andritz rolling mills and strip processing...
TRANSCRIPT
Capital Market Days 2007
Rolling Mills and Strip Processing Lines
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 1
Business ProfileThe Business Area
develops, designs, builds and commissions plants for the metallurgical industry in the field of
• cold rolling, surface treatment and processing of metallic strips
either out of
• steel or stainless steel or nonferrous metals and
manufactures core equipment either in own shops or has it manufactured, under supervision, by sub-suppliers worldwide.
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 2
Strategy
The strategy of the Business Area is …
… to have complete full-line capability for all essential processes of the value chain of our customers in its entirety and also to possess an integrated know-how for
Mechanical engineering
Processes engineering (chemical and thermal)
Automation and electrification
in order to …
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 3
Strategy (cont’d)
Develop integrated systems under special consideration of the interdependencies of the different process steps
Minimize interface problems related to technology and order execution
To protect our know-how
To increase Sales volume and absolute gross margin per project
To reduce risk, time and cost for commissioning
To reduce cost for sales and order execution
To increase customer satisfaction
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 4
Value chain of steel production
Upstream Downstream
Steel making Slabs HR CoilsIron making
Baling
StripProcessing Finishing Final
Product MarketColdRolling
Close to raw material sources
Very cyclical business dependingon economical parameters
Close to market
Rather continuous businessdepending on technology changes
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 5
ElectrogalvanizingElectrogalvanizing
Car
bon
Car
bon
Stee
lSt
eel
PicklingPickling Cold RollingCold Rolling AnnealingAnnealing CoatingCoating
Tandem Tandem MillMillCluster Cluster millmillReversingReversing millmillSkin pass Skin pass millmill
Bright Bright AnnealingAnnealing
AnnealingAnnealing PicklingPickling
Stai
nle
ssSt
ain
less
Stee
lSt
eel
Annealing/PicklingAnnealing/Pickling Cold RollingCold Rolling AnnealingAnnealing
PicklingPickling
AnnealingAnnealing
ColourColour CoatingCoating
Cluster Cluster millmillReversingReversing millmill
TemperTemper millmill
Non
Non
-- fer
rous
ferr
ous
Met
als
Met
als
Cold RollingCold Rolling CoatingCoating
MillingMilling lineslinesGrindingGrinding lineslinesPicklingPickling lineslines
PicklingPickling
AndritzAndritz
SundwigSundwig
ThermtecThermtec
Hot
H
ot R
olle
dR
olle
dS
trip
Str
ip
ContinuousContinuousAnnealingAnnealing
AnnealingAnnealing
SELASSELAS
ColourColour CoatingCoating
Hot Hot dipdip galvanizinggalvanizingReversingReversing millmillSkin pass Skin pass millmill
Tandem Tandem millmillContinuousContinuous PicklingPickling LineLinePush Push PicklingPickling LineLine Bell Bell typetype annealingannealing
ContinuousContinuousAnnealingAnnealing
CuttingCutting + + SlittingSlittingLevellingLevelling linelinePackagingPackaging LineLinePunchingPunching
Process chain from hot rolled strip to value added products
CuttingCutting + + SlittingSlittingLevellingLevelling linelinePackagingPackaging LineLinePunchingPunching
CuttingCutting + + SlittingSlittingLevellingLevelling linelinePackagingPackaging LineLinePunchingPunching
KaiserKaiser
FinishingFinishing
FinishingFinishing
FinishingFinishing
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 6
Products
... of the Business Area are derived from the process chain of its customers, starting with the feed stock hot rolled strip until the final handling of the finished product (strip or sheet).
o Cold rolling mills• 2-, 4-, 6-, 12-, 20 high• Roll grinder
o Strip processing lines• Continuous annealing• Grinding• Slitting• Cutting (thick gages)• Levelling• Inspecting• Packaging• Punching
o Surface treatment• Continuous and push pull pickling• Degreasing• Electrolytic and hot dip galvanizing• Tinning• Colour coating• Chrome plating
o Acid regeneration• Hydrochloric acid (HCL)• Mixed acid (HF, HNO3) • Oxide-production (Ni, Co, Ti etc.)
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 7
Sales 1998-2002Sales 1998-2002
EBITDA 1998-2002EBITDA 1998-2002Order IntakeOrder Intake
Business development 1998 - 2002
167.4 177.4169.1135.0 140.8
0
50
100
150
200
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
MEURMedium-term targets
Sales approx. 200 MEUR
EBITDA approx. 8 %
175.7196.3
130.2141.9112.6
0
50
100
150
200
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
MEUR6.2%
5.2%5.1%5.3%5.1%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 8
Sales 2002-2006Sales 2002-2006
EBITDA 2002-2006EBITDA 2002-2006Order Intake 2002-2006Order Intake 2002-2006
Business development 2002 - 2006
401.9444.8
266.7287.6
175.7
0
100
200
300
400
500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
450.5
275.9235.4
173.1177.4
0
100
200
300
400
500
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Medium-term targets
Sales approx. 500 MEUR
EBITDA > 8 %
MEUR
MEUR
7.3%6.6%
6.1%
3.8%
6.2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 9
Order Intake
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
Incoming Orderslinear trend
CAGR 1992-2006: ~ 16%
MEUR
year
Development of Order Intake
Rolling Mills and Strip Processing Lines
Year
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 10
Market approach
Most of the products are placed in the high-priced markets with demanding technical requirements
Focus on strongly growing markets like China, India and Russia and devote most resources there without jeopardizing highly developed European market
Focus on selected high potential customers and try to become single source supplier
Strictly follow strategy to supply complete systems with own technology to minimize risks and maximize sales and margin
Try to get high market share to set technical standards
Standardize as much as possible
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 11
Market position
strong focus on stainless steelevenly distributedProducts
~ 2,000 MEUR~ 1,200 MEURMarket size (accessible)
~ 26 %~ 10 – 12 %Market share
20062000
Estimated marketshares and competition
structure2006
Andritz26%
SMS13%
DMS/SH6%
LOI/Drever5%
Others19%
VAI5%
CMI4%
Fagor4%
FIMI3%
19 Others <3% 15%
Source: Andritz estimate
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 12
Order Intake by Region
EUEU
40 %40 %30 %30 %
AsiaAsia
57 %57 %68 %68 %
OthersOthers1 %1 %
0 %0 %
Incoming Orders 2006: 402 MEUR
North AmericaNorth
America2 %2 %
2 %2 %
Average 2001-2004: 230 MEURAverage 2001-2004: 230 MEUR
Incoming Orders 2005: 445 MEURIncoming Orders 2005: 445 MEUR
0 %0 % 4 %4 %
49 %49 %
47 %47 %
Where are the customers of the Rolling Mills and Strip Processing Lines Business Area?
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 13
MarketCarbon Steel:
Booming market for upstream equipment stripprocessing lines and plate mills. However, lowerlevel compared to China
Some investments in Russia in strip processinglines
Many more orders followed until 2007, boomingmarket for plate mills and electrical steel last 2-3 years
Growing orders for cold rolling mills and stripprocessing lines in China
Still same ratio, which means approx. 480 mill. tons in 2007
Approx. 40 % (~ 350 mil tons) of steel productiongoes to flat rolled products which is the focus ofAndritz
In 2007 China will be a net exporter of 40 mill. tons of steel, but still needs to import high-qualityflat products
China will import approx. 30-40 million tons of steel, mainly high quality flat products
Steel production in 2007 will probably reach1,200 mill. tons and grow to 1,500 mill. tons in 2010
Steel analysts expected steel production of 1,000 million tons in 2010
Since 2002 annual growth rate of approx. 7 %;in BRIC-states more than 10 %
Average annual growth for crude steelproduction 1-2 %
Situation in 2007Situation in 2003
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 14
Market (cont‘d)Carbon Steel:
Investment activities increased and steelcapacity of roughly 40-50 mill. tons has beenreached. Huge projects are under developmentbut suffer from difficult political situation. Capacity of 100 mill. tons expected after 2010
Few activities in India for investments in steelindustry
Some projects for merchant slabs (Thyssen, Baosteel) are under construction. No investment in downstream activities
South American market seems to be saturatedwith recent investments. Future investments aremainly upstream for merchant slabs
Few investments financed from overseas havehappened. Thyssen will start with huge project inAlabama at the end of 2007
Investment activities in North America have beenclose to zero in the last years. Many companieswent bankrupt. No sign of recovery althoughrestructuring of steel industry has started
After restructuring of steel industry investmentmainly happened in Eastern Europe. Nicheplayers like Voest, Salzgitter, etc. invested inimproving their product range
Investment activities in Europe are still verysluggish. Restructuring of steel industry will befollowed by investing in appropriate equipment
Situation in 2007Situation in 2003
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 15
MarketStainless Steel:
No change to situation 4 years agoRussia is still hesitant to invest in stainless steelproduction
New investments (Jindal, Salem) will increasecapacity to more than 2 mill. tons in 2010. Furthercapacities are under discussion, mainly for export
Small capacity for local consumption in India
Since 2003 annual growth rate for stainless flatproduction capacity approx. 12 %(2003: ~ 13 mill. tons; 2007: ~ 21 mill. tons)
Average annual growth for stainless steelproduction was approx. 5-7 % in recent years
High cost for nickel, chromium and molybdenumjeopardize growth of conventional stainless steelgrades
China‘s flat capacity has grown to approx. 9 mill. tons; TISCO is one of the largest stainlesssteel manufacturers worldwide
China’s flat stainless production is less than 1 mill. tons
Capacity growth mainly happened in Asia (China,India, Korea, Japan, Taiwan)
Capacity for flat products has been stronglyincreased in Europe and USA
Situation in 2007Situation in 2003
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 16
Market
Non-ferrous Metals:
Investments in rolling mills for copper, brass andcarbon increased, but companies are often selecting simple equipment
Electronic industry is recovering in Asia
Main growth for aluminium strip productionhappened in China. Energy supply is limitingfurther growth
Aluminium strip production slowly growing forconstruction and automotive industry
Situation in 2007Situation in 2003
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 17
Competitors
Main suppliers of equipment for metallurgical industry are still located in Europe and Japan
Local suppliers for equipment in China, Korea and India are growing but sell rather simple equipment. Suppliers for upstream equipment (iron making) feel already the heat of low cost competitors
While European suppliers are active worldwide, Asian suppliers mainly concentrate on their home markets and emerging markets.
Due to current booming market for metallurgical equipment consolidation of supplying industry has nearly stopped
Merger of VAI with Siemens Automation improved competitiveness of Andritz
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 18
Competitors
Full liners like SMS-DEMAG, VAI-Siemens, Danieli, which cover the whole process chain (upstream and downstream), have only limited advantage.
Smaller suppliers like DMS, CMI and others often have very competitive prices compared with the large suppliers.
Some competitors like SMS-DEMAG and CMI try to copy the Andritz strategy to combine all necessary technologies in one group.
Reputation of Andritz amongst customers and competitors is very high today. Andritz is the benchmark in its market.
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 19
Important customers
Australia
BHP
Russia
MagnetogorskNovolipezkSeverstal…
North America
US SteelMittal SteelNucorDofascoHylsamexWorthingtonJ & LNAS…
Asia
Baosteel-GroupWiscoPoscoTisco (Tajyuan)Tisco (India)MaanshanHandanBenxiJiscoYieh-GroupChina-Steel-GroupHandeedJindalSail…
Europe
Thyssen Krupp SteelSalzgitterArcelorCorusVoest AlpineDiehlKabelmetallBöhler-UddeholmOutokumpuRivaAcerinoxArvedi…
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 20
Tang EngChien ShingChang Mieng
Yieh UnitedTung Mung
LukensSteel
Columbus JV
Acerinox
ThyssenKrupp
BAOXIN
Nisshin Steel
POSCOJ & L
Acesita
Mexinox
Arinox
Sandvik
Ugine
Outokumpu
Serp I Molot
ALZ
Tscheljabinsk
Ergste
Theis
BHP
Avesta Polarit
Sammi SteelTISCO
Sumitomo
Nippon Steel
Salem
North American Stainless
SKS
Böhler-Uddeholm
Taiyuan
NipponMining
Avesta
References for Stainless Steel Lines
LISCO
JISCO
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 21
Annealing and Pickling Line for ThyssenKrupp Stainless
Strip accumulator
Technical Data:Line capacity: 40,000 kg/hLine speed: max. 100 m/min.Strip width: 600-1,380 mmStrip thickness: 0.2 – 2.0 mm
Annealing furnace HNO3 pickling section
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 22
Hot Dip Galvanizing Line for ThyssenKrupp Stahl
ThyssenKrupp Stahl,Dortmund/Germany
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 23
Hot-Dip Galvanizing Line for ThyssenKrupp Stahl
Strip accumulator Coater and exit vertical strip accumulator
Technical Data:Line capacity: 450,000 t/yearLine speed: 180 m/min.Strip width: 750 – 1,650 mmStrip thickness: 0.3 – 1.5 mm
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 24
Shear Line for side trimming, slitting, cut to length and levelling for TKN
KruppThyssen Nirosta, Krefeld/Germany
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 25
Push Pull Pickling Line for ThyssenKrupp Stahl
High-capacity push pickling line
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 26
Blanking Line for Volkswagen
Blanking line for rectangular and trapezoidal blanks
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 27
Leveller and Cutting Shear for CORUS, Germany
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 28
Bright Annealing Line for Shanghai Krupp Stainless
Vertical Muffle furnace
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 29
Electrolytic Galvanizing Line for Baosteel
Detail of an electrolytic galvanizing cell according to the patented Gravitel process
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 30
20-high Cold Rolling Mill for Arcelor (ALZ)
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 31
20-high Rolling Mill for ThyssenKrupp, Krefeld/Germany
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 32
Grinding Machine
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 33
Punching and Metal Forming Presses
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 34
Review on Capital Market Days 2003
Super cycle for steel industry already lastsalmost 5 years. Another 2 to 3 years areexpected mainly driven by investment inInfrastructure in Asia (China)
No clear picture beyond 3 years time horizon
Engineering office in Bangalore (approx. 50 people) and Shanghai (5 people) is executingdetail engineering, mainly for local projects.No activities in Russia up to now.
Part of our engineering capacities will move to low cost countries like China, India or Russia
In recent years, more than 50 % of Andritz Sales came from China. Due to increasingrequirements for sole supply of engineeringAndritz participates only in selected projects
China may develop to Andritz „bread and buttermarket“ however strong requirement for localsupply
Today, the Andritz Group is the mainsupplier of rolling mills and strip processing linesfor stainless steel worldwide, with a high marketshare in China
Exploit our potential in stainless steel market, especially in China
Status 2007 / 2008Assumption at CMD 2003
Where do we go in the next 3 to 5 years?
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 35
Development of high speed 6-high mill forcarbon steel. Two mills supplied to Korea whichare working very wellDevelopment of integrated tandem S-6-highrolling mills for stainless steel. Andritz suppliedall rolling mills worldwide since 2003 for thisapplicationDevelopment of widest (2,100 mm) S-6-high millfor stainless steel. Mill has been operating sincemid 2007 in Taiyuan
Enlargement of know-how for cold rollingthrough own development and acquisition
Other acquisition targets were either tooexpensive or did not fit anymore in the strategyafter examination
Acquisition of Kaiser manufacturing highlysophisticated mechanical punching pressesmainly for automotive parts
Acquisition of suppliers of equipment forprocessing lines
This idea is not accepted by the market. Ifcustomer decides for Andritz equipment he expects highly sophisticated technology
Split design teams for low cost equipment andhighly sophisticated equipment
Status 2007 / 2008Assumption at CMD 2003
Review on Capital Market Days 2003Where do we go in the next 3 to 5 years?
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 36
Today many customers give Andritz fullresponsibility for automation and electrification.Due to limited resources, sub-suppliers likeABB, Converteam, Rockwell are involved
Scope of supply for automation andelectrification will further grow when ourreferences are fully accepted by the market
Strong increase of Sales in recent yearsStabilize sales on current level if worldwidemarket recovers
Development of after sales business only limitedsuccess. Very attractive business for flatnesssystems but not for revamps
Increase after sales business with recentstrategy change
Status 2007 / 2008Assumption at CMD 2003
Review on Capital Market Days 2003
Where do we go in the next 3 to 5 years?
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 37
Our expectations:
Based on the current project list, we expect a solid development of Order Intake for the next few years, which means Sales will be secured at least until 2010
GDP growth in China, India and other Asian countries (like Vietnam) very strong; as a result, investments in infrastructure, housing, energy production, basic supplies and automotive industries will continue to be strong
High raw material cost may deteriorate further growth of steel and stainless steel industry and make technology change in downstream equipment necessary
CMD 2007: Where do we go in the next 3 to 5 years?
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 38
Our expectations:
Investment boom for metallurgical equipment in India if government is able to better control conditions in local areas
Engineering activities of the Business Area in India and China will further grow. Eastern Europe or even Russia will probably be our focus for new engineering offices
Increase our sales activities in Russia. Special requirement for EPC-projects necessary where we gained some experience in recent years. Development of infrastructure (Olympic games) and automotive industry will require further modernisation of Russian steel industry
Acquisition of companies and technologies to support our growth strategy for sales and profit
CMD 2007: Where do we go in the next 3 to 5 years?
Capital Market Days 2007Slide No. 39
Our expectations:
Market will increasingly require Andritz automation and electrification. Growth in resources difficult potential to get needed resources in Asia
US market seems to recover the Business Area has to re-establish local resources
Get sustained high Sales volume even if the market calms down to a lower level
CMD 2007: Where do we go in the next 3 to 5 years?