analysis of automobile sector in india

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    Group: 1

    Rajesh Kumar Meena F-126 (slides 21-26)Tapan Waval F-141 (slides 9-11, 33,34)Gayathri Jayakumar F 101 (slides 7,8)Rushil Agrawal F-202 (slides 27-32)Amar Kumar Bighane F 83 (slides 2-6)Srinath S F-63 (slides 12-18)B. Queenie F-89 (slides 19,20

    & compiling/editing)

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    Sector overview

    3.7 million automotive

    vehicles were produced inIndia in 2010.

    Annual vehicle sales areprojected to increase to 5

    million by 2015.

    Over 11 million vehicles aremanufactures of which 1.5million are exported each

    year.

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    Sector overviewMajor automotive firms with their headquarters

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    Protectionism era Early 1980s

    Slow growth due to nationalisation and the license raj Production process stagnated, cars were a major luxuryA number of foreign firms initiated joint ventures with Indian companies

    Liberalization era 1990s

    Increase in competitiveness and relaxedrestrictions

    Entry of foreign banks with attractive autofinance schemes helped garner a hugebase of middle class population

    However the market was still ruled by the

    sellers

    Globalization era 2000s

    Increase in exports, R&Dactivities

    Outsourcing of autocomponents started

    Buyers started ruling the

    market

    Evolution

    From Statics to dynamics

    Source: http://india-reports.com

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    Statistics

    Two wheeler sector hasthe biggest share

    Turnover is more thanUSD $35 billion

    Provides employment toover 13 million people

    Source: SIAM, Exim Bank

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    Source: SIAM, Exim Bank

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    Growth Drivers

    0

    510

    15

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    GDP Growth Rate

    GDPGrowthRate

    GrowthDrivers

    Higher GDPGrowth

    Rising FamilyIncome

    Low CarPenetration

    FavorableGovernment

    Policies

    Export Hubof The World

    ImprovedInfrastructure

    Source : World Bank Site

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    Critical Success Factors

    Source : SIAM

    CriticalSuccessFactors

    Fuel andCapital

    Efficiency

    Brand

    Image

    GoodAfterSales

    Service

    Value forMoney

    Vehicles

    ExportMarkets

    EfficientTechnolo

    gy andTechniqu

    es

    OptimumPlant

    Utilization

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    Risk factors and challenges

    Deregulation of fuel prices affects Automobile sales. Petrol

    prices reached as high as Rs. 75 recently

    Government decisions and policy on NMZ slow moving

    Safety requirements & voluntary environmental commitments

    Innovation in development and manufacturing needed

    Interest rates ranging from 11.25% to 17%

    Metro effect = less sale and less use

    Input costs like steel and availability of raw material affecting

    production and driving up costs

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    Ministry of Shipping,Road Transport &

    Highways

    Standing Committeeon Implementationof EmissionLegislation

    CMVR- TechnicalStanding Committee

    AutomobileIndustry Standards

    Committee

    REGULATORY FRAMEWORK

    OTHER MINISTRIES Ministries like Ministry of

    Environment & Forest Ministry of Petroleum &

    Natural Gas Ministry of Non-

    conventional EnergySources

    CMVR - Central Motor Vehicles rules 1989

    Bureau ofIndian

    Standards

    SafetyEmissions

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    Automobiles

    Passenger Vehicles

    2-wheelers

    Mopeds

    Scooters

    Motor-cycles

    Electricbikes

    Auto-ricksha

    wsFour-wheelers

    Hatch

    Micro MiniCompa

    ct

    Sedans

    Midsize

    Executive

    Premium

    Luxury SUVs

    Commercial Vehicles

    LCVs MCVs HCVs

    Market Segments

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    76.23%

    3.58%

    15.86%

    4.32%

    Sales

    Two-Wheelers

    Three Wheelers

    4-wheeler Passenger

    Vehicles4-wheeler CommercialVehicles

    Segment-wise Market Share

    Source: SIAM

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    Analysis

    Two-wheelers

    Highest Market share Heavy domestic demand Large number of players 14% yearly growth Strong replacement demand

    Three-wheelers

    Employment generators Heavy usage in passenger

    segment Mileage of 34-36 kmpl

    Decreased usage in cargosegment

    Passenger Vehicles Emergence of affordable cars

    like the Nano Worlds 7th largest market Greater demand due to rising

    income levels Relatively lower car penetration Heavy investment from foreign

    players

    Commercial Vehicles Recovering market, growth>30% M&HCV segment, especially

    tractors, in greater demand Increase in ownership cost Number of JVs like Eicher-Volvo

    and Mahindra-Navistar Industrial upturn and improved

    financing environment

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    Top Players and market shares

    59%24.00%

    6.00%

    7.00% 4.00% Hero Moto

    CorpBajaj Auto

    HondaMotorcyclesTVS Motors

    Others

    2 Wheelers

    *as of Nov.2011

    41%

    40.00%

    10.00%

    3.31% 5.69%

    Piaggio

    Bajaj Auto

    Mahindra

    Scooters India

    Others

    3 Wheelers

    Source: SIAM

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    Players

    45%

    16.00%

    15.00%

    7.00%17.00%

    Maruti

    Hyundai

    Tata Motors

    Mahindra

    Others

    Passenger

    59%

    30.00%

    4.00%4.00% 3.00%

    Tata Motors

    Mahindra

    Force Motors

    Piaggio

    Others

    LCVs

    Source: SIAM

    63%

    23.00%

    7.00%7.00%

    Tata Motors

    Mahindra

    Force Motors

    Others

    HCVs and MCVs

    *as of Nov.2011

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    Analysis of Top Players

    Maruti Suzuki 55% market share in the Indian car Market

    Diverse product portfolio across segments

    True Value replacement and servicing; Insurance

    Aggressive Pricing strategies Lowest cost of ownership

    Technological Advantages

    Established distribution networks

    Tata Motors Continuous innovation; product diversity Acquisition of Jaguar Landrover

    Strong presence across segments

    Unique understanding of customer needs

    Exceptional skill base; R & D

    People strength; over 22000 employees

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    Analysis of Top Players

    Hero MotoCorp Excellent technological expertise, courtesy Honda

    Presence across geographical barriers-from cities to villages

    Excellent after-sales service across the country

    High volumes, pervasive sales and distribution network Strong brand, built steadily over 25 years

    Bajaj Auto Heavy R & D investment; Pioneer in DTS engines

    Excellent product development capability

    Strong presence across segments

    Strong branding and mind share through advertisements; Hamara Bajaj,Definitely Male and Hoodibaabaa

    Shift from scooter to motorcycle segment

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    Sector Analysis

    Potential Entrants

    Average

    (Foreign makers finding it lucrativeto manufacture)

    Buyers

    High

    (highly competitive, lots of optionsto choose)

    SuppliersLow

    (Location factor - suppliers close tofactories are preferred, too many

    suppliers)

    SubstitutesAverage

    (public transportation like metrohas potential to trouble the

    automakers

    Desire to own a car is high)

    Industrycompetitors

    High(Most competitive auto

    market in the world,presence of most majorplayers in each category

    with competitive pricingschemes)

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    Future TrendsFuture trends

    Passenger carproduction: over3mn in 2014-15

    Turnover of theIndian autocomponent

    industry to surpassUS$ 50 Billion in2014-15

    2W sales growth tobe slower (10%CAGR) over FY12-16E

    Decline in growthto 10% in FY13E

    M&HCV Volumegrowth willremain muted

    CV sales growth toslow to 10%

    Compulsory emission norms for companies to invest in fuel-efficient technologies by 2015

    An umbrella organization National Automotive Board (NAB)being constituted by Govt. of India

    India would become the third largest auto industry by

    volumes by 2015 (source Rothschild)

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    HARMFULTo achieving the

    objectives

    HELPFULTo achieving the

    objectives

    INTERNAL

    FACTORS

    EXTERNAL

    FACT

    ORS

    MSIL has the largest share inpassenger car segmentMSIL has the largest network ofdealers and after sales service centresin IndiaMSIL is the first automobile company

    to start a second hand vehicle salesthrough its True-value entityBrand strength and loyal customerbase

    Low interior quality as compared toother playersThe management and the companyslabour unions are not in good termsMSIL has not been able to penetrate

    SUV and Luxury segment

    Economic slowdown Rising fuel cost Depreciating value of

    rupeeRising input costHyundais Eon and Tata MotorsNano are making a dent on Alto sshare

    With the launch of Ertiga MSIL

    can stake claim in the MUV segmentExport Hatchbacks to Europeanmarkets

    STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES

    OPPORTUNITIES THREATS

    MARUTI

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    Maruti offers a low cost hatchback topremium sedanIt offers its products in Petrol, Diesel,

    CNG and recently in LPG variant as wellMaruti 800Alto K10Wagon RSwift and Swift DzireSX4Ertiga

    Kizashi

    Pricing is one the major forte of MarutiPrice is lower than its competitorsRs3,20,000-Rs16,00,000

    As of now it is mainly inM Metropolitan, urban and

    semi urban areasMSIL has the largest network of dealers

    and after sales service centres in India.

    Over 1000 sales outlet as of March 2012Over 3000 sales outlet as of March 2012

    Maruti has a huge customer baseFor Promotion they usually followTVC Recently they showcased their productsin Delhi Auto Expo

    Their tagline is Kitna deti hai whichconnects really well with Indian mentalityMaruti also offers heavy discounts infestive season and also at the end of year

    PRODUCTS PRICE

    PROMOTION PLACE

    MARUTI

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    HARMFULTo achieving the

    objectives

    HELPFULTo achieving the

    objectives

    INTERNAL

    FACTORS

    EXTERNAL

    FACT

    ORS

    HERO has the largest market sharein two wheeler market with 57 %Hero has a distribution network of700 dealersand 3,700 service centresStrong brand nameEasy availability of spare parts

    After the partition from HONDA,HERO does not have fullydeveloped R&DHERO is not a prominent player inscooters segment

    Economic slowdownRising fuel costDepreciating value of

    rupeeRising input cost

    Rural market, being under-penetrated at 22%, providesample opportunities for

    two-wheeler manufacturersFocus on targeting students andwomen for light ungeared scooters

    STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES

    OPPORTUNITIES THREATS

    HERO

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    HERO offers both motorcycle and

    scootersPassion, Splendor, CD Dawn, CD Deluxe,Glamour, Achiever, CBZ, Karizma, Hunk,Impulse ,Ignitor(new launch)Ungeared scooter Pleasure and 110ccscooter Maestro (new launch)Diversified products

    Pricing is one the major forte of HERO

    There is almost no price differencebetween hero and its competitorsRs40,000-Rs1,00,000

    HERO caters to all areasHero has a distribution

    network of 700 dealers

    HERO is the sponsor of MumbaiIndiansHERO use various mediumsSuch as TV, Radio and printHERO launched it IMPULSE at DelhiAuto Expo

    PRODUCTS PRICE

    PROMOTION PLACE

    HERO

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    HARMFULTo achieving the

    objectives

    HELPFULTo achieving the

    objectives

    INTERNAL

    FACTORS

    EXTERNAL

    FACT

    ORS

    Strong distribution networkEngineering Know howBrand strengthDiversified products

    Expenses incurred on postretirement plans

    Economic slowdownDepreciating value ofrupee

    Tough competition

    Rural market, being under-penetrated at 22%, providesample opportunities for

    two-wheeler manufacturersFocus on targeting students andwomen for light ungeared scooters

    STRENGTHS WEAKNESSES

    OPPORTUNITIES THREATS

    HONDA

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    HMSI has covered all the

    segment of motorcycle andscooter in IndiaAviator, Activa, Dio, EternoUnicornShineTwisterStunnerDream Yuga

    HMSIs Pricing as compared to

    other brands is on lower sideCurrently for low cc engineRs40,000-Rs1,20,000

    As of now it is mainly inMetropolitan, and urbanareas

    HMSI has a distribution networkof 800 dealers

    For Promotion they namedAkshay Kumar as their BrandAmbassador

    PRODUCTS PRICE

    PROMOTION PLACE

    HONDA

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    $2.3 billion acquisition of the Jaguar and Land Rover brands from Ford Motor Co.

    All-cash deal; biggest automobile buy out by an Indian company; completed in June

    2008

    Included manufacturing plants, two advanced design centers in the UK; worldwide

    network of sales companies

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    TATA raised $3bn from bridge loans; Banks included JP Morgan, Citigroup, State

    Bank of India

    Positives for TATA instant recognition across the globe, access to advance design

    studios & Technology

    Points of Concern Difficult market conditions for JLR, another $1bn investment

    required, inexperience in luxury automobiles, R&D abilities

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    M&M acquired 80% stakes KMCL for Rs. 110 Crores

    Mahindra Kinetic Scooters & Motorcycles Ltd.

    Not a sell off; a Joint Venture

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    Mahindras entry into two wheeler segment

    Struggling KMCL emerge as a debt-free company

    Kinetic s Taiwan partner SYM - technical partners to the new alliance

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    522.5 billion won (approx $470 million) deal

    February 9-10 2011; M&M allotted 70% of the Korean company's total shareholding

    Both firms will work together, will share technology and will develop sales and

    services outlet

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    2007: Bajaj picked up a 14.9% stake in Austria based KTM power sports AG for around

    Rs300Cr

    Gradually increasing, recent additional 6.3% stake in KTM, taking its stake to around

    47%

    Instant Foothold in Europe; jointly working on a series of platforms and engines-cost

    and quality benefits

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    Wayforward

    IncreasedModel Variety

    Growth InLow PriceMarkets

    Environment& Safety

    Cost reductionVirtualised

    Testing

    CollaborationEngineering

    Quality &Reliability

    Awareness

    ReducedModel Cycles

    ROAD AHEAD YES WE HAVE TO

    BUILD IT OURSELVES

    SIAMs Timeframe for Fuels

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    ALL STAKEHOLDERS IN LINE = BRIGHTER

    FUTURE FOR THE AUTOMOBILE SECTOR