annual results presentation · 2019. 11. 13. · 2016 10 213 3 617 225,22 174,73 432,72 832,67 ......
TRANSCRIPT
1DWELLING ON RESIDENTIAL
ANNUAL RESULTS PRESENTATION
30 SEPTEMBER 2019
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
3
2019 YEARChallenging year and environment, but making the right decisions for the longer term
benefit of the company and its stakeholders
Good progress made with re-focused strategy to strengthen our team, processes and portfolio, sell small buildings and de-risk from head leases and students
Good results in letting high vacancy buildings and containing bad debts
Positive about the rental residential sector, the diversity of our portfolio and our value for money offering to tenants
Dividend for the year 78,25 cents
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
5
ENVIRONMENT
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
CONSUMERPRESSURES
Source: SSA Transunion ABSA research
Indications of deteriorating consumer credit health
56
54
52
48
46
44
42 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
ImprovingDeteriorating
Trans Union Consumer Credit Health Index
Wage settlements appear to be slowing
Compensation of employees
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
%y/y
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
7
CASE STUDYA REAL LIFE EXAMPLE IN THE CBDMost inner city property owners have not increased their rentals this year due to high vacancies and increased municipal charges
YEAR HOUSEHOLD INCOME RENTAL WATER
CHARGESSEWER
CHARGESELECTRICITY
CHARGESTOTAL COUNCIL
CHARGES2008 5 944 1 981 107,59 66,33 132,08 306,00
2009 6 360 2 150 117,97 75,61 157,16 350,74
2010 6 805 2 322 128,18 86,20 189,52 403,90
2011 7 281 2 530 149,89 98,27 235,00 474,16
2012 7 791 2 695 155,44 112,52 317,24 585,20
2013 8 337 2 911 167,98 123,56 258,48 650,02
2014 8 920 3 144 181,79 134,57 378,16 694,52
2015 9 545 3 412 205,16 153,41 406,72 765,29
2016 10 213 3 617 225,22 174,73 432,72 832,67
2017 10 928 3 798 291,08 196,05 442,60 929,73
2018 11 692 3 898 328,95 223,87 534,60 1 087,42
2019 R 12 511 R 3 988 R 361,00 R 285,00 R 536,00 R 1 183,00
2020 13 387 4 463 384,50 285,86 707,01 1 377,37
2021 14 324 4 397 415,26 363,92 709,28 1 488,46
Total increase 2008 - 2019 110,49% 101,26% 236,03% 329,68% 306,06% 286,56%
Total increase 2008 - 2021 140,98% 121,89% 285,97% 448,66% 437,01% 386,43%
Rooms 1
Area JHB CBD
Geysers Yes
Season Winter
Adults 2 - working
Children 1 - school
Electricity Kwh p/m 400
Water Kl p/m 22
Source: Nic Barnes JPOMA
NATIONALVACANCY RATE
National Vacancy
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q42016 2017 2018
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
Q1 Q2 Q32019
7,25%
5,52%
6,19%
6,90%
8,11%
6,42%
5,35%5,86%
7,90% 7,70%8,10%
8,64%
7,91%
9,42%
Q1
Indluplace7,3%
9
PROVINCIALVACANCY RATE
9,6%
6,8%
National Average Gauteng
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q32016 2017 2018
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Q4
Eastern Cape KwaZulu-Natal
11,4%
Smaller 5 Provinces
10,7%
Western Cape
7,8%
Indluplace(Gauteng)
6%
Q1 Q2 Q32019
PRICE BANDVACANCY RATE
12,4%
8,9%
National Average
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q32016 2017 2018
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Q4
R 3 000 - R 7 000R 3 000 - R 4 500
7,4%
R 7 000 - R 12 000
7,8%
< R 3 000
13,6%
Q1 Q2 Q32019
R 4 500 - R 7 000 > R 12 000
11,6%
11
TPN MARKET STRENGTHINDEX BY PRICE BAND
46,3%48,4%
National Average
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q32016 2017 2018
75%
70%
65%
60%
55%
50%
45%
40%
Q4
R 3 000 - R 7 000R 3 000 - R 4 500
48,5%
R 7 000 - R 12 000
45,7%
< R 3 000
52,9%
Q1 Q2 Q32019
R 4 500 - R 7 000 > R 12 000
51,6%
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
13
BUILDING ACTIVITYIS ON THE DECLINE
BUILDING PLANS PASSED JAN- AUG (2019/2019) % CHANGE
SA (%) GAUTENG (%)
Residential Building (No) (25,3) 2
Office (m2) (24,1) (9)
Shopping (m2) (21,1) (61,7)
Industrial (m2) (9,7) (29,6)
Source: Prof Francois Viruly quoting Stats SA
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
15
PORTFOLIO& ASSET MANAGEMENT
RESIDENTIALUNITS
GA
UTE
NG
MPU
MA
LAN
GA
FREE
STAT
E
KZN
Own 9 917 units
Retail 20 583 m2
10%Pretoria
5,4%vacancy
78%JHB
6,1%vacancy
5%Vanderbijl
0%vacancy
1%Durban
30%vacancy
1%Bloemfontein
1,4%vacancy
5%Emalahleni
33%vacancy
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
17
GAUTENGUNIT LOCATION AND VACANCY RATE
10%JHB
West Rand
7,4%vacancy
7%JHB South& Soweto
7,6%vacancy
5%Vanderbijl
0%vacancy
21%JHB East
6,6%vacancy
31%JHB Inner
City
5,5%vacancy
5%JHB North
5,6%vacancy
10%Pretoria
5,4%vacancy
5%JHB CBDPeriphery
4,2%vacancy
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
PORTFOLIOINFO
RESIDENTIAL UNIT TYPES UNITS % OF TOTAL VACANCIES
Bachelors/rooms 2 222 22 6,1%
1 Beds 2 054 21 7,9%
2 Beds 4 646 47 7,2%
3 Beds 834 8 4,5%
Other 161 2 1,2%
Total 9 917
19
TOTA
L RE
SID
ENTI
AL
UN
ITS9 917
TOTA
L RE
TAIL
m220 583
167
TOTA
L BU
ILD
ING
S
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
21
LETTING SUCCESSHIGH VACANCY PROPERTIES
HIGHVELD VIEWEMALAHLENI, MPUMALANGA450 x two bedroom units
Market rental R5 000 – R6 000
Currently letting at R5 500 for individual units – six months net gain per month average 23 units
Opening occupancy of 22%. At end September the complex was 67% let
Discussions with a potential buyer for the property was halted as there was no progress
Currently de-risked as far as head or bulk leases are concerned
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
23
1 ELOFFJOHANNESBURG CBD, GAUTENG138 x one bedroom units and 182 x two bedroom units
Currently at best occupancy since acquisition
Retail on ground floor not acquired, disappointing letting
Reduced rental to fill units (13% reversion)
High turnover building but busy settling
Installed subsidised internet connectivity
Several new initiatives with letting agents proved successful but add to costs
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
LETTING SUCCESSPER MONTH
1 Eloff
Total new lets: 260 units
Average 31 pm since March
Highveld View
Total new lets: 267 units
Average 34 pm since March
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mch Apr May June July Aug Sept
22%24% 24% 26%
33%37% 40%
45%50%
54%
63%67%
83%76%
73%69% 69%
74%78% 81%
87%91%
97% 97%
Highveld View 1 Eloff
25
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
5,0%4,5%4,0%3,5%3,0%2,5%2,0%1,5%1,0%0,5%0,0%
2018 2019
October
Novem
ber
Decem
ber
Janu
ary
Febru
ary
March
AprilMay
June Ju
ly
Augus
t
Septem
ber
TURNOVEROF TENANTS
27
DISPOSALSFactors considered include number of units, condition, forecast performance and location
Number of properties transferred by end September 9
Number of properties agreed but not transferred 8
Average number of units per property 8
Location Mainly South of Johannesburg
Westwood Place & Huntingdon Place
Sellers agreed to buy back underperforming assets Westwood Place (14 units) & Huntingdon Place (14 units)
Purchase price R22,98m on terms
Discussions underway to dispose of student buildings (Durban and Vanderbijlpark)
STU
DEN
TSMA
LL P
ROPE
RTIE
S
BUFF
ET B
UYB
ACK
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
SOLAR REPORTSUMMARY - 1 JANUARY 2019 – 30 SEPTEMBER 2019
7 730Bags (25kg) of coal saved
310Tonnes of CO2 saved
4 637Months a lightbulb was powered
4 139Seeds planted
29
SITE NAME SIZE (KWH)
2019 PRODUCTION
(KWH)
2019 SAVINGS
(ZAR)
BAGS OF COAL
REDUCED
TONS OF CO2 REDUCED
MONTHS A 100W LIGHT
BULB WAS POWERED
TREE SEEDLINGS
GROWN FOR 10 YEARS
Quagga Estate 77,76 32 424 R 12 913 727 29 436 389
Amberfield Village 115,32 85 429 R 18 708 1 914 77 1 148 1 025
Park Village 228,78 132 289 R 33 368 2 964 119 1 778 1 587
Villa Mia 43,68 48 560 R 12 246 1 088 44 653 583
Annlin Place 25,85 10 832 R 3 523 243 10 146 130
Syringa Mews 41,8 21 261 R 13 301 454 18 272 243
Stone Arch Village 6 56,1 15 162 R 9 640 340 14 204 182
Total 589,29 344 957 R 103 702 7 730 310 4 637 4 139
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
31
PROPERTY MANAGEMENTOutsourced to seven Specialist Managers
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
33
FINANCIALS
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
INCOMEDISTRIBUTABLE
YEAR ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER
2019
YEAR ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER
2018VARIANCE
Contractual revenue 546 461 872 563 481 852 (3,0%)
Net property expenses (164 215 698) (146 817 312) 11,9%
Net property income 382 246 174 416 664 540 (8,3%)
Administration costs (19 718 977) (15 864 641)
Net finance charges (111 057 282) (89 827 109)
Antecedent income - 510 393
Distributable income 251 469 915 311 483 183 (19,3%)
Average number of shares in issue 321 351 671 318 645 117
Net expense ratio 30,1% 26,1%
Dividend per share 78,25 97,75 (19,9%)
35
PROPERTYEXPENSE BREAKDOWN
% CONTRACTUAL REVENUE % EXPENDITURE
Gross municipal 24,0 47,9
Building expenses 5,8 11,6
Repairs & maintenance 4,1 8,1
Collection commission 6,0 12,0
Security 4,7 9,4
Bad debts 1,2 2,5
Legal expenses 0,6 1,2
BC levies 2,6 5,2
Other property expenses 1,1 2,1
50,1 100,0
Less recoveries (20,0)
Net property expense ratio 30,1
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
MUNICIPALEXPENSES
Municipal expenses are 47,9% of total82% recovered excluding rates
41,1%Electricity
16,9%Rates & Taxes
4,6%Waste Removal
23,2%Water
13,2%Sewerage
1,1%Gas
AVERAGE RENTALESCALATIONS
5 000
4 000
3 000
2 000
1 000
0
Inner City Non-Inner City Total
R 3 804
R 4 697R 4 383
AverageEscalation
v Sept ‘18 (1,6%)
AverageEscalation
v Sept ‘18 2,0%
AverageEscalation
v Sept ‘18 0,9%
37
AVERAGERENTALS, INNER AND NON-INNER CITY
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
INNER CITY NON-INNER CITY OVERALL
AVERAGE RENTALS
ESCALATIONS V SEPTEMBER
AVERAGE RENTALS
ESCALATIONS V SEPTEMBER
AVERAGE RENTALS
ESCALATIONS V SEPTEMBER
ROOMS R 1 765 1,4% R 1 898 5,2% R 1 871 4,4%
BACHELORS R 2 716 (2,4%) R 4 580 2,7% R 3 115 0,2%
1 BED R 3 717 (1,1%) R 4 434 1,5% R 4 133 0,5%
2 BED R 4 254 (3,0%) R 5 352 2,4% R 5 129 1,4%
3 BED R 5 244 0,4% R 7 081 1,9% R 5 943 1,1%
4 BED R 6 106 (0,1%) R 11 642 (1,2%) R 7 020 (0,4%)
39
CONTROLLINGBAD DEBTS, ARREARS AND VACANCIES
VACANCIES2019 2018 2017
SEPTEMBER MARCH SEPTEMBER MARCH SEPTEMBER MARCH
Residential 7,3% 8,5% 8,4% 6,3% 3,5% 4,5%
Retail 4,3%* 1,0% 0,7% 1,5% 1,0% 9,6%
2019 2018 2017
SEPTEMBER MARCH SEPTEMBER MARCH SEPTEMBER
Bad debts & provisions 1,0%
1,8%1,8%
3,5% 1,3%Arrears 0,6% 0,4%
Total 1,6% 1,8% 2,2% 3,5% 1,3%
PRIME TRANCHE 2Part of Buffet portfolio acquired 1 October 2017 was a portfolio that was under conversion and refurbishment
Price adjustment mechanism instead of income guarantee
• Price adjustment: R28 million
• Two underperforming buildings returned to seller:
Westwood Place and Huntingdon Place, BoksburgNumber
ofbuildings
13
Numberof
units
Purchaseprice
446R241
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
41
BALANCE SHEETEXTRACT
RYEAR ENDED
30 SEPTEMBER 2019
YEAR ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER
2018
Investment property 4 175 006 452 4 270 425 689
Property loan receivable 44 767 070 -
4 219 773 522 4 270 425 689
Shareholders’ interest 2 901 930 111 3 216 099 141
Secured financial liabilities 1 480 005 758 1 286 849 338
Shares in issue 321 351 671 318 645 019
Net asset value (cents) 903,04 1 009,30
Loan to value ratio 33,6% 30,1%
LOANSAND GEARING
LTV 33,6%
Total debt R1,48 billion
Available facilities R110 million
Percentage of drawn down debt hedged 61%
Weighted average cost of debt 9,20%
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
43
NET ASSET VALUEPER SHARE (CENTS)
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
LOANSEXPIRY
Drawn Undrawn
700 000 000
600 000 000
500 000 000
400 000 000
300 000 000
200 000 000
100 000 000
0
30 September 2020 30 September 2021 30 September 2022 30 September 2023Financail yearending
45
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
47
THE WAY FORWARD
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
STAFFORGANOGRAM
Property AdministratorBuhle Mpofu
CEOCarel de Wit
Chief Operations OfficerGrant Harris
Financial DirectorTerry Kaplan
Asset ManagerArmand Fourie
Asset ManagerPaul Venter
Letting AgentPatricia Mtetwa
Financial ManagerMark Tait
Financial ManagerAnita-Joy Makgai
Utilities ManagerZweli Madhlala
49
TENANTS
Wage increases
Credit health
Cost of accommodation
ENVIRONMENT
Interest rates
Economic Growth
Demand/supply JHB CBD
Demand/supply STATS SA
Demand/supply TPN
Council charges increases
CPI
Escalations
Vacancies
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za // reviewed annual results 2019
51
Making a difference in communities
Value for money offering
Proven ability to attract good quality tenants
Bad debts under control
Valuations holding up
LTV
Team strengthened (internal & outsourced)
Strategy consistent and clear
INDLUPLACE
Expect 2020 dividends to be lower but like-for-like portfolio performance to be similar to 2019
www.indluplaceproperties.co.za