAC or the Minister of Labour. If the registrar is satisfied

that theapplicantmeetsall therequirementsforregistration,thebargainingcouncil is

registeredbyenteringthecouncil’snameintheregisterofcouncils.Iftherequirements

arenotmet,theapplicantisallowed30daystocomplywiththerequirements.

Section30(RSA,1995:24,25)of theLRA, lists therequirementsapplicable to the

constitutionofabargainingcouncil.Itcoversrepresentation(halfoftherepresentatives

mustbeappointedbypartytradeunions,whiletheotherhalfmustbeappointedbythe

partyemployers’organisations),processesofmeetingsandprocedures fordecision

making,aswellas theprocedures tobe followed ifdisputesarise. Inaddition, this

sectionprescribesthattheconstitutionshouldincludetheprocedureforexemptionfrom

collectiveagreements.Section31(RSA,1995:25,26)explainsthebindingnatureof

collectiveagreementsconcluded inabargainingcouncil,withregardtothepartiesof

theagreement.

Section32 (RSA,1995:26,27) regulates theextensionofcollectiveagreements

concludedinabargainingcouncil.IntermsoftheLRA,abargainingcouncilcanrequest

theMinisterofLabourinwritingtoextendacollectiveagreementtonon-partieswhich

fall within its jurisdiction. A number of provisions (See Section 32) have to be satisfied in

orderfortheMinistertoagreetoextendacollectiveagreement.Thisincludesthatthe

tradeunionswhosemembersconstitutethemajorityofthemembersofthepartytrade

unionsandthepartyemployeeorganisationsthatemploythemajorityofworkersmust

vote in favour of the extension. If the Minister is satisfied that all requirements have

beenmet, thecollectiveagreement isextendedbypublishing it in theGovernment

Gazette.

Section33makesprovisionfor theappointmentandpowersofdesignatedagentsof

bargainingcouncils,whocanpromote,monitorandenforcecompliancewithanyofthe

council’scollectiveagreements.Section33Aregulates theenforcementofcollective

agreementsbybargainingcouncils,whileSection34providesfortheamalgamationof

bargainingcouncils(RSA,1995:27-29).

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Part D of the LRA (RSA, 1995: 29-30) specifically provides for the establishment of

bargainingcouncils in thepublicservice.TheActprescribestheestablishmentof the

PublicServiceCo-ordinatingBargainingCouncil for thepublicserviceasawhole.

Section37givesthePublicServiceCo-ordinatingBargainingCouncil theauthority to

designateaparticularsectorofthepublicservicefortheestablishmentofabargaining

councilortochangethedesignationof,amalgamateordissolveexistingpublicsector

bargaining councils. Section 38 provides for the resolution of disputes between

bargainingcouncilsinthepublicsector.

Thesecondimportantpieceof legislation intermsofbargainingcouncils is theBasic

Conditions of EmploymentAct (BCEA) of 1997.The BCEA and its amendments

establish,enforceandregulatethebasicconditionsofemployment.This includesthe

regulationofworkingtimeandhoursofwork(includingovertime),differentcategories

of leave(annual,sickandmaternity),particularsofemploymentandremuneration,

terminationofemployment;prohibitionofemploymentofchildrenand forced labour

(RSA,1997).

Chapter7of theBCEAregulatesthevariationof thebasicconditionsofemployment.

Section 49 of Chapter 7 specifically allows for a collective agreement that has been

negotiated inabargainingcouncil toalter, replaceorexcludeanybasicconditionof

employmentifthecollectiveagreementisconsistentwiththepurposeoftheBCEAand

doesnot infringeonemployees’entitlementandrightsassetout in theBCEA(RSA,

1997: 21). It is in this sense, therefore, that the BCEA sets the minimum floor of rights

forallemployedindividualsintheSouthAfricanlabourmarket.

Chapter 9of theBCEAmakesprovisionof theestablishmentof anEmployment

ConditionsCommission(ECC).ThefunctionsoftheECCincludeadvisingtheMinister

ofLabourontheappropriate level forminimumwagessetbysectoraldeterminations

aswellasontrends incollectivebargainingandwhetherthesetrendsunderminethe

purposeof theBCEA(Bhorat,etal,2002:48;RSA,1997:25).TheECCis thepost-

apartheidsuccessortotheWageBoard.WhileweturntothisingreaterdetailinBox1,

theECCservesasaregulatoroflastresort.Intheevent,therefore,thatnobargaining

councilsexistand/ornorepresentativetradeunionispresentinasector,theECChas

aregulatoryfunction.

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Box 1: Functions and Powers of Bargaining Covariates

• Toconcludeandenforcecollectiveagreements

• Topreventandresolvelabourdisputes

• Toperformcertaindisputeresolutionfunctions

• Toestablishandadministerafundtobeusedfordisputeresolution

• Topromoteandestablisheducationandtrainingschemes

• Toestablishandadministerpension,provident,medicalaid,sickpay,holiday,

unemploymentandtrainingschemesorfundsoranysimilarschemesorfunds

for the benefit of one or more of the parties to the bargaining council or their

members

• TodevelopproposalsforsubmissiontoNEDLACoranyotherappropriateforum

onpolicyandlegislationthatmayaffectthesectorandareaofjurisdictionofthe

bargainingcouncil

• Todeterminebycollectiveagreementthematterswhichmaynotbeanissuein

disputeforthepurposesofastrikeoralock-outattheworkplace

• Toconferonworkplaceforumsadditionalmattersforconsultation

• Toprovideindustrialsupportserviceswithinthesector

• Toextendtheservicesandfunctionsofthebargainingcounciltoworkersinthe

informalsectorandhomeworkers

Source:RSA,1995:22,23

BargainingCouncilsinPractice

All the existing industrial councils established under the “old” LRA were deemed to be

bargainingcouncilsunderthenewLRA(Bhoratetal,2002:48).Currently,bargaining

councils range fromvery largenationalcouncils tosmall regionalor localcouncils

(seeGodfreyetal,2006:6).Bargainingcouncilspotentiallycoveremployees in the

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private sector who are classified as semi-skilled or unskilled and working for employees.

This means that when we look at the classifications in the Labour Force Survey, the

occupationcategories four tonineare included (Godfreyetal.,2006).Managers,

ProfessionalsandTechniciansandAssociateProfessionalsaregenerallyexcluded

frombargainingcouncilmembership.Theseexclusionsarenotprescribedby law,

butratherahistoricalartefact.This,however,onlyappliestotheprivatesector.Inthe

publicsector, thesituation isdifferent,withProfessionalsandevencertain levelsof

managementcoveredbythepublicsectorbargainingcouncils.

Asnotedabove, theLRA(1995)calledfor theestablishmentofabargainingcouncil

for thepublicservicesasawhole,calledthePublicServiceCo-ordinatingBargaining

Council(PSCBC).TheLRAgavethePSCBCtheauthoritytodesignateasectorofthe

publicservicefortheestablishmentofasectoralbargainingcouncil.

Before1994, remuneration in thepublicsectorwassetbyacommission.Noformal

negotiationstookplace,butstaffassociationsrepresentingWhiteworkersinthepublic

servicewereconsulted.Unions representingAfricanworkerswereexcluded from

consultation(Hassan,2003).

In1997, theconstitutionof thePSCBCwasregistered. In linewithprovisions in the

LRS, thePSCBCdesignated foursectors for theestablishmentofsectoralpublic

servicebargainingcouncils (PSCBC,2005).Thecouncilsand theirscopeare the

following(notethatinallcasestheemployeristheState):

• Education Labour Relations Council (ELRC): “educators” employed in the

nationalandprovincialdepartmentsofeducation

• PublicHealthandWelfareSectoralBargainingCouncil (PHWSBC):employees

innationalandprovincialdepartmentsofhealthandsocialdevelopmentaswell

ashealthprofessionalsinotherdepartments.

• SafetyandSecuritySectoralBargainingCouncil (SSSBC): employees in the

SouthAfricanPoliceServiceandthenationaldepartmentofsafetyandsecurity.

• GeneralPublicServiceSectoralBargainingCouncil(GPSSBC):allnationaland

provincialpublicserviceemployeesthatfallswithinthescopeofthePSCBC,but

outsidethescopeoftheotherthreesectoralcouncils.

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As the name suggests, the PSCBC fulfils a co-ordinating function. It is also responsible

foroverallpolicy formationondisputeresolution. Importantly,wagesarenegotiated

in thePSCBC.Acollectiveagreementsigned in thePSCBCisautomaticallybinding

onsectoralcouncils,unlessasectoralcouncilhasanagreement inplaceon the

same issue(PSCBC,2005).Onlyseniormanagers falloutside thescopeofpublic

sectorbargainingcouncils.Certainlevelsofmanagementandallprofessionalstaffare

thereforecoveredbycollectivebargaininginthepublicsector(Personalcommunication

withHassan,2007).Aswenote ingreater,nuancedandanalyticaldetailbelow, the

PSBCremainscentral to theunderstandingof thedeterminantsofwagesandwage

formationinthepost-apartheid South Africa labour market.

Oneadditiontotheabovepublicsectorbargainingcouncilsisthatoflocalgovernment

employees.The local government sector fallsunder the jurisdictionof theSouth

AfricanLocalGovernmentBargainingCouncil (SALGBC).TheInterimSALGBCwas

establishedin1997,followedbytheregistrationoftheSALGBCin2001(seeSALGBC

website). Itspowersand functions include thenegotiationofminimumwagesand

conditionsofemployment inthe localgovernmentsector.Again,professionalstaffare

included in thecollectiveagreements,withonlyMunicipalManagersandmanagers

reportingtothoseMunicipalManagersexcludedfromthebargainingcouncil(SALGBC,

2003:3).

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3. The Nature of Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market

Inadditiontobargainingcouncils,wagescanalsobesetornegotiatedinanumberof

otherways,eitheraspartofthestatutorysystemofwagedeterminationoroutsidethe

statutorysystem.Thissectionshedsmorelightontheotheravenuesofwageformation

intheSouthAfricanlabourmarket.

SectoralDeterminations

Alongwithbargainingcouncils,sectoraldeterminationsfallunderthestatutorysystem

ofcollectivebargainingandwagedetermination.TheMinisterofLabourcanmakea

sectoraldeterminationthatestablishesbasicconditionsofemploymentforemployeesin

a specific sector and area. A sectoral determination has to be made in accordance with

theprovisionsinChapter8oftheBCEAandbypublishinganoticeintheGovernment

Gazette(RSA,1997:23).Asectoraldeterminationarises inessenceoutofaprocess

of researchandconsultationbetweentherelevantemployersandemployees in the

sector, Department of Labour (DoL) officials and the advisory board, the ECC, reporting

totheMinisterofLabour.

Asectoraldetermination,asnotedabove,maysetminimumtermsandconditions

ofemployment, includingminimumwages. Itmayalsoprovide for theadjustment

ofminimumwages, regulate themanner, timingandotherconditionsofpaymentof

remunerationaswellasprohibitor regulatepaymentof remuneration inkind(RSA,

1997:25).TheMinisterofLabourmaynotpublishasectoraldeterminationcovering

employees and employers who are already covered by a collective agreement

concludedatabargainingcouncil. Ifacollectiveagreement isconcluded inanarea

coveredbyasectoraldetermination,theprovisionsofthesectoraldeterminationwillno

longerbeapplicabletothepartiescoveredbythebargainingcouncilagreement(RSA,

1997:25).

Currently(September2007)thefollowingareasofeconomicactivity(noteasilyreduced

toformalsectorsandsub-sectors)havesectoraldeterminationsinplace(DoL,2007):

• Forestry

• Agriculture

• ContractCleaning

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• Children in the Performance ofAdvertising,Artistic and CulturalActivities

(applicabletochildrenunder15years).

• TaxiOperators

• CivilEngineering

• Learnerships

• PrivateSecurity

• DomesticWorkers

• WholesaleandRetail

• Hospitality

These SD’s are regularly updated for inflation through a formal gazetting process.

Non-StatutoryCollectiveBargainingandWageDetermination

Outsidethestatutorysystemofwagedetermination,collectivebargainingtakesplace

innon-statutorycentralisedbargaining foraaswellasatacompanyandplant-level

(Godfrey,2007:3).

Currently, centralisednon-statutorybargaining takesplace inmining,automobile

manufacturing and the pelagic fishing sector.4 In the mining sector, centralised

bargaining takesplaceonly in thegoldminingand thecoalmining industries.The

ChamberofMinesistheemployers’organisationwhichbargainsonbehalfof itsgold

andcoalminingmemberswiththerelevantunions,dominatedbytheNationalUnionof

Mineworkers(NUM). Ithasbeenestimatedthat thecentralisedbargainingagreement

coveredabout69percentofemployeesinthegoldminingindustryin2002.Coverage

in thecoalmining industry ismuch lower,estimatedatabout36percent in2002.

Mostof themembersof theChamberofMines in these two industriesarecovered

by thecollectiveagreements.Goldandcoalmineswhicharenotmembersof the

Chamber are covered by firm-level or mine-level collective bargaining agreements (See

Godfrey,2007formoredetail).Forexample,whilethemajorityofplatinumproducers

are members of the Chamber, the industry is mostly covered by company specific

agreements.Themainemployers in thediamondmining industryarealsoChamber

� Thissectiononnon-statutorycentralisedbargainingdrawsonGodfrey,2007

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members,butagain theyareparty tocompany-specificagreements (Chamberof

Mines,2007).

TheNationalBargainingForum(NBF)for theautomobile industrywasestablished in

1990.ThepartiestotheNBFaretheNationalUnionofMetalWorkersofSouthAfrica

(NUMSA)andthesevenOriginalEquipmentManufacturers in thecountry.5TheNBF

producesthree-yearagreements,withthemainfocusonsettingwagesandconditions

ofemployment.

In the centralised bargaining forum for the pelagic fishing sector, employers are

representedbytheSouthAfricanPelagicFishProcessorsAssociationandemployees

bytheFoodandAlliesWorkersUnion(FAWU).Theforummeetsonceayeartobargain

overwagesandconditionsofemployment,whileother issuesaredealtwithas they

arise.Thecollectiveagreementcoversabout5000workers.

Apart fromnon-statutorycentralisedcollectivebargaining,non-statutorybargaining

also takesplaceatadecentralisedorsingle-employer level,withexamples found in

retailandfoodmanufacturing.Forexample, in thecaseof theWholesaleandRetail

Tradesector,collectivebargainingonlycoversasmall fractionof thesector,with the

remaindercoveredby thesectoraldetermination.TheSouthAfricanCommercial,

CateringandAlliedWorkersUnion (SACCAWU) is themajor union in the sector

and bargains with national groups, medium-sized firms as well as small firms. The

national firms include the major food, retail and furniture chains. Most of the firms

bargainatanational level for theentirechain. If theyhave independentoperations

or franchisestoresaspartof thegroup, thebargainingunitdoesnotcover these.

Thereareexceptions,however,wherethebargaininghasbeendecentralisedtoeach

individualstore. In the foodmanufacturingsector,bargainingtakesplaceatdifferent

levels depending on the core business of the firms. Certain companies negotiate at a

centrallevelfordifferentsub-sectors,whileothersnegotiateatplant-level.

Ultimately, though, it should be clear that wage formation in South Africa is

characterised by a number of features which run the gamut from firm-level bargaining

tostate-mandatedwagesfororganisedworkers. Inallcases,however, thesewages

aredeterminedandnegotiatedthroughrepresentationfromemployersandemployees.

5 TheseareToyota,VWSA,GeneralMotors,Nissan,BMW,FordandDaimlerChrysler.

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ExtensionsofandExemptionsfromBargainingCouncilAgreements

Asnotedabove,theLRAsetsouttheproceduresthathavetobefollowedinorderto

haveacollectiveagreementextendedtonon-parties.ThisincludesthattheMinisterof

Labour has to be satisfied that the trade unions whose members constitute the majority

of themembersof theparty tradeunionsand thepartyemployerorganisations that

employthemajorityofworkersvotedinfavouroftheextension.Acollectiveagreement

isextendedbypublishingitintheGovernmentGazette.

One of the main criticisms levelled against the extension of bargaining council

agreements is that large firms dominate the employer party bargaining during

negotiations.Theseagreements(viatheextensions)arethenimposedonpartiesthat

didnottakepartinthenegotiations,particularlyaffectingnon-partySMMEs.Theaimof

therequirementsintheLRAisthereforetoensurethatrepresentivitythresholdsaremet

beforeanagreementcanbeextendedandthatSMMEsareadequatelyrepresentedon

councils (Godfrey et al, 2006: 1). The extension to non-parties was the subject of fierce

debate in themid-1990s intermsof theunintendedconsequence itostensiblyhad in

increasing regulatory oversight and labour costs for SMMEs. While it is generally difficult

toaccuratelyestimatetheshareofworkerscoveredbyextensionsofbargainingcouncil

agreements,Godfreyetal(2006:24)hasfoundthatof theestimated32,6percentof

formallyemployedworkers(withthetotalexcludingallManagersandProfessionalsin

theprivatesector)coveredbybargainingcouncils,only4,6percentwerecoveredby

extensions toagreements. Inotherwords,extendedbargainingcouncilagreements

coveredaverysmallshareofthelabourforce.Thisinitialevidencedoessuggestthat

theextensiontonon-partiesasasourceofpotentialrigidityinthelabourmarket,may

beoverstated.Putdifferently, theevidence thatnon-parties to themainbargaining

councilagreementsufferedasaconsequenceoftheautomaticextensionclauseisnot

particularlystrong.

TheLRA, inaddition,however,alsorequires theconstitutionofabargainingcouncil

todescribe theprocedures tobe followed foracompany toobtainexemption from

someorall theclausesofanagreement. Inorder tocomplywith this,mostcouncils

havedevelopedcriteriaforevaluatingrequestsforexemptionsaswellasestablished

independentbodiestohearappealswhenanexemptionhasbeendenied.Thecriteria

areusuallypublishedintheircollectiveagreements.Theagreementscanincludeupto

eightorninecriteriawithoutanyindication,though,oftheweightofthecriteriawhenan

applicationforexemptionisconsidered(Godfreyetal,2006).Thisexemptionsystemis

themostimportantwayinwhichthelegislationaccommodatesSMMEswhomaynotbe

abletocomplywiththerequirementsofbargainingcouncilagreements.Bothemployer

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partiesandemployerswhoarenotparties(andthereforecoveredbytheextensionof

anagreement)canapplyforexemptions(Godfreyetal,2006:65).

Godfreyetal, (2006:71-79)examined thedataonexemptions from17bargaining

councilsfor2000,2002and2004.Theyfoundthatforthoseyearsbetween72percent

and78percentofapplicationsforexemptionsweregranted,either in full,partiallyor

conditionally.Themajorityofapplicationsweregranted in full.Theycomparedthese

resultswithdataobtainedfromtheDoLfor2003and2004.TheDoLdatacovers44

councils in2003and37councils in2004andshowsaslightlyhighersuccessrateof

about80percent.Theevidencehereisthatalmost80percentexemptionsaregranted.

Thisreinforcestheviewthat thenotionthat theextensions-exemptionsclauseswithin

theregulatoryenvironmentcannotlegitimatelybeviewedasasourceforrigidityinthe

domesticlabourmarket.

Theremainderofthepaperwillattempttoevaluatetheimpactofindustrialcouncilsin

1995andbargainingcouncils in2005onwageformation in theSouthAfrican labour

market. Specific issues will be addressed, including the extent of industrial/bargaining

councilagreementsintermsoftheestimatedshareofworkerscoveredbyagreements.

Anotherimportantissueiswhethermembershipofabargainingcouncilaffordsawage

premiumtothoseworkerscoveredbytheagreements.

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4. Data and Descriptive Overview

4.1 Data Sources and the Construction of Industrial and Bargaining

Council Coverage

Inorder tobeableevaluate thewagepremium(ifany)associatedwithmembership

of an industrial or bargaining council, we first had to estimate the number of workers

coveredbyindustrialcouncilagreementsin1995andbargainingcouncilagreementsin

2005.

The twosourcesofaggregateemploymentandwagedatawere the1995October

HouseholdSurvey(OHS)andtheSeptember2005LabourForceSurvey(LFS),both

ofwhicharenationally representativehouseholdsurveys.TheOHSwasconducted

annuallybetween1994and1999.TheLFS isabiannualsurvey introduced in2000

to replace the OHS, with its first useable round conducted in September 2000. The

1995OHShasbeenweightedusing the1996Censusweights,while theLFShas

beenweightedusingthe2001Census.Thesesurveys,however,didnotcaptureany

informationonworkersbelongingtoindustrialorbargainingcouncilsandcoveragehad

tobeestimatedusingcomplementarysourcesofinformation.

Industrial council coverage for 1995 was estimated using the Industrial Council

Digest(Godfrey,1992)andthe1995OHS.TheIndustrialCouncilDigestcontainskey

informationonthe industrialcouncilsthatoperatedintheSouthAfricanlabourmarket

in1992. Itprovidesthenameof the industrialcouncil, thetradeunionandemployer

organisationsthatwerepartytothecouncil,thescopeofthecouncil,thegeographical

area thecouncilcovered,and insome instances thenumberofemployeescovered

by thecouncil.TheDigestalso indicateswhether thecouncilhadbecome inactive.

The informationonthescopeof thecouncilswasusedto identifywhichsectorsand

occupations industrialcouncilscovered.TheDigestwas therefore thesourceof the

occupation,industryandgeographicalareacoveredbyanindustrialcouncil.

The1995OHScontains informationontheoccupation, industryandtheworkdistrict

of workers. These are captured by the three digit International Standard Classification

ofOccupations(ISCO88)codes,twodigitCompactEconomicSectorCodesandthree

digitdistrictcode.TheoccupationcategoriesintheOHSarebroadanddonotinclude

specific job titles as in the LFS. The industry categories in the OHS are also broader

thanthoseintheLFS,asit isrecordedbyatwodigitcodeandnotthemoredetailed

threedigitcode.Thismeant that theoccupationsand industriesused toestimate

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industrialcouncilcoverage in1995mayhave includedoccupationsandsub-sectors

whichfelloutsidethe industrialcouncilsystemin1995.Ourestimationof thenumber

ofworkerscoveredby industrialcouncils in1995 is therefore likely tobeanover-

estimationoftheactualcoverage.Itshouldalsobenotedthatthedistrictcodematched

wastheworkdistrictrecordedintheOHSandnotthedistrictofresidence.

AlthoughtheDigestonlycoversindustrialcouncilsandagreementsoperatingin1992,

following theexampleofButcher&Rouse(2001) itwasassumed thatagreements

wererenewedannuallyand that thesecouncilswerestill inoperation in1995.The

Digestwastheonlyreliablesourceavailableofindustrialcouncilcoverageintheearly

nineties.6

TheDigestdoescontain informationonMunicipalityandLocalAuthority Industrial

Councils, but according to the Digest none of these councils published Main

Agreements thatprescribedwages.Theywerethereforeexcludedfromtheanalysis.

Single company industrial councilswerealsoexcluded from theanalysis, as the

workersconcernedwereimpossibletoidentifyintheOHS.Theanalysiswasrestricted

to62privatesectorindustrialcouncils,listedinAppendixA.Theassumptionsmadein

termsofcalculationofthecoverageofindividualcouncilscanbefoundintheTechnical

NotesinAppendixC.

Bargaining council coverage for 2005 was calculated in a manner similar to the

industrial council coverage for1995.Themost recent list ofBargainingCouncils

obtainedfromtheDepartmentofLabour(DoL)website isdated1July2006.This list

wasusedasthestartingpointfortheestimationofbargainingcouncilcoverageusing

the2005LFS.TheDoLlistwascomparedwith informationfromtheCASEdatabase

(2006)aswellasthelistofbargainingcouncilsinGodfreyetal(2006:101,102).Forty-

eightbargainingcouncilswereincludedintheanalysisfor2005andthesearelistedin

AppendixB.

Similar to theOHS, theLFSrecords informationon theoccupationand industryof

workers.TheLFScontainsamoredetailed levelof information than theOHS,with

industry capturedby the threedigitStandard IndustrialClassification (SIC) code

and occupation captured by the four digit SouthAfrican Standard Classification

6 Itwasimpossibletofindinformationontheextensionsof,andexemptionsfrom,industrialcouncilagreements.Giventhebroadnessoftheestimatedcoverage,wecanassumethatanyextensionsofagreementshaveautomaticallybeenincludedinourestimation.

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ofOccupations (SASCO)code. Inaddition, theareaof residenceof theworker is

captured,butnottheworkdistrict.

As noted above, the scope of a bargaining council is defined by sector, area and/or

occupationgroups.Usingthisinformationforeachbargainingcouncilwewereableto

estimatebargainingcouncilcoveragefortheworkforceintheLFS.Intermsofobtaining

the scope of each bargaining council, three main sources of data were utilised,

namely theAwarddatabase from theLabourResearchService7, theGovernment

Gazettenoticesoftheextensionofbargainingcouncilagreementsandthewebsitesof

bargainingcouncilswhereavailable.

Aswasthecasewiththe1995data,certainassumptionshadtobemade.Itwasnot

possible toaccuratelymatchall job titles listed in theagreements to theoccupation

titlesinthecodelistoftheLFS.Ifajobtitlecouldnotbematchedwithanappropriate

occupational title (eitherexactly thesametitleorwherecertainkeywordswere the

same) theywerenot included in thecoverage.Fortunately thisonlyhappened ina

verysmallnumberofcases(more informationcanbe found in theTechnicalNotes

in Appendix D). Where a bargaining council is regional in scope, the area is defined

in termsofmagisterialdistricts. In theLFS,areaofresidence iscapturedasametro

councilordistrictcouncil,whicharegenerally largerareas thanmunicipaldistricts,

meaningthatintermsofgeographicalarea,thecoverageofcertainregionalbargaining

councilsmayhavebeenslightlyover-estimated.TheLFSdoesnotcaptureworkdistrict,

thereforetheareaofresidencehadtobeused.

Finally, thereare the two issuesofexemptions frombargainingcouncilagreements,

andextensionsofagreements tonon-parties.Again, itwas impossible tocapture

theexemptionsgranted fromprovisionsof thebargainingcouncils. In termsof the

extensions of agreements, we are fairly confident that most of these were included in

theestimationofcoverage.For themajorityofbargainingcouncilswewereable to

obtainGovernmentGazetteNotices.Abargainingcouncilagreementisonlypublished

inaGovernmentGazette if theMinisterhasgivenpermissionthat itcanbeextended

tonon-parties,meaning thatallemployersandemployees in that industry,areaor

occupationgrouparecoveredbytheagreement.

7 TheActualWageRatesDatabase(AWARD)ismanagedbytheLabourResearchServiceandcontainsinformationon wage and conditions of employment in the formal economy. It also contains information of some of the wageagreementsconcludedinbargainingcouncils.Formoreinformationseehttp://award.lrs.org.za/home.php

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Ultimately, though, through the above, we were able to derive a uniquely coded

representationofBargainingCouncilsand its8membership forallworkersemployed

in1995and2005.Indoingso, thisconstructeddatasetprovidesforacrucialpointof

departure into our ability to analyse the nature and influence of this particular labour

marketinstitution.

4.2 Bargaining Council Membership, Employment and Earnings:

A Descriptive Overview

Table1providesasnapshotof thechanges in the labourmarketbetween1995and

2005.Over theperiod, thebroad labour force9 increasedby46percent.Although

almost3millionnetnew jobswerecreatedbetween1995and2005(an increaseof

about30percent)itwasnotenoughtoabsorballtheadditionalentrantstothelabour

marketandbroadunemploymentincreasedby84percent.

Table 1: Descriptive Overview of the Labour Market, 1995 and 2005

1995(000)

2005(000)

Change(000)

Change(%)

Av. AnnualGrowth Rate (%)

Broad Labour Force 13,754 20,100 6,346 46.14Employment 9,515 12,301 2,786 29.28Broad Unemployment 4,239 7,800 3,561 84.01

Employed:Formal 8,120 8,039 -81 -1Non-formal(incl. self-employed) 1,394 4,261 2,867 205.67

3.92.66.3

-0.1

11.8

Source:OHS1995,LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculations

Forthepurposesofouranalysisitisimportanttodistinguishbetweenthoseemployed

intheformalandnon-formalsectorsasbargainingcouncilagreementspotentiallycover

onlyformalsectorworkersworkingforanemployer.Wehavethereforeseparatedthe

numberofemployedintothoseintheformalsectorandthoseinthenon-formalsector.

Our definition of non-formal sector employment includes all workers that are either in

the informalsector10, self-employed or domestic workers. This definition is not strictly

� In theremainderof thisdocument, the termbargainingcouncilwillbeused to refer toboth industrialcouncilsandbargainingcouncils.

9 Thosebetween�5and65yearsofagethatarewillingandabletowork(includingdiscouragedworkseekers).

�0 TheLFSdefines the informalsectorasbusinesses thatarenot registered inanyway.Theyaregenerallysmall innatureandseldomrunfrombusinesspremises.Theyareinsteadrunfromhomes,streetpavementsorotherinformalarrangements(StatisticsSA,2006:xxiv).

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accurate in termsofconventional labourmarketanalysisas it includesthe(formally)

self-employed in thenon-formalsector,but itallowsus togroup togetherall those

workers that falloutside thecoverageof thebargainingcouncilsystem.However,

it shouldbenoted that theOHS1995didnotadequatelycapture informalsector

employment,andthereforeit isnotpossibleto identifytheinformallyemployedinthis

survey. Therefore, the non-formal employment figure for 1995 only includes domestic

workers11andtheself-employed.

Though the figuresarenotdirectlycomparabledue to thedata issueshighlighted

above, we can see that the number of workers in formal employment remained

relativelystablebetween1995and2005,at justovereightmillion.Thelargeincrease

in thenon-formalsectorcanbeattributed toamuchbettercollectionofdataon the

informallyemployedintheLFSandarapidriseininformalemployment.

BargainingCouncilCoveragebySector,OccupationandUnionStatus

Accordingtoourestimates,in1995,15percentofthoseinformalemployment(almost

1,2millionworkers)werecoveredbybargainingcouncilagreements (seeTable2).

Thismorethandoubledto2,5millionworkersor32percentof theformallyemployed

in2005.The2005aggregatecoverageestimate,however,masksthefact thatmore

thanhalfof thosecoveredbybargainingcouncilagreements in2005wereemployed

innational,provincialandlocalgovernmentdepartments.Excludingthethreespheres

ofgovernment,13percentofthoseinformalemploymentwerecoveredbybargaining

councilagreements in2005.This translates to justoveronemillionprivatesector

workers–suggestingamarginaldecline fromthenumberofprivatesectorworkers

estimatedtobelongtobargainingcouncilsin1995.

�� Thereisalsosomeconfusionoverthedefinitionofdomesticworkersinthissurvey.Inourcaseonlydomesticworkersinprivatehouseholdshavebeenconsideredtobeactualdomesticworkers.

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Table 2: Estimated Bargaining Council Coverage, 1995 and 2005

1995 2005Total Formal Employment 8,120,279 8,039,401Total BC Coverage 1,193,597 2,580,331Total BC Coverage (% of Total Formal Employment) 14.70% 32.10%

Private Sector Bargaining Council Coverage 1,193,597 1,072,399Private Sector BC Coverage (% of Total Formal Employment) 14.70% 13.34%

Government Bargaining Council Coverage 1,507,932Government BC Coverage (% of Total Formal Employment) 18.76%

Source:OHS1995,LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculations

Whenconsidering theprivatesectorbargainingcouncils, inbothyears, the largest

bargaining council coverage was accounted for by four key industries, namely

metalandengineering, themotor industry (which includesvehicleandcomponent

manufacturing, retailand repair,aswellas retailof fuel), theclothing industryand

construction.12 In 1995, the textile industry accounted for the fifth largest bargaining

council coverage. Together the top five industries accounted for 10,5 percent of total

coverage.In2005,thetextileindustrywasreplacedbythecouncilsfortheroadfreight

and ferry industries. The top five industries accounted for about nine percent of total

privatesectorbargainingcouncilcoveragein2005.

Table3presents thebargainingcouncilcoveragebyoccupationgroupandsector in

1995and2005,withthecellspresentingtheshareoftheoccupationgroupinthetotal

bargainingcouncilcoverageforeachsector.13

In1995theManufacturingsectoraccountedforalmosthalfofallworkerscoveredby

bargainingcouncilagreements.Theonlyothersectorswithrelatively largenumbers

ofworkerscoveredbybargainingcouncilswereTradeandConstruction.By2005,

bargainingcouncil coverage in theManufacturingsectorhaddeclinedslightly, to

justbelow500000–down fromalmost600000 in1995.This is incontrast to the

fact that therewasamarginal increase in formalemployment in thissectorover the

�2 Theestimatedbargainingcouncilcoveragebycouncilorindustry(iftherearemorethanonecouncilinanindustry)forthetwoyearscanbefoundinAppendixGandAppendixI,respectively.

�� PrivateHouseholds,Agriculture,MiningandUtilitieswereomittedfromthetableastherewasnobargainingcouncilcoverageinthesesectorsin�995.In2005,therewerestillnobargainingcouncilcoverageinPrivateHouseholds,andonly2�650workerswereestimatedtobecoveredintheotherthreesectors–allofthememployedinthepublicsector.Thefiguresfortotalemploymentandtotalbargainingcouncilcoveragedo,however,includethesesectors.

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sameperiod.Asaresult,theshareofworkersintheManufacturingsectorcoveredby

bargainingcouncilsdeclinedfrom43percentto36percent.Inbothyears,themajority

ofworkerscoveredbelonged to threeoccupationgroups,namelyCraftandTrade

workers,OperatorsandAssemblersandElementaryworkers.Intermsofshareoftotal

sectoralcoverage,amarginally largershareof theCraftWorkersandtheElementary

Workerswerecoveredin2005,withadeclineintheshareofOperators.

ThenumberofConstructionworkersbelongingtobargainingcouncilsalmosthalved

between1995and2005, from230000 to justmore than114000.Thisagain, is in

starkcontrasttothemorethan40percentincreaseinformalsectoremploymentinthis

industry.Overall,bargainingcouncilcoverageinthissectordeclinedfrom62percentto

31percent.Inbothyearsthemajority(70percent)ofbargainingcouncilmembersinthis

sectorwereCraftandTradeworkers,withthesecondlargestsharebeingElementary

workers.In2005,aboutathirdofConstructionworkersbelongedtobargainingcouncils

weremembersofthepublicsectorcouncils,meaningthatthenumberofprivatesector

workersthatbelongedtobargainingcouncilsactuallydeclinedtoabout84000–about

athirdofthenumberin1995.

Therewasaslight increaseinthenumberofworkerscoveredbybargainingcouncils

in theWholesaleandRetailTradesector.Bargainingcouncil coverage increased

fromabout20percentto24percentof totalemployment inthesector.Lookingat the

breakdownofcoveragebyoccupationinthissector,marginallyfewerClerksandService

workersbelongedtobargainingcouncilsin2005,withaslightincreaseintheshareof

Professionals,CraftandTradeworkersaswellasOperatorsandElementaryWorkers.

BargainingcouncilcoverageintheTransportsectormorethandoubledbetween1995

and2005,with the increasepartlydrivenby the50000workersbelonging to the

Transnetbargainingcouncil.Theshareofworkers in thissectorcoveredbycouncils

increasedfromabout18percenttoalmost42percent.MembershipoftheStateOwned

Enterprise’s bargaining council significantly changed the occupational composition in

thissector. In1995, themajorityofbargainingcouncilmembers in thissectorwere

OperatorsandAssemblers,witha96percentshare.By2005,thissharehasdeclined

to62percent,whiletheshareofElementaryworkerscoveredmorethandoubled–from

fourpercentto11.5percent.Inaddition,theTransnetbargainingcouncilaccountedfor

mostoftheProfessionals,ClericalworkersandServiceWorkerscoveredbyTransport

bargainingcouncilsin2005.

In 2005, total bargaining council coverage is dominated by the large number of

bargainingcouncilmembers intheCommercial,SocialandPersonalServicesSector,

whichinturnisdominatedbymembersofthepublicsectorbargainingcouncils.Infact,

1.3millionofthe1.5millionpublicsectorbargainingcouncilmembers(fromthreelevels

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ofgovernment)wereemployed in thissector.Thisalsoaccounts for the increased

shareandnumberofProfessionalscoveredbybargainingcouncils in thissector. In

1995,42percentof theworkers in theCSPSsectorcoveredbybargainingcouncils

wereProfessionals.Inabsolutetermsthisamountedtoonly10000workers.By2005,

Professionalsaccountedfor52percentofcoverageinthissector,whichisanincrease

of tenpercentagepoints. Inabsolutenumbers,however, the increasewashuge,with

more than700000Professionalscoveredbybargainingcouncils in2005.Overall,

Professionals increased theirshare in totalbargainingcouncil coverage from two

percent to30percent–drivenlargelybythe increaseinthenumberofProfessionals

covered in the CSPS sector. The second sector that benefited significantly from the

increase in thebargainingcouncilmembershipofpublicsectorProfessionals,was

theFinancialandBusinessServicesSector,with theshareofProfessionals in total

sectoralcoverage jumpingfromzeroto30percent.Again,membershipof thepublic

sectorbargainingcouncilsaccountedforthebulkoftheincreaseinbargainingcouncil

coverage inFinance in2005,withbothClerksandElementaryWorkersseeinghuge

increasesintheirshareofsectoralcoverage.14

�� TheseareworkersthatindicatedintheLFSthattheyworkinFinanceinoneofthethreespheresofgovernment.

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Table 3: Bargaining Council Coverage by Occupation Group and Sector – % share of sector

Manufacturing ConstructionWholesale &Retail Trade Transport

FinancialServices

CommercialServices Total

1995 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2Managers 2005 0.0 0.0 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

1995 0.3 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 42.1 1.9Professionals 2005 1.0 0.1 2.1 3.4 26.9 51.9 28.9

1995 4.4 0.0 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6Clerical Workers 2005 4.9 2.0 7.4 9.3 28.3 12.5 10.2

1995 0.0 0.0 55.5 0.0 0.0 43.9 13.5Service & Sales Workers 2005 1.1 0.6 41.1 5.3 7.6 16.7 15.0

1995 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0Skilled Agriculture& Fishing Workers 2005 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3

1995 28.0 70.6 32.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.9Craft & Trade Workers 2005 37.0 70.4 37.4 8.4 1.9 2.7 17.2

1995 51.7 4.7 0.5 96.0 0.0 2.7 32.8Operators & Assemblers 2005 36.6 3.5 3.3 62.0 2.6 2.4 13.3

1995 15.6 19.8 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 11.8Elementary Workers 2005 19.4 23.4 7.7 11.5 32.7 13.6 15.0

1995 591,321 230,279 271,370 76,188 1,192 23,248 1,193,597BC members 2005 486,583 114,228 332,664 179,200 84,124 1,358,171 2,580,331

1995 1,362,063 374,420 1,367,718 431,020 530,455 2,117,455 8,120,279Formal Employment 2005 1,394,240 536,160 1,630,919 429,091 1,087,271 1,901,858 8,039,401

1995 43.41 61.50 19.84 17.68 0.22 1.10 14.70BC as share ofFormal Employment 2005 35.72 30.51 24.32 41.58 15.86 64.14 31.78

1995 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0Private Sector BC (%) 2005 96.5 73.8 94.8 89.7 19.6 1.9 41.6

1995 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0Public Sector BC (%) 2005 3.5 26.2 5.2 10.3 80.4 98.1 58.5

Source: OHS1995,LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculationsNotes: PrivateHouseholds,Agriculture,MiningandUtilitieswereomittedfromthetable,butincludedin figures for total employment and total bargaining council coverage. AsmallnumberofDomesticWorkerswererecordedasworkinginFinancialandCommercial Servicesin1995.Theoccupationcategorywasomittedfromthetable,buttheseworkers were included in the total employment figure.

Table4againpresentsthatbreakdownofbargainingcouncilmembershipbyoccupation

groupandsectorforbothyears.Inthiscase,thecellspresenttheshareofeachsector

intotalbargainingcouncilcoveragebyoccupationgroup.

Theincreaseinbargainingcouncilmembershipbyoccupationgroupbetween1995and

2005wasdominatedbythehuge increase in thenumberofProfessionalsbelonging

tobargainingcouncils, from justover20000 in1995 tomore than three-quarters

ofamillion in2005.This isaconsequenceof theestablishmentof thepublicsector

bargainingcouncils. In1995,almosthalfofProfessionalsbelonging tobargaining

councilswereemployedintheConstructionindustry,while43percentwereemployed

in theCSPSsector.A furthersevenpercentbelonged tobargainingcouncils in the

Manufacturingsector.By2005,more than94percentofProfessionalbargaining

councilmemberswereemployed intheCSPSsector.Thistranslates intoan increase

ofmorethan7000percentoralmost700000workers.Overall,almost98percentof

Professionalbargainingcouncilmemberswereemployedinthepublicsector in2005.

Themajorityoftheseworkerswereteachersandnursesemployedbygovernment.

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The number of Clerical Workers covered by bargaining councils increased almost five-

foldbetween1995and2005.Againthisincreasewasdrivenbytheestablishmentofthe

pubicsectorbargainingcouncils,withpublicsectorworkersaccountingfor79percent

ofallClerkscoveredbybargainingcouncils in2005.TheshareofClerkscoveredby

bargainingcouncils in theManufacturing industrydecreasedfrom48percent tonine

percent,while theshareofClerks thatbelongedtobargainingcouncils in theTrade

sectordeclinedfrom52percentto9percent.Overthesameperiod,theshareofClerks

employed in theCSPS increased fromzero to65percent.Thisshare isdominated

byClerksworking in thepublicsector.Overall,bargainingcouncilcoverage in this

occupation group increased from almost five percent of total employment to more than

23percent.

ThenumberofServiceandSalesWorkersbelongingtobargainingcouncilsmorethan

doubledfromabout161000 in1995toalmost387000 in2005. In2005,almost58

percentoftheseworkerswerepublicsectorbargainingcouncils.MostoftheServices

Workerscoveredbybargainingcouncils in1995wereemployed in theWholesale

andRetailTradeindustry.Thissharedeclinedto35percentin2005,withtheshareof

ServiceWorkersemployedintheCSPSincreasingfromsixpercentto59percent.This

is dominated by police officers and to lesser extent prison warders.15Thesmallnumber

ofskilledAgriculturalandFishingworkerswithinabargainingcouncilin2005,wereall

employedinthepublicservice.

CraftandTradeworkerbargainingcouncilmembership remained relativelystable

between1995and2005,withabout40percentemployedintheManufacturingsector

inbothyears.TheshareofthisoccupationgroupintheConstructionindustrydeclined,

withsmall increases in theothersector.Only13percentofcoveredCraftandTrade

workerswerepartofpublicsectorcouncils.

�5 Ourestimatessuggestthatthe��226policeofficersand2�0��wardensbelongedtothepublicsectorbargainingcouncilin2005.

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Table 4: Bargaining Council Coverage by Occupation Group and Sector – % Share of

Occupation Group

Source: OHS1995,LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculationsNotes: PrivateHouseholds,Agriculture,MiningandUtilitieswereomittedfromthetable,butincludedin figures for total employment and total bargaining council coverage. AsmallnumberofDomesticWorkerswererecordedasworkinginFinancialandCommercial Servicesin1995.Theoccupationcategorywasomittedfromthetable,buttheseworkers were included in the total employment figure.

Therewasaslightdeclinebetween1995and2005inthenumberofcoveredOperators

andAssemblers. In 1995, the majority of these workers were employed in the

ManufacturingsectorwiththeshareofOperatorsinthissectordecliningto52percent

in2005.The largestshare increasewas in theTransportsector,drivenby increased

membershipinthemotorferryandpassengertransportbargainingcouncils,aswellas

theestablishmentoftheTransnetbargainingcouncil.

ThemajorityofunskilledElementaryworkers inabargainingcouncil in1995were

employed in theManufacturingsector.While thetotalnumberofElementaryworkers

council-coveredincreasedfrom141000to388000,theshareofElementaryworkers

withinManufacturing,declinedto24percent.Therewasasimilardeclineintheshare

ofcoveredElementaryworkers in theConstruction industry.WhilenoElementary

workersbelongedtobargainingcouncils inCSPSin1995,adecadelater,48percent

ofallElementaryworkersbelongingtobargainingcouncilswereemployedintheCSPS

sector.

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Table 5 shows the union membership inside and outside the bargaining council

environmentin1995and2005.16

Table 5: Bargaining Council Status and Union Membership, 1995 and 2005

Bargaining Council Non-Bargaining Council Formal EmploymentUnion Non-Union Total Union Non-Union Total Union Non-Union Total

1995 466,827 726,770 1,193,597 2,274,483 4,652,199 6,926,682 2,741,311 5,378,968 8,120,27939.11% 60.89% 100% 32.84% 67.16% 100% 33.76% 66.24% 100%

2005 1,407,344 1,172,987 2,580,331 1,609,057 3,850,012 5,459,070 3,016,401 5,023,000 8,039,40154.54% 45.46% 100% 29.47% 70.53% 100% 37.52% 62.48% 100%

Source: OHS1995,LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculations

In 1995, about 40 percent of workers (just fewer than half a million employees)

estimatedtobecoveredbyabargainingcouncil,werealsomembersofatradeunion.

Thismeansthatthemajorityoftheworkersthatbelongedtobargainingcouncilswere

notmembersofaunion.By2005 thissharehas increased toalmost55percent,

with theactualnumberofworkersbelonging tobothabargainingcouncilandunion

increasing threefold toalmost1,5million.This increasewasprimarilydrivenby the

largenumberofpublicsectorworkersbelonging tobothabargainingcouncilanda

union,withalmost70percentof thepublicsectorbargainingcouncilmembersalso

unionised.17Ithastobenotedthatthisrapidbargainingcouncil-unionmembershipalso

tookplaceastrideaverymodestgrowthintradeunionmembershipasawhole.

Fromtheabovedescriptiveoverview,anumberofkeyconclusionsemergearoundthe

patternsof institutionalisedwageformation inpost-apartheid South Africa. In the first

instancethe levelof institutionalisedwagebargaining,outsideofunionmembership,

only covered 15 percent of workers in 1995. A decade later this figure, although more

thandoubling, stoodonlyat32percent.Putdifferently, thesystemofbargaining

councils inSouthAfricadesigned to formalise the relationshipbetweenorganised

workers and employers with regard to wages; benefits; dispute resolution and other

aspectsof labourmarketregulation,remainsrelativelyweakandunrepresentativeat

thenational level.Thatbeingsaid,asecondkeyconclusion fromtheabove is that,

the 1995-2005 period reflects a rapid rise in the bargaining council system for the

�6 Notethatwhilethebargainingcouncilmembershipwasestimatedforbothyears,theunionmembershipisbasedontheresponsestoveryspecificquestionsinthe�995OHSandthe2005LFS.

�7 The key public sector trade unions are the National, Education, Health and Allied Workers’ Union (NEHAWU),Democratic Nursing Organisation of SA (DENOSA), Health and Other Service Personnel Trade Union of SA(HOSPERSA),NationalProfessionalTeachers’OrganisationofSA(NAPTOSA),PoliceandPrisonsCivilRightsUnion(POPCRU),PublicServantsAssociationofSouthAfrica(PSA),SouthAfricanDemocraticTeachers’Union(SADTU)andSouthAfricanPoliceUnion(SAPU)(PSCBCwebsite,www.pscbc.org.za).

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publicsector.Drivenbytheformalisationof teachers,nursesandotherpublicsector

Professionals into thePublicSectorCo-ordinatingBargainingCouncil– thissector is

nowthebedrockforinstitutionalisedbargaininginthelabourmarket.Inturn,however,

bargainingcouncilswithin theprivatesectorhaveatbeststagnatedandatworstare

inseculardecline.Hence,despiteaggregateemploymentgrowth insectorssuchas

ConstructionandWholesaleandRetailTrade,bargainingcouncilmembershiphasnot

expanded accordingly. Where there has been significant growth, it has notably been

withinStateOwnedEnterprise-relatedsectors.Finally, thispoorperformancewithin

theprivatesectoralludestoanadditionalworryingtrend;thatofthefailuretoresortto

establishedpracticesof institutionalisedbargaininganddisputeresolutionwithinnew

orfast-growingsectors.This isparticularly importantwhenthosesectorsor industries

havelowlevelsofunionisationandemployers’organisation–as itoftenprovidesthe

seedbedforafractiousindustrialrelationsenvironment.18

EarningsintheBargainingCouncilSystem

Asnotedearlier,domesticworkers,theself-employedandtheinformalsector(in2005)

wereexcluded fromtheestimationofbargainingcouncilcoverage. In the following

tablestheearnings19ofemployeesthatbelongedtobargainingcouncilsinthetwoyears

(asperourestimationofcoverage)arecomparedtotheearningsofthoseworkersthat

wereemployedintheformalsectorbutdidnotbelongtoabargainingcouncil.

Table6providesacomparisonofthereal20meanmonthlyearningsofallformalsector

employeesbytheirbargainingcouncilstatusin1995and2005.Inaddition,theratioof

bargainedtonon-bargainedwagesisgiven,aswellasthegrowthinearningsoverthe

period–bothforworkersthatbelongedtoabargainingcouncilandthosethatdidnot.

In both 1995 and 2005, the aggregate estimates indicate that membership of a

bargainingcouncilwasnotassociatedwithhighermeanearnings. Inbothyears, the

differenceinthemeanearningsofemployeesinsideandoutsidethebargainingcouncil

�� Whilethispointisastrongreferencetothesecurityandtaxiindustries,itrepresentsageneralconcernaroundothersectorswhosefuturegrowthmayresultindeleteriousindustrialrelationsoutcomes.

�9 Theearningsfiguresreportedherearemonetaryearnings.WhererespondentsintheOHSandLFSchoseanincomebracketinsteadof indicatinganactual incomefigure,themidpointvalueofthatbracketwasgiventothem.Inbothyears,however,themajorityofrespondentsprovidedanactualincomeestimate.Lookingatformalemploymentonly,in200562percentofrespondentsprovidedpointestimates,withlessthanonepercentunspecified(missing).In�9952,��percentofthevaluesweremissing,while7�percentofrespondentsprovidedpointestimates.

20 Nominal earnings were converted into real earnings (expressed in 2000 prices) using the Consumer Price Index(StatsSA,2006).

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environment isnotstatisticallysignificant. In1995, theonlystatisticallysignificant

difference in earnings are forAsian workers, with employees not belonging to

abargainingcouncilactuallyearningalmostoneandahalf timesmore than their

counterpartswhoweremembersofabargainingcouncil.

Table 6: Real Mean Monthly Earnings by Race, Gender and Bargaining Council Membership, 1995 and 2005

1995 2005 % change

Rands BC Non-BC

Ratio(BC toNon-BC) BC Non-BC

Ratio(BC toNon-BC) BC Non-BC

African 2043.32 2076.94 1:1.02 2996.83 2158.82 1:0.72* 46.66** 3.94Coloured 2312.64 2070.22 1:0.90 3225.45 2794.53 1:0.87 39.47** 34.99**Asian 2842.48 4001.30 1:1.41* 3908.88 3427.78 1:0.88 37.52 -14.33White 5680.86 6221.95 1:1.10 5618.87 6961.31 1:1.24* -1.09 11.88Male 2953.47 3142.55 1:1.06 3396.83 3398.64 1:1.00 15.01** 8.15Female 1842.82 2695.76 1:1.46* 3499.99 3038.92 1:0.87 89.93** 12.73Total 2674.38 2982.25 1:1.12 3438.74 3271.79 1:0.95 28.58** 9.71

Source: OHS1995,LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA)Notes: * Difference between mean wages significant at the five percent level ** Changes significant at the 5 percent level

In2005,however,Africanemployeescoveredbyabargainingcouncilagreement

earned significantly more than those workers not belonging to a bargaining council,

driven by a statistically significant increase of 47 percent in real earnings between

1995and2005.ThedifferencesintheearningsofColouredandAsianworkersinside

and outside the bargaining council environment are not statistically significant. It is

interesting tonote thatWhiteworkerswhodidnotbelong toabargainingcouncil

earnedmore than those thatwerecoveredbyabargainingcouncilagreement,with

the difference statistically significant. This is probably a reflection of the relatively large

shareofWhiteworkers inhighlyskilledoccupations fallingoutside thebargaining

councilsystem.

In 1995 there was no statistically significant difference in Male earnings between those

thatbelongedtobargainingcouncilsandthosethatdidnot.Females,however,who

didnotbelongtoabargainingcouncilearnedonaveragealmost50percentmorethan

females thatweremembersofabargainingcouncil,with thedifferencestatistically

significant. In 2005 the earnings of Males and Females belonging to bargaining

councilswerenotstatisticallydifferentfromthosenotcoveredbyabargainingcouncil

agreement. However, female bargaining council members saw a statistically significant

increase of almost 90 percent in their mean earnings between 1995 and 2005.

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This reflects the large number of nurses and female teachers covered by

bargaining council agreements in 2005 due to their membership of the PSCBC.

Table7,however,showsthatwhentheearningsofpublicsectorbargainingmembers

arecomparedtothoseofbargainingcouncilmembersintheprivatesectoraswellas

thosenotcoveredbybargainingcouncilsadifferentpictureemerges.Attheaggregate

level in2005,workerswhowerepartof thepublicsectorbargainingcouncilsearned

more than theircolleagues in theprivatesectoraswellas the formallyemployed

whodidnotbelongtobargainingcouncils. Inbothcasesthedifference isstatistically

significant, with public sector bargaining council members earning about 30 percent

morethanworkersnotpartofanybargainingcouncil,whilethedifferencewasalmost

90percentbetweenthepublicandprivatesectorbargainingcouncilmembers.

Table 7: Real Mean Monthly Earnings by Race, Gender: Private vs Public Sector Bargaining

Council Membership, 2005

Non BC Private BC Public BCRatio Priv BC:

Pub BCRatio Non-BC:

Pub BCAfrican 2158.82 1738.45 3829.55 1:2.20* 1:1.77*Coloured 2794.53 2510.62 4017.41 1:1.60* 1:1.44*Asian 3427.78 3382.69 4582.80 1:1.35 1:1.34White 6961.31 4481.74 6220.84 1:1.39* 1:0.89Male 3398.64 2560.05 4296.07 1:1.68* 1:1.26*Female 3038.92 1521.38 4220.95 1:2.77* 1:1.39*Total 3271.79 2286.87 4257.43 1:1.86* 1:1.30*

Source: LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA)Notes: * Difference between mean wages significant at the 5 percent level

African workers benefited most from being members of the public sector bargaining

councils in2005,with theirmeanearningsmore thandouble thatofprivatesector

bargainingcouncilmembersandalmost80percentmorethanthoseofworkersthatdid

notbelongtoanybargainingcouncil.ThesametrendisevidentforColouredworkers,

withpublicsectorbargainingcouncilmembersearning60percentmore than those

thatbelongedtoprivatesectorcouncilsand44percentmorethanthoseoutsidethe

bargainingcouncilsystem.Publicsectorbargainingcouncilmembershiphadnoimpact

ontheearningsofAsianworkers.Thedifference inearningsbetweenWhiteworkers

were statistically significant, with the public sector workers earning almost 40 percent

more.Thedifference inearningsbetweenWhiteworkersbelonging toabargaining

council and those within a public sector bargaining council is not statistically significant.

In terms of our gender estimates, females benefited most from public sector bargaining

council membership, with these workers earning almost three times as much as

femalesbelongingtoprivatecouncilsandalmost40percentmorethanfemaleswho

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didnotbelongtoanybargainingcouncil.Menwhobelongedtopublicsectorbargaining

councilsearnedonaverageabout two-thirdsmorethanthose inprivatecouncilsand

almost a third more than males not within a bargaining council. Overall, this reflects the

premiumearnedbyprofessionalssuchasnursesandteachersandtoalesserextent,

police officers in the public sector.

Table8examines realmeanmonthlyearningsbybargainingcouncils statusand

occupationgroup.Theonlyoccupationgroupwherebargainingcouncilworkersearned

more inbothyearsthanthosenotcovered isunskilledElementaryWorkers,with the

differences statistically significant. Elementary Workers not part of a bargaining council

earnedabout60percentoftheaveragewageofabargainingcouncilmemberin1995,

andabout56percentoftheaveragewageofabargainingcouncilmemberin2005.

In 2005, the only other occupation category that benefited from being covered by a

bargainingcouncilagreementwereServiceandSalesWorkers,whoseearningswere

almostdoublethoseofnon-bargainingcouncilserviceworkers.Thiscanbeattributedto

the fact that police officers and correctional services workers (who fall in this category),

werecoveredbythenewpublicsectorbargainingcouncils in2005butuncovered in

1995.

Table 8: Real Mean Monthly Earnings by Occupation and Bargaining

Council Membership, 1995 and 20051995 2005 % Change

Rands BC Non-BC

Ratio(BC to Non-

BC) BC Non-BC

Ratio(BC to Non-

BC) BC Non-BCManagers 5737.10 8854.87 1:1.54* 3444.90 9578.95 1:2.78* -39.95 8.18Professionals 7827.58 5505.90 1:0.70* 5345.21 6553.86 1:1.23* -31.71** 19.03Clerks 2941.33 3029.92 1:1.03 3868.12 3273.02 1:0.85 31.51** 8.02Service Workers 2239.59 2479.59 1:1.11 3006.73 1597.00 1:0.53* 34.25 -35.59**Skilled Agr.Workers 2521.79 2120.47 2750.13 1:1.30 9.05Craft & TradeWorkers 3091.59 3267.50 1:1.06 2452.81 2219.72 1:0.90 -20.66 -32.07**Operators &Assemblers 2436.65 2082.94 1:0.85* 2379.27 2121.28 1:0.89 -2.35 1.84ElementaryWorkers 1665.31 993.96 1:0.60* 2042.01 1149.60 1:0.56* 22.62 15.66**Total 2674.38 2982.25 1:1.12 3438.74 3271.79 1:0.95 28.58** 9.71

Source: OHS1995,LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA)Notes: * Difference between mean wages significant at the 5 percent level ** Changes significant at the 5 percent level

OperatorsandAssemblerscoveredbyabargainingcouncilagreementearnedmore

thanthoseoutsidebargainingcouncilsin1995,withthedifferencenolongerstatistically

significant in 2005. In 1995, the very small number of Professionals who belonged to a

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bargainingcouncilearnedmorethanthoseoutsidethesystem.By2005,Professionals

outsidethebargainingcouncilsystemearnedmorethanthosecoveredbyagreements.

Finally,inbothyearsManagersnotcoveredbyagreementearnedmorethanthosewho

belongedtobargainingcouncils.Thisisnotsurprisinggiventheverysmallnumberof

managerswhoactuallybelongedtocouncils.ForClerksandCraftandTradeworkers

inbothyears,ServiceWorkers in1995,and forAgriculturalWorkers in2005, the

differences in the levels of earnings are not statistically significant.

In Table 9 we again compare the earnings of workers part of the public sector

bargainingcouncilswith theearningsof thosewhoweremembersofprivatesector

bargainingcouncils in2005.Professionals in thepublicsectorbargainingcouncil

earnedonaveragealmost50percentmorethantheircounterpartsthatbelongedtothe

privatesectorcouncils.However,Professionalswhodidnotbelongtoanybargaining

councilstillearnedmore than thepublicsectorProfessionals.Nursesand teachers

belongtothepublicsectorbargainingcouncils,andthiscouldaccountfortheearnings

gapbetweentheprivateandpublicsectorbargainingcouncils.However,highearning

Professionalssuchascharteredaccountants,actuariesand lawyers in theprivate

sectordonotbelong tobargainingcouncils,hence,suggestingwhyProfessionals

outsidethebargainingcouncilenvironmenthavethehighestmeanearnings.

Table 9: Real Mean Monthly Earnings by Occupation Group: Private versus Public Sector

Bargaining Council Membership, 2005

Non-BC Private BC Public BCRatio

Priv BC: Pub BCRatio

Non-BC: Pub BCManagers 9578.95 3444.90Professionals 6553.86 3484.41 5382.01 1:1.54* 1:0.82*Clerks 3273.02 3010.72 4103.71 1:1.36 1:1.25*Service Workers 1597.00 1904.62 3799.76 1:2.00* 1:2.38*Skilled Agr Workers 2750.13 2120.47 1:0.77Craft & Trade Workers 2219.72 2458.70 2412.40 1:0.98 1:1.09Operators & Assemblers 2121.28 2218.76 3189.78 1:1.44 1:1.50Elementary Workers 1149.60 1968.76 2091.25 1:1.06 1:1.82*Total 3271.79 2286.87 4257.43 1:1.86* 1:1.30*

Source: LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA)Notes: * Difference between mean wages significant at the 5 percent level

ThemeanearningsofServiceWorkersinthepublicsectorweredoublethatofService

Workersthatbelongedtoprivatesectorbargainingcouncilsandalmosttwo-and-a-half

times more than that of their colleagues outside the council system. This reflects the

wage premium earned by police officers and prison wardens in the public sector.

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Whenearningsaredifferentiatedby industry(Table10), it isclear that inmostcases

differences inearningsbetweenworkerscoveredbybargainingcouncilsand those

outside the system are not statistically significant. There are, however, some exceptions.

InTransportandManufacturing,workersnotcoveredbybargainingcouncilsearned

more inbothyears.Forbothsectors, theseworkersearnedaround50percentmore

thantheircolleagues,withdifferentialwideningslightlyin2005.

Table 10: Real Mean Monthly Earnings by Industry and Bargaining Council Status,

1995 and 20051995 2005 % Change

BC Non-BC

Ratio(BC toNon-BC BC Non-BC

Ratio(BC toNon-BC BC Non-BC

Agriculture 789.32 1707.75 950.03 1:0.56* 20.36Mining & Quarrying 3176.01 2820.05 3310.10 1:1.17 4.22Manufacturing 2680.99 3870.90 1:1.44* 2298.83 3819.50 1:1.66* -14.25 -1.33Utilities 4384.73 2956.54 4585.29 1:1.55 4.57Construction 2658.29 2531.11 1:0.95 2319.21 2066.21 1:0.89 -12.76 -18.37Wholesale & Retail Trade 2612.20 2457.50 1:0.94 2235.11 2377.66 1:1.06 -14.44 -3.25Transport 2529.67 4045.35 1:1.60* 2603.98 4587.15 1:1.76* 2.94 13.39Financial & BusinessServices 1153.98 4570.14 1:3.96* 4070.34 4689.15 1:1.15 252.72** 2.60Commercial, Social& Prof Services 3953.48 3628.25 1:0.92 4317.75 4602.46 1:1.07 9.21 26.85**Total 2674.38 2982.25 1:1.12 3438.74 3271.79 1:0.95 28.58** 9.71

Source: OHS1995,LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA)Notes: * Difference between mean wages significant at the five percent level ** Changes significant at the five percent level

Bargainingcouncilmembers in theFinancialServicessectorexperiencedahuge

increaseintheirmeanearningsbetween1995and2005,drivenagainbypublicsector

workers in thissectorwho joined thePSCBC.Theonlysectorwhereinbargaining

councilmembersearnedmore thannon-members(and thedifference isstatistically

significant),wasAgriculture,Forestry&Fishing in2005–drivenbypublicsector

employeeswhoindicatedthattheybelongtothissector.

Ourdescriptiveanalysishasshown thatanestimated15percentof formalsector

workerswerecoveredbybargainingcouncilagreements in1995,with these limited

toprivatesectorcouncils.By2005, thishad increased toabout30percentof total

formalemployment,with the increasedrivenalmostentirelybymembershipof the

newlyformedpublicsectorbargainingcouncils.Thenumberofprivatesectorworkers

coveredbybargainingcouncilagreementsremainedrelativelystableataround1million

workers.Ultimately then, therehasbeenastagnation ingrowthofbargainingcouncil

representation forprivatesectoremployees,withaggregategrowth inbargaining

councilmembershipa functionentirely of thePSBC’s formation.Thedescriptive

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analysis of earnings, in turn, suggests firstly that at the mean, there was no significant

remunerativeadvantageofferedtobeingassociatedwithabargainingcouncil.Closer

inspectionof themeanearningsofbargainingcouncilmembers,however, revealed

significant premia associated with membership of public sector bargaining councils.

Hence,theaggregatelevel,publicsectorbargainingcouncilmembersnotonlyearned

more than theirprivatesectorcounterparts,butalsoonaveragemore thanworkers

whodidnotbelongtoabargainingcouncilatall.Thisresultholdstrueformalesand

females,aswellasAfricansandColoureds.Thesametrendemergeswhenexamining

averageearningsbyoccupationgroup.

Whilemeanearningswerepresentedbyarangeofcovariates,notedabove, these

areofcoursenot theonly factors impactingonaworker’searnings.Awide range

of variables, including the highest level of education and experience also influence

earnings. Inaddition, thesevariables interactsimultaneously to impactonearnings.

In the followingsection, therefore,weestimatea rangeofearnings functions inan

attempt toaccount for thesimultaneous impactof relevantvariableson the levelof

earnings. Inaddition, itwillallowus to isolate the impactofbargainingcounciland

unionmembershiponearnings.

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5. Bargaining Council Membership and Wages - A Multivariate Analysis

WefollowBhoratandLeibbrandt(2001:107-129) insettingupamodelwhichdeals

with the threesequentialstages in the labourmarket: labourmarketparticipation,

employmentandearnings.GiventhehighlevelsofinvoluntaryunemploymentinSouth

Africa,theyhavearguedthatitisimportanttoincludebothlabourmarketparticipation

and employment equations in the analysis, to clearly define unemployment as a state

thatoccursdespitethedecisiontoenterthelabourmarket.

Itisawellestablishedfactintheliteraturethatthesampleoflabourmarketparticipants

ishighlyunlikelytobearandomsampleof theworkingagepopulation.Thegroupof

potential labourmarketparticipantshasalreadyundergonesomekindofselection

process whereby a decision was made to enter the labour market or not. The

participationequation,therefore,attemptstoshedsomelightonthefactors impacting

onan individual’sdecision toenter the labour force.Webeginwitha fullsampleof

potential labourmarketparticipantsandestimateaparticipationprobitusing,amongst

other variables, a number of household specific variables that would impact on an

individual’sdecisiontoenterthelabourmarket.Oncetheparticipantsaredetermined,

anemploymentprobitmodel isestimated,conditionalon labour forceparticipation.

The final stage models the earnings of those who found employment (See Bhorat &

Leibbrandt,2001:112,113;Oosthuizen,2006:53).21

Theresultsfromthelabourforceparticipationprobitfor1995and2005canbefoundin

AppendixE,whiletheresultsfromtheemploymentprobitforbothyearscanbefound

inAppendixF.

Givenourinteresthere,wefocusprincipallyonthewageequation.Hence,anearnings

functiontakesthefollowinggenericform:

Yi = a + b X

i + u

i (1)

2� Inouranalysis,theHeckmantwo-stepapproachwasusedtocontrolforsampleselectionbias.Afterthelabourforceparticipationprobitwasestimated,theestimateswereusedtoderiveanestimatefortheinverseMillsratio(lambda)tobeincludedintheemploymentprobit.Theselectionlambdaderivedfromtheemploymentprobitwasthenincludedintheearningsequation.Thederivedearningsfunctionisthereforeconditionalontheindividualcharacteristicsoftheearnersaswellasconditionalonthefactthattheseearnersareasubsampleofalllabourmarketparticipantsandanevensmallersubsampleofpotentialparticipants.

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wheretheYi referstothenaturallogofthemonthlywageofworkeri asbeingafunction

ofthekx1 vector,Xofrelevantvariables,whilebisthe1xkvectorofparameters.The

disturbancetermandtheconstantarecapturedbyui andarespectively.TheOrdinary

LeastSquaresmethodisusedtoestimatethemeaneffectof thevariousexplanatory

variablesonthedependentvariable.

Whiletherearewell-knownadvantagestotheOLSapproach,thispaperalsoattempts

to understand the impact of different covariates – particularly that of union and

bargainingcouncilmembership–atdifferentpointsontheconditionalwagedistribution.

Put differently, whether bargaining council membership is significant in shaping earnings

at the10th,asopposedto the75thor the90thpercentileof thewagedistribution isof

substantiveinteresthere.

Hence,inordertoestimatetheimpactoftheexplanatoryvariablesatparticularpoints

inthewagedistribution,themethodofquantileregressionsisutilised.Firstproposedin

KoenkerandBassett(1978),quantileregressionsrefertothegeneralisedcaseof the

leastabsolutedeviations(LAD)estimator.Hence,whilethroughordinaryleastsquared

estimation,wederiveasamplemeanthroughminimisingthesumofsquaredresiduals,

thesamplemediancanbederivedthroughminimisingthesumofabsoluteresiduals

(Koenker&Hallock,2001;Koenker&Bassett,1978).Ifwetakeageneralstatementof

thisapproach,acrossallpoints,orquantiles,inthedistributionwehavetheestimation

fortheregressionquantileasminimisingtheequationbelow:

iXiyii

iXiY

iXiyiiiXiYMin

k :1

: (2)

Theabove thenprovides thesolution for theithquantile,where0<i<1,allowing

forestimationatanygivenpoint in thedistributionof theoutcomevariable. In the

aboveYi is thedependentvariable,x

i is thekx1vectorof independentvariablesand

b is coefficient vector (Koenker & Bassett, 1978). One particular case of the quantile

regressionisthemedianregression,which isobtainedintheabovebysettingi=0.5.

Alternativevaluesofithereforeprovideuswithdifferentquantileestimates.Ultimately,

whiletheOLSapproachestimatesthemeaneffectof theexplanatoryvariableonthe

dependentvariable, thequantile regressionapproachenablesanestimationatany

numberofdifferentpointsintheconditionaldistributionofthedependentvariable.

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In the application of this technique we were therefore able to specifically estimate the

impactofbargainingcouncilmembershipandunionmembershipatparticularpointsin

theconditionalwagedistribution.Thisallowedustoevaluatetheimpactofinstitutional

wageformationatdifferentpointsinthewagedistribution.

Itisalsopossibletoestimatetheimpactoftherelevantvariablesonthedifferencesin

earnings. Inorder toachievethis, thequantileregressionapproachcanbeextended

toestimateasetof inter-quantile regressions,where thedependentvariable is the

differencebetween the twoquantiles (SeeBhorat&Oosthuizen,2006).The inter-

quantileapproachtakesthefollowingform:

iii XYQYQ ''' )()( (3)

whereQi andQ

i’ refer to the specific quantiles or percentiles for the dependent

variable,Yi . The coefficient, (b

i-bi’) therefore represents the influence of the percentile

differenceintheindependentvariableonthedispersioninthedependentvariable.22The

coefficients indicate if a variable is significant or not and if the variable is significantly

differentfromzero,itssignindicateswhetheritincreasesorreducesthedistributionin

wages across the two selected percentiles. In our analysis the coefficients will indicate

(if significantly different from zero) if membership of a bargaining councils or a union

increasesordecreasesthewagedifferentialacrossthemeasuredpercentiles.

Results

Earningsofformalsectoremployees,(excludingtheinformalsector,domesticworkers

andtheself-employed)wereestimatedfor1995and2005.Ineachcase,earningsare

measuredbythelogofthetotalmonthlywages.

Inbothyearsthereferentvariablesare:

• Race:African

• Gender:Male

• Province:Gauteng

22 Thereportedcoefficients,aswillbeshown,areeffectivelythedifferenceattherespectivequantilesacrossthevariables.Thevariance-covariancematrix,however,oftheinter-quantileregressions,isderivedthroughbootstrapping.

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• Occupation:ElementaryWorkers

• Industry:Manufacturing

Bargainingcouncilandunionmembershiparepresentedbythreedummyvariables.The

bargainingcouncil/unionmemberdummyisoneforallemployeeswhoaremembersof

bothabargainingcouncilandaunionandzero forallother formallyemployed.The

bargainingcouncil/non-unionmemberdummyisoneforemployeeswhoaremembers

ofabargainingcouncilbutdonotbelongtoaunion,andzerootherwise.Finally the

uniondummy issimplyone forunionmembersandzero fornon-unionmembers.23

Standardcontrolsforrace,gender,education,location,industry,occupation,experience

andhoursworkedpermonthare included in theequation.For2005only, inorder to

capture theeffectofpublicsectorversusprivatesectoremploymentand, therefore,

the impactof thepublicsectorbargainingcouncils, twodummiesare includedfor the

Commercial,SocialandPersonalServices(CSPS)sector.Thiswasdone,giventhat

88percentofpeoplewhoworked in thethreespheresofgovernmentandestimated

asbelonging to thepublicsectorbargainingcouncilswerecodedasemployees in

thatsector.Twoseparatedummieswerethereforecreated, forpublicsectorworkers

intheCSPSsectorandforpeopleemployedintheprivateCSPSsectorrespectively.

This serves as the first specification for the earnings function for 2005. The second

specification retains a single dummy representing the CSPS sector. In order to capture

the impactof theprivateand thepublicsectorbargainingcouncilsseparately, two

dummiesareincludedinthisearningsfunction,representingprivatesectorbargaining

councilmembershipandpublicsectorbargainingcouncilmembershiprespectively.

Table11presents theearnings function forall those in formalemployment in1995.

Looking at the second last variable first, the coefficient for the inverse Mills ratio (empl_

lambda) is negative and statistically significant, suggesting the presence of sample

selectionbias,whichwascorrectedfor.Inotherwords,thesampleofearnerswasnota

randomselectiondrawnfromthepoolofpotentiallabourmarketparticipantsin1995.

Statistically significant coefficients for all three race groups indicate thatAfrican

workers in the formaleconomywere likely toearn less thanworkers fromtheother

racegroupsin1995,withthedifferentialparticularlylargewhentheiraverageearnings

2� In thediscussionofour results,we interpret theestimatesof thecoefficientson thesedummiesas thebargainingcouncilwagegap,bargainingcouncil/unionwagegaporthesimpleunionwagegap.Thismeansthatwereporttheimpactofthecoefficientestimateasapercentagechangeinthelogmonthlywage.Wedothisbecausetheestimatesofourcoefficientsarerelativelysmall.Forcoefficientestimates(ofdummyvariables)oflargermagnitudestheeffecton the dependent variable should be calculated as (ее - 1), with е the coefficient estimate (Halvorsen & Palmquist, 1980: �7�-�75).

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arecomparedtothoseofWhiteworkers.Beingfemale,asopposedtomale,reduced

earningsbyabout23percent for those in formalemployment.Theeducationsplines

showthathigher levelsofeducationwereassociatedwithhigherearnings in1995.

Asexpected, those formallyemployed inurbanareasearnedmore than their rural

counterparts,byabout13percent.

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Table 11: Earnings Equation 1995 (Formal Employment)

Dependent Variable: Log of Mean Monthly Earnings CoefficientsColoured 0.1957*Asian 0.2601*White 0.5562*Female -0.2298*No education to Incomplete GET (None to Grade 8) 0.0376*Complete GET (Grade 9 to 11) 0.0966*Matric (Grade 12) 0.1903*Diploma 0.1531*Degree 0.1166*Urban 0.1319*Managers 0.7258*Professionals 0.5368*Clerks 0.2771*Service Workers 0.1753*Skilled Agricultural 0.4733*Craft and Trade Workers 0.2498*Operators and Assemblers 0.1702*Agriculture -0.6970*Mining -0.0046Utilities 0.1574*Construction -0.1486*Wholesale and Retail Trade -0.1667*Transport 0.0708*Finance 0.0034Commercial, Social and Personal Services 0.0207Private Households -0.7124*Experience 0.0344*Experience squared -0.0005*Log of hours worked per month 0.1331*Bargaining council/union member 0.0236Bargaining council/non-union member 0.0694*Union 0.1959*Emp_lambda -0.1148*Constant 5.3735*

Number Observed 24479F 1066.86*Adjusted R2 0.6519

Source: OHS1995(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculationsNotes: * Significant at the one percent level ** Significant at the five percent level Other and unspecified categories were omitted from the table

Asetofprovincialdummieswere included in theequation,butarenotpresented

in Table 11. With the exception of Limpopo, for which the coefficient is statistically

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insignificant, those residing in theotherprovinces in1995earned less than those

formallyemployedinGauteng.

BelongingtoanyotheroccupationgroupthananElementaryWorkerwasassociated

withhigheraverageearnings.The results show that those in skilledoccupations

(ManagersandProfessionals)enjoyed the largestdifferentials, followedbySkilled

AgricultureandFisheryWorkersandCraftWorkers.OperatorsandAssemblersand

ServiceWorkerswere likely toearnonaverage17percentmore thanElementary

Workersin1995.

Only formalsectorworkers inUtilities,Transport,FinanceandCommercial,Social&

PersonalServicesearnedmorethanthoseemployedintheManufacturingsector,with

thelargestdifferentialfortheUtilitiessector.WorkersinAgriculture,Construction,Trade

andPrivateHouseholdswereearning lessthanworkers in theManufacturingsector,

withthedifferentialof0.70particularlylargeforworkersintheAgriculturalsector.

The positive and significant coefficient for experience indicate that an additional

yearofexperiencegeneratedareturn toearningsofabout3,4percent in1995.As

expected the coefficient for experience squared was negative and significant indicating

diminishingreturnstoexperience.

Ofparticularinterestforthisanalysisistheimpactofbeingamemberofabargaining

council or a union on earnings. The coefficient of the bargaining council/union

membership dummy is statistically insignificant, implying that in 1995 a formal sector

workerwhowasamemberofbothabargainingcouncilandauniondidnotenjoy

anywagepremiumasaconsequenceofhis/hermembershipof the two institutions.

However,workerswithinabargainingcouncilbutnotunionmembersdidenjoyawage

premium relative to those not covered by a wage agreement. The statistically significant

coefficient of this dummy implies that bargaining council members were likely to earn

almostsevenpercentmorethanthosenotcoveredbyawageagreement.Membership

ofaunionin1995providedamuchlargerwagepremium,withworkersthatbelonged

toaunion,butnotabargainingcouncil,enjoyingaunionwagepremiumofalmost20

percent.24

2� Paststudiesanalysingtheimpactofinstitutionalwageformationonearningshaveconcentratedmainlyonestimatingtheunionwagegap.Theresultsvarywidely,partlyasaresultofdifferentmethodologiesandofthesamplesbeinglimitedbygenderorrace.Ourunionwagegapfor�995ofalmost20percentcompareswellwiththeestimatesfromBhoratandLeibbrandt(200�:�25).Theyestimatedaunionwagegapof20percentforAfricanmalesand2�percentforAfricanfemales,usingthe�995OHS.

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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

Ultimately, this result for 1995 suggests that bargaining councils impacted

significantly on an individual’s mean wages only in the absence of union membership.

Institutionalisedwage formation in1995 thereforewascharacterisedbyastrong

union-wage effect and a significant (albeit lower) bargaining council effect. The

latter, importantly,wasonly truefor thosebargainingcouncilmemberswhowerenot

unionised.

Table 12 presents the earnings function for the formally employed in 2005. For

2005, two specifications of the earnings function were estimated. In tems of the first

specification, the coefficient of the inverse Mills ratio (empl_lambda) isagainnegative

and statistically significant, confirming that there was sample selection bias which was

correctedfor.

Again, the positive and statistically significant coefficients for the race dummies indicate

thatAfricanworkerswere likely toearn less thanworkers fromtheother threerace

groups in2005.Thedifferentials forColouredandWhiteworkersareslightlysmaller

thanin1995,withthedifferentialforAsianworkerslarger.Thissuggeststhatby2005,

Africanworkersintheformalsectorhaveseenthegapbetweentheirearningsandthat

ofColouredandWhiteworkersbegin todecrease.Theaverageearningsof females

remainedlessthanthoseofmen,withthedifferentialslightlysmallerthanin1995.

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Table 12: Earnings Equation 2005 (Formal Employment)

Source: LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculationsNotes: * Significant at the one percent level ** Significant at the five percent level Other and unspecified categories were omitted from the table

Thepositive returns toeducationarealsoagainevident,withadditional yearsof

education(presentedbytheeducationsplines) impactingpositivelyonearnings.The

greatestadditionalpositive impactonaverageearnings isassociatedwithMatricora

degree in 2005. The LFS no longer records information by urban-rural classification,

butbydistrictandmetropolitancouncil.Themetrodummyisoneforallworkersliving

inmetropolitanmunicipalitiesandzero for those livingoutside theseareas(inareas

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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

run by district municipalities). The positive and significant coefficient for this dummy

indicates that in2005workers living inmetropolitanmunicipalitiesearnedmorethan

thoseresidinginthedistrictmunicipalities.

Notsurprising,alloccupationsgroupswereassociatedwithhigherearningsrelativeto

ElementaryWorkers,withlargedifferentialsforskilledworkers.Turningtothesectoral

dummies, the coefficients for the Transport and the Financial Services sectors are

not statistically significant. Formal employees in Agriculture, Construction, Wholesale

&RetailTrade,aswellasPrivateHouseholdsearned lessrelative to formalsector

employeesinManufacturing.WorkersinMiningandUtilities,ontheotherhand,earned

more than those working in Manufacturing. The statistically significant and positive

coefficient for the public sector CSPS dummy captures the wage premium enjoyed

by workers in the public sector. The coefficient for the private sector is negative and

statistically significant, implying that private sector workers in that sector earned less

that those employed in the Manufacturing sector. The positive and significant coefficient

forexperience indicates thatanadditionalyearofexperiencegeneratedareturn to

earnings of about 2,4 percent in 2005. Again the negative and significant coefficient for

experiencesquaredindicatesdiminishingreturnstoexperience.

Asetofprovincialdummieswere included in theequation,butarenotpresented

inTable12.With theexceptionof theWesternCape (forwhich thecoefficient is

statistically insignificant), the results indicated that in 2005 the formally employed living

inanyof theothersevenprovincesearned less than theircounterparts living in the

referentprovince,Gauteng.

Wenow turn to the threedummies thatcapture theeffectof institutionalisedwage

setting in South Africa in the first specification. The coefficient for the bargaining council/

non-union member dummy is statistically insignificant, indicating that a formal sector

workercoveredbybargainingcouncilagreementbutnotamemberofaunion,did

not enjoy a wage premium in 2005. Both the coefficients for the union membership

dummyandthebargainingcouncil/unionmemberdummyarepositiveandstatistically

significant. Union membership on its own is associated with an earnings premium of

about 17 percent. The coefficient for the bargaining council/union member dummy

translatesintoareturntoearningsofalmost16percent.

Theaimof includingtwodummiesfor theCSPSsectorwastocapturethe impactof

privatesectorandpublicsectoremploymentseparately. In2005,almost95percent

ofworkers in thepublicsectorwerecoveredbybargainingcouncilagreements.The

positive and significant coefficient for the CSPS public sector dummy does suggest

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thatbeingapublicsectorworker isassociatedwithanearningspremiumrelative to

a worker in the Manufacturing sector. It does not, however, sufficiently capture the

impactofpublicsectorbargainingcouncilmembership.Theaboveearningsequation

wasestimatedwith the twoCSPSdummies replacedbyasinglesectoraldummy,

and thedummies related tounionandbargainingcouncilmembership replacedby

twodummies, forprivatesectorbargainingcouncilmembershipandpublicsector

bargainingcouncilmembershiprespectively.Table12alsoshows theresultsof this

secondspecification.Themagnitudesandsignsof thecoefficients for thecontrol

variables are almost identical to those in the first specification. The estimated coefficient

for the CSPS dummy, however, is negative and significant, which was expected given

the results fromspecification (1).This implies that theaverageearningsofCSPS

workers lagged those found within Manufacturing. The coefficient for the private sector

bargainingdummy is insignificant,again implying that ifyouworked in theprivate

sector,membershipofabargainingcouncildidnotawardyouawagepremiumin2005.

Both the public sector dummy and the union dummy are positive and significant. This

meansthatpublicsectorworkersdidenjoyawagepremiumduetotheirmembershipof

thepublicsectorbargainingcouncils,ofabout28percent.Theunionwagepremiumfor

2005accordingtothisestimationisabout23percent.

Figure1presentsasummaryof thewagepremiaassociatedwith institutionalwage

formation in1995and2005. Itonlyshows thecoefficientswhichwerestatistically

significant. The union wage gap is significant in 1995 and for both specifications in

2005, with the size of the coefficient varying from 17 percent to 23 percent. This implies

that inbothyears,workersenjoyedawagepremiumassociatedwith their union

membership,irrespectiveofbargainingcouncilmembership.

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Figure 1: Mean Bargaining Council and Union Wage Premia, 1995 and 2005

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

BC_Union BC_Nonunion BC_Public Union

1995

2005 (1)

2005 (2)

Source: LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculations

In1995,workersnotbelongingtoaunionbutpartofabargainingcouncil,enjoyeda

wagepremiumofaboutsevenpercent.Inthatyear,unionmembershipincombination

with membership with a bargaining council did not yield any significant wage premium. A

decadelater,however,thebargainingcouncilsystemdidnotofferindividualswhowere

notunionisedanypremium. Incontrast,workerspartofbothaunionandbargaining

councilenjoyedawagepremiumofmore than15percent in2005.This resultwas

primarilydrivenbythefactthatallnon-managersinthepublicsectornowbelongedto

thepublicservicebargainingcouncils,withalargeshareoftheseindividualsunionised.

Theimpactofthisnewpublicservicebargainingcouncilsystemisillustratedevenmore

clearly by the results from the second specification. While system membership of a

privatesectorbargainingcouncildidnotyieldanypremium,membershipofthepublic

sectorbargainingcouncilswasassociatedwithawagepremiumof28percent.

The results from our multivariate analysis confirm the tentative conclusions from our

descriptiveoverview.Firstly, thewagepremiumassociatedwithunionmembership

remained strong between 1995 and 2005. Indeed, the estimates re-affirm many

previous union-wage premia derived in older datasets. They, therefore, confirm

thestrongeffectunionmembershipcontinues tohave inshapinganddetermining

meanwages intheSouthAfrican labourmarket. In turn,however,ourmorenuanced

representationof institutionalisedwage formationsuggests theBargainingCouncil

membershipwasalsocritical.Inparticular,itisevidentthatpublicemployeeswhowere

members of PSBC ensured a high and significant return to their earnings in 2005. The

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importanceofbothunionsandbargaincouncils indeterminingwages isclearwhen

weconsider thata jointpremiumofashighas51percentmaybepresent through

theseinstitutionsof the labourmarket,Finally, though,thisstrength inunionsandthe

PSBC,shouldnotmaskthefactthattheprivatesectorbargainingcouncilsystemhasin

contrastbeeninmarkeddeclineoverthe1995-2005period.

ResultsfromQuantileRegressions

Table13comparestheOLS(meanestimate)resultswith thoseat the10th,25th,50th,

75thand the90thpercentileof the logwagedistribution in1995.Thisallowsus to

evaluate the impactof theexplanatoryvariableson theearningsof formalsector

workersatthesepointsofthelogwagedistribution.

At all five points (and at the mean) of the earnings distribution being African, resulted

in lowerearnings relative to theother three racegroups.Themagnitudesof the

coefficients vary slightly across the quantiles, but at all points Whites enjoyed the largest

wagedifferential, followedbyAsiansandColoureds.Thenegativeandstatistically

significant coefficients for the female dummy suggest gender discrimination across the

wage distribution. The magnitude of these coefficients increases across the distribution,

implyingthattheearningsdifferentialbetweenmalesandfemales increasedathigher

pointsinthewagedistributionin1995.

Positivereturnstoeducationareevidentatallpercentilesunderconsideration.Living

inanurbanareaasopposed toa ruralareawasassociatedwithahigher levelof

earnings, but became less important as we moved towards the top of the wage

distribution.

Again,provincialdummieswere included in theequations,butarenotshownhere.

WorkerslivinginprovincesotherthanGautenggenerallyearnedlessacrossthewage

distribution. There are a few exceptions, with the coefficient of the dummy for KwaZulu-

Natal not significant at the 90th percentile, while the coefficients for the Limpopo dummy

are insignificant at the 25thandthe50th percentile. For Limpopo, the coefficients at the

75thandthe90th percentile are positive and significant; implying that these workers at

thetopofthewagedistributionearnedmorethantheircolleaguesinGauteng.

For Managers, Professionals and Clerks the coefficients are positive and significant

across thewagedistribution,with thedifferentials remainingrelativelystableacross

thedistribution.SkilledAgriculturalworkersenjoyedasteady increase in theirwages

relative toElementaryWorkers from the25thpercentileonwards.CraftandTrade

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workersexperiencedasimilartrend,withworkersatthe95th percentile benefiting from

amuchlargerdifferentialthanthoseatthebottom.OperatorsandAssemblersdidnot

seemuchvariationacrossthedifferentpointsofthewagedistribution,butearnedmore

thanElementaryworkersateverypercentileunderconsideration.Earningsbysector

variedsubstantiallyrelativetothereferentsector,Manufacturing,aswellasacrossthe

distributions in each sector. The coefficients for experience and experience squared

are very similar to the coefficients estimated at the mean at the different points of the

distribution.

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Table 13: Earnings Functions Estimates, 1995

Quantile ( ) =Dependent Variable:Log of monthly earnings OLS 0.10 0.25 0.5 0.75 0.9Coloured 0.196* 0.161* 0.173* 0.149* 0.185* 0.215*Asian 0.260* 0.272* 0.252* 0.224* 0.254* 0.282*White 0.556* 0.518* 0.527* 0.535* 0.579* 0.573*Female -0.230* -0.165* -0.182* -0.205* -0.233* -0.234*None to Incomplete GET(None - Grade 8) 0.038* 0.047* 0.046* 0.035* 0.033* 0.031*Complete GET(Grade 9 - 11) 0.097* 0.084* 0.081* 0.089* 0.100* 0.100*Matric (Grade 12) 0.190* 0.199* 0.178* 0.175* 0.174* 0.194*Diploma 0.153* 0.089** 0.121* 0.168* 0.169* 0.152*Degree 0.117* 0.090* 0.116* 0.115* 0.140* 0.196*Urban 0.132* 0.169* 0.146* 0.131* 0.108* 0.086*Managers 0.726* 0.654* 0.704* 0.705* 0.771* 0.749*Professionals 0.537* 0.546* 0.564* 0.525* 0.557* 0.554*Clerks 0.277* 0.305* 0.299* 0.279* 0.267* 0.266*Service Workers 0.175* 0.091* 0.139* 0.187* 0.244* 0.281*Skilled Agricultural 0.473* -0.027 0.385* 0.574* 0.679* 0.705*Craft & Trade Workers 0.250* 0.216* 0.255* 0.252* 0.289* 0.362*Operators & Assemblers 0.170* 0.190* 0.171* 0.159* 0.165* 0.196*Agriculture -0.697* -0.661* -0.751* -0.771* -0.752* -0.654*Mining -0.005 -0.034 -0.046 -0.038 -0.073* -0.038Utilities 0.157* 0.157** 0.206* 0.157* 0.089 0.115Construction -0.149* -0.170* -0.196* -0.188* -0.155* -0.139*Wholesale & Retail Trade -0.167* -0.133* -0.164* -0.188* -0.201* -0.173*Transport 0.071* 0.173* 0.101* 0.030 0.004 -0.002Finance 0.003 0.062 0.017 -0.013 -0.037 -0.023CSPS 0.021 0.091* 0.035 0.000 -0.049** -0.068*Private Households -0.712* -0.752* -0.827* -0.785* -0.697* -0.551*Experience 0.034* 0.032* 0.032* 0.032* 0.033* 0.036*Experience squared -0.001* 0.000* 0.000* 0.000* 0.000* 0.000*Log of hours (per month) 0.133* 0.243* 0.155* 0.093* 0.079* 0.049**BC/union member 0.024 0.061 0.030 0.027 -0.022 -0.016BC/non-union member 0.069* 0.061 0.043** 0.055* 0.059* 0.067**Union 0.196* 0.301* 0.240* 0.166* 0.144* 0.091*Emp_lambda -0.115* -0.320* -0.269* -0.208* -0.035 -0.037Constant 5.374* 4.179* 5.036* 5.762* 6.032* 6.419*Number Observed 24479 24479 24479 24479 24479 24479Pseudo R2 0.652 0.4322 0.4543 0.4401 0.4273 0.4026

Source: OHS1995(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculationsNotes: * Significant at the one percent level ** Significant at the five percent level Other and unspecified categories were omitted from the table

Turning to the coefficients of the dummies that capture bargaining council and union

membership, the coefficient of the dummy presenting bargaining council membership

togetherwithunionmembership remain insignificantacross thedistribution.This

means thatmembershipofbothabargainingcouncilandaunionat thesametime

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didnothaveany impactona formallyemployedworker’searningsatanypointof

thewagedistribution in1995.Thecoefficientof thedummycapturingbargaining

council membership without union membership is not statistically significant at the

10th percentile. It is, however significant at the 25th,50th,75thand90thpercentile,with

themagnitude increasing towards the topof thedistribution.This implies thatat the

very bottom of the wage distribution, workers did not benefit from being a member

ofabargainingcouncil in1995.Thus, thebargainingcouncilpremiumfornon-union

members is significant for most of the wage distribution and, notably, remains so even

atthe90th percentile. Hence, while the OLS estimates confirmed a significant bargaining

council/non-union impactat themean,wesuggesthere that this impactholds true

acrosstheentirewagedistribution,barringthose individualsat the10thpercentile. In

addition, the coefficients of the union membership dummy are positive and significant

across the entire distribution. The fact that the size of the coefficients decline across the

wagedistributionsuggests,aswouldbeexpected,thatthemagnitudeofthepremiain

1995washighestamongstthoseworkersinthebottomhalfofthewagedistribution.

Given the focus of the paper, the derived coefficients (if statistically significant) for the

bargainingcouncil/union,bargainingcouncil/non-unionandunionvariablesatdifferent

points in thewagedistribution in1995areshown inFigure2. Inaddition,wealso

display the mean OLS estimates. In all cases these OLS coefficients are presented

by the relevant horizontal lines. The coefficient for bargaining council membership in

combination with union membership is insignificant at all points of the wage distribution,

andatthemeanasdiscussedaboveandarethereforenotincludedinFigure2.

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Figure 2: Estimates of Bargaining Council and Union Membership Impact on Earnings by

Percentiles, 1995-0.100.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

Coefficient

0 .05 .1 .15 .2 .25 .3 .35 .4 .45 .5 .55 .6 .65 .7 .75 .8 .85 .9 .95Logwage percentile

bc_nonunion bc_nonunion meanunion union mean

Source: OHS1995(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculations

The coefficient on bargaining council-nonunion is significant at the mean, but not at the

verybottom(5thand10thpercentile)orattheverytop(95thpercentile)ofthedistribution.

This impliesthatbelongingtoabargainingcouncildidnothaveany impactonthese

workers’earnings.Thecoefficientsaresignificanteitherat theonepercentor the

five percent level for the remaining points of the wage distribution. Note, however,

that thisbargainingcouncilpremiumisrelativelystableacrosstheentiredistribution,

varyingbetweenfourpercentandeightpercentsuggesting, therefore, that the impact

ofbargainingcouncilmembershipwasdistribution-neutral.

The coefficients for thedummy representingunionmembershiparepositiveand

statistically significant across the distribution with the exception of the 95thpercentile.

The estimated coefficients indicate, of course, that union members earned more that

theirnon-unionisedcounterparts.Inaddition,thedownwardtrendimpliesthatin1995,

relatively low-earning(anddisproportionatelyunskilled)workersat thebottomendof

the distribution benefited more from belonging to a union than better-earning, higher

skilledworkers.

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Table14compares theOLS resultswith thoseat the10th,25th,50th,75thand the

90thpercentileof the logwagedistribution in2005.The threedummiescapturing

institutionalised wage formation are private sector bargaining council member;

publicsectorbargainingcouncilmemberandunionmember,which isourpreferred

specification (2) from Table 12. The results are very similar to those estimated in 1995.

OnemaindifferenceisthattheWhitewagepremiumhasdeclinedatthatbottomofthe

distribution,withAsiansactuallyearningmorethanWhitesrelative toAfricansat the

10thpercentile.Again,femaleswerelikelytoearnlessthantheirmalecolleagues,butin

comparisonwith1995thedifferentialhasdeclinedattheverytopofthedistribution.

Higherearningswere,asexpected,associatedwithahigherlevelofeducationacross

thewagedistribution in2005.Living inametroareaasopposedtoanon-metroarea

wasassociatedwithhigherearnings.Thispremiumdeclinedoverthedistributionand

is not significant at the very top of the distribution. The results by provinces are not

displayed inTable14.With theexceptionof theWesternCapeat the10th,25th,50th

and90thpercentile,andtheEasternCapeat the10th percentile, all coefficients for all

provinces are negative and statistically significant, meaning that workers living outside

Gautengearnedlessthanthosethatresidedintheprovince.

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Table 14: Earnings Function Estimates, 2005

Source: LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculationsNotes: * Significant at the one percent level ** Significant at the five percent level Other and unspecified categories were omitted from the table

As in 1995, the coefficients for the Managers, Professionals and Clerks are positive

and significant across the distribution, with the magnitudes relatively stable. This means

that,asexpected,workers in theseoccupationgroupsearnedmorethatElementary

Workers across the distribution. The coefficient of the dummy for Service Workers only

becomes significant at the 50th percentile. The positive coefficients at the 50th,75thand

90thpercentilemeanthatServiceWorkersinthetophalfofthewagedistributionearned

more than Elementary Workers. The coefficient for agricultural workers is not significant

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at the10th percentile. It becomes significant at the 25thpercentileandthemagnitude

increasesacrossthedistribution.WiththeexceptionofCraftandTradeworkersatthe

10thpercentile,workers fromthisoccupationgroupandOperatorsandAssemblers

acrossthedistributionearnedmorethanElementaryWorkersin2005.

The coefficients of the dummies that capture private sector bargaining council

membership are statistically insignificant at all estimated percentiles of the distribution.

In other words, workers in the private sector did not enjoy any wage premium

associated with membership of private sector bargaining council in 2005, thus,

reinforcing the OLS estimate. The coefficients for the public sector bargaining council

membership are positive and significant across the wage distribution. The size of the

coefficient increases slightly from the 10thtothe25thpercentile,beforedecliningtowards

thetopof thedistribution.Again, thissuggests thatworkers in thebottomhalfof the

distribution benefited more from being covered by public sector bargaining council wage

agreements. The coefficients of the union membership dummy are also again positive

and significant across the wage distribution. As expected the magnitude of coefficients

declinesacross thedistribution,capturing the relativelyhigherunionwagepremia

enjoyedbyworkersinthebottomhalfofthedistribution.Theresultatthe10thpercentile

isvery interesting,withtheunionwagepremiuminfactexceedingthewagepremium

associatedwithpublicsectorbargainingcouncilmembership.

Figure3graphicallypresentstheimpactofinstitutionalwageformationacrossthewage

distributionin2005.

The coefficient for the private bargaining council dummy is statistically insignificant at

themeanaswellasacrossthewagedistribution,withthenotableexception(although

notshowninTable14)ofthe5th percentile. The fact that the coefficient is significant at

the5th percentile implies that the only workers in the private sector who benefited from

belonging toabargainingcouncil in2005were thoseat theverybottomendof the

distribution.Closer inspectionof thedatareveals theseworkerswerepredominantly

OperatorsandAssemblersintheClothingsector,semi-andunskilledworkersbelonging

totheMetalandEngineeringBargainingCouncilaswellassemi-andunskilledworkers

inthemotorindustry.

Thesituationlookscompletelydifferentforpublicsectoremployeeswhoweremembers

of the nascent public service bargaining councils. The coefficient for the dummy is, thus,

positive and significant at the mean as well as at all points in the earnings distribution.

In2005,membershipofapublicservicebargainingcouncilofferedawagepremiumof

between18percentand34percent.Thispublicservicebargainingcouncilwagegap

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increasedfromthe5thpercentile to the35thpercentile,beforedecliningto the lowest

pointatthe95thpercentile(apartfromaspikearoundthe60thand65thpercentile).

Figure 3: Estimates of Bargaining Council and Union Membership Impact on Earnings by

Percentiles, 2005

-0.0

50

.05

0.1

50

.25

0.3

5C

oe

ffici

ent

0 .05 .1 .15 .2 .25 .3 .35 .4 .45 .5 .55 .6 .65 .7 .75 .8 .85 .9 .95Logwage percentile

bc_pub bc_pub_mean

union union_mean

Source: LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculations

Similar to thepreviousgraph, thecoefficient for theunionmembershipdummy is

positive and statistically significant at the mean as well as across the distribution. The

unionwagepremiumdeclinedacross thewagedistribution;with thewagegap for

unionisedworkersatthe5thpercentilealmostdoublethegapfortheunionisedworkers

attheverytopofthedistribution.

It is important tonote in1995,thevaluesof theunionwagepremiawerehigherthan

thebargainingcouncilwagepremiaatallpointsof thewagedistribution.This isno

longerthecasein2005,asillustratedabove.Atthe20th,25th,35thand40thpercentiles

aswellasfromthe60thpercentileonwards,thepublicsectorbargainingcouncilwage

premia is, in fact,higher than theunionwagepremia.Thisrepresentsanadditional

featureofour institutionalised industrialsystem,namely thatnotonlyhastherebeen

theestablishmentofahighlyorganisedpublicsectorbargainingcouncilsystem, this

newlabourmarket institutionhasalsocrucially,beenable toextractreturnsfor their

workersashigh,orinsomecaseshigher,thanthosewhoaremembersofaunion.This

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isdistinctlyanewfeatureintoourunderstandingofwagelevels,wageformationofthe

roleof labourmarketsintheformer.TheriseofthePSBCsystemmust,therefore,be

notedasadistinctlynewdevelopmentinourunderstandingofthepost-apartheid labour

marketinSouthAfrica.

DeterminantsofWageInequality:Inter-QuantileRegressionEstimates

Forbothyears,weestimatedtheimpactoftheexplanatoryvariablesonthedifferences

in earnings, specifically between the 90thandthe10thpercentiles,the90thandthe50th

percentiles and finally the 50thand the10thpercentiles,basedonequation(3).The

resultsfor1995canbefoundinAppendixI,withthosefor2005inAppendixJ.

Weareparticularly interested in the impactofwagesetting inbargainingcouncils

andunionsontheearningsinequality.Thismayprovidesomeevidenceontheextent

towhich institutionalwage formationcontributes to the increaseordecline inwage

inequality. The coefficients for the dummy representing membership of a bargaining

council only are insignificant for all three inter-quantile estimates in 1995. This means

that in1995wageagreementsnegotiated inbargainingcouncilsdidnotcontribute

to altering earnings inequality between the 90th-10th, 90th- 50th and the 50th-10th

percentiles. This means that there is no significant difference in the wage premium

associatedwithanon-unionbargainingcouncilmemberat thechosen interquantiles.

This is consistent with the fact that at the quantiles, the coefficients did not vary much

fromeachotherandfromthemean.

The coefficient for the dummy capturing bargaining council – union membership is

significant (at the five percent level) only for the 90th-10thpercentiledifference.This

result is interesting because the coefficient was insignificant at the mean (as estimated

bytheOLSregression)andatallpointsof thewagedistribution. Itdoessuggestthat

bargainingcouncilmembership in tandemwithunionmembershipmayhaveserved

tonarrowthewagegapbetweentheworkersattheverybottomandatthetopofthe

distribution.

Theunioncoefficient issignificantat theonepercent level forall threepercentile

differentials.Thenegativecoefficient implies that in1995,membershipofaunion

reduced wage inequality between the 90th and 10th percentile, the 90th and 50th

percentileaswellas the50thand10thpercentile.The impactwas largest for the50th

to10thpercentile, implying thatunionmembershipservedmostly to reducewage

inequalityinthebottomhalfofthewagedistribution.Theresults,though,reinforcethe

importanceofunionmembershiptonotonlyincreasewagepremiatoworkers,butalso

asacontributiontodecreasingwageinequality.

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DPRU Working Paper 09/135 Haroon Bhorat, Carlene van der Westhuizen & Sumayya Goga

In 2005, the coefficient for union membership is again significant (at the five percent

level) for all three percentile differentials. The coefficient is largest for the 50th-10th

percentile,againshowingthat thereduction inoverallwage inequalitywasdrivenby

thereduction inwage inequality in thebottomhalfof thedistribution.Thedummies

representingmembershipofaprivateandpublicsectorbargainingcouncilwereboth

statistically significant only for the 90th-50thpercentiledifference.Thismeans that

membershipofanybargainingcouncildecreasedwageinequalityinthetophalfofthe

wagedistribution.

Ultimatelythen,inbothyearsunionmembershipnotonlyawardedwagepremiaacross

thewagedistribution, italsoservedtoreducewage inequalityandparticularlyso in

thebottomhalfof thewagedistribution. In1995, (privatesector)bargainingcouncil

membershipawardedarelativelystablepremiumtoallwageearners,withno impact

onwage inequality. In2005,onlymembershipofapublicsectorbargainingcouncil

awarded a wage premium, with no wage benefits associated with being a member of a

privatesectorbargainingcouncil.Interestingly,bothprivateandpublicsectorbargaining

councilmembershipservedtoreduceinequalityinthetophalfofthewagedistribution.

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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

6. Conclusion

Themainobjectiveofthispaperwastoestimatethewagepremium(ifany)associated

withindustrialorbargainingcouncilmembershipintheSouthAfricanlabourmarket.As

thiswasdoneforboth1995and2005,italsoenabledustocommentonthechanging

patternsofinstitutionalisedwageformationinthepost-apartheidSouthAfrica.

Thedescriptiveoverviewshowed thatonlyabout15percentof formallyemployed

workers were members of bargaining councils in 1995. Although, this figure had doubled

to32percent in2005, thisstillmeant that lessthanathirdof theformallyemployed

werecoveredbybargainingcouncils.Closer inspectionof the increase inbargaining

councilmembershipbetween1995and2005 revealed that iswasalmostentirely

drivenby the rapid rise in thebargainingcouncilsystem for thepublicsector.The

establishmentof thePrivateSectorCo-ordinatingBargainingCouncil(PSCBC)meant

thatallnon-managers(andevensomelevelsofmanagement)inthepublicsectorwere

coveredbywageagreementsconcludedinthePSCBC.Intheprivatesector,however,

bargainingcouncilshaveatbeststagnatedandatworsedeclinedbetween1995and

2005.Despiteaggregateemploymentgrowth insectorssuchasConstructionand

Trade,bargainingcouncilmembershiphasnotexpandedaccordingly.Theonlynotable

growth inbargainingcouncilcoveragewas in theStateOwnedEnterprise-related

sectors.Overall, thenumberofprivatesectorworkerscoveredbybargainingcouncil

agreementsremainedrelativelystableataroundonemillion.Simplyput,bargaining

council membership in the first decade of democracy is characterised by an erosion of

privatesectorbargainingcouncilmembershipontheonehandandtherapidriseofthis

systemofbargaininginthepublicsector.

At first glance, there did not appear to have been any significant remunerative

advantageassociatedwithbargainingcouncilmembership ineither1995or2005.

Closer inspection of the mean earnings of bargaining council members in 2005,

however, revealed significant premia associated with membership of the PSCBC. At the

aggregate level,publicsectorbargainingcouncilmembersnotonlyearnedmorethan

theprivatesectorbargainingcouncilmembers,butalsoonaveragemorethanworkers

outsidethebargainingcouncilsystem.Thistrendwasobservedformalesandfemales,

AfricanandColouredworkers,aswellaswhencontrollingforoccupations.

Ourmultivariateanalysis, in turn,allowedus to isolate thespecific impactof the

membershipofabargainingcouncil,unionorbothonearnings.

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DPRU Working Paper 09/135 Haroon Bhorat, Carlene van der Westhuizen & Sumayya Goga

The results from this analysis confirmed the tentative conclusions from the descriptive

overview.Hence, in1995,workers in thebargainingcouncil-nonunioncohortonly

enjoyedasmallwagepremium relative toworkerswhowerenotcoveredbyany

institutionalwageagreement.Workers in theunion-bargainingcouncilcohortdidnot

enjoy any significant benefit in terms of average earnings. The establishment of the

PSCBC, however, resulted in significant wage premia being associated with public

sector bargaining councilmembership in2005.Thedeclineof theprivate sector

bargainingcouncilsystem, in turn, resulted in themembershipof thesecouncilsnot

offeringanywagepremiumto theirmemberswhowerenotunionised–acontrast

fromadecadeearlier.Workerswhobelongedtobothaunionandbargainingcouncil

in2005did,however,enjoyawagepremia.Thewagepremiumassociatedwithunion

membership,however,remainsverystrongbetween1995and2005.

Wealsoestimatedtheimpactofbargainingcouncilandunionmembershipatdifferent

pointsof thewagedistributionsaswellas their impactondifferences inearnings. In

1995and2005,unionmembershipnotonlyawardedwagepremiaacross thewage

distribution, italsoservedtoreducedwage inequality(byreducingthedifferences in

earnings)andparticularlysoatthebottomhalfofthewagedistribution.Privatesector

bargainingcouncilmembershipawardedarelativelystablepremiumtoallwageearners

in1995,withnoimpactonwageinequality.In2005,onlymembershipofapublicsector

bargaining council awarded a wage premium, with no wage benefits associated with

beingamemberofaprivatesectorbargainingcouncil. Interestingly,bothprivateand

publicsectorbargainingcouncilmembershipservedtoreduceinequalityinthetophalf

ofthewagedistributionin2005.

Theabove, therefore,hasattemptedadetailedoverviewof thenatureof thewage

formationanddetermination in theSouthAfrican labourmarket. It isclear that,while

theroleof tradeunions ismadeplainand isevident– theoftenunder-appreciated

importanceofbargainingcouncils inthisarenahasbeenanalysedindetail. Indeed,it

couldbearguedthatanydebateandtheregulatoryregimeinSouthAfricashouldnot

andcannotignorethecentralityofbargainingcouncilstoresolvingandunderstanding

manyofthesevexedissues.

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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

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Appendix A: List of Industrial Councils - 1995

IndustrialCouncilfortheCinematographandTheatreIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheDiamondCuttingIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheIron,Steel,EngineeringandMetallurgicalIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheLeatherIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheMotorIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheTextileManufacturingIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(EastLondon)

IndustrialCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(EasternCape)

IndustrialCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(Kimberley)

IndustrialCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(Kroonstad)

IndustrialCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(PMBandNorthernAreas)

IndustrialCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(PortNatal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(WesternProvince)

IndustrialCouncilfortheBuildingandMonumentalMasonryIndustry(Bloemfontein)

IndustrialCouncilfortheBuildingandMonumentalMasonryIndustry(Transvaal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheClothingIndustry(Cape)

IndustrialCouncilfortheClothingIndustry(EasternProvince)

IndustrialCouncilfortheClothingIndustry(Natal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheClothingIndustry(OrangeFreeStateandNorthernCape)

IndustrialCouncilfortheKnittingIndustry(Transvaal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheElectricalContractingandServicingIndustry(Cape)

IndustrialCouncilfortheElectricalContractingIndustry(Transvaal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheElectricalIndustry(EastLondon)

IndustrialCouncilfortheElectricalIndustry–ElectricalContractingSection(Natal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheFurnitureManufacturingIndustry(Border)

IndustrialCouncilfortheFurnitureManufacturingIndustry(EasternCapeProvince)

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IndustrialCouncilfortheFurnitureManufacturingIndustry(Natal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheFurnitureManufacturingIndustry(OrangeFreeState)

IndustrialCouncilfortheFurnitureManufacturingIndustry(SouthWesternDistricts)

IndustrialCouncilfortheFurnitureManufacturingIndustry(WesternCape)

IndustrialCouncilfortheFurnitureandBeddingManufacturingIndustry(Transvaal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheHairdressingTrade(Border)

IndustrialCouncilfortheHairdressingTrade(CapePeninsula)

IndustrialCouncilfortheHairdressingTrade(Natal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheHairdressingsTrade(Pretoria)

IndustrialCouncilfortheHairdressingTrade(PortElizabeth)

IndustrialCouncilfortheHairdressingTrade(SouthernandWesternTransvaal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheLaundry,CleaningandDyeingIndustry(Cape)

IndustrialCouncilfortheLaundry,CleaningandDyeingIndustry(Natal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheLaundry,CleaningandDyeingIndustry(Transvaal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheLiquorandCateringTrade(Cape)

IndustrialCouncilfortheLiquorandCateringTrade(SouthCoast,Natal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheLiquor,CateringandAccommodationTrade(Border)

IndustrialCouncilfortheMotorTransportUndertaking(Goods)

IndustrialCouncilfortheGrainCo-operativeTrade

IndustrialCouncilfortheContractCleaningIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheCanvasandRopemakingIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheCanvasGoodsIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheChemicalIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheCommercialDistributiveTrade

IndustrialCouncilfortheJewelleryandPreciousMetalIndustry

IndustrialCouncilfortheMeatTrade(Wholesale&Retail–EastLondon)

IndustrialCouncilfortheMillineryIndustry(Cape)

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IndustrialCouncilfortheMillineryIndustry(Transvaal)

IndustrialCouncilfortheNewTyreManufacturingIndustry

IndustrialCouncilforthePassengerTransportationTrade

IndustrialCouncilfortheRetailMeatTrade(Witwatersrand)

IndustrialCouncilfortheRetailMeatTrade(Pretoria)

IndustrialCouncilfortheRoadPassengerTransportIndustry(PE)

IndustrialCouncilfortheTearoom,Restaurant,andCateringTrade(Pretoria)

IndustrialCouncilfortheTearoom,RestaurantandCateringTrade(Witwatersrand)

IndustrialCouncilfortheWorstedTextileManufacturingIndustry

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Appendix B: List of Bargaining Councils - 2005

BargainingCouncilfortheFishingIndustry

BargainingCouncilfortheCanvasGoodIndustry(WitwatersrandandPretoria)

BargainingCouncilForTheCanvas&RopeworkingIndustry(Cape)

NationalBargainingCouncilfortheChemicalIndustry

NationalBargainingCouncilfortheClothingManufacturingIndustry

DiamondCuttingIndustryofSABargainingCouncil

FurnitureManufacturingIndustryBC(EC)

FurnitureManufacturingIndustryBC(FS)

Furniture Manufacturing Industry BC (KZN)

FurnitureManufacturingIndustryBC(SouthWesternDistricts)

FurnitureManufacturingIndustryBC(WC)

FurnitureIndustryBargainingCouncil(NorthernRegion)

GrainCooperativeIndustryBargainingCouncil(Nat)

JewelleryandPreciousMetalIndustryBC(Cape)

NationalBargainingCouncilfortheLeatherIndustry

MetalandEngineeringIndustriesBargainingCouncil

BargainingCouncilfortheNewTyreManufacturingIndustry

National Bargaining Council for the Sugar Manufacturing and Refining Industry

NationalTextileBargainingCouncil

BargainingCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(Boland)

BargainingCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(Southern&EasternCape)

BargainingCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(CapeofGoodHope)

BargainingCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(Bloemfontein)

BargainingCouncilfortheBuildingIndustry(Kimberley)

NationalBargainingCouncilfortheElectricalIndustry

CommercialDistributiveTradeBargainingCouncilKimberley

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BargainingCouncilfortheMeatTrade,Gauteng

MotorIndustryBargainingCouncil

BargainingCouncilfortheTearoom,RestaurantandCateringTradePretoria

BargainingCouncilfortheRestaurant,CateringandAlliedTrades

MotorFerryIndustryBargainingCouncilofSA

NationalBargainingCouncilfortheRoadFreightIndustry

SouthAfricanRoadPassengerBargainingCouncil

BargainingCouncilfortheContractCleaningIndustry(Natal)

BargainingCouncilfortheEntertainmentIndustryofSA

HairdressingandCosmetologyServicesBargainingCouncil(Semi-National)

BargainingCouncilfortheHairdressingandCosmetologyServices(Pretoria)

HairdressingTradeBargainingCouncil(CapePeninsula)

Hairdressing and Cosmetology Bargaining Council (KZN)

BargainingCouncilfortheLaundry,CleaningandDyeingIndustry(Cape)

Bargaining Council for the Laundry, Cleaning and Dyeing Industry (KZN)

TransnetBargainingCouncil(Nat)

PublicServiceCoordinatingBargainingCouncil(Nat)

GeneralPublicServiceSectorBargainingCouncil(Nat)

PublicHealthandWelfareSectoralBargainingCouncil(Nat)

SafetyandSecuritySectoralBargainingCouncil(Nat)

EducationLabourRelationsCouncil(National)

SouthAfricanLocalGovernmentBargainingCouncil

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C: Technical Notes: Creation of IC Coverage for 1995

CoveragewasconstructedusingtheIndustrialCouncilDigestandtheOHS.Someof

theassumptionsarenotedbelow:

Areas/Districts

The Digest identified areas which were covered in 1992. Some provinces / areas were

sincerenamed.Thefollowingaresomeofthedistricts/areasusedtomatchthetwo.

TheWitwatersrandwasassumedtobewhatisnowcalledtheGautengprovince.

CapePeninsulawasassumedtobethefollowingdistricts:

Bellville

Goodwood

CapeTown

Kuilsrivier

MitchellsPlain

SomersetWest

Strand

Wynberg

TheBolandincludedthefollowingdistricts:

Ceres

Hopefield

Montagu

Mooreesberg

Piketberg

Robertson

Swellendam

Tulbagh

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Vredenberg

Worcestor

Paarl

Stellenbosch

Wellington

TheTransvaalincludeswhatisnowcalledtheNorth-West,Gauteng,Mpumalanga,and

NorthernProvince.

Agreements

TheGrainCo-operativewasonlyregisteredin1990,butithadunpublishedagreements.

TheContractCleaningIndustrywasregistered inApril1992.Thesewere included in

theanalysis,withtheassumptionthattheyhadagreementsby1995.

Councils

• Sincetheindustryandoccupationcodesforclothingandtextilesarethesame,

inpracticetheyactuallycoverthesameworkers.

• Wheredifferent industrialcouncilsexistedfordifferentareas, theworkerswere

aggregatedintoasingle‘council’.Thisistrueforthebuilding,clothing,electrical,

furniture,hairdressing, laundrycleaninganddyeing,and liquorandcatering

industrial councils.The millinery as well as worsted textile manufacturing

industrialcouncilswereincludedundertextiles.

Scope

ThescopefromtheDigestwasusedto identifyoccupationsandsectors.Thesewere

notexplicitlystated,thereforetherecouldbeadegreeofmismatch.

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Appendix D: Technical Notes: Creation of BC Coverage 2005

FishingIndustryBargainingCouncil

• Wagesofskipper (fisherman)notprescribed in theBCAgreementand this

occupationgroupisthereforenotincludedintheestimatedcoverage

• Only91workersestimatedtobecoveredbytheBCagreementinthe2005LFS,

which is a significant underestimation

BargainingCouncilsfortheCanvasGoodsIndustry

• NoinformationcouldbeobtainedontheCapeCanvasGoods&Ropeworking

IndustryBargainingCouncilanditwasthereforenotincludedintheanalysis

• Matching the information from theGovernmentGazetteNoticeon themain

agreement for theCanvasGoodsIndustry(WitwatersrandandPretoria) to the

LFS was unsuccessful and no workers were identified in the LFS as possibly

belongingtotheBC

ChemicalIndustry

• Separateagreementsexistsforthesub-sectors

• It was difficult to get sufficient occupational information from these agreements

and it was predominantly operators and assemblers that could be identified in

theLFS

• Inaddition,labourers(manufacturing)werealsoincludedinthecoverage

NationalBargainingCouncilfortheClothingIndustry

• Individual provisions have been made for different parts of the country

(corresponding to the “old” regional bargaining councils), but for the purposes of

theanalysis,country-widecoveragewasassumed

• Itwasassumed that thesameoccupationsarecovered inall the individual

provisions

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NationalBargainingCouncilfortheDiamondCuttingIndustry

• TheGovernmentGazettefrom1999wasusedtocalculatedcoverageintermsof

occupationgroups.IntheGovernmentGazettetheindustryactivitywasreferred

toasthecuttingofgemdiamonds.Industrialdiamondcuttingwasthereforenot

includedintheestimateofthecoverage.

FurnitureManufacturingIndustry

• Thefurnituremanufacturingindustrywascoveredbysixregionalcouncils

• InthemainagreementfortheEasternCapecouncil,nooccupationinformation

wasprovided,and itwasdecidedtoonly includetradeworkersandoperators

thatarerelatedtofurnituremanufacturing.

• For theFreeState, themostrecent informationwasfrom2000,andthiswas

usedtocalculatecoverage

• Therewasnooccupation information in theagreement for theSouthWestern

Districts–thesameoccupationcodeswasusedasfortheEasternCape

• There was also no occupation information in the Western Cape and the KwaZulu

Natalagreements.AgainthesamecodesasfortheEasternCapewereused

• FortheNorthernRegion,occupation informationfromtheGovernmentGazette

wasused–whichwasthesameasthatfortheFreeState

GrainCooperativeIndustryBargainingCouncil

• TheAwarddatabasewastheonlysourceforoccupationinformation–according

tothisonlyunskilledworkersarecoveredbytheagreement,theseworkerswere,

however,allcodedasinformalsectoremployees,thereforenoworkerscovered

bythiscouncilcouldbeestimatedusingtheLFS

JewelleryandPreciousMetalIndustry(Cape)

• Aftermatchingaccordingtoindustry,occupationcodeandarea,onlyelementary

workers were identified in the LFS

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NationalBargainingCounciloftheLeatherIndustryofSA

• For the footwear section, the LFS occupation codes were matched to the

occupationslistedinthegazettedmainagreement

• The tanningsectionand thegeneralgoodsandhandbagssection fallunder

thesameindustrycodeintheLFS,thereforethesetwosectionsweregrouped

together and the job descriptions from both the agreements were used to

estimatecoverage

MetalandEngineeringIndustriesBargainingCouncil

• MainsourceofoccupationalinformationwastheConsolidatedMainAgreement

aswellastheGovernmentGazette

• Therewillbeoverestimationofcoverageas it is impossibletoextract thesub-

sectorsnotcoveredbytheagreements(seeGGforsubsectorscovered)

• Inadditioncertainsub-sectorswereexcludedbyregion–itwasalsoimpossible

toisolatetheseintheLFS

• Themanufacturingofbasicironandsteelwasexcluded–aspertheGovernment

Gazette

• Themanufacturingofagriculturalimplementswasalsoexcludedasitisgrouped

togetherwitharangeofunrelatedactivitiesintheLFS.

NewTyreManufacturing

• Noagreementhasbeenpublishedforthisbargainingcouncil

• TheAwarddatabaseonly listed labourerandmachineoperatorasoccupations

covered

• Only machine operator – tyre production was identified in the LFS

Sugar Manufacturing and Refining Industry

• Norecentlypublishedinformation

• Only machine operator, refining sugar was included

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NationalTextileManufacturingBargainingCouncil

• Thisbargainingcouncilwasregistered inJanuary2004afteranamalgamation

of theSACarpetManufacturing IndustryBC,SACottonTextileProcessing&

ManufacturingBC,SAManufacturedFibresBC,NationalBC for theTextile

Manufacturing Industryof theRSA,BCfor theWorstedTextileManufacturing

Industry,SAWool&MohairBC

• Transitional Agreement was used to obtain industry coverage and the

GovernmentGazettewasusedforoccupationinformation

BuildingIndustry

• Separateagreementsbyregion

• Boland:GovernmentGazetteforoccupationinformation

• Bloemfontein:NooccupationinformationinGovernmentGazette–samecodes

usedasforBoland

• CapeofGoodHope:NooccupationinformationinGovernmentGazette–same

codesusedasforBoland

• Kimberly:LimitedoccupationinformationinGovernmentGazette–samecodes

usedasforBoland

• South/EasternCape;Nomainagreementsince2001,butstillactiveaccording

toGodfreyetal. (2006).Voluntarybargainingdoestakeplacebetweencertain

unionsandemployerswithemployersoutside thesegroups implementing the

sameincreases.Samecodesasforabovewereused

ElectricalIndustry

• Coveredinbothtradeandconstructionsub-sectors

MotorIndustryBargainingCouncil

• Occupation and industry coverage from Government Gazette and from

agreementavailableonBCwebsite

• Itshouldbenoted that therealsoexistsaNationalBargainingForumfor the

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automobilemanufacturing industry,whichcoversthesevenOriginalEquipment

Manufacturers(Toyota,VWSA,GeneralMotors,Nissan,BMW,FordandDaimler

Chrysler)(Godfrey,2007:56).Someof theemployeesof thesecompaniesmay

havebeen included inourcoverageas it is impossible to identify themin the

LFS.Thenumberofemployeesthatarelistedundermotorvehiclemanufacturing

in our estimated coverage is only about 13 000 (about five percent of the

bargainingcouncil’stotalestimatedcoverage).

Restaurant&Catering&AlliedTrades

• Managers(retailshop)arecoveredbytheagreementpublishedinGovernment

Gazette

Tearoom,Restaurant&Catering,Pretoria

• Caterersarecoveredbytheagreementand in theLFS,acaterer iscodedas

Manager

MotorFerryIndustry

• Nooccupation informationcontained in theGovernmentGazette,butsome in

theAwarddatabase

• ThemotorferryindustryfallsunderthesameindustrycodeastheRoadFreight

Industry (seebelow)andhas thesameoccupationcodes– toavoiddouble-

countingitwasdecidedtoonlyincludetheRoadFreightIndustryBC

RoadFreightIndustry

• Includesworkersinthemotorferryindustry

• The relevant industry code in theLFS includesa rangeof otheractivities,

meaning that the coverage of the BC is significantly overestimated.

SARoadPassengerBC

• Very little informationavailable–onlybusdrivers included in theestimated

coverage

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Transnet

• NoextensionpublishedinaGovernmentGazetteasitonlycoversonecompany,

namelyTransnet

• Assumedthatallnon-managersinthepublicenterprisesintherelevanttransport

sectorsarecoveredbytheagreement

• Transnetismadeupofseveralbusinessunits–forsomeoftheseunitsnopublic

enterpriseworkerswerecodedintheLFSundertheapplicable industrycodes

(egPetronet,Transworks,Propnet)

• Sotheremaybeunderestimation

ContractCleaning(Natal)

• Nooccupation information in theGovernmentGazette–onlycleanerswere

includedintheestimatedcoverage

Entertainmentindustry

• Agreementshaveonlybeenpublishedfor theatricalproductions,videoindustry

&duplicationindustry,andthedistributionandduplicationindustry

• Somemanagersandprofessionalsareincludedhere

HairdressingandCosmetology

• Four BCs in this industry (Semi-national, Pretoria, Cape Peninsula, KwaZulu-

Natal)

• NoGovernmentGazettecouldbe found for theCapePeninsulaBC,but the

sameoccupationcodeswereusedtoestimatecoverageforallfourcouncils

Laundry,Cleaning&Dyeing

• Two bargaining councils (Cape & KwaZulu Natal) with slightly different

occupationscovered

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PublicSectorBargainingCouncils

• FortheLocalGovernmentBargainingCouncilallnon-managers(asstatedinthe

GovernmentGazette)wasassumedtobecoveredbytheBC

• ForNationalandProvincialGovernmentallnon-managerswereassumed to

becovered,as it is impossibletoseparatetheseniormanagement fromthose

managerscoveredbytheBCagreement

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Appendix E: Estimated Industrial Council Coverage in the 1995 OHS

IndustrialCouncil/Industry Number Percent

ICfortheCinematography&TheatreIndustry 9,801 0.12

ICfortheDiamondCuttingIndustry 762 0.01

ICfortheIron,Steel,Engineering&MetallurgicalIndustry 293,998 3.62

ICfortheLeatherIndustry 11,039 0.14

ICfortheMotorIndustry 195,148 2.40

TextileIndustry 79,355 0.98

BuildingIndustry 176,839 2.18

Clothing&KnittingIndustry 104,217 1.28

ElectricalContractingIndustry 61,865 0.76

FurnitureManufacturingIndustry 19,229 0.24

HairdressingTrade 10,211 0.13

Laundry,Cleaning&DyeingIndustry 3,236 0.04

Liquor,Catering&AccommodationTrades 78,063 0.96

ICfortheMotorTransportUndertaking 70,025 0.86

CanvasGoods&RopemakingIndustry 10,542 0.13

ICfortheGrainCooperativeTrade 27,094 0.33

ICfortheContractCleaningIndustry 1,192 0.01

ICfortheCommercialandDistributiveTrade 1,065 0.01

ICforJewelleryandPreciousMetal 1,557 0.02

ICfortheMeatTrade(Wholesale&Retail–EastLondon) 1,375 0.02

ICfortheNewTyreManufacturingIndustry 384 0

PassengerTransportTrade 6,162 0.08

RetailMeatTrade 2,698 0.03

Tearoom,Restaurants,CateringTrade 23,919 0.29

ICfortheChemicalIndustry 3,819 0.05

Total Formal Employment 8,120,279 100

Total BC Coverage 1,193,597

Total BC Coverage (% of Total Formal Employment 15%

Workers not covered by ICs 6,926,682 85.3

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Appendix F: Estimated Bargaining Council Coverage in the 2005 LFS

BargainingCouncil/Industry Number Percent

FishingIndustryBC 91 0

ClothingIndustry 102,132 1.27

DiamondCuttingIndustryofSABC 963 0.01

FurnitureManufacturingIndustry 41,143 0.50

Jewellery&PreciousMetalIndustry(Cape)BC 1,435 0.02

BCfortheLeatherIndustryofSA 12,295 0.15

Metal&EngineeringIndustriesBC 196,825 2.45

BCfortheNewTyreManufacturingIndustry 6,225 0.08

National BC for the Sugar Manufacturing & Refining Industry 2,430 0.03

BCfortheTextileManufacturingIndustryofSA 35,919 0.45

BuildingIndustry 73,412 0.91

NationalBCfortheElectricalIndustry 32,428 0.4

CommercialDistributiveTradeBC(Kimberley) 5,084 0.06

BCfortheMeatTrade,Gauteng 24,177 0.3

BCfortheMotorIndustry 234,809 2.92

BCfortheRestaurant,Catering&AlliedTrades 48,274 0.6

BCfortheTearoom,Restaurant&CateringTrade,Pretoria 17,212 0.21

RoadFreight&MotorFerryIndustries 89,662 1.12

SARoadPassengerBC 21,486 0.27

TransnetBC 49,530 0.62

BCfortheContractCleaningIndustry(Natal) 16,502 0.21

BCfortheEntertainmentIndustryofSA 4,636 0.06

Hairdressing&CosmetologyIndustries 18,099 0.23

BCfortheLaundry,Cleaning&DyeingIndustry(Cape) 1,825 0.02

BC for the Laundry, Cleaning & Dyeing Industry (KZN) 1,469 0.02

BCfortheChemicalIndustry-Glass 5,605 0.07BCfortheChemicalIndustry–IndividualConsumerGoods,etc.

26,954 0.34

BCfortheChemicalIndustry–Petroleum 1,776 0.02

SALocalGovernmentBargainingCouncil 336,737 4.19

PublicServiceBargainingCouncils 1,171,195 14.57

Total Formal Employment 8,039,401 100

Total BC Coverage 2,580,331

Total BC Coverage (% of Formal Employment) 32%

Total BC Coverage – Government (% of Formal Employment)

13%

Workers not covered by BCs 5,459,070 67.9

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Appendix G: Broad Labour Force Participation Equation, 1995 and 2005

1995 2005MarginalEffects x-bar MarginalEffects x-bar

Coloured -0.0246 * 0.1100 -0.0067 0.0894Asian -0.1458 * 0.0335 -0.1590 * 0.0282White -0.1702 * 0.1395 -0.1958 * 0.1038Female -0.2283 * 0.5289 -0.1004 * 0.518725-34years 0.1153 * 0.3232 0.3521 * 0.268735-44years 0.1036 * 0.2459 0.3103 * 0.177245-55years 0.0285 * 0.1471 0.2475 * 0.132655-65years -0.2248 * 0.1030 0.0706 * 0.1005NoeducationtoincompleteGET

0.0106 * 6.2797 0.0054 * 6.8834

CompleteGET 0.0157 * 1.2661 0.0138 * 1.5510Matric 0.0751 * 0.2752 0.1710 * 0.3078Diploma 0.0852 * 0.0844 0.0378 0.0801Degree 0.0089 0.0542 -0.0202 0.0646Urban/Metro 0.0339 * 0.5891 0.0209 * 0.3755WesternCape -0.0246 * 0.1230 -0.0295 0.1057EasternCape -0.0950 * 0.1326 -0.0908 * 0.1346NorthernCape -0.0744 * 0.0240 -0.0546 * 0.0191FreeState 0.0133 0.0685 -0.0708 * 0.0645KwaZulu Natal -0.0920 * 0.2007 -0.0844 * 0.2046NorthWest -0.0607 * 0.0871 -0.0469 * 0.0810Limpopo -0.0421 * 0.0647 -0.0943 * 0.1068Mpumalanga -0.1370 * 0.0866 -0.0258 ** 0.0662Noofchildrenunder7yearsinhh

-0.0051 * 0.8549 0.0092 * 0.8020

Noofchildrenaged8-15yrsinhh

-0.0043 ** 0.7973 -0.0320 * 0.8759

Noofadultsover60yearsinhh

-0.0743 * 0.3044 -0.0688 * 0.2650

Observedprobability 0.7233 0.6766Predictedprobability(atx-bar)

0.7606 0.7276

NumberofObservations 60223 67916Chi2 8318.43* 7853.16*PseudoR2 0.1764 0.2353

Source: OHS1995;LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwncalculationsNotes: * Significant at one percent level ** Significant at five percent level

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Appendix H: Formal Employment Equation, 1995 and 2005

1995 2005

MarginalEffects x-bar MarginalEffects x-bar

Coloured 0.1837 * 0.1131 0.2207 * 0.0948

Asian 0.2032 * 0.0310 0.2575 * 0.0279

White 0.2324 * 0.1403 0.2671 * 0.1074

Female -0.0549 * 0.4465 -0.1516 * 0.4888

25-34years 0.0509 * 0.3648 -0.0355 0.3570

35-44years 0.1465 * 0.2696 0.0388 0.2263

45-55years 0.1907 * 0.1421 0.1166 * 0.1496

55-65years 0.3433 * 0.0531 0.2469 * 0.0639NoeducationtoincompleteGET

-0.0089 * 6.6017 0.0039 7.0179

CompleteGET 0.0076 1.4162 0.0145 * 1.7300

Matric 0.0333 * 0.3188 0.0600 * 0.3830

Diploma 0.1449 * 0.1030 0.2217 * 0.1034

Degree -0.0744 * 0.0669 -0.0112 0.0821

Urban/Metro -0.0260 * 0.6295 0.0268 * 0.4135

WesternCape 0.0065 0.1295 0.0531 * 0.1135

EasternCape -0.0848 * 0.1196 -0.0715 * 0.1191

NorthernCape -0.0561 * 0.0229 -0.0062 0.0191

FreeState -0.0491 * 0.0751 0.0578 * 0.0638

KwaZulu Natal 0.0086 0.1869 -0.0004 0.1922

NorthWest -0.0095 0.0868 -0.0176 0.0814

Limpopo -0.0313 * 0.0648 -0.0181 0.0660

Mpumalanga -0.0177 0.0734 -0.0732 * 0.0934

lambda -0.6635 * 0.3776 -0.3782 * 0.3999

ObservedProbability

0.5947 0.3995

PredictedProbability(atx-bar

0.6078 0.3797

NumberofObservations

42166 43631

Chi2 5140.6* 3398.3*PseudoR2 0.143 0.167

Source: OHS1995;LFS2005:2(StatisticsSA);OwncalculationsNotes: * Significant at one percent level

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Appendix I: Inter-Quantile Determinants of Earnings, 1995

90th-10th 90th-50th 50th-10th

Coefficient Coefficient Coefficient

Coloured 0.0550 0.0512 ** 0.0038

Asian 0.0595 0.1099 * -0.0505

White 0.0461 0.0266 0.0195

Female -0.0565 -0.0194 -0.0371NoeducationtoIncompleteGET(NonetoGrade8)

-0.0114 -0.0024 -0.0091 **

CompleteGET(Grade9to11)

0.0104 0.0065 0.0038

Matric(Grade12) -0.0381 0.0012 -0.0394 **

Diploma 0.0518 -0.0387 0.0904 **

Degree 0.0986 * 0.0726 * 0.0260

Urban -0.0898 * -0.0474 * -0.0424 **

WesternCape 0.0966 * 0.0307 0.0659

EasternCape 0.2226 * 0.0942 * 0.1285 *

NorthernCape 0.0640 0.0746 -0.0106

FreeState 0.2231 * 0.0958 * 0.1274 *

KwaZulu Natal 0.0885 * 0.0494 0.0391

NorthWest 0.2045 * 0.0741 * 0.1304 *

Limpopo 0.2323 * 0.1528 * 0.0794 **

Mpumalanga 0.1282 ** 0.0611 ** 0.0672* **

Managers 0.1466 ** 0.0446 0.1020

Professionals -0.0022 -0.0060 0.0038

Clerks -0.0353 -0.0398 0.0045

ServiceWorkers 0.1638 * 0.0882 * 0.0756* **

SkilledAgricultural 0.4731 * 0.0784 0.3947 **

CraftandTradeWorkers 0.1440 * 0.0769 * 0.0671 **

OperatorsandAssemblers 0.0181 0.0037 0.0143

Agriculture -0.0124 0.0865 -0.0989 *

Mining -0.1190 ** -0.0774 ** -0.0416

Utilities -0.1115 -0.1481 ** 0.0366

Construction -0.0075 0.0383 -0.0458WholesaleandRetailTrade

-0.0519 0.0011 -0.0530

Transport -0.1901 * -0.0640 -0.1261 *

Finance -0.0732 -0.0017 -0.0715Commercial,SocialandPersonalServices

-0.1692 * -0.0766 * -0.0926 *

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PrivateHouseholds 0.2069 0.2434 ** -0.0366

Experience 0.0031 0.0051 ** -0.0020

Experiencesquared 4.22E-06 -6.7E-05 7.07E-05Logofhoursworkedpermonth

-0.1987 * -0.03 -0.1687 *

Bargainingcouncil/unionmember

-0.0788 ** -0.0512 -0.0276

Bargainingcouncil/non-unionmember

0.0052 0.0078 -0.0026

Union -0.2294 * -0.0737 * -0.1558 *

Employmentlambda 0.2462 ** 0.1430 0.1032

Constant 2.3470 * 0.6576 * 1.6894 *

NumberofObservations 24479 24479 24479

HighQuantilePseudoR2 0.3976 0.3976 0.4512

LowQuantilePseudoR2 0.4286 0.4512 0.4286

Source: OHS1995(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculationsNotes: * Significant at the one percent level ** Significant at the five percent level Other and unspecified categories were omitted from the table

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Appendix J: Inter-Quantile Determinants of Earnings, 2005

90-10th 90th-50th 50th-10thCoefficient Coefficient Coefficient

Coloured 0.066 -0.008 0.074Asian 0.043 -0.042 0.085White 0.257** 0.035 0.223*Female -0.036 0.000 -0.035NoeducationtoIncompleteGET(NonetoGrade8)

0.006 0.003 0.004

CompleteGET(Grade9to11) 0.054** 0.027* 0.027Matric(Grade12) 0.183* 0.104* 0.080Diploma -0.093 -0.093 0.000Degree 0.060 0.050** 0.010Metro -0.026 -0.041 0.015WesternCape -0.140** -0.074** -0.067EasternCape -0.113** -0.024 -0.090NorthernCape 0.004 -0.007 0.012FreeState 0.087 -0.006 0.094KwaZulu Natal 0.058 -0.021 0.079NorthWest -0.040 -0.011 -0.029Limpopo 0.100** 0.032 0.068Mpumalanga -0.012 -0.003 -0.010Managers 0.335* 0.162** 0.172*Professionals -0.023 -0.049 0.026Clerks 0.076 -0.033 0.110*ServiceWorkers 0.189* 0.044 0.145*SkilledAgricultural 0.299** 0.229** 0.070CraftandTradeWorkers 0.102 0.038 0.065OperatorsandAssemblers 0.022 0.008 0.014Agriculture -0.412* -0.247* -0.165*Mining -0.177* -0.203* 0.026Utilities 0.277 0.046 0.232Construction -0.103* -0.042 -0.061**WholesaleandRetailTrade -0.163* -0.104* -0.059Transport 0.117 0.000 0.117Finance -0.134** -0.077 -0.058CSPS -0.040 -0.098* 0.058PrivateHouseholds -0.506* -0.410* -0.096Experience 0.015* 0.006 0.009Experiencesquared 0.000 0.000 0.000Logofhoursworkedpermonth -0.102** 0.036 -0.137*PrivateSectorBCMember -0.058 -0.078* 0.020PublicSectorBCMember -0.045 -0.095* 0.050Union -0.247* -0.112* -0.135*Emp_lambda 0.188 -0.030 0.218**

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Analysing Wage Formation in the South African Labour Market: The Role of Bargaining Councils

Constant 1.494 0.496* 0.998*

NoofObservations 14746 14746 14746HighQuantilePseudoR2 0.402 0.402 0.4122LowQuantilePseudoR2 0.238 0.4122 0.238

Source: LFS2005(2)(StatisticsSA);OwnCalculationsNotes: * Significant at the one percent level ** Significant at the five percent level Other and unspecified categories were omitted from the table