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Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 28 October 2015

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Page 1: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

Analyst and Investor Conference Call

Financial results 9M/2015

28 October 2015

Page 2: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

1

Highlights 9M/2015

Market environment

• Robust passenger car registrations in the U.S. and Europe

• U.S.: + 5.0 per cent to 13.05 million cars

• Europe: + 8.8 per cent to 10.41 million cars

• China: + 2.8 per cent to 14.55 million cars after a weak Q3 (-1.5 per cent)

Financial performance

• Group sales: +11.5 per cent to € 358.5 million

• Adjusted EBITDA: +5.8 per cent to € 33.0 million; impacted by non-timely execution of efficiency

measures in the Powder Metallurgy

• Net income for the period: + 12.4 per cent to € 12.4 million influenced by equity result of Chinese joint

venture

• Reduction of net debt by 63.6 per cent to € 9.0 million affected by high investments and successful

capital increase of € 24.6 million in February 2015

Page 3: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

2

3.4%

2019

19.6

2018

19.1

2017

18.5

2016

18.0

2015

18.0

2014

16.8

2013

16.0

Source: PwC Autofacts – January 2015

Overall positive market development despite China‘s loosing momentumLight vehicle production (< 6 t) – Europe (m units) Light vehicle production (< 6 t) – North America (m units)

18.4

2016

18.1

2015

17.5

2014

17.1

2013

16.2

3.2%

2019

19.6

2018

19.0

2017

25.0

2015

23.1

2014

22.1

2013

20.4

6.5%

2019

29.7

2018

28.5

2017

26.9

2016 2018

4.7

3.8

2014 20172016

3.1

4.1

4.5

20152013

4.6

2019

0.3%

3.5

CAGRCAGR

CAGR

CAGR

Light vehicle production (< 6 t) – China (m units) Light vehicle production (< 6 t) – South America (m units)

SHW benefits from global footprint and challenging CO2 regulations in all strategic marketsSource: PwC Autofacts – October 2015

Page 4: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

3

International presence enables further international growth

SHW’s internationalisation strategy works out!

Bad SchussenriedEmployees: 559

Wasseralfingen incl. HQEmployees: 341

NeuhausenEmployees: 152

TuttlingenEmployees: 236

Status: 30 September 2015

São Paulo, BrazilEmployees: 4

Shanghai, ChinaEmployees: 8

LongKou, ChinaEmployees: 113

Detroit, U.S.Employees: 1

Toronto, CanadaEmployees: 5

Page 5: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

4

Status internationalisation: Pumps and Engine Components

North America:

• Re-entry into market – nomination as serial supplier by North American OEM for variable engine

oil pumps for global engine platform (North America, Europe and China); lifetime value € 160 m

China:

• Contract gain Q1/2015: production of local content of variable engine oil pumps for North

American OEM; SoP in 2019

• In Q3/2015 nomination as serial supplier of electric auxiliary pumps for start-stop function as well

as transmission oil pumps for dual-clutch from a Chinese OEM (lifetime value: € 70 m - 80 m)

Brazil:

• 2015: despite challenging market environment positive results year-to-date

Eastern Europe:

• Partial relocation of production capacities to Eastern or South Eastern Europe – final decision

and set-up in 2016; SoP in 2017

SHW benefits from global footprint and optimization of production network

Page 6: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

5

Sales activities in China starting to bear fruit – new series order

• Q3/2015: nomination as serial supplier of electric auxiliary pumps for start-stop function and

transmission oil pumps for dual-clutch from a Chinese OEM

• Lifetime value between € 70 m and € 80 m

• Start of production at Chinese facility in Kunshan in 2017

• Product advantages:

• Realisation of CO2 savings by structural improvements and weight reductions

• Contribution to pleasant driving with reduced noise and pulsation levels

Primary transmission oil pumps to become a further strategic pillar

Page 7: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

6

Status internationalisation: Brake Discs

China:

• Start of operation of the joint venture SHW Longji Brake Discs (LongKou) on 1 April

• Currently “LongKou” produces unprocessed brake discs for the joint venture partner with fixed

profit margins

• Production capacity will be shifted to ready-to-install brake discs for new OEM/OES business

over time

• Management focus on improving system and process quality for attaining the certification

according to ISO/TS16949

• Concrete customer enquiries received shortly after start of operation

NAFTA:

• Further analysis of market potentials for light weight brake discs and evaluation of market entry

strategies

SHW’s internationalisation strategy works out!

Page 8: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

7

Results impacted by backlog in executing efficiency measures

€ m 9M/2015 9M/2014 Change in %

Group sales 358.5 321.4 +11.5%

Incoming orders 343.9 328.6 +4.7%

Adj. EBITDA 33.0 31.2 +5.8%

Depreciation (excl. PPA) 16.5 13.2 +24.3%

Adj. EBIT 16.5 18.0 -8.0%

Net income for the period 12.4 11.0 +12.4%

EPS (in €)1) 1.95 1.88 +3.9%

Working Capital Ratio (%) 11.7 11.3

Capex2) 19.3 24.7 -21.9%

Operating free cash flow3) -3.6 -15.9 -77.4%

Net Debt -9.0 -24.8 -63.6%

ROCE (%) 14.0 15.8

No. of employees (average) 1,281 1,145 +11.9%

1) 9M/2015: based on an average of 6,333,333 shares / 9M/2014: based on an average of 5,851,100 shares.2) Additions to tangible and intangible assets.3) Operational free cash flow w/o investments in financial assets.

Page 9: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

8

GroupSales by quarter (€m)

118.3

Q4

108.6

Q3

109.4

Q2

123.1107.3

Q1

117.0104.8

20152014

11.5%

9M/2015

358.5

9M/2014

321.4

Sales (€m)

Growth driven by strong customer call orders for variable oil-/vacuum pumps and camshaft phasers

Q1

11.0

8.8 9.4

Q3

11.3

Q2

11.911.1

Q4

10.020152014

Adj. EBITDA (€m) Adj. EBITDA by quarter (€m)1

9.2%

+5.8%

9M/20159M/2014

31.2

9.7%

33.0

1 Readjustment of Q2 / Q3 2014 figures due to non-recurring serial start-up costs

8.4% 10.3% 10.3% 8.7%9.4% 9.7% 8.5%

Page 10: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

9

Increased sales with leading key accounts

14.7

1.9

14.7

2.2

14.7 17.5

2.3

2.2

14.7 17.5

2.3

Sales by customer (€m)

German OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers as major customers

PSA 9.15.2

Ford

Daimler 64.3

27.9BMW 26.9

9.9

17.8Volvo Cars 22.3

15.7Porsche

13.5

17.5

91.1

61.2

85.7VW

55.4

7.37.9

ThyssenKrupp

Other 52.5

38.6

8.917.7

Hilite

23.6AUDI

9M/20159M/2014

Page 11: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

10

Pumps and Engine ComponentsSales by quarter (€m)

92.580.6

Q1

98.282.6 85.6

Q4

84.8

Q3

93.3

Q2

20152014

Sales (€m)

9.09.0

Q1

9.3

7.5 7.4

Q3

9.3

Q2 Q4

7.8

20152014

Adj. EBITDA (€m) Adj. EBITDA by quarter (€m)1

+1.1%

9M/2015

26.0

9.1%

9M/2014

25.7

10.3%

9M/2014

284.0

14.2%

9M/2015

248.7

Not timely executed efficiency measures in the Powder Metallurgy impact segment result

1 Readjustment of Q2 / Q3 2014 figures due to non-recurring serial start-up costs

9.3% 10.9% 10.8% 8.7%10.0% 9.1% 8.3%

Page 12: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

11

Status quo implementation of efficiency measures in the Powder Metallurgy

Scope of efficiency measures – a tripod

Organisational measures (shopfloor management, etc.)

Technological measures (material changes, automation)

Capacity measures (investment programme 2014-2016)

Capacitymeasures

Efficiencyprogramme

Organisationalmeasures

Technological measures

• Intensified shop floor management based on extended set of key figures

• Revised management cockpit with increased transparency

• Daily cost control of external services and suppliers

• Press tool optimisation in order to achieve higher process stability

• Modification of material for more precise shape

• Automation of crack detection and visual inspection

• Overhauling of presses

• Temporarily outsourcing of two products in order to increase lot sizes

• Investment programme 2014-2016 with capacity expansion by 4 additional presses

1

2

3

1

2

3

Page 13: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

12

Large investments in Powder Metallurgy (2014 – 2016)

Specification Commissioningdate Effect Status

Building expansion Q4/2014 Capacity

Sizing press Q1/2015 Capacity

Powder press Q1/2015 Capacity

Machining cell Q2/2015 Capacity / Ratio

Double disc grinding machine Q3/2015 Capacity / Ratio

Palletizing systems Q3/2015 Ratio

High-speed sizing press Q1/2016 Capacity

Powder Press Q1/2016 Capacity

Capacity bottlenecks should be eliminated until the end of Q1/2016

Page 14: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

13

Investments at a glance

Page 15: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

14

Brake DiscsSales by quarter (€m)

Q4

23.8

Q3

23.8

Q2

24.924.7

Q1

24.524.2 25.1

Sales (€m)

2.11.7

2.7

Q1

2.7

Q4Q2

3.02.5

2.2

Q3

Adj. EBITDA (€m) Adj. EBITDA by quarter (€m)

20142015

20142015

8.8%

6.4

7.8

10.5%

9M/2014 9M/2015

+21.8%

74.4

9M/20159M/2014

72.7

+2.4%

EBITDA-margin on a record high of 10.5 per cent

7.2% 10.1% 9.1% 11.2%8.7% 11.9% 10,8%

Page 16: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

15

Net Working Capital Ratio

11.7%

8.7%

Q4/2013 Q1/2014

11.3%

Q2/2014

9.7%

Q3/2014

11.3%

Q4/2014

7.2%

10.4%10.5%

Q3/2015Q2/2015Q1/2015Q2/2013 Q3/2013

16.1%15.6%

Average working capital ratio in the first nine months 2015 meets sustainable 11.0 per cent target

Medium-termtarget:11%

Page 17: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

16

Capex – Depreciation

14.714.7

Capex by quarter (€m)

10.1

Q3

6.7

Q2

8.18.8

Q1

6.2

9.2

5.0

-7.5%-32.6%

Q4

-25.9%

20152014

Capex (€m)

+24.0%+24.9%

Q4

4.9

Q3

4.0

6.04.8

Q2

5.54.5

Q1

5.0

+23.9%

Depreciation (€m) Depreciation by quarter (€m)

20142015

19.3

5.4%

9M/2014

24.7

7.7%

-21.9%

9M/2015

+24.3%

4.6%

9M/2014

13.3

4.1%

16.6

9M/2015

Capex ratio of around 7 per cent in 2015 within reach

3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 4.5%4.3%

8.8% 8.2% 6.2% 9.3%6.2% 6.6%

4.5%

4.2%

5.1%

Page 18: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

17

Cash Flow

5.(€m) Q3/2015 Q3/2014 9M/2015 9M/2014

Cash flow from operating activities 4.8 -0.5 18.0 11.6

Cash flow from investing activities- tangible and intangible assets -5.0 -6.8 -21.6 -27.5

Operating free cash flow -0.1 -7.3 -3.6 -15.9

Cash flow from investing activities- financial assets 0.0 0.0 -8.91) 0.0

Total free cash flow -0.1 -7.3 -12.5 -15.9

Other (esp. proceeds from capital increase / dividend payment)

-0.1 -0.2 17.8 -6.0

Change in net debt -0.2 -7.5 5.3 -21.9

Net debt influenced by internationalisation of Brake Discs business and capital increase

1) Payment into the Joint Venture’s share capital (SHW Longji Brake Discs (LongKou))

Page 19: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

18

Sound financial profile

Balance sheet as of 30 September, 2015 (€m) Balance sheet as of 31 December, 2014 (€m)

Other short termliabilities(35.8%)

Pensions1)

(13.4%)

Currentassets

(43.0%)

Non-currentassets

(56.9%)

Equity(40.3%)

37.9

209.5m

Equity & Liabilites

75.0

14.67.3

28.1

84.5

Assets

0.3

119.0

90.2

Cash(0.1%)

Other long term liabilitie(3.5%)

Bank debt (7.0%)2)

Sound balance sheet safeguards financial and strategic headroom

1) Increased pension provision due to interest rate decline (IAS 19)2) Net financial debt amounts to € 14.4m in 2014

Equity & Liabilites

76.4

10.814.7

27.7

113.3

Assets

1.7

136.9

104.2Currentassets

(42.9%)

Non-currentassets

(56.4%)

Cash(0.7%)

Equity(46.6%)

Pensions(11.4%)

Other long term liabilities(6.1%)Bank debt (4.4%)1)

Other short termliabilities(31.4%)

242.8m

1) Net financial debt declined by € 5.3 million to € 9.0 million

Page 20: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

19

Revised guidance for 2015 confirmed

2015 (old) 2015 (revised)

Sales

thereof P&ECthereof Brake Discs

approx. € 470 m

approx. € 370 mapprox. € 100 m

approx. € 470 m

approx. € 370 mapprox. € 100 m

Adjusted EBITDA € 46 to € 50 m € 42 to € 46 m*

Working Capital Ratio sustainable 11 % of sales sustainable 11 % of sales

Sustainable margin improvement from 2016 onwards

Page 21: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

20

Focus on profitability

Areas of sustainable earnings improvements

• Release of temporary workers from Q4 2015 onwards• Sufficient capacity and flexibility for bigger, economical batch sizes in Powder Metallurgy• Less freight services and logistics costs

• Close integration of business critical departments (e.g. procurement, sales, R&D) within the production network of Aalen-Wasseralfingen and Bad Schussenried

• Reorganisation of the purchasing and supplier management• Centralising of certain functions in one location

• Final decision about the site location and set-up in 2016 for realising the start of operations in 2017

• Utilizing further growth potential in the areas of primary transmission oil pumps, variable water pumps and electrification

• Further ramp-up of lightweight brake discs• Improved product mix with composite brake discs amounting to 34 per cent of sales in 2016• Access to new vehicle classes through process optimisation

Mid-term planning will be released at the beginning of December 2015

Operational Excellence

Organisation/Management

Procurement & Supplier Excellence

Eastern European Expansion

BusinessDevelopment

Brake Discs

Page 22: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

21

Financial Calendar 2015

Dates Events

Beginning of December Business Update mid-term planningInvestor and Analyst Teleconference

Beginning of December Management Roadshow – Kepler CheuvreuxFrankfurt / London

Page 23: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

22

Michael SchicklingHead of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications

Telephone: +49 (0) 7361 502-462E-Mail: [email protected]

Anja K. SiehlerSenior Manager Investor Relations & Corporate Communications

Telephone: +49 (0) 7361 502-469E-Mail: [email protected]

Contact Investor Relations

Page 24: Analyst and Investor Conference Call Financial results 9M/2015 · 2017-12-12 · 2 3.4% 2019 19.6 2018 19.1 2017 18.5 2016 18.0 2014 2015 16.8 2013 16.0 Source: PwC Autofacts –

23

DisclaimerNo offer or investment recommendation

This document, which has been issued by SHW AG (the “Company” or “SHW”), does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to subscribe for orbuy, any shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract orinvestment decision in relation thereto.

The contents of this presentation are may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, in whole or in part,for any purpose. Neither the Company nor any other party is under any duty to update or inform you of any changes to such information. In particular, it should benoted that financial information relating to the Company contained in this document has not been audited and in some cases is based on management informationand estimates.

This material is given in conjunction with an oral presentation and should not be taken out of context.

Certain market data and financial and other figures (including percentages) in this document were rounded in accordance with commercial principles. Figuresrounded may not in all cases add up to the stated totals or the statements made in the underlying sources. For the calculation of percentages used in the text, theactual figures, rather than the commercially rounded figures, were used. Accordingly, in some cases, the percentages provided in the text may deviate frompercentages based on rounded figures.

Future Oriented Statements

Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties andassumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward‐looking statements. These risks,uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial consequences of the plans and events described herein.

No obligation to update the information

The Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events orotherwise, except as otherwise required by applicable laws and regulations. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak asonly of the date of this presentation. Statements contained in this presentation regarding past trends or events should not be taken as a representation that suchtrends or events will continue in the future.