contents · ““bridging the gap between research and policy” continuing consultation with...
TRANSCRIPT
Contents
2-32-32-32-32-3 MessagesMessagesMessagesMessagesMessages
4-54-54-54-54-5 PEP Research Network: A BackgrounderPEP Research Network: A BackgrounderPEP Research Network: A BackgrounderPEP Research Network: A BackgrounderPEP Research Network: A Backgrounder
7
8
9-14
15-2515-2515-2515-2515-25 Abstracts of Conference PapersAbstracts of Conference PapersAbstracts of Conference PapersAbstracts of Conference PapersAbstracts of Conference Papers
26-2826-2826-2826-2826-28 Main Partners & DonorsMain Partners & DonorsMain Partners & DonorsMain Partners & DonorsMain Partners & Donors
66666 At-a-Glance: 9th PEP General MeetingAt-a-Glance: 9th PEP General MeetingAt-a-Glance: 9th PEP General MeetingAt-a-Glance: 9th PEP General MeetingAt-a-Glance: 9th PEP General Meeting
PEP School on Poverty Mapping
PEP Policy Conference
Parallel Sessions (CBMS, MPIA, PIERI & PMMA)
222229th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
My warmest greetings and best wishes to all the participants of the 9th Poverty and
Economic Policy (PEP) Research Network General Meeting.
The Ministry of Planning of the Kingdom of Cambodia is proud to be associated with
PEP - a global research network that is committed to ensuring greater participation of
local researchers in tackling poverty and inequality in developing countries. Indeed,
building the scientific capacity and research base in these countries can go a very long
way in ensuring that the methods used in identifying strategies in pursuit of sustainable
growth and poverty reduction are participatory and thus, locally owned.
This is very much evident in the community-based monitoring system (CBMS) project
that is being implemented in a number of communes in the Provinces of Batatambang,
Kratie and Kampong Thom. It has not only developed the capacities at the local level
in terms of needs assessment, planning, monitoring and evaluation of development
projects but has also marked significant success in promoting convergence of planning
processes at the commune, provincial and national levels through the use of CBMS
data. Just recently, the CBMS methodology was also used to track the impacts of the
global financial crisis. The results of this study are very important in identifying measures
that can mitigate the adverse impacts of this crisis as well as help our households to
better cope with similar shocks in the future.
I am therefore convinced that we will greatly benefit from the wealth of ideas that will
come out of this conference. With an impressive agenda and distinguished panel of
presenters, your next seven days promise to be very stimulating indeed!
To the people behind the PEP Research Network, we congratulate you for your
achievements and bid you a warm welcome to Cambodia. May you have an enjoyable
and productive stay in Siem Reap, the Great Gate to Angkor!
“The Ministry of Planning of the Kingdom of Cambodia isproud to be associated with PEP - a global researchnetwork that is committed to ensuring greaterparticipation of local researchers in tackling poverty andinequality in developing countries.”
His Excellency
CHHAY THANSenior Minister
Ministry of Planning
Kingdom of Cambodia
PEP Research Network: Building theScientific Capacity and Research Base
in Developing Countries
33333 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
On behalf of the Poverty and Economic Policy (PEP) Research Network, we are pleased
to welcome you all to the Kingdom of Cambodia and to the 9th PEP General Meeting.
Held almost annually since 2002, these meetings gather development economists,
researchers and policymakers from around the world to both learn and share knowledge
on the most recent methodologies, concepts and findings in poverty and economic
policy analysis. More importantly, these meetings are a great showcase of how PEP is
making significant advances in pursuing its objectives of strengthening local
development research capacities in the South, facilitating a better understanding of
the causes and consequences of poverty, bridging the gap between research and
policy, and proposing evidence-based policies and programs to help combat poverty.
This year’s edition of the general meeting promises to be even more exciting as more
PEP researchers are going to present their research results on a wide range of issues,
including public infrastructure and inclusive growth, impact evaluation of government
programs, impacts of the global financial crisis, household coping strategies, the
millennium development goals, vulnerability risk mapping and assessment, and many
more.
This meeting would not have taken off the ground without the continued and generous
support of our partner organizations. In particular, we would like to thank the Australian
Agency for International Development (AusAID), the Canadian International Development
Agency (CIDA) and the International Development Research Centre (IDRC). Tremendous
thanks are also in order to the Cambodian authorities, in particular, to the Ministry of
Planning headed by His Excellency, Chhay Than, for their hospitality.
We wish you all a fruitful and productive meeting!
“These meetings gather developmenteconomists, researchers and policymakers
from around the world to both learn andshare knowledge on the most recent
methodologies, concepts and findings inpoverty and economic policy analysis.”
CELIA M. REYES &JOHN M. COCKBURN
Co-Directors
PEP Research Network
Learning and Sharing Knowledge on theMost Recent Methodologies, Conceptsand Findings in Poverty and EconomicPolicy Analysis
444449th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Poverty and Economic Policy (PEP) Research NetworkPoverty and Economic Policy (PEP) Research NetworkPoverty and Economic Policy (PEP) Research NetworkPoverty and Economic Policy (PEP) Research NetworkPoverty and Economic Policy (PEP) Research Network
The Poverty and Economic Policy (PEP) Research Network is a network of Southern research institutes, researchers
and stakeholders supported by international experts and devoted to ensuring greater participation of local expertise
in the analysis of policy issues related to poverty, and economic and social development. PEP has regional offices
in Asia (Philippines), Africa (Senegal), Latin America (Peru) and North America (Canada). It is currently funded by the
Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID), Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA),
International Development Research Centre (IDRC), and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), and
working in collaboration with several other institutions such as the Inter-America Development Bank (IADB), International
Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), etc. - in special initiatives for
research on various thematic issues.
With ten years of experience and the support of world-renowned scientific experts in development economics, PEP
has become a unique source of expertise in building local capacities for economic and policy analyses in developing
countries. Indeed, since its establishment in 2002, PEP has contributed to build research capacities in nearly 50
developing countries for more than 500 local analysts who now have the expertise and resources to produce
reliable scientific evidence on emerging development issues and assist in related policymaking at home.
This scientific evidence proceeds from different analytical approaches:
• Community-Based Monitoring Systems, providing systematic sources of data from local-level censuses,
implemented in coordination with local government units, to both profile and monitor poverty in a
multidimensional sense as a complement to existing national statistical databases
• Statistical monitoring, measurement and analysis of multidimensional poverty and development; using
both monetary and non-monetary approaches to provide a fuller characterization of the nature,
distribution, causes and consequences of poverty in the country
• Impact assessments, conducting rigorous evaluations of policies and program interventions in order to
assess the actual impact on targeted populations and effective use of budget resources
• Prospective analyses of the impact of macroeconomic policies and shocks on long-term economic growth
and socioeconomic well-being at the national level, - using modeling and macro-micro simulation
techniques
These different approaches are
based on world-renowned, state-
of-the-art methodologies,
techniques and tools, the
development of which PEP
research and experts have
substantially contributed to over
the past ten years.
PEP-led initiatives provide
funding and scientific support for
studies to be conducted by
competitively-selected teams of developing country researchers. These teams are “gender-balanced” and usually
count 3 to 4 members, including one senior researcher and several junior researchers. So far, PEP support has
allowed the completion of 172 study projects under a variety of policy research themes, from child poverty to fiscal
and trade policies. In each case, specific policy issues to be addressed were identified by the selected researchers
themselves, in consultation with local or national policy stakeholders, and development partner representatives, to
ensure both policy relevance and local ownership of the research agenda.
An international network ofresearchers in developingcountries who have the expertise,resources and reputation tocontribute to national andinternational debates on economicpolicies related to poverty
“
”
55555 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
PEP activities have been concentrated in the following areas:
Capacity BuildingCapacity BuildingCapacity BuildingCapacity BuildingCapacity Building“Strengthening local development research capacities in the
South”
PEP provides developing country researchers and practitioners with training
and direct support from international experts in the use of the most recent
and rigorous tools and techniques in poverty and policy analysis. Through
the PEP Network, Southern researchers are able to access an extensive
pool of resources, peers and expertise, beyond that available within their
home countries.
ResearchResearchResearchResearchResearch“Understanding better the causes and consequences of poverty”
PEP research contributes to improve the monitoring and measurement of
poverty in developing countries through the development of tailored
concepts and methodologies that better capture the nature, extent and
depth of poverty as well as to assess the specific impacts of programs
and policies at the local and national levels. Moreover, as PEP researchers
define the research agenda themselves - in consultation with national
stakeholders – poverty analysis and policy recommendations are assured
to be more responsive to emerging development issues; such as trade
and globalization, education, labor and employment, gender, health, child
welfare, fiscal policies, inequality, and the like.
Consultation & DisseminationConsultation & DisseminationConsultation & DisseminationConsultation & DisseminationConsultation & Dissemination“““““Bridging the gap between research and policy”
Continuing consultation with intended research users, including
policymakers and development partners at local, national and international
levels, is a central component of PEP-supported projects, from the initial
research design through all the stages of execution, and culminates with
several important final dissemination activities such as publications,
national policy conferences, and other related activities. PEP thus
contributes to enhanced collaboration among development researchers,
experts, institutions, policymakers and other stakeholders in their efforts
to alleviate poverty and promote development.
Policy InfluencePolicy InfluencePolicy InfluencePolicy InfluencePolicy Influence“““““Proposing evidence-based policies and programs to help
combat poverty”
Through systematic consultation and dissemination activities, PEP research
findings are directly communicated to intended research users, including
policymakers, program implementers, development partners and other
stakeholders, thereby maximizing their potential influence on decisions
and initiatives related to the improvement of socioeconomic well-being in
Southern countries.
666669th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Da teDa teDa teDa teDa te
December 3, 2011
December 4, 2011
December 5, 2011
AM Session
December 5, 2011
PM Session
December 6, 2011
AM Sessions
December 6, 2011
PM Session
December 7, 2011
AM Sessions
December 7, 2011
PM Sessions
December 8, 2011
AM Sessions
December 8, 2011
PM Sessions
December 9, 2011
AM Sessions
TTTTTi m ei m ei m ei m ei m e
8:30am-5:30pm
10:00am-12:00pm
2:00pm-4:00pm
8:30am-1:00pm
9:00am-12:30pm
9:00am-12:30pm
2:00pm-5:30pm
8:30am-12:30pm(continuation of
second session:
2:00pm-3:10pm)
9:00am-12:30pm
9:00am-12:30pm
3:30pm-6:00pm
2:00pm-5:30pm
2:00pm-5:30pm
8:30am-2:00pm
9:00am-12:30pm
9:00am-12:30pm
2:00pm-5:30pm
2:00pm-5:30pm
8:30am-12:00pm
9:00am-12:00pm
SubnetworkSubnetworkSubnetworkSubnetworkSubnetwork
CBMS
CBMS/MPIA/PIERI/PMMA
CBMS/MPIA/PIERI/PMMA
CBMS
PIERI/PMMA
MPIA
CBMS/PIERI/PMMA/MPIA
CBMS
PIERI/PMMA
MPIA
CBMS
PIERI/PMMA
MPIA
CBMS
PIERI
PMMA
CBMS
MPIA/PIERI/PMMA
CBMS
MPIA/PIERI/PMMA
Session TSession TSession TSession TSession Tit lesit lesit lesit lesit les
PEP School on Poverty Mapping
PEP Policy Conference:
Impact Evaluation: Lessons from Latin America
PEP Policy Conference:
Public Infrastructure and Inclusive Growth
The Role of CBMS in Fast-Tracking the
Achievement of the MDGs
Labor
Crisis
Communications Workshop
Monitoring Household Coping Responses During
Complex Crises
Monitoring the Impacts of the Global Financial
Crisis on Poverty
Impact Evaluation
Growth
CBMS Implementation and Application at the
Commune Level in Cambodia
Education
Growth
Multidimensional Poverty Analysis
Using CBMS for Monitoring Women and Children’s
Well-Being
Field Experiments
Equity/Poverty
Vulnerability Risk Mapping and Assessment for
Monitoring the Impacts of Climate Change
Individual Meetings with Resource Persons
Monitoring Household Living Conditions Using
CBMS
New CBMS Initiatives
Individual Meetings with Resource Persons
R o o mR o o mR o o mR o o mR o o m
Executive Meeting Room
Era Grand Ballroom
Era Grand Ballroom
Executive Meeting Room
President Lounge Meeting
Room
Club Lounge Meeting Room
Era Grand Ballroom
Executive Meeting Room
President Lounge Meeting
Room
Era Grand Ballroom
Executive Meeting Room
President Lounge Meeting
Room
Era Grand Ballroom
President Lounge Meeting
Room
Executive Meeting Room
Era Grand Ballroom
Era Grand Ballroom
9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General MeetingAt-a-GlanceAt-a-GlanceAt-a-GlanceAt-a-GlanceAt-a-Glance
77777 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Day 1Day 1Day 1Day 1Day 1
Opening Program
Session 1: Presentation of CBMS CountryPresentation of CBMS CountryPresentation of CBMS CountryPresentation of CBMS CountryPresentation of CBMS Country
TTTTTeamseamseamseamseams
Session 2: Installation and a New CBMS-Installation and a New CBMS-Installation and a New CBMS-Installation and a New CBMS-Installation and a New CBMS-
NRDB DatabaseNRDB DatabaseNRDB DatabaseNRDB DatabaseNRDB Database
Session 3: Util izing Existing Spatial DataUtil izing Existing Spatial DataUtil izing Existing Spatial DataUtil izing Existing Spatial DataUtil izing Existing Spatial Data
A. Viewing existing shapefiles
B. Printing map layouts
Session 4: Creating New Spatial DataCreating New Spatial DataCreating New Spatial DataCreating New Spatial DataCreating New Spatial Data
A. Overlaying using scanned
images with coordinates
B. Digitizing (Polygons, Polylines
and Points)
Session 5: Uti l iz ing Existing Non-spatialUti l iz ing Existing Non-spatialUti l iz ing Existing Non-spatialUti l iz ing Existing Non-spatialUti l iz ing Existing Non-spatial
DataDataDataDataData
A. Data file conversion
B. Importing files from compatible
program
Day 2Day 2Day 2Day 2Day 2
Session 6: Displaying Poverty MapsDisplaying Poverty MapsDisplaying Poverty MapsDisplaying Poverty MapsDisplaying Poverty Maps
A. Modifying map layer properties
for CBMS core indicators
B. Thematic mapping and its
interpretation
C. Saving map lay-outs
D. Copying the output map to
other programs
E. Exercise on outputting
different map layers
Session 7: Reports, Graphs and QueriesReports, Graphs and QueriesReports, Graphs and QueriesReports, Graphs and QueriesReports, Graphs and Queries
Session 8: Overview of the CBMSOverview of the CBMSOverview of the CBMSOverview of the CBMSOverview of the CBMS
Data Processing System (CSProData Processing System (CSProData Processing System (CSProData Processing System (CSProData Processing System (CSPro
and Statsim)and Statsim)and Statsim)and Statsim)and Statsim)
Resource Persons:Resource Persons:Resource Persons:Resource Persons:Resource Persons:
Jasminda Asirot-Quilitis and Novee Lor LeysoJasminda Asirot-Quilitis and Novee Lor LeysoJasminda Asirot-Quilitis and Novee Lor LeysoJasminda Asirot-Quilitis and Novee Lor LeysoJasminda Asirot-Quilitis and Novee Lor Leyso
Members, CBMS Philippines Research Team
PEP School on Poverty MappingPEP School on Poverty MappingPEP School on Poverty MappingPEP School on Poverty MappingPEP School on Poverty Mapping(Advanced Module)(Advanced Module)(Advanced Module)(Advanced Module)(Advanced Module)
December 3-4, 2011
8:30am-5:30pm
Objectives:Objectives:Objectives:Objectives:Objectives:At the end of the training, the participants are expected to:
1. Be familiar with the CBMS-NRDB program used in poverty mapping
2. Be equipped with knowledge on how to create CBMS poverty maps and interpret the results
888889th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Opening CeremonyOpening CeremonyOpening CeremonyOpening CeremonyOpening Ceremony
8:30 to 9:30 - Era Grand Ballroom
Overview of the PEP/Conference ActivitiesOverview of the PEP/Conference ActivitiesOverview of the PEP/Conference ActivitiesOverview of the PEP/Conference ActivitiesOverview of the PEP/Conference Activities
Celia M. Reyes & John M. Cockburn
PEP Reseach Network Co-Directors
Welcome RemarksWelcome RemarksWelcome RemarksWelcome RemarksWelcome Remarks
Rohinton Medhora
Vice President, IDRC
Opening RemarksOpening RemarksOpening RemarksOpening RemarksOpening Remarks
H.E. Chhay Than
Senior Minister, Ministry of Planning
Cambodia
PEP Policy ConferencePEP Policy ConferencePEP Policy ConferencePEP Policy ConferencePEP Policy ConferenceDecember 5, 2011
8:30am-4:00pm
Afternoon SessionAfternoon SessionAfternoon SessionAfternoon SessionAfternoon Session
Public Infrastructure and Inclusive GrowthPublic Infrastructure and Inclusive GrowthPublic Infrastructure and Inclusive GrowthPublic Infrastructure and Inclusive GrowthPublic Infrastructure and Inclusive Growth
2:00 to 4:00 - Room: Era Grand Ballroom
Chair: Jean-Yves Duclos, PEPJean-Yves Duclos, PEPJean-Yves Duclos, PEPJean-Yves Duclos, PEPJean-Yves Duclos, PEP
Simulating the Distributive Impacts ofSimulating the Distributive Impacts ofSimulating the Distributive Impacts ofSimulating the Distributive Impacts ofSimulating the Distributive Impacts of
Different Growth Strategies in the PhilippinesDifferent Growth Strategies in the PhilippinesDifferent Growth Strategies in the PhilippinesDifferent Growth Strategies in the PhilippinesDifferent Growth Strategies in the Philippines
Erwin Corong
Philippines
Discussants:
Tomas Africa, OECD
Mia Mikic, ESDA
Public Infrastructure Investment and InclusivePublic Infrastructure Investment and InclusivePublic Infrastructure Investment and InclusivePublic Infrastructure Investment and InclusivePublic Infrastructure Investment and Inclusive
Growth in ChinaGrowth in ChinaGrowth in ChinaGrowth in ChinaGrowth in China
Yumei Zhang
China
Discussants:
Evan Due, IDRC
Fan Zhai, CIC
Morning SessionMorning SessionMorning SessionMorning SessionMorning Session
Impact Evaluation: Lessons from Latin AmericaImpact Evaluation: Lessons from Latin AmericaImpact Evaluation: Lessons from Latin AmericaImpact Evaluation: Lessons from Latin AmericaImpact Evaluation: Lessons from Latin America
10:00 to 12:00 - Era Grand Ballroom
Chair: Christopher Ryan, ANUChristopher Ryan, ANUChristopher Ryan, ANUChristopher Ryan, ANUChristopher Ryan, ANU
Impact Evaluation for Policy Making: A CloseImpact Evaluation for Policy Making: A CloseImpact Evaluation for Policy Making: A CloseImpact Evaluation for Policy Making: A CloseImpact Evaluation for Policy Making: A Close
Look at Latin American Countries with WeakerLook at Latin American Countries with WeakerLook at Latin American Countries with WeakerLook at Latin American Countries with WeakerLook at Latin American Countries with Weaker
Research CapacitiesResearch CapacitiesResearch CapacitiesResearch CapacitiesResearch Capacities
Martin Valdivia
Peru
Discussants:
Alice N’gan’ga, Strathmore University (to be confirmed)
Karen Suarez, UN Women (to be confirmed)
An Impact EvAn Impact EvAn Impact EvAn Impact EvAn Impact Evaluation of Paluation of Paluation of Paluation of Paluation of PANESANESANESANESANES
Veronica Amarante
Uruguay
Discussants:
Christopher Ryan, ANU
Sebastian Auguste, UNICEN (to be confirmed)
Open Forum
12:00 to 14:00 - Lunch Break
99999 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Chair: Rosalia Sciort inoChair: Rosalia Sciort inoChair: Rosalia Sciort inoChair: Rosalia Sciort inoChair: Rosalia Sciort ino
Fast TFast TFast TFast TFast Tracking the Achievement of theracking the Achievement of theracking the Achievement of theracking the Achievement of theracking the Achievement of the
Mil lennium Development Goals inMil lennium Development Goals inMil lennium Development Goals inMil lennium Development Goals inMil lennium Development Goals in
Agusan del Sur, Phi l ippinesAgusan del Sur, Phi l ippinesAgusan del Sur, Phi l ippinesAgusan del Sur, Phi l ippinesAgusan del Sur, Phi l ippines
Governor Adolph Edward Plaza
Province of Agusan del Sur, Philippines
Role of CBMS for Meeting the MDGsRole of CBMS for Meeting the MDGsRole of CBMS for Meeting the MDGsRole of CBMS for Meeting the MDGsRole of CBMS for Meeting the MDGs
and Improving Governance in Krat ieand Improving Governance in Krat ieand Improving Governance in Krat ieand Improving Governance in Krat ieand Improving Governance in Krat ie
P rov inceP rov inceP rov inceP rov inceP rov ince
Governor Kham Phoeun
Kratie Province, Cambodia
Use of CBMS for Improving LocalUse of CBMS for Improving LocalUse of CBMS for Improving LocalUse of CBMS for Improving LocalUse of CBMS for Improving Local
Governance and in Achieving MDGs inGovernance and in Achieving MDGs inGovernance and in Achieving MDGs inGovernance and in Achieving MDGs inGovernance and in Achieving MDGs in
PekalonganPekalonganPekalonganPekalonganPekalongan
Mayor Basyir Ahmad, MD
Municipality of Pekalongan, Indonesia
Use of CBMS for ImplementingUse of CBMS for ImplementingUse of CBMS for ImplementingUse of CBMS for ImplementingUse of CBMS for Implementing
Development Programs to Achieve theDevelopment Programs to Achieve theDevelopment Programs to Achieve theDevelopment Programs to Achieve theDevelopment Programs to Achieve the
MDGs and in Improving Goverance inMDGs and in Improving Goverance inMDGs and in Improving Goverance inMDGs and in Improving Goverance inMDGs and in Improving Goverance in
the City of Tthe City of Tthe City of Tthe City of Tthe City of Tabacoabacoabacoabacoabaco
Mayor Krisel Lagman-Luistro
Tabaco City, Albay, Philippines
National Strategy for ReducingNational Strategy for ReducingNational Strategy for ReducingNational Strategy for ReducingNational Strategy for Reducing
Poverty in the Phi l ippinesPoverty in the Phi l ippinesPoverty in the Phi l ippinesPoverty in the Phi l ippinesPoverty in the Phi l ippines
Asec. Lila Shahani
NAPC, Philippines
Phi l ippine National GovernmentPhi l ippine National GovernmentPhi l ippine National GovernmentPhi l ippine National GovernmentPhi l ippine National Government
Response to Meeting the MDGsResponse to Meeting the MDGsResponse to Meeting the MDGsResponse to Meeting the MDGsResponse to Meeting the MDGs
Dir. Erlinda Capones
NEDA, Philippines
Actual Uses of CBMS in the DesignActual Uses of CBMS in the DesignActual Uses of CBMS in the DesignActual Uses of CBMS in the DesignActual Uses of CBMS in the Design
and Implementat ion of Strategies forand Implementat ion of Strategies forand Implementat ion of Strategies forand Implementat ion of Strategies forand Implementat ion of Strategies for
Meeting the MDGs in KenyaMeeting the MDGs in KenyaMeeting the MDGs in KenyaMeeting the MDGs in KenyaMeeting the MDGs in Kenya
Gideon Mailu
Ministry of State for Planning National
Development & Vision 2030, Kenya
The Role of CBMS for Monitor ing theThe Role of CBMS for Monitor ing theThe Role of CBMS for Monitor ing theThe Role of CBMS for Monitor ing theThe Role of CBMS for Monitor ing the
MDGs and in Implementing PovertyMDGs and in Implementing PovertyMDGs and in Implementing PovertyMDGs and in Implementing PovertyMDGs and in Implementing Poverty
Reduct ion Ini t iat ives in CambodiaReduct ion Ini t iat ives in CambodiaReduct ion Ini t iat ives in CambodiaReduct ion Ini t iat ives in CambodiaReduct ion Ini t iat ives in Cambodia
Khin Song
Deputy Director General
NIS, Cambodia
Role of CDB for Monitor ing the MDGsRole of CDB for Monitor ing the MDGsRole of CDB for Monitor ing the MDGsRole of CDB for Monitor ing the MDGsRole of CDB for Monitor ing the MDGs
at Sub-nat ional Levelsat Sub-nat ional Levelsat Sub-nat ional Levelsat Sub-nat ional Levelsat Sub-nat ional Levels
Mean Thavorah, D & D and Seth Koma
Ministry of Planning, Cambodia
Linking CBMS Methodology and theLinking CBMS Methodology and theLinking CBMS Methodology and theLinking CBMS Methodology and theLinking CBMS Methodology and the
C D BC D BC D BC D BC D B
Sherif Rushdy
CMDG Scorecards Advisor, Cambodia
9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General MeetingParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel Sessions
December 6, 2011 December 6, 2011 December 6, 2011 December 6, 2011 December 6, 2011 • AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions
Era Grand Ballroom(8:30-1:00)
CBMS PIERI / PMMAMPIA
Chair: Maria Laura AlzuaChair: Maria Laura AlzuaChair: Maria Laura AlzuaChair: Maria Laura AlzuaChair: Maria Laura Alzua
Impact Evaluation of the Brazi l ianImpact Evaluation of the Brazi l ianImpact Evaluation of the Brazi l ianImpact Evaluation of the Brazi l ianImpact Evaluation of the Brazi l ian
Pension Program Beneficio dePension Program Beneficio dePension Program Beneficio dePension Program Beneficio dePension Program Beneficio de
Prestaeo Continuada (BPC) onPrestaeo Continuada (BPC) onPrestaeo Continuada (BPC) onPrestaeo Continuada (BPC) onPrestaeo Continuada (BPC) on
Family WelfareFamily WelfareFamily WelfareFamily WelfareFamily Welfare
Ana Lucia Kassouf
Brazil
Discussants:
Veronica Amarante
Maria Laura Alzua
Wage and Income Inequalit iesWage and Income Inequalit iesWage and Income Inequalit iesWage and Income Inequalit iesWage and Income Inequalit ies
among Chinese Rural -Urbanamong Chinese Rural -Urbanamong Chinese Rural -Urbanamong Chinese Rural -Urbanamong Chinese Rural -Urban
Migrants from 2002 to 2007Migrants from 2002 to 2007Migrants from 2002 to 2007Migrants from 2002 to 2007Migrants from 2002 to 2007
Zhong Zhao
China
Discussants:
Priyanka Jayawardena
Yumei Zhang
The Rural Household Income andThe Rural Household Income andThe Rural Household Income andThe Rural Household Income andThe Rural Household Income and
Poverty Reduction Effects ofPoverty Reduction Effects ofPoverty Reduction Effects ofPoverty Reduction Effects ofPoverty Reduction Effects of
Prior ity Forestry Programs inPrior ity Forestry Programs inPrior ity Forestry Programs inPrior ity Forestry Programs inPrior ity Forestry Programs in
C h i n aC h i n aC h i n aC h i n aC h i n a
Can Liu
China
Discussants:
Liguo Lin (to be confirmed)
Habiba Djebbari
Executive Meeting Room(9:00-12:30)
Chair: Bernard DecaluwéChair: Bernard DecaluwéChair: Bernard DecaluwéChair: Bernard DecaluwéChair: Bernard Decaluwé
Global Economic CrisisGlobal Economic CrisisGlobal Economic CrisisGlobal Economic CrisisGlobal Economic Crisis
and theand theand theand theand the Phil ippine Economy: APhil ippine Economy: APhil ippine Economy: APhil ippine Economy: APhil ippine Economy: A
Quantitat ive AssessmentQuantitat ive AssessmentQuantitat ive AssessmentQuantitat ive AssessmentQuantitat ive Assessment
Erwin Corong
Philippines
Discussants:
Yazid Dissou (to be confirmed)
Bernard Decaluwe
Macro-Micro Impact of GlobalMacro-Micro Impact of GlobalMacro-Micro Impact of GlobalMacro-Micro Impact of GlobalMacro-Micro Impact of Global
Financial Crisis in PakistanFinancial Crisis in PakistanFinancial Crisis in PakistanFinancial Crisis in PakistanFinancial Crisis in Pakistan
Vaqar Ahmed
Pakistan
Discussants:
Fan Zhai
Renato Flores (to be confirmed)
Implications of the GlobalImplications of the GlobalImplications of the GlobalImplications of the GlobalImplications of the Global
Economic Crisis for theEconomic Crisis for theEconomic Crisis for theEconomic Crisis for theEconomic Crisis for the
Bangladesh EconomyBangladesh EconomyBangladesh EconomyBangladesh EconomyBangladesh Economy
Selim Raihan
Bangladesh
Discussants:
Renato Flores (to be confirmed)
Fan Zhai
President Lounge Meeting Room(9:00-12:30)
10101010109th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General MeetingParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel Sessions
December 7, 2011 December 7, 2011 December 7, 2011 December 7, 2011 December 7, 2011 • AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions
Era Grand Ballroom(8:30-10:10/1030-12:30)
CBMS
Chair: Chair: Chair: Chair: Chair: Herminia Francisco/THerminia Francisco/THerminia Francisco/THerminia Francisco/THerminia Francisco/Tomas Afr icaomas Afr icaomas Afr icaomas Afr icaomas Afr ica
Monitoring Household Coping andMonitoring Household Coping andMonitoring Household Coping andMonitoring Household Coping andMonitoring Household Coping and
Adaptation Strategies/Adaptation Strategies/Adaptation Strategies/Adaptation Strategies/Adaptation Strategies/
Phil ippines Case StudyPhil ippines Case StudyPhil ippines Case StudyPhil ippines Case StudyPhil ippines Case Study
Celia M. Reyes
Philippines
Monitoring Household CopingMonitoring Household CopingMonitoring Household CopingMonitoring Household CopingMonitoring Household Coping
Strategies in KenyaStrategies in KenyaStrategies in KenyaStrategies in KenyaStrategies in Kenya
Mary Nyamongo
Kenya
Discussant:
W. Randall Spence
Monitoring the Impacts of the Global
Financial Crisis on Poverty
Assessing the Impact of theAssessing the Impact of theAssessing the Impact of theAssessing the Impact of theAssessing the Impact of the
Global Financial Crisis inGlobal Financial Crisis inGlobal Financial Crisis inGlobal Financial Crisis inGlobal Financial Crisis in
Indonesia: Impact on HouseholdsIndonesia: Impact on HouseholdsIndonesia: Impact on HouseholdsIndonesia: Impact on HouseholdsIndonesia: Impact on Households
in CBMS Areas in Kotain CBMS Areas in Kotain CBMS Areas in Kotain CBMS Areas in Kotain CBMS Areas in Kota
Peka longanPeka longanPeka longanPeka longanPeka longan
Akhmadi
Indonesia
Impacts of Global Financial andImpacts of Global Financial andImpacts of Global Financial andImpacts of Global Financial andImpacts of Global Financial and
Economic Crisis: Lao CBMS SitesEconomic Crisis: Lao CBMS SitesEconomic Crisis: Lao CBMS SitesEconomic Crisis: Lao CBMS SitesEconomic Crisis: Lao CBMS Sites
Vilaysook Sisoulath
Lao PDR
Impacts of the Global FinancialImpacts of the Global FinancialImpacts of the Global FinancialImpacts of the Global FinancialImpacts of the Global Financial
Crisis on Cambodian HouseholdCrisis on Cambodian HouseholdCrisis on Cambodian HouseholdCrisis on Cambodian HouseholdCrisis on Cambodian Household
Try Sothearith
Cambodia
Socioeconomic Effects of theSocioeconomic Effects of theSocioeconomic Effects of theSocioeconomic Effects of theSocioeconomic Effects of the
Global Financial Crisis: EvidenceGlobal Financial Crisis: EvidenceGlobal Financial Crisis: EvidenceGlobal Financial Crisis: EvidenceGlobal Financial Crisis: Evidence
from Rural Nigeriafrom Rural Nigeriafrom Rural Nigeriafrom Rural Nigeriafrom Rural Nigeria
Anthonia Achike
Nigeria
President Lounge Meeting Room(9:00-12:30)
MPIA
Chair: Pramila KrishnanChair: Pramila KrishnanChair: Pramila KrishnanChair: Pramila KrishnanChair: Pramila Krishnan
Simulating the Distr ibutiveSimulating the Distr ibutiveSimulating the Distr ibutiveSimulating the Distr ibutiveSimulating the Distr ibutive
Impacts of Different GrowthImpacts of Different GrowthImpacts of Different GrowthImpacts of Different GrowthImpacts of Different Growth
Strategies in PakistanStrategies in PakistanStrategies in PakistanStrategies in PakistanStrategies in Pakistan
Vaqar Ahmed
Pakistan
Discussants:
Yazid Dissou (to be confirmed)
Luca Tiberti
Publ ic infrastructure investmentPublic infrastructure investmentPublic infrastructure investmentPublic infrastructure investmentPublic infrastructure investment
and Inclusive Growth in China: Aand Inclusive Growth in China: Aand Inclusive Growth in China: Aand Inclusive Growth in China: Aand Inclusive Growth in China: A
Dynamic General Equi l ibr iumDynamic General Equi l ibr iumDynamic General Equi l ibr iumDynamic General Equi l ibr iumDynamic General Equi l ibr ium
A n a l y s i sA n a l y s i sA n a l y s i sA n a l y s i sA n a l y s i s
Yumei Zhang
China
Discussants:
Zhong Zhao (to be confirmed)
Hélène Maisonnave
Simulating the Distr ibutiveSimulating the Distr ibutiveSimulating the Distr ibutiveSimulating the Distr ibutiveSimulating the Distr ibutive
Impacts of Different GrowthImpacts of Different GrowthImpacts of Different GrowthImpacts of Different GrowthImpacts of Different Growth
Strategies in the Phi l ippinesStrategies in the Phi l ippinesStrategies in the Phi l ippinesStrategies in the Phi l ippinesStrategies in the Phi l ippines
Erwin Corong
Philippines
Discussants:
Jane Mariara
Vaqar Ahmed
Executive Meeting Room(9:00-12:30)
PIERI
Chair: MarChair: MarChair: MarChair: MarChair: Mar tin Vtin Vtin Vtin Vtin Valdiviaaldiviaaldiviaaldiviaaldivia
Évaluation de l’ impact desÉvaluation de l’ impact desÉvaluation de l’ impact desÉvaluation de l’ impact desÉvaluation de l’ impact des
programmes de cantinesprogrammes de cantinesprogrammes de cantinesprogrammes de cantinesprogrammes de cantines
scolaires et de déparasitagescolaires et de déparasitagescolaires et de déparasitagescolaires et de déparasitagescolaires et de déparasitage
des écoles primaires rurales audes écoles primaires rurales audes écoles primaires rurales audes écoles primaires rurales audes écoles primaires rurales au
S é n é g a lS é n é g a lS é n é g a lS é n é g a lS é n é g a l
Abdoulaye Diagne
Senegal
Discussants:
Guillermo Cruces
Habiba Djebbari
Improving School Quality in EastImproving School Quality in EastImproving School Quality in EastImproving School Quality in EastImproving School Quality in East
Afr ica: Randomized EvaluationAfr ica: Randomized EvaluationAfr ica: Randomized EvaluationAfr ica: Randomized EvaluationAfr ica: Randomized Evaluation
of Pol icies to Create Localof Pol icies to Create Localof Pol icies to Create Localof Pol icies to Create Localof Pol icies to Create Local
Accountabil i ty under FreeAccountabil i ty under FreeAccountabil i ty under FreeAccountabil i ty under FreeAccountabil i ty under Free
PrimarPrimarPrimarPrimarPrimar y Education in Uganday Education in Uganday Education in Uganday Education in Uganday Education in Uganda
Madina Guloba
Uganda
Discussants:
Alice Muthoni Ng’ang’a (to be confirmed)
Martin Valdivia
The Impacts of “Land of Love,The Impacts of “Land of Love,The Impacts of “Land of Love,The Impacts of “Land of Love,The Impacts of “Land of Love,
Water Cellar for Mothers”Water Cellar for Mothers”Water Cellar for Mothers”Water Cellar for Mothers”Water Cellar for Mothers”
Liguo Lin
China
Discussants:
Can Liu (to be confirmed)
Maria Laura Alzua
1111111111 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General MeetingParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel Sessions
December 7, 2011 December 7, 2011 December 7, 2011 December 7, 2011 December 7, 2011 • PM Sessions• PM Sessions• PM Sessions• PM Sessions• PM Sessions
Era Grand Ballroom(2:00-3:10 / 3:30-6:00)
CBMS
Chair: TChair: TChair: TChair: TChair: Tomas Afr ica/H.E. Ouk Chayomas Afr ica/H.E. Ouk Chayomas Afr ica/H.E. Ouk Chayomas Afr ica/H.E. Ouk Chayomas Afr ica/H.E. Ouk Chay
continuation of the session on:
Monitoring the Impacts of the
Global Financial Crisis on Poverty
Pol icy Response to Mit igate thePolicy Response to Mit igate thePolicy Response to Mit igate thePolicy Response to Mit igate thePolicy Response to Mit igate the
Impact of the Global CrisisImpact of the Global CrisisImpact of the Global CrisisImpact of the Global CrisisImpact of the Global Crisis
Mayor Basyir Ahmad, MD
Municipality of Pekalongan, Indonesia
Bounheng Xayasene
Sarravan Province, Lao PDR
H.E. Theng Pagnathun
Deputy Director General, Ministry of
Planning, Cambodia
Ofobuike Igwebueze
Secretary Nsukka Local Government
Council, Nigeria
CBMS Implementation and Application at
the Commune Level in Cambodia
Commune Representatives fromCommune Representatives fromCommune Representatives fromCommune Representatives fromCommune Representatives from
Kratie ProvinceKratie ProvinceKratie ProvinceKratie ProvinceKratie Province
Commune Representatives fromCommune Representatives fromCommune Representatives fromCommune Representatives fromCommune Representatives from
Battambang ProvinceBattambang ProvinceBattambang ProvinceBattambang ProvinceBattambang Province
Commune Representatives fromCommune Representatives fromCommune Representatives fromCommune Representatives fromCommune Representatives from
Kampong Thom ProvinceKampong Thom ProvinceKampong Thom ProvinceKampong Thom ProvinceKampong Thom Province
Using CDB-based MDG ScorecardsUsing CDB-based MDG ScorecardsUsing CDB-based MDG ScorecardsUsing CDB-based MDG ScorecardsUsing CDB-based MDG Scorecards
in Sub-national Planningin Sub-national Planningin Sub-national Planningin Sub-national Planningin Sub-national Planning
Representatives from the Provincial
Department of Planning of Phnom Penh
and Prey Veng Province, Cambodia
Policy Response:
Chea Chanthum
Deputy Director General of GDP
President Lounge Meeting Room(2:00-5:30)
MPIA
Chair: Hélène MaisonnaveChair: Hélène MaisonnaveChair: Hélène MaisonnaveChair: Hélène MaisonnaveChair: Hélène Maisonnave
Impacts of InfrastructureImpacts of InfrastructureImpacts of InfrastructureImpacts of InfrastructureImpacts of Infrastructure
Investment in South Afr ica: AInvestment in South Afr ica: AInvestment in South Afr ica: AInvestment in South Afr ica: AInvestment in South Afr ica: A
Dynamic CGE AnalysisDynamic CGE AnalysisDynamic CGE AnalysisDynamic CGE AnalysisDynamic CGE Analysis
Vandudzai Mbanda
South Africa
Discussants:
Phouphet Kyophilavong (to be confirmed)
Selim Raihan (to be confirmed)
Resource Boom, Growth andResource Boom, Growth andResource Boom, Growth andResource Boom, Growth andResource Boom, Growth and
Poverty in LaosPoverty in LaosPoverty in LaosPoverty in LaosPoverty in Laos
Phouphet Kyophilavong
Lao People’s Democratic Republic
Discussants:
Vandudzai Mbanda (to be confirmed)
Erwin Corong (to be confirmed)
Executive Meeting Room(2:00-5:30)
PIERI / PMMA
Chair: Di leni GunawardenaChair: Di leni GunawardenaChair: Di leni GunawardenaChair: Di leni GunawardenaChair: Di leni Gunawardena
Are There Ethnic Inequality TAre There Ethnic Inequality TAre There Ethnic Inequality TAre There Ethnic Inequality TAre There Ethnic Inequality Trapsrapsrapsrapsraps
in Education? Evidence for Brazi lin Education? Evidence for Brazi lin Education? Evidence for Brazi lin Education? Evidence for Brazi lin Education? Evidence for Brazi l
and Chi leand Chi leand Chi leand Chi leand Chi le
Guillermo Cruces
Argentina
Discussants:
Ana Lucia Kassouf
Pramila Krishnan
Improving School Quality in EastImproving School Quality in EastImproving School Quality in EastImproving School Quality in EastImproving School Quality in East
Afr ica: Randomized Evaluation ofAfr ica: Randomized Evaluation ofAfr ica: Randomized Evaluation ofAfr ica: Randomized Evaluation ofAfr ica: Randomized Evaluation of
Pol icies to Create LocalPol icies to Create LocalPol icies to Create LocalPol icies to Create LocalPol icies to Create Local
Accountabi l i ty under Free PrimaryAccountabi l i ty under Free PrimaryAccountabi l i ty under Free PrimaryAccountabi l i ty under Free PrimaryAccountabi l i ty under Free Primary
Education in KenyaEducation in KenyaEducation in KenyaEducation in KenyaEducation in Kenya
Alice Muthoni Ng’ang’a
Kenya
Discussants:
Madina Guloba (to be confirmed)
Martin Valdivia
The Impact of TThe Impact of TThe Impact of TThe Impact of TThe Impact of Tuit ion Rel iefuit ion Rel iefuit ion Rel iefuit ion Rel iefuit ion Rel ief
Programs in Senior High School onPrograms in Senior High School onPrograms in Senior High School onPrograms in Senior High School onPrograms in Senior High School on
Poor Students in Rural ChinaPoor Students in Rural ChinaPoor Students in Rural ChinaPoor Students in Rural ChinaPoor Students in Rural China
Xinxin Chen
China
Discussants:
Mohamed Lo
Christopher Ryan
12121212129th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General MeetingParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel Sessions
December 8, 2011 December 8, 2011 December 8, 2011 December 8, 2011 December 8, 2011 • AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions
Era Grand Ballroom(8:30-2:00)
Executive Meeting Room(9:00-12:30)
President Lounge Meeting Room(9:00-12:30)
CBMS PIERI PMMA
Chair: Christopher RyanChair: Christopher RyanChair: Christopher RyanChair: Christopher RyanChair: Christopher Ryan
Field Experiments and Pol icyField Experiments and Pol icyField Experiments and Pol icyField Experiments and Pol icyField Experiments and Pol icy
E va l ua t i onEva l ua t i onEva l ua t i onEva l ua t i onEva l ua t i on
Habiba Djebbari
Canada
Some Prel iminary Findings fromSome Prel iminary Findings fromSome Prel iminary Findings fromSome Prel iminary Findings fromSome Prel iminary Findings from
Public Good Games in MaliPubl ic Good Games in MaliPubl ic Good Games in MaliPubl ic Good Games in MaliPubl ic Good Games in Mali
Maria Laura Alzua
Mali
Chair: Jane MariaraChair: Jane MariaraChair: Jane MariaraChair: Jane MariaraChair: Jane Mariara
Is the VIs the VIs the VIs the VIs the Value of Humanityalue of Humanityalue of Humanityalue of Humanityalue of Humanity
increasing? A Crit ical - levelincreasing? A Crit ical - levelincreasing? A Crit ical - levelincreasing? A Crit ical - levelincreasing? A Crit ical - level
E n q u i r yE n q u i r yE n q u i r yE n q u i r yE n q u i r y
Jean-Yves Duclos
Canada
Discussants:
Pramila Krishnan
Guillermo Cruces (to be confirmed)
TTTTTax Reforms in Sri Lanka: Wil l aax Reforms in Sri Lanka: Wil l aax Reforms in Sri Lanka: Wil l aax Reforms in Sri Lanka: Wil l aax Reforms in Sri Lanka: Wil l a
TTTTTax on Public Servax on Public Servax on Public Servax on Public Servax on Public Servants Improveants Improveants Improveants Improveants Improve
Prog ress i v i t y?P rog ress i v i t y?P rog ress i v i t y?P rog ress i v i t y?P rog ress i v i t y?
Priyanka Jayawardena
Sri Lanka
Discussants:
Erwin Corong (to be confirmed)
Dileni Gunewardena
Chair: German Calfat/VChair: German Calfat/VChair: German Calfat/VChair: German Calfat/VChair: German Calfat/Vu Tu Tu Tu Tu Tuan Anhuan Anhuan Anhuan Anhuan Anh
Implementing a Community -BasedImplementing a Community -BasedImplementing a Community -BasedImplementing a Community -BasedImplementing a Community -Based
Poverty Monitoring System inPoverty Monitoring System inPoverty Monitoring System inPoverty Monitoring System inPoverty Monitoring System in
A rgen t inaA rgen t inaA rgen t inaA rgen t inaA rgen t ina
Sebastian Auguste
Argentina
Implementing a Community -BasedImplementing a Community -BasedImplementing a Community -BasedImplementing a Community -BasedImplementing a Community -Based
Mult i Dimensional PovertyMult i Dimensional PovertyMult i Dimensional PovertyMult i Dimensional PovertyMult i Dimensional Poverty
Monitoring System in LimpopoMonitoring System in LimpopoMonitoring System in LimpopoMonitoring System in LimpopoMonitoring System in Limpopo
Province, South Afr icaProvince, South Afr icaProvince, South Afr icaProvince, South Afr icaProvince, South Afr ica
Grace Oloo
South Africa
Discussants:
Matias Civale
Secretario de Gobierno
Municipio de Tandil, Argentina
Kathleen Diga
Project Manager
University of Kwazulu-Natal
Using CBMS for Monitoring Women and
Children’s Well-Being
The Effects of Household Size andThe Effects of Household Size andThe Effects of Household Size andThe Effects of Household Size andThe Effects of Household Size and
Other Factors on SchoolOther Factors on SchoolOther Factors on SchoolOther Factors on SchoolOther Factors on School
Part icipation in Urban and RuralPart icipation in Urban and RuralPart icipation in Urban and RuralPart icipation in Urban and RuralPart icipation in Urban and Rural
Households: Case of Pasay CityHouseholds: Case of Pasay CityHouseholds: Case of Pasay CityHouseholds: Case of Pasay CityHouseholds: Case of Pasay City
and Eastern Samar in theand Eastern Samar in theand Eastern Samar in theand Eastern Samar in theand Eastern Samar in the
Ph i l i p p i n esPh i l i p p i n esPh i l i p p i n esPh i l i p p i n esPh i l i p p i n es
Tereso S. Tullao, Jr.
Philippines
Results of the Pi lot CBMS-GRBResults of the Pi lot CBMS-GRBResults of the Pi lot CBMS-GRBResults of the Pi lot CBMS-GRBResults of the Pi lot CBMS-GRB
Init iat ive in PeruInit iat ive in PeruInit iat ive in PeruInit iat ive in PeruInit iat ive in Peru
Ramiro Garcia
Peru
Analyse De La PauvretéAnalyse De La PauvretéAnalyse De La PauvretéAnalyse De La PauvretéAnalyse De La Pauvreté
Mult idimensionnelle DesMult idimensionnelle DesMult idimensionnelle DesMult idimensionnelle DesMult idimensionnelle Des
Arrondissements De Cotonou,Arrondissements De Cotonou,Arrondissements De Cotonou,Arrondissements De Cotonou,Arrondissements De Cotonou,
Covè Et AdjarraCovè Et AdjarraCovè Et AdjarraCovè Et AdjarraCovè Et Adjarra
Marie Odile Attanasso
Benin
Discussant:
Nancy Spence
1313131313 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General MeetingParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel Sessions
December 8, 2011 December 8, 2011 December 8, 2011 December 8, 2011 December 8, 2011 • PM Sessions• PM Sessions• PM Sessions• PM Sessions• PM Sessions
Era Grand Ballroom(2:00-5:30)
CBMS
Chair: TChair: TChair: TChair: TChair: Tereso S. Tereso S. Tereso S. Tereso S. Tereso S. Tul lao, Jrul lao, Jrul lao, Jrul lao, Jrul lao, Jr.....
The CBMS-EEPSEA Init iat iveThe CBMS-EEPSEA Init iat iveThe CBMS-EEPSEA Init iat iveThe CBMS-EEPSEA Init iat iveThe CBMS-EEPSEA Init iat ive
Celia M. Reyes
Philippines
Support to Local Governments inSupport to Local Governments inSupport to Local Governments inSupport to Local Governments inSupport to Local Governments in
Viet Nam to Improve Cl imateViet Nam to Improve Cl imateViet Nam to Improve Cl imateViet Nam to Improve Cl imateViet Nam to Improve Cl imate
Change Responses Using CBMSChange Responses Using CBMSChange Responses Using CBMSChange Responses Using CBMSChange Responses Using CBMS
Data and MappingData and MappingData and MappingData and MappingData and Mapping
Vu Tuan Anh
Viet Nam
Support to Local Governments toSupport to Local Governments toSupport to Local Governments toSupport to Local Governments toSupport to Local Governments to
Improve Environment ManagementImprove Environment ManagementImprove Environment ManagementImprove Environment ManagementImprove Environment Management
in Kota Pekalonganin Kota Pekalonganin Kota Pekalonganin Kota Pekalonganin Kota Pekalongan
Rahmitha
Indonesia
Use of CBMS for VUse of CBMS for VUse of CBMS for VUse of CBMS for VUse of CBMS for Vulnerabi l i tyulnerabi l i tyulnerabi l i tyulnerabi l i tyulnerabi l i ty
Risk Mapping: Province ofRisk Mapping: Province ofRisk Mapping: Province ofRisk Mapping: Province ofRisk Mapping: Province of
Marinduque, Phi l ippinesMarinduque, Phi l ippinesMarinduque, Phi l ippinesMarinduque, Phi l ippinesMarinduque, Phi l ippines
Marian Cunanan
Philippines
Discussant:
Anna Liza Bonagua
Executive Meeting Room(2:00-5:30)
PIERI / PMMA
Individual MeetingsIndividual MeetingsIndividual MeetingsIndividual MeetingsIndividual Meetings
wi thwi thwi thwi thwi th
Resource PersonsResource PersonsResource PersonsResource PersonsResource Persons
President Lounge Meeting Room(2:00-5:30)
MPIA
Individual MeetingsIndividual MeetingsIndividual MeetingsIndividual MeetingsIndividual Meetings
wi thwi thwi thwi thwi th
Resource PersonsResource PersonsResource PersonsResource PersonsResource Persons
14141414149th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General Meeting9th PEP Research Network General MeetingParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel SessionsParallel Sessions
December 9, 2011 December 9, 2011 December 9, 2011 December 9, 2011 December 9, 2011 • AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions• AM Sessions
Era Grand Ballroom(8:30-12:00)
CBMS
Chair: Cel ia M. ReyesChair: Cel ia M. ReyesChair: Cel ia M. ReyesChair: Cel ia M. ReyesChair: Cel ia M. Reyes
Implementation of a CommunityImplementation of a CommunityImplementation of a CommunityImplementation of a CommunityImplementation of a Community
Based Monitoring System forBased Monitoring System forBased Monitoring System forBased Monitoring System forBased Monitoring System for
Monitoring Household LivingMonitoring Household LivingMonitoring Household LivingMonitoring Household LivingMonitoring Household Living
Condit ions at the Local Level inCondit ions at the Local Level inCondit ions at the Local Level inCondit ions at the Local Level inCondit ions at the Local Level in
S e n e g a lS e n e g a lS e n e g a lS e n e g a lS e n e g a l
Momar Balle Sylla
Senegal
Richard Silumbe
Zambia
Cha i r :Cha i r :Cha i r :Cha i r :Cha i r :
CBMS-IOB CollaborationCBMS-IOB CollaborationCBMS-IOB CollaborationCBMS-IOB CollaborationCBMS-IOB Collaboration
German Calfat
Belgium
CBMS Network InnovationsCBMS Network InnovationsCBMS Network InnovationsCBMS Network InnovationsCBMS Network Innovations
TTTTTraining Modulesraining Modulesraining Modulesraining Modulesraining Modules
Pub l i ca t i onsPub l i ca t i onsPub l i ca t i onsPub l i ca t i onsPub l i ca t i ons
Next StepsNext StepsNext StepsNext StepsNext Steps
Celia Reyes
CBMS Network Leader
President Lounge Meeting Room(9:00-12:30)
MPIA
Meeting of the MPIA, PIERI & PMMA Steering CommitteesMeeting of the MPIA, PIERI & PMMA Steering CommitteesMeeting of the MPIA, PIERI & PMMA Steering CommitteesMeeting of the MPIA, PIERI & PMMA Steering CommitteesMeeting of the MPIA, PIERI & PMMA Steering Committees
Executive Meeting Room(9:00-12:30)
PIERI / PMMA
1515151515 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Abstracts of Conference PapersAbstracts of Conference PapersAbstracts of Conference PapersAbstracts of Conference PapersAbstracts of Conference PapersAbstracts are arranged in the order of their presentation and according to the subnetworks where they are included.
We regret though that not all abstracts are hereby listed since some were not yet available at the time of printing.
Monitoring Household Coping Strategies During Complex CrisesMonitoring Household Coping Strategies During Complex CrisesMonitoring Household Coping Strategies During Complex CrisesMonitoring Household Coping Strategies During Complex CrisesMonitoring Household Coping Strategies During Complex Crises
and Recoveries: The Case of the Philippinesand Recoveries: The Case of the Philippinesand Recoveries: The Case of the Philippinesand Recoveries: The Case of the Philippinesand Recoveries: The Case of the Philippines
Celia M. Reyes, Alellie B. Sobrevinas and Jeremy de Jesus
This paper presents the preliminary results of the survey on household coping
strategies adopted by households in selected sites in the Philippines as they
experience various types of shocks. The community-based monitoring system
(CBMS) approach was adopted in the conduct of the survey. As such, the
standard CBMS questionnaires were administered among all households in the
four barangays (villages) covered by the survey. In addition, the rider questionnaire
was developed to collect additional information on the various types of shocks
experienced by households, their impacts, the coping strategies adopted and
the recovery of households. Using the data collected through CBMS, this study
analyzes the relationship between the types of shocks and coping decisions of
households in the survey sites. Results of the survey revealed some patterns with regards to the
coping strategies adopted by households. In particular, the coping strategies vary depending on the
severity, frequency and combination of shocks experienced by households. The sequence of adoption
of coping strategies also varies across different types of shocks. For instance, the coping strategies
adopted for price increases may be different from the strategy that they need to adopt in case of
serious illness, serious accident or disability. It was also observed that there are some differences in
the coping strategies adopted by the different groups of households, e.g., poor vs. non-poor households.
Although several types of coping strategies were reported by households in response to various types
of shocks, not all of these strategies are available to all households and therefore, decisions are to
be made depending on the options available to households. It is argued that poor households have
limited options and therefore, have higher probability that they will adopt strategies with harmful
consequences.
Assessing the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis inAssessing the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis inAssessing the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis inAssessing the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis inAssessing the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis in
Indonesia: What is the Impact on Households in the CBMS AreasIndonesia: What is the Impact on Households in the CBMS AreasIndonesia: What is the Impact on Households in the CBMS AreasIndonesia: What is the Impact on Households in the CBMS AreasIndonesia: What is the Impact on Households in the CBMS Areas
in Kota Pekalongan?in Kota Pekalongan?in Kota Pekalongan?in Kota Pekalongan?in Kota Pekalongan?
Akhmadi, Asri Yusrina, Athia Yumna, Rahmitha
The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) is a knock-on effect of the financial crisis
that hit the United States in mid-2008, rapidly growing into a global economic
crisis and spreading to a lot of countries—including the developing ones—in
Europe and Asia. In Indonesia, just like in other developing countries, the
potential impact of the GFC was mitigated by the efforts on the part of the
government so that it would not negatively affect the people’s lives and increase
poverty level in the country.
The Statistics Indonesia has recorded economic growth deceleration in the
country during the financial crisis although it is different from the one facing
the country in 1998/1999. This study tries to analyze the transmission channel of the impact of the
GFC on households through the labor sector in the selected areas of the Community-Based Monitoring
System (CBMS) data collection. This study explores the possibility of the impact of the crisis on (i)
factories and home industries; (ii) the changes in employment, incomes, and consumption; and (iii)
the children’s education in those areas.
Combining qualitative and quantitative methods, the study was done in 5 out of 24 kelurahan—in
which data collection was conducted—that were predicted to get affected by the GFC. There are
13,609 households spread over three kelurahan in Kecamatan (Subdistrict of) Pekalongan Barat—
Kelurahan Medono, Kelurahan Tirto, and Kelurahan Pasirsari—and two kelurahan in Kecamatan
Pekalongan Utara—Kelurahan Krapyak Lor and Kelurahan Panjang Wetan.
CBMS
Cel ia M. ReyesCel ia M. ReyesCel ia M. ReyesCel ia M. ReyesCel ia M. Reyes
CBMS
A k h m a d iA k h m a d iA k h m a d iA k h m a d iA k h m a d i
16161616169th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
The qualitative study found that, during the crisis period, some factories cut down on productions or
even ceased operation due to declining demands on their products, rise of prices of mori cloth
(unbleached plain white cloth commonly used for batik) and batik dyes, and change of factory owners
or factory management restructuring prior to the GFC. Consequently, home industries that used to
get sewing or batik-making orders from those factories had fewer jobs or no jobs at all.
From the 13,609 households in the data collection areas, there were 389 households whose members
have had to change professions or even lose their jobs, resulting in the drop of income; hence
decreasing quality and quantity of food intake, change in healthcare patterns, and their children
dropping out of primary or junior high schools.
Implementing a Community-Based Poverty Monitoring System inImplementing a Community-Based Poverty Monitoring System inImplementing a Community-Based Poverty Monitoring System inImplementing a Community-Based Poverty Monitoring System inImplementing a Community-Based Poverty Monitoring System in
ArgentinaArgentinaArgentinaArgentinaArgentina
Sebastian Auguste
CBMS was piloted in two towns in Argentina in September 2011. These towns
- Tandil (Buenos Aires province) and Urundel (Salta province) - have very different
socioeconomic situations. The first one is a medium-sized city (125,000
inhabitants) and the second is a rural town (4,000 inhabitants). This was
carried out with the support of the municipal authorities. In the case of Tandil,
the project received additional financial support to scale up the census. This
paper summarizes the CBMS experience of the CBMS Research Team as well
as presents some descriptive statistics of the results.
Implementing the First Phase of Community-Based MonitoringImplementing the First Phase of Community-Based MonitoringImplementing the First Phase of Community-Based MonitoringImplementing the First Phase of Community-Based MonitoringImplementing the First Phase of Community-Based Monitoring
System in RSA Mutale Local Municipality in Vhembe District SouthSystem in RSA Mutale Local Municipality in Vhembe District SouthSystem in RSA Mutale Local Municipality in Vhembe District SouthSystem in RSA Mutale Local Municipality in Vhembe District SouthSystem in RSA Mutale Local Municipality in Vhembe District South
Af r i caAf r i caAf r i caAf r i caAf r i ca
Grace Oloo
Although the government of South Africa conducts regular poverty monitoring
surveys, the macro-level analysis camouflages differences in poverty that are
based on district and location municipal conditions. These differences can be
explained in terms of the general multidimensional nature of poverty in location
municipalities. Poverty monitoring surveys in South Africa is significantly
institutionalized both in design and coverage at the national level; however, the
non-existence of any institutional mechanism to generate poverty data at the
local level remains a significant constraint in designing an effective poverty
reduction agenda. The report gives an overview of the evolution of the poverty
measuring and monitoring methodology in South Africa followed by highlights on the current poverty
monitoring methodology and identified gaps.
Starting with the first phase of the project, the report explains various strategies used for advocacy
and organization to get a buy in from all local government levels including trainings and workshops.
The report explains some of the challenges encountered during the initial periods and how they were
resolve. Planning and advocacy is key for the success of CBMS in South Africa. This is because a
series of poverty measures have been tried and the problems of poverty seem to be escalating in the
country. A series of trainings undertaken for the rest of the team, both Training of Trainers (TOT) and
enumerators and orientation workshops for communities and their outcome are also highlighted.
Various methodologies to identify key indicators and to capture multi-dimension poverty data are
highlighted including the use of household and community questionnaire, focus group discussions
and basket of other community participatory methodology. Findings of the pre-test and first phase
of the project and challenges thereof are highlighted.
CBMS
Sebast ian AugusteSebast ian AugusteSebast ian AugusteSebast ian AugusteSebast ian Auguste
CBMS
Grace OlooGrace OlooGrace OlooGrace OlooGrace Oloo
1717171717 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
The Effects of Household Size and Other Factors on SchoolThe Effects of Household Size and Other Factors on SchoolThe Effects of Household Size and Other Factors on SchoolThe Effects of Household Size and Other Factors on SchoolThe Effects of Household Size and Other Factors on School
Participation in Urban and Rural Households: Case of Pasay CityParticipation in Urban and Rural Households: Case of Pasay CityParticipation in Urban and Rural Households: Case of Pasay CityParticipation in Urban and Rural Households: Case of Pasay CityParticipation in Urban and Rural Households: Case of Pasay City
and Eastern Samar in the Philippinesand Eastern Samar in the Philippinesand Eastern Samar in the Philippinesand Eastern Samar in the Philippinesand Eastern Samar in the Philippines
Tereso S. Tullao, Jr. and John Paolo R. Rivera
The commitment of the Philippines to the United Nations’ Millennium
Development Goals (MDG) on the universal access to primary education by
year 2015 is being hampered not only by government resources but also by the
key demographic and economic features of households. In tracing the impact
of these economic, demographic and other factors on school participation among
children in urban and rural areas, the 2008 household data from Pasay City,
representing urban households, and the 2007 household data from Eastern
Samar, representing rural households, which are available from the Community
Based Monitoring System (CBMS) were utilized. The CBMS database is an
appropriate dataset for this study because it is specifically used for needs identification, design and
monitoring of program interventions at all geopolitical levels, and research. To test the statistical
significance of these variables on school participation rate we have conducted a regression analysis
on the effects of various independent variables including household size, household income, education
of household head, age of household head, employment status of household head, presence of overseas
workers in the household, state of hunger, and various characteristics of household dwellings on
school participation rate. Although there are distinct differences on the results among urban and rural
households, four variables have similar effects on school participation rate on both spatial sets. In
particular, household size and the state of hunger in urban and rural households can have adverse
effects on school participation rate. On the other hand, the presence of electricity in the household
can enhance school participation rate. Interestingly, household income does not have any effect on
school participation rate in both urban and rural households. In terms of policy implications, limiting
family size, reducing the state of hunger and providing access to electricity can have positive impacts
on children’s school participation. On the other hand, because of the differences in the results, local
government units can have differentiated policies. For example, rural areas can benefit from improving
the employment status of household head, education of household head and access to basic services
and the improvement in the household dwellings while these interventions may not have significant
effects on urban households.
Community Monitoring System for the Construction of LocalCommunity Monitoring System for the Construction of LocalCommunity Monitoring System for the Construction of LocalCommunity Monitoring System for the Construction of LocalCommunity Monitoring System for the Construction of Local
Budgets from a Gender Perspective (CBMS-GRB)Budgets from a Gender Perspective (CBMS-GRB)Budgets from a Gender Perspective (CBMS-GRB)Budgets from a Gender Perspective (CBMS-GRB)Budgets from a Gender Perspective (CBMS-GRB)
Ramiro Garcia
The exhibition aims to present the experience and results from the
application of Community Monitoring System for the construction of local
budgets from a gender perspective (CBMS-GRB) Metropolitan Park in the
district of Villa El Salvador in Lima - Peru.
DESCO implemented the Community Monitoring System for the construction of
local budgets from a gender perspective in Metropolitan Park, one of the poorest
areas of the district of Villa El Salvador earlier this year, the implementation of
Community Monitoring System for the construction of budgets local gender
perspective was bound to the validation of the data with the community, program
development and / or development projects aimed at addressing the main
problems identified. As to the interpretation of the database and identifying areas for central analysis.
Therefore, having completed the process of processing, analysis, validation and project formulation
and with the Final Report of Results of Operation-Census GRB CBMS Project will present the experience
developed by the technical team and the results unknown to socialize the findings and evidence that
poverty and exclusion remain in targeted areas that concentrate many social problems.
CBMS
TTTTTereso Tereso Tereso Tereso Tereso Tul lao, Jru l lao, Jru l lao, Jru l lao, Jru l lao, Jr.....
CBMS
Ramiro GarciaRamiro GarciaRamiro GarciaRamiro GarciaRamiro Garcia
18181818189th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Simulating the Growth and Distributive Impacts of PublicSimulating the Growth and Distributive Impacts of PublicSimulating the Growth and Distributive Impacts of PublicSimulating the Growth and Distributive Impacts of PublicSimulating the Growth and Distributive Impacts of Public
Infrastructure Investments in the PhilippinesInfrastructure Investments in the PhilippinesInfrastructure Investments in the PhilippinesInfrastructure Investments in the PhilippinesInfrastructure Investments in the Philippines
Erwin Corong, Lawrence Dacuycuy, Rachel Reyes, Angelo Taningco
This study investigates the role of public infrastructure investment on economic
growth and poverty reduction in the Philippines. Using a dynamic general
equilibrium model that explicitly models public capital as an input into firms’
production structure, we find that the positive supply-side effects of higher
public investment expenditure manifest over time, on the back of higher capital
accumulation effects and improved productivity. Our preliminary results reveal
that higher public infrastructure investment not only brings about positive real
GDP effects but also reduction in poverty and inequality in the short- and long-
run.
Public infrastructure investment and Inclusive Growth in China: APublic infrastructure investment and Inclusive Growth in China: APublic infrastructure investment and Inclusive Growth in China: APublic infrastructure investment and Inclusive Growth in China: APublic infrastructure investment and Inclusive Growth in China: A
Dynamic General Equilibrium AnalysisDynamic General Equilibrium AnalysisDynamic General Equilibrium AnalysisDynamic General Equilibrium AnalysisDynamic General Equilibrium Analysis
Yumei Zhang, Xinxin Wang, and Kevin Chen
In this paper, a combination of macro and micro analysis is used to fully capture
the effects of increasing public infrastructure investment to macroeconomic
and social welfare change. A multi-sector intertemporal CGE model with public
capital is applied to analyze the effects of increase in public infrastructure
investment to the whole economy. The micro analysis is used to simulate the
changes of individual and household behavior for the impacts of increase public
infrastructure, and also the effects to poverty reduction and equality, by using
household survey data. At the macro level, two simulations are conducted—
20% increase of the ratio of public investment in infrastructure to GDP, and
financed by domestic production tax and foreign aid separately. Both scenarios
get similar results, in the long run, the gains from increased public investment is significant, the
productivity improves a lot and the positive effects are very substantially, all sectors and households
will be benefited in the long run. However, there are still some differences between the two different
simulations. The scenario under financed by production tax shows that some negative impacted by the
increase of production tax in the first period, crowds out private investment slightly, and the negative
shocks to constrained households are greater than to non-constrained household. Different sectors
also receive different effects for their specific input factors, the positive shocks to these sectors of
construction and manufacture and processing of metals and metal products, and manufacture of
machinery and equipment are larger than the other sectors. The micro simulation results show that
increased public infrastructure is helpful for poverty reduction, while has modest impact on equality.
But there are some differences for different types of households. For the rural households, poverty
incidence is reduced gradually in both of simulations— public investment financed by tax and foreign
aid, while for the urban and migrant households, the poverty incidence is raised in the first period
under the simulation of financed by production tax, and then decreasing in the following periods. There
are much more obvious effects to poverty reduction under the simulation of financed by foreign aids
than that of the simulation of production tax, and there is no turning point for all type of households,
the poverty incidence is reduced overtime.
MPIA
YYYYYumei Zhangumei Zhangumei Zhangumei Zhangumei Zhang
MPIA
Erwin CorongErwin CorongErwin CorongErwin CorongErwin Corong
1919191919 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Global Economic Crisis and the Philippine Economy: A QuantitativeGlobal Economic Crisis and the Philippine Economy: A QuantitativeGlobal Economic Crisis and the Philippine Economy: A QuantitativeGlobal Economic Crisis and the Philippine Economy: A QuantitativeGlobal Economic Crisis and the Philippine Economy: A Quantitative
AssessmentAssessmentAssessmentAssessmentAssessment
Erwin Corong and Angelo Taningco
This study analyzes how the global crisis may have affected the Philippine economy.
To the extent that the Philippines is more globally integrated through trade and
labor flow channels than the financial sector, it is expected that impact of the
global crisis will weigh heavily on the “real” side of the economy. To assess the
likely impacts, a counterfactual “crisis” simulation analysis is undertaken by
using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model linked to a micro-
simulation module in order to trace effects from the macro-economic to the
microeconomic level; from output and factor supplies and demands to commodity
and factor prices; and from household incomes to levels of poverty and income
distribution. Simulation results suggest that all households experience a
significant reduction in real income. Both inequality and poverty increase, with urban dwellers
experiencing a higher increase in poverty relative to their rural counterparts asmost export-oriented
industries are located in the urban areas and returns to factors intensively used by these industries
fall.
Implications of the Global Economic Crisis for the BangladeshImplications of the Global Economic Crisis for the BangladeshImplications of the Global Economic Crisis for the BangladeshImplications of the Global Economic Crisis for the BangladeshImplications of the Global Economic Crisis for the Bangladesh
EconomyEconomyEconomyEconomyEconomy
Selim Raihan
There is no denying the fact that the recent global economic crisis has profound
implications for the developing countries like Bangladesh. This paper has explored
the impacts of global economic crisis on the economy of Bangladesh in a
general equilibrium framework. The CGE model for Bangladesh economy is
developed with a Social Accounting Matrix for the year 2007 as the database.
Analysis of the trend and pattern of the global economic crisis suggests that
global economic crisis led to some negative impacts on the Bangladesh economy
through two major channels: slumps in exports and remittances growths. Two
simulations have been conducted considering export and remittance shocks
respectively. The results of the simulations suggest that during the global
economic crisis the growth in total exports was much lower than those during
pre-crisis periods and the export growth was mainly driven by the growth in non-RMG sectors. Under
the export simulation, the woven and knit RMG sectors would experience contraction and there would
be some expansions of the non-RMG export oriented sectors. Because of the reduced rates of growth
in overall exports as well as much slower growth in knit and woven RMG sectors, there would be some
negative impacts on the economy in terms of falls in GDP, consumption, exports, imports and
households’ consumption and welfare. The poorer households would suffer more as a result of negative
export shock during the global economic crisis. Furthermore, the reduced rate of growth in remittances
during the global economic crisis would contribute to the fall in household income and real consumption.
Demand for goods would decline and, as a result, domestic demand and import would decrease. Due
to the fact that reduction in inflow of remittance would contribute to depreciation of the real exchange
rate, there would be a positive impact on the growth of exports. This remittance shock would contribute
to the fall in GDP at market price. All household categories would encounter fall in real consumption
and welfare. The households with higher initial endowments of remittance incomes would experience
larger fall in real consumption and welfare. The upshots of the above discussion point us to the fact
that the economy of Bangladesh was affected during the global economic crisis, when growth in
exports and remittances slowed down by great margins and the economy suffered.
MPIA
Erwin CorongErwin CorongErwin CorongErwin CorongErwin Corong
MPIA
Sel im RaihanSel im RaihanSel im RaihanSel im RaihanSel im Raihan
20202020209th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Several policy implications may emerge from the aforementioned analysis of the simulation results. It
is evident from the aforementioned analysis that there was a very low growth of exports of woven and
knit RMG from Bangladesh during the economic crisis. This resulted in low growth in total exports.
The effects on GDP and welfare of the households were negative. There is a fear of continuation of
this sluggish growth in exports of woven and knit RMG in the future. Therefore, there is a need for the
policy makers to take necessary steps to enhance exports from these two sectors. These export
oriented sectors suffer from serious supply side bottlenecks, such as lack of backward linkages,
weak physical infrastructure, lack of skilled manpower, lack of access to capital, high lead time, high
cost of doing business, etc. There is a need to bring down these supply side constraints which can
enhance the competitiveness of these sectors. It is also true that the export basket of Bangladesh is
highly concentrated in favor of the woven and knit RMG. There is a need to diversify the export basket
so that the reliance on only a few sectors is reduced and the economy becomes less vulnerable to any
external shock. The simulation results in this paper have convincingly suggested the strong welfare
enhancing effects of remittance in Bangladesh. The growth rate of remittance inflow reduced quite
drastically during the global economic crisis. Also, looking at the trend of annual migration from
Bangladesh it appears that there is a high risk of further reduction in inflow of remittances. Therefore,
there is a need to take necessary measures for encouraging larger inflow of remittances and greater
outward migration. Measures such as reducing the hassles of sending remittances through formal
channels and providing appropriate guidance and support for channeling the remittance money to
productive investment could be very useful. Also, government needs to negotiate both multilaterally
(at WTO) and bilaterally for the enhancement of export of manpower from Bangladesh.
Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment in South Afr ica: AImpact of Public Infrastructure Investment in South Afr ica: AImpact of Public Infrastructure Investment in South Afr ica: AImpact of Public Infrastructure Investment in South Afr ica: AImpact of Public Infrastructure Investment in South Afr ica: A
Dynamic CGE AnalysisDynamic CGE AnalysisDynamic CGE AnalysisDynamic CGE AnalysisDynamic CGE Analysis
Vandudzai Mbanda, Sinqobile Chumi, Patrick Kanda, Margaret R. Mabugu (nee
Chitiga)
There is strong local and international evidence on the links between infrastructure
and growth in general and a link between infrastructure, equity and poverty in
the sub-Saharan Africa context in particular. Both in academic literature and in
the policy debate, adequate supply of infrastructure services is viewed, from as
early as 1989, as a key ingredient for economic development (Calderón and
Servén 2008: 2, Fedderke and Garlick 2008: 1).
Policies like the New Growth Path, the Accelerated and Shared Growth Initiative
for South Africa, Critical Infrastructure Programme, Industrial Development
Zones, preparations for the 2010 FIFA World Cup and Expanded Public Works
Programme were introduced to increase investment in infrastructure in South Africa, among other
things. These policies increased the pace of infrastructure investment in South Africa. Investment in
infrastructure affects productivity, labour demand, economic growth, prices, consumption, employment,
income distribution, poverty and welfare. This study analyses the impact of the massive increase in
public infrastructure investment in South Africa using Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) modelling.
To account for accumulation effects of public infrastructure investment, a sequential dynamic CGE
model is used. Dynamics are crucial because infrastructure is a long term investment. While many
studies on infrastructure investment in South Africa have been done, there are none which use dynamic
CGE modelling to assess the economy-wide impact of infrastructure investment. The objective of this
study is to quantify both the short run and long run impacts of increasing public infrastructure investment
in the country.
MPIA
VVVVVandudzai Mbandaandudzai Mbandaandudzai Mbandaandudzai Mbandaandudzai Mbanda
2121212121 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Can We Learn From Other Countries and Policy Simulations?Can We Learn From Other Countries and Policy Simulations?Can We Learn From Other Countries and Policy Simulations?Can We Learn From Other Countries and Policy Simulations?Can We Learn From Other Countries and Policy Simulations?
Phouphet KYOPHILAVONG, Chanthachone SENESOUPHAP And Somnack
YAWDHACKSA
Theoretically, abundant natural resources could promote growth through more
investment in infrastructure, health care and human capital development.
However, various empirical studies have illustrated that resource-rich countries
fail in accelerating growth compared with resource-poor countries. There are
various factors for low growth in resource-rich countries, but one of the most
important factors is the so-called “Dutch disease”.
Laos is a small, open Least Developed Country (LDC) in Southeast Asia.
Laos was ranked 130th out of 177 countries. 34 percent of the population
lives below the poverty line. However, it is a resource-rich economy with over
570 mineral deposits identified. As a result, since 2003, Laos has experienced
massive foreign capital inflows in terms of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the mining and
hydropower sectors. Resource sectors contributed about 2.5% of GDP during 2000-2007; resource
sector revenues account for 18% of total tax revenue (2007). On the other hand, resource sectors
also have a negative impact on economy through appreciation of the real exchange rate and declining
non-resource sectors.
Despite the significant potential for both positive and negative impacts from resource booms on the
Lao economy, there is a gap in the research on this issue in Laos. Therefore, the main objective of
this study is to quantify the possible impacts of resource booms on nation-wide economy and
poverty using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. In order to investigate the impact of
mining sector on Lao economy, we assumed that mining productivity increase. The result shows
that real value of GDP, output, export and investment increase. However, their percentage increasing
seems to be small. Increasing productivity of mining sector leads to expand real output, value
added, and consumption of mining, but it also decline real output, value added and consumption of
agriculture, industry, private services and government services. Inclusion, expansion of mining
sector has positive and negative benefit on Lao economy. Mining sector can improve real GDP and
overall output of Laos. But it has adverse affects on Lao economy, it lead to decline in output in
other sectors which shows Dutch disease syndrome. Therefore, it is important to have appropriate
macroeconomic management and prudent management of expenditure windfall from mining is
needed.
MPIA
Phouphet Kyophi lavongPhouphet Kyophi lavongPhouphet Kyophi lavongPhouphet Kyophi lavongPhouphet Kyophi lavong
22222222229th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
School Attendance, Child Labor and Cash TSchool Attendance, Child Labor and Cash TSchool Attendance, Child Labor and Cash TSchool Attendance, Child Labor and Cash TSchool Attendance, Child Labor and Cash Transfers: An Impactransfers: An Impactransfers: An Impactransfers: An Impactransfers: An Impact
EvEvEvEvEvaluation of aluation of aluation of aluation of aluation of PPPPPANESANESANESANESANES
Verónica Amarante, Mery Ferrando and Andrea Vigorito
In this paper we analyze the impact on child school attendance and labor of an
emergency plan, PANES which was carried out in Uruguay from April 2005 to
December 2007. We specifically analyze the effect of the cash transfer
component of the plan (Ingreso Ciudadano), and we explore potential explanatory
channels such as labor market outcomes, income and awareness of
conditionalities.
This research is based on a panel of successful and unsuccessful applicants to
PANES. The first wave corresponds to the administrative records of the program
and the second wave is a follow-up survey, gathered two months after the
program ended, specifically designed to carry out the impact evaluation of the
program. In order to check the robustness of our results, we provide evidence based on two different
identification strategies: a regression discontinuity approach, using data from the second wave of the
panel, and a difference in difference approach, exploiting the longitudinal nature of the collected data.
Our results indicate that the program did not have any effect on child school attendance and child
labor, neither for all children nor across specific groups by age or sex. Besides, we do not find an
impact on household income, suggesting that income substitution was not the explanatory channel for
the lack of results in terms of schooling. Hence, either the amount of the transfer was not generous
enough to promote school attendance or the determinants of child school attendance are far more
complex and require complementary interventions. Our results are particularly relevant to understand
the role of cash transfers for middle income countries where attendance rates at primary school
already present high levels, and where the main challenge relates to retaining students at the secondary
level.
Our data also allows for exploring the role of conditionalities. Only a scarce number of households
were aware of the conditionalities on school enrollment (20%). Conditionalities were announced and
are present in other social security programs in Uruguay but were finally not controlled. We did not
find any robust impact of perceived conditionality on children’s school enrollment.
Impact Evaluation of the Brazil ian Pension Program Benefício deImpact Evaluation of the Brazil ian Pension Program Benefício deImpact Evaluation of the Brazil ian Pension Program Benefício deImpact Evaluation of the Brazil ian Pension Program Benefício deImpact Evaluation of the Brazil ian Pension Program Benefício de
Prestação Continuada (BPC) on Family WelfarePrestação Continuada (BPC) on Family WelfarePrestação Continuada (BPC) on Family WelfarePrestação Continuada (BPC) on Family WelfarePrestação Continuada (BPC) on Family Welfare
Ana Lúcia Kassouf, Pedro Rodrigues de Oliveira and Juliana Maria de Aquino
The Benefício de Prestação Continuada (BPC) program is a cash transfer to
poor elders above 65 years-old. This paper evaluates its effects on household
composition and on labor market outcomes of the elders and their co-residing
relatives, including adults and children. We could not capture any sign of changes
in the household composition due to the program. However we found decreases
in the labor force participation of the elders, indicating that the program makes
possible for these poor elders to retire, what would not be possible otherwise.
Also there is a drop in labor force participation of co-residents. However, the
effect is heterogeneous and the effect is concentrated for adults of more than
30 years-old, while there is no effect for young adults. We found no effect for
school attendance of children, but there is a drop in child labor occurrence,
indicating an important social role of the program.
PIERI
VVVVVerónica Amaranteerónica Amaranteerónica Amaranteerónica Amaranteerónica Amarante
PIERI
Ana LAna LAna LAna LAna Lúúúúúcia Kassoufcia Kassoufcia Kassoufcia Kassoufcia Kassouf
2323232323 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
The Effects of Priority Forestry Programs on China’The Effects of Priority Forestry Programs on China’The Effects of Priority Forestry Programs on China’The Effects of Priority Forestry Programs on China’The Effects of Priority Forestry Programs on China’s Rurals Rurals Rurals Rurals Rural
Household IncomeHousehold IncomeHousehold IncomeHousehold IncomeHousehold Income
Can Liu, Katrina Mullan, Hao Liu and Wenqing Zhu
The paper use 2070 balanced panel dataset, and cluster-specific fixed effect
model is used. We find the PFPs have mixed effects on China’s rural household
income, and also these impacts of the PFPs on rural household total income,
land-based income and off-farm income have been changing with the year.
EvEvEvEvEvaluation De Laluation De Laluation De Laluation De Laluation De L’impact Des Programmes De Cantines Scolaires’impact Des Programmes De Cantines Scolaires’impact Des Programmes De Cantines Scolaires’impact Des Programmes De Cantines Scolaires’impact Des Programmes De Cantines Scolaires
Sur Les Performances Des Ecoles Primaires Rurales Au SenegalSur Les Performances Des Ecoles Primaires Rurales Au SenegalSur Les Performances Des Ecoles Primaires Rurales Au SenegalSur Les Performances Des Ecoles Primaires Rurales Au SenegalSur Les Performances Des Ecoles Primaires Rurales Au Senegal
Abdoulaye Diagne
Ce papier évalue l’impact des programmes de cantines scolaires sur les
performances des écoles primaires rurales du Sénégal à travers une «
expérimentation randomisée » 120 écoles n’ayant jamais été dotés de cantines
scolaires ont été sélectionnées dans les quatre régions les plus pauvres du
Sénégal. Elles ont été assignées aléatoirement et équitablement (60 chacun)
au groupe de contre et celui de traitement. Les élèves de deuxième et de
quatrième année ont été observés dans chacune des écoles sélectionnées. La
double différence a été utilisée pour évaluer l’impact. Les résultats sont les
suivants : la cantine a eu un impact positif aussi bien sur la note globale des
élèves que sur les notes en français et en mathématiques. L’impact est
légèrement plus élevé en mathématiques qu’en français. La cantine a plus
impacter les notes des filles et celles des plus jeunes (élèves de deuxième année). La présence
d’association des parents, de comité de gestion de l’école et de coopérative scolaire améliore l’impact
de la cantine sur les performances des élèves. Enfin, l’intensité de l’impact varie selon les départements.
Management and Motivation in UgandanManagement and Motivation in UgandanManagement and Motivation in UgandanManagement and Motivation in UgandanManagement and Motivation in Ugandan Primary Schools: Impact Primary Schools: Impact Primary Schools: Impact Primary Schools: Impact Primary Schools: Impact
Evaluation Final ReportEvaluation Final ReportEvaluation Final ReportEvaluation Final ReportEvaluation Final Report
Andrew Zeitlin, Lawrence Bategeka, Madina Guloba, Ibrahim Kasirye and
Frederick Mugisha
We document the results of a randomized, controlled trial that examined policies
to improve functioning of School Management Committees in rural, government
primary schools in Uganda. The trial evaluated the impacts of two variations on
a school monitoring scorecard, each of which was collected on a termly basis
by School Management Committee (SMC) members. These treatments were
designed to provide evidence not only on specific policy options for fostering
‘bottom-up’ accountability (World Bank 2004), but also to illuminate the
importance of a participatory mechanism to achieve these effects.
Schools in the first treatment arm received training and support in a standardized
scorecard, which incorporated best practices for simple indicators of pupil and teacher performance,
teaching materials and facilities, and school governance. Schools in the second treatment arm received
training in a participatory scorecard, which provided a forum for SMC members to develop indicators
of dimensions of school performance that they valued themselves. Training was provided by Centre
Coordinating Tutors, who form part of the government educational staff resident in the study districts,
and was overseen by SNV and World Vision, working together with EPRC and Oxford staff.
PIERI
Can LiuCan LiuCan LiuCan LiuCan Liu
PIERI
Abdoulaye DiagneAbdoulaye DiagneAbdoulaye DiagneAbdoulaye DiagneAbdoulaye Diagne
PIERI
Madina GulobaMadina GulobaMadina GulobaMadina GulobaMadina Guloba
24242424249th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Impacts of these alternative scorecard treatments were estimated using a sample of 100 schools
from districts in each of Uganda’s four regions: Apac, Hoima, Iganga, and Kiboga. To allow estimation
of causal effects of the program, schools were randomly assigned to the standardized scorecard (30
schools), the participatory scorecard (30 schools), or control (40 schools). Randomization was
stratified at sub-county level. The experimental procedure ensures that selective placement does not
bias estimates program impact (see, e.g., Glewwe, Kremer, Moulin and Zitzewitz (2004)). Pupil and
teacher absenteeism were measured at follow-up by use of unannounced visits to schools. Learning
outcomes were measured by testing authorities from the Uganda National Examinations Board, who
administered tests from the National Assessment for Progress in Education to a representative
sample of pupils at baseline and follow-up.
Results show statistically and economically significant effects of the participatory design scorecard,
across a range of outcomes. The participatory design scorecard reduced pupil and teacher absenteeism
by and 8.9 and 13.2 percent, respectively. The participatory scorecard had a commensurate impact
on pupil test scores of approximately 0.19 standard deviations; such an impact would increase a
pupil from the 50th percentile to the 58th percentile of the distribution. Impacts of the standardized
scorecard on these outcome measures are smaller and statistically indistinguishable from zero.
Neither scorecard has a statistically significant impact on dropout rates or firing of teachers.
These results suggest that the participatory design component of community-monitoring interventions
may be important to their success. Delegation of this process appears to have fostered a stronger
sense of ownership among school stakeholders. Given its low costs, such a participatory approach to
community-based monitoring is a promising policy intervention for improving quality in UPE schools.
The Impacts of “Land of Love, Water Cellar for Mothers”The Impacts of “Land of Love, Water Cellar for Mothers”The Impacts of “Land of Love, Water Cellar for Mothers”The Impacts of “Land of Love, Water Cellar for Mothers”The Impacts of “Land of Love, Water Cellar for Mothers”
Liguo LIN
In this study, we want to estimate the impacts of the “Land of Love, Water
Cellar for Mothers” project that is launched to address the water scarcity in
western China. In these areas, male labourers flock to cities as a result of
China’s social transformation, leaving women there as the main workforce in
the poverty- and drought-stricken countryside. We conducted two waves of
survey, one was done before the installation of water cellar and the other was
done after. In this paper, we first present how the effect of water cellar project
to be transmitted in theory and then we empirically estimate the impact of
water cellar. We show that water cellar project increase household incomes by
4.6%.
The Impact of TThe Impact of TThe Impact of TThe Impact of TThe Impact of Tuit ion Relief Program in Senior High School onuit ion Relief Program in Senior High School onuit ion Relief Program in Senior High School onuit ion Relief Program in Senior High School onuit ion Relief Program in Senior High School on
Poor Junior High Students in Rural ChinaPoor Junior High Students in Rural ChinaPoor Junior High Students in Rural ChinaPoor Junior High Students in Rural ChinaPoor Junior High Students in Rural China
Xinxin Chen, Shaoqing Zheng, Chunlei Lang, Pingping Gu and Lijuan Guo
More and more rural kids in China have received junior high education since it
became free in 2006. However, there remains a huge gap in the rate of
admission to senior high school when comparing urban and rural students.
One reason for this gap may be the high levels of tuition and fees for senior
high school. In this report, we evaluated the impact of the tuition relief program
proposed in Ningshan (the treatment county), one poor county in Shaanxi province
in China for poor rural students using different estimation strategies, such as
Difference-in-Differences (DD), Difference-in-Difference-in-Differences (DDD),
Propensity Score Matching (Matching) and DD Matching. With the data collected
in Ningshan and two control counties, Shiquan and Hanyin, we find that this
program improves the math score/effort of the students significantly. More importantly, this program
is shown to have a statistically significant and positive effect on the math scores of the poorest
students in the treatment group compared to their wealthier peers.
PIERI
Liguo LinLiguo LinLiguo LinLiguo LinLiguo Lin
PIERI
Xinxin ChenXinxin ChenXinxin ChenXinxin ChenXinxin Chen
2525252525 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Wage Inequality of Chinese Rural -Urban Migrants from 2002 toWage Inequality of Chinese Rural -Urban Migrants from 2002 toWage Inequality of Chinese Rural -Urban Migrants from 2002 toWage Inequality of Chinese Rural -Urban Migrants from 2002 toWage Inequality of Chinese Rural -Urban Migrants from 2002 to
20072007200720072007
Zhaopeng Qu and Zhong Zhao
The paper studies wage inequality among Chinese rural-urban migrants and its
change from 2002 to 2007. We use the Chinese Household Income Project
dataset and the Rural to Urban Migration in China dataset to construct a
unique data set which allows us to document basic facts about the wage
structure of migrants and urban natives in 2002 and 2007. Our focus is the
change of wage inequality of migrants over time. We find that wage inequality
among migrants has decreased significantly; at the mean time, we observe an
increase of wage inequality among urban natives from 2002 to 2007. Using
distributional decomposition methods we find that overall between-group effect
dominates, but on the upper tails of the wage distribution, the within group
effect dominates.
Are there Ethnic Inequality TAre there Ethnic Inequality TAre there Ethnic Inequality TAre there Ethnic Inequality TAre there Ethnic Inequality Traps in Education? Empiricalraps in Education? Empiricalraps in Education? Empiricalraps in Education? Empiricalraps in Education? Empirical
Evidence for Brazil and ChileEvidence for Brazil and ChileEvidence for Brazil and ChileEvidence for Brazil and ChileEvidence for Brazil and Chile
Guillermo Cruces, Marcelo Bérgolo, Adriana Conconi and Andrés Ham
This study searches for suggestive evidence of an ethnic inequality trap in
educational attainment in Brazil and Chile. The research aims to cover an
existing gap in the literature on inequality traps and proposes an empirical
approach to assess certain conditions which might imply its existence. The
main results indicate that while average education and upward mobility have
risen in both countries, ethnic disparities remain significant. In particular, the
evidence is suggestive of an educational inequality trap for Afro-Brazilians,
while the findings are less conclusive of a trap for indigenous individuals in
Chile. These results reflect the need for targeted education policies for ethnic
groups in two ways: compensation (or affirmative action) mechanisms to lower
current inequality, and increasing demand and supply at higher educational levels to prevent the
persistence of low level outcomes and disparities throughout the educational distribution.
Is the VIs the VIs the VIs the VIs the Value of Humanity Increasing? A Critical-Level Enquiryalue of Humanity Increasing? A Critical-Level Enquiryalue of Humanity Increasing? A Critical-Level Enquiryalue of Humanity Increasing? A Critical-Level Enquiryalue of Humanity Increasing? A Critical-Level Enquiry
John Cockburn, Jean-Yves Duclos and Agnès Zabsonré
We assess whether the value of humanity (or global social welfare) has improved
in the last decades despite (or because of) the substantial increase in global
population sizes. We use for this purpose a relatively unknown but simple and
attractive social evaluation approach based on critical-level generalized
utilitarianism (CLGU). CLGU posits that social welfare increases with population
size if and only the new lives come with a utility level higher than that of a
critical level. Despite its attractiveness, CLGUposes a number of practical
difficulties that may explain why the literature has left it largely unexplored.
The most important of these difficulties deal with the choice of an individual
welfare aggregation function and with the value of the critical level. We address
these difficulties by developing new procedures for making partial social
orderings over classes of CLGU evaluation functions. These orderings are designed to be robust to
choices of individual welfare aggregation functions (within certain classes of such functions) and to
ranges of the critical level. The headline result is that we can robustly conclude that world welfare
has increased between 1990 and 2005 if we judge that lives with per capita yearly consumption of
more than $1,288 necessarily increase the value of humanity; the same conclusion applies to Sub-
Saharan Africa if and only if we are willing to make that same judgement for lives with any level of per
capita yearly consumption above $230. Otherwise, some of the admissible Paretian CLGU functions
will judge the last two decades’ increase in global population size to have lowered the value of
humanity.
PMMA
Zhong ZhaoZhong ZhaoZhong ZhaoZhong ZhaoZhong Zhao
PMMA
Jean-Yves DuclosJean-Yves DuclosJean-Yves DuclosJean-Yves DuclosJean-Yves Duclos
PMMA
Guillermo CrucesGuillermo CrucesGuillermo CrucesGuillermo CrucesGuillermo Cruces
26262626269th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
Established in 1999, the De La Salle University-Angelo King InstituteDe La Salle University-Angelo King InstituteDe La Salle University-Angelo King InstituteDe La Salle University-Angelo King InstituteDe La Salle University-Angelo King Institutefor Economic and Business Studies (DLSU-AKI)for Economic and Business Studies (DLSU-AKI)for Economic and Business Studies (DLSU-AKI)for Economic and Business Studies (DLSU-AKI)for Economic and Business Studies (DLSU-AKI) envisions itself to be aninnnovative and leading center for integrating economic and business studiesleading to policy recommendations for the government and business community.
The Consortium for Economic and Social Research (CRES)Consortium for Economic and Social Research (CRES)Consortium for Economic and Social Research (CRES)Consortium for Economic and Social Research (CRES)Consortium for Economic and Social Research (CRES) is anassociation of researchers in the areas of economics, management, law andsociology in Senegal.
The Group for the Analysis of Development (GRADE)Group for the Analysis of Development (GRADE)Group for the Analysis of Development (GRADE)Group for the Analysis of Development (GRADE)Group for the Analysis of Development (GRADE) is a private non-profit research center based in Peru, whose aim is to conduct applied researchto stimulate and enrich the debate, design, and implementation of publicpolicies.
Universite LavalUniversite LavalUniversite LavalUniversite LavalUniversite Laval is the oldest center of education in Canada, and was thefirst institution in North America to offer higher education in French. Its maincampus is located in Quebec City, Quebec, the capital of the Province, on theoutskirts of the historic city.
Main PartnersMain PartnersMain PartnersMain PartnersMain Partners
2727272727 9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
DonorsDonorsDonorsDonorsDonors
The International Development Research Centre (IDRC) International Development Research Centre (IDRC) International Development Research Centre (IDRC) International Development Research Centre (IDRC) International Development Research Centre (IDRC) is a Crowncorporation created by the Parliament of Canada in 1970. Its mandate is setout in the IDRC Act (1970) which directs the Centre to “initiate, encourage,support and conduct research into the problems of the developing regions ofthe world and into the means for applying and adapting scientific, technical andother knowledge to the economic and social advancement of those regions.”
The Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA)Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA)Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA)Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA)Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA) is Canada’slead agency for development assistance. CIDA’s aim is to: (i) manage Canada’ssupport and resources effectively and accountably to achieve meaningful,sustainable results, and (ii) engage in policy development in Canada andinternationally, enabling Canada’s effort to realize its development objectives.
The Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID)Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID)Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID)Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID)Australian Agency for International Development (AusAID) is theAustralian Government agency responsible for managing Australia’s overseasaid program. AusAID is an Executive Agency within the Foreign Affairs andTrade portfolio and reports to the Minister for Foreign Affairs. The fundamentalpurpose of the aid is to help people overcome poverty. This also servesAustralia’s national interest by promoting stability and prosperity both in ourregion and beyond.
28282828289th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ing9th PEP Research Network General Meet ingDecember 3-9, 2011 • Angkor Era Hotel, Siem Reap, Cambodia
The Un i ted Nat ions Deve lopment Programme (UNDP) Ph i l i pp ines Coun t ryUn i ted Nat ions Deve lopment Programme (UNDP) Ph i l i pp ines Coun t ryUn i ted Nat ions Deve lopment Programme (UNDP) Ph i l i pp ines Coun t ryUn i ted Nat ions Deve lopment Programme (UNDP) Ph i l i pp ines Coun t ryUn i ted Nat ions Deve lopment Programme (UNDP) Ph i l i pp ines Coun t ryOfficeOfficeOfficeOfficeOffice fosters human development for peace and prosperity. Working with central andlocal Governments as well as civil society, and building on global best practices, UNDPstrengthens capacities of women, men and institutions to empower them to achieve theMillennium Development Goals and the objectives of the Philippine Mid-term DevelopmentPlan.The National Economic and Development Authori ty (NEDA)National Economic and Development Authori ty (NEDA)National Economic and Development Authori ty (NEDA)National Economic and Development Authori ty (NEDA)National Economic and Development Authori ty (NEDA) is the Phil ippines’social and economic development planning and policy coordinating body. It is headed bythe President as chairman of the NEDA board, with the Secretary of Socio-EconomicPlanning, concurrently NEDA Director-General, as vice-chairman. Several Cabinet members,the Central Bank Governor, ARMM and ULAP are likewise members of the NEDA Board.
The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) seeks sustainable solutionsfor ending hunger and poverty. IFPRI is one of 15 centers supported by the ConsultativeGroup on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR), an alliance of 64 governments,private foundations, and international and regional organizations.The United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF)United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) was established on 11 December1946 by the United Nations to meet the emergency needs of children in post-war Europeand China. Its full name was the United Nations International Children’s Emergency Fund.In 1950, its mandate was broadened to address the long-term needs of children andwomen in developing countries everywhere. UNICEF became a permanent part of theUnited Nations system in 1953, when its name was shortened to the United NationsChildren’s Fund. However, UNICEF retained its original acronym.
Celia M. Reyes & John M. Cockburn PEP Co-Directors
Aissatou Diop Administrator, PEP Africa
Awa Diop Administrator, PEP Africa
Anne Bernadette E. Mandap Research & Administration Officer, PEP Asia
Jasminda Asirot-Quilitis Senior Database Management Specialist, PEP Asia
Marsmath A. Baris, Jr. Research Associate, PEP Asia
Novee Lor C. Leyso Research Assistant, PEP Asia
PEP Asia & CBMS Network OfficeAngelo King Institute for Economic and Business Studies
De La Salle University-Manila
10th Floor, Angelo King International Center, Estrada corner Arellano Ave., Malate, Manila
Philippines
E-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]
Web-site: www.pep-net.org
Tel/Fax: (632) 5262067; 5238888 local 274
Conference Secretariat
Cover Design by Ariel Manuel • Layout by Marsmath A. Baris, Jr.
The goal of the Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA)Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA)Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA)Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA)Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA)is to strengthen local capacity for the economic analysis of environmental problems sothat researchers can provide sound advice to policymakers. The program uses a network-ing approach to provide not only financial support but meetings, resource persons,access to literature, publication outlets, and opportunities for comparative researchacross its nine member countries. These are Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philip-pines, Vietnam, Cambodia, Lao PDR, China and Papua New Guinea.