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Aon Consulting Northwest Employee Benefits Consulting How Will the New GASB Other Post Employment Benefits (OPEB) Standard Impact Oregon PEBB August 15, 2006 Dennis Monaghan, F.S.A., E.A. Dennis Tierney, M.A.A.A. Pamela Hodge, J.D. Bd attach. 9

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Aon Consulting Northwest Employee Benefits Consulting

How Will the New GASB Other Post Employment Benefits (OPEB) Standard Impact Oregon PEBB

August 15, 2006

Dennis Monaghan, F.S.A., E.A.Dennis Tierney, M.A.A.A.Pamela Hodge, J.D.

Bd attach. 9

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Agenda

• Overview New GASB Rules• Required Financial Data & Funding Options• Actuarial Process Requirements

– Health Benefit Cost Projection & Trend Issues– Investment Return Assumptions

• Oregon PEBB Costs• Effective Dates & Analyses Cycle• Financial Implications• Action Steps

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

New GASB Rules

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Overview of Statement 45 Rules

• What are Other Post Employment Benefits (OPEB)?– Compensation received after employment ends in

exchange for employees’ current service– Benefits other than pension benefits– Healthcare Benefits

• Medical • Dental• Rx • Vision

– Other Benefits (if not part of pension plan)• Life Insurance • Disability• Group Legal • Long-Term Care• Retiree Discounts (PUD)

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Overview of Statement 45 Rules

• What are not Other Post Employment Benefits (OPEB)?– Vacation– Sick Leave– COBRA– Ad Hoc Early Retirement or Termination Incentives– Conversion of unused PTO hours to an individual retiree

health care account

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Overview of Statement 45 Rules

• Why did GASB adopt a new accounting standard?– Current accounting standards fail to recognize the cost

of OPEB when employee services are rendered– Current accounting standards do not identify the value

of OPEB already “earned” or accrued as a result of employees’ past service

• New OPEB standards are structured like GASB’s pension accounting & reporting standards– GASB #25 – Plan’s accounting– GASB #27 – Employer’s accounting

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Required Financial Data & Funding Options

What Financial Data Have to be Reported• Key financial statement components

– Annual OPEB Cost (annual expense)– Net OPEB Obligation (balance sheet liability)

What are the Funding Options• Advance funding is not required; however, there are

some advantages– The Net OPEB Obligation will be close to zero– The actuary can use a more favorable discount rate to

value the plan

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Health Benefit Cost Projection Issues

• Must recognize the “Implicit Rate Subsidy”

• Post-employment healthcare benefits must be projected based on claims costs for retirees or on age-adjusted premiums

• Use of unadjusted premiums only acceptable in “community-rated plans”

• Health Claim Trend– If credible, base on employer’s actual experience– Emphasize expected long-term future trends

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Illustration of “Implicit Rate Subsidy”

$0

$1,000$2,000$3,000$4,000

$5,000$6,000$7,000

26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81 86 91 96

Age

An

nu

al

Am

ou

nts

Actual Cost Average Cost

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Investment Return Assumptions

• Also called the “Discount Rate”• The estimated long-term investment yield on the

investments expected to be used to pay the OPEB benefits

• Investments expected to be used to pay the OPEB benefits are – Plan assets– Employer assets– Or a combination of the two

• A partially funded plan will use a blended investment return assumption (the discount rate)

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Investment Return Assumption - Example

• Unfunded Plan– Use expected rate-of-return on PEBB assets– 5%?

• Prefunded Plan– Use expected rate-of-return on long-term asset mix– A mix of stocks and bonds– 8%

• Impact on actuarial liabilities of prefunding– Able to use 8% instead of 5% investment return

assumption– Actuarial liabilities could be 30% lower due to use of

prefunding assumptions

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

PEBB’s Costs

• Annual OPEB Cost (AOC – employer’s expense)– Annual Required Contribution (ARC)

• Normal Cost (NC) based on actuarial cost method selected, equals portion of an active employee’s projected benefits that is recognized in the employer’s fiscal year

• Amortization of Unfunded Actuarial Accrued Liability (UAAL) over a maximum of 30 years

• Amortization method for gains or losses and plan changes depends on actuarial cost method selected

– Plus Adjustment due to Contributions > or < ARC

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

PEBB’s Costs (cont.)

• Net OPEB Obligation (NOO)– Initial Net OPEB Obligation (at implementation) = $0– Optionally, employers may elect to adopt retroactively if

prior actuarial valuations are consistent with standard– NOO will change from year to year

• Contributions = ARC; NOO = $0• Contributions > ARC; NOO < $0 (an asset)• Contributions < ARC; NOO > $0 (a liability)

– NOO should be recognized in year-end financial statements

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Effective Dates

• Effective dates for employer’s financials (based on Statement 34):

Annual Revenue Effective for FY after

Phase I >$100m 2/15/2006 Phase II >$10m & <$100m 12/15/2007 Phase III <$10m 12/15/2008

• Effective dates for the Plan’s financials are one year earlier

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

How Often Do Analyses Have to be Done?

• Frequency of actuarial valuations

– At least biennially – Required for plans with a total membership of 200 or more

– At least every three years for smaller plans

• Required notes to financial statements

• Required supplementary information

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

What if PEBB Doesn’t Pay?

• Underpayments create liabilities

• Net OPEB Obligation

• Very low discount rate required

• Disclosure of large unfunded actuarial liabilities

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Impact of Statement 45 Rules

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

GASB vs. Pay-As-You-Go (PAYG)

$0$2$4$6$8

$10$12$14

2003 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028

An

nu

al

Am

ou

nt

Example

GASB PAYG

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Where does OPEB Disclosure Fit Into the Rating Scheme

• OPEB Liabilities Are Not New

• They’re Already Here – But Generally Not Quantified

• New OPEB Disclosure Will Affect All Rating Factors – Except Economic

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

OPEB Rating Impact – Most Analogous To Pension Obligations

Debt Factors

• Types of Obligations

• Overall Debt Burden

• Other Long Term Liabilities

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Debt Factors (continued)

Pension Liabilities

• Size of UAAL/Funding Ratio

• Historical Progress

• Pension Obligation Bond Versus UAAL

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Management Factors

Pension Perspective

• How are Pension Liabilities Being Managed

• Are Liabilities Being Shifted to Future Administrations (Tax Payers)?

• Are Required Contributions Being Made

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Financial Factors

Pension Benefits as an Expense

• How Do Pensions Affect the Employer’s Cost Structure?

• What is the Trend in Contribution Payments?

• Will Pension Contributions Jeopardize Debt Service?

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

OPEB As a Rating Factor

• Will be Evaluated Like Pensions

• How Will These Obligations Be Managed?

• Are the Commitments Sustainable?

• Impact on Ratings

Bond Rating Agencies Will Factor the Implications of OPEB Into Ratings

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Are the Commitments Sustainable?

• Project future retiree healthcare costs

• Project future revenue expected to be available for retiree healthcare costs

• Calculate the ratio of costs to revenue

• Examine the graph of the projected ratios

• Are the ratios relatively steady? Increasing? Decreasing? Or?

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Action Steps

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Preparing For New Financial Reporting

• Perform projection of financial impact– GASB disclosures– Year-by-year future OPEB payments– Expected revenue to support

OPEB payments• Review opportunities to reduce costs• Educate:

– Elected officials – Union Leaders – Finance– Administration

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

New Reporting Deadline Approaching

• The numbers are material

• Solutions take time– Bargaining issues– Elected officials– Grandfathering issues– State statutes

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

GASB Impact Study

• Calculate GASB cost impact

• Develop alternatives to reduce cost

• Consider pre-funding options

• Price impact of proposed changes

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Aon Consulting NorthwestEmployee Benefits Consulting

Thank you!

Dennis Monaghan, FSAVice PresidentAon Consulting1211 SW Fifth Avenue, Suite 600Portland, OR [email protected]

Pamela Hodge, J.D.Vice PresidentAon Consulting1211 SW Fifth Avenue, Suite 600Portland, OR [email protected]

Dennis Tierney, M.A.A.A.Vice PresidentAon Consulting1211 SW Fifth Avenue, Suite 600Portland, OR [email protected]