annual migration report for the tees valley - 2017 · 2018-07-02 · annual migration report for...

Annual Migration Report

for the Tees Valley - 2017

Analysis of migration levels and

trends using the latest available data

(produced April 2017)

1) Aim of report

2) Key points summary

3) Migration from ONS population estimates for

Tees Valley

4) Alternative indicators of migration for Tees Valley

a) from local collected sources

b) from nationally collected sources / those publically

available

5) Links to the sources and contact details for more

information

6) Appendix - Data tables for each of the local

authorities in Tees Valley

CONTENTS

1

1) AIM OF REPORT

Analysis of migration patterns - Draws together and reports on levels of long term migration in

the Tees Valley and provides an annual update on migration trends. International migration and moves within the UK are examined separately.

Review of data sources - Due to the difficulty in measuring migration (and the time lag

with some data) alternative data sources are also provided to give a fuller picture.

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Please note that ONS do not guarantee the figures to be as exact as the level of detail included in this report implies.

Where available, the data refers to mid years to mirror the ONS population estimates. The most current data that was available in early 2017 has been used.

• According to ONS, Tees Valley’s resident population continues to grow, by 0.2%

(1,200) in the year to mid-2015, England and Wales grew by 0.8%. Continued growth in

Tees Valley has been seen since 2002 and this has principally been due to natural change.

• In the year to mid-2015, the net losses of residents to elsewhere in the UK were lower than

the net gains from overseas and therefore for the first time in a decade, Tees Valley

experienced growth from migration. However, this was only by a small margin, less than

the growth from natural change, and well-below the growth seen nationally from migration.

• Net migration was into Tees Valley compared to outwards in recent years (+300 in year to

mid-2015, compared to -800 in year to mid-2014, and -400 in year to mid-2013).

– Net migration with the rest of the UK remains outwards. At -1,100 in the year to

mid-2015 this was less than in the previous year (-1,600).

– Net international migration remains inwards. At +1,400 in the year to mid-2015, this

was more than in the previous year (+600). ONS mainly account this to a decrease in

out-migration. The alternative migration indicators do not measure out-migration and

therefore it is not possible to substantiate this or identify at this earlier stage whether

lower out-migration was also experienced in 2016.

• The alternative migration indicators suggest that international in-migration in the year to

mid-2016 will be higher than the previous year. The indicators do not measure international

out-migration and therefore it is not possible to estimate net migration flows.

2) KEY POINTS

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Migration by age

• In the year to mid-2015, all age groups had net gains from international migration but the

gains were the greatest for the younger age groups, 16-29 and then 0-15.

• Tees Valley continued to have a net loss of young adults (16-29 year olds) in the year to

mid-2015 (-510). The net gain from overseas did not offset the net loss to other parts of the

UK, namely to university cities in the North and London.

• In the 30-44 age group, there was a net loss of males (-130) but not females (80); this was

also the case in the previous year. In the year to mid-2015, the net loss of males aged 30-

44 to other parts of the UK was not offset by the net gain from overseas, whereas there

was a slight net gain of females from both within the UK and international migration.

Migration by district

• Out of the Tees Valley local authorities, Redcar and Cleveland had the largest growth from

migration in the year to mid-2015 (+310), and it was the first year in a decade that the net

migration flow was inwards. Stockton-on-Tees also grew from migration (+200), although

had a net loss to other areas of the UK outside Tees Valley. The remaining local authorities

had small net losses.

• Middlesbrough was the only Tees Valley local authority in the year to mid-2015 to have a

net loss of residents to the other Tees Valley local authorities (primarily to Stockton-on-

Tees), in previous years Redcar & Cleveland also had a net loss consistently.

2) KEY POINTS (CONT…)

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Official population estimates for the last 10 years, with the associated components

3) MIGRATION DATA FROM

ONS POPULATION ESTIMATES

% population change in

2014-2015 due to:

Tees

Valley

England &

Wales

Natural Change 0.13% 0.29%

Net Migration within UK -0.16% -0.01%

Net International Migration 0.21% 0.55%

Net Migration 0.05% 0.54%

Total Change 0.18% 0.83%

SOURCE: ONS mid-year population estimates. Only includes the usual residents. Visitors and short term migrants (those who enter the UK for less than 12 months) are not included.

Tees Valley doesn’t experience the levels of inward migration from overseas that England and Wales as a whole does.

TEES VALLEY 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Population 655.4 656.7 658.5 659.0 660.8 663.0 663.6 665.1 666.2 667.5

Births 8.2 8.2 8.5 8.3 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.5 8.1 8.0

Deaths 6.6 6.7 6.5 6.7 6.2 6.2 6.3 6.5 6.2 7.1

Natural Change 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.6 2.4 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.8 0.9

Net Migration within UK -0.6 -1.3 -1.0 -1.7 -1.4 -1.1 -1.9 -1.4 -1.6 -1.1

Net International Migration 1.0 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.5 0.1 0.9 0.6 1.4

Other population change* -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 -0.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0

Total Net Migration 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -1.1 -0.6 -0.3 -1.7 -0.4 -0.8 0.3

Total Net Change 1.6 1.3 1.8 0.5 1.8 2.3 0.6 1.5 1.1 1.2

SOURCE: ONS mid-year population estimates (in thousands).

*includes changes to special populations such as Armed Forces and Prisoners, and also

unattributed population change (UPC) pre-2011. Total net migration includes this component.

The mid 2016 population isn’t available until June 2017, but the GP Patient Register increased by 0.5%.

Positive natural change has been slowing

Deaths increased in 2014-15 meaning growth from natural change was reduced.

Lower net flow outwards

Higher net flow inwards

Net migration flow was inwards for the first time in a decade. The population grew from both natural change and migration.

5

NET MIGRATION FLOWS

IN YEAR TO MID 2015

Back to contents SOURCE: ONS mid-year population estimates. 6

NET MIGRATION

Net migration (2014-15) Females Males All persons

0-15 270 330 600

16-29 -320 -190 -510

30-44 80 -130 -50

45-64 150 50 200

65-79 60 40 100

80+ 20 -20 0

All ages 260 80 340

SOURCE: ONS mid-year population estimates - net migration includes ‘other’ population change

Stockton continues to experience net migration inwards [incl. moves between TV LAs]. This was the trend in Darlington pre-2012 too. Net migration for Redcar and Cleveland was inwards for the first time in a decade.

Much larger numbers of moves take place across the UK than overseas.

Net migration was INTO the Tees Valley.

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7

Net losses of males but not females in the 30-44 age group, due to net losses of males to other parts of the UK.

Greater net losses of females in the 16-29 age group due to lower net gains from overseas.

The Tees Valley continues to lose young adults, especially 16-29 year-olds. There is a net gain of these age groups from overseas but this doesn’t outweigh the much greater net loss to elsewhere in the UK, namely to university cities in the North, and London.

SOURCE: ONS mid-year population estimates. Internal migration sourced from: the Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA), the National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR), and the GP Patient Register Data System (PRDS).

MIGRATION WITHIN UK

Top locations of FLOWS (2014-15)

LA Name IN to TV OUT from TV

County Durham 2,110 - 2,200

London 1,000 - 1,140

Newcastle upon Tyne 790 - 1,060

Hambleton 710 - 740

Scotland 550 - 650

Leeds 500 - 730

Richmondshire 460 - 360

Sunderland 400 - 420

Net migration within UK (2014-15)

Females Males All persons

0-15 100 120 220

16-29 -610 -650 -1,260

30-44 20 -210 -190

45-64 80 20 100

65-79 40 20 60

80+ 10 -20 -10

All ages -370 -720 -1,090

In the year to mid 2015, there were slightly fewer outflows than previous years but a similar number of inflows to the previous year meaning the net loss of residents was relatively small (-1,100).

Net migration flow with the rest of the UK remains OUT of the Tees Valley.

The largest net gains into the Tees Valley were from Scarborough (100) [this hasn’t been the case previously] and then Richmondshire (90). The largest net losses were to Newcastle (-270) and Leeds (-230). The net losses to London (-135) and Scotland (-105) were much lower than previous years, whereas there were larger net losses to County Durham (-90).

Greatest loss of males and young adults. Net loss of males but not females in the 30-44 age group.

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Middlesbrough had a smaller net loss of residents to other areas of the UK than in previous years. Redcar & Cleveland had a net gain of residents from other areas of the UK which it hasn’t experienced previously.

MIGRATION WITHIN TEES VALLEY

SOURCE: ONS internal migration

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Redcar & Cleveland had higher net gains from Middlesbrough than in previous years which offset the net losses to Stockton-on-Tees. This resulted in Redcar & Cleveland having a net gain from migration within Tees Valley, whereas there has been a net loss in previous years. Darlington had a small net gain, which was lower

than in previous years, primarily due to smaller net gains from Stockton-on-Tees.

Hartlepool had a small net gain, whereas in the year before there was a small net loss.

As in previous years, Middlesbrough had a large net loss within Tees Valley, mainly due to the large net loss with Stockton-on-Tees. However in the year to mid-2015 there was also a net loss to Redcar & Cleveland so the total net loss was greater than in the year before (-330).

Stockton-on-Tees continued to have a net gain of residents from migration within Tees Valley, but the gain was slightly smaller than in previous years. This was due to a net loss to Hartlepool, a smaller net gain from Redcar & Cleveland, and smaller net gain from Middlesbrough.

Year to mid-2015 mid-2014

mid-2013

mid-2012

Inflow Outflow Net Net Net Net

Darl 620 590 30 70 70 70

Hart 640 550 90 -70 160 130

Midd 2,720 3,250 -530 -330 -530 -440

R&C 2,050 2,020 30 -120 -110 -50

S-on-T 2,640 2,250 390 440 410 290

Middlesbrough was the only Tees Valley local authority in the year to mid-2015 to have a net loss of residents to the other Tees Valley local authorities. In previous years Redcar & Cleveland also had a net loss.

Flows in the year to mid-2015

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

SOURCE: ONS mid-year population estimates. International migration sourced from: the International Passenger Survey (IPS), the Labour Force Survey (LFS), and Home Office data on asylum seekers and their dependants.

Net international migration (2014-15)

Females Males All persons

0-15 170 200 370

16-29 290 400 690

30-44 60 100 160

45-64 60 40 100

65-79 30 20 50

80+ 10 10 20

All ages 610 770 1,380

Net international migration remains INTO the Tees Valley, the net gains in the year to mid-2015 were larger than in recent years.

Over the last 10 years, Middlesbrough and Stockton-on-Tees have consistently had a net flow IN of residents from overseas. Net gains in Stockton-on-Tees were slightly higher in the year to mid-2015 than in previous years. Net losses from Darlington have been seen since mid-2011.

All age groups saw net gains of residents from overseas. There were slightly more gains of males, especially in 16-29 age group.

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In the year to mid-2015, in migration was slightly higher than 10-year trends and out migration was lower resulting in greater net gains.

International migration flows are relatively small compared to the flows with other areas of the UK.

The net flow INTO the Tees Valley has fluctuated in number year to year. Compared with the 10-year trends, in-migration between mid-2011 and mid-2014 was low. The net inflow in the year to mid-2015 was similar to the numbers pre-2011.

MIGRATION BY AGE AND DISTRICT

SOURCE: ONS internal migration; Mid-year population estimates

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Middlesbrough’s net gains of those aged 16-21 and net losses aged 22-24 is impacted by students attending Teesside University.

Stockton-on-Tees’ net loss of 16-44 year olds to other parts of the UK is reduced by net gains from overseas and from within Tees Valley.

The same scale is used on all charts to show the impact of the migration, i.e. loss of 25-29 year olds was not offset by gains from overseas.

Within Tees Valley, Middlesbrough had net losses of 0-15s, 25-29, and 30-44 year olds, mainly due to greater outflows to Stockton-on-Tees.

• Migration is the most difficult part of population change to measure precisely because the

UK has no population register. Therefore ONS use the “best proxy data available on a

nationally consistent basis” to estimate migration.

• To further explore the migration levels within Tees Valley, trends in administrative sources

are provided; these are School Census, Electoral Register, GP Register, births, National

Insurance Number allocations (NINo) and short term international migrant inflows. Looking

at these sources also has the benefit of providing insight into more recent trends.

• Administrative data is primarily collected for operational purposes and not designed to

specifically capture levels of migration, therefore changes in trends may be due to

operational or policy changes. The sources are not fully comparable due to differences in

definitions, for example only capturing inward migration, or, also including short-term

migrants.

• Some shortcomings of the sources are included in the notes and key points. Please note

the different time periods of the sources.

4) ALTERNATIVE MIGRATION

INDICATORS

The nationality groupings used in the tables on the following pages are:

– EU2 are Bulgaria and Romania. Joined the EU in January 2007 but were only granted full rights to work in and travel to the UK in January 2014.

– EU8 are Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia. Joined the EU in May 2004 and were granted freedom of movement to work in and travel to the UK.

– References to the EU do not include UK nationals.

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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source & Notes:

Primary pupils -190 -170 -100 230 110

% of pupils -0.4% -0.4% -0.2% 0.5% 0.2%

Secondary pupils -150 -140 -170 -150 -120

% of pupils -0.5% -0.5% -0.6% -0.5% -0.4%

All residents 502,970 500,730 483,480 478,480 487,020

+1,960 -2,240 -17,250 -5,000 +8,540

0.4% -0.4% -3.4% -1.0% 1.8%

% Non-UK 1.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7%

Non-UK 8,000 8,230 7,580 7,810 8,430

+440 +230 -650 +230 +620

EU8 2,435 2,755 2,580 2,635 2,790

+325 +320 -175 +55 +155

EU2 260 300 280 375 565

+55 +40 -20 +95 +190

LA Electoral Registers - over 17s registered

at 1st Dec (Oct for 2012, Feb 2014 (2013

proxy) & Feb 2016 (2015 proxy)). Only

eligible to register if a British, Irish, EU or

qualifying Commonwealth citizen.

Individual electoral registration was

implemented in 2014.

Change from previous

year

Tees Valley

Pupil cohort

change

Nationality

of those

registered to

vote

Spring School Census (only includes pupils

attending state-funded schools in Tees

Valley) Primary = difference in Y1-Y6 cohort

to Reception-Y5 in previous year. Secondary

= difference in Y8-Y11 cohort to Y7-Y10 in

previous year.

The number of residents on the electoral register fell between 2012 and 2015, and then increased in 2016. This is also the case nationally. The publicity surrounding the EU referendum is thought to have been a factor in increased voter registration, as well as the impact of the move to individual electoral registration diminishing.

4a) LOCALLY COLLECTED SOURCES

Tees Valley has consistently seen losses of children from schools, however this has not been the case for the primary school cohorts since 2015.

The migration trend in the School Census differs with the ONS population estimates where there was a net flow inwards of both primary and secondary aged children in 2013, 2014 and 2015. ONS estimates do not show such a large gain of the primary aged cohort in the year to 2015.

Those registered to vote who declared a non-UK nationality has increased steadily over time, apart from a low in 2014 (likely to be due to the move to individual electoral registration).

Since freedom to work in the UK were granted to EU2 citizens, the numbers on the electoral register have increased. EU2 nationals now make up 7% of the non-UK nationals on the register whereas in 2011 they made up 3%. Of the non-UK nationals

registered in 2016, Europeans make up 67% (up from 58% in 2011) while those with an Asian nationality make up 22% (down from 28%).

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The latest register had higher numbers of residents with Romanian, Polish, Irish, Italian, Lithuanian, Bangladeshi, Dutch, Portuguese and Bulgarian nationalities than on previous registers. This does not necessarily mean that they moved to Tees Valley in this year, just that they registered to vote then.

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source & Notes:

All patients 691,200 693,100 694,900 697,700 701,300

+3,600 +1,900 +1,800 +2,800 +3,600

0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5%

2,870 3,140 3,100 3,430

-430 +270 -40 +330

To Non-UK Mothers 800 840 870 890


year- +40 +30 +20

% to Non-UK Mothers 9.3% 10.2% 10.8% 11.3%

220 250 270 290

+20 +30 +20 +20

ONS Live Births to Mothers Born Outside the

UK.

For Calendar Years.

NYA

ONS Local Migration indicators - Registered

with a GP & was previously living abroad

(Flag 4 record). For Mid Years.

NYA

Tees Valley

Births

GP Patients


year

GP registrations

where was previously

living abroad

To EU Mothers

HSCIC - Patients registered at a GP surgery

at 30th June with address in TV.

NYA

4b) NATIONALLY COLLECTED SOURCES

The number of new GP registrations from those previously living overseas is generally higher than the international in-migration in the ONS population estimates (3,040 in year to mid-2015). GP registrations will include some short-term residents which population estimates do not. It is also likely to be missing some residents from overseas, such as those who moved to the UK for work as they tend to be young adults and therefore may not register until they need the services.

Generally the GP Patient Register grows by a slightly greater proportion than the population change in the official population estimates (0.2% between ONS mid 2014 & mid 2015).

The numbers of residents on the GP Patient Register is much larger than the official population estimate. A contributing factor in this is list inflation e.g. duplicate records, lags in updating address when move, incl. those who have left the country.

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14

The number of births to mothers born outside the UK living in the Tees Valley has continued to increase steadily since 2012, this includes increases in the number of births to mothers born in EU countries. The higher levels of international immigration experienced in other parts of the country can be seen by 28% of the births nationally in 2015 were to mothers born outside the UK.

A greater increase in the number of births to mothers born in the EU was expected in 2015 due to the accession of the EU2 countries in 2014.

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source & Notes:

Non-UK 1,860 1,760 1,640 2,600 2,890

-620 -100 -120 +960 +290

EU8 535 690 475 635 475

-40 +155 -215 +160 -160

EU2 90 70 125 450 930

+25 -20 +55 +325 +480

Short-Term

International

Migration

Inflow 390 340 490 NYA NYA

ONS Local Migration Inidcators - Short-Term

International Migration Inflow Estimates. For

Mid Years.

Tees Valley

NINo

Registrations

DWP National Insurance Number (NINo)

allocations to adult overseas nationals

entering the UK by location of registration. A

NINo is needed to work or claim benefits in

the UK. For Financial Years.

This source will also include short-term

residents. Whether they remained in this

location is not known by this source.

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The number of NINo registrations in 2014 was the smallest since EU borders opened to the accession countries in 2004, but in 2015 a substantially higher number of registrations were made and a greater number again in 2016. Higher number of registrations have also been made nationally. The high levels of recent inflows is likely to reflect the impact of the lifting of transitional controls for Romania and Bulgaria nationals and it is reasonable to expect, like happened following EU8 accession, this will run its course over time.

In 2016, there were large increases in the number of registrations to nationals from Romania, and also increases in the number to people from Sudan, Iran, Syria, and Ireland. The largest numbers were allocated to Romania nationals.

Since 2012, the majority of National Insurance Number (NINo) registrations have been to EU nationals (61% in 2016), with the proportion to EU2 nationals increasing greatly since accession (32% in 2016).

ONS’s note (2016) on the difference between NINo registrations and the estimate of long-term international migration shows, for the period 2010 to 2013, on average 32% of EU8 NINo registrations have interactions that suggest that they only stay in the UK for a short period. A further 18% of registrations state that they arrived in earlier years to the year in which they registered and therefore should not be counted as an inflow in the registration year. The growth in the number of Romanian registrations hasn’t translated into a corresponding increase in measured immigration. ONS’ analysis suggests that the difference is likely to largely be accounted for by short-term migration.

Both of these sources do not measure the OUT moves from Tees Valley to overseas.

The short-term international inflows for 2015 are not yet available but according to ONS’s note they are likely to show greater number of short-term in-migrants than in recent years.

More detailed data is available via these links, plus the methodology:

• Mid Year Population Estimates, 2015 (ONS) https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/bulletin

s/annualmidyearpopulationestimates/mid2015

Methods guide: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/method

ologies/methodologyguideformid2015ukpopulationestimatesenglandandwalesjune2016

• Internal migration, year ending June 2015 (ONS) https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/migrationwithintheuk/bulletin

s/internalmigrationbylocalauthoritiesinenglandandwales/yearendingjune2015

• Patients Registered at a GP Practice (HSCIC), mid-2016 http://content.digital.nhs.uk/catalogue/PUB21150

• Local Area Migration Indicator Tool (ONS) – incl. previously living abroad GP registrations https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/migrationwithintheuk/datase

ts/localareamigrationindicatorsunitedkingdom

• National Insurance Number (NINo) allocations (DWP) https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/national-insurance-number-allocations-to-adult-overseas-

nationals-entering-the-uk Full data available via: https://stat-xplore.dwp.gov.uk/

• Births by Mothers Born Outside the UK, 2015 [Table 7] (ONS) https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/livebirths/bulletins/parent

scountryofbirthenglandandwales/2015

5) LINKS TO THE NATIONALLY COLLECTED /

PUBLICALLY AVAILABLE SOURCES

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https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/bulletins/annualmidyearpopulationestimates/mid2015



https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/methodologies/methodologyguideformid2015ukpopulationestimatesenglandandwalesjune2016




https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/migrationwithintheuk/bulletins/internalmigrationbylocalauthoritiesinenglandandwales/yearendingjune2015





http://content.digital.nhs.uk/catalogue/PUB21150

http://content.digital.nhs.uk/catalogue/PUB21150

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/migrationwithintheuk/datasets/localareamigrationindicatorsunitedkingdom

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/migrationwithintheuk/datasets/localareamigrationindicatorsunitedkingdom

https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/national-insurance-number-allocations-to-adult-overseas-nationals-entering-the-uk






















https://stat-xplore.dwp.gov.uk/



https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/livebirths/bulletins/parentscountryofbirthenglandandwales/2015



For more information about the locally collected sources

or on this report in general, please contact:

Sarah Cattermole

Demography and Modelling Officer

Economic Strategy and Intelligence Team

Tel: 01642 524413

[email protected]

Back to contents 17

mailto:[email protected]



DARLINGTON DARLINGTON 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Population 101.5 102.6 103.7 104.4 105.0 105.6 105.2 105.4 105.4 105.4

Births 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2

Deaths 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1

Natural Change 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1

Net Migration within UK 0.3 0.2 0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0

Net International

Migration 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1

Other population

change* 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Total Net Migration 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 -0.6 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1

Total Net Change 1.2 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 -0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0


*includes changes to special populations such as Armed Forces and Prisoners, and also unattributed

population change (UPC) pre-2011. Total net migration includes this component.

6) APPENDIX – Tables for each Tees Valley Local Authority:

1) ONS population estimates with components of change 2) Alternative indicators of migration

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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source & Notes:

Primary pupils -30 -50 -30 140 -50

% of pupils -0.4% -0.7% -0.4% 1.9% -0.6%

Secondary pupils -20 -20 -30 -40 70

% of pupils -0.5% -0.3% -0.6% -0.8% 1.5%

All residents 80,310 79,920 77,920 76,670 78,200

+180 -390 -2,000 -1,250 +1,530

0.2% -0.5% -2.5% -1.6% 2.0%

% Non-UK 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7%

Non-UK 1,720 1,820 1,770 1,880 2,130

+140 +100 -50 +110 +250

EU8 795 870 865 945 1,050

+110 +75 -5 +80 +105

EU2 95 110 105 140 215

+15 +15 -5 +35 +75

All patients 108,200 108,300 108,500 109,100 109,700

+300 +100 +200 +600 +600

0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5%

360 320 390 490

-30 -40 +70 +100


-10 +10 +10 +10

% to Non-UK Mothers 8.5% 10.8% 11.3% 12.2%

50 80 70 80

-10 +30 -10 +10

Non-UK 320 280 260 460 440

-30 -40 -20 +200 -20

EU8 165 160 145 195 150

+20 -5 -15 +50 -45

EU2 25 15 15 105 135

- -10 - +90 +30

Short-Term

InternationalInflow 50 40 50 NYA NYA

ONS Local Migration Indicators - Short-Term

International Migration Inflow Estimates. For Mid Years.

Darlington

Pupil cohort

change

Spring School Census (only includes pupils attending

state-funded schools in Darlington) Primary =

difference in Y1-Y6 cohort to Reception-Y5 in previous

year. Secondary = difference in Y8-Y11 cohort to Y7-Y10

in previous year.

Nationality

of those

registered to

vote

LA Electoral Registers - over 17s registered at 1st Dec

(Oct for 2012, Feb 2014 (2013 proxy) & Feb 2016 (2015

proxy)). Only eligible to register if a British, Irish, EU or


Individual electoral registration was implemented in

2014.


year

GP Patients

HSCIC - Patients registered at a GP surgery at 30th

June with address in TV.

GP registrations


living abroad

NYA

ONS Local Migration indicators - Registered with a GP

& was previously living abroad (Flag 4 record). For Mid

Years.

NINo

Registrations

DWP National Insurance Number (NINo) allocations to

adult overseas nationals entering the UK by location of

registration. A NINo is needed to work or claim benefits

in the UK. For Financial Years.

This source will also include short-term residents.

Whether they remained in this location is not known by

this source.

Births

NYA

ONS Live Births to Mothers Born Outside the UK.

For Calendar Years.

To EU MothersNYA

HARTLEPOOL

HARTLEPOOL 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Population 90.8 91.0 91.4 91.5 91.8 92.1 92.2 92.7 92.6 92.5

Births 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0

Deaths 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1

Natural Change 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 -0.1

Net Migration within UK 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.1 -0.3 -0.1

Net International

Migration 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1

Other population

change* 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Total Net Migration 0.1 0.1 0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.3 -0.3 0.0

Total Net Change 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 -0.1 -0.1




Back to contents 20

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source & Notes:

Primary pupils -30 -40 40 -10 0

% of pupils -0.4% -0.6% 0.5% -0.2% 0.0%

Secondary pupils 0 0 0 10 0

% of pupils - - -0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

All residents 70,780 71,100 69,230 69,500 69,320

+340 +320 -1,870 +270 -180

0.5% 0.5% -2.6% 0.4% -0.3%

% Non-UK 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0%

Non-UK 690 710 660 720 710

+40 +20 -50 +60 -10

EU8 320 355 340 360 360

+40 +35 -15 +20 +

EU2 15 20 20 25 25

- +5 + +5 +

All patients 95,700 96,000 96,100 96,200 96,500

+600 +300 +100 +100 +300

0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%

200 250 190 200

+20 +50 -60 +10


- + -10 +

% to Non-UK Mothers 6.4% 6.7% 6.0% 5.6%

30 30 30 30

+10 + + +

Non-UK 160 140 120 130 150

+10 -20 -20 +10 +20

EU8 85 90 65 45 55

+15 +5 -25 -20 +10

EU2 5 5 15 20 35

- - +10 +5 +15

Short-Term




Hartlepool

Pupil cohort

change


state-funded schools in Hartlepool) Primary =



in previous year.

Nationality

of those

registered to

vote






2014.


year

GP Patients



GP registrations


living abroad

NYA



Years.

NINo

Registrations







this source.

Births

NYA


For Calendar Years.

To EU MothersNYA

MIDDLESBROUGH

MIDDLESBROUGH 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Population 138.2 138.2 137.9 137.3 137.7 138.4 138.7 138.9 139.1 139.5

Births 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0

Deaths 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.5

Natural Change 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5

Net Migration within UK -1.1 -0.9 -1.3 -1.3 -0.8 -0.7 -0.7 -1.1 -1.1 -0.9

Net International

Migration 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8

Other population

change* -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.5 -0.5 -0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Total Net Migration -0.9 -0.5 -0.9 -1.0 -0.3 -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 -0.1

Total Net Change -0.3 0.0 -0.3 -0.6 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4




Back to contents 22

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source & Notes:

Primary pupils -110 -30 -40 -30 30

% of pupils -1.1% -0.3% -0.3% -0.3% 0.2%

Secondary pupils -80 -70 -50 -110 -80

% of pupils -1.3% -1.2% -0.8% -1.9% -1.4%

All residents 101,860 100,790 96,480 92,320 94,790

+440 -1,070 -4,310 -4,160 +2,470

0.4% -1.1% -4.3% -4.3% 2.7%

% Non-UK 3.4% 3.3% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9%

Non-UK 3,160 3,130 2,760 2,540 2,780

+180 -30 -370 -220 +240

EU8 800 930 800 675 740

+110 +130 -130 -125 +65

EU2 45 50 50 60 135

+5 +5 - +10 +75

All patients 150,300 151,000 151,600 152,500 154,000

+1,200 +700 +600 +900 +1,500

0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0%

1,460 1,570 1,480 1,560

-540 +110 -90 +80


- +20 +20 +10

% to Non-UK Mothers 16.2% 18.3% 19.0% 20.3%

60 60 100 90

- - +40 -10

Non-UK 910 820 750 1,180 1,450

-470 -90 -70 +430 +270

EU8 205 285 185 270 175

-85 +80 -100 +85 -95

EU2 20 20 45 180 580

+10 - +25 +135 +400

Short-Term




Middlesbrough

Pupil cohort

change


state-funded schools in Middlesbrough) Primary =



in previous year.

Nationality

of those

registered to

vote






2014.


year

GP Patients



GP registrations


living abroad

NYA



Years.

NINo

Registrations







this source.

Births

NYA


For Calendar Years.

To EU MothersNYA

REDCAR &

CLEVELAND

REDCAR &

CLEVELAND 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Population 137.6 136.9 136.5 135.9 135.4 135.2 135.0 134.9 135.0 135.3

Births 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5

Deaths 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.5

Natural Change 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 -0.1

Net Migration within UK -0.4 -0.5 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.5 -0.2 -0.1 0.2

Net International

Migration -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1

Other population

change* -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Total Net Migration -0.7 -0.7 -0.6 -0.7 -0.7 -0.5 -0.4 -0.2 -0.1 0.3

Total Net Change -0.6 -0.7 -0.4 -0.6 -0.5 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.2




Back to contents 24

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source & Notes:

Primary pupils -30 -30 -40 60 30

% of pupils -0.4% -0.3% -0.4% 0.6% 0.4%

Secondary pupils -30 0 -30 10 -50

% of pupils -0.5% - -0.5% 0.2% -0.7%

All residents 106,120 104,700 100,380 101,090 103,590

+130 -1,420 -4,320 +710 +2,500

0.1% -1.3% -4.1% 0.7% 2.5%

% Non-UK 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6%

Non-UK 510 560 530 600 650

+80 +50 -30 +70 +50

EU8 145 165 150 190 205

+20 +20 -15 +40 +15

EU2 25 20 15 20 30

+5 -5 -5 +5 +10

All patients 141,200 141,100 141,000 140,800 141,100

+100 -100 -100 -200 +300

0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.2%

90 130 130 170

-30 +40 + +40


10 + -10 +10

% to Non-UK Mothers 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 4.4%

20 30 20 30

+ +10 -10 +10

Non-UK 80 80 80 140 150

-20 + + +60 +10

EU8 20 20 30 35 40

+5 + +10 +5 +5

EU2 5 0 0 45 55

- -5 - +45 +10

Short-Term




Redcar & Cleveland

Pupil cohort

change


state-funded schools in Redcar & Cleveland) Primary =



in previous year.

Nationality

of those

registered to

vote






2014.


year

GP Patients



GP registrations


living abroad

NYA



Years.

NINo

Registrations







this source.

Births

NYA


For Calendar Years.

To EU MothersNYA

STOCKTON-ON-TEES

STOCKTON-ON-TEES 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Population 187.3 187.9 189.0 190.0 190.9 191.8 192.4 193.2 194.1 194.8

Births 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.4

Deaths 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.9

Natural Change 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5

Net Migration within UK 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.3 -0.1 0.1 -0.4 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2

Net International

Migration 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4

Other population

change* -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0

Total Net Migration 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 -0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2

Total Net Change 0.9 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7




Back to contents 26

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source & Notes:

Primary pupils 10 -20 -30 80 100

% of pupils 0.1% -0.2% -0.2% 0.6% 0.7%

Secondary pupils -20 -60 -70 50 -60

% of pupils -0.3% -0.8% -0.8% 0.6% -0.8%

All residents 143,900 144,220 139,470 138,900 141,120

+880 +320 -4,750 -570 +2,220

0.6% 0.2% -3.3% -0.4% 1.6%

% Non-UK 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5%

Non-UK 1,910 2,010 1,860 2,050 2,170

-20 +100 -150 +190 +120

EU8 380 430 425 460 435

+50 +50 -5 +35 -25

EU2 80 100 95 130 165

+25 +20 -5 +35 +35

All patients 195,800 196,800 197,800 199,100 200,000

+1,400 +1,000 +1,000 +1,300 +900

0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5%

760 870 920 1,010

+150 +110 +50 +90


10 - +10 +

% to Non-UK Mothers 8.8% 8.9% 10.0% 10.1%

60 50 50 50

+10 -10 + +

Non-UK 390 440 440 680 690

-120 +50 - +240 +10

EU8 65 140 60 90 60

+5 +75 -80 +30 -30

EU2 35 30 35 100 125

+20 -5 +5 +65 +25

Short-Term




Stockton-on-Tees

Pupil cohort

change


state-funded schools in Stockton-on-Tees) Primary =



in previous year.

Nationality

of those

registered to

vote






2014.


year

GP Patients



GP registrations


living abroad

NYA



Years.

NINo

Registrations







this source.

Births

NYA


For Calendar Years.

To EU MothersNYA

annual migration report for the tees valley - 2017 · 2018-07-02 · annual migration report for...

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